Why Germany’s AfD is in Decline
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- Опубликовано: 22 мар 2024
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For some time now, the far-right AfD party seemed to be on course to dominate the next German election. But a series of events, including large protests across Germany, are starting to see AfD's polling numbers fall. In this video, we take a look at what's going on with AfD, and whether the party has now passed its peak.
Why the Right is on the Rise in Germany: • Why the Right is on th...
Why has the Right-Wing AfD become so Popular in Germany?:
• Why has the Right-Wing...
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1 - www.politico.eu/europe-poll-o...
1 - en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion...
2 - correctiv.org/aktuelles/neue-...
3 - apnews.com/article/germany-fa...
4 - www.reuters.com/world/europe/...
5 - www.dw.com/en/germany-former-...
6 - www.berliner-zeitung.de/polit...
7 - www.zdf.de/nachrichten/politi...
8 - dawum.de/Brandenburg/
8 - dawum.de/Thueringen/
8 - dawum.de/Sachsen/
8 - www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/lan...
8 - www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/lan...
8 - www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/lan...
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Amazes me how in Europe new party are formed regularly and get traction instantly when there’s dissatisfaction……that would be a miracle in America
It would be just as possible in the US, the problem is the winner-take-all electotal college system you have in place instead of a proportional parliamentary system. Until that system is put in place, a third party is basically never going to win. Even if Ross Perot won in 1992 and '96, the reform party likely would've collapsed one or two elections later, or it would replace either the republican or democrat party, returning to the two parties.
Also it's easier to run within a party in a primary than to firm a new party to challenge the establishment. The TEA party movement in the 2010 election and Bernie Sanders in 2016/20 for 2 examples
Because Americans have been conditioned to win battles not wars. Basically they tend to think x party winning x year is the end of the world. There is no long term outlook. You should vote for the party you believe will win in 12 years not the one that will win the next election.
In the US these things usually happen within the existing parties. Trump and AOC emerged within the existing parties in the US but in Europe they would have formed their own parties.
It is all thanks to Putin's hybrid war against the Western world. His disinformation on the internet makes right-wing parties strong in Europe. And without his help, the US would never have an idiot like Trump as president.
I will just say this: In Portugal, Chega also peaked in the polls 2-3 months before the election and then started to decline. The end result was that they got a halfway result, right in midway point between their maximum and minimum polling.
Exactly.
It's a demoralization psy-ops
@@FaithfulOfBrigantiawhich works the first time. In the second time the party is legitimized, polls and media are delegitimized.
@@mesa9724nao é assim tão simples, eles (felizmente ou infelizmente, não vou debater isso) ainda podem ganhar força dependendo do que acontecer neste mandato
This is false, they got their peak result of 18%
Only 1 poll were peaking them at 21%
Msot were giving 15% or 16%
@@FaithfulOfBrigantiayep
If 79% of germans think protests against the AfD are good, and the AfD at one point had up to 22% voting intention, that suggests at least some potential AfD voters are also for the protests. Which isn't a contradictory position, but still a bit amusing.
Your forget about non-voters that like the protest (and the obvious thing that polls aren't representative), and yes that is contradictory that they, in your mind, support protest but still vote for them
@@Kappa-go2zoNo, it really is not contradictory. There are some people who (used to) consider the AfD a non-extremist right-wing party, and the protests are against rightwing extremism within parties like AfD and CDU. It really is not contradictory for these people who want the AfD to be a non-extremist right-wing party to protest against right-wing extremism within their ranks.
@@Kappa-go2zo Some people fully support protest in general even when they're against things that they personally like. It's not contradictory at all, it's just called supporting free speech.
Diese Proteste gegen die AFD sind FAKE von Altparteimitglieder die aus ganz Deutschland zu verschiedenen veranstaltungen reisen , Viedeos werden manipuliert damit es nach mehr aussieht . Das sind Deutsche Altpartein die angst um ihre MACHT haben
What is your point?
Seems their growth might only be halted by the splits on the Right rather than any appeal of the Left.
Well yeah. In most modern countries people are aging, hence voting more & more to the right. What a lot of commentators seem to be missing. Only in countries were the right is completely useless (UK) is the Left making a comeback pretty much.... And probably gonna be temporary.
The direct funding from Russia is drying up.
The alternative to the "Alternative for Moscow" isn´t the Left (which is eaqually crazy just with a different flavor) but the center of the political spectrum.
The fast majority of Germans ist neither "left" or "right" but moderate.
The "Alternative for Moscow" has become more and more radical in their hatred for a free and democratic society and the people have not only noticed it but have also clear that the vast majority does want these traitors. Earlier this years there had been HUGW ralleys AGAINST these right wing populist throughout the country.
@@nntflow7058Because money changes votes at all.
I think they are still near their peak, the poor polls are just a effect of stigmatization. The protests did lead to an underrepresentation of real voting potential in the polls.
Could you make a video about Romania's political landscape before the 2024 European and local elections (which will take place on the same date)?
A LOT has been happening recently. A grand-alliance between Romania's two largest parties, an ad-hoc alliance of opposition liberals and conservatives and two right-wing populist parties have formed, competing for a victory.
An international court-rulling in Romania's favour on a controversial mining project, was allegedly used by the government parties to manipulate the stock market in Toronto and the Bucharest's mayor's office is just ending a shutdown because one of the parties in the previously mentioned grand coalition was blocking the vote on a budget, allegedly to sabotage the incumbent mayor, supported by the previously mentioned liberal-conservative alliance.
Fr
ROMANIA STRONG!
I would hardly call USR or Reper liberal-conservative. They are economically right-wing but definently socially progressive
@@rixorobert
USR is in an alliance with PMP and FD, which are conservative.
+1 Would love to see more videos about my neighbor, as Ukrainian
3:49 "Sending them to a 'model state' in [North] Africa" should ring a bell with Brits...
Israel???
I'm trying to figure out where there's a model state in North Africa haha. Plus Germany has a very large population of Iranian immigrants, they're not exactly going to fit in in North Africa and they'd be killed as traitors if they were sent back to Iran.
@@riccardodececco4404Israel is in the Levant/Asia, not Africa.
@@mrvwbug4423They could just pretend that France is African and send them there. Though considering how overtly proud both cultures can be, there would be either a complete disaster from them going on competing LARPs about whose empire was greater, or a complete disaster where we see Iranian horse archers wielding baguettes and complaining about Rome.
Fun Fact: Farsi has more loanwords from French than English.
another Israel Palestine conflict
Because they were never going to be the largest party…
Opposition parties always do better in polls during bad times.
Sie werden beste Partei werden , wir Deutsche haben eine lange Zündschnur und die ist nun abgebrannt
Sometimes true, but radical parties rarely do good unless the population at large become more radicalised, which is unlikely.
A lot of it with popularise parties is mostly a protest vote because people are not happy with how the established parties are dealing with things, the problem for the popularise movement, that isn't any real power for them, because chances are, if they pushed some of their radical agendas, they would become very unpopular with the majority of the population, hence why a lot of these radical parties when getting close to power or in power, end up toning things down to appeal to a lot more people, in a sense, they become far more moderate and not a threat, apart from them being a threat to the established parties, we are seeing this across Europe and that's blurring the lines on which are radical and which are moderate.
@@paul1979uk2000
Maybe a better explanation is that they are not radical and simply waiting on ways to just get in the seats to enact policy? The biggest obstacle is not the people, but the permanent polithical class which remains in even when it is "removed" by voters. Milei is trying to reduce the bloat in Argentina for exactly that reason, for instance.
not true at least for country with two major party system … swinging left and right is quite common though 😂.
the "bad times" fall out of the sky? Thats a result of bad politics by the ruling parties.
My father told me a joke from a meme a while back - In Germany, what we in the US call "the Far Right" is called "Why grandpa lives in Argentina."
That's a very good joke, I'll tell my (not German) Argentine uncle. He loves these sorts of jokes.
Given how often AfD members get caught under the totalitarian propaganda law for having Nazi propaganda/memrobilia on display. The "remigration" meeting just showed for all to see who AfD really are. CDU may be an extremely boring party, but they are hands down probably the best center-right party in the world in terms of actually sticking to center-right positions and policy.
Thats a chliche. The most old n. went to chile and not to Argentina 😅
It’s actually a joke from a SNL sketch 😂
2:00 to clarify, the greens are NOT down compared to last elections. They are constant with their votes. This is important because its the only party of the 3 that seems to satisfy its voters.
Or there's no Alternative for it idk
Looking at the 3 year graph in the video, the greens are down 10% from their peak and support seems to swap back and forth with the SPD, with the more recent gradual decline of both parties correlating with the rise of the AfD numbers. Conversely, the only party that has achieved a relative amount of stability of late is the CDU/CSU, which seems to be at their peak numbers atm (which is frankly a bit mind-boggling, but as I told my German friends, pretty soon your parliament will be the new Italy…)
@@gren99 Can you read? If yes then please read my comment again.
They are constant with their VOTES, ofcourse they have up and downs in polling but considering the track record of polls you shouldnt take that as a measurement. What stands is the the greens as only party in the goverment seems to satisfy their voters.
a minority of eco facists who want us all to live in in mysery
@lemmyboy4107 Mass immigration is the worst thing for the local environment and also contributes to global warming (all those immigrants from the global south are going to burn a lot more fossil fuels in Germany to keep warm). The 'Greens' are fake.
It reached its peak, because DDR doesn't grow up in population.
wait that actually makes sense!
No idiot. AfD was gaining more % in the west. The main reason for this is the creation of BSW and the stabilisation of support
In German DDR = Deutsche Demokratische Republik
In English GDR = German Democratic Republic
In English DDR = Dance Dance Revolution
;)
Frankfurt coporate world, near 100% Green and CDU voting ethnic Germans, would make a Brandenburg village look diverse.
Agree: the states of Saxony, Thuringia and Saxony-Anhalt are overpopulated by nostalgic pensioners as well as a fair share of Russians - those who actually want to built a better life linstead of shooting the past was so much better than the present, many of those understand that the demographics work in their disadvantage and left
right wing astrian in germany?!? oh god not again!!!
Dont tell me he is an "art enthusiast" as well !!! 💀💀💀
All art schools should immediately increase their acceptance rates!
I think this time the leaders are swiss and German. Not sure, if that is better, but with a swiss leader it will be much slower at least.^^
no worries he already got remigrated out of germany
All artschools should be closed. good Art can't be taught it needs grassroots of discontent to be of relevance. and the chosen techniques or Art forms usually are already chosen by artists.
It would be more helpful for artist to pick up the lowest work positions available in the respektive country of Residence so the artist in the making has a solid education on inequalities. That should be all the education needed to have a go.
Right-wing parties thrive in general dissatisfaction, but they need to move quickly and take the establishment by surprise. Because the longer they're a realistic contender, the less they can just rely on complaining from the side and the less they can hide from scrutiny. AfD missed it's chance for an electoral coup.
They lost the chance when they ousted Bernd Lücke, he was more Moderate than the people who eventually come to support the party, he could've made a coalition with the CDU if he stayed, perhaps even winni an election
Exactly. It's like MAGA, they just have nothing relevant to say. Nothing on anything normal everyday Americans care about. Showers, wind farms, dishwashers, white replacement, lower taxes for rich people, trump's witch hunts. Very proud of my state where the AfD doesn't hold a single seat.
@@kingdomofbird8174Not when AfD members keep getting outed as neo-Nazis.
AFD is a serious contender!
@@bedri1For banning yes nothing else
We also thought Wilders peaked, and now he leads the polls at 30%. No one can predict the future appearantly 🤷
hasn't his coalition fallen apart and he's announced he won't be leader?
@@AlexC-ou4junot exactly, the coalition is still there, only they needed a lot of new talks and are considering a programkabinet ( I have no idea what that entails but other parties claim it’s just a different name for a mayority kabinet ). Second, he still wants to be prime minister, but he’s willing to forsake that role if it means he can form a government.
it’s not a 100% that they’ve peaked but they are near their limit. Even still if they got the seats the polls show then they’d be the 3rd largest party in dutch history. According to Maurice de Hond, 50% of the people who stayed with NSC in the polls want Omzigt to work together with Wilders ( 80% for the ones that left NSC in the polls ) so there are still a few seats they could get.
That means 70% of NL doesn't want Wilders as PM. IMHO if Wilders can form a government with him not being PM the leader of NSC should take the PM role, he seems like a decent guy and is far less polarizing than Wilders who the vast majority of Dutch people hate.
30% Might well be his peak. I think generally it seems that about 30% of the population are hard to far right in terms of their views.
Is the AfD really in decline, or just that, with all the anti-AfD demonstrations, less people are prepared to say to the pollsters that they would vote AfD?
Germany has a history of former NSDAP members launching far right parties trying to start a Fourth Reich since the 1970s, and it's unpopular. These voters mostly just want to stop immigration from those who don't share their values.
Also, this scandal does involve neonazis. TLDR probably didn't mention to avoid triggering the algorithm which excludes videos about Nazism from recommendations.
@@dr.victorvs safer than the alternative
Probably more because the scandal tainted the party more than it already was outside the former east Germany they seem to be more of a protest party when your own party isn’t doing a good job
@@gtrdxz Do you mind spelling out what you mean?
The mentioned meeting with Sellner was also attended by some politicians from the CDU, Christian Conservatives
no it's Not CDU it's "Werteunion" (union of values if you will) and they're not the Same. I dont want to défend cdu i hate them but its important
@@laurenzwalter285 well they did split off now but at the time the werteunion was still a part of the party. But I get yout point, there is a clewr distinction betweeen union und Werteunion
@@eineperson9849Yes, Werteunion still cares about Germany while CDU has sold out completely.
The AfD isn't in decline. As you can see in the first poll, votes for the AfD declined the moment BSW was first listed on surveys and declined relatively to the degree of BSW's popularity.
Yeah, the support just stabilised. Seeing that the government still continues it's garbage policies thr AfD is going to surge again
"The AfD isn't in decline"
Yes, it is, if you follow the polls closely. Not every BSW- Member came from the AFD.
What? If AfD voters moved to BSW, it means the AfD is in decline. Otherwise they would be voting AfD and not BSW
@@kasetoast8354 Yes, but only in a short term point of view
But we aren't seeing voters go from AfD to BSW, those are non-voters that shift.
For the sake of humanity,I request art schools all over the world to accept everyone ASAP.
What if the art school rejected Hitler in the first place because time travelers kept asking to approve him
Stfu.
My god, that joke is so tired.
😂
@@bloodwargaming3662damn drx fan😊
That wouldn't be fair to art schools who would have to accept bad artists.
4% drop is not really anything to starting ringing the alarm bells over.
There is no such thing as an upper limit, when a party gains momentum just before the elections. That's exactly what we saw with the Dutch PVV, they scored way more than their "upper limit".
Keep coping
the dutch variant now polls 50+ out of 150 total seats and has been at this level since last year december
49 actually, but yeah that wont grow anymore
PVV? Ol' Gerty won't be the PM anymore so it's less of a problem. It means he can't enforce his worst election promises banning Mosques or leaving the EU.
@@tikket10it hasn’t grown in a while but that doesn’t mean it’s growth has completely stopped. still though, they don’t have a mayority in the eerste kamer and no party besides VVD, NSC and BBB wants to work with them.
PVV is peaked, and there will likely have to be another election unless Wilders agrees to not be PM in a PVV led coalition. Absolutely nobody outside of PVV wants to see Wilders as PM of NL. VVD and NSC have both said they will not form any coalition with PVV if Wilders is allowed to be PM. If PVV keeps pulling 25-30% pluralities in subsequent elections Mark Rutte will just remain in the job until Wilders goes away and a government can form. It's clear 75% of NL voters do NOT want Wilders as PM
the "dutch variant" has also become more moderate recently which does help with its polling.
Yesterday, Ireland's High Court declared the UK an unsafe country to return migrants to, on account of its Rwanda deportation policy. The AfD might be in decline, but its ilk is alive and influential in the UK.
Why the Irish court was even considering such case in the first place?
AfD doesn't exist in the UK, but yes, racist parties and anti-democratic parties are alive and well in all of Europe. Around 25% of Europe's population vote for openly racist parties.
Good point.
Ireland is already being colonized. Too late for them.
My god imagine getting rid of illegal immigrants. It's like that's one of the main things government is meant too do
Me: TLDR pronounciations can't get any worse
TLDR: TILLINGER!
Former communist countries seem to always wind up as fertile ground for far-right politics ...
Good.
When one ideology goes "Nation" is a convenient ideology to fill the gap.
Not necessarily, more like fertile groukd for extremist politics in general. Because the left Party (socialists) is also the strongest in the east
because the communists and the far-right are one and the same, they have the same policies, the same political language, and the same persecuted minorities (the rich, people of color, LGBTQ, Muslims, Asians, foreigners in general) in short, the only thing that has changed is the name, and the population of the former Soviet colonies, love them because it is a known thing, familiar, something indigenous, that is, the same poisonous words dressed in honey that we have heard before from the Soviets
That is because they have already experienced socialism. No need to try it again.
I don't believe in "ceilings" when it comes to potential voters. People always told me I didn't have to worry about the far-right winning in the Netherlands for reasons like that, and they were tragically proven wrong. A smart campaign strategy and changing tides in the political landscape can make a party like that attract a lot more votes than you would think.
This new SWA party literally took worst things from left and right wing xD
Are you trying to be always wrong?
SWA leader is 100% on Russian payroll, she is totally a GRU asset. der Linke has always been suspected of being a Russian plant anyway, with most of the legit leftists choosing the green party.
I think SWA are a fair enough party to exist. I disagree with Wagenknecht about a few things but socially conservative left voters are a real thing and I don´t see why they shouldn´t have some representation
@@Letsthinkaboutit-mb7nn I would agree with you, if she wasn't a Russian puppet.
Demanding peace by forcing the invaded to slave under the invader is not a great stance, if you have any morals whatsoever.
The Russian Ukraine war isn´t as simple as you´ve been told by the media. The West have also done plenty of shitty things there, i.e overthrowing the government in a coup. Not to mention that before the Russian invasion the Ukranian army was committing war crimes in the Donbass, i.e shelling civilians indiscriminately. They also tried to ban Russian language books and force small businesses to use Ukranian.
The Russian-Ukraine war is much more like Dune than Star Wars.
@@Khazar321
The far right (and far left) will always peak somewhere since there are still a lot of people - including myself - who will never support parties like that because they are for starters unrealistic populists. I would rather vote for a party that is "the lesser evil". And therefore I think most far right and far left parties will always remain the ones shouting at the sideline how bad the government is without having a proper alternative to that government.
I agree. Most have totally incoherent policies. Contradictory with each other often.
And if we go into their ideal world if applied these policies would be disastrous.
Look at Orban. He is doing fine ekectorally right? Yet 75% of young Hungarians want to live and work outside Hungary because they see no future in their own country. Scared (scared to loose pensions, scared about foreigners, scared about a changing world, scared about the Germans, etc etc ) old people vote for him and keep him in power but in terms of future? Nada. And it's the mark of all our populist parties and Trumpism. They are a generalized punch on the table against what scares people and their essential solution to everything is to go indoors, bolt the door and hope and fight for things not to change -which always does
@@TheIrishLad06 Especially in Germany, who once tried to go with those types of parties once...
Exactly this extremist parties only when in the toughest of tough times. Same with green parties They usually get a couple of seats but nobody seriously wants them to leave their country because they have no plan other than destroy civilization to protect the environment
Italy says hi
No, the Christian conservatives should totally cooperate with the far right. In fact, I already have a name for prime minister: von Papen! I'm certain that won't cause any future problems.
CDU/CDU is centre-left you clown
Got me in the first half not gonna lie
@@felixsantosa3815Whats the joke here ?
@@bloodwargaming3662 i think the joke is that Franz von Papen helped Hitler in becoming a chancellor
@@bloodwargaming3662The centre party naming you-know-who as chancellor of germany.
CDU-AfD coalition?! sure! And the pope has a wedding next Tuesday...
Merz is not opposed to it. So there is some possibility
@@konsumkind99He is opposed to it. Noboy will form a coalition with the AfD. The demonstrations showed what a lot of people think about them and how much damage a coalition would do to the party.
@@illbeback111i know he made some attemps to shift his position on 03.02.24 in his newletter, but since then made the oposite claim multiple times. i wouldnt count on merz at all. The satirical show "Die Anstalt" even made a whole Epsiode about him, constantly grifting towards the AFD and not giving a consistant and decisive "no" to coalitions with them. He is almost changing his position on a weekly basis.
@@konsumkind99So you base your opinion on a satirical show? Nobody will form a coalition with the AfD this would push away every voter that is not liking the AfD, which is almost all voters not voting for them. It would be political suicide.
Conservatives will always prefer making alliances with their leftist enemies over others on the right. They are the bane of national revival.
“Economically left but socially conservative.”
“Hey I’ve seen this one before it’s a classic!”
Christian democracy?
"Economically left but socially conservative." - You mean like christian democracy(Italy, Germany)/gaulism(France), especially after the war in Europe? Right now they are more right-wing economically though. It sure is a classic, economic boom and unprecendented prosperity.
Communist parties in places like Portugal and some Eastern European countries are also like this
They are very economically left. Kaiser derived his ideas from Marx Engels and Frankfurt school and Thomas Piketty. So „far right“ is the most absurd accusation.
I trust Wagenknecht much more though.
As far as immigration reform and the issue, they are right that corporate power is squarely to blame but also NATO created the problems. The AFD has been slow to point to NATO but now they have.
Wagenknecht is much smarter and more principled IMO.
Doesn't look like anything changed since no party overtook it.
A Russian FSB ring was broken up
AfD and BSW will grow until something fundamentally changes.
Nothing is going to change. Europe is finished. By the end of the century it will look like South Africa. And you know what, Europeans deserve it. There should have been a fascist backlash against this Third-Worldization literally DECADES ago. But no, they're protesting against the "far-right". Why would I have any sympathy for people who cheer on their own extinction?
I think Correctiv has retracted the claim that the meeting discussed expelling German citizens.
as a german, its true, because they lost a lawsuit currently and had to change their post etc. but nobody is talking about that ofc cuz it doesn't fit their left wing agenda like on this channel
No they didn't lost this law suit and didn't had to change their claim. In fact, they won on two of the three points in this lawsuit and only had to change a single sentence,
regarding a specific person.
You are welcome to read this, as the verdict is publicly available: Higher Regional Court of Hamburg - 324 O 61/24
@@walther2492 I can read the "verdict", but I've yet to see a single document, transcript, audio feed or video material of the "meeting" in question. Correctiv's "claims" (which is all they are until evidence is publically available) don't hold water whatsoever.
The lawsuit didn't even attacked this position. The only statement (1 of 3 that all had nothing to do with the core information provided by the article btw) that was retracted was some minor thing about a single member attending the meeting and as I said above had nothing to do with what caused the protests at all
@@KonsaiAsTaiyou can read Maximilian Krahs book, where he stated that 25 Million Germans 'have' to be deported and there is a vid of Björn Höcke stating that 20-30% of Germans 'have' to be deported, including citizens (btw this was exactly one month after the Wannsee-Conference 2.0).
The AfD Grundsatzprogramm also makes it clear how they are a party for the elite, discrimination, totalitarian politics and arbitrary decisions against migrants
let's not forget to mention that some CDU members also attended the right-wing meeting in nov 23!
That now formed their own far right offspring of the CDU
also its all hearsay grossly exaggerated by the media. So basically a comlplete non-scandal.
Those were not CDU members, those were "Werteunion" members, a right wing split off group of the party.
But the Comback will be a huge Party🔥 Now they vary from 15-19,5% but i think they get 20% at the European Elections!
Cheering for you from Hungary🤞
They just hate you because you make better stuff than them in almost everything really.
@@qj4ib Thank you for your Support🙏
Hungary is a good Example for Germany💪 I wish we had a System like Hungary!
You can be realy proud of youre President Orban👍😃🔥
Amazes me that Europeans can mass mobilise the population to protest for even things like AFD but my country of Australia doesn't even mass protest on Austerity
I mean quite a few people are in favour of austerity. Austerity is fundamentally not a bad thing, it's just fiscal policy. To not even protest on austerity is quite a weird thing to say, since that is far more acceptable in the west to do basically everywhere than literally deporting a part of your own population simply due to genetic heritage. These 2 things are not even remotely close to being in the same ballpark.
I'm not even saying that austerity is the right thing to do for Australia right now, I don't know even remotely enough about Australian politics to say anything on the topic, but phrasing it as obviously worse is weird at best.
In 1911 Italian sociologist Roibert Michels published the book Political Parties, which contains a description of the *"iron law of oligarchy."* This description has held true ever since.
I'd advise those who can see the utter bleakeniess for the working class masses in the cards for our future to read up on this law, even if only cursorily by going to wikipedia.
It’s refreshing to watch our politics from a non-German view. Keep it up
This channel is funded by the same people that infest Germany. It's an international clique 😉
Doesnt matter bcs our current government in germany can barely get 32%. 68% want a change, which is good.
but elections are a long way off, a lot can change in the meantime
Luckily, in Germany a government does not govern by polls. They do not change their policies daily on actual polls, like it is the case in the US. That is why Germany used to be stable.
But with social media, the only arguments all the opposition have are the actual polls. And that is the only thing they share on a daily basis. Boring.
@@mrvwbug4423 they are absolute morons one of the worst governments we ever had the only thing that changes is the further decline of the current government
The AfD has likely for now reached it's peak in the polling. But it can get a surge in polling numbers if there is another crisis or scandal of the government. The only thing that can really stop the AfD is the AfD's own policies, which would be very unpopular if actually implemented. So say they form a regional government after the next elections in east Germany. They could implement some of their agenda, people will realize it sucks, and then their polling numbers will go down again. AfD support isn't solid, it's fluid. That means it's extremely fragile. As long as the AfD isn't actually having responsibilities, they can enjoy default support due to the discontent with the federal government and the lack of a viable radical left wing alternative. This is because the german left party is a shell of what it was in 2007-2009 in it's peak because of the multiple unpopular regional coalitions it was a part of.
This second rise of the AfD is interesting, because at this point they have a pretty solid reputation as a far right party, so the implication is that those switching know what they are voting for. Which makes it unlikely that they will return to one of the mainstream parties at some point in the future.
This sounds very much like the early SD (Sverigedemokraterna, Swedish Democrats) in Sweden. SD is a reasonably accepted party today.
They also want to deport 20-25% of the population? Even native Swedish families that are not willing to participate in the "remigration"?
That is pretty much where the AfD is headed eventually. Whilst their rhetoric is dubious it's far from being fascist.
Sweden yes!
AfD may have declined in poll numbers, but it will be enough for mainstream centrist political parties like the CDU to adopt some AfD's political platforms like selective deportation of undesirable migrants to their countries of origin.
Probably not, because capitalists (whom happen to be right wing) get a lot of benefits from an underclass. An underclass of people that can go to work, but whom are also not knowledgeable enough about worker rights.
CDU may adopt some of the language, but in the end every normal political party in Europe knows that immigration helps economies sustainably grow. Low wage labor abuse is one of the reasons why we Europeans have such a good living condition.
@@suchmusethe problem is that immigration has long ceased to be a topic of rational discussion and instead it has become an emotional topic with a lot of fear mongering.
And which migrants are undesirable?
@@notfunny3397 Criminals, islamists and social welfare freeloader.
@@notfunny3397i don't know, maybe you ☪️an tell us. 🤷🏻♂️
They are still rising in some states, like Thuringia.
What can you say, former East Germans long for the days of totalitarianism
@@mrvwbug4423
No they are against it, that's exactly the point.
@@NoidoDevKind of schizophrenic to vote for a party thats on the grasp of being labeled a right wing extrimist to "fight" totalitarianism.
@@NoidoDevA big part of them love totalitarianism. That's why they have a love for dictatorships, like the Soviet Union, and they're anti Western democracy
Don't worry. The far-right is not normalised yet, but once it is in France or other places in Europe, it will also be in Germany. Give it time.
I hope you're right. Germans are so brainwashed.
You pronounced Thuringia wrong
Because Ruzzia is running out of cache due to more urgent priorities 🫠
This Russia conspiracy stuff is so tired and childish. Maybe Germans just want to secure their borders?
@@MegaShrooom we see how well this "secure border" argument worked for the UK.
"Muh Russian collusion". Same garbage we heard during the 2016 election and yet the entirety of the FBI and CIA couldn't prove it.
There is a also a lot of funding from swiss and german corporations. Sry, but the AFD is financially doing very well :/ even more so than before 2022
Reminds me the farmers' party in The Netherlands.
The BBB party you're are talking about is centrist compared to the ethno-nationalist AfD.
more like the fvd or pvv
Their voted have gone mostly to the PVV
@@MelindaSordinoIsLiterallyMe Yeah, I should have been more clear on this. I meant their popularity growing high unexpectedly, then going down to the pit.
@@MelindaSordinoIsLiterallyMe nothing wrong with being an ethno-nationalist. especially when you have millions of people who live in your civilization who hate your civilization.
"Why Germany’s AfD is in Decline"
Maybe because some of their members had a Wannseekonferenz style meeting...
It wasnt Wannseekonferenz style, it was anti-immigrantion at best.
@@gtrdxzclown
Deporting foreigners that dont want to integrate is apaprently a wild idea these days
The main cause of the drop is that people are not prepared to tell that they would vote for the AfD at the pollsters because of intimidation. The Meeting at the Potsdam estate was a private meeting between AfD, IB and CDU members which have a legal right to meet on private property.
@@jandevry3985 Well, a lot of polls are anonymous so I don't think intimidation plays much of a role here..
We had similiar situation in Poland. Far-right fascist-biased party called "The Confederation" was peaking in polls three months before the elections. They made it into the top 3 with advocacy of 16-17% Poles. It was dangerous beacuse it provided possibility of far-right populist coallition with Law and Justice. For the context, Law and Justice was holding the power single-handedly. Its biggest enemy was liberal Civic Coalition. The two other combatants were the center-right Third Way, and The Left. Confederation was known of its skepticism for the Ukraine, LGBTQ rights, woman's rights, Jewes. The far-right extremist Grzegorz Braun even suggested penalization of the homosexual acts. But when elections came Confederation achieved only 7.1% of the votes. It was a huge relief
its funny where you tonne down into far left as "the left" but still call other party as "far right"
@@KPPO200The left just want the power lol, they don’t care about this shit
Sounds like some coalitions are gonna shuffle hard.
Demagogic parties are great as a protest vote but to actually rule they are crap
As we see in Italy with Meloni's endless budget crises. Literally every single right wing populist led government blows up the budget and can't avoid economic calamity. Unless you're Millei, then you balance the budget in a day, and put 80% of your population in extreme poverty within a month. A lot of Argentinians are going to starve under Millei.
It's the party of normalcy and the only pro-German party. This shouldn't be controversial in freaking Germany.
I think as a protest vote they are terrible, I don´t really want these people being paid to shout bullshit in parliament.
There is so much to correct in this video...I dont even know where to start
In every European county the high court should decide over the admittance of "non constitutional political parties". Avoids problems in a later stage.
Der moment wenn du nicht sagen kannst ob da Max Uthoff oder Fritze Merz steht y weil du nebenbei den Abwasch machst
its mostly BSW though.
5:42 These polls are rarely accurate to the entire population and strongly depend on region. If you ask in western Berlin, 80% will disslike the AfD. If you ask in Thuringia for an example, theyd be the most supported party. Also people get labelled racist very quickly if they dont agree with the protests.
People really dslike party with better economy policy. So blind & naive.
Berlin is filled with self-hating hipsters and migrants.
CORRECTION: Fratelli d'Italia is much closer to the UK Conservative than to Reform UK. On several topics, Conservatives are more extreme than FdI.
Dream along
WHY IS IT ALWAYS "THREE MAIN REASONS"!
Rule of three. It works well for formats such as these.
They almost regained their losses already, because none of the points they are rightfully addressing gets solved. I do not like the way this party works and also some of their members but most of their topics are necessary to be solved and some of their solutions are reasonable too.
The only thing I get from this channel is that I don't understand the UK and TLDR doesn't understand Germany.
In don‘t know, if we are the only country like that, but in Germany, Voters are generally very divided. While in for instance the US, there are a lot of voters, that might switch their voting habits between elections, based on the candidates. Such a thing is vera rare in Germany. A right wing voter would never vote for a more leftist or social democrat candidate, even if they might like them personally. Also the other way around.
That's some wishful thinking by the Left-wing corp. media😂😂
Another detail to the remigration conference is that there is a historic connotation to it. iy was made only a few hundret meters away from the hotel where the "wannsee konferenz" happened during ww2. it was the conference where the "madagascar plan" was declared unrealistic (basically the same plan they discussed this time again) and the regime changed to the full genocidal mode.
Didnt happen
@@vr6428 So where did the remigration conference happen and how far away is it frm berlins wannsee?
@@johnhobbes2268 i mean, the holocaust
Splitting the AfD vote certainly will bring relief to the CDU. Assuming CDU support remains at present levels and AfD declines and stays down it means next election will produce a safe grand coalition government and CDU will be under no pressure to work with AfD.
And the CDU can continue the Africanization of Germany.
W Martin Sellner, Austria's last hope
I'm really hoping that the reported decline is an actual representation of reality, because this party is a problem and many don't see it, even though it has been confirmed time and time again. Even if it means that the CDU will be back in charge, which I am NOT a fan of, but it's the 2nd worst option.
Was genau ist falsch mit 8 Millionen Menschen die sich am ehesten von einer rechten Partei repräsentiert fühlen und gerne nationale Interessen verteidigen? Die Partei ist ein Problem für jeden der unserer neuen globalen Führungselite angehört. Ist das der Fall?
Why is Germany putting Germans first a problem? Israel, Japan and China all do it and their people don’t have multiculturalism problems
It's only a problem if the establishment parties don't clamp down on immigration of every fucker with a sob story to tell and no documents to prove it. Merkel's open door rhetoric has been the greatest fuel for the rise of right wing parties across Europe so I very much hold her personally responsible for the mess we're all in now.
How you still don't vote CDU or AfD after all the immigration/asylum problems Germany has seen is beyond me. Are you and your people really that clueless?
People like you are the problem in this country. Both AfD and BSW are needed direly. You also seem to be delusional to think CDU is conservative in any way
Na hoffentlich 😭
We Americans, we find the free mixing of politics and religion in Europe bizarre, though claiming many parallels exist between the USA and Europe. Highly multilateral with 5-10 major parties in operation. It's really the opposite of in the USA where there are center-left Democrats and center-right Republican "big-tent" parties who attempt to appeal to everyone by opposing the other
Video should mention that there is atm a big discussion about banning the AFD as a party completely
BSW -> Bullshit Wagenknecht 😀
6:18 Thulingia
decline? bssssssssssssssssssssss
In all videos you need to define the "far right" so an individual who may not be aware of the policies can determine if they really are far right or just far right in the eyes of the left. The media confuses these things yet they are very different.
The party might have peaked but the resentment against mainstream policies keeps on growing.
"Far Right" and ******phobia are badges of honour.
Unfortunately true. Fascism is currently going through a renaissance. History is repeating itself
@@SarastistheSerpent
The fascism is Islam. The collaboration goes back over 80 years.
@@henrybn14arFascism can take many forms. Islamism is not the only flavour of it.
Thuringia Poll: 18-25 Year olds: AfD at 40%. We ain't going nowhere.
Wait, BSW is LEFT-WING FOR YOU GUYS??? That's crazy, I wish we called that left in Brazil.
economicly left, socialy right
Even you, bro the cdu was also there! But they are establishment I guess
Except, its's not?
The march to the right is horrific
Europeans not wanting to go extinct is horrific? Why do you hate Europeans so much?
One lesson we learned in the Netherlands is that if the entire theme of the elections is going to be migration, the result is that the party that is the most anti-migration will win big.
If other themes are going to have a bigger spotlight and the solutions don't involve migration, you move away from the racist parties as a result. Maybe there's still hope for Germany. We'll see.
i admire but do not share this optimistic outlook
Well the "decline" happened because BSW was established. The end Goal is still to kick the current Ruling Partys not only out of Goverment, but also out of the Bundestag. A Lot of Peopel Currently Voting for the AFD considere Them to be the Thread against Democracy.
No. BSW mainly gets it's voters from the Left Party, the SPD and others. Statistics show that only around 1% went from NSAfD to BSW.
@@walther2492 You are not considering the Werte Union.
It is important to remember that the NSDAP lost seats in the election held just prior to them coming to power. In the next nationwide Federal election, the AfD vote share will likely rise to 37%.
When the NSDAP lost those seats it scared them so much that they were willing to negotiate a coalition government after years of blocking any negotiation whatsoever. The elections after that were already not free.
Every party has a so-called "voter potential." The AFDs voter potential is 25%. This makes sense regarding that 75% of Germans see the AFD as a danger. So the chances of this happening is almost 0%.
We learned from the past. This will no happen.
@@Buelow.The attitude of Germans will change when the banks fail.
All political parties have a peak of support they can reasonably get, unless something really weird happens. I.e the far right I think is about 20-30% of the electorate in most countries (again with a bit of variation)
I think it´s good that Wagenknecht has managed to take some of their voters away.
Nice video
Many said right wing populist parties will lose, but the results says otherwise, just look at recent elections in Netherland, Italy, Hungary etc
I don't know who really says this
Hungary really isnt a surprise because Fidesz's pseudo-democracy forced most young open minded hungarians to migrate elsewhere. Other parties have almost no chance
@@twicethegaloI dont know about Italy or hungary but with the Netherlands the polls severly underestimated the PVV with a 13 seat out of 150 seat difference. So maybe he’s referring to that.
Wilders still only got 1/4 of the vote, which means 3/4 of the Dutch didn't want him as PM. He still can't form a government.
AfD will never decline when Germany continues this migration politics. Well, if so, we can only emigrate from this country.
As most people I always disagreed with the official migration policy. But Germans were too timid to vote for an anti migration party (back then always right wing) unlike in other countries where the people could prevent the worst unlike in Germany where governments misused their freedom from opposition of such parties to allow or even further the flooding of the country with illegal and legal (cheap labor) migrants. But I'm not poised to leave Germany.
@@waltergro9102its a invasion...
@@wotanvonedelsburg1610 Yes, it's an Islamist invasion supported by traitors.
ja dann geh doch bitte
@@purpledragonofhonor2193 Nein, diejenigen haben zu gehen, die hier illegal millionenfach und im Widerspruch zur (provisorischen) Verfassung des deutschen Nationalstaates hereingekommen sind.
they havn't
Tillinger? You probably mean Thuringia...
Aren't CDU moderates?
Many are but the CDU has a big wing (what feels like one third of the party) of people who are very far to the right, some even getting close to the AfD in rhetoric.
Green party is too far left resulting CDU viewed by the green as right
They're far-left.
@@ATOM-vv3xu Vey far to the right? A hundred years ago that was center-left.
@@Stoddardian a hundred years ago the KPD was far left and people advocating for the great replacement theory (like you) we're far right. In fact they were Nazis... About as far to the right as we have ever seen in recorded history. And the CDU predecessors were still somewhere between center and far right. A couple years later there was a quote by Joseph Strauss btw. that there is nothing to the right of the CDU.
I’m always surprised how calm international media is talking about the AfD… have you forgotten what we did last time when fascism took over Germany??
If the AFD is fascist, then I’m Julius Evola. Most of them are just former CDU members/voters who aren’t complicit with the constant shift to the left in Germany
everyone you dont like is a fascism even they are jewish.
define fascism. I bet you think it's just 'nationalist thugs and... stuff' Hint: It's not
@@mrsentencename7334 I don't need to define fascism for you, you can use Google yourself.
At least they weren't flooding Europe with subhumans.
it isn't
The question of whether the AFD has peaked would I suspect depend on the age profile of those who support it. If the AFD are doing well amongst first time voters then they are doing OK. Also the bigger question is how is populism doing in Germany? The combined vote of the populist parties is more important than that for any individual party. My comment here is my attempt to be objective. I would like to see AFD diminish as well.
europeans looking after themselves and the interests of their country? can't have that.
For a subset of Europeans.... you people never learn.
@@SLDimarco Germans looking after Germans for example. Polish looking after Polish. Hungarians looking after Hungarians.
Europeans aren't just one people and they didn't undergo colonization like the tribes that were prezent on USA's current territory did.
@@SLDimarco i hope so.
@@MonsieurMoustachio folow you dear leaders example. you are a barbarian not a european.
"looking after" being a euphemism for harming others rather than anything to help themselves, and also declaring a subset of their own populations to be "not Germans" so they can be treated as second class citizens. That happened once before in Germany and wasn't pretty.
The AfD had some setbacks in the polls, but was still often able to mobilize voters again and again.
Wagenknecht was in fact just vice leader of the left party. That’s a mistake you made.
I think calling AFD in general „far right“ communicates little and amounts to an ad hominem.
It seemed always a loose coalition with various ideas in different regions. But Benedikt Kaiser‘s writings quote Marx, Engels, the Frankfurt School, Thomas Piketty and is against neoliberal capitalism. It is pretty far left economically and I agree with that basically.
And the basic idea is that multicultural ideologues are in cahoots with corporate power. The fact of the matter is they are, but more as an advocacy of shallow leftism as a replacement for class based leftism. The multi-cultural ideologues are often unaware of their sponsorship.
The ad hominem attacks have worked, as I don‘t know if they are racist or just anti-Immigration. And I have seen this manipulation before in the USA.
I have much more trust however in Wagenknecht than AFD. But now that Wagenknecht believes in Moderate immigration reform she is now labeled right. Which is an absurdity.
Immigration as a Left policy has had no unanimous policy. In the USA Cesar Chavez was adamantly anti-Immigration so as not to flood the labor market which nullified the power of unions.
Repeatedly mentioning the scandals without also mentioning that the fact checker behind the scandal, Correctiv, is being dragged to court and has been revising it's story several times already looks a bit disingenuous for a normally well researched news org...
It has been dragged to court, yes, but only minor details, that have nothing to do with the points made by the article were attacked and 2 of those 3 points were rejected by the court. Furthermore there is independent proof, that all of those positions are held by leading AfD candidates such as Höcke or Krah
Getting "dragged to court" isn't really relevant when they won the case
@@krombopulos_michael hadn't heard that. Their shadow edits are still relevant, though.
@@Keiranful damn my comment here was removed for some reason.
In the court-case only things, that were not relevant to the key points of the story were attacked (they were details about a single person attending the meeting iirc) and Correctiv won 2 of the 3 things that were attacked
@@Keiranful Yeah Correctiv won