Sibanye Stillwater Stock Analysis NYSE: SBSW

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  • Опубликовано: 24 дек 2024

Комментарии • 167

  • @CameronDonna-w7n
    @CameronDonna-w7n День назад +467

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      @garnold-l5p День назад

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  • @dr.lazysloth3415
    @dr.lazysloth3415 2 дня назад +39

    Set a reminder for december 2025

  • @potomac5466
    @potomac5466 2 дня назад +33

    Sibanyes and PGM's mining case isnt that much about cyclicality or automotive industry. The story is far more complex. Its about Russia unloading its stocks to pay for imports. Its about Sibanye's abysmal relationship with the unions. Its operational track record is highly questionable. South Africa is a borderline failed state and mining is even disrupted by electricity blackouts. Mines are deep, need massive capex and literally nobody would be suprised to see nationalizations of mines within 5 years. I am long SBSW due to its multiplying potential, but dont be fooled that this story is about cyclicality only.

    • @jsedge2473
      @jsedge2473 2 дня назад +6

      Love this channel but I always think It is funny because Sven and many people here will be scared to invest in America or certain companies despite stable returns for decades but will focus on cyclical gambles in failed fracturing states that can't even keep their utilities on

    • @jonnes__4657
      @jonnes__4657 2 дня назад +2

      @@jsedge2473 EU is the same! ... union of failed states.
      .

    • @12345678924439
      @12345678924439 День назад

      @@jsedge2473 some people enjoy buying Tesla at 100x earnings and doubling their money when it hits 200x earnings. Other people enjoy buying unwanted companies with a significant turnaround potential and doubling their money. Its really just a personal preference. The risk of buying a cyclical or a turnaround can often be lower than buying a great company at a steep price.

    • @haoding1409
      @haoding1409 День назад +1

      What’s your view on the turning point given you are holding? Holding a loss making company for too long can be dangerous

    • @nixielee
      @nixielee День назад +1

      Sure, but none of these things matter if the price for commodity x goes 5x. Suddenly cash flows are in the green and everyone is doing fine, even the bad actors. You could make the story more complicated for a complete picture, nothing wrong with that, but you don't need to.

  • @mktwatcher
    @mktwatcher День назад +5

    I happily watched this entire video Sven and you've given us another very interesting Company to consider. You built a very good case for this. As you said be patient and keep watching bc this probably has more to drop in this cycle. TY

  • @laurenstewartd
    @laurenstewartd 19 часов назад +89

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      @jorgepérez19 18 часов назад

      I just withdrew my profits a week ago, To be honest it was an amazing feeling when the profits hits my wallet I wish I could reinvest but, too much bills

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    @carlos-y8y2w День назад +226

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  • @tradingfundamentals
    @tradingfundamentals День назад +4

    I love the focus of buying cyclicals at the bottom of the cycle.👍

  • @stanislavgritciuk337
    @stanislavgritciuk337 2 дня назад +7

    Great analysis Sven. Very few people will buy the stock though, because it is going down.
    Please remind us when the up cycle starts )

  • @icossss4352
    @icossss4352 2 дня назад +5

    Better to put a notification for next year to look back at it! Thanks as always for amazing work Sven and happy holidays

    • @morehn
      @morehn 22 часа назад

      I'm putting an alert below 3.08

  • @bernteinar906
    @bernteinar906 День назад +4

    Nice. good video. you got my attention!

  • @drstedman
    @drstedman День назад +2

    I've been waiting for this one. Platinum group metals seem like such a great place to be right now (or eventually), but SA is such a mess, which can wreck both their domestic companies and the whole market.

  • @RiffMajestic
    @RiffMajestic День назад +1

    Started a position last Feb/March at 4.1, bought more recently at 3.8 and 3.5, always intended on holding long.

  • @marcuskirkegaard4854
    @marcuskirkegaard4854 2 дня назад +1

    palladium is mainly used in diesel cars as a component in the exhaust catalystors which neutralizes toxic pollutants by turning them into water vapor and carbon dioxid. So maybe this is not a cyclic stock but more a theme of electric cars on the rise so the demand for palladium is on the reverse?

    • @jonnes__4657
      @jonnes__4657 2 дня назад +2

      The BEV is a typical hype, soon collapsing!
      .

  • @theodoroseidler7072
    @theodoroseidler7072 2 дня назад +2

    Excellent, Sven. That is my kind of investing. Also, Sibanye pays you a good DY for you to wait.

    • @jaykrizzle
      @jaykrizzle 44 минуты назад

      No they don't, they halted their dividend.

  • @ReiPago
    @ReiPago 2 дня назад +2

    Awesome opportunity, South African platinum! We just need to calculate the intrinsic value of the stock, understand platinum is widely used in a lot of industries, like health care. Merry Christmas!!!

  • @haoding1409
    @haoding1409 День назад +1

    Hi Sven, on the 2E supply demand chart, they are saying 2E market is in deficit short term and medium term. In longer term there will be surplus as they assume 50% of current demand for 2E used in auto industry will disappear. They are saying there is dislocation between short term price and fundamental.

    • @frodosebarial
      @frodosebarial День назад

      Yes, came to the comments to see if anyone else caught this. Kinda important detail 😅

    • @haoding1409
      @haoding1409 День назад

      @@frodosebarial Yes. SBSW outlook is still highly optimistic among other PGM producer.

  • @SmokeyLove-vt4xd
    @SmokeyLove-vt4xd День назад +1

    Whoa, all those metals make me interested.

  • @Dan-wg5gq
    @Dan-wg5gq 20 часов назад +1

    Allways watch video until the end!! And repeat if necessary. Merry Christmas by the way.
    Also where would this end up in the Sven value quadrant?

  • @lorisbiancheri1194
    @lorisbiancheri1194 2 дня назад +5

    I'm long SBSW (I think you have the ticker wrong in your title btw!) at an average of 6.5, so it's good to see some positive view on the stock from you :)

    • @dodid0
      @dodid0 День назад

      There are two tickers. SBSW is listed in NYSE as an ADR (as all foreign stocks are) and SSW is listed in South Africa. The one in NYSE is worth 4 shares of the one in South Africa.

  • @marcoaraujo4771
    @marcoaraujo4771 2 дня назад +1

    Great one Sven, this is where you shine the most. Happy xmas.

  • @pieter85
    @pieter85 День назад +2

    Don't forget recycling is big in PGM's. Loads of scrap available for Umicore & JMAT to recycle. Their marginal cost is lower than that of a mine. & like another one said; "Russia".

  • @sebsefyu
    @sebsefyu День назад +1

    Sven, Can you please disclose in your videos if you've recieved compensation for covering this stocks or others. Whether it's your pick or you got paid to cover it. Kinda important.

    • @Value-Investing
      @Value-Investing  День назад +5

      I never took any money to discuss a stock!!!

    • @sebsefyu
      @sebsefyu День назад

      @@Value-Investing I thought so but please disclose that in videos for new ppl or casuals so they don't think you're paid schill. No way to know unless u say so in each video. Ppl don't know you or your history.Just my 2 cents. :)

  • @PaulSmith-zt7ix
    @PaulSmith-zt7ix День назад +1

    Thank you for commodity video

  • @Helen_white1
    @Helen_white1 2 дня назад +5

    Investing in individual stocks can be a lucrative strategy, but it requires careful consideration and research. Different stocks offer various growth potentials and risks. Some may provide steady dividends, while others focus on capital appreciation. It's essential to diversify your stock portfolio to mitigate risk. Consulting a financial advisor can help tailor a strategy based on your risk tolerance, investment goals, and market conditions.

    • @DhanaPayar
      @DhanaPayar 2 дня назад +2

      Absolutely, I've been exploring the world of stock investing recently. There's so much information out there, and it can be overwhelming. I'm thinking about tech stocks, given their historical performance, but I'm not sure where to start. Any advice?

    • @Kin-28-8
      @Kin-28-8 2 дня назад +2

      I've been investing in stocks for a while now, and it's been a significant part of my retirement portfolio. Diversification is key. I've had success with a mix of growth stocks and dividend-paying stocks. However, staying informed and regularly reviewing your portfolio is crucial. Have you considered consulting a financial advisor to help guide your stock investment strategy?

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  • @mariayslava
    @mariayslava День назад +99

    The effects of the downturn are beginning to sink in. People are being impacted by the long-term decline in property prices and the housing market. I recently sold my house in the Sacramento area, and I want to invest my lump-sum profit in the stock market before prices start to rise again. Is now the right moment to buy, or not?

    • @tanyabischoff
      @tanyabischoff День назад +5

      It's not just about having money to invest in stocks; it's about knowing the right strategies for profit and managing risk. That's why working with an investment advisor is important-they have insights not available to everyone.

    • @williamJohnsonq8f
      @williamJohnsonq8f День назад +4

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    • @garnold-l5p
      @garnold-l5p День назад +1

      impressive gains! how can I get in contact with this advisor please, if you dont mind me asking? I could really use a help as of now

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    • @garnold-l5p
      @garnold-l5p День назад +3

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  • @FBMaximUm
    @FBMaximUm 2 дня назад +1

    Sven, what do you think about Neste, Finnish oil and renewable producer?

  • @ValueHurts
    @ValueHurts 2 дня назад +2

    Sven you need to look deeper into this. Hybrids are growing quicker than EV and use more PGMs than both electric and ICB vehicles.

    • @Value-Investing
      @Value-Investing  2 дня назад

      that I know, but with the downturn in the industry, let's see!

    • @ValueHurts
      @ValueHurts День назад

      @@Value-Investingis China top or bottom of the car buying cycle?

  • @TimPaddy
    @TimPaddy 2 дня назад +10

    Love when you cover a stock I own

    • @popeyeSailor-e5v
      @popeyeSailor-e5v 2 дня назад +1

      How long have you owned it. Are u buying?

    • @TimPaddy
      @TimPaddy 2 дня назад

      @popeyeSailor-e5v I did just buy more, last week. Significantly averaged down with this purchase. I first bought in the big dip in 2021. Biggest issues for SBSW, side from the cyclics Sven mentioned, is they are incorporated in South Africa. Do a lot of research on this situation because I think it holds them back significantly. If they reincorporated in a friendlier country to business, I'd be a very happy investor. The CEO is pretty darn good, although the debt looks shortsighted. Definitely a string of investments that haven't panned out in the short term.

  • @anderson6379
    @anderson6379 День назад +1

    Thanks for covering 🙏🙏😎😎 Your insights are always appreciated. Your output has been legendary of late. Enjoying the longer format discussion collaborations as well.

  • @guy7018
    @guy7018 2 дня назад

    I've owned this for a few years. Bought much too high with my first position and had to sell puts and swing trade to get it down to 7 avg price. I've been waiting for what appears to be a bottom to double up. I also own PALL ETF and that is down too.

  • @matts6165
    @matts6165 День назад +1

    Can you please analyze Toyota Motor Corp? Under 9x earnings, 3% dividend, great automotive manufacturer in terms of reliability and brand loyalty

  • @TheMacius99
    @TheMacius99 2 дня назад +1

    SWSB or perhaps SBSW?

  • @it_s_just_me1030
    @it_s_just_me1030 2 дня назад +2

    Thanks for your work!

  • @The-s6w
    @The-s6w День назад +83

    The market's volatility makes DIY dangerous. You do not need to identify the next NVDA to be successful in investing. Choose top-tier ETFs, dividend aristocrats, and a trusted advisor. I turned $180k into $20k in quarterly dividends, which is an exciting milestone

    • @JessieK-b8c
      @JessieK-b8c День назад

      The strategies are quite rigorous for the regular. As a matter of fact, they are mostly successfully carried out by pros who have had a great deal of skillset/knowledge to pull such trades off.

    • @LuckyMike-k9k
      @LuckyMike-k9k День назад

      I’d suggest you look into passive index fund investing and learn some more. For me, I had my share of ups and downs when I first started looking for a consistent passive income so I hired an expert advisor for aid, and following her advice, I poured $130k in passive diversified safe-haven assets, Up 358k so far and pretty sure I'm ready for whatever comes.

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      @Wesleyannie-i5y День назад

      I could really use the expertise of this advsors

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  • @DavideVega-q4k
    @DavideVega-q4k 2 дня назад

    Sven, wouldn't it be easier just to invest in commodities buying an ETC, rather than in company whose price is dependent on the commodities prices?
    What I mean is that if I invest in a palladium ETC, and palladium goes up in price, the ETC will also appreciate.
    But if I invest in Sibanye Stillwater, even if palladium goes up in price, something might go wrong with the company and the stock price will not increase.
    An example is Riot Platform, whose price did not increase proportionally to the appreciation of Bitcoin, even though the company is a bitcoin and crypto miner.

  • @fabioravanelli6212
    @fabioravanelli6212 2 дня назад +1

    Sven, the stock simbol is misspelled. SBSW

  • @matthiasb.6915
    @matthiasb.6915 День назад

    Impala Platinum seems to be a better deal to me. Could you cover that as well ?

  • @mrwave9475
    @mrwave9475 2 дня назад +2

    its SBSW not SWSB. Good video

  • @MrUnlimitedTorque
    @MrUnlimitedTorque 2 дня назад

    I think you misspelled the ticker symbol...

  • @SchwuppSchwupp
    @SchwuppSchwupp 2 дня назад

    A video about non-Automotive Platin and Palladium consumers would be interesting. These Katalyst users and producers for the chemical industry should do great if pt gets so cheap

  • @ichbinmasi
    @ichbinmasi День назад

    What's your opinion of Evolution AB? Even with all unregulated revenue discounted at fair value/undervalued. Dropped today 10% because of a potential (worst case) 3% revenue loss from UK

  • @MrBrainFreeZe2
    @MrBrainFreeZe2 2 дня назад +1

    Great video, Sven! I’d love to hear your thoughts on Schlumberger. I’m new to investing and recently came across this company. Despite reporting strong numbers and showing growth, the stock has been down for a while. What’s your take on this situation? Do you see potential in Schlumberger as an investment?

  • @morehn
    @morehn 22 часа назад +1

    I'm looking to buy below 3.08

  • @Jon112-q7g
    @Jon112-q7g День назад

    Been following you for quite a time Sven! I was a little sceptical at first, but i found you are very aligned with my train of thought. I also pay some attention to SBSW, HCC and AMR. (btw it would be Great if you took the time to look at the met coal industry)
    Anyway, another Great analysis, thanks for what you do🎉🎉

  • @Porformer
    @Porformer 2 дня назад

    why not BHP ?

  • @louisphillipson2585
    @louisphillipson2585 2 дня назад

    Pls look at TDW

  • @mrbabyears
    @mrbabyears 3 часа назад

    Can you look at trillion energy

  • @kantox86
    @kantox86 День назад

    Looking forward to a downturn in the car industry.... there are a lot of interesting stocks in the ecosystems that could be purchased at discount 🎉

  • @Michael_NV
    @Michael_NV 2 дня назад

    Sven said a lot of things, like to buy lithium per example, so I wouldn't pay much attention to that.
    Big like for the content! If we play it like Peter Lynch, we gonna make good money on this cyclicals in few years.

    • @Value-Investing
      @Value-Investing  2 дня назад +2

      when did I say buy lithium?? be careful when I say now it is a better buy than yesterday, and I am careful when I say something is a buy :-))

    • @Michael_NV
      @Michael_NV 2 дня назад

      @ Cheers Sven! No hard feelings. 🙂

  • @hugonavarro5859
    @hugonavarro5859 2 дня назад +1

    Additionally remember that BEV still need PGMs

  • @garrisonsimon
    @garrisonsimon День назад

    I love the videos about cyclicals!

  • @pandalanhukuk804
    @pandalanhukuk804 День назад

    Show me youre portfolio Performance.

  • @stephrobert4549
    @stephrobert4549 День назад

    It is not really what I call a low risk investment . Sibanye Stillwater has engaged in several prepayment and metal streaming agreements. In August 2024, it secured a 1.8 billion rand ($98.7 million) gold prepayment deal. In December 2024, the company entered into a $500 million precious metals streaming agreement with Franco-Nevada, exchanging future gold and platinum production for immediate cash. Additionally, Sibanye Stillwater faces legal challenges. In October 2024, London's High Court ruled that the company must compensate Appian Capital Advisory for canceling a $1.2 billion deal to acquire Brazilian mines. The exact amount of damages will be determined in a hearing scheduled for November 2025.

  • @providencez9496
    @providencez9496 День назад +1

    Sir. Do oil again! I love oil. Heheh

  • @parthisubramanian
    @parthisubramanian День назад

    I sticked!

  • @jaykrizzle
    @jaykrizzle 44 минуты назад

    SBSW might be the most mismanaged company I've ever seen. Definitely a deep value turnaround play at best

  • @iilililililiiill
    @iilililililiiill 2 дня назад

    I like cheap stocks but with second level thinking. Sven's bargain is good but he hasn't had any second level thinking but focusing just cheap

  • @alexboh3511
    @alexboh3511 2 дня назад

    I can't believe the numbers. Can you check please:
    Electricite de Strasbourg SA

  • @miguelmachado3259
    @miguelmachado3259 2 дня назад

    SBSW sold their uranium reserves recently

  • @dassa0069
    @dassa0069 День назад +1

    Franco Nevada just gave them $500MM for royalties and will probably end up owning Sibanye and hiring contract miners to run it. Better off buying Franco. Just saying.

  • @srob3645
    @srob3645 День назад +1

    Can this Not Go bust? Then it can not take the Next cycle 😮

  • @airdramat
    @airdramat День назад

    Bought 🎉

  • @KevinHarlow-r5r
    @KevinHarlow-r5r 16 часов назад +5

    Most people today have been having a lot of failures in forex and crypto because of poor orientation and bad experts.

    • @JamesWilliams-d2q
      @JamesWilliams-d2q 16 часов назад +1

      It's wise to seek professional guidance when building a strong financial portfolio due to its complexity.

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      @SophieNorms-b5r 16 часов назад +1

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  • @brettfoster9124
    @brettfoster9124 День назад +1

    I'd like a 21-day money back guarantee on SBSW please.

  • @whiskey_tango_foxtrot__
    @whiskey_tango_foxtrot__ 2 дня назад +3

    Miners have not benefited from higher prices in gold and silver...yet.

  • @jonnes__4657
    @jonnes__4657 2 дня назад

    🗽 I'm very disappointed from Sibanye. 😡 I received the shares by accident.

  • @ThomasHaberkorn
    @ThomasHaberkorn 2 дня назад

    just like AMAG

  • @rickgraham7641
    @rickgraham7641 День назад

    "I told you to buy" but "I am not a stock picker" 😕

  • @ColourRevolution666
    @ColourRevolution666 18 часов назад

    No dividend no buy for me.

  • @nzzenith
    @nzzenith День назад

    This company could just as easily go to 0.00.
    I'm a bit burnt by recommendations doing just that.

  • @gergelyovics
    @gergelyovics День назад

    Looks like a disaster company

  • @Sharondavid-cf1mr
    @Sharondavid-cf1mr 2 дня назад

    I always look up your videos for update! Our government has no idea how people are suffering these days. I feel for people with disabilities not getting the help they deserve. Thank you Mrs Linda, imagine investing $1000 and receiving $5,300.

    • @OnomeJking
      @OnomeJking 2 дня назад

      I'm surprised that this name is being mentioned here, I stumbled upon one of her clients testimonies on CNBC news last week...

    • @OnomeJking
      @OnomeJking 2 дня назад

      Trader Linda strategy has normalised winning trades for me also. and it's a huge milestone for me looking back to how it all started

    • @DavidBryan-h4j
      @DavidBryan-h4j 2 дня назад

      please educate me, I've come across this name before, Now i'm interested

    • @DavidBryan-h4j
      @DavidBryan-h4j 2 дня назад

      Please is there any link or information about her, how can I reach her?

    • @GodJohn-o5r
      @GodJohn-o5r 2 дня назад

      SHE'S MOSTLY ON TELEGRAMS USING THE
      USERNAME.