Why The Tech Bubble Could Trigger The Largest Stock Market Rally of 2024
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- Опубликовано: 15 июл 2024
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Email: Arete@Aretetrading.net
Make sure to WATCH THE FULL VIDEO to get a technical analysis of each stock and the entry and exit points. You’ll have a better understanding of each stock, which is crucial before deciding to trade.
Disclaimer: Obviously nothing on this channel should be considered as financial advice.I am not a finanicial advisor. This is for educational and informational purposes only. Full Disclaimer bit.ly/3ABdP0v
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Timestamps:
0:00 - Indexes
6:20 - New Highs/New Lows
11:25 - Copper Demand for Semis
20:35 - Account Review
22:35 - COIN Trade
25:04 - Aggressive Curve Steepening
30:05 - S&P Performance Post Cuts + VXTLT Disparity
38:45 - SPY + Research
45:30 - Stocks to Watch 
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@@AreteTrading stool is the best !! But “order of the golden trinity “ sounds way cooler
Considering the amount of valuable content you have included in this video you have no reason to be concerned about the editing, you're doing a great job.
Your explanation is clear and practical. Nevertheless, the market can undergo manipulation in various ways. While I initially grasped trading assets, my technical analysis skills were a limiting factor. This changed when I came across Jane Nina Pickett's strategy. Day trading deserves increased attention, given its resilience to the market's unpredictable nature.
It's unexpected to come across her name here. She understands every beginner’s intention and fix you to a trading course that matches your capacity, she knows her stuff! Her advice has been invaluable to my trading journey. Definitely worth giving a shot!
It's truly refreshing to see a comment about Jane Nina Pickett. I've also had the pleasure of working with her for several months after discovering more about her online. She has a knack for simplifying complex issues, whether it's a market surge or decline. Her approach consistently keeps you ahead of the curve. I'd call her a guru, for sure
Investing has proven to be an incredibly beneficial decision. My cryptocurrency profits continue to play a substantial role in growing my overall wealth, reducing my reliance on my salary
Nice to see this here. Jane's understanding of market indicators is impressive. She knows exactly when to enter and exit trades for maximum profit. her siignals are top notch
Over the years, I've been a part of numerous trading programs, sifting through a barrage of information. Yet, nothing has come close to the sheer clarity, depth, and precision of Pickett's insights. It's akin to finding a diamond in a coal mine.
Why is no one concerned about the revisions to previous nfp numbers. Hard downward revisions
Another great video boomer. I could listen to you break down and talk about economic data all day. I think you should consider doing a podcast. ty
thanks boomer!
With trading, technical analysis skills alone are not enough; discipline and emotional maturity are also crucial for success. The saying "time in the market vs. timing the market" is a good mindset to have during market fluctuations. Thanks to Renee Gilman insights, daily trade signals, and my dedication to learning, I've been increasing my daily earnings. Keep it up.
Renee Gilman program is widely available online.
Access to good information is what we investors needs to progress financially and generally in life. this is a good one and I appreciate.
On the grand scheme of things, once you understand the potential of trading, you can bet on it but I think people need the education to fully understand.
Her training program has been insightful, and I must say, I’m most honored to have been part and a full-time beneficiary of her daily trade signals.
She appears to be well-educated and well-read. I ran a Google search on her name and came across her website; thank you for sharing.
I join Nate is saying thank-you ever so much for your channel here. It is, without doubt, the best content out there in this space. You don't have to do this and you are. I hope it offers you some value in educating so many in analysis. It blows out of the water the idea of simple patterns (not that I ever only used those but you can see the nonsense out there). I really appreciate it. I have learnt a lot.
I appreciate that! Its extremely rewarding to see how its helping people. I want to get the message out more. I have been thinking a lot about this lately.
I had a huge smile on your face when i looked up from my notes in time to hear you say that some people will watch this two or three times and take notes. This will be my first of three or four times, between now and when futures markets open tomorrow. Thank you again
@@Fddhjdthnbcfseyhvg what a good student you are
This is one of the best channels on RUclips. I enjoy listening and learning from watching your daily videos. It has helped me to become a better trader. I get the concept of the mega caps and have taken advantage of it all last week. I did take some profit and did cut some of my positions down some in all of the tech stocks I have at the end of the day on Friday. I felt that I was way overweight in all of them. I did buy some copper, consumer discretionary, and some of the energy stocks you mentioned in your video on Thursday (ie: CEG, NRT, VRT, VST, NEE). Some of the energy stocks worked and some did not. I like the thought process of the power that will be needed. I look forward to see what you may consider looking at on Monday’s video. Keep up the great work. I is appreciated.
Copper is moving. OIl and Gold. Its interesting to see
@@AreteTrading Good to know. Thank you.
Thank you so much for your video. You have quickly become my number one RUclipsr. Your willingness to share your win percentage the other day showed me I need look no further. I was already profitable, but I rode the shit out of my losers, instead of just putting the L on the damn stat sheet. It usually would of made no difference at first, but I allow it to make a difference. Never again
Thanks .. good insight of Mags 6 stocks
FNGU, full monthly candle above upper BB. Ridiculous even for 3x leveraged etf... This is basically 2021 GME....
So wait for the handle to form on that cup and then it's On like Donkey Kong?
Thank you!
excellent video - super informative - really liked the instructional video on the morning candles. Can you do more of those? Really want to understand your strategy on stop losses and trailing stops.
You packed a lot of great info into this video, thank you. I don't believe a newer trader could grasp all of this, but it is very useful info
Thanks Anthony 🙏
Thank you so much for the value you convey.
Hi At: Both indexes bullish no volume. Check meta flat base bo; bax broke dtl; arm cup breaking out. Ty
Thx esp hard work on weekends.
Appreciate you Anthony. Great stuff.
Great wisdom! God bless!
Thank you very much for the education Sir. You're the first and last video I watch everyday...appreciate your help
Would love if you went over how to determine good levels to buy in at for the Fab8 stocks or any stock, from a macro, fundamental, and technical perspective!
Could be a good educational video mayhaps?
Appreciate all the work and time you put in! Tons of useful information and interesting perspectives. I like how you broke down the correlation of copper and oil. Subbed 👍. Keep up the good work!
Love your videos keep them coming. Question on your COST swing trade, are you using long dated calls or just buying the stock?
No “that’s it” 😢
Keep it up please! Always love the content
Amazing insight! Thank you! 🔥🔥🔥
Thank you for all the actionable angles and ideas you put into each video.
A+++ mate ❤ thanks for sharing all your work 👍💪
No problem 👍
Thanks for taking the time to make these!
An amazing video packed FULL of information. Love those comparisons Ive learned so much but in the scheme of things im still in my genesis of learning the ins and outs of the market. Youve opened my eye on so many things. You nailed it today. How the market has made great moves with one of the players absent. I think you helped a lot of people that were ready to jump in with puts because so many stocks have hit the top of their trending range. And they might go down but we’re watching for either way. One way i look for potential plays is based on what i learned from you and it has become my go to and thats divergent RSI trends. I just go through daily time frame charts with RSI and look for stocks that have a bearish divergence or a bullish convergence. Im am going to hold myself to strict conformation rules. One thing I noticed not all divergent trends are the same. Looking back through $LLY. Ive seen divergent RSI but the stock just consolidated with an ascending wedge and RSI never dropped below 50. Then bam back up to 75 or 80. So if RSI doesnt fall below 50 im not going to consider it a bearish type indication. What you say makes sense at a time when we should have seen at best consolidation we seen-some pretty good bull riding. Its amazing to see record territory buy backs and the growth we’ve seen with only 25% of the stocks doing it. I also read there is still something like 6 trillion sitting on the sidelines. Oh my. Many of us out here anticipate the rug pull because we have been victims of that play too many times. We need to get out of our heads and quit expecting and just play it. Thanks fir all your effort to pound this stuff into our thick heads. I know it takes time
Excellent and relevant commentary. We need to get you more subs.
banger of a video!
Great info. Wheres the price video you mentioned...thx
The one in your playlist?
here it is ruclips.net/video/vVsDdAoOnGY/видео.html
@@AreteTrading thx
Vale copper and mining
How do you think the Boeing Union contract that expires in September is going to affect the stock if they strike?
I appreciate all the time you put into these videos. I've done a few myself and know how long it can take and yours are long and provide outside content. All of this takes a while.
Wow really great video. So much information. Really good information. I thought we are going down in the market but this video showed I am wrong. You are unique to say we are going higher. The market is not too high and will go higher.
Thanks, great video, how to spell "Uridiny" the chart guy that you mentioned?
The bar for earnings was lowered again. They always lower expectations so that it looks better and people fall for it.
Huge fan of the channel! Greatly appreciate the time and effort you put into educating the community. at 45:15 (PE Ratio peaks), would like to know your thoughts about how $1.7T of stimi checks influenced this period of time? Considering that, why would the peak still be/potentially achievable (>32 PE ratio)?
Just a beautiful stool. thank you!
Bought 5k in long puts on SPY near the high in the last minutes on Friday... Market wants to give me free money
Thoughts on MAXN? Over 55% short rn
The Pi stool! 3.14 legs? It even has the Pi sign on it.
Sweet shirt AT, where can I get one?
Zs an inverse head and shoulders; shop bull flag buy point at 68.25ish; aem high cup resting at Bo level.
Intel has signs of accumulation ready to mark up go stage 2 at 32.50
Can you explain why smalls aren’t finding buyers in the face of rate cuts?
Because rate cuts are coming as a result of a slowing economy, which means the 40% of IWM names that are already unprofitable will become even less so.
Wow nice Tshirt- is this available for subscribers? Great vid as always- burry is buying china
absolutely love the stool !
Don’t encourage him! Lol
The 'stool' takes on its alter-meaning when everything gets flushed down! :P
This is not 1995-1998. Not even close.
But if we are going to say this is similar to 1998 take a minute and compare sp500 in 1998 and 2002. Notice how 2002 is actually lower?
Money can be made in this market, but people need to recognize the risks they are trading on.
I suspect the current market has much more in common with 2008. The Japanese carry trade is unwinding. CRE can has been kicked as far at it can and things are going to start happening. Between those two things we are going to have a lot of problems that will drain liquidity that could go to equities.
P.S. Love the stool
The China and copper correlation was working when China was in a good place. But it's not in a good place anymore.
best
Is there a possibility that corporations will SELL stock when blackout ends?
Then why buy?
What if it's all okay though? ... With the prices we've seen these stocks run to at this point I had to take a step back and look at Apple, NVDA, TESLA etc and ask myself... What if everyone gets along, plays their part and everything's okay with future policy to support growth in even the small caps eventually. and if you don't want to gamble - 10 years from now would you say you wish you would have bought NVDA @$125,/APPL @$226. At this point the world is still turning and they've printed so much money we seem to operate under different rules. Things run further and sell off further than anyone targets and just keep squeezing higher.. I do think Small caps catch up QUICK as soon as we figure out what's going on with China and Russia lol
Can you expand on your COIN trade. I can see you brought 200 shares of the stock directly and held it for about 1 hour. Is there a reason you brought the stock instead of call options for this type of short-term trade. For people with smaller accounts what would you recommend?
Yes call options were expensive . We were talking about it in the room. They still nailed a double on the call options I showed the 220s as an option to my stock. The gap down and lack of gamma had me concerned and we were coming in with puts. We had a put position that we crushed it on so I felt they would take the IV out of the options. They did work. I may do an educational video on this one.
Does Ai create jobs for people or tend to take them away?
You might be on to something there. That will likely be ws narrative when all the ai stocks correcting majorly
I am sure a small portion of jobs but I think people just do their existing jobs more efficiently and take on more other work. Take customer service, they don’t do the traditional customer service work anymore and do more analytics work. I think we are a couple years away from seeing the broader application and impact. I would say that those who aren’t acquiring new skills will be left behind. This kind of innovation is needed especially with the large amount of workforce which will be retiring soon.
Think of it as having infinite interns. Do interns take jobs away? You can't just submit what the intern does. It lacks real world knowledge, and nuance. Likewise, you can't just submit what an AI does. But that doesn't mean both of them don't make your life a lot easier.
How has both inflation been "good" for the market and deflation will also be "good" for the market? Serious question.
Deflation has never been good for the market technically because Deflation will only come from a recession or depression. If we are talking about the rate of inflation coming down then it's good for the economy
Deflation means negative... We are nowhere close
Inflation shows growth. Let's say you sell 10 widgets for $10 this year. You made $100 in revenue. And let's say next year you sold 10 widgets for $11. You made $110 in revenue. You didn't sell any more widgets but your revenues increased by 10%. That's why inflation is good for the market. if you don't believe me, look at the stock markets of two of the highst inflation countries, Venezuela and Argentina over the past 5-10 years. These two countries have had over 100% inflation every year. And look at their stock markets. What the market hates are higher rates. It's competition for money. Would you rather get a guaranteed 10% in your bank account or would you want a risky 10% return in the stock market. As rates go higher, the competition for money between bonds and stocks is there. It's all basica supply and demand.
are the mega caps really going to buyback after running up 5-10% during the blackout period? bezos, jensen, etc.. continue to dump millions of shares.... btw, blackrock, vanguard, etc.. owns 89% of SPY (including the top 10) and can easily control the price especially on a low volume week... aside from that everything on the stool appears to support continued market trajectory despite declining RR, ROI depending on your time horizon. also, how sure are we that the remaining 475 names in SPY will catch up and not result in 2001 or 2008 scenario which had similar narrow breadth (actually was better than 2024)?.... ....btw, great work as always....
It's all about supply and demand. There aren't many stocks whose companies do AI right now. And also the buildout isn't near complete. How many companies other than the ones rising actually incorporate AI right now? When you see more than half of the S&P 500 companies starting to get productivity gains from AI is when you should start worrying about a top as there are less companies left to build out than there are companies that have built out.
Look at the recent past. How far did TSLA go up because they were the only EV car maker? So people wanted to buy an EV stock. When did TSLA top out? When all those IPOs started coming out such as Fisker, Rivian to name just a few of the dozens.
@@rxlxviii keep in mind megacaps like $MSFT are the ones rolling out softwares for improved productivity gains to the enterprises (like copilot, security copilot)
Devils advocate Bueller, Smart money always buys the top. Is that possible now? Love the videos definitely have made more money when I would have sat on the sideline before.
I like bottom feeding, it feels safe… Mostly
I cannot understand how every talking head overlooks the fact that the fed will ONLY lower rates if the economy isn’t doing well. We are currently at normal rate levels, the past ten years haven’t been normal
correct . There was motivation to lower due to political pressure. There is not now. We need a sweet spot. We might get it. We might not. Small caps need it
Arete market is going down 20% brother, trust me. Geo-political reasons.
only thing going down 20% is the permabears bank accounts
Let us know when that starts.
It is interesting the gold copper and oil buying
😂@@TurnkeyTrading
200% market cap to GDP... hahahahahaha....
MR PICKLE ! There you are! Where have you been!
Too much macro. Can you remember to show us chart levels too? You lost me after minute 13:00.
Could the move in TSLA mean that we are approaching a near short term top? When companies start rallying based on hope rather than actual earnings usually becomes a warning sign. Also C3AI (AI) moved up a lot this past week. These two companies do not make revenue from AI.....yet. However, this does not mean we are at a top. We will see a top when we start seeing AI IPOs that do craxy moves to the upside. It happened during the internet IPO boom back in the late 90s, the solar stock IPO boom in the mid 2000s, and during the EV IPO boom back in 2020-2021.
Yes this is my take as well. Also the greed in the market are tangible
@rxlxviii NKLA rallying 10% last day, wth? Sure it can probably go another 50% but the EV sentiment is just dead this year. Another sign to me as you are describing
I don't think last week tells us anything, it's an irrelevant week for the most part every year. This week will much more important
If you looked at who was buying it was big money. I think some of you truly have no idea what’s going on and it kind makes me nervous you are investing/trading on your own
@@theunbearablebullI’m glad that strangers wasting their money, time, and energy makes you nervous.
@@theunbearablebull You're definitely too emotional to trade futures, but if you do, I'll gladly take the other side of your zero sum trade lmfao
@@Serval_X look how mad you little kids get. I mean, I guess you have to be sensitive when you’re playing bearish in a bull trend. Low iq kids lol
@@davidAIserrano yea it’s entertaining to see how stupid people are with their money lol.
Buy the dip on the mag 8 no matter what. Been doing it all year hasn't failed yet. Even TSLA is back now and that's the weakest of the bunch fundamentally.
Back in 2020 when people thought they were a genius.🥃🥃.🫡