Caribbean Hurricane Threat Building
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- Опубликовано: 26 июн 2024
- An area of interest, marked Invest 95L, is stirring in the central Atlantic ocean, and signs are looking good for sustained development of this potential storm. The disturbance is being closely tracked and could become a hurricane as soon as Sunday, and could threaten Barbados, St Lucia and other parts of the Lesser Antilles early next week.
The track and intensity of this potential storm is still uncertain, with recurvature possible as well as land interaction significantly weakening the storm if it affects the Greater Antilles. A path directly through the Caribbean Sea towards the Yucatan Peninsula and the Gulf of Mexico is still on the table too.
Rainfall estimates of over 6 inches (150mm) are expected along the path of this relatively small storm as it passes through the Lesser Antilles.
Elsewhere, another area of interest is prowling the coast of Nicaragua and Honduras, and has a small chance of developing as it moves into the Gulf of Mexico in the next few days. Locally heavy rainfall is expected, with totals of up to 12 inches (300mm) possible in eastern Mexico.
Another storm could form behind the current area of interest in the Atlantic, and the Eastern Pacific may finally get its season started in early July.
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The runs remind me of Elsa but a bit more intense
It seems the stronger 95l gets the more Florida is in play . The high pressure will be critical. Sometimes it works in Floridas favor. Probably a bad analog but I remember how the forecast changed in Floridas favor regarding Ike back in 08 . The high pressure came to the rescue. Will the shield hold over Miami and Tampa ?
Some models say it’ll be a major Hurricane
Keep safe just in case
It'll prob get up to a category 1 maximum
More likely a category 2 but the HWRF model shows a Category 3
@@ARandomHurricaneTracker Keep monitoring
I'm going to bet a 3, maybe a weak Cat 4
Hello from Japan. No storms here.
Get earthquakes data dutchsinse earthquakes Utube
Just make sure it doesn’t relocate its center to the north like a certain Atlantic storm in 2019…
We can't control weather...
@@TBATG ik, it’s a joke lol
@@JackyThaParrot Oh ok, continue Mr.Parrot! 🫡
Wait wooahhh they added a ufo emoji?? 🛸
Sorry I accidentally found that out while typing this lol
@@JackyThaParrot dude thank you for subscribing!
I'll give that area of interest an 80% chance while that system in EPAC was 30%
Nooo PAGASA says that la niña will low chance forming in July to august but high chance in September also end of the year there's still la niña in July to august but weak only.
Well in El Nino to La Nina Transition, activity would be in August to October but there would be strong and destructive storms.
@@JarredandYellowJ9228 yep true but 2024 WPAC needs to catch up because 6 months left before 2024 end in my prediction I think 1 tropical cyclone will form in January 2025
@@jaidenalzona1693 Just wait until August, Because that is where the WPAC will be active along with September and October
Yeah
@@JarredandYellowJ9228 what now? will gaemi or prapiroon form in august or july?
Hope that none of the potential storms affect the Cricket World Cup Finale
Hello,Atlantic seemly wake up little bit
It’ll probably get diverted out to sea by a HP system before it comes to the states.
June is like worse month than May especially for the northern hemisphere so idk what happened but maybe activity wasn't impressed June activity enough
on the serious side Caribbean could see another bret 2023 storm hitting Caribbean as a weak to strong tropical storm (possibly a hurricane by 95L)
but it's not gonna be a huge threat in rainfall amounts tho so no devasting floods for Caribbean islands
Otis vibes 😮
Time check 8:22pm ❤ Philippines 💖
it reminds me if bret and cindy last year but what if... berly and chris??
Bermuda (Watching these 3 areas)
Gfs says that 95L will be 967 mb
The 1 behind 95L might become 995 mb tropical storm
Show currents wind upper lower
My prediction 2024 atlantic hurricane season
17 storms
11 hurricanes
6 majors
I think it will be a backloaded season 16-21 storms 8-12 hurricanes 4-6 major hurricanes 4-6 US Impacts
2017???
@@fran0033
Mine is
20 TS
13 H
7 MH