Thanks for this Connor. It really says something about human nature when this excellent video has so few views, when any video with 'ai will take eyerything' will have so many.
This happens with every new wave in technology. For example, when the internet started to boom, we knew it would replace some jobs and create other new ones, but there was no way to understand what exactly that would be, especially with relation to the new ones. Nobody in the 90s could have possibly foreseen that there would be millions of people doing social media work full time or running ecommerce businesses. That said, it was much easier to foresee that there could be a potential decline in areas like print media and libraries as those had obvious online alternatives. That said, with each of these waves of technology (computers, the internet, mobile phones, etc.) there have been positive outcomes with relation to the net number of jobs. There's no guarantee that history will repeat itself, but I personally think it is very likely. Moreover, we do have a basic idea of some jobs that can be created by AI, such as jobs creating various AI tools to perform different tasks and integrating those tools with the systems of various companies. There will likely also be new jobs created to regulate and audit AI, to contribute to AI training data, to research new AI models, etc.
Very few takes on AI that are actually sane and this is one of them. As someone who is entering the job market this summer it definitely is frightening time. Even as an inexperienced student mentions of prompt engineering and taking udemy courses to learn chatGPT prompting is ridiculous. Keep up with the content, much love!
Your indepth review of gpt4 got me subscribing to you and I'm glad to see that the quality of videos have not changed. There was a clip in the interview between lex and sam altman in regards to AI taking jobs, where basically sam says something to the lines of "people are gonna realize that if we can get 10x the code for cheaper, people are gonna write even more." Maybe its a massive cope from me but I'd like to believe there is some truth to that where companies will hire more to do more... Of course there is also the fact that Sam is literally the head of the company that's making the very tool people are worried about... so he is incentivized to tell people not to worry but I guess we'll see how things turn out. Anyways I just started learning how to code a few months ago, and while im not really gunning for a software engineering job, I do hope that at the very least... the knowledge of coding stays relevant for years to come (and not all of it being delegated to an AI).
Thanks for the support! And yeah, there's always a weird effect where the most credible sources on a subject (e.g. Altman) are also the most likely to have biases and incentives to promote certain narratives. That said, I'd generally agree with him here (or at least your description of his position, I haven't listened to that interview yet). Oftentimes the biggest limiting factor of tech companies is how much they are able to produce. I don't think any major tech company has ever run out of code to write. If AI can make us 10x more productive, there's a good chance that just means we build 10x more products and companies grow like crazy, not that there are 10x less jobs. And best of luck with learning how to code!
@@ConnerArdman your reply and this comment made me get out of the zone of wtf I'm going to do with no industry experience to the zone of continue studying and keep making myself better and learn in the tech field , whether in software development or cloud or DevOps or any other field in tech . thank you both
It's hard to say, but not necessarily. Frontend development has a lot of components that AI isn't particularly good at currently. For example, frontend development tends to have the most reliance on creativity of software engineering specialities, which AI naturally can't do well. Up until this point, CSS has also been a very weak point of GPT. It can write it, but in my testing it was far less consistent than it was with normal code. Moreover, frontend development is still a rapidly changing field. The frameworks are changing. The "best" design styles are changing. The UX "best" practices are changing. This can cause AI like GPT to always be a bit behind the curve. That said, it might be one of the more heavily changed fields. There's definitely a world in the near future where we don't manually do things like define custom React hooks.
Conner, question for you. I see a lot of videos with people quitting their front end development even though they land their dream job or even over 200k+ a year. And some say they want to change career. As a beginner who want to learn to code and be a front end web dev, is this something I should get into when a lot of people are leaving their career to do youtube and others? Is this something I should get into when people seems to be getting out? What's your recommendation for a beginner?
I think you're getting a response bias of people who post on RUclips, because I don't think this is accurate. There are millions of frontend developers and ~10 of them have left their jobs to do RUclips full time. I personally don't know a single frontend developer IRL that has changed careers. Of course those people exist, but I don't think there's evidence to support that there are a lot of them or any more than any other career. Regardless though, it wouldn't change my recommendation-do what you find interesting.
I've noticed FAANG tech layoffs haven't impacted non-tech Fortune 1000 coding jobs that much (the hell relm I tumble in). Most people laid off from famous companies would rather watch their kids starve then take a lower status position at a 75% pay cut (i.e. take a normal programming job). Most of them are just going to wait for FAANG to start hiring again. The vast majority of new coders getting into the field are not going to go straight to FAANG so these well-publicized layoffs are largely irrelevant. Also, these companies are going to have to hire a lot of contractors on the down low and for a higher rate then they were paying the laid off employees.
Great points man 👍🏼
Thanks!
Thanks for this Connor. It really says something about human nature when this excellent video has so few views, when any video with 'ai will take eyerything' will have so many.
A lot of people say more jobs without an idea of what that would be. Although on the other hand we do have a good Idea of how we'll loose jobs with ai
This happens with every new wave in technology. For example, when the internet started to boom, we knew it would replace some jobs and create other new ones, but there was no way to understand what exactly that would be, especially with relation to the new ones. Nobody in the 90s could have possibly foreseen that there would be millions of people doing social media work full time or running ecommerce businesses. That said, it was much easier to foresee that there could be a potential decline in areas like print media and libraries as those had obvious online alternatives.
That said, with each of these waves of technology (computers, the internet, mobile phones, etc.) there have been positive outcomes with relation to the net number of jobs. There's no guarantee that history will repeat itself, but I personally think it is very likely. Moreover, we do have a basic idea of some jobs that can be created by AI, such as jobs creating various AI tools to perform different tasks and integrating those tools with the systems of various companies. There will likely also be new jobs created to regulate and audit AI, to contribute to AI training data, to research new AI models, etc.
good analysis...thanks
Very few takes on AI that are actually sane and this is one of them. As someone who is entering the job market this summer it definitely is frightening time. Even as an inexperienced student mentions of prompt engineering and taking udemy courses to learn chatGPT prompting is ridiculous. Keep up with the content, much love!
Thank you for putting this out, this is exactly how I feel
Your indepth review of gpt4 got me subscribing to you and I'm glad to see that the quality of videos have not changed. There was a clip in the interview between lex and sam altman in regards to AI taking jobs, where basically sam says something to the lines of "people are gonna realize that if we can get 10x the code for cheaper, people are gonna write even more." Maybe its a massive cope from me but I'd like to believe there is some truth to that where companies will hire more to do more... Of course there is also the fact that Sam is literally the head of the company that's making the very tool people are worried about... so he is incentivized to tell people not to worry but I guess we'll see how things turn out. Anyways I just started learning how to code a few months ago, and while im not really gunning for a software engineering job, I do hope that at the very least... the knowledge of coding stays relevant for years to come (and not all of it being delegated to an AI).
Thanks for the support! And yeah, there's always a weird effect where the most credible sources on a subject (e.g. Altman) are also the most likely to have biases and incentives to promote certain narratives. That said, I'd generally agree with him here (or at least your description of his position, I haven't listened to that interview yet). Oftentimes the biggest limiting factor of tech companies is how much they are able to produce. I don't think any major tech company has ever run out of code to write. If AI can make us 10x more productive, there's a good chance that just means we build 10x more products and companies grow like crazy, not that there are 10x less jobs.
And best of luck with learning how to code!
@@ConnerArdman your reply and this comment made me get out of the zone of wtf I'm going to do with no industry experience to the zone of continue studying and keep making myself better and learn in the tech field , whether in software development or cloud or DevOps or any other field in tech . thank you both
Hey Conner do u think front end development is the most in danger of being wiped out by AI ?
It's hard to say, but not necessarily. Frontend development has a lot of components that AI isn't particularly good at currently. For example, frontend development tends to have the most reliance on creativity of software engineering specialities, which AI naturally can't do well. Up until this point, CSS has also been a very weak point of GPT. It can write it, but in my testing it was far less consistent than it was with normal code. Moreover, frontend development is still a rapidly changing field. The frameworks are changing. The "best" design styles are changing. The UX "best" practices are changing. This can cause AI like GPT to always be a bit behind the curve. That said, it might be one of the more heavily changed fields. There's definitely a world in the near future where we don't manually do things like define custom React hooks.
@@ConnerArdman makes sense, thanks for such a long detailer ans Conner . Love your content .
Great point about how self driving has progressed and how that is a possible outcome for LLM’s (I.e we may hit a ceiling much faster than expected)
Conner you have out done yourself with this video! Amazing info.
Wow what a quality Content. Thanks learnt a lot 👍
Thanks! Glad you enjoyed it! 😃
Conner speaks facts.
Amazing video, Conner
Thanks! Glad you liked it 😊
subbed.
Yea Def too late to learn front-end dev
that makes perfect sense
many thanks👋
Great points, Conner!
Thanks!
Conner, question for you. I see a lot of videos with people quitting their front end development even though they land their dream job or even over 200k+ a year. And some say they want to change career. As a beginner who want to learn to code and be a front end web dev, is this something I should get into when a lot of people are leaving their career to do youtube and others? Is this something I should get into when people seems to be getting out? What's your recommendation for a beginner?
I think you're getting a response bias of people who post on RUclips, because I don't think this is accurate. There are millions of frontend developers and ~10 of them have left their jobs to do RUclips full time. I personally don't know a single frontend developer IRL that has changed careers. Of course those people exist, but I don't think there's evidence to support that there are a lot of them or any more than any other career. Regardless though, it wouldn't change my recommendation-do what you find interesting.
@@ConnerArdman Thank you Connor :)
I've noticed FAANG tech layoffs haven't impacted non-tech Fortune 1000 coding jobs that much (the hell relm I tumble in).
Most people laid off from famous companies would rather watch their kids starve then take a lower status position at a 75% pay cut (i.e. take a normal programming job). Most of them are just going to wait for FAANG to start hiring again. The vast majority of new coders getting into the field are not going to go straight to FAANG so these well-publicized layoffs are largely irrelevant. Also, these companies are going to have to hire a lot of contractors on the down low and for a higher rate then they were paying the laid off employees.
yes, it's too late.
Don't take my job!