Top 7 Kentucky Derby Contenders of 2021

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  • Опубликовано: 9 янв 2025

Комментарии • 111

  • @deanosborne6854
    @deanosborne6854 3 года назад +6

    Pedigree has some to do with the distance but a lot is the training

    • @marilynguinnane4663
      @marilynguinnane4663 3 года назад +4

      Dean Osborne -- AND the jockey !

    • @Weekendhandicapper
      @Weekendhandicapper  3 года назад

      Yes it does.

    • @agustindejesus7398
      @agustindejesus7398 3 года назад +1

      @@marilynguinnane4663.....Marilyn, I always hear people talk about the jockey, but I don't think so. The jockey is lucky he won, otherwise the so called best jockeys will win all the time. They are called best jockeys cause they always or most of the times ride the favorites to win, and they make a name for themselves. Look at the previous best jockeys like Bejarano, Castellano and others....they don't dance anymore. Expensive horses, good blood lines and the favorites to win a race make a best jockey. The jockeys that won the Triple Crown could have not won it if they have ridden other horses instead of the one they rode.

    • @deanosborne6854
      @deanosborne6854 3 года назад

      @@agustindejesus7398 I have to disagree with that I seen horses that other jockeys can’t win on then you put one that knows how to ride and they win and pay big

  • @jamessimmers2706
    @jamessimmers2706 3 года назад +1

    One thing about HOT ROD CHARLIE
    is that he not only WON the Louisiana Derby, but for the first time the Race was 1and 3/16 miles !
    Hot Rod Charlie not only won, but Broke the Track Record going away !

    • @Weekendhandicapper
      @Weekendhandicapper  3 года назад

      that's true. i forgot he broke the track record. Good point.

  • @russellhill948
    @russellhill948 3 года назад +1

    Highly motivated will win derby he has a fast time at keeneland.

    • @Weekendhandicapper
      @Weekendhandicapper  3 года назад

      I would be willing to give that horse another look. Fought hard in the Bluegrass Stakes.

  • @MM-zj8be
    @MM-zj8be 3 года назад +1

    Known Agenda. Essential Quality. King Fury. Medina Spirit..superfecta..
    King Fury is a BIG SLEEPER to hit the board. Great Jockey young and hungry!

    • @MM-zj8be
      @MM-zj8be 3 года назад +2

      DONT SLEEP ON NEW YORK HORSES at the DERBY!!

    • @Weekendhandicapper
      @Weekendhandicapper  3 года назад

      Yes that will make a good story since his mount, Art collector got scratched last year.

  • @barry_was_taken8020
    @barry_was_taken8020 3 года назад +4

    Thanks for your videos throughout the prep season. I am an information hound, I can never get too much information and opinions. 👍🐴😊

    • @Weekendhandicapper
      @Weekendhandicapper  3 года назад

      You are welcome Corey. Hopefully some of the information helps. It is all about making good decisions based on the information that you have and then just seeing what happens since a lot of what happens in horse racing is out of our control. Thanks for watching and good luck to you!

  • @yikes88888
    @yikes88888 3 года назад +2

    Love the painting in tour background & really like your style man! Thanks for doing what you do. Im in for a win. Lets see if we can hot the jackpot!🥰😁👌

    • @Weekendhandicapper
      @Weekendhandicapper  3 года назад +1

      Thank you Ashley. I like the painting too. It gets a lot of attention. Here is the artist where I got it from. Her is her website.
      www.jeaneenbarnhart.com/equine-gallery
      Yes let's hit the jackpot!!!!!! Best of luck to you and thank you for watching!

    • @yikes88888
      @yikes88888 3 года назад

      @@Weekendhandicapper your awesomeness rapidly increases🤗Blessings to you friend! Truly appreciate that!👌🤩

  • @brianmontgomery5443
    @brianmontgomery5443 3 года назад +1

    Caddo river scratched from derby

  • @markhoke5848
    @markhoke5848 3 года назад +1

    KA on top

    • @Weekendhandicapper
      @Weekendhandicapper  3 года назад

      Looked impressive in the Florida Derby. I would be confident in any Todd Pletcher horse these days. Good luck to you.

  • @cholman57
    @cholman57 3 года назад +2

    good job!!!
    good job!!!

  • @itanongmokayboyd.letmeeduc1969
    @itanongmokayboyd.letmeeduc1969 3 года назад +1

    what happened to life is good not include in the line up

    • @Weekendhandicapper
      @Weekendhandicapper  3 года назад

      He had some health issues that made it possible for him to not to be ready for the Derby. So he had to skip it. Too bad because he looked to be a super talented horse.

  • @billclancy4436
    @billclancy4436 3 года назад +5

    This is the most competitive field in years. Going to be a good payout if one can pick the trifecta.

    • @Weekendhandicapper
      @Weekendhandicapper  3 года назад +1

      You got that right! Wide open! Best of luck to you!

    • @gt9188
      @gt9188 3 года назад +1

      F the tri, I'm after the superfecta!!

    • @clemmerola9962
      @clemmerola9962 3 года назад +1

      G in in

  • @omegatheoriginal
    @omegatheoriginal 3 года назад +2

    Shananay will rock your world lol

    • @Weekendhandicapper
      @Weekendhandicapper  3 года назад

      haha. that was a great show!

    • @omegatheoriginal
      @omegatheoriginal 3 года назад +1

      @@Weekendhandicapper Absolutely, a lot of people got their start there, Jamie Foxx, Jennifer Lopez, Jim Carrey....

    • @Weekendhandicapper
      @Weekendhandicapper  3 года назад

      @@omegatheoriginal That is so true! What a classic show! So many good skits and talented people on that show! Two snaps up!

    • @sisvswann1897
      @sisvswann1897 3 года назад

      @@Weekendhandicapper lol "In Living Color" lol was the show. Great Memories

  • @Johnny53kgb-nsa
    @Johnny53kgb-nsa 3 года назад +1

    I like Rock Your World, and Hot Rod, can't toss the chalk, then I need a couple long bomb's to play with them, I'm not sure just yet, until the draw, but I will look at Bourbonic ( rolling thru the plowed field), King Fury ( Kenny McPeek is underrated and may sneak in a long shot), Keepmeinmind, if he draws in could be a huge sleeper. Good luck, and let's hope for a " dry and fast track".

    • @Weekendhandicapper
      @Weekendhandicapper  3 года назад

      Good luck to you as well. Yes looking like it will be dry and fast but rain in the forecast on Thursday and Friday.

  • @kjfree
    @kjfree 3 года назад +4

    Great video again. I've started to put together my list too and I will try to beat Essential Quality with Rock Your World or Highly Motivated right now. Just learned Joel Rosario will be on Rock Your World. But you are right Essential Quality has not done anything wrong.

    • @Weekendhandicapper
      @Weekendhandicapper  3 года назад

      Rock on with Rock Your World! Certainly was impressive! Joel on board is a huge plus but I do feel sorry for the other jockey. He was so excited when he won and probably was over the moon about being able to ride in the Kentucky Derby. Highly Motivated is interesting to me. Good luck to you!

    • @kjfree
      @kjfree 3 года назад +1

      @@Weekendhandicapper Yes it does suck for Rispoli being taken off. Reminds me of Chantal Sutherland was taken off of Mind that Bird and the trainer went with Calvin Borel, and history was made that derby day!

  • @CPRATTBOSTON
    @CPRATTBOSTON 3 года назад +2

    Good list. The last couple of years I found a list of derby contenders sorted by dosage and also had foaling date. Have not been able to find that information this year. What do you think about these 2 pieces of information. Do you use them in your selection process? thank you

    • @Weekendhandicapper
      @Weekendhandicapper  3 года назад

      I think Dosage has lost alot of steam in recent years and I don't personally go by it. I don't think people use it as much as they once did. There are just too many other factors to consider. You can take every angle of handicapping and look back on Kentucky Derby and could make a case for that angle being the reason it worked. I am not saying that or foaling date isn't important but people can have just as many winners not knowing about that as those that do use it. Thanks for the comment! And good luck to you on Derby Day!

    • @deanosborne6854
      @deanosborne6854 3 года назад

      Have you used the racehorse now app you can track any horse works where the run it’s a good app for handicapping

  • @marilynguinnane4663
    @marilynguinnane4663 3 года назад +1

    Why was Concert Tour taken out ? Anyone ?

    • @Weekendhandicapper
      @Weekendhandicapper  3 года назад

      I think the owners feel that the Preakness better suits the horse. I am not aware of any injuries to the horse. Probably just needs some more rest and target a race that better suits him.
      www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/articles/247480/concert-tour-to-bypass-ky-derby-in-favor-of-preakness

    • @agustindejesus7398
      @agustindejesus7398 3 года назад +1

      Marilyn, yes. The owner or trainer probably thought the horse has no chance to win the Derby. The Derby is not easy to win. The Preakness will be easier for the horse cause a lot of tire horses from the Derby will skip the Preakness.

    • @marilynguinnane4663
      @marilynguinnane4663 3 года назад +2

      @@Weekendhandicapper -- Many thanks for the reply.

    • @Weekendhandicapper
      @Weekendhandicapper  3 года назад +1

      @@marilynguinnane4663 No problem at all. You are welcome!

    • @Weekendhandicapper
      @Weekendhandicapper  3 года назад +1

      @@marilynguinnane4663 You are welcome. Anytime.

  • @vincentflauto7650
    @vincentflauto7650 3 года назад +1

    I know exactly whats gonna happen, Rock Your World will sit 1st 2nd or 3rd and blow the field away!

  • @samsterlop6605
    @samsterlop6605 3 года назад +1

    Like you I have EQ in my futures , with what’s left Mandaloun in my future exactas , and I kinda like that pair , my last name has Cox in it ( there’s my gimmick) , I’m going to work those 2 with some closers in trifectas . Good work Shane . “Rock your world “ was coined by Flip Wilson , way before your time youngster .

    • @Weekendhandicapper
      @Weekendhandicapper  3 года назад +1

      Good info as always Samster! It seems like this could be Brad Cox's year so hopefully that exacta will come through for you. Good ole Flip Wilson! You are right before my time but I saw some clips on Tonight Show with a Johnny Carson and some re runs of Flips show. The character was called Geraldine or something like that I think. Classic stuff!

  • @mulatto2776
    @mulatto2776 3 года назад +2

    What!? No Helium!?

    • @Weekendhandicapper
      @Weekendhandicapper  3 года назад +1

      Seems like many are talking about that horse. I need to go back and see what I am missing! Good luck to you!

    • @deanosborne6854
      @deanosborne6854 3 года назад

      I think helium is out classed in this race

    • @deanosborne6854
      @deanosborne6854 3 года назад

      I think EQ will set off the pace this time to much speed in here

    • @deanosborne6854
      @deanosborne6854 3 года назад

      But I’m a very big fan of curlin love his babies

    • @deanosborne6854
      @deanosborne6854 3 года назад

      Just to put something out there for all you betters watch jimmy creeds babies they are tearing

  • @DerbyBandit
    @DerbyBandit 3 года назад +3

    Great video as always!!!...Greys never lose 😎.....E.Q and Soup and Sandwhich would be a nice ass Ex 🏇lol I agree with Mandy, he’s good and there was no excuse from Brad about his performance in the La Derby he just didn’t fire that day but if he goes back to the Risen Star performance he could run 1-2 with E.Q and it could be a Cox derby lol he’ll prolly end up around 10-14 to 1 come post time.....R.Y.W will prolly be 2nd and either H.R.C or Highly Motivated will be 3rd in lower prices. I just hope a long shot hits the Show! I’m going to be honest with myself this year and bet EQ to be 1st in my big tri wheel bet. Then do some .50 tris with the semi long shots and EQ for 2-3rd.....I’ve been trying to find the date for the post selections but can’t find it, not even the KY Derby site 🤷🏻‍♂️ do you know which day it will be?

    • @Weekendhandicapper
      @Weekendhandicapper  3 года назад +1

      Good insight as always Nick. I hope you can piece some nice exotics together! I am still trying to hit the Derby Superfecta. I have hit all the other wagers on it over the years. Here is the info on post position draw.
      Tues, April 27th
      10:45AM - 11:30AM LIVE - Kentucky Derby Post Position Draw Facebook, Twitter & RUclips

    • @DerbyBandit
      @DerbyBandit 3 года назад

      @@Weekendhandicapper hellyeaaaa you the man!!!! Thanks sir!!! I will be watching! Imma shoot you a message to ur page on fb...and thanks....yeah I’ve just been handicapping racing for about 2 years so any insight from Pros I definitely take in! All I do I watch racing even if I’m not betting lol I just love the sport. One day I wanna be a pro like you and the other great cappers 😎.

    • @DerbyBandit
      @DerbyBandit 3 года назад

      @@Weekendhandicapper let’s hit that supper!!! 👏👏👏😎

  • @jameschan1791
    @jameschan1791 3 года назад +3

    Great! I'm gonna get good money on a Baffert!! Medina Spirit got heart, has handled Hot Rod Charlie, and wasn't far behind Rock Your World's eye opening Santa Anita Derby

    • @Weekendhandicapper
      @Weekendhandicapper  3 года назад +1

      No doubt!!! I have a video coming out soon about Top Derby Longshots. Medina Spirit is one of them. It doesn't even seem right that a Baffert horse and Medina Spirit can actually be a longshot. The horse has been crazy consistent.

  • @randycoger2525
    @randycoger2525 3 года назад +1

    This Derby is set up for a big price. Threrefore, we need a horse with the most up-side. That will be Super Stock and here is why. Arkansas was hit with an extended winter storm which made a major hit on training time. Due to this storm you can throw out the Rebel. The Arkansas Derby, which was won in a gallop by SS still has his best to come. $$$$$$$ and then some.

    • @Weekendhandicapper
      @Weekendhandicapper  3 года назад

      Good analysis Randy. I agree. Could be some really good payouts in this year's Derby!

    • @nancymoran1730
      @nancymoran1730 3 года назад

      Agree SS is a nice horse with upside, but believe he hasn't figured it all out yet. He's been working in draw reins, which I don't love so close to the big race. Good luck!

  • @ronniebravo6244
    @ronniebravo6244 3 года назад +2

    It would be Great if Essential Quality will start on Gate #17...;)

    • @Weekendhandicapper
      @Weekendhandicapper  3 года назад

      Haha. Right. What posts the horses draw add another wrinkle in this whole decision making process of who to bet! #derbyishardtopredict Best of luck to you!

  • @daveragoonanan7616
    @daveragoonanan7616 3 года назад +2

    Inside the 100 it's rock your world by 3l too the wire. It's rock your world?

    • @Weekendhandicapper
      @Weekendhandicapper  3 года назад

      This horses seems to be getting a lot of support lately. For good reason after that impressive Santa Anita Derby victory.

  • @docnyc62
    @docnyc62 3 года назад +1

    Louisiana Fairgrounds 🤔. Who could forget Country House? On Max’s DQ or not, what a price! As far as distance, The “experts” said Authentic wouldn’t get it either. Pulling for Chad or Brad to get the W.

    • @Weekendhandicapper
      @Weekendhandicapper  3 года назад

      Chad or Brad would be nice. Hopefully Brad. Yes my philosophy is if the price and pace as well as other angles are in the horses favor then still bet the horse and take a chance. That way of thinking proved well for me last year. I never want to be the one who likes a horse but don't think he/she can get the distance then it handles the distance ok and wins at a price. Not a good feeling! Good luck to you!

  • @nancymoran1730
    @nancymoran1730 3 года назад +2

    Not trying to be too critical bc I like your vids and I think you do a good job trying to teach ppl abt handicapping, but what you said abt Doug O'Neil is a very bad look for ppl newer to the sport. Every single one of the big time trainers has violations in their history, not just O'Neil, and there are huge differences in those violations, from abusive to the animal situations like Servis and Navarro to things that come up involving legal meds and non performance increasing suppliments not allowed on race day. An offhand comment like yours implies horseplayers are not concerned about trainers cheating as long as they get paid on their tickets, and I don't believe that's true of the vast majority of year round handicappers, we care about the horses bc without them, no sport, and we want a fair playing field. Again not trying to be super critical, just wanted to point that out. Thx for the vid and keep up the good work, best of luck to all, hardcore players and newbies.

    • @Weekendhandicapper
      @Weekendhandicapper  3 года назад +1

      Thanks for the honest comment Nancy. Yeah I get upset when a trainer like O'Neil wins the Louisiana Derby with a horse but isn't there to celebrate in the winner's circle because he is out serving a suspension.
      I didn't mean to imply that handicappers don't care. I agree I want a level playing field. Sometimes I find my self handicapping trainers who I think are juicing their horses and that ain't right.
      But it is tough to grow the game and get new people involved when racing faces the kinds of issues that you mention. For instance I wake up this morning and I read the story below. To me that seems like the industry doesn't care about their future and their image to the general public outside of horse racing. The big name trainers rule the roost it seems and will keep violating the rules if the industry doesn't punish them. Or the fact that different states have different rules. Thanks again for the comment. I appreciate another way of interpreting it.
      Here is the latest shaking my head article concerning the state of the way things are in the horse racing industry.
      www.paulickreport.com/news/the-biz/arkansas-commission-upholds-stewards-rulings-but-rescinds-dqs-suspension-for-baffert/

    • @nancymoran1730
      @nancymoran1730 3 года назад +1

      @@Weekendhandicapper thanks for the insightful and honest reply. I guess I opened a can o worms, and maybe not the appropriate place, so I'll try to be concise and not ramble. Love paulick report, always count on him think he's one of the best we have for the players and the sport. Racing has always had this problem, and I believe it has gotten alot better, not worse over the last 20years or so bc of more information and more transparency across the industry. However it's a problem that is never going away without a national governing body for the sport, new rules that make sense and are equally applied and enforced on all levels. That's a long way off but there are many that support it. My opinion, what we can do to better the sport across the board, not just on this one issue, is vote with our dollars. I try to do that a few ways, supporting aftercare, wagering where I feel the gamblers are being given a decent deal as far as takeout, ect and yeah I do have a short list of barns I won't bet, but that's mostly in the claiming ranks. Thanks again for taking the time and the great communication. I'm for sure not the most knowledgeable on the subject, but I want positive change for racing and hopefully that begins when we talk about it.

    • @deanosborne6854
      @deanosborne6854 3 года назад +1

      @@nancymoran1730 bob baffert got caught juicing american pharaoh to but bought his way out of it I don’t think it’s right that the top trainers get a slap and others get suspended like Steve assmasnsin and Doug O’Neal but everything is about how much money you have

    • @Weekendhandicapper
      @Weekendhandicapper  3 года назад +1

      @@nancymoran1730 This is wonderful Nancy! It is obvious that you care about horses and the industry. I enjoy the Paulick Report too. Read it every day and was sad when they disabled the comments. I learned a lot from the comments and could get a sense of the state of things from reading them.
      You make a lot of good points and I agree with them. I love horses and they have brought me a lot of joy most of my life. I wish positive things were being done for their welfare during their careers and after. Hopefully, we are moving in the right direction with HISA and some of the new whip and Lasix rules. All of which have pros and cons to those issues.
      Hopefully, the industry can recover and maintain some sort of relevance over the next decade or so. However, it seems the sport and image of racing is getting less popular and more controversial with each passing year. We shall see what the future holds.
      But I like you am all about the horse because without them none of this is possible. I just have to hope trainers and others in the industry make the horse the priority instead of greed. I know it is a business but still if the image of the general public is that horses are just a commodity and are mistreated in racing then that isn't a good sign for the future popularity of the sport.
      Then as far as handicappers and bettors go, I can tell you are knowledgeable about that as well. You probably know about this but here is a good resource as well with some interesting ideas.
      racingthinktank.com/
      Always feel free to have these kinds of discussions here on this channel and in the comments. It is vital to have these discussions. Thank you Nancy!

  • @dnice8451
    @dnice8451 3 года назад +3

    Take another look at helium. I like that fact he s a stalking type horse

  • @domrossetti4247
    @domrossetti4247 3 года назад +5

    You forgot the 🏆 winner Medina Spirit. Don't leave this one out

    • @Weekendhandicapper
      @Weekendhandicapper  3 года назад

      Definitely a horse to consider. Wouldn't be something if Baffert and Medina Spirit will be overlooked due to last performance in Santa Anita Derby. Medina Spirit will be featured in my Top 5 Derby Longshots video. I still don't think we will get 10-1 or higher when all said and done on Medina Spirit. Good luck!

    • @arvilkbromley9294
      @arvilkbromley9294 3 года назад

      Hay do you think there will there be another supesaver Derby like that race.man I liked that berby.miend you I never got any hoses on a winning.tickey in.the race.but it was good🏁

    • @deanosborne6854
      @deanosborne6854 3 года назад

      Baffert won’t win this time

    • @domrossetti4247
      @domrossetti4247 3 года назад

      @@deanosborne6854 guess you were wrong

    • @deanosborne6854
      @deanosborne6854 3 года назад

      @@domrossetti4247 I just don’t like baffert

  • @brianmontgomery5443
    @brianmontgomery5443 3 года назад +1

    Track might be muddy friday n maybe Saturday

    • @Weekendhandicapper
      @Weekendhandicapper  3 года назад

      Yeah later in the week looks rainy. Hopefully it will be clear up and dry up by Saturday afternoon.