WARNING: The Fed is AFRAID.
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- Опубликовано: 1 май 2024
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📝Disclaimer:
This video is not personalized advice for the viewer.
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![The Fed is about to Flip [PREPARE]](http://i.ytimg.com/vi/XZXwY-bMaQM/mqdefault.jpg)
![The Fed is about to Flip [PREPARE]](/img/tr.png)
Now hold on, just 2 videos ago you were saying Powell wiped all these concerns away.
yep he did! so this is speculating on WHY he'd be dovish despite washing the other concerns away.
powell tried to
Felt strongly Powell affirmed they will react to data. They're not in charge at this point. They will inevitably go to far.
If there were a Guinness World Record for the longest-running coupon code, Kevin would be the undisputed champion!
Let’s be honest… The FED’s biggest fear is a significant stock market crash with the Baby Boomers retiring… Can’t have their assets go down… No discounts on assets for young people…
I love how much work you put in Kevin! It’s truly inspiring and amazing! Love you dude keep it up you are my morning news and late night update guy!!!
Thank you for the insights Kevin. It was nice to meet you
They always over do it. 10/2 will un-invert at 4.20 and 69 days later market will crash.
Sound thinking.
Lots of confidence here
I just realized Kevin talk good and bad about all stocks in different videos, and then conveniently picks out the right points and tells I told you so lol
With our debt to GDP, there is zero possibility ultimately of a soft landing. This ratio always determines GDP and growth in our economy. Eventually, GDP will dwindle down to nothing, creating a recession . Our national debt will determine it, not the FED or any political party.
I think this is a very reasonable assumption.
I also find it laughable that the money printers worry about anything. These people think they are Gods and are immune from any consequences.
How do you figure? Debt to GDP hasn't been a concern in the private sector, will eventually effect bond viability and eventually cause govt collapse, but how does it affect recession now?
The Reason for Fed reducing QT, is to ensure better liquidity transition and preventing ( Postponing ) any mini crash due to low liquidity. Liquidity was abundant during this last bull run from 4100 to 5260, even though QT was in full flow, because of a Massive Reverse repo, which is 80% depleted now. That money was being used to buy treasuries, which is exactly where Fed is reducing QT. Also Tax season does dry up liquidity too.
Look for Reverse Repo to hit "0" , 2/10 curve to un-invert and that would be a trigger point for first rate cut. But with this action, Fed has postponed that just a bit more.
Kev Full Bear Back Mode! 🐻 😱 😮😅 lol
A recession is unavoidable in my humble opinion.
Kevin any thought on Palantir before earning on Monday ?
Kevin is always on point 🙌
Better listen because he did our homework twice 👍
Here comes the soft landing! They cook the books to hide we are in recession heading into a depression.
Short and straight to the point. 👍
Great vid !!
What do you think of ENVX? They arent profitable but I'm intrigued by their battery tech.
Imo fed is being strong armed by administration... Powell likely knows more tightening is needed .
These young kids are so excited to use AI to write their papers and do their research for them but haven’t yet realized that the tradeoff will be their future employment.
What is the difference between this rate hike cycle and the previous ones? In the past, only a few hikes were able to slow down the economy and bring it down to a small recession, which allows things to reset back to normalcy. Why it was not happening this time? Why is money supply still growing despite of the QT? Was the government borrowing from tomorrow to subsidize today?
Jamie Dimon said he wants rate higher. Jamie Dimon is the ultimate authority when it comes to banks (Federal reserve - even though there is nothing Federal about it). So there is a good chance rate may go higher. As a saver, I welcome it.
I believe the disaster is baked into this cake 🎂 regardless what the fed decisions are
Apple results vid?
Yes!!
I have 3 friend and all 3 have their constitution business. All 3 are starting to struggle. One of them is a franchise owner Servpro. He said that even insurance companies he deals with don’t have that much work ( water/fire damages This is Long Island , New York
The default if within 12 months the inflation stay 2.75-3 %, then lower the interest rate 2-3 times depending on economy while waiting supply chains to catch up, hoping products and commodities lower prices. Scenario 2, if economy downward, then shorten and lower interest rate 3 times within 12 months.
Bring back the gold standard
Love your obsession with the fed Kevin!
& love it when you discuss what’s sus. Great video! Thanks!
Nothing the FED says has significantly impacted the stock market - so far. Lol. I treat Kevin's videos are hype and noise.
@@Cococokieful why would you waste your time with hype & noise?
@meetkevin I think you should do a piece on CVNA, I was going over their financial and saw the same, they would have had a loss if it wasn’t for the gain on Root, I work in the auto industry, and their GPU numbers seems very out of the ordinary, also noticed their inventory numbers seem to be low, maybe used some massive write downs last year and everyone from CVNA selling millions in shares
It’s 8:50 here
5-3-24
i can confirm, tech is getting tough
unlikely, DOES mean possible rate hikes !
The Doge TA looking juicy
There you go
They are afraid of their fictional sytem they created and control?
Thank You, See you tommorow morning and every morning ...salud ☕️
I’m sure the reason he is refusing to say rate hikes are on the table is the same reason he said inflation was transitory 3 years ago. It worked out really well then so I’m sure it will have a lasting effect now too.
Time to buy TMF??
Already overdone to new money but recovery will keep us going wanting more
USD/JPY is a MAJOR PROBLEM!
Traditional fear stocks, the consumer staples, utilities, and reits have been getting beat down ie SBUX, KDP, AMT, NEE (NEE is consolidating and recovering already, bolo (green recovery?)). Not fun or interesting but they'll pay cash so you can quickly move when it's time ride bonds for when the yield curve normalizes. After that pain when it flips is to move back into risk and foreign (starting to consolidate also but can always get cheaper. China 10 year is flat but BABA looking tasty). Concerning ai, find your favorite ceos, they'll implement it better no matter the sector.
There’s never been a soft landing. The effects of rate hikes are a lagging indicator. Even if the FED cuts today it’ll be too little too late. Recession Q4 2024
Why doesn't anyone talk about americans and non-americans employment data?
Is it just me reading too much into the data? Or are non-american jobs postponing a recession?
Finally starting to not sound delusional Kevin yes in tech we are getting pummeled
Housing and food will cause it all to crash again. Not to mention commercial real estate has been raising rents 3 fold. There’s no light at end of tunnel yet.
Always my man always.
They need it to break so they can refi the debt at lower interest rate
Kevin, you said the crash was going to start weeks ago.
No soft landing.
See you in the morning
Rate cuts are coming soon the writing is on the wall
In my industry they are actively working on AI to do drafting and engineering work. My years are limited but they keep telling us your job will still be here, its not like AI can utilize robotics to put together cabinets. Bruh we already there! The systems are already up and running. We are basically the last industry to adopt anything but AI has already taken many jobs in project management.
What’s your industry? Language learning models are pretty bad at math. What kind of engineering work can it do?
The Fed should have raised rates WAY before they did so things wouldn't have gotten so out of hand such as they did.
VT247
Raise that shit.. cut Federal spending
the FED forgot to add one job that Kevin created (George Costanza is now working for him as a butler)
I am Jack's medulla oblongata...
Based
The FED will not hit its 2% Target before something breaks does anybody want to bet me
Yeeeah they’re so afraid, of the Spx going below 5000🤣 what a bunch of clowns…
That quarter by Apple was t good at all. They’ve lost the ability to innovate so now they just do massive buybacks. Good for the short term but it’s looking like a value trap imo. A value trap that isn’t even cheap
Bipolar
LOL Tyler Durden !! That guy has NOTHING in common with financial knowledge.
10 year is GOING TO 6 my young brother!!!!!!
YCC coming
People will move into sweatshop AI generated movie studios😢
SUPPORT ENERGY ECONOMIES ❓
- Generate our Own Energy
- Store Energy in Batteries & EVs
- Use Stored Energy to Create/Trade
Energy Crypto Currency....
So maybe the FED isn't being as transparent? ;)
good point
Kurl technology
AI and global utilization will erode white collar jobs. In turn this may impact GDP while skills jobs will grow due to government spend and limited labor pools. This trend will require the usual steroid injection of a rate reduction. However, this wont happen until more sector specific jobs reduction confirmed - we should know by the end of May based on forward revenue forecasts finishing up for…
Why did you delete your UCLA protest video?
Carvana will make millionaires when it is time to short.
Bring back the UCLA video
Why was I unsubscribed?
POET Technologies
I have no problem with inflated white collar jobs disappearing, people that actually do the work should be ok, the folks telling the people who do the work what to do should worry, good, way too many chiefs
I wish it were that easy. There are many white collar jobs disappearing in middle management - which is a crucial part of the entire ecosystem. There are many let go who know how to lead a team that is junior and foster/mentor their development while having the wisdom to know when to change decision paths. On top of this, they also know how to speak to higher level execs levels to show value propositions. If this is gotten rid of, it basically becomes a hamburger with no middle, with the top being unaware and the bottom as well.
$Deck
$HD
Flip flop flip flop flip flop
Look at the stock market today. Look at after hours. How is Powell even suggesting no hikes? If we was aggressive, we would have cut rates by now.
cvna video plz!
Tyler Durden 0:48
In Tyler we trust
BTC>>
VOLKERRRRR !
Watch kevin if you hate making money.
Yes. Jerome Powell is scared shitless of the stock market crashing. Jerome is Arthur Burns 2.0
I hope you find this criticism constructive. I haven’t watched your past several videos because you keep painting every topic to be an urgent crisis in the title/thumbnail, surely to bait more clicks. I follow you for your ability to digest and simplify data, not for warnings of an apocalyptic end to mankind.
Well it now what do you think 3.9% 😂
The higher the national debt the higher #Gold & #Silver 🚀
Always a good idea to have some physical assets instead of just numbers on a computer screen.
Zerohedge? lol
Let's pretend for a second that you have two competing metrics... Views and subscribers. Let's pretend that every time somebody views a video you get paid and ultimately that's what you get remembered for... That is the amount of income views generate. Now the Fed has two directives: price stability and job. Ultimately every Fed Chief gets remembered for controlling prices as almost everyone has caused a recession... So no big deal if it's a hard landing again!
Debt issued by a debtor
Bitcoin finished
Haha your lost in space
I hear DEI agents make a lot of money.
Another Meet Kevin Apocalypse video. All "Seems like" and opinions trying to make a theory to me.
Go live we now have bad job market incoming...
Just Buy Bitcoin 📣📣
I have a chubby....
the democrats and students Hate big business and corporations..Now they are crying we can;t get a job
second comment
Yup, over do it. Because of Trump.
Bad orange man. Had to be his fault 😆
Your videos are now painful to watch they’ve grown into 15 minutes of Babaling and two minutes of information. Just saying.
Your comments are painful to read. Try spell check. Just saying.
#cancelmeetkevin
looks like they are getting dovish, not because of inflation expectations, but due to politics for the incumbent. @meetkevin