Every Trader needs to Understand Probabilities
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- Опубликовано: 2 окт 2024
- Excel Sheet for calculating your trade probability: arjo.io/tool/
Join the MMT 👉 arjo.io/
Contact:
Business/Mentorship Inquiries - info@arjo.io
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Twitter - / arjoio
About Me:
I'm a full-time daytrader using SMC (Smart Money Concepts) / ICT and my own concepts, sharing my knowledge and view on the financial markets
Disclaimer:
I am not an attorney, accountant or financial advisor, nor am I holding myself out to be, and the information contained in this video is not a substitute for financial advice from a professional who is aware of the facts and circumstances of your individual situation.
The only RUclips channel that i always wait for a new content. Bcos i want to learn more. After i watch and study all of videos base on his guidelines.😊💖
Love that, thank you ❤️
Absolutely right you said my friend ❤
that makes the two of us❤
@@eznahisaboke3087 three of us
Confirm. Great job.
Real teacher never disappoints his students. U r real.
I just KNOW am gonna be able to trade one day properly & be consistent bcuz of these teachings. I can feel it in my bones. I am committed to these videos & checking the live charts at the same time. Thank u Arjo. I'm a stay at home mom commited to this process. ❤from Canada
15:02 your are talking abour sharp turn....in it there is no fvg for upside movement in 15 min which you call manipulation leg....fvg is only in bearish movement....isnt that violation of sharp turn rule?
Great question and you’re completely correct, the fact that we don’t have an FVG in the same leg doesn’t violate the full ST though. It’s something we discuss in the MMT
It also has to do with probabilities
at this point you are just feeding us like baby bird... Really appreciate your work man, thank you
even after 3 master classes i can see enormous value in continuing to refine the process. always brilliant content
Thanks brother, when i watch your videos my knowledge growing.
Thank you Arjo for taking the time and teaching us for free, it is appreciated
Thank you sir, for sharing your experience, It helped me to correct and upgrade my knowledge.
Bro it seems so logic of course. At the end of all your videos, I feel motivated.😂 Then weekdays come and feel shit after taking bad trades. Thank you for the template.
Yes I love your video man. Still learning and trading. Thank you for teaching me how to filter out those bad day, 50/50 area, consilidation time. And focus on the high probability one. :D
Thank you so much. Love the last part ， risking on high probability or low probability. I always look at 1 hr to 5 min TF. Now I know more works needed.
haaaai, Arjo is a genius. thank you for the gift my Brother
THANKS ARJO
When will I understand you, I have watched 90% of your videos several times but ended up being more confused
Why
ARJO I just want to say thank you for taking time out your day to teacher us this valuable information for Free you have made me a better trader every single video you drop thank you !
Thank you for the video Arjo. I believe you should do more videos on entry. For example I can sometimes predict the market direction but I sometimes get the entry wrong before I get it right which reduces my profit since I'm aiming for 2:1 RR. If I can eliminate bad entries, I believe i will be profitable. Thanks
Waow, my mentor has drop another one. Thanks Mentor Arjo,you've helped me in alot of ways. Send my regards to Derek for always helping out too
God bless you so much and the team that makes this work❤❤❤❤❤
Great teaching. Can you cover targets? When to cover?
The first channel to make me fully understand FVG
I have learnt so much from Arjo, everytime I look at a chart I can see the things he has talked about, I am just so grateful for it, Thank you so much for everything!
That was great. Deepness and clarity of content 10/10 ❤
I can't help myself of the obsession I have for this channel
Hahaha love that
Awesome video that remove alot of confusion
Hey Arjo..can u make a video explaining the best way to enter, because sometimes price will hit a PD array, give an ST but would continue higher and take out previous high then finally drop
Same problem that i facing
Not every trade or PD array work. Have a SL to protect your account
I think it might be a good idea to create a video on how much confirmation you need
The ST is the minimum for a very High Probability PD Array, but often times you’re going to need more confirmation than that
I’ll work on it!
Please make a video on it. Let us clear how much or which confirmation do I need to place a trade. @@Arjoio
May I ask what ST stands for?
Thank you so much for the educative video and a free excel sheet♥
I have gotten a mentor in you. So much ❤ my dear
amazing video! How can we apply this to scalping 100 pips ? What should the highest timeframe be when scouting out the PD arrays/ arguments?
Question. Can a swing high be a bearish candle and a swing low and bullish candle stick?
Love U alot arjo sirrrr ❤ love from pakistan
GREAT TEACHER ARJO SIR❤
Nice job Arjo! Wich order do you sugest to watch your playlists?
You have a lot of knowledge. Unfortunately not all the films are clear to me, I have to watch them several times and still I do not understand and I look for explanations on other channels. I understood this film because you speak slower and support your explanations with graphics.
for 7:56 we are considering PCH being respected (Monthly timeframe) on a candle which is yet-to-close
for 11:11 we are yet again respecting PCH (Monthly timeframe) on a candle which has closed but not taking that into argument list
then how come the first scenario is included in the list, will it not be in still-not-clear stage ??
Thanks in advance
You know what @arjoio, you are simply the best man in this whole world man, you are just helping out the random people so that they can also earn some good money and get out of trap which were made by our government i.e to do job and pay taxes and simply die.
Infinite thanks and keep doing this good work, lots of LOVE Buddy!
❤
feeling so guilty watching this video bro, FOMC week. I was so focused on that 4HR BISI that I did not even notice 4HR SIBI for price to continue lower. Journaled and downloaded your sheet, hopefully this week will be a profitable one the same like this past week. I enjoy the content very simplistic compared to ICT but give credit where credit is due definately improved my understanding of FVG's.
Arjo, I’m quite struggling with the entry. Could you please explain it in a different way
I took a cola and a snack and I'm watching your video. I dream of being rich. This dream is thanks to your videos, my friend. Thank you very much for your efforts.
I miss you arjo
The master in the game. Thank you so much. I have improved drastically because of your teachings God bless you abundantly 🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉
17K have been watched . only 1.5k thumbs up??? Oh Come on Folks! This guy deserves a lot more than that !
Another fantastic video. Wow Arjo, your content is amazing. I recently found your content and I've learned so much from you. I love how DEFINE everything so clearly. No mess No fuss. So much life changing content. I truly appreciate all the videos and resources you're giving out for free. So very grateful. God bless 💫💫💫
Love to hear that :)
For Traders it's the matter of Respecting or Disrespecting not Being or not Being 😁
This might well be the only video one needs to trade ever.
Pure Gold ❤❤❤
Can’t wait your livestream on Sunday In Sha Allah
Man I love this channel
Unnecessarily you are making things critical and confusing...only you are creating content for more views and wanted to be a story teller....keep it up...
What?
My Mentor ❤ Depply Respect 🎉
Hey Arjo many time MY SL hit on LTF ST model then price goes higher in my direction how we can resolve this problem
We can actually use this video and see what the HTF conditions are
So a few points:
1. Is the HTF truly high probability?
2. Are you combining the timeframes correctly?
I'm first here
I found an edge watching your contents. I have improved drastically and I am starting to see consistency in my trading journey. I apprecite you Arjo. You always make trading easy and simple. Kuddos bruv!!!!
My mentor
Arjo in index and stocks in Indian market there are gap up and gap down ,what could We do in these cases?
My price action Teachnical analysis was improved since I study your mechanical strategies all of your videos. to be honest. thank you so much sir! highly appreciated.. keep on posting significant videos. from Philippines!!!
Where are you in the Philippines ? I’m in Cebu City.
Arjo, I truly have no words to express my gratitude for your invaluable teachings, but simply to say, THANK YOU🙏🙏❤
The sell entry on the 15 min time frame(EURUSD) was during Asian range. Does that mean I should just trade because it's a good setup irregardless of TIME?
Is every argument equally valued? So do you really just simply count them, or do you take one argument as more impactfull than another?
This is a really good question
Making them equally valued will do the job, as in it already filters out a lot of bad trades.
Now a step further/more advanced is using a point system. So the monthly gets the most points since it’s the strongest timeframe.
@@Arjoio Thank you so much for this fast response, this is actually what I intentionally thought, that the higher timeframe arguments should get more weight. I by myself thought about a 5x Monthly, 3x Weekly, 2x Daily and 1x 4h, but this is just what I was thinking about... Do you already have talked about this point system anywhere else or do you plan on doing so?
Hello sir can you tell me please how to see fvg argument body close in fvg and wick in fvg .
In the markets there is not such acthing as probability in future trades. You can only calculate probabilities for your trade history which has nothing to do with the future trades. This is not a card deck where you can calculate probabilities for your current hand ie. position.
Great video as always but I was wondering if more weight should be given to HTF PDAs ie a Monthly FVG being respected compared to a H4 FVG being respected?
@Arjo last week forecast you mentioned something on EURUSD about the second fvg on 4H being high probability to sell from than the first one, please can you expound more thank you❤
Hey Arjo, At minute 8:52, you mention about the counter argument of Daily down candles being "bullish". I am pretty sure you meant to say "bearish" FVGs and not bullish FVG since the FVG is created by 3 down candles.
Hey arjo thank you for making the easy way of being profitable! After 1 year everything is clicking in my brain after seeing your video's! Thanks man❤️
Love to hear that!
Just apply the ICT concepts to finish my The5ers prop challenge.
You teach so well that even a kid will understand, you are super good bro keep doing the good work. much love from here ❤❤❤
Great video 📹 ARJO SIR, how I become Funded trader sir? ❤❤
Thank you sir finally i understand now, and thank you for the email that you are invited me to join the MMT, I will ! as soon as I get myself situated , currently I’m living on a fishing boat and my internet using is limited, I will quit my job and getting back on land.
I moved on to a fishing vessel to get away from (COVID) LoL and now I’m ready to move back on lands and follow you to trade full time.
Great video as always Arjo. Just a quick question, is this applicable to a FLOW trading plan as well? And if so, do i need to take other things into account? Thanks for the reply!
ARJO FATHER OF TRADING ICT KINDLY KINDLY ITS A HUMBLE REQUEST MAKE A BRIEF VIDEO ON FRACTLE. WHEN U SPEAK THIS WORS I HAVE NO OPEN KNOWLEDGE OF THIS FRACTLE.
Thanks for all the great content bro...any trader thats seriously learning through your videos, has no excuse for failing in the markets...thanks
Gracias por todos.
Arjo...life gave me a strong tug to go back into my day job so that means no more NY session for me for a while. I'd like to ask how I could still trade outside of the NY session: Is the Asian Session still tradable (I've never tried it).
I missed watching your videos im getting some knowledge for real
VERY NICE SIR ARJO...! ITS YOUR TRADE MARK AS ALWYAS DETAILED INFORMATIVE LECTURE ABOUT MARKET STURCTURE,
RESPECT FROM PAKISTAN.
The white ball/light globe is spinning in cycles?? Or am I delusional 🤔 I'm been noticing this for a while now
do you recommed some literature, books etc. on this topic ? I mean technical analysis, candlesticks types etc.
❤love from india
FVG respect will look like a wick on a HTF and smaller time frame it will look like disrespected.
breaker is my way of trading which I used to pass my the5ers
Can't edit the exel sheet!
what setting you did on "trent line" tool to keep it perfectly horizontal even when you move your cursor up and down?
Very soon 500k bro i wish ❤
U r my fev teacher nd trader❤
why swift funding doesnt pocess payout for their traders ?
Sir if i want to start from the beginning which playlist should i start with?
At the end of the week, I usually walk around outside and prepare myself for the new week, but it seems that there is something more important than that now.
Let's study this episode 🏌❤
🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉Super sir
Hello, how can I sign up for a mentorship program?
Hey Arjo , really nice video ! I was wondering if I could help you with more Quality Editing in your videos , make a highly engaging Thumbnail and also help you with the overall youtube strategy and growth ! Pls let me know what do you think ?
I need a trading partner I can trade Arjo strategy with..we analyse together and take trades together
Can you add Turkish subtitles to your videos?
Professor! Thank you. 🙏
Yo arjo your jacket is kinda cool
Appreciate it
i subed to the website you provided but still didn't get the excel sheet
what do you think about volume trading
am i the only one that can't unzip the probability tool?
@arjo please how do master the use of the xcel attched sheet
I always waiting for your video
Thank you Arjo.
Your Crystal ball is actually rotating..😮😮
We're getting a Fortune in this weekly forecast..😂🎉🎉🎉
Love you Sir
Whatever I say ,I coudn,t Express my gratitude to you.
Thanks alot❤❤❤ 😊