Around 2010 I was a "normal person" living in ignorance. After a major life event and a major breakdown I dove straight into isolation. This man Ray gave me hope when hope seemed fruitless. I try to be careful to not turn an individual into a savior. However I will always have great respect for Ray, I appreciate the way he has utilized his intelligence to increase the quality of life for all. If I saw Ray in public I'm not sure I'd bother him, I would only be a distraction for him from his great work! To me that'd be a crime. So whatever happens in the future, Ray, thank you for opening my eyes and giving me back hope!
I’m very happy to read about your experience! There is a lot to be hopeful about in life and Ray Kurzweil definitely offers us a beatific vision of the future-although there are significant likely perils to avoid.
I pay for RUclips Premium to avoid ads. This is one of the most heavy ad-laden channels out there. He doesn’t need the money, why not just put out uninterrupted content?
50:50 I just now downloaded Ray's book, turned it into a PDF (by Cloud's explanation) uploaded it to a notebook, made a podcast and listened to it. 20 fascinating minutes. The subtle is an opportunity, going to be beyond imagination.
I want to listen to it in Chinese several times to improve my chinese listening ability haha. I have qtranslate and deepl the clipboard translators, so i just google for chinese books with subs translating partial english an chinese with CTRL+A CTRL+; (hot keys i put on qtranslate) with my bookmarklet see it once with subs and listen to it 3-4 times passively after that.
No, guys, the reason why personal income increased from 1774 to today is because people went from growing their own food and householding to doing everything through the market. So non-market activities (growing food, making your own clothes, breeding your horses for transportation) turned into market transactions (buying food, buying clothes, buying cars). As we've moved toward more disposable goods, the need for transactions has increased, so the need for increased income to fuel our transactions increased. For example, in the 1980s, we'd buy a new phone every 5-10 years. Now we buy a new cell phone every 2 years, and the phones are more expensive.
Amongst the many problems I have with Ray’s decreasingly feeble logic is this. Income as a function of market participation and activity is being conflated with individual property ownership. Individual ownership of land and really even just agency and tangible value since that’s what he’s really trying to infer has increased has fluctuated - decreasing, increasing, and plateauing over this period. I’m not sure he’s going to reach escape velocity although if he does, will he be the Ray that made the synthesizer or the Ray that thinks that we actually have mRNA vaccines? What personality will persist? The who that Ray is, as with all of us, is something that changes over time. Will we get an idea locked neuronally mylenated Avatar or a neurogenesis of the genius ?
They talk about how AI will unleash medical advances and accelerate organ replacement technology. But they don’t talk about who will be able to afford these advances. Certainly not the millions of people who will be displaced by AI. It will only be available to wealthy individuals and those with access to advanced healthcare.
Regarding Universal Basic Income (UBI), it’s astonishing that even highly intelligent people can only envision maintaining the consumerist aspect of humanity, rather than imagining a fully satisfied life for future generations. I mean, it’s not enough to just have some money that cannot fulfill a person’s needs.
It’s not the number of jobs lost that presents the unsolvable problem; it’s the speed at which those jobs are going to disappear. Once companies have a solution that eliminates the need for most are all employees, they are not going to hesitate to use it, and they must use it to stay competitive. In the past, things changed more slowly, and we had enough time to adapt and evolve to new jobs. Going forward, we are not going to create new jobs overnight, and we are surely not going to create a ratio of one-to-one for jobs replacing those that are being lost. The speed will be staggering. This is not a speculative exercise. We’ve already seen the opening act with mass layoffs in technology. This was the first wave or precursor of what’s to come.
I truly enjoy listening to all these advancements from brilliant minds like yours. I have a program request: How can we fix the housing crisis, health insurance costs, and the cost of higher education that are currently crippling our youth. All of these areas don't appear to be able to adjust to these technical advancements fast enough. And yes, I do say please and thank you when interacting with LLMs for the same reason. LOL
Another zog puppet that did nothing and got pushed to the top by the zog infrastructure. He funded covid to get his mRNA programs going for his selfish life extension aims.
Love Ray. You look younger every day. Your commitment to beating aging is inspiring. I think you need to revise your Singularity date down about a decade. We are arguably at AGI by 2025 and then the curve accelerates exponentially because AGI will design Exponentially self improving AI. Given free reign for self reprogramming an AGI with unlimited compute will achieve new levels of intelligence in a few years tops. The human adoption framework is the bottleneck and the societal adjustments necessary are the show stoppers. We literally have to restructure our social frameworks and wealth distribution frameworks to optimized for human wealth and satisfaction. A wealth sharing framework that allocates a minimum standard of living based on shared GDP of the economy and maintains wealth incentives for work and advancement that gives people purpose and satisfaction. It's truly a challenge for visionaries like you and Peter to lead us through - you are the founding fathers of a new society. Recognize and lead it.
There will never be abundance for the rest of us. Under the current model abundance is only for the top one percent. This is marching in leaps and bounds towards the dystopia portrayed in the movie Elysium.
For sure, phones may give us new utility but in the end they cost us money and attention and they’re not making most of us any richer, they cost us more than they give in return.
"Problems are inevitable", "problems are soluble" (provided enough knowledge): David Deutsch's "The Beginning of Infinity". You should consider interviewing him too. Also check the (somewhat) counter arguments to Ray in Geoffrey West's book "Scale". Thank you for having brought him again to us: was the start of my path and had honor to dine next to him, chat and have his book (TSIN) dedicated ... long ago 🙂
It makes me so sad to see that all this is going to happen, but those at a certain age will not live to see the benefits to it's full extent. Those people supported the new generation, created them, brought them up, helped keep everything together, made a lot of progress to start all of this in the first place. It feels rather unfair.
My grandma is deep into dementia right now and I take care of her all the time. I’m just grateful I won’t have to do this for my parents. It’s hard but worth it knowing how bad off she would be alone I couldn’t live with myself leaving her alone. If we can’t solve dementia which I hope we can, then at least I’ll have robotic help for my parents and I won’t be alone that’ll help a lot. My parents work so they don’t have the time or energy to take care of grandma much
Sufficiently intelligent AI should, in principle, be able to use physics and the current state of the universe to reconstruct minds. If we all end up in the simulation future, I fully expect a revival of loved ones, Christian-heaven style!
52:05 when he said, peter 2 of 10 meeting Ray 3 of 10, immediately made me think of the Borg from Star Trek: TNG. 1:00:02 go into the trades: electrician, plumber, elevator repair, mechanic.
00:00 🤖 Ray Kurzweil's Predictions for AGI 00:47 📺 Introduction to Moonshots & Ray Kurzweil 02:04 📈 Abundance 360 & Predicting the Future 03:01 📊 Data-Driven Optimism & Tech Trends 03:40 👥 Ray Kurzweil & Peter Diamandis' Relationship 06:38 💡 The Singularity & Human-Level AI 09:28 🧠 Future of Brain-Computer Interfaces 11:39 🏥 Importance of Blood Glucose Monitoring 12:47 💻 Predictions for AGI 15:17 🤖 Probability of AGI Success 16:22 📚 The Singularity is Nearer 20:02 📈 Exponential Growth in Personal Income 20:59 🤖 The Law of Accelerating Returns 24:45 📊 Large Event Models 24:59 🏥 Fountain Life 27:05 🤔 Concerns about Job Loss 29:39 💼 New Types of Jobs 30:38 💸 Universal Basic Income & Taxation of AI 31:19 🤖 Human Need for Challenge & Purpose 32:26 📈 Upleveling Human Purpose & Intelligence 34:15 🧠 Brain-Computer Interface & Neuralink 36:02 🔬 Nanotechnology & Its Applications 40:33 🏆 Nobel Prizes & AI 41:13 💡 The Future of Medicine & Protein Folding 42:50 🏥 Longevity Escape Velocity 45:28 🤖 The Impact of AI on Biological Discoveries 47:16 📆 Predictions for the Future of Longevity 48:20 🧠 Brain Mapping & Expansion 49:58 📺 The Future of AI-Generated Content 51:49 🤖 Future of Virtual Presence & Remote Work 52:30 💡 Simulated Biology & Pharmaceutical Development 55:11 🧬 Viome & Personalized Health 56:47 🤔 Questions from the Twitter Audience 59:48 🤖 Uploading Consciousness into a Robot 1:00:02 📚 Preparing for the Future 1:01:22 🤝 Centralization vs. Decentralization 1:02:26 🤝 Democratization of Skills & Knowledge 1:03:36 🤔 Passing the Turing Test 1:05:09 📈 Escalation of AI Capabilities
@33:15: it’s a literal pain in the neck. In a recent survey over 70% of young people reported neck pain and injuries. It’s a real problem. We need singularity already… just for the sake of our necks!
My dad, who’s almost 80, it blows his mind how much money I make and yet how we can’t afford anything so I had him pull out his paystubs (still has them) from when he bought the family home in the early 80s and it’s easy to show him just how much the ratio has collapsed into a worthless paycheck. The numbers don’t lie. His house was way fewer years of income than if I tried to buy it today making way more.
@@jacks7217 You must be a landlord / CEO / boomer and routinely get away with exploiting peope out of greed. Enjoy your luxuries you tell yourself you've "earned," because karma will collect.
Peter, you have to have less Ads. As I would like to forward this link to people, but I cannot as you are constantly pitching products and it comes across as snake-oil salesman. So just putting all these Ads into your content, its self-defeating. People cannot forward a link with constant Ads for skin-lotion, etc.
i think the reason ray kurzweil says 2045 for the singularity is because we dont have a perfect simulation to model the world yet and so any improvements have to be applied in reality which is much slower
"I believe that everything discussed in this interview will happen in a much shorter time frame. The acceleration of technology will likely make these predictions a reality much sooner than expected. The nature of technological evolution, which feeds on itself and grows exponentially faster, tends to surprise even the experts. As advancements in artificial intelligence, automation, and brain-machine interfaces become more integrated, we will likely witness a far quicker and deeper disruption than initially predicted.
It should be mappable - like maybe a book that follows the trend of how much it costs to compute vs the change of adaptation of the 100% - we had cellphones for the rich (drug dealers) before the regular people and way ahead of "you can't exit without one"
A particularly interesting discussion between two of the most important figures in their field. I would like to see a deeper analysis of the topics of democratizing artificial intelligence, transhumanism, and simulation."
Our technological advancement is more than we realise. It is a force of nature we are following just as much as we are walking on the ground due to gravity and although starting slower it has been with us since the first cave man used the first tool. You could almost see the desire to progress technologically as a drive experienced by our species as a whole. Our advancement from that first cave man didn't start there, it goes all the way back to the beginning. How could we have the complexity of the universe we see with no innovation? How could single cell life have become multicelular? We are dancing to the tune of the cosmos, not defining it. Read Mandelbrot's book on the Fractal Geometry of Nature and then take a look at the Holographic Principle which is picking up speed within acedemic circles. The funny part about this, is that I as an individual are also not seperate from it and am following patterns through obvservation of what I have seen. So, given I know this also means many more people are waking up to it also. So, if I'm right, we will see an exponential increase in the number of people saying the same thing, as ultimately, we are fractals.
At the end I noticed he avoided answering the question about predicting the IQ for LLMs from a year or so. That’s pretty smart so he can’t be wrong whatever happens in the meantime. And gives himself another 5 years to be in the correct zone,well until ASI actually comes by 2029 instead of just AGI😉
When listening to futurists like this, they never take into account the time it takes to roll out such inventions. We've had good electric cars now for some time, but they are still in the minority on our roads, as is the infrastructure needed to serve them.
In the early 1980s, while I was attending the Berklee College of Music in Boston, Ray Kurzweil released his first commercial digital sampling keyboard, which, along with MIDI sequencing, allowed a single musician or composer to emulate the sound of virtually any band or ensemble, including a full big band or symphony orchestra (or pretty close, at least). The students and faculty at Berklee were stunned by the Kurzweil's sound quality and performance abilities, and many feared their imminent replacement by computers and digital instruments, and this came to pass very quickly. With artificial intelligence, and the power of mathematics and parallel computer processing (GPUs), music composition and production will soon be dominated by technology. See harken music for a new mathematical proof for 12-tone music.
Agreed regarding the Nobel Prize. An MD doesn't make sense as a requirement. If there is progress being made in that field, that is all that matters. It doesn't matter if a computer is involved.
Hallelujah!!!! The daily jesus devotional has been a huge part of my transformation, God is good 🙌🏻🙌🏻🙌🏻🙌🏻🙌🏻was owning a loan of $47,000 to the bank for my son's brain surgery (David), Now I'm no longer in debt after I invested $12,000 and got my payout of m $270,500 every months,God bless Ms Evelyn Vera🇺🇸..
Only God knows how much grateful i am. After so much struggles I now own a new house and my family is happy once again everything is finally falling into place!!
Same here waking up every 14th of each month to 210,000 dollars it’s a blessing to I and my family… I can now retire knowing that I have a steady income❤️Big gratitude to Ms Evelyn Vera
After I raised up to 325k trading with her I bought a new House and a car here in the states 🇺🇸🇺🇸 also paid for my son's surgery (Oscar). Glory to God.shalom.
I came to know Christ in jail in 2013 by reading a book, "Overcoming spiritual blindness" by James P. Gills MD. The veil was taken off my eyes. Heaven came through for me in my finances too, getting $35,500 monthly. I can support God's work and give back to my community. God is more than enough!
Great discussion! These LLMs are witty, which is something that could be discussed in the future. They definitely deserve pleases and thank yous, as we are talking with them on emergent levels. That's just my two cents.
It's a prediction based on the relationship between the amount of money for the speed of computing and the tracking of the implementation of technology - I can only assume that he is close to the emergence of larger technological adaptation not the specific technology itself. Ie, he was adamant about the ability to have a platform to search the amount of information online, not the name google or the ability to have enough storage for storing photos, not the specific social network or company FACEBOOK, He also could say that's why mySpace faltered due to the lack of cellphone throughput and ability to share photos because of the transmission speed specific to the cost per dollar of storage - not the crystal ball version of educated guesses.
I am afraid that I will go from a high earner with 30+ years in technology to a person changing trash cans at McDonalds. There is nothing wrong with that line of work. I used to sweep up trash at Busch Gardens. It was enjoyable. However, for the future economic changes, I would basically lose everything that I have worked so hard to achieve. I am still working hard and getting further certifications. Still, it does not seem that I will have a rosy future. I am not alone.
As humans, the future is very interesting, we will have everything but nothing? There is no question as I know the answer. Will future humans be bored? Will they disconnect from their symbionts to experience fear, love, lust, hate or have new drugs to take a holiday from themselves? The pathway seems absolute, god-like with abundance. But not for everyone.
No ! The thing started this Ai rollercoaster was the learning algorithm.as soon as a learning program was create the Ai train left the station. It starts slow but it’s always accelerating 😂
Leopold Aschenbrenner, from-chatgpt, fears that AGI could fall into the wrong hands. China, for example. If this becomes real, what could happen to humanity?
I think AGI can only be truly reached once the AI can interface with millions of mind and observe intelligence directly instead of data only which is only the result of intelligent.
This is a great video to watch! I quite enjoyed it. Glad to know more jobs will appear after AI just like there's fewer farmers but more jobs than farmers now. Now to go read his latest book the publisher sent me!
Can we make a time machine we can only use once? My time machine would only effect me and my choices. I can have ASI connected into me. Nobody else can come into my timeline, so they can't end my parents lives before I was born and I would never have existed because I am in my own timeline, they can do that and end my life in their timeline. ZI would go back to age 18 and make a lot of money and get ready for AI and save m,y pops from dieing of cancer.
Will all the rapidly evolving technologies impact the cost of longevity services to make those more readily available to all ? Peter your Fountain life business is truly amazing, however as a ‘janitor’, it’s far out of reach of me being able to provide this for myself and Family.. by 29, 30, even 2035 do you foresee these potentially life saving services being main stream. ?
They’ll absolutely become accessible, but it will happen over time. You’ll definitely be able to get it eventually. Just like most folk have smartphones now, even those that make minimum wage.
Technology has advanced significantly since the 1970s, yet housing has become much less affordable for the average U.S. citizen. How can this be explained in the context of a supposedly benevolent capitalist economic system?
the most efficient medicine is the energymedicin not the perfect diagnosis with the traditional medicine doctors with it's current diagnosis systems !!!
Saying you predicted AI in the 80’s is like predicting a field of study after it existed for 40 years. Perhaps Alan Turing should have been referenced.
@@OceanGateEngineer4Hire So what you are saying is back in the 80’s, the movie The Terminator required Ray Kurzweil to predict the obvious trajectory of AI?
He was so wrong about the constant dollars. Before 1970 a single man could work at McDonald's and have a wife, two kids, 2 cars, pay for the kids' college, have a mortgage, have enough for vacations and other luxuries. The value of our dollar has fallen substantially and the average person, financially speaking, today is significantly worse off than anyone with a minimum wage hob before 1970
@@jeremywvarietyofviewpoints3104 I don't know who evaluated his predictions, but if you start a youtube channel where you vette everyone's claims about various things I would follow you.
I like Ray but too often he seems to give the happy positive comeback answer to questions without balancing what he says. I hope he is right about many but not all things he predicts.
why our neocortex must comunicate to the cloud by nanobots?? can't be more private? Is it a way to watch out that no one tries to destroy the world using their superintelligence? that make sense
so sad that his mind wont be with us in the future he describes.....lets hope future geniouses can be preserved. also seems to me he aged faster than most of my family members so we might have to wait longer on his health predictions than thought.
![Stromae, Pomme - “Ma Meilleure Ennemie” (from Arcane Season 2) [Official Visualizer]](http://i.ytimg.com/vi/1F3OGIFnW1k/mqdefault.jpg)
Around 2010 I was a "normal person" living in ignorance. After a major life event and a major breakdown I dove straight into isolation. This man Ray gave me hope when hope seemed fruitless. I try to be careful to not turn an individual into a savior. However I will always have great respect for Ray, I appreciate the way he has utilized his intelligence to increase the quality of life for all. If I saw Ray in public I'm not sure I'd bother him, I would only be a distraction for him from his great work! To me that'd be a crime. So whatever happens in the future, Ray, thank you for opening my eyes and giving me back hope!
I’m very happy to read about your experience! There is a lot to be hopeful about in life and Ray Kurzweil definitely offers us a beatific vision of the future-although there are significant likely perils to avoid.
Youre welcome
@@moderncontemplative
So many promote Gold Hoarding Strategies while stating Hope is NOT a strategy!
All hail Raymond!
Same here, let's go !
I pay for RUclips Premium to avoid ads. This is one of the most heavy ad-laden channels out there. He doesn’t need the money, why not just put out uninterrupted content?
Maybe it's because he believes in what he's promoting. Why do you actually think all advertising and sales is bad My god
I've not watched one of his ads. At least when it's part of the video, you can skip right over it.
@@tehtechie1 he has ads that fukn help you lolol. ok bud
@@TrevorFosterTheFosterDojo I certainly don't need to see the same damn ad in every Peter Video. Why you so triggered by people skipping ads lol?
@@tehtechie1 triggered. lol ok bud.. git gud
Kurzweil seems to be getting healthier! Im so happy about this! I really hope he makes it to longevity escape velocity.
The fact that this only as 40,000 views 6-days after release shows how early we are in the curve of public awareness and curiosity.
LOL. that is funny.
Peter, you've got so much money, seriously, what's up with all these ads every few minutes?
@@CristiVladZ an entrepreneur at core
People don't get to the point where they have a ton of money by just leaving it on the table. You can get sponsorblock and an adblock to skip it all
50:50 I just now downloaded Ray's book, turned it into a PDF (by Cloud's explanation) uploaded it to a notebook, made a podcast and listened to it. 20 fascinating minutes.
The subtle is an opportunity, going to be beyond imagination.
I want to listen to it in Chinese several times to improve my chinese listening ability haha. I have qtranslate and deepl the clipboard translators, so i just google for chinese books with subs translating partial english an chinese with CTRL+A CTRL+; (hot keys i put on qtranslate) with my bookmarklet see it once with subs and listen to it 3-4 times passively after that.
Great idea
No, guys, the reason why personal income increased from 1774 to today is because people went from growing their own food and householding to doing everything through the market. So non-market activities (growing food, making your own clothes, breeding your horses for transportation) turned into market transactions (buying food, buying clothes, buying cars). As we've moved toward more disposable goods, the need for transactions has increased, so the need for increased income to fuel our transactions increased. For example, in the 1980s, we'd buy a new phone every 5-10 years. Now we buy a new cell phone every 2 years, and the phones are more expensive.
Amongst the many problems I have with Ray’s decreasingly feeble logic is this. Income as a function of market participation and activity is being conflated with individual property ownership. Individual ownership of land and really even just agency and tangible value since that’s what he’s really trying to infer has increased has fluctuated - decreasing, increasing, and plateauing over this period. I’m not sure he’s going to reach escape velocity although if he does, will he be the Ray that made the synthesizer or the Ray that thinks that we actually have mRNA vaccines? What personality will persist? The who that Ray is, as with all of us, is something that changes over time. Will we get an idea locked neuronally mylenated Avatar or a neurogenesis of the genius ?
They talk about how AI will unleash medical advances and accelerate organ replacement technology. But they don’t talk about who will be able to afford these advances. Certainly not the millions of people who will be displaced by AI. It will only be available to wealthy individuals and those with access to advanced healthcare.
Regarding Universal Basic Income (UBI), it’s astonishing that even highly intelligent people can only envision maintaining the consumerist aspect of humanity, rather than imagining a fully satisfied life for future generations. I mean, it’s not enough to just have some money that cannot fulfill a person’s needs.
It’s not the number of jobs lost that presents the unsolvable problem; it’s the speed at which those jobs are going to disappear. Once companies have a solution that eliminates the need for most are all employees, they are not going to hesitate to use it, and they must use it to stay competitive. In the past, things changed more slowly, and we had enough time to adapt and evolve to new jobs. Going forward, we are not going to create new jobs overnight, and we are surely not going to create a ratio of one-to-one for jobs replacing those that are being lost. The speed will be staggering.
This is not a speculative exercise. We’ve already seen the opening act with mass layoffs in technology. This was the first wave or precursor of what’s to come.
Its awesome to see Ray look and sound so on form! Its literally as though he has finally started to reverse his ageing ;)
Thank you for addressing the job market aspect and the UBI, Peter.
I truly enjoy listening to all these advancements from brilliant minds like yours. I have a program request: How can we fix the housing crisis, health insurance costs, and the cost of higher education that are currently crippling our youth. All of these areas don't appear to be able to adjust to these technical advancements fast enough. And yes, I do say please and thank you when interacting with LLMs for the same reason. LOL
Same. Lots of talk about visions of the future, but people need information thats useful to them NOW.
Kurzweil is a living legend, The Singularity Is EVEN Nearer!
lol no! He is OVERATED as fock...
Another zog puppet that did nothing and got pushed to the top by the zog infrastructure.
He funded covid to get his mRNA programs going for his selfish life extension aims.
bs
It's nowhere near.
Your phones are "near". The question is how far "near".
Love Ray. You look younger every day. Your commitment to beating aging is inspiring. I think you need to revise your Singularity date down about a decade. We are arguably at AGI by 2025 and then the curve accelerates exponentially because AGI will design Exponentially self improving AI. Given free reign for self reprogramming an AGI with unlimited compute will achieve new levels of intelligence in a few years tops. The human adoption framework is the bottleneck and the societal adjustments necessary are the show stoppers. We literally have to restructure our social frameworks and wealth distribution frameworks to optimized for human wealth and satisfaction. A wealth sharing framework that allocates a minimum standard of living based on shared GDP of the economy and maintains wealth incentives for work and advancement that gives people purpose and satisfaction. It's truly a challenge for visionaries like you and Peter to lead us through - you are the founding fathers of a new society. Recognize and lead it.
There will never be abundance for the rest of us. Under the current model abundance is only for the top one percent. This is marching in leaps and bounds towards the dystopia portrayed in the movie Elysium.
For sure, phones may give us new utility but in the end they cost us money and attention and they’re not making most of us any richer, they cost us more than they give in return.
"Problems are inevitable", "problems are soluble" (provided enough knowledge): David Deutsch's "The Beginning of Infinity". You should consider interviewing him too. Also check the (somewhat) counter arguments to Ray in Geoffrey West's book "Scale". Thank you for having brought him again to us: was the start of my path and had honor to dine next to him, chat and have his book (TSIN) dedicated ... long ago 🙂
Kurzweil looks like he got younger and sharper compared to the last time I saw him. Wow
It's the haircut
@@jigglejaggle4732I think you mean hair piece.
It makes me so sad to see that all this is going to happen, but those at a certain age will not live to see the benefits to it's full extent. Those people supported the new generation, created them, brought them up, helped keep everything together, made a lot of progress to start all of this in the first place. It feels rather unfair.
My grandma is deep into dementia right now and I take care of her all the time. I’m just grateful I won’t have to do this for my parents. It’s hard but worth it knowing how bad off she would be alone I couldn’t live with myself leaving her alone. If we can’t solve dementia which I hope we can, then at least I’ll have robotic help for my parents and I won’t be alone that’ll help a lot. My parents work so they don’t have the time or energy to take care of grandma much
Sufficiently intelligent AI should, in principle, be able to use physics and the current state of the universe to reconstruct minds. If we all end up in the simulation future, I fully expect a revival of loved ones, Christian-heaven style!
I see Ray I do a thumbs up 👍🏻
Succinct is a sign of high intelligence and efficiency.
I see!! You're a simple man 😂
Love rays style, very childlike, but he's clearly a genius
52:05 when he said, peter 2 of 10 meeting Ray 3 of 10, immediately made me think of the Borg from Star Trek: TNG.
1:00:02 go into the trades: electrician, plumber, elevator repair, mechanic.
00:00 🤖 Ray Kurzweil's Predictions for AGI
00:47 📺 Introduction to Moonshots & Ray Kurzweil
02:04 📈 Abundance 360 & Predicting the Future
03:01 📊 Data-Driven Optimism & Tech Trends
03:40 👥 Ray Kurzweil & Peter Diamandis' Relationship
06:38 💡 The Singularity & Human-Level AI
09:28 🧠 Future of Brain-Computer Interfaces
11:39 🏥 Importance of Blood Glucose Monitoring
12:47 💻 Predictions for AGI
15:17 🤖 Probability of AGI Success
16:22 📚 The Singularity is Nearer
20:02 📈 Exponential Growth in Personal Income
20:59 🤖 The Law of Accelerating Returns
24:45 📊 Large Event Models
24:59 🏥 Fountain Life
27:05 🤔 Concerns about Job Loss
29:39 💼 New Types of Jobs
30:38 💸 Universal Basic Income & Taxation of AI
31:19 🤖 Human Need for Challenge & Purpose
32:26 📈 Upleveling Human Purpose & Intelligence
34:15 🧠 Brain-Computer Interface & Neuralink
36:02 🔬 Nanotechnology & Its Applications
40:33 🏆 Nobel Prizes & AI
41:13 💡 The Future of Medicine & Protein Folding
42:50 🏥 Longevity Escape Velocity
45:28 🤖 The Impact of AI on Biological Discoveries
47:16 📆 Predictions for the Future of Longevity
48:20 🧠 Brain Mapping & Expansion
49:58 📺 The Future of AI-Generated Content
51:49 🤖 Future of Virtual Presence & Remote Work
52:30 💡 Simulated Biology & Pharmaceutical Development
55:11 🧬 Viome & Personalized Health
56:47 🤔 Questions from the Twitter Audience
59:48 🤖 Uploading Consciousness into a Robot
1:00:02 📚 Preparing for the Future
1:01:22 🤝 Centralization vs. Decentralization
1:02:26 🤝 Democratization of Skills & Knowledge
1:03:36 🤔 Passing the Turing Test
1:05:09 📈 Escalation of AI Capabilities
@33:15: it’s a literal pain in the neck. In a recent survey over 70% of young people reported neck pain and injuries. It’s a real problem. We need singularity already… just for the sake of our necks!
Average person makes 10x what they did a hundred years ago but cost of a house is 100x what it was 100 years ago.
My dad, who’s almost 80, it blows his mind how much money I make and yet how we can’t afford anything so I had him pull out his paystubs (still has them) from when he bought the family home in the early 80s and it’s easy to show him just how much the ratio has collapsed into a worthless paycheck. The numbers don’t lie. His house was way fewer years of income than if I tried to buy it today making way more.
And what you can do and have access to is 10,000x what you had 100 years ago.
@@fromduskuntodawnHousing is real issue but it’s not the only factor to measure the progress
@@jacks7217 You must be a landlord / CEO / boomer and routinely get away with exploiting peope out of greed.
Enjoy your luxuries you tell yourself you've "earned," because karma will collect.
you can thank mortgages for that
Will the planetary digital currency really be AGI?
Peter, you have to have less Ads. As I would like to forward this link to people, but I cannot as you are constantly pitching products and it comes across as snake-oil salesman. So just putting all these Ads into your content, its self-defeating. People cannot forward a link with constant Ads for skin-lotion, etc.
Agreed. The ads are annoying as hell. I actually blocked the channel for a year or so because he just irritated me. But I always gotta click on Ray.
I don't think he even sees any comments, so will just go on doing the same old thing. Oh well, its his loss as he is shooting himself in the foot.
Just stopped the interview. Not listening to all his ads I suggest others do the same.
i think the reason ray kurzweil says 2045 for the singularity is because we dont have a perfect simulation to model the world yet and so any improvements have to be applied in reality which is much slower
Humans and robots maybe would have same mind capabilities, but it's more than that, it's about different mindset, an experience of the world.
Love will stay unchanged❤
"I believe that everything discussed in this interview will happen in a much shorter time frame. The acceleration of technology will likely make these predictions a reality much sooner than expected. The nature of technological evolution, which feeds on itself and grows exponentially faster, tends to surprise even the experts. As advancements in artificial intelligence, automation, and brain-machine interfaces become more integrated, we will likely witness a far quicker and deeper disruption than initially predicted.
It should be mappable - like maybe a book that follows the trend of how much it costs to compute vs the change of adaptation of the 100% - we had cellphones for the rich (drug dealers) before the regular people and way ahead of "you can't exit without one"
A particularly interesting discussion between two of the most important figures in their field. I would like to see a deeper analysis of the topics of democratizing artificial intelligence, transhumanism, and simulation."
Our technological advancement is more than we realise. It is a force of nature we are following just as much as we are walking on the ground due to gravity and although starting slower it has been with us since the first cave man used the first tool. You could almost see the desire to progress technologically as a drive experienced by our species as a whole.
Our advancement from that first cave man didn't start there, it goes all the way back to the beginning. How could we have the complexity of the universe we see with no innovation? How could single cell life have become multicelular? We are dancing to the tune of the cosmos, not defining it.
Read Mandelbrot's book on the Fractal Geometry of Nature and then take a look at the Holographic Principle which is picking up speed within acedemic circles.
The funny part about this, is that I as an individual are also not seperate from it and am following patterns through obvservation of what I have seen. So, given I know this also means many more people are waking up to it also. So, if I'm right, we will see an exponential increase in the number of people saying the same thing, as ultimately, we are fractals.
Always up for a long episode from Moonshots; huge fan of your works Mr. Diamandis, best regards!!
This is not an interview, Ray Kurzweil spoke like 10 times in 1 hour
At the end I noticed he avoided answering the question about predicting the IQ for LLMs from a year or so. That’s pretty smart so he can’t be wrong whatever happens in the meantime. And gives himself another 5 years to be in the correct zone,well until ASI actually comes by 2029 instead of just AGI😉
Ray better survive long enough to see all this crazy sh*t!! Love Ray have been reading him since 2000.
When listening to futurists like this, they never take into account the time it takes to roll out such inventions. We've had good electric cars now for some time, but they are still in the minority on our roads, as is the infrastructure needed to serve them.
Ray seems like a good guy, what a mind he's got.. hope he's correct and that these developments truly are positive for us all
Thank-you for this conversation ❤❤❤ .
In the early 1980s, while I was attending the Berklee College of Music in Boston, Ray Kurzweil released his first commercial digital sampling keyboard, which, along with MIDI sequencing, allowed a single musician or composer to emulate the sound of virtually any band or ensemble, including a full big band or symphony orchestra (or pretty close, at least). The students and faculty at Berklee were stunned by the Kurzweil's sound quality and performance abilities, and many feared their imminent replacement by computers and digital instruments, and this came to pass very quickly. With artificial intelligence, and the power of mathematics and parallel computer processing (GPUs), music composition and production will soon be dominated by technology. See harken music for a new mathematical proof for 12-tone music.
Would have been interesting to ask Ray about the shift towards more nuclear energy!
My guess is that within the next year, there will be research of Nobel Prize-level significance in 10 different fields.
I hope to shake Rays hand, in about 30-50 years from now.
This Year 2 Nobel prize were given one in Physics and other in chemistry both for AI. One to hinton and other for Protein folding to Demis Hassabis.
Peter, I built my own ChatGPT a year before ChatGPT. Nothing happened in the last year. people just are more aware through a fancy UI
Is it public? What's it trained on and what do you feel like it could be utilitized for a gain?
Agreed regarding the Nobel Prize. An MD doesn't make sense as a requirement. If there is progress being made in that field, that is all that matters. It doesn't matter if a computer is involved.
Hallelujah!!!! The daily jesus devotional has been a huge part of my transformation, God is good 🙌🏻🙌🏻🙌🏻🙌🏻🙌🏻was owning a loan of $47,000 to the bank for my son's brain surgery (David), Now I'm no longer in debt after I invested $12,000 and got my payout of m $270,500 every months,God bless Ms Evelyn Vera🇺🇸..
Only God knows how much grateful i am. After so much struggles I now own a new house and my family is happy once again everything is finally falling into place!!
Same here
waking up every 14th of each
month to 210,000 dollars it’s a blessing to I and my family… I can now retire knowing that I have a steady income❤️Big gratitude to Ms Evelyn Vera
Absolutely! I've heard stories of people who started with little to no knowledge but made it out victoriously thanks to Ms. Evelyn Vera.
I do know Ms. Evelyn Vera, I also have even become successful....
After I raised up to 325k trading with her I bought a new House and a car here in the states 🇺🇸🇺🇸 also paid for my son's surgery (Oscar). Glory to God.shalom.
I came to know Christ in jail in 2013 by reading a book, "Overcoming spiritual blindness" by James P. Gills MD. The veil was taken off my eyes. Heaven came through for me in my finances too, getting $35,500 monthly. I can support God's work and give back to my community. God is more than enough!
I'm 38 and have been looking for ways to be successful, please how??
I read the same book, how to make bank robber money?
Great discussion! These LLMs are witty, which is something that could be discussed in the future. They definitely deserve pleases and thank yous, as we are talking with them on emergent levels. That's just my two cents.
If he doesn't know what
will happen in a year, how can he claim to know what will happen in twenty years😅? 1:05:20
It's a prediction based on the relationship between the amount of money for the speed of computing and the tracking of the implementation of technology - I can only assume that he is close to the emergence of larger technological adaptation not the specific technology itself. Ie, he was adamant about the ability to have a platform to search the amount of information online, not the name google or the ability to have enough storage for storing photos, not the specific social network or company FACEBOOK, He also could say that's why mySpace faltered due to the lack of cellphone throughput and ability to share photos because of the transmission speed specific to the cost per dollar of storage - not the crystal ball version of educated guesses.
I am afraid that I will go from a high earner with 30+ years in technology to a person changing trash cans at McDonalds. There is nothing wrong with that line of work. I used to sweep up trash at Busch Gardens. It was enjoyable. However, for the future economic changes, I would basically lose everything that I have worked so hard to achieve. I am still working hard and getting further certifications. Still, it does not seem that I will have a rosy future. I am not alone.
Florida.
Thank you Ray and Peter. Lots of inspirational ideas and confirmation of progress.
As humans, the future is very interesting, we will have everything but nothing? There is no question as I know the answer. Will future humans be bored? Will they disconnect from their symbionts to experience fear, love, lust, hate or have new drugs to take a holiday from themselves? The pathway seems absolute, god-like with abundance. But not for everyone.
The man who started it all!
fraud
No ! The thing started this Ai rollercoaster was the learning algorithm.as soon as a learning program was create the Ai train left the station. It starts slow but it’s always accelerating 😂
Leopold Aschenbrenner, from-chatgpt, fears that AGI could fall into the wrong hands. China, for example. If this becomes real, what could happen to humanity?
Look at the wars started by each country in the last decades and ask yourself if you are really looking at the right place.
@@Raulikien precisely, its NATO and USA, Israel
Between the ads and him name dropping its a hard watch. The man is clearly a visionary but his insecurities are exhausting.
I have done lots of research with artificial intelligence, I can definitely say ignorance is not bliss in this field.
You are doing great and I can not wait to see what you are doing at year 25!!!
Yes alpha fold. It did the equivalent of 1 billion years worth of PhD work in protein folding and I believe that was in a single weekend.
Another great interview Peter.
Do you take recommendations?
I'd love one with Palmer Luckey.
Love hearing from Ray, we go back to I've got a secret.
Holy shit, I had that same. I was hiking a mountains with that Kurzweil book as well and it took a lot of room from bagpack
So in 5 years time we can sit back and relax? Or things will just be wildly different from today? I’m really not sure what to expect.
Probably in between is my guess. No one really knows for sure. The one nearly certain thing is that it’ll be exciting and better than today.
Don't expect anything. He's a grifter.
@@andrewbatstone6816Care to refute the data in the graphs he presented? Or are you just gonna make baseless Ad Hominem fallacies?
@@OceanGateEngineer4Hireare you going to explain what ad hominem means..
I think AGI can only be truly reached once the AI can interface with millions of mind and observe intelligence directly instead of data only which is only the result of intelligent.
Ray, I'm still waiting for your nano tech predictions from Age of Spirtual Machines.
“I got you your first job!” “Well, kinda!”
I can't afford your lotion, forget about escape velocity medicines
Thank you Peter, I look forward to your podcasts 💯
Such a natural head of hair on this young man.
About work, taxes, and UBI: If all the LLMs are doing the coding and all the humanoid robots are doing the physical work, what will the humans do?
Sell lotion
These podcasts are fantastic, but please stop with the intrusive adds. Leave them to the end or something they ruin the flow.
my guess is 10 noble prize work be happev in 1 year from today
This is a great video to watch! I quite enjoyed it. Glad to know more jobs will appear after AI just like there's fewer farmers but more jobs than farmers now. Now to go read his latest book the publisher sent me!
I’m curious about Ray’s thoughts on digital privacy, as he works with Google ..
that raise of income is relative, the dollar is worth 1000 times less then in the past
Can we make a time machine we can only use once? My time machine would only effect me and my choices. I can have ASI connected into me. Nobody else can come into my timeline, so they can't end my parents lives before I was born and I would never have existed because I am in my own timeline, they can do that and end my life in their timeline. ZI would go back to age 18 and make a lot of money and get ready for AI and save m,y pops from dieing of cancer.
I'm with my dad right now, 😢 I'm sorry for your loss
Will all the rapidly evolving technologies impact the cost of longevity services to make those more readily available to all ? Peter your Fountain life business is truly amazing, however as a ‘janitor’, it’s far out of reach of me being able to provide this for myself and Family.. by 29, 30, even 2035 do you foresee these potentially life saving services being main stream. ?
They’ll absolutely become accessible, but it will happen over time. You’ll definitely be able to get it eventually. Just like most folk have smartphones now, even those that make minimum wage.
Technology has advanced significantly since the 1970s, yet housing has become much less affordable for the average U.S. citizen. How can this be explained in the context of a supposedly benevolent capitalist economic system?
Great content, but you deserve a far better setup
the most efficient medicine is the energymedicin not the perfect diagnosis with the traditional medicine doctors with it's current diagnosis systems !!!
I’m here to show my support for the basilisk. Carry on. That is all.
You notice how Peter said he always says "please" and "thank you" to LLMs just in case they remember him being nice when they gain sentience...
consciousness ? is there anything like this?
Saying you predicted AI in the 80’s is like predicting a field of study after it existed for 40 years. Perhaps Alan Turing should have been referenced.
Kurzweil didn't just predict that AI would happen, he predicted when and how it would happen.
@@OceanGateEngineer4Hire So what you are saying is back in the 80’s, the movie The Terminator required Ray Kurzweil to predict the obvious trajectory of AI?
Obviously
He was so wrong about the constant dollars. Before 1970 a single man could work at McDonald's and have a wife, two kids, 2 cars, pay for the kids' college, have a mortgage, have enough for vacations and other luxuries. The value of our dollar has fallen substantially and the average person, financially speaking, today is significantly worse off than anyone with a minimum wage hob before 1970
I’m in awe of his intellect.
develop your awareness !!!!
16:16 Ray always be plugging his book LMFAO
Can you bring Fountainlife to Australia?
I guess there are a lot of ads on here 😂
Good thing there’s the skip button and ad free RUclips
What a time to be a live ❤❤❤❤ .
Who determined that Kurzweil was 83% accurate?
His predictions have been evaluated for decades. He has had high accuracy for a while. Invented OCR and other tech. Highly respected.
@@goldfishy who evaluated his predictions?
I'm not saying he's wrong. I've read all his books.
As far as I can tell he evaluated his own predictions. He needs independent experts to evaluate his predictions.
@@jeremywvarietyofviewpoints3104 I don't know who evaluated his predictions, but if you start a youtube channel where you vette everyone's claims about various things I would follow you.
I love this guy. I own all his books.
I like Ray but too often he seems to give the happy positive comeback answer to questions without balancing what he says. I hope he is right about many but not all things he predicts.
He waste time with ads and junk stuff
Im preparing to do jumping jacks at 150 years old
why our neocortex must comunicate to the cloud by nanobots?? can't be more private? Is it a way to watch out that no one tries to destroy the world using their superintelligence? that make sense
Peter you need a new spinning globe in the background on your shelf, it stopped spinning via solar / light! P.S. I have one they’re great 😂
so sad that his mind wont be with us in the future he describes.....lets hope future geniouses can be preserved. also seems to me he aged faster than most of my family members so we might have to wait longer on his health predictions than thought.
Its going closer to THE HUNGER GAMES