@@juventinocasillas3023 The weak ineffectual attack of someone who doesn't actually have a serious flaw to grab onto. Keep pushing the meaningless BS, the voters who matter are totally unconvinced by your empty rhetoric.
100% agree. If the unthinkable does happen, some in the "progressive left" will be blaming her for not breaking with Biden on Israel, but as much as I empathize with Palestinians, I am not so sure breaking with Biden is a good idea electorally, on top of other possible national security concerns. Kamala is great, whatever happens is on us American people.
Yapdog, It will most definitely be her fault. She has turned our party into the Cheney Halliburton neocon Democrats. My husband and I voted for JillStein/ButchWare here in Pennsylvania 🇵🇸🙏🏿☮️🕊️🇵🇸
musk and trump are turning America into a parody of itself. Get rich~! The American dream~! If America elects trump again, they deserve him. The problem is that rest of the world doesn't. What happens in America will affect the whole world.
I didn't think it's close. I think pollsters have been humiliated the last couple elections by overvaluing one party or the other and have just thrown their hands up and are saying it's a tie and every poll is just copying off the others. Plus they and the media get more $$ by covering a statistical "tie". One party will win big but we don't know who it will be bc we're not getting accurate information and no pollster has the balls to predict a landslide. And honestly I'd rather polls just say it's a tie rather than the media saying who will confidently win weeks prior and influencing voter turnout.
I can't even listen to this, it just makes me nauseated to be told OVER and OVER and OVER again that this race is too close to call. I just can't wrap my brain around it and it is literally making me sick.
Kelly is absolutely infuriating..He comes out with how DT has all the markings of a fascist, but wont have a press conference? Won’t go on all networks and say it outright? F him!
Tired of hearing that VP Harris is not doing this or that well enough. Trump blathers profanity, vulgarity, lies, fascist fear mongering, but the focus is always on what she needs to do. Give it a rest. Or address the vestiges of racism and misogyny that will keep a still too large swath of voters from voting for Harris. Vote Blue UP and DOWN the ballot!
Think this is the most frustrating thing of this election cycle, everyone in the mainstream media just talks about stuff she isn’t doing and moves the ball constantly, I guess it’s in an attempt to be objective. I could promise you the right leaning networks aren’t bashing their own candidates
Will yeah Carville is the 3rd person to say she will win. ALLAN Litchman and another all she's gonna win.. Definitely Chose Allan over Nate. That shit is 40 years of experience and not been wrong..
Yeah, Nate Silver, Peter Thiel's boy. Given that Thiel is behind JD Vance and the push to get rid of Democracy in the US, is not someone who can be trusted.
Why are we spending all this time fretting about these people who see Kamala as a “radical liberal”???!! She is nowhere CLOSE to a radical liberal. Anybody who believes that isn’t persuadable.
Actually Silver is voting Harris and thinks Trump is unfit for office. He said his opinion is a hunch, and we shouldn't trust it. No one can say who will win with any certainty. The polls have an error margin of 3%. If the polls are spot on, Trump will squeak by on literally a couple of 1000 votes. If the polls are off by 1% consistently on either side, then it will be an emphatic win for either candidate. Any hunch is therefore based on feelings and for Nate Silver it could be that worry is winning out. Either way in his article he makes it clear how the polls just can't tell the two candidates appart and there is no way anyone can make a rational argument why either of the two will win. The only thing people can do is vote. Hopefully more will vote for the sane candidate (Harris).
Not everyone participates in polling, I never have. Harris will win thanks to newly registered women, independents, and fed up republicans in addition to the confirmed Democrats.
There are so many Republicans and former Republicans Donnie has pissed off it is absolutely no joke. They hate him as much as we do and they see through his tired and out of date Bullshit and shtick. His doing the same shit over and over and over again and people are just tired of it and him.
I def. feel faith being TESTED. BUT..I STILL keep the faith however slim, that there are more RATIONAL and PRINCIPLED Americans of ANY political persuasion that understand the shit show Trump is, was and will absolutely be again x100, and are disgusted, sick and tired of this 78 going on 8 year old loser's desperate need for attention, and to dominate EVERY fucking news cycle to fill his empty soul.
@@Lonewolfmike It goes to with what AB Stoddard is saying. I'm as freaked out as anybody, but for every 2x Trumper in my family who is looking forward to Trump's grand return, another one is telling me "I'm tired of this." Will they go to Kamala? I'm not sure. But Trump can't afford to have anyone switching, sitting this one out, or leaving the President field blank.
A Former State of California Attorney General, then a member of the Senate BEFORE being Elected as Vice-president v a spoiled little brat that inherited multiple millions and ran 6 Corporations including a Gambling Casino in Atlantic City NJ into Bankruptcy that's been found guilty by a jury of his peers of commiting 34 Felonies related to the 2016 Presidential Elections and Sexual Assault. Pick one.
@@PhD_Teacher_Ed I blame American people who think Trump's economy is better than Biden's economy, when in reality "Trump's economy" is Obama's economy before Trump screw it up, and "Biden's economy" is the economy that Trump screwed up and Biden had to recover from.
I've never believed that anyone should be disenfranchised for any reason...But I firmly believe that anyone who's still undecided this late in the campaign should never be allowed near a voting booth again for the rest of their useless lives.
She is showing grace class and strength. She can’t be the “angry black lady” and play the nasty game that trump does. I do wish she did not say the same answers to some question. If she does not win it says a lot about our country. I’m personally hoping our 1st woman President will be sworn in on MLK DAY 1/20/25.
As an independent conservative, I go by all of the republicans who are coming out and saying how bad a Trump presidency would be. By now, the republicans who are still voting for Trump, are always g to vote for Trump. I think most of the republicans who are going to vote for Harris, have already made their mind up, they will vote for Harris. The only ones that I think can be gained are the people who plan on not voting, or plan on voting 3rd party or write in. I myself am voting for Harris, not because of her policies, but because the republican party today, is everything I was against as a republican. I am voting against the new republican party, because it does in fact go against what the republican party once stood for.
He also admitted that it's just a gut feeling and that he wouldn't be surprised if there's a polling error that means one candidate has a decisive win. I am going with this take 💙💙💙💙
You know what made me feel better about it? I voted! It was more of a relief than I expected, but I guess the die is cast, and we just have to see where it lands now.
More women than men have voted ever since the 19th Amendment was ratified and went into effect on the 1920 Elections. Republican Politicians are just too stupid to realize that they have been committing political SUICIDE ever since those TRAITORS in the Supreme Court ignored the 9th Amendment and overturned Roe v Wade. "The enumeration in the Constitution of certain rights, SHALL NOT BE CONSTRUED to deny or disparage others retained by the people" That is EXACTLY what they did.
To be candid, Vice President Harris has demonstrated exceptional dedication and effort in her role. Her willingness to engage in unprecedented actions, such as appearing on Fox News, underscores her commitment to reaching a broader audience and connecting with diverse perspectives. If we fail to support her endeavors and ensure her success, we must hold ourselves accountable rather than attributing any shortcomings to her efforts.
I'm an Independent voter in GA in a very red county and just got my first ever knock on my door from Trump's team. Are their internal polls telling them something? Saturday I'll cast my vote with my college daughter.
Everybody needs to get out and vote!!!! Let’s gooooooooooooo! HARRIS/WALZ and surrogates have been getting out the message!!! We all need to do our part and take this momentum and turn it into action and VOTE!!! 💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙
Not when there are dozens of trash polls from Right wing operatives popping up out of no where EXACTLY LIKE THEY DID in 2016 and 2020....all showing a slight or notable lead for trump... #PollingisSHIT
Thanks Bill for speaking sense. AB is perpetually negative and i have learnt to ignore her debbie downer vibes. Early vote numbers looking good- the polls and Nate silver polymarket numbers is all noise at this point. Vote!
In 2016, Nate Silver said Hillary would win and then when Trump won, he basically said, “well, actually I said he had a 35% (or whatever the percentage was) chance of winning, so I wasn’t wrong.” He will play the same BS again.
Don’t discount the women without college. Many of my friends have needed the right to choose, and HAVING to work, with no safety net affects what choice you make. They also have DAUGHTERS.
The EXACT reason why Trump won the Electoral College in 2016. So many people believed that there was no possible way that Trump could win and "the polls proved it," that they didn't bother to vote. "Registered Voter Turnout in Federal Elections," 2016 was the lowest % in 20 years.
She talks constantly about wanting to be a president for all people and that she wants to work in a bipartisan manner. She talks about the importance of passing sensible and humane immigration policy. And she has concrete ideas about how to improve daily life for all families with an emphasis on health care and investing in our communities.
If your employer steals your tips and keeps them for himself (an actual policy Trump tried to implement in his first term), then of course, you won't be paying taxes on tips, because you won't have any tips.
Don't underestimate the appeal of Medicare covering home healthcare for seniors. I managed to convert a Trump leaning friend of mine based on that alone.
Simon Rosenberg and Tom Bonier are the ONLY two pollsters I will follow until Nov. 5. Keep listening to Silver and Kornacki if you need drama in your life. 😂
2016? "Registered Voter Turnout in Federal Elections" 2016 was the lowest % in 20 years because WAY to many people believed that there was absolutely no WAY that Trump could win, and "the polls" proved it.
There are enough people in this country that see what Trump stands for. It's not time to be discouraged, but more to get fueled on the goal of achieving our fight of freedom!! For what we all stand for!! We all have that responsibility to give our kids the future we pave!! VOTE 💙 VOTE 💙
And always take your young kids to polls with you or teach them the sanctity and importance of voting - be an example that they themselves will adhere to when the time comes! 👍 🌊🇺🇸💙
Don't overthink this. AB, Harris is glowing like a winner, Trump looks and acts like an old oxidated copper penny laying on a railway track after the train ran over it. We are all tense, but we gotta just look at them. Who is feeling the win?
There's no such thing as a radical liberal. A liberal is someone that allows people to have and be able to voice their own political and religious opinions and believe in a classless society. That's it.
I didn't think her answer was that strong either, but I have a lot of empathy for the position she's in. It's hard to always find the PERFECT hard-hitting response. (Easier for Trump because he just lies). She's sitting there next to Liz Cheney, who is supporting her. The worry about her being a radical leftist seems to be invalidated by that fact.
She needs to make two points...1) That she's not a radical liberal and 2) that he's a danger to our Constitutional Republic. She's made the 2nd point in different settings, but she needs to emphasize it.
Gotta add more than "Trump is horrible" - you have to show you're reasonable too. Add in, e.g., "we all care about border security" this is why I will sign the strongest ever bipartisan bill, because I care about actually solving our problems in a reasonable way, and working with people from all sides. I don't want to be a dictator and force bad solutions on regular people - that's the other guy...
I really think those transgender ads are going to backfire. People watching football on Sunday don't want to see any kind of political ads and I think any message in that context will turn them off.
Totally agree! Harris has to START with "country first" AND THEN say what some of those common solutions are TOO, e.g., we both care about border security and want to see the bipartisan bill signed to fix that problem, which by the way is the strongest, etc. We both want to see people having more affordable housing, etc.
I just wish Harris would speak a little definitive, less soft. More decisive. More like her debate. Say things and back them up with why. Talk about inflation is up but it’s up all over the world and coming down. Talk about how everything else it re it’s high. Be more confident about these things. Commit to using the increased taxes on the rich to help lift the low- middle!! Liz Cheney is a great example as a fantastic female speaker , relaxed, commuted, strong and that she believes what she is saying. Vote Harris, vote blue. 💙💙💙💙
I wonder if Nate Silver's patterns include all the republican early voting? How does he know they are voting for Trump? I thought the dedicated MAGA all believe that mail and early voting is evil, so why would they be early voting for Trump?
If a "undecided" voter thinks she's a radical, they aren't undecided.
Shes not a radical, shes an empty suit.
Or misinformed and trapped in the false bubble
@@juventinocasillas3023 The weak ineffectual attack of someone who doesn't actually have a serious flaw to grab onto. Keep pushing the meaningless BS, the voters who matter are totally unconvinced by your empty rhetoric.
Exactly!!!!
@@juventinocasillas3023 she's dementia free
I’m old (84) and this election has me feeling very anxious. We CANNOT allow trump back in Whitehouse‼️
Same here (58 yo) my nerves are jangling😳
If Kamala loses this election, it sure as hell won't be *_her_* fault! We have to help her out: *_VOTE! VOTE!! VOTE!!!_* 💙💙💙
💯
100% agree. If the unthinkable does happen, some in the "progressive left" will be blaming her for not breaking with Biden on Israel, but as much as I empathize with Palestinians, I am not so sure breaking with Biden is a good idea electorally, on top of other possible national security concerns. Kamala is great, whatever happens is on us American people.
Yapdog,
It will most definitely be her fault. She has turned our party into the Cheney Halliburton neocon Democrats. My husband and I voted for JillStein/ButchWare here in Pennsylvania 🇵🇸🙏🏿☮️🕊️🇵🇸
Where did all the Joy go?!
musk and trump are turning America into a parody of itself. Get rich~! The American dream~! If America elects trump again, they deserve him. The problem is that rest of the world doesn't. What happens in America will affect the whole world.
It’s TRULY UPSETTING that it’s even CLOSE .
I didn't think it's close. I think pollsters have been humiliated the last couple elections by overvaluing one party or the other and have just thrown their hands up and are saying it's a tie and every poll is just copying off the others. Plus they and the media get more $$ by covering a statistical "tie". One party will win big but we don't know who it will be bc we're not getting accurate information and no pollster has the balls to predict a landslide. And honestly I'd rather polls just say it's a tie rather than the media saying who will confidently win weeks prior and influencing voter turnout.
ditto ditto ditto
The most upsetting and disappointing part of this election, to be sure.
I can't even listen to this, it just makes me nauseated to be told OVER and OVER and OVER again that this race is too close to call. I just can't wrap my brain around it and it is literally making me sick.
Same. I’ve listened to a couple of these videos today of “it’s still very tight” and am immediately physically nauseous. Just….how.
Pro tip: _It's really not close at all..._ Come back on the 6th and see how this prognostication faired! ;)
Democrats are as much to blame as Republicans. We had time to get our shit together and we didn't. Result = Harris.
The polls are ARTIFICIALLY close.
Yeah it is sad to share a country with people who can vote for Trump at this point after 1/6/21.
I’M A SINGLE DOG LADY, AND I JUST VOTED, BLUE UP AND DOWN THE BALLOT! I COULDN’T BE HAPPIER! ❤️🤍💙🇺🇸
My Ballot Is In Too Yaaayyy!!!! Yippee!!!! We’ve Done Our Part To Help Save Our Democracy 🫵🏾🤎🇺🇸💙🗳️💙🇺🇸🤎🫵🏾
That explains it.
@@Jazzy3602 YES WE DID! ❤❤❤
Please take care of yourself, your dog needs you. Turn off social media and the news and spend the time volunteering to help her win.
Me too!
Kelly is absolutely infuriating..He comes out with how DT has all the markings of a fascist, but wont have a press conference? Won’t go on all networks and say it outright? F him!
Tired of hearing that VP Harris is not doing this or that well enough. Trump blathers profanity, vulgarity, lies, fascist fear mongering, but the focus is always on what she needs to do.
Give it a rest. Or address the vestiges of racism and misogyny that will keep a still too large swath of voters from voting for Harris.
Vote Blue UP and DOWN the ballot!
Amen! I am so over the media’s pass on Trump’s insanity, lies and gaslighting
Think this is the most frustrating thing of this election cycle, everyone in the mainstream media just talks about stuff she isn’t doing and moves the ball constantly, I guess it’s in an attempt to be objective. I could promise you the right leaning networks aren’t bashing their own candidates
How can this be so close America? I don't understand!
Please VOTE and get rid of him for good!
Love from New Zealand
Agreed!!! We need to vote!!
Thanks NZ✌🏼👍🏼Say a little prayer for us🙏🏼
Liz Cheney's New York Times interview was what changed my mother's mind.
Excellent!
Yea meanwhile pissing a lot of Dems off by touring with her
😮 WOW!!!
As a European and having lived in many countries I find it extraordinary that anybody would describe Kamala Harris as “radical”.
If she'd had that same career in Indiana, she wouldn't be. Tagging her as a CA liberal is low hanging fruit.
I'll take James Carville over Nate Silver every day and twice on Sundays. We still have work to do ... taking souls to the polls.
I’ll take Alan Lichtman over all of them
Will yeah Carville is the 3rd person to say she will win. ALLAN Litchman and another all she's gonna win..
Definitely Chose Allan over Nate. That shit is 40 years of experience and not been wrong..
Yeah, Nate Silver, Peter Thiel's boy. Given that Thiel is behind JD Vance and the push to get rid of Democracy in the US, is not someone who can be trusted.
And Michael Moore. He predicted Drumph would win in 2016, and now he's predicting a Harris victory.
Silver is a hack.
Why are we spending all this time fretting about these people who see Kamala as a “radical liberal”???!! She is nowhere CLOSE to a radical liberal. Anybody who believes that isn’t persuadable.
Yeah... there's crosstabs of the electorate she should focus on, and there's crosstabs of crosstabs she can probably not waste time on.
Nate Silver has become red pilled and weird over the past 4yrs. Pass on his opinion.
A poker player is always going to need money and care not where it comes from.
He also got fired from abc after they bought 538 so clearly he is has venamous towards the "liberal" media
how anyone actually bothers to listen to anything he says after hte shit show polling was in 2016 and 2020 is beyond me.
He’s being paid by Peter Thiel who owns JD
Actually Silver is voting Harris and thinks Trump is unfit for office. He said his opinion is a hunch, and we shouldn't trust it. No one can say who will win with any certainty. The polls have an error margin of 3%. If the polls are spot on, Trump will squeak by on literally a couple of 1000 votes. If the polls are off by 1% consistently on either side, then it will be an emphatic win for either candidate. Any hunch is therefore based on feelings and for Nate Silver it could be that worry is winning out. Either way in his article he makes it clear how the polls just can't tell the two candidates appart and there is no way anyone can make a rational argument why either of the two will win. The only thing people can do is vote. Hopefully more will vote for the sane candidate (Harris).
Are Harris voters more motivated?
HELL, YES!
Not everyone participates in polling, I never have. Harris will win thanks to newly registered women, independents, and fed up republicans in addition to the confirmed Democrats.
There are so many Republicans and former Republicans Donnie has pissed off it is absolutely no joke. They hate him as much as we do and they see through his tired and out of date Bullshit and shtick. His doing the same shit over and over and over again and people are just tired of it and him.
Let’s hope our youth gets out and finally start doing their part instead of depending on us to their future like we always have.
There are also people who are afraid to speak about voting against Trump so they stay silent. Their voices will be heard at the ballot box.
I def. feel faith being TESTED. BUT..I STILL keep the faith however slim, that there are more RATIONAL and PRINCIPLED Americans of ANY political persuasion that understand the shit show Trump is, was and will absolutely be again x100, and are disgusted, sick and tired of this 78 going on 8 year old loser's desperate need for attention, and to dominate EVERY fucking news cycle to fill his empty soul.
@@Lonewolfmike It goes to with what AB Stoddard is saying. I'm as freaked out as anybody, but for every 2x Trumper in my family who is looking forward to Trump's grand return, another one is telling me "I'm tired of this." Will they go to Kamala? I'm not sure. But Trump can't afford to have anyone switching, sitting this one out, or leaving the President field blank.
If you’re undecided at this point, then something is wrong with you!! The polls aren’t that close, this is 2022 all over again!
💙💙💙💙💙💙💙👍
Now is the time for Americans to come to the aid of their country and not their party to save our democracy!
HarrisWalz2024💙
Madame Vice President Kamala Harris is more professional than the loser, I want her to run our BEAUTIFUL COUNTRY 💙💙💙💙.
A Former State of California Attorney General, then a member of the Senate BEFORE being Elected as Vice-president v a spoiled little brat that inherited multiple millions and ran 6 Corporations including a Gambling Casino in Atlantic City NJ into Bankruptcy that's been found guilty by a jury of his peers of commiting 34 Felonies related to the 2016 Presidential Elections and Sexual Assault.
Pick one.
No matter what happens, she did the best anyone could have hoped for
I agree. 👍
Indeed she did. Let’s hope we don’t get the government we deserve.
If she loses, I place the blame on Biden not being realistic about a 2nd term.
@@PhD_Teacher_Ed FFS
@@PhD_Teacher_Ed I blame American people who think Trump's economy is better than Biden's economy, when in reality "Trump's economy" is Obama's economy before Trump screw it up, and "Biden's economy" is the economy that Trump screwed up and Biden had to recover from.
I've never believed that anyone should be disenfranchised for any reason...But I firmly believe that anyone who's still undecided this late in the campaign should never be allowed near a voting booth again for the rest of their useless lives.
Even Michael Moore was nervous in 2020 , this year he's more confident.
Just voted for Harris
🎉🎉🎉🎉 THANK YOU 👍🏻
Vote, donate ,volunteer blue 💙 for Harris and 💙
She is showing grace class and strength. She can’t be the “angry black lady” and play the nasty game that trump does. I do wish she did not say the same answers to some question. If she does not win it says a lot about our country. I’m personally hoping our 1st woman President will be sworn in on MLK DAY 1/20/25.
I believe that in this election America's salvation depends upon the turnout of WOMEN-- all ages, all races, all incomes.
💙 VOTE 100% BLUE, Y'ALL! 💙
Let's *all* *vote* to make HERSTORY! 💙🇺🇸✌🏼
❤
It’s on us now. We gotta give Kamala a blue Senate 💙 and a blue House 💙 so she can get stuff done! Let’s go.💙🇺🇸🇺🇸
And first order of business is to protect our vote!!!
She’s going to crush it!
I hope so!
As an independent conservative, I go by all of the republicans who are coming out and saying how bad a Trump presidency would be. By now, the republicans who are still voting for Trump, are always g to vote for Trump. I think most of the republicans who are going to vote for Harris, have already made their mind up, they will vote for Harris. The only ones that I think can be gained are the people who plan on not voting, or plan on voting 3rd party or write in. I myself am voting for Harris, not because of her policies, but because the republican party today, is everything I was against as a republican. I am voting against the new republican party, because it does in fact go against what the republican party once stood for.
Thank you! 👏🇺🇸💯
@@lauriemullay2960 you are welcome.
See Harris on the White House steps being sworn in. Madam President Kamala Harris.💙
Yes! Visualize success! The Law of Attraction for a better AMERICA!!!
Nate is a Peter Thiel shill
Why do you say that? I am not a fan, but where is this coming from?
@@caneguy8735 I heard this too recently, I think it was an article on Alternet.
@@caneguy8735it's a fact. He's left 538 and is actively being paid by Thiel, just like Vance. He's no longer an independent voice at the most mild
Kamala is doing great and I feel confident of her victory.
Thanks, Doug
Nate Silverbwas wrong in 2016, 2020, and 2022, I wouldn't put much stock in him.
He also admitted that it's just a gut feeling and that he wouldn't be surprised if there's a polling error that means one candidate has a decisive win. I am going with this take 💙💙💙💙
When we fight, we win!!! Keep the faith! 😊
You know what made me feel better about it? I voted! It was more of a relief than I expected, but I guess the die is cast, and we just have to see where it lands now.
Yes, I felt a bit calmer after voting as well. It's the feeling of being powerless that is so anxiety producing.
Yay!! Voting is your voice!!!
More women are voting so far.....I rather be KH.
More women than men have voted ever since the 19th Amendment was ratified and went into effect on the 1920 Elections.
Republican Politicians are just too stupid to realize that they have been committing political SUICIDE ever since those TRAITORS in the Supreme Court ignored the 9th Amendment and overturned Roe v Wade.
"The enumeration in the Constitution of certain rights, SHALL NOT BE CONSTRUED to deny or disparage others retained by the people"
That is EXACTLY what they did.
To be candid, Vice President Harris has demonstrated exceptional dedication and effort in her role. Her willingness to engage in unprecedented actions, such as appearing on Fox News, underscores her commitment to reaching a broader audience and connecting with diverse perspectives. If we fail to support her endeavors and ensure her success, we must hold ourselves accountable rather than attributing any shortcomings to her efforts.
Good point/s!! BRAVO!
Women and Independents will win this election for Kamala. The rest is all noise. 💙💙💙
I'm an Independent voter in GA in a very red county and just got my first ever knock on my door from Trump's team. Are their internal polls telling them something? Saturday I'll cast my vote with my college daughter.
I'm hoping you accidentally left out "...for Harris."
AB has been so hard to watch recently, she’s just such a downer with limited evidence for it.
@@anti404 agreed 100%, I only watch Tim
Stein, Caputo etc are hard to watch
Voting against trumpers tomorrow in Florida. Crossover GOP voter.
Yayyyyyyyyyyyyy 🎉🎉👏👏👏
May the Force be with you.
Thank you!!🇺🇲🇺🇲🇺🇲🇺🇲🇺🇲
🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉 THANK YOU 🥲
I am feeling cautiously optimistic 💙
Nate Silver works for Peter Thiel. Why should we take him seriously anymore?
I'm so glad Joe Trippi, Rick Wilson, Stuart Stevens, and Matthew Dowd are doing commentary on RUclips.
Everybody needs to get out and vote!!!! Let’s gooooooooooooo! HARRIS/WALZ and surrogates have been getting out the message!!! We all need to do our part and take this momentum and turn it into action and VOTE!!! 💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙
Yea I’m not buying the polls
Not when there are dozens of trash polls from Right wing operatives popping up out of no where EXACTLY LIKE THEY DID in 2016 and 2020....all showing a slight or notable lead for trump... #PollingisSHIT
Yeah, show me all the Democrats switching parties this election?
You never ever should..People will find out 5th November actually more like 6/7th November.
Lots of anxiety and tight scrotums😅
Providing medical care, including gender-affirming care, for inmates is the law, and was followed under the Trump administration, as well.
Thanks Bill for speaking sense. AB is perpetually negative and i have learnt to ignore her debbie downer vibes. Early vote numbers looking good- the polls and Nate silver polymarket numbers is all noise at this point. Vote!
I didn't vote in 2020 but i already have this time trump needs to disappear or go to jail your polls don't mean shit
In 2016, Nate Silver said Hillary would win and then when Trump won, he basically said, “well, actually I said he had a 35% (or whatever the percentage was) chance of winning, so I wasn’t wrong.” He will play the same BS again.
Seems like he's treading a thin line, worried about pissing someone off.
Here's hoping that Carville is right.
Msg for MAGA - Divided America can never be great.
Lindsey Graham actually said that if they nominated Trump, he would rip their party apart, he was right.
Great point! If only that understood that...
Don’t discount the women without college. Many of my friends have needed the right to choose, and HAVING to work, with no safety net affects what choice you make. They also have DAUGHTERS.
Polls aren't votes
The EXACT reason why Trump won the Electoral College in 2016.
So many people believed that there was no possible way that Trump could win and "the polls proved it," that they didn't bother to vote.
"Registered Voter Turnout in Federal Elections," 2016 was the lowest % in 20 years.
Silver is a con artist. There's a reason 538 canned him.
She talks constantly about wanting to be a president for all people and that she wants to work in a bipartisan manner. She talks about the importance of passing sensible and humane immigration policy. And she has concrete ideas about how to improve daily life for all families with an emphasis on health care and investing in our communities.
If your employer steals your tips and keeps them for himself (an actual policy Trump tried to implement in his first term), then of course, you won't be paying taxes on tips, because you won't have any tips.
Where is George Bush?? Where is his courage and sense of responsibility to his nation?
How is Trump speaking to anyone? Everything he says is demented nonsense.
Bill Kristol is a voice of reason and a pillar of wisdom in a tossing sea of pundit noise. Thank you!
Don't underestimate the appeal of Medicare covering home healthcare for seniors. I managed to convert a Trump leaning friend of mine based on that alone.
Well done!
Simon Rosenberg and Tom Bonier are the ONLY two pollsters I will follow until Nov. 5. Keep listening to Silver and Kornacki if you need drama in your life. 😂
I have turned off MSNBC more lately. They are fueling the angst. Trust in women.
Exactly 💯
Turnout is going to be really important
Voter turnout is the metric that matters most. Since 2016 turnout has increased. That spells Democrats winning.
2016?
"Registered Voter Turnout in Federal Elections"
2016 was the lowest % in 20 years because WAY to many people believed that there was absolutely no WAY that Trump could win, and "the polls" proved it.
There are enough people in this country that see what Trump stands for. It's not time to be discouraged, but more to get fueled on the goal of achieving our fight of freedom!! For what we all stand for!! We all have that responsibility to give our kids the future we pave!! VOTE 💙 VOTE 💙
And always take your young kids to polls with you or teach them the sanctity and importance of voting - be an example that they themselves will adhere to when the time comes! 👍
🌊🇺🇸💙
How in the world is this race even remotely close ??? smh
Love the AB and Bill episodes.
Vote EARLY‼️💙💙💙💙
Already did, though of course Massachusetts will overwhelmingly vote Blue 💙
Trump's campaign is all about what he’ll do TO people. Harris’s is all about what she’ll do FOR people.
The fact that it’s a close race is absolutely absurd!!!!
How can any reasonable person be undecided ?
Frankly these are about the last two people I want to listen to right now.
Don't overthink this. AB, Harris is glowing like a winner, Trump looks and acts like an old oxidated copper penny laying on a railway track after the train ran over it. We are all tense, but we gotta just look at them. Who is feeling the win?
@@TerriKash-NEO That is a description that sticks in the mind! 😅
Nate Silver hasn't been correct recently. So...
Liz Cheney Secretary of Defense
Her and her father have been hated because of their love of war. Harris is insane to attach herself to the Cheaneys.
I want Adam Kinsinger actually. Pete Buttegieg for Secretary of State, and Liz for Secretary of the Interior.
There's no such thing as a radical liberal. A liberal is someone that allows people to have and be able to voice their own political and religious opinions and believe in a classless society. That's it.
People can't remember what happened last week. Late isn't necessarily a bad thing.
F Nate Silver. Honestly. We are not going to let Trump win this election.
MAaaaaannnnnnn if anyone is still even considering trump, they are already too far gone. we about to show our hands. all of us
I didn't think her answer was that strong either, but I have a lot of empathy for the position she's in. It's hard to always find the PERFECT hard-hitting response. (Easier for Trump because he just lies). She's sitting there next to Liz Cheney, who is supporting her. The worry about her being a radical leftist seems to be invalidated by that fact.
We got this. I voted BLUE across the board. Been visualizing Harris in the WH everyday!
Yesssssssss!!!👏👏👏👏
We need to stay FOCUS and keep voting for Harris and Walz 💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙 I believe we can turn the page
💙💙
She needs to make two points...1) That she's not a radical liberal and 2) that he's a danger to our Constitutional Republic.
She's made the 2nd point in different settings, but she needs to emphasize it.
The USA is now so right wing that feeding children in school for free is now radical liberalism.
Gotta add more than "Trump is horrible" - you have to show you're reasonable too. Add in, e.g., "we all care about border security" this is why I will sign the strongest ever bipartisan bill, because I care about actually solving our problems in a reasonable way, and working with people from all sides. I don't want to be a dictator and force bad solutions on regular people - that's the other guy...
Nate Silver should just be ignored . He became known in 2008 by being correct about Obama, and has been wrong since .
I really think those transgender ads are going to backfire. People watching football on Sunday don't want to see any kind of political ads and I think any message in that context will turn them off.
I’m hopeful
Did AB ever have to answer for having preceding doubts about Harris’s performance on Fox News?
Totally agree! Harris has to START with "country first" AND THEN say what some of those common solutions are TOO, e.g., we both care about border security and want to see the bipartisan bill signed to fix that problem, which by the way is the strongest, etc. We both want to see people having more affordable housing, etc.
My gut tells me she'll win.
Thanks, @TheBulwark for your views of the state of the race. I appreciate hearing what's really happening and not being given sugar-coated news.
A.B. I'm completely with you-- might be deluding myself, but I feel like Dobbs and Jan 6 are VERY motivating to those who care about those issues.
Why isn't she talking about her support for raising the minimum wage? It would appeal to the undecideds.
I just wish Harris would speak a little definitive, less soft. More decisive. More like her debate. Say things and back them up with why. Talk about inflation is up but it’s up all over the world and coming down. Talk about how everything else it re it’s high. Be more confident about these things. Commit to using the increased taxes on the rich to help lift the low- middle!! Liz Cheney is a great example as a fantastic female speaker , relaxed, commuted, strong and that she believes what she is saying. Vote Harris, vote blue. 💙💙💙💙
We need to do more to show Vances egregious positions. I think trump voters are rationalizing that they are actually voting for Vance not Trump.
How is anyone undecided at this point?
I wonder if Nate Silver's patterns include all the republican early voting? How does he know they are voting for Trump? I thought the dedicated MAGA all believe that mail and early voting is evil, so why would they be early voting for Trump?
Exactly. So many registered Republicans would be voting for Harris. Getting out early as pseudo Democrat voters
Nate Silver is wrong this time!