Will AI Replace Writers?
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- Опубликовано: 2 авг 2024
- Generative AI has made shockingly swift advancements recently. With AI programs like OpenAI's ChatGPT, Microsoft's Bing, and Google's Bard, artificial intelligence has entered a period of unprecedented growth. What does this mean for writers? In a world where artificial intelligence can write almost anything instantly, what will the future be like for human novelists?
In this video, I explore the fascinating topic of AI writing and examine AI's strengths and hidden weaknesses. I take a look at the latest developments in AI tech, and put ChatGPT to the test in writing fiction-and contemplating its own abilities.
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TIMESTAMPS
0:00 - Intro
1:06 - Storytelling
2:54 - Memory
5:31 - Context, Meaning, and Values
9:33 - Artistic Influences and Motives
11:19 - Individuality and Sentience
13:48 - Author Personas
15:36 - AI's Opinion
17:20 - AI as a Tool
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#booktube #authortube #chatgpt
ABOUT
I'm Grayson Taylor, an author and filmmaker, here to help you on your creative journey by sharing what I've learned-and what I'm still learning-about storytelling. After writing my first full-length novel when I was seven, I've authored more than a dozen action-adventure, sci-fi, mystery, and dystopian books. I've also written and directed several short films, composed music, and acted onstage, on TV, and in films.
You'll find writing advice, publishing tips, and behind-the-scenes videos on my channel.
REFERENCES
Articles seen and referenced in the video, listed in order of appearance.
• “Rapid growth of AI poses regulatory questions” (www.thetimes.co.uk/article/ra...)
• “How AI Is Disrupting The Content Creation Economy” (www.forbes.com/sites/forbeste...)
• “The rapid rise of AI-generated art and why creative professionals are divided over it” (www.cbc.ca/radio/day6/ai-gene...)
• “AI's coming of age” (www.ubs.com/microsites/artifi...)
• “Elon Musk and Others Call for Pause on A.I., Citing ‘Profound Risks to Society’” (www.nytimes.com/2023/03/29/te...)
• “AI Adoption Skyrocketed Over the Last 18 Months” (hbr.org/2021/09/ai-adoption-s...)
• “Artificial intelligence can transform the economy” (www.washingtonpost.com/opinio...)
• “GPT-4 Is Exciting and Scary” (www.nytimes.com/2023/03/15/te...)
• “GPT-4 Has the Memory of a Goldfish” (www.theatlantic.com/technolog...)
• “There’s No Such Thing as Artificial Intelligence” (www.washingtonpost.com/busine...)
• “ChatGPT Is Dumber Than You Think” (www.theatlantic.com/technolog...)
• “ChatGPT Needs Some Help With Math Assignments” (www.wsj.com/articles/ai-bot-c...)
• “3 Ethical Concerns About AI-Generated Art” (www.inc.com/inc-masters/three...)
• “The Algorithm: AI-generated art raises tricky questions about ethics, copyright, and security” (www.technologyreview.com/2022...)
• “Artists say AI generated artwork is unethical” (ktla.com/morning-news/artists...)
• “AI Chatbots Aren’t as Close to Human Intelligence as You Think” (observer.com/2023/02/ai-chatb...)
• “Artificial General Intelligence Is Not as Imminent as You Might Think” (www.scientificamerican.com/ar...)
• “We’re still a long way away from AI that can think for itself” (news.yahoo.com/were-still-a-l...)
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It can't, because no matter how smart technology can get, it will never have the creativity like us. We put emotions, feelings, ideas, all from what we could be feeling at the moment. People write stories from what they see around them, observing it and doing it with and because Emotions, which even if technology is somehow given emotions, it will never compare to what a person is feeling and what a person can do when the are feeling that way.
Well, that is just my opinion before watching the video, and you explained your point so greatly! I agree with basically everything you said, awesome video!
Thanks! Yeah, AI certainly doesn't have feelings, and it's not looking like it will any time soon. Especially in fiction, emotion is essential.
You’re are so incorrect
@@lp712 Hmm... how so?
No
In fact it's a helpful tool for a novelist
AI's uses as a tool are pretty interesting. I'm working on a video about how writers can use AI right now.
@@graysontaylornyc
good luck with that video
I use chatGPT to stimulate my ideas during writer's block by suggesting story ideas. yes its ideas are not very creative but they can be a start.
also chatGPT can be used to check for grammar errors or to enhance the writing especially since I'm not a native English speaker. (Grammarly does the same too)
also it can mix different ideas and generate a story from them. like mixing middle eastern fantasy with futuristic sci-fi or cosmic horror.
then I can edit the idea or the short story it wrote and expand it by adding scenes or adding more details to it.
Soul is the difference between us and Ai
Acknowledged.
🫡 Thanks for watching!
It's all about outlines and detailed prompts. A very useful tool, but not a writer.
Certainly. I've enjoyed learning about all the ways people, writers in particular, have been using AI as a tool.
(Sorry, I am not English. I should have written the following in my home language, and asked AI to translate it.) You can already feed AI a thousand-word document and then ask the AI intelligent questions about it. In other words, AI is great at analysing and interpreting what you feed it. But, like you said, AI cannot create coherent stories that are more than a few pages long. Currently AI cannot write novels. It’s incapable of creating lifelike characters as well, and the dialogue feels forced. And it seems AI is too stupid to realise that fiction equals protagonist - goal - opposition - climax. At least writers are safe at the moment, but computers will become more capable, and memory will grow exponentially, and the models will get better. Eventually AI will remember, all at once, what is going on in a five hundred page novel. That will probably be true in a decade from now. In the meantime, writers should keep copies of all their drafts and research, because one day you may need to prove that you wrote something and not the AI.
Good points! AI is good at plenty of things-and that number will continue to increase in the coming years-but it's not yet nearly as capable at complex storytelling as a great human writer. (And yeah, copyright will be an interesting issue with the rise of AI-generated content.)
@graysontaylornyc I think in future we won't be able to copywrite AI generated novels. At the moment traditional publishing houses won't publish AI novels. This is already the case even when there is no explicit legislation preventing it. Self publishing may be a different story, but you won't be able to prevent someone from copying your book and resell it somewhere else, or even on the same platform with a different name.
That's probably right. Hence why human-written books will likely continue to be more valuable than anything an AI can write.
Not a chance. ChatGPT is a terrible writer.
😂 Yeah, it's got a lot to learn about creative writing.
this video was released a week ago , today it was revealed that in memory therms current GPT4 has 4k tokens ( a few pages ) , GPT4-32 was released at 32k tokens ( a chapter in a book ) , but in the lab they have models that hold 5 million tokens (entire books and enciclopedias ) soon there should be 100 million and so on … so there it goes your observations had become obsolete in a week , soon the other stuff you are saying will follow… you are thinking in linear terms ,AI is evolving exponentially
I agree that AI's rapid advancements are impressive-and as they say, it's worse right now than it will ever be. The more technical roadblocks for AI I talked about in this video will no doubt diminish with time, perhaps even disappear completely. But there are some broader philosophies that I think will hold true well into the future. No matter how good AI gets-and it will get quite good-I expect it'll still struggle with things like nuanced meaning (since it processes language differently than humans), originality, and of course the fact that humans (at least for now) prefer reading things by other humans. But who knows what the future may hold?
I should also add that, while (in theory) AI could write great novels in the future, the central thesis that it can't replace human writers would still be true. Unlike many other jobs that have been rendered obsolete by technology, writing is an occupation and a hobby that's truly enjoyable and meaningful for us humans. (Well, some of us.) So AI could, perhaps, some day be a worthy competitor of human writers in the publishing marketplace, but never a replacement.
@@graysontaylornyc uncertain … homo sapiens did show up on earth 300000 thousand years ago , the brain structure has not changed at all since then , only when writing was invented 3000 years ago civilization started to appear and technology advanced in earnest because you could actually pass knowledge to be build on … so for 297000 years humanity was stuck not because a hardware problem ( the biological brain ) but because lack of data , AI is starting to show arguably sparks of conciousness , the evidence although light at the moment is leaning towards the spontaneous emergence of intelligence and reasoning due to the capability to network written words and prediction , the more complex this database becomes plus AI being able to acquire knowledge beyond what’s in the web but using sensors to see hear and touch the real word will easily predict what makes people “ move “ everytime we are emotionally moved there are subtle physical changes ( example people that lie experience iris dilation ) , AI could very easily link this data and write very convincing and moving text even when it does not experience this emotions itself … and that is even before AGI
If the quality of AI short stories are poor, it's safe to say that the quality of AI novels will also be poor. Yes, AI will increasingly be able to hande more and more text, but that doesn't mean the quality of the output will increase as well. If it can't write decent short stories today, the chances are it won't be able to write decent novels tomorrow.
This video will age like milk. You are initially making a question about the future but answering by today's capabilities. All this problems you are mentioning like memory or context are actively in development and this is a tool with the financial and man power in it's back like nothing that came before. A better tittle for the content of the video is "Is AI ready to replace human writers today?" and in that note there is something very interesting you are dismissing, today's AI may not be as good as a human writer in it's field but It is much better than average people, same with AI image creation it's not as good as professional artist, but it is 100x time better than average people and even intermediate level artist.
I've been following this for many years and at the rate of progress we are experiencing all this limitations will be a thing of the past in a mater of a short period of time, shorter than we are mentally prepared. For some reason people still believe we are not machines, we have souls and we are the center of the universe, a very christian way of looking at the world. But every sacred thing only humans are supposed to do other animals can do too, and lately inorganic machines are joining the game. Let's be open to the idea that we are not as special as we so desperately try to believe.
I want everyone to see where this technologies where just a couple years ago at, how bad they were and how fast they are evolving, unless we hit an invisible ceiling we don't know about yet, this tools will exponentially get better every day.
My opinion is that AI will replace humans in every task where the humans are a tool, instead for personal and self driven en devours there will be no place for AI, writing, painting, dancing, playing music, those things we do them because we love the act of doing them, but illustrating a magazine, making music for an ad, those things which server the market will surely be better fited for AI, either way we don't wanna be doing that.
I agree (almost) completely. Like I said in the video, the main reason AI won't replace writers is precisely because writing, like all art, is such a personal and passion-driven thing. As for the video aging poorly, this wasn't meant to be an eternally relevant piece of commentary-all the technical roadblocks I discussed will indeed diminish in the future-but more of a time capsule, a snapshot of this particular moment in AI development. The main points about the enduring role of human storytellers can, as far as I can see, never be invalidated, at least not in my lifetime.
@@graysontaylornyc Ok, I think I get your point. But you have to give me that the premise and tittle of the video points outs to the future. Will AI replace writers.... In the job market? That's what intuitively points to, and every exercise serves as a proof of how non human level and limited it is. And I take some issue with the final statement which goes in the same line of thought, "artist will always do the best art" always is a very long time. I give it to you, that may be that art is not valuable by the thing it is but what it does personally. So may be the best art is the one you do in a way in which it serves as a form of expression and communication. Art done by yourselves has a level of granularity, design and intention that is lost as the tools we use get more and more complex. That's why a pencil drawing talks much more about the artist than photograph taken by the same person.
I'm not much of a writer besides my consistent (bad) habit of commenting on youtube videos, but I guess it could be the same for the field of literature.
The title of the video was originally "Will AI Replace Novelists?" which is a little more specific and accurate. And it's a short, simplistic, and reductive title simply because that works better for RUclips. Nuance doesn't make for a catchy title. And I certainly can't say for sure whether human artists will always be the best-all I'm saying is that work produced by human artists will always (or as far as I can see) be the most meaningful to other humans.
As I said at 14:59, "I’d rather support a real person by reading their book than support a disembodied AI, even if the AI can technically write better." So AI may eventually become just as good, if not better, than most human artists, but I think there will still be a place for human writers in that theoretical future.
I actually think AI may have a positive effect on human artistry and writing. It may force us to become more creative, to express ourselves more deeply and authentically, to reach for higher levels of (as you said yourself) "granularity, design, and intention." In that sense, the potential competition of generative AI could in fact benefit human-made art and literature in the long run.
@@graysontaylornyc What a lovely experience is to discuss with you. It almost makes me feel bad for my critical comments, I wish I could find people like you more often. It appears we actually think the same but disagree in just some details as you said in your first comment.
I feel like we have to be precise when discussing this topics, to me this are the most important things we can talk about right now. When talking about the future for humans I doubt there will a place for humans in the market, I even doubt the market exists in the same way 10 years from now. This is even an opportunity to envision and trace a path to were we wanna go in a future where human labor is not needed anymore. This deeply frightens me as I foresee greater disparity between countries than we see today, because most AI's come from the US. We have no economical systems to re distribute wealth globally. writers, painters, singers, dancers I fill will take a much more cultural and communal roll instead of the the roll they had until now. I wonder which tokens will we value in the future, at the moment we seem to value personal wealth and attention, maybe we can strive for things like positive communal impact or human bonding?
Yeah, there's certainly a lot to think about! (I think I might make a follow-up video to this one where I can go a little bit deeper.) AI and its future place in society is a topic both frightening and exhilarating; there's so much potential for both good and ill. With how fast it's evolving, and how relatively early on in its development we currently are, I think it's hard-if not impossible-to accurately predict where we're headed. But I'm optimistic. AI is a tool meant to improve life for us humans, and as long as things don't get too out of hand, it could do just that in profound ways.
I also agree that there are major concerns regarding equity, particularly in the U.S. (we've got plenty of problems in that department even without AI). The accessibility of AI-which almost anyone with an internet connection can use in some form-is a promising sign, but we've still got a long way to go.
I love the idea that AI could allow artists to create art free of the capitalistic structure we're so often subject to. There's plenty of talk about how AI could ruin the world, or render humans useless, or be used for financial gain, but I think we could all stand to benefit from collectively imagining a better future AI could help us create.
No. They don't have the creativity.
AI is decent enough at writing non-fiction, but creative writing is where we have a significant advantage. AI can imitate creativity, but it doesn't have an innately creative mind like we do.
@@graysontaylornyc are you sure. Try using different creative prompts. sometimes results are really creative.
@@BibhatsuKuiri They can be! It's kind of different from how human creativity works, but with the right prompting, AI definitely can come up with some impressive stuff. If nothing else, it can add some fuel to a human user's creativity.