@@BillyBob-xi9ih think back a bit further... It was plan all along to hurt Stefanos after Cincinnati winning dance. He beat him on his favorite surface. Now that was personal 😂 so he took his revenge on Stef in Rome on clay. Getting back at Jannik was just a bonus 😂
It’s worth noting that since Djokovic won 11 titles in 2015 and Murray won 9 titles in 2016, there have only been two seasons where any player won more than 5 titles (Federer won 7 in 2017 and Zverev won 6 in 2021). Medvedev has already won 5 and we aren’t even close yet to the part of his season where he historically performs the strongest. He may be on track for the winning-est season we’ve seen in a long time
It was during his match against Zapata Miralles that I somehow felt Medvedev could totally win the whole tournament. His level was phenomenal... No one can hit through him without redlining and killing themselves (like Rune did here) as of now, I feel..
Gill Gross Hello, as usual, very good analysis and I can say that I agree with most of it. However, I cannot understand that a super tennis analyst like you misses the biggest reason why Rune lost this tennis match which was his horrible serve. You mentioned that his cardio let him down (which you are absolutely right about) from the baseline Medvedev was also the stronger the safer and above all Medvedev had better length in his strokes than Rune had. All this you mentioned in this analysis. However for some strange reason you didn't mention the biggest reason why Rune lost this final and that was because of his horrible first serve (he lands a horrible 49% of first serves in) certainly the serve is not as important on clay as it is in the faster surfaces. But still, the serve is important even on clay so you can dictate the rallies in the third fifth or seventh stroke. The most important shots in tennis are the third, fifth and seventh strokes. And the player who does the most damage in the third, fifth and seventh strokes in tennis is the player who 99% of the time wins the tennis matches. That’s why the big 3 are so breathtaking good because nobody does a better job than them on this three shots Nadal mostly on clay Federer, and Djokovic on the other surfaces. And for you to have the opportunity to be successful in these very important strokes, you must have a good first serve. Either land a high first serve in or have a good spot serve, which Rune had not achieved either of them. His serve was a completely disastrous he played this final with a second serve and not a first serve. And without a first serve against a quality player like Medvedev, you have no chance. And a great tennis analyst like you to fail to mention this very important part about why Rune lost this final is a huge mystery to me. And last but not least my friend, Medvedev's serve was not broken in the second set at 3-3 due to Rune prolonging the rallies and showing great patience (absolutely not) that game Rune got as a Christmas present from the Russian. That was Medvedev's worst game in the entire final with 3 simple unforced errors. So that's why Rune laughed and couldn't understand that a super consistent Medvedev (who hardly made any mistakes the whole match) was a completely Santa Clause in that 3-3 game in the second set. Watch that game again and you'll see what I mean. Apart from these two things (where you are absolutely not right) I agree with everything else. Cheers😉
@@GillGross Side note: I myself played a match on soggy clay yesterday. I mostly sucked, aside from the first set where I rallied from 1-5 down to force a tiebreak. Hearing your comments on Daniil’s previous struggles and recent improvements gives me hope that soon enough I can do the same.
The end of this final seems extremely reminiscent of the end of the Monte Carlo final. Became extremely physical, started winning, got tired, and lost.
Hey Gill Firstly, I love how open you are to saying "I just got that wrong, I'm changing my opinion".👍 2nd, Seeing as you have connections in Infosys, could you find out what the hell they mean by "quality"when assigning numerical values to different strokes. Thanks. PS i love how Holger just has himself agood time on the court, winning or losing - at least here in Rome. Given hw ran out of steam was that really a good idea to listen to Patrick & engage in long rallies. But at the end of the 1st set after he lost, he was annoyed with himself for just pushing the ball & playing too passively. When he came back out, it was with a renewed determination to go for his shots & was much more aggressive for a while and he was defo troubling Meddy there till he got into too many long rallies. So was the courtside coaching a good thing in the end. Hmmm.
@Gill I feel we should also factor in the fact that it was really Rainy conditions in Rome. Which would mean lower bounce on clay than usual which I feel helped Medvedev and contributed to his success.
Excellent point. Add improved movement and new strings which gave him more depth and spin too. But the cold, damp and rainy conditions definitely contributed to a lower bounce like indoor conditions. He himself said madrid and the French open play more like hard (interesting he didn't mention Rome). So I think he will be very effective at night when the bounce is lower
Four straight 7-5 sets against Tsitsipas and Rune by Meddy. It's as if he coasts until 5-5, then puts his foot on the accelerator to leave his opponents in the dust.
Medvedev has a rare ability to hit attacking shots that put pressure on his opponent even when he himself is in an extreme defensive position. He gets to almost every ball and hardly ever gives the opponent an easy shot. That continuous pressure cracks most opponents.
One of the things the new Gen don't have yet is the endurance for 5 set matches. Med yes, Carlos yes but Rune? I doubt he could last against Med in a 5 setter. IMO. They all are too tall and too thin. Good example was Nadal during the AO in 2022. But Rune is only 20. Long way to go...
@Gill for the algorithm, I'm a geek so let me help you with the algorithm at 15ish min, you need to think more in lines of... when the player changes the direction of the ball, when they speed up the ball, or when they approach the net, rather then the sensors using to measure it. The images alone, with the ML/AI where it is already, this stuff can figure out a lot just from the video feed
Gill could you find a statics about Medvedev's average forehand speed in 2021 and this year. Wonder if his hernia surgery affected his FH like it did to his serve. Thanks
I’m definitely concerned bout Rune winning a major having to win best of 5 matches…he’d have to win in week 1 pretty much in straight sets to have a chance
Hi cole, with te current monstrous growth in sports. Medicine, technology, AI, chatbots, ice therapy, physio and what not… What is that one thing which stops this generation from winning back to back tough three setters let alone 5 set matches…?
@@ArunBanumathi The depth of the field. Others also have access to technology, ice therapy and whatnot. Also just as recently as the last US Open, Alcaraz won plenty of 5-setters in a row. So all-in-all this generation is doing ok.
Partly correct. After US open he just vanished. Whereas let’s take Rafa last year, he also won back to back matches in Aus open but then went after a tear after that until his abs tore off… 18/19 year old rafa competes back to back best of 5 setters in Miami, MC, Barcelona, Rome (All finals) and in grandslams across surfaces…. The problem is when people annoint alcaraz as next rafa and rune as next novak naturally our minds starts comparing which we should stop untill they are really in Big 3 league….I think doing OK is what stopping them all to be exceptional. With Rafa being out in RG if the current gen including zverev, medvedev etal don’t use this opportunity they are lost gen too no matter even if they win next next grand slams. RG is what the gateway to old gen, current gen and nextgens…
Congrats to Medvedev for winning his first clay title and doing it in impressive fashion. Beating Zverev, Tsitsipas and Rune to win is no joke and should be applauded. The Russian has proved me and many others wrong in his ability to adapt to the red sand. With Nadal out, Djokovic dealing with injury and form and Alcaraz losing Rome early, this has got to be the most wide open Roland Garros ever. Dare I say Medvedev is now the second favorite behind Alcaraz?
Hi Gill excited for your power rankings. At the start of clay season, I made a comment under one of your video and I had Medvedev right behind Alcaraz, Novak, Rune and Nadal in tiers that I had created. People who are supporting Medvedev now made fun of my comment for putting Medvedev that high.😂 Also, I had Sinner at 6th position( after rune) and people didn’t even like that as everyone was thinking sinner should be Third( after Djok and Alcaraz). I still think sinner is one dimensional and overrated player.
I think that the weather had a major influence of the outcome of this match ! Medvedev couldn`t have asked for better conditions to suit his playing style, and Rune the oposite !!
Excellent point. Add improved movement and new strings which gave him more depth and spin too. But the cold, damp and rainy conditions definitely contributed to a lower bounce like indoor conditions. He himself said madrid and the French open play more like hard (interesting he didn't mention Rome). So I think he will be very effective at night when the bounce is lower
@Gill, remeber a few months back, you did not believe that Medvedev can go back to his best form and winning ways? Now he already has 5 titles this season.
@Gill My favourites to win RG Alcaraz, Djokovic Rune and Tsisipas for the favourites and Medvedev as a dark horse. What you think about this list and whos your favourite to win RG?
Someone said in the beginning of the year that medvedev is not in the top tier anymore. Some people are very quick in writing off good players very soon.
I think I was much more patient than most. Waited February 2022 through January 2023 before I first started to wonder about his place at the top. But he turned it around as soon as I did! No regrets in how I’ve covered him tbh. Super happy he’s winning so much.
@@GillGross "someone" had a good season in 2022 (because one novak was not allowed to played the whole season, one nadal disappered after an excellent first half, one medvedev, one zverev, one berentini, one tsisipas all went through issues in a single season) and people started claiming that guy belonged to the top tier. And someone underperformed in that very season (because of injury, surgery and lack of motivation) unlike the previous 2 ,3 years and people quickly jumped to write him off. Isn't it double standards?
@@mb_1990 No, not double standards, just very different situations. Alcaraz was a 19 year old with as wide an array of assets as we’d seen in well over a decade. Medvedev was a 26 year old with some very defined weaknesses. I chalked up Daniils bad 2022 to unfortunate circumstance, but when he lost to Djokovic as badly as he did and then Korda at AO, I was out of explanations.
@@mb_1990 and by the way, last year’s claims about Alcaraz have shown to be correct so far in 2023. He’s still dominant. I can’t agree at all with attributing his big season to issues with the field.
I am going to do top 5 in my personal French open power rankings, let’s see how it compares to Gil’s tomorrow: #1 Carlos Alcaraz #2 Novak Djokovic #3 Daniil Medvedev #4 Holger Rune and #5 Stefanos Tsitsipas
@@sandranastia even with the injury ,if Nole doesnt win the tournament he would want to finish strongly maybe in semis or atleast in quarterfinal bearing in mind he is currently NO 3 in the rankings
I like how you brought in the attack conversion percentage, which is an interesting metric and I’m glad you brought it up - however, I think distilling it to ‘Holger attacking more often, Medvedev attacking better’ doesn’t account for the impact of Daniil’s defense. It is plausible that how you couched it is accurate, but it is not clear based on that metric… maybe Holger was attacking more often, and better, and still lost because of Medvedev’s amazing defense.
Yeah, I didn’t want to make it too complicated. Defense is objectively part of that equation. But the why analysis ultimately needs to come from what I’m seeing, and I determined the different approaches to attack to be the determining factor.
For sure - I think you did a nice job using tape to support the case for why the ‘attack’ differences were key, beyond just the initial stat. Nice vid man!
Rune has improved his shot selection but he still has work to do. There were too many unnecessary net approaches and bad drop shots. He should trust his baseline game more even against Medvedev.
Gill earlier in the year you said Medvedev would never retain world #1. With his incredible first half of the season (normally better in 2nd half), and improvements on Clay, have you changed your mind?
IDK where to put a question for Gill's mailbag. Try to start here. It is about the players that ITF/ATP lists as "ambidextrous". Are they really? Because I have a suspicion that they put players who have 2-handed forehand there. But truly ambidextrous shall serve equally good with both hands. Somehow I doubt that there are that many or any at all. Although I have 48 players listed as such in ATP database - from ITF or ATP sources.
Interesting about Rune "not making difficult volleys into successful volleys" - is that because it's just too difficult, or because Rune lacks the skill? I can't say I agree that Medvedev's game is beautiful, but he is dogged. I think, though, Rune does seem to have a problem with running out of gas and needs to work on his cardio, especially with two slams coming up.
Rune will need the whole season for that. Cardio is not going to improve in the next 2 slams. His current cardio level might just about be okay in Wimbledon, although if he plays multiple 5 setters, it is still doubtful.
it always surprises me how analysts and what not tend to over do it. the best player in the world, if he decides, can be a threat and hella dominant in every single tournament. he has by far most wins this year ffs. how can this surprise folk ?
YIV it could but here’s the concern for best of 5 for now if some how he had to play back to back best of 5 matches over 2 days if it rain at RG could he survive that physically
Andrey Rublev wins monte carlo open Daniil Medvedev wins Rome open Russians are ruling the clay court. This shows if you're in land of grass where cows are there but no clay is there.
Earlier in the year, you said you didn’t think Medvedev would be #1 again. And then you double downed on that statement. He is now just a few hundred points from #1. Do you still feel the same way or with this breakthrough on clay, do you think he could now become #1 again?
Looking forward to seeing your power rankings! Nowadays I make my own power rankings as well before the Slams start and then compare it to yours. A lot of times they’re pretty similar! Interested to see what the few differences are this time and your reasonings
@@BillyBob-xi9ih 1. alcaraz 2. djokovic (but djoker is still my pick for the title 100%) 3. medvedev 4. tsitsipas (rune would beat him but its due to bo5) 5. rune 6. rublev 7. ruud 8. sinner 9. coric (upset alert) 10. faa (upset alert)
Every player should have right to play under her/his country's flag. One cannot choose the country of one's birth. WTA/ATP/ITF, stop this nonsense and do not mix sport with politics. Appointing "flag police" at the AO 2023 was not even childish... it was embarassing and insane... Wars are run by politicians not sportsmen/sportswomen. Why during the invasion of Iraq, 20 year bombing of Afghanistan not to mention the genocidal Vietnam war US, Australian, UK... athletes were allowed to compete under their national flag? USA invaded Iraq in 2003 and yet their flag was still allowed at the World Cup 2006 in Germany and 2010 in South Africa despite the fact they were still in Iraq. Either ban ALL flags of countries who go to war, or don't ban any of them. Another example; are Israeli (Para-)olympians responsible for the policy of their government towards Palestinians? * All wars are equal, but some wars are more equal than others.
Medvedev was being sarcastic. He knew he would do well. You and most tennis pundits don’t appear to have very good insight. You constantly make bad predictions and are not very good at fessing up when you’re wrong.
![Wiz Khalifa - Khalifa's Home [Official Music Video]](http://i.ytimg.com/vi/wnrLCTe0Nz4/mqdefault.jpg)
Sinner after Miami: “Let’s see how well you do on clay”
Medvedev: “And i took that personally…”
I actually wouldn’t be surprised if that really was a motivation, Medvedev seems to be the type to like proving things to people
Fits with the dance after beating Stef to get revenge for Cincinnati
Sinner meant this in a funny way, as everyone knows about the relationship Daniil has had with the clay. Daniil was also laughing.
@@BillyBob-xi9ih think back a bit further... It was plan all along to hurt Stefanos after Cincinnati winning dance. He beat him on his favorite surface. Now that was personal 😂 so he took his revenge on Stef in Rome on clay.
Getting back at Jannik was just a bonus 😂
@@Victrola66 I mean Stef has beaten him 2-3 times on his favorite surface too
Babe wake up, MMA just dropped
I thought it was an *MMA MATCH* you were talkin about!!!!
😅
*MONDAY MATCH ANALYSIS (MMA)*
Cmon Leo…who’s kidding who
@@jlstromanful lol
🤣
Sometimes you get confused on 1st glance.
Guilty as charged!!!!!
Gil is the best commentator on tennis thus far!
You need to get out more often.
20th Title for Medvedev and all 20 of them have been in different tournaments that's a crazy stat.
Medvedev turned from can't win a match on clay to French open contender
congratulations to him, really happy for him
French Open Power Rankings TOMORROW
Cant wait dude...
Awesome job with this so far.
Bit of an ask: can your opening jingle be *GAVIN ROSSDALE'S ADRENALINE??!*
😅
It’s worth noting that since Djokovic won 11 titles in 2015 and Murray won 9 titles in 2016, there have only been two seasons where any player won more than 5 titles (Federer won 7 in 2017 and Zverev won 6 in 2021). Medvedev has already won 5 and we aren’t even close yet to the part of his season where he historically performs the strongest. He may be on track for the winning-est season we’ve seen in a long time
But, I hope he doesn’t overplay cuz he could run out of steam before US swing.
Carlitos has won 4 so far though. He could win many titles too.
and in the end, djokovic wins the most titles, playing the fewest tournaments this year
Can't believe how much Medvedev improved that forehand
Well deserved for the winner🏆
Congratulations Danill Medvedev👏🔥🎾
Was waiting from the start of the day, thank you Gill 😁
Back from work, relaxing, drinking my coffee and watching MMA..What a nice afternoon ❤😊
Very good analysis. Congrats to Daniil 👏🎾❤️🏆
It was during his match against Zapata Miralles that I somehow felt Medvedev could totally win the whole tournament. His level was phenomenal... No one can hit through him without redlining and killing themselves (like Rune did here) as of now, I feel..
Rune didn't play his best.
7-5, 7-5 scoreline shows the match was largely even and mental strength was the main differentiator.
Gill Gross
Hello, as usual, very good analysis and I can say that I agree with most of it. However, I cannot understand that a super tennis analyst like you misses the biggest reason why Rune lost this tennis match which was his horrible serve. You mentioned that his cardio let him down (which you are absolutely right about) from the baseline Medvedev was also the stronger the safer and above all Medvedev had better length in his strokes than Rune had.
All this you mentioned in this analysis. However for some strange reason you didn't mention the biggest reason why Rune lost this final and that was because of his horrible first serve (he lands a horrible 49% of first serves in) certainly the serve is not as important on clay as it is in the faster surfaces.
But still, the serve is important even on clay so you can dictate the rallies in the third fifth or seventh stroke. The most important shots in tennis are the third, fifth and seventh strokes. And the player who does the most damage in the third, fifth and seventh strokes in tennis is the player who 99% of the time wins the tennis matches. That’s why the big 3 are so breathtaking good because nobody does a better job than them on this three shots Nadal mostly on clay Federer, and Djokovic on the other surfaces.
And for you to have the opportunity to be successful in these very important strokes, you must have a good first serve. Either land a high first serve in or have a good spot serve, which Rune had not achieved either of them. His serve was a completely disastrous he played this final with a second serve and not a first serve. And without a first serve against a quality player like Medvedev, you have no chance.
And a great tennis analyst like you to fail to mention this very important part about why Rune lost this final is a huge mystery to me. And last but not least my friend, Medvedev's serve was not broken in the second set at 3-3 due to Rune prolonging the rallies and showing great patience (absolutely not) that game Rune got as a Christmas present from the Russian.
That was Medvedev's worst game in the entire final with 3 simple unforced errors. So that's why Rune laughed and couldn't understand that a super consistent Medvedev (who hardly made any mistakes the whole match) was a completely Santa Clause in that 3-3 game in the second set. Watch that game again and you'll see what I mean.
Apart from these two things (where you are absolutely not right) I agree with everything else.
Cheers😉
Always grandly insightful and rich. Thanks.
Damn, and to think I was worried we wouldn’t get a video about Daniil’s win. Hooray for MMA!
When have I not made a video for a Masters 1000 Final!?
@@GillGross I couldn’t help it! I was ready to see the video as soon as the final ended!
@@GillGross Side note: I myself played a match on soggy clay yesterday. I mostly sucked, aside from the first set where I rallied from 1-5 down to force a tiebreak. Hearing your comments on Daniil’s previous struggles and recent improvements gives me hope that soon enough I can do the same.
The end of this final seems extremely reminiscent of the end of the Monte Carlo final. Became extremely physical, started winning, got tired, and lost.
medvedev is incredible. his level of talent is not praised even near enough
Hey Gill
Firstly, I love how open you are to saying "I just got that wrong, I'm changing my opinion".👍
2nd,
Seeing as you have connections in Infosys, could you find out what the hell they mean by "quality"when assigning numerical values to different strokes. Thanks.
PS i love how Holger just has himself agood time on the court, winning or losing - at least here in Rome.
Given hw ran out of steam was that really a good idea to listen to Patrick & engage in long rallies. But at the end of the 1st set after he lost, he was annoyed with himself for just pushing the ball & playing too passively. When he came back out, it was with a renewed determination to go for his shots & was much more aggressive for a while and he was defo troubling Meddy there till he got into too many long rallies. So was the courtside coaching a good thing in the end. Hmmm.
Was waiting for this analyses! 🍿
Excellent analysis, as always.
I quite fancy Meddy for Wimby this year.
I think Medvedev is getting the momentum like Zverev last year
Now imagine Medvedev winning Roland Garros!
That Rune unpredictably is why I like him more than Sinner, who has one speed - hit hard
@Gill I feel we should also factor in the fact that it was really Rainy conditions in Rome. Which would mean lower bounce on clay than usual which I feel helped Medvedev and contributed to his success.
Excellent point. Add improved movement and new strings which gave him more depth and spin too. But the cold, damp and rainy conditions definitely contributed to a lower bounce like indoor conditions. He himself said madrid and the French open play more like hard (interesting he didn't mention Rome). So I think he will be very effective at night when the bounce is lower
Medvedev is a joy to watch 😊
Four straight 7-5 sets against Tsitsipas and Rune by Meddy. It's as if he coasts until 5-5, then puts his foot on the accelerator to leave his opponents in the dust.
Medvedev has a rare ability to hit attacking shots that put pressure on his opponent even when he himself is in an extreme defensive position. He gets to almost every ball and hardly ever gives the opponent an easy shot. That continuous pressure cracks most opponents.
Gill I was watching tennis on Sunday and you were commentating on Shelton's game.
One of the things the new Gen don't have yet is the endurance for 5 set matches. Med yes, Carlos yes but Rune? I doubt he could last against Med in a 5 setter. IMO. They all are too tall and too thin. Good example was Nadal during the AO in 2022. But Rune is only 20. Long way to go...
Great analysis. As always. Thanks Gill.!
Thank you, Gill Gross!
excited to see the new rg power rankings
One problem for the oscillation style. Discipline. He would need extremely good discipline to make that work more for him.
Today's tennis is based on adaptability and versatility.
@Gill for the algorithm, I'm a geek so let me help you with the algorithm at 15ish min, you need to think more in lines of... when the player changes the direction of the ball, when they speed up the ball, or when they approach the net, rather then the sensors using to measure it. The images alone, with the ML/AI where it is already, this stuff can figure out a lot just from the video feed
Gill could you find a statics about Medvedev's average forehand speed in 2021 and this year. Wonder if his hernia surgery affected his FH like it did to his serve. Thanks
Will you do a Roland Garros winner pick when the draw comes out Thursday?
He'll almost certainly do a preview in which he will also pick a winner.
I’m definitely concerned bout Rune winning a major having to win best of 5 matches…he’d have to win in week 1 pretty much in straight sets to have a chance
Jermaine agree
Hi cole, with te current monstrous growth in sports. Medicine, technology, AI, chatbots, ice therapy, physio and what not… What is that one thing which stops this generation from winning back to back tough three setters let alone 5 set matches…?
@@ArunBanumathi The depth of the field. Others also have access to technology, ice therapy and whatnot. Also just as recently as the last US Open, Alcaraz won plenty of 5-setters in a row. So all-in-all this generation is doing ok.
@@ArunBanumathiRune is not the only player in this generation. You're assumption is flawed.
Partly correct. After US open he just vanished. Whereas let’s take Rafa last year, he also won back to back matches in Aus open but then went after a tear after that until his abs tore off… 18/19 year old rafa competes back to back best of 5 setters in Miami, MC, Barcelona, Rome (All finals) and in grandslams across surfaces…. The problem is when people annoint alcaraz as next rafa and rune as next novak naturally our minds starts comparing which we should stop untill they are really in Big 3 league….I think doing OK is what stopping them all to be exceptional. With Rafa being out in RG if the current gen including zverev, medvedev etal don’t use this opportunity they are lost gen too no matter even if they win next next grand slams. RG is what the gateway to old gen, current gen and nextgens…
Med will wear you down in those rallies, he is very fit and fast for a big guy, he is finding his form on clay, he look good.
Rune: "I've made 2 clay M1000 Finals this year"
Medvedev: "Hold my sports drink"
Love that thumbnail :D
Congrats to Medvedev for winning his first clay title and doing it in impressive fashion. Beating Zverev, Tsitsipas and Rune to win is no joke and should be applauded. The Russian has proved me and many others wrong in his ability to adapt to the red sand. With Nadal out, Djokovic dealing with injury and form and Alcaraz losing Rome early, this has got to be the most wide open Roland Garros ever. Dare I say Medvedev is now the second favorite behind Alcaraz?
Hi Gill excited for your power rankings.
At the start of clay season, I made a comment under one of your video and I had Medvedev right behind Alcaraz, Novak, Rune and Nadal in tiers that I had created. People who are supporting Medvedev now made fun of my comment for putting Medvedev that high.😂
Also, I had Sinner at 6th position( after rune) and people didn’t even like that as everyone was thinking sinner should be Third( after Djok and Alcaraz). I still think sinner is one dimensional and overrated player.
He wins his first ever career match in Rome a week prior; he probably liked it and decided to go all the way for the title. 😅
I think that the weather had a major influence of the outcome of this match ! Medvedev couldn`t have asked for better conditions to suit his playing style, and Rune the oposite !!
Excellent point. Add improved movement and new strings which gave him more depth and spin too. But the cold, damp and rainy conditions definitely contributed to a lower bounce like indoor conditions. He himself said madrid and the French open play more like hard (interesting he didn't mention Rome). So I think he will be very effective at night when the bounce is lower
@Gill, remeber a few months back, you did not believe that Medvedev can go back to his best form and winning ways? Now he already has 5 titles this season.
@Gill My favourites to win RG
Alcaraz, Djokovic Rune and Tsisipas for the favourites and Medvedev as a dark horse.
What you think about this list and whos your favourite to win RG?
Ladies and gentlemen, we have a new King of Clay.
Someone said in the beginning of the year that medvedev is not in the top tier anymore. Some people are very quick in writing off good players very soon.
I think I was much more patient than most. Waited February 2022 through January 2023 before I first started to wonder about his place at the top. But he turned it around as soon as I did! No regrets in how I’ve covered him tbh. Super happy he’s winning so much.
@@GillGross "someone" had a good season in 2022 (because one novak was not allowed to played the whole season, one nadal disappered after an excellent first half, one medvedev, one zverev, one berentini, one tsisipas all went through issues in a single season) and people started claiming that guy belonged to the top tier. And someone underperformed in that very season (because of injury, surgery and lack of motivation) unlike the previous 2 ,3 years and people quickly jumped to write him off. Isn't it double standards?
@@mb_1990 No, not double standards, just very different situations. Alcaraz was a 19 year old with as wide an array of assets as we’d seen in well over a decade. Medvedev was a 26 year old with some very defined weaknesses. I chalked up Daniils bad 2022 to unfortunate circumstance, but when he lost to Djokovic as badly as he did and then Korda at AO, I was out of explanations.
@@mb_1990 and by the way, last year’s claims about Alcaraz have shown to be correct so far in 2023. He’s still dominant. I can’t agree at all with attributing his big season to issues with the field.
CA has beaten all of the top ten and some multiple times so that someone is deserving of the accolades.
I am going to do top 5 in my personal French open power rankings, let’s see how it compares to Gil’s tomorrow: #1 Carlos Alcaraz #2 Novak Djokovic #3 Daniil Medvedev #4 Holger Rune and #5 Stefanos Tsitsipas
Djokovic is a heavy contender for the french open for sure
He's been wobbly and probably injured. Rune downright humiliated him in Rome.
Chuk a contender but heavy no
I don’t underestimate Nole. I ain’t a fool. But he looks injured. I know he’s a beast in GS’s but you cannot deny he’s struggling with something.
@@sandranastia even with the injury ,if Nole doesnt win the tournament he would want to finish strongly maybe in semis or atleast in quarterfinal bearing in mind he is currently NO 3 in the rankings
@@chukwukavictor4733 Absolutely. I couldn’t agree more. I mean it’s Nole you never know what can happen when he’s playing a GS! Injured or not.
I like how you brought in the attack conversion percentage, which is an interesting metric and I’m glad you brought it up - however, I think distilling it to ‘Holger attacking more often, Medvedev attacking better’ doesn’t account for the impact of Daniil’s defense. It is plausible that how you couched it is accurate, but it is not clear based on that metric… maybe Holger was attacking more often, and better, and still lost because of Medvedev’s amazing defense.
Yeah, I didn’t want to make it too complicated. Defense is objectively part of that equation. But the why analysis ultimately needs to come from what I’m seeing, and I determined the different approaches to attack to be the determining factor.
For sure - I think you did a nice job using tape to support the case for why the ‘attack’ differences were key, beyond just the initial stat. Nice vid man!
Rune has improved his shot selection but he still has work to do. There were too many unnecessary net approaches and bad drop shots. He should trust his baseline game more even against Medvedev.
I think Meddy needs to start winning in Clay if he wants to reach/sustain n1 position in his career. Although I think we will be good on grass.
One beneath tsitsipas on the power rankings?? 👀
Medvedev, like the big chess players, read Rune like an open book.
Take a look at the stats for Rune's first serve in the final
Gill earlier in the year you said Medvedev would never retain world #1. With his incredible first half of the season (normally better in 2nd half), and improvements on Clay, have you changed your mind?
Gill don't you think that losing the Australian Open finals in 2021 and 2022 negatively affected Medvedevs results on clay?
IDK where to put a question for Gill's mailbag. Try to start here. It is about the players that ITF/ATP lists as "ambidextrous". Are they really? Because I have a suspicion that they put players who have 2-handed forehand there. But truly ambidextrous shall serve equally good with both hands. Somehow I doubt that there are that many or any at all. Although I have 48 players listed as such in ATP database - from ITF or ATP sources.
Interesting about Rune "not making difficult volleys into successful volleys" - is that because it's just too difficult, or because Rune lacks the skill? I can't say I agree that Medvedev's game is beautiful, but he is dogged. I think, though, Rune does seem to have a problem with running out of gas and needs to work on his cardio, especially with two slams coming up.
Rune will need the whole season for that. Cardio is not going to improve in the next 2 slams. His current cardio level might just about be okay in Wimbledon, although if he plays multiple 5 setters, it is still doubtful.
Robert I definitely don’t think so maybe by USO cardio will be better
@@colethomas903 yes, he has to work on it this whole season and also the upcoming off season to be able to match the top guys in best of five.
it always surprises me how analysts and what not tend to over do it. the best player in the world, if he decides, can be a threat and hella dominant in every single tournament. he has by far most wins this year ffs. how can this surprise folk ?
Doesn't the endurance factor get better with age? Rune is 20. Djokovic used to have similar problems at this age.
YIV it could but here’s the concern for best of 5 for now if some how he had to play back to back best of 5 matches over 2 days if it rain at RG could he survive that physically
Yes, often improves in early 20s.
Just becoz I am curious, can someone tell me alcaraz 's record against top 5 players?
@gilgross u have the # ?
Remember, Gill when you said Medvedev would never become number one again ? Changing that alittle now maybe ?
That day has come. Medvedev won a tournament on clay. Maybe he hates clay a little bit less now.
Andrey Rublev wins monte carlo open
Daniil Medvedev wins Rome open
Russians are ruling the clay court.
This shows if you're in land of grass where cows are there but no clay is there.
Asti Spumante is great!
Earlier in the year, you said you didn’t think Medvedev would be #1 again. And then you double downed on that statement. He is now just a few hundred points from #1. Do you still feel the same way or with this breakthrough on clay, do you think he could now become #1 again?
Looking forward to seeing your power rankings! Nowadays I make my own power rankings as well before the Slams start and then compare it to yours. A lot of times they’re pretty similar! Interested to see what the few differences are this time and your reasonings
Billy can’t wait to see yours
@@colethomas903 already made mine but I’ll wait until Gill releases his video tomorrow before putting it in the comments!
Hi Billy,
I do the same thing. I make my own power rankings too just for the fun.
@@BillyBob-xi9ih 1. alcaraz
2. djokovic (but djoker is still my pick for the title 100%)
3. medvedev
4. tsitsipas (rune would beat him but its due to bo5)
5. rune
6. rublev
7. ruud
8. sinner
9. coric (upset alert)
10. faa (upset alert)
Rune was too passive in the first set. Maybe nerves.
He doesn’t just lead the race lol. He has 39 wins on the season. No one else has over 30. He is smoking everyone!!
MEMEVEDEV, CLAYVEDEV, GOATVEDEV!!!!
Rune always give away the serve right when he wins the draw. I know Gilbert's view, Winning Ugly - but Gilbert didnt have Holger's serve
Thomas draw ha ha
Every player should have right to play under her/his country's flag. One cannot choose the country of one's birth.
WTA/ATP/ITF, stop this nonsense and do not mix sport with politics.
Appointing "flag police" at the AO 2023 was not even childish... it was embarassing and insane...
Wars are run by politicians not sportsmen/sportswomen.
Why during the invasion of Iraq, 20 year bombing of Afghanistan not to mention the genocidal Vietnam war US, Australian, UK... athletes were allowed to compete under their national flag?
USA invaded Iraq in 2003 and yet their flag was still allowed at the World Cup 2006 in Germany and 2010 in South Africa despite the fact they were still in Iraq. Either ban ALL flags of countries who go to war, or don't ban any of them.
Another example; are Israeli (Para-)olympians responsible for the policy of their government towards Palestinians?
*
All wars are equal, but some wars are more equal than others.
We have only one person who is the King of clay Rafael Nadal.
The match was boring to watch, something that rarely can be said when Alcaraz plays.
You take too long to get to the point.
A 10-15 minute video stretched to 30+ minutes with nothing more to say.
Congrats Meddy..but Alcaraz wins Roland Garros..
Medvedev was being sarcastic. He knew he would do well. You and most tennis pundits don’t appear to have very good insight. You constantly make bad predictions and are not very good at fessing up when you’re wrong.
Simply missing Nadal🥲
Good on Meddy. He worked hard and he won. But his tennis is so boring to watch! A total snooze fest imo. 🥱
A I didn’t mind the match in Rome was ok