The Porsche-Volkswagen Valuation Anomaly

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  • Опубликовано: 29 сен 2024

Комментарии • 135

  • @azizkash286
    @azizkash286 Год назад +60

    Yay no masterscam sponsorship

  • @PipoBones
    @PipoBones Год назад +228

    Thanks for getting rid of masterscams

    • @ricksmith2127
      @ricksmith2127 Год назад +57

      I can’t wait for his video on the collapse of Masterworks

    • @matthiasbowie3844
      @matthiasbowie3844 Год назад +13

      Bro there was a dragons den where they were pitched master works and they all laughed it off as a scam. That was years before and yet somehow someone did it anyways

    • @idontactuallykno
      @idontactuallykno Год назад

      We said this before but they brought it back

    • @leksa3459
      @leksa3459 Год назад +16

      As soon as one of these content creators especially in the finance niche do their masterworks pitch they lose all credibility in my eyes. No self respecting person could pitch that with premise that the people they are pitching it to will profit from investing with them. When you look in to it properly you get peanuts when they do liquidate a painting and masterworks makes the lions share..

    • @CHMichael
      @CHMichael Год назад +1

      Not coffeezilla but similar already did a video in them.
      It's fees and commissions that will eat up any profits.
      .... otherwise it's not that horrible of an idea if properly disclosed.

  • @Henry_D
    @Henry_D Год назад +5

    Pretty sure the Holding owns 25% +1 Stock of the AG also giving them blocking power

  • @Theguyinthefez
    @Theguyinthefez 9 месяцев назад +2

    Those guys at 12:54 desperately need to be donated pants that actually fit them.

  • @bicotmary7176
    @bicotmary7176 Год назад +13

    Thanks for making the video.😀
    I read Porsche AG's IPO prospectus. After a long period head scratching, I couldn't make up my mind about the convoluted ownership between Porsche SE, VW AG, Porsche AG, and Porsche GmbH. (The last one is essentially an LLC wholely owned by VW AG for the purpose of holding shares in Porsche AG.) That's before we get to common (voting) vs preferred (non-voting) share classes. The only thing I can think of is that Porsche and Piech families must be a control freak. Which is probably true.
    While I agree with your analysis that VW AG and Porsche SE shares are undervalued, I take issues with the control or rather the lack thereof. How else could dieselgate came about? There are many recent examples of how egomaniac majority-vote-owning shareholders wrecked the company by refusing to listen to anyone else.
    I hope VW will engage in genuine reform after dieselgate. After a period of cover-ups, there are signs that's happening. They just have the first ever female on board. Think about that.

    • @jhutt8002
      @jhutt8002 Год назад +4

      Truth to be told, dieselgate was only really an issue for ecofools crying about emissions. And sadly those are the people EU bows to.
      Being able to not choke the engine with regulation means better durability, economy and performance. It's good for car buyers just like it's good for manufacturer. It's a win/win situation.
      If I had bought one of those cars, I would never have allowed them to "fix" it.

    • @georgebalan6201
      @georgebalan6201 Год назад

      @@jhutt8002 They’re not eco fools. The environment is a real issue, and there’s no evidence of your BS increased durability claims. When the planet is underwater thanks to people like you, I can guarantee you that those “increased durability” engines won’t be working since they’re under water. If you’re 80 and don’t care about the future of the planet then that’s fine; a shallow grave is waiting

    • @weird-guy
      @weird-guy Год назад +1

      So you defend lying to consumers and regulators, also dieselgate was/is very expensive for them, that they are making cheap feeling car, they don’t even crack top ten in my country.

    • @jhutt8002
      @jhutt8002 Год назад +2

      @@weird-guy When the regulation is making the product worse, and bypassing it makes the resulting product better for the consumer?
      Yes, I appreciate that.
      Sure it was bad for their business, but it also shows their dedication to the craft. They took a risk in behalf of their clients in this case, and they got burned. That was the only negative aspect of it. That they got caught.
      I wonder how many people in EU are currently driving vehicles they've illegally modified, because the overzealous regulatory systems have started to cause problems in their almost new vehicles.
      My -96 Audi has none of those troubles. Now has 630 000 in meter and counting.

    • @weird-guy
      @weird-guy Год назад

      @@jhutt8002 Dedication to the craft , more like dedication to the money.
      Probably a bunch of people need the car to go from a to b , so most probably keep the cars, I don’t think they give the full value of the car in exchange but I’m not share.

  • @off1tenth438
    @off1tenth438 Год назад +2

    Wall street millennial- The Collapse of MasterWorks

  • @ominollo
    @ominollo Год назад

    Very interesting! Thanks!

  • @sourcecode5273
    @sourcecode5273 Год назад

    i enjoy these videos.

  • @ivanbakhvalov4731
    @ivanbakhvalov4731 Год назад

    Aussie guys never seen those European Audi’s, Seats and Porsches

  • @felixrotbuche5852
    @felixrotbuche5852 Год назад

    What about the 7bn debt on their balance sheet that magically appeared last year?

    • @niemandkeinmensch
      @niemandkeinmensch Год назад

      7bn debt are due to the takeover of 25% of Porsche AG, there's nothing magical about that. Buying shares costs money.

    • @felixrotbuche5852
      @felixrotbuche5852 Год назад

      @@niemandkeinmensch Nvm, you’re right

  • @davec8921
    @davec8921 Год назад +3

    It's not the same as getting a free iPad with your phone, you can't just throw away the other parts, and they could also become liabilities potentially
    Nobody remembers DieselGate, not even the governments, Canada just gave them CAD$14b to build a battery plant

  • @isbestlizard
    @isbestlizard Год назад

    Seat! lol

  • @Name-lt2tz
    @Name-lt2tz Год назад

    it is annoying to hear this is not finantial advice. We want a finantial advice and even if it is not advice, we do not care then and we are able to see ourselves when it is advice or not.

  • @dracorex426
    @dracorex426 Год назад

    Porsche has two syllables.

  • @hermannabt8361
    @hermannabt8361 Год назад +77

    You didn’t mention how the 20% government share is a controlling share. By law the government can block all decisions with their 20% share.

    • @denisflorian2431
      @denisflorian2431 Год назад +14

      He probably didnt know lol since its kind of a uniquely german thing

    • @RadekPogoda
      @RadekPogoda Год назад +14

      It's more small mistakes in this material, but this omission is critical. Please, people, do more homework before you invest based on a 20 minute video.

    • @dasemifake
      @dasemifake Год назад +2

      American comment

    • @Pqndchannel
      @Pqndchannel 8 месяцев назад +4

      Porsche se owns 31.4 percent of the shares and 53.3 percent of the votes and the state of lower Saxony owns 11.8 percent of the shares and 20 percent of the votes as of 2021. So your comment is bogus and the Porsche family maintains tight control over the company.

    • @ProfAzimov
      @ProfAzimov 5 месяцев назад +1

      ​@@Pqndchannel The government of lower saxony can block transactions that require supermajorities

  • @Entertainment-
    @Entertainment- Год назад +18

    0:25 Seat is pronounced differently that the English word "seat", they also own its performance brand Cupra

  • @Cincy32
    @Cincy32 Год назад +15

    Seat = Say-at. Porsche pronounces the e at the end.

    • @chichangwu
      @chichangwu Год назад +2

      hyundai tukson😅

    • @SebtorDude
      @SebtorDude Год назад

      Still not correct for English speaking pronounciation. The correct way to pronounce it is "Porsch-uh".

    • @massafelipe8063
      @massafelipe8063 Год назад +1

      It's a surname, it should be pronounced authentically if possible, otherwise we can all butcher each others names and last names the way letters are spoken in our native languages.

  • @cosmo1084
    @cosmo1084 Год назад +19

    thank you for these very informative videos. i dont care about sponsorship drama, just hope you make more.

  • @Noah_E
    @Noah_E 7 месяцев назад +1

    I know plenty of people who have bought a VW, once. They have consistently been maintenance heavy trash that were replaced with Japanese or Korean brands that didn't fall apart and cost a fortune to keep running due to exorbitant parts costs and anti-indepent garage practices.

  • @krmr
    @krmr Год назад +4

    You might want to consider using a de-esser plugin to control sibilance and get rid of those sharp artifacts in your audio.

  • @BlackJesus8463
    @BlackJesus8463 Год назад +4

    It amazxes me that a man who made $12 billion could lose it all in one trade.

  • @dilancapt2691
    @dilancapt2691 6 месяцев назад +1

    5:33 , why did you say adui? You using an AI voice?

  • @bravosierra2447
    @bravosierra2447 Год назад +5

    15:05 very insightful contrast between tencent, alibaba, softbank and porsche. Keep up the good work.

  • @davidmasaka6547
    @davidmasaka6547 Год назад +4

    Great video are always but Adoowi? 5:33

  • @qudizzle1
    @qudizzle1 Год назад +3

    ur not right about Naspers, the valuations has closed to some degree, though not fully yet, Naspers is selling Tencent to buy back Naspers shares

  • @Emi-du8mt
    @Emi-du8mt Год назад +1

    Adui? What is adui? Is this some guy reading a script? 😀

  • @joedennehy386
    @joedennehy386 Год назад +1

    Its at a discount becsuse you are riding on their bus

  • @touchofgrey5372
    @touchofgrey5372 Год назад +2

    Yo; it's PORSCHEEEEEEE .......NOT PORSCH!

  • @ArthurMoore-ii8nn
    @ArthurMoore-ii8nn 6 месяцев назад

    And there's like 5 different ticker symbols for just Volkswagen. What a hot mess!

  • @haplomage
    @haplomage Год назад +2

    I've actually held this for a while. I'm down on the position so it's just sitting in the filing cabinet

  • @pieroft
    @pieroft 6 месяцев назад

    having dificulty understanding and finding the ticket symbols. care to explain?

  • @jorgemiguelsantosrodrigues8473
    @jorgemiguelsantosrodrigues8473 7 месяцев назад +1

    Excellent video with a comprehensive explanation. Good work!

  • @MrVirus9898
    @MrVirus9898 Год назад +2

    Unfortunately, Robinhood wont let me Yolo Porsche SE, so ima have to pass on this one.

  • @reggieduquesnoy
    @reggieduquesnoy Год назад

    Beware of nazis bearing gifts...undervaluation does not make frei...

  • @Prositon1
    @Prositon1 Год назад +4

    I think bugatti is owned by rimac isn’t it

    • @stavas05
      @stavas05 Год назад +4

      Yes but vw owns a large part of rimac

    • @Prositon1
      @Prositon1 Год назад

      @@stavas05 true… but listing Bugatti and not rimac then doesn’t make sense to me. But I might be nitpicking

  • @macharlem
    @macharlem Год назад +1

    I think 🤔 telling investors not to short VW is good financial advice, even if it’s not financial advise 🤫

  • @dimagass7801
    @dimagass7801 Год назад +1

    Lamborghini also owns Ducati too

  • @samsonsoturian6013
    @samsonsoturian6013 Год назад +2

    3:20 You mean BYZANTINE ownership structure. Archane means super old.

    • @Shreendg
      @Shreendg Год назад +6

      Arcane means mysterious. Not old.

    • @discobacon5160
      @discobacon5160 Год назад +2

      Archaic = super old/outdated

    • @samsonsoturian6013
      @samsonsoturian6013 Год назад +1

      @@Shreendg Both. Arcane is from Archaic, referring to the bronze age of Greece which was a mysterious period to the Romans. See Acheaen.

  • @nicholasdean3467
    @nicholasdean3467 Год назад +1

    So basically VW is a classic example of a valuation trap?

  • @86_osuzu45
    @86_osuzu45 Год назад +1

    Mispronounced seat

  • @ForcefighterX2
    @ForcefighterX2 Год назад

    The value of a stock does not follow the implicit gains of a corporation. Just look at Black Rock, Vanguard and State Street. In theory, buying a few of these three stocks pretty much bought you the entire Wall Street. But in truth, those stock values will not change much, even if other corporations they own gain or lose value.

  • @TheRealJellyBomb
    @TheRealJellyBomb Год назад

    Valuations aren't cheap or expensive, they're high or low.

  • @davidbeppler3032
    @davidbeppler3032 Год назад +1

    If you want to throw money away you invest in one of these stocks. VW is going bankrupt, Porsche will go down with it.

    • @jhutt8002
      @jhutt8002 Год назад

      Why? How?

    • @TheYaq
      @TheYaq Год назад

      hahahahaha

    • @davidbeppler3032
      @davidbeppler3032 Год назад

      @@TheYaq Yep, pretty funny. Watching a giant fall.

    • @TheYaq
      @TheYaq Год назад

      @@davidbeppler3032 ok when you say it its 100% true i guess ….

    • @davidbeppler3032
      @davidbeppler3032 Год назад

      @@TheYaq You said it was 100%? I figured about 90, but I like your number better.

  • @Arun14741
    @Arun14741 Год назад

    Holding company always have low valuation ...

  • @peterrabson3383
    @peterrabson3383 Год назад

    Say the name correctly, Porsche with a ER onthe end!

  • @Tential1
    @Tential1 Год назад +1

    Rope took too long. Used train

    • @ClimateKiller
      @ClimateKiller Год назад

      His creditworthiness was too low for a $rope loan, so he used public transportation instead without buying a ticket.

  • @truth.speaker
    @truth.speaker Год назад

    Which company is the correct one to buy?

  • @djayjp
    @djayjp Год назад

    12:49 Those pants look extremely uncomfortable 😂

  • @wellwonky
    @wellwonky Год назад

    You forgot them owning Ducati !!

  • @VamboraSingapore
    @VamboraSingapore Год назад

    Pawshuh. Dang Yankees hehe

  • @misapisa519
    @misapisa519 11 месяцев назад

    the way you said audi at 5:33

  • @helvetiaresearch9973
    @helvetiaresearch9973 Год назад

    It is pronounced Porsch e

  • @tfv205
    @tfv205 Год назад

    Adui 😂😂

  • @jjww8949
    @jjww8949 Год назад

    Here for the Masterclass comments

  • @sierraalphaalphabravo934
    @sierraalphaalphabravo934 Год назад +1

    Other than mispronouncing “Porsche” every time you said it… interesting video

    • @dontcallmezoo
      @dontcallmezoo Год назад +1

      After hearing the pronunciation of Audi, I am seriously wondering if the voice is real or a program.

    • @wyw876
      @wyw876 Год назад

      @@dontcallmezoo I almost spat out my coffee at the "ah-woooody"!

    • @IIDave
      @IIDave Год назад +1

      That is how the brand name is said in British English, US tend to pronounce the final vowel, close to how it is correctly said in German.
      Saying Porsch wasn't offensive to me, but Seet and Ah-doo-wee definitely need some work. 😂

  • @MrEnkelmagnus
    @MrEnkelmagnus Год назад

    I have a headache now....

  • @mok822
    @mok822 Год назад

    but dividends from germany pay tax in germany and in your country, so more than 50% is taxes

    • @JanBruunAndersen
      @JanBruunAndersen Год назад

      Only if you let your local government tax you. In most civilized countries, if you can show the local tax authorities that you have already paid tax on the income in another country, they will refund you so that your total tax equals the local tax.
      Or you could do what I and many other do: Invest in non-local dividend stocks through an intermediary, like a pension fund. It is then the task of the intermediary to handle the refund process. Only downside is that it can take up to a year for the refund to come through, but if you are a long-term investor, a year is not long.

    • @mok822
      @mok822 Год назад +1

      @@JanBruunAndersen as European investor that works for US stocks, I dont pay double tax, but doesnt work for European stocks.
      Which is stupid

  • @rightwingsafetysquad9872
    @rightwingsafetysquad9872 Год назад +2

    So there's a bit of a misunderstanding of what Porsche AG is. It is not technically a car manufacturer, it is an automotive engineering consulting company that reserves the right to build all designs under it's own brand if the client backs out. They've built cars for Mercedes, VW, Audi, Toyota, and probably a lot more. And until the Byzantine co-ownership structure with VW evolved, the only long running model in their lineup was the 911. Obviously, since this Porsche/VW relationship has become very tight, they've effectively become a car manufacturer.
    Also, it was incredibly painful to hear one of the top 3 names in motoring mispronounced so many times.

  • @orenalbertmeisel3127
    @orenalbertmeisel3127 Год назад +7

    Goes to show how nonsense the efficient market hypothesis is

    • @samsonsoturian6013
      @samsonsoturian6013 Год назад

      The markets sure as hell are more efficient than YOU.

    • @orenalbertmeisel3127
      @orenalbertmeisel3127 Год назад +4

      @@samsonsoturian6013 ad hominem

    • @samsonsoturian6013
      @samsonsoturian6013 Год назад

      @@orenalbertmeisel3127 It's no insult, it's true for everyone. Get over it.

    • @orenalbertmeisel3127
      @orenalbertmeisel3127 Год назад +3

      @@samsonsoturian6013 argumentum ad populum

    • @samsonsoturian6013
      @samsonsoturian6013 Год назад +1

      @@orenalbertmeisel3127 You keep throwing out Latin to sound smart even though what you're saying makes no sense.
      Also, how much have you lost trading so far?

  • @c0nconc0n18
    @c0nconc0n18 Год назад

    You don't have to deduct 26% KapEStG - see Sec. 8(b) KStG. 1.5% WH tax only for I/C dividends.
    But that just makes your point stronger.

  • @zybon777
    @zybon777 2 месяца назад

    Oops, well I guess you fucked up

  • @amochswohntet99
    @amochswohntet99 5 месяцев назад

    Looks a lot like jewish math to me.

  • @qwaszxerdfcvtyghvb
    @qwaszxerdfcvtyghvb Год назад +1

    thank you very much, such a great analysis in really short time, but i would advice you to make separate videos for those like me who would like to understand deeply and get more knowledge of yours.
    I'm your faithful subscriber and will always be.
    great job great content great content creator

  • @maxbeancounter
    @maxbeancounter Год назад +1

    Glad to see no more masterscams sponsorship

  • @ClimateKiller
    @ClimateKiller Год назад +7

    took a look at volkswagen before and always hated those cross ownership structures. 2x porsche and 1x vw companies involved and everybody owns each other with old money families and the government involved for good measure. thanks for the analysis of porsche SE, that looks quite interesting indeed.
    However, i don't quite understand the math on the current dividend yet:
    So VW AG will pay out 7,56€ this year and costs 124€ per share currently, which comes out to a 6% dividend yield.
    Porsche SE has a discount of about 20% vis a vis VW AG, pays out 90% of their received dividend and costs 50€ per share.
    as such i would expect a dividend of roughly (50/124 * 7,56) * 1,25 * 0,9 = 3,42€ per Porsche SE share, for a dividend yield of about 7% before taxes.
    However, Porsche SE only plans on paying out 2,56€ of dividend, which is about 5% yield, lower than VW AG's.
    Where is that difference coming from? Did i fuck up the math?

    • @juresusnik4392
      @juresusnik4392 Год назад +3

      As far as i know the Porsche SE pays the dividend that it recived from VW a year ago. In the future they wont pay 90% of VW dividend, because now they also have to pay of debt that they incured when they purchased a 12,5% stake in Porsche AG

  • @darkjudge8786
    @darkjudge8786 Год назад

    Ever consider the low valuation is because deep down everyone knows electric vehicles are a stupid idea relying on state subsidies that will end in tears when the money runs out?

    • @ProfAzimov
      @ProfAzimov Год назад +4

      I am pretty sure volkswagen isn't an electric car company