I was a MITSUBISHI mechanic and when the I MEV came out I was sent to Adelaide head office for training on the car . We were told that in a few years you would be able to get a new larger capacity battery that you could fit to your existing car to be able to increase the range. That was in 2013 , still waiting for that one .
Yes, that would be good, very good. But that means that car makers wouldn't be able to sell more cars. I have a feeling that the structural battery pack in Teslas has that goal in mind too. It's a pity because you should be able to swap HV traction batteries as easily as you do your 12V. Whether the batteries wear out first or the car wears out, at least you get to keep one going.
A standardised battery format would be great on so many levels. Swap and go to remove the need for charging. It would also allow users to effectively rent cycles on battery packs. However manufacturers would see this as stifling their creativity with respect to designs. Recycling batteries is going to be an important thing. From what I've heard lithium chemistry is able to take reasonable advantage of this but we're not thinking forward enough and learning from the past. We need to be designing recycling in at the front end and not as an afterthought once the horse has bolted. Standardisation helps with all of this. Look at what the standard 18650 lithium cell has done. Just scale it up. Recent changes in EU with minimum levels of recycling should help but it would be better if the makers could take a leadership position and not rely on government directives. Like that's going to happen.
@@vk3fbab So, as John informed us, we are 50% short on demand of lithium, you want us to make two batteries for every vehicle. And recycling only works if it pays for itself and makes little profit. No one will do it for nothing.
I-Miev had a LTO battery. Thsoe are great in regards of having a very very long lifespan. About 30 years or 10 000 full charges. The main drawback is that they have very high volume, so its hard to fit anything more than a fairly short range in a small car like the I-Miev. Also LTO was a very new technology back in 2013. I-Miev was the first product to use it. There is a sort of backwards drawback with this kind of battery. When the car is waste, the battery still have 15-18 years to go. This is probobly why most car manufactures have abounded LTO. Its cheaper to just use LFP or NCA batteries and just scrap the batteries with the car. With that LTO is very good for industrial applications.
Kenworth used to have exactly the same body for over 20 years (OK, I'm old, this was 30 years ago when I owned a K125). They also sold 'Glider kits' - a new motor, gearbox, suspension, brakes to replace the old ones (Some trucks managed 7 million Km before being scrapped).
Used too, and they weren't very nice trucks from start to finish unlike a Volvo FM or FH. But with time and realization of chain of responsibility by truck owners, it's more economical to replace a 10 year old 1.5m km truck with 35,000hrs on it's second engine, if it's a volvo or Scania, probably only on it's first diffs and gearboxes. They are just worn out in the chassis now.
I'm a Peterbilt guy myself, but I definitely believe in keeping things going for as long as possible. I don't own one (yet) but I am an honorary member of a Ford Model T club. Most of these cars are over 100 years old, and have been restored to like new condition. I also have a friend who has a 1947 Beechcraft V35 Bonanza. It's 76 years old, and looks and flies like brand new. Any new vehicle should last at least 50 years. Considering what they cost today, it takes at least that long to get your moneys worth out of them.
I mean, I am a Silicon Valley engineer. Driving to my favorite resort, about 3 hours east, there is no cell service for the last hour and no chargers to be found. I'll happily keep my ICE vehicle for the foreseeable future. Edit: I admit I was suckered in to the VW TDI program. The Golf was a great driver, but most of the appeal was green mileage. When that proved a lie, I just went ICE Subaru. It's been great. RORO car carrier fires have also been amazing, yeah?
This is an enormously divisive issue. Quite honestly, I'd like to have an electric vehicle but it has to be a practical exchange that does what I do now. Anytime the Government gives me an incentive, or a mandate, to do something, I have an immediate negative reaction to adopting that product. I have many friends, here in Florida, who have solar panels on the roof. They were bugged , and incentivized, to adopt solar panels - so they did. Once they had them installed, the emphasis then immediately changed to "upgrading" their panels since solar panels are in a continuous upgrade cycle as the technology does indeed improve as we progress. So the "one and done" statements from the sales people was yet another myth where the "rebates" didn't actually go to the resident, they went directly to the installer. Then the "new and improved" panels arrived and it's "rinse and repeat". As I said, I'd love to have an electric car but, at the moment, the technology just isn't there to completely replace the functionality of an ICE. This, IMHO, is quite simply another Government scam backed by population that has been indoctrinated without knowing the benefits/drawbacks of EVs vs. ICEs. When it makes sense to switch to an EV, I'll do it with a smile on my face and I'll do it when it is to my advantage and not to other people's.
My sentiments as well. I'm in Canada and no matter the state of the global economy, our illustrious idiot in charge keeps pushing through a higher carbon tax (useless as it is and only one of his numerous insane, dictator policies). People that can afford all this stuff, can. People who can't, suffer through insane policy. Carbon tax is a cash grab scam and there's not a soul on the planet that can convince me otherwise.
The sales people didn't force your friends to upgrade their solar installation??? Only rich early adopters could even afford this in the first place. The solar panels on my mom's house are 12 years old and she (like most owners) hasn't upgraded anything and has not planned to do so. I own an EV from 2019 and have no plans on "upgrading" either. Works just fine.
I understand your point, but watch for change. I made a video two years ago that said ICE was still more economical overall. Three months back I wanted to replace my wife's 2018 VW and took another look at EVs, just in case of change. Well, the $6,000 rebate was new, and BYD had arrived with an EV that was about $15,000 cheaper than a Model3, so I crunched the numbers against comparable cars, mainly the Nissan Qashqai TI and had to eat crow; the day of the EV had arrived sooner than expected. I bought the Atto3, and it goes well with my roof solar in sunny Brisbane, not to mention it drives so well. Now, this only means it's good for here, and if circumstances are favourable. The EV decision is always relative to location and circumstances, so you may have some waiting to do - just saying to keep an eye out for change wherever it is a poor choice at present.
Australia cannot even adequately supply its present demand for electricity at the moment, how on earth are they going to burn enough coal to charge additional EVs?
@@nigelliam153It will. Entirely by co-incidence I was looking at an available supply map in Queensland this morning. Most residential distribution areas areas have > 1MVA additional capacity available even at the small scale maps. In non-metro areas of Queensland transformers are sized on the basis of each premises getting allocated 5kVA, I think. That should be sufficient to get a useful amount of charge into everyone's vehicle overnight. Remember the case of a person having to take their vehicle from '0% to 100%' each night is rare. Most people's vehicle use is a lot lower than that. What we do need to address though is fine grained control of vehicle charging to ensure worst case, lights go out, are always avoided. Queensland has the blunt 'turn it off completely' approach but we need a better integrated common protocol system where the vehicle owner can simply say 'I want at least 25% charge when I get up tomorrow' and let the car and network sort out how that is achieved.
@@retrozmachine1189 try looking at the pole fuses or how many houses have 200A supply fuses which would allow them to charge 2 EVs on fast chargers? Or just look at LA were residents are now given a choice of running their AC or charging their car but not both at the same time.
@@redbomberr4594Thanks Captain Obvious. I never would have know that without your insight. Now how about you go and look at the availability of capacity in other parts of the country? I'll give you a tip just in case this is beyond your abilities; the same situation is seen across the country. There is over MVA capacity available all over the place, that's the network can carry MVA more than is currently used. All areas also have existing peak time capacity averages which they are all meeting. That means one way or the other the capacity to supply power for EV charging outside of peak hours (the 6pm etc hours) is there. Right now. With no additional work. At All. This might change in the future, depends on how flatly the greenification falls on its face, or not.
Interesting people have not thought about how long a change can take place. Combustion engines were invented and being used from the early 1900's. 60 years later steam trains were still in operation. The two worked alongside each other. My Grandfather in his Rambler car waiting for us to disembark the steam train.
steam is more powerfull,,it doesnt get effected by altitude, as diesel , petrol, do.. steam was banned in favour of diesel, something to do with oil co,s,,maybe,,,??...
@@harrywalker968 boiling point of water IS affected by altitude, the higher you go the lower the temperature or the less energy needed and the less energy the steam has. ICE was simply better than steam engine,
Funny that the Muppets are talking about going back to steam engines (of sorts) in EVs. They conveniently forget where the electricity comes from to charge their EV batteries, which here in Australia is mainly coal fired powers stations used to drive steam turbines.
@@harrywalker968 Steam died because it was impracticable and in-efficient. People look back at steam railway engines with rose tinted specs and say "aren't they wonderful" but ask someone who actually had to use them for their work each and every day and they were incredibly pleased to move to a deisel loco! They could simply get to work 5 min before they were due to leave, start and drive off. unlike spending several hours getting filthy shovely coal, watering, lighting the fire, stoking and building steam required by an old external combustion steam engine. As the employers saw massively better reliability and hugely lower running costs, the change came quickly. Keeping an old steam engine was mostly comercial suicide, and once diesel locos became available in volume, pretty much every operator in the world swapped over as quickly as they could. Funnily enough, pretty much exactly the same thing is happening with the global electrification of our transport systems today..... ;-)
Thank you for your clear-sighted assessment of the EV Utopia that is being championed by various sectors of society, Mr Cadogan. There is indeed an environmental imperative to use EVs at scale; pointing out the engineering and marketing voodoo currently being invoked in the name of EVs is an essential activity. Keep up the rather splendid work on that front.
Do yourself a favor, Andy. Bugger all of what John says is educational. Most of it is just falsehoods when it comes to his relentless waffling against EVs. Anyone would think he was paid by Murdoch.
That's the fun thing about evangelical beliefs though, no evidence needed! Just believe and it'll all be right on the night with your bell end at hand. The amount of 'Magical Thinking' and what I can only really call 'Divination' from some people believing that there will only be a good end to the technological innovation is kind of remarkable. It's gotten so sorcerous they may as well drag out the cock, sacrifice it and read his organs on a full moon or something. It'd be about as accurate
Perhaps the future of EVs is to stick a tank of water in the boot and buy yourself a few dozen electric eels. All you then need to do is buy food for them once a week. 😂
Not to mention that Akio Toyoda, ex-CEO and now Chairman of Toyota, the world's largest car maker, is on the record saying that "EVs are not the answer", "BEVs are just going to take longer than the media would like us to believe" and that "the company's goal remains the same: pleasing the widest possible range of customers with the widest possible range of powertrains". Straight from the horse's mouth.
The WEF also said EVs are not the answer. It never was. the idea was to pass laws banning gasoline/diesel cars. people think they are going to get an ev to replace their gas car. they will not.
Toyota is incentivized to minimize the impact of EVs and maximize the clearly inevitable transition time since they don't really have any good ones, and their government doesn't want EVs. That is of course, unless orbtalair2013 is correct and the WEF will be killing democracy and we will all be slaves in communism 2.0. In that case we will all be taking public transportation or biking/walking.
Right or wrong, whatever your view on this subject, your Channel gives us all a voice on EV and ICE and the Politics there in. Thanks John for this platform which has become so informative regardless of a persons personal Religion.
If the shortage of lithium required to build new EV batteries is going to inhibit the building and sales of EVs then looking at repowering an older EV is also going to be very expensive.
If there is a "shortage" of lithium, then clearly the price will go up (HINT: think about why GOLD is more expensive than iron for example) And if the price goes up, then clearly recycling and reusing the lithium in old battery packs will be viable. Today, the lead in the lead acid battery in your car is almost 100% recycled, and there is no reason we won't do the same for the elements in a BEV battery. I work with companies already that are using BEV batteries for second life storage and repower. Today the single biggest issue is that there are simply not many batteries available for their schemes because BEV batteries last a lot longer than the average man on the street thinks. Recycling with very good recover rates has already been demonstrated and proven by numerous pilot plants and studies to be both viable (cost effective) and scalable (really important that bit) but today other than the odd small volume plant, there simply aren't any batteries to recycle yet.......
Sir, i love your logics! The fun part is that when you tell exactly this to some people, they don't get it at all and stick to the dreams ;-) Sharing this one
Absolutely brilliant video John thanks for sharing. Although I’m not an EV fan watching videos like this I often feel like I understand the challenges we face in transitioning away from fossil fuels a lot more. Have given up discussing with family that it’s going to take more than 5 to 10 years before we see the end of ICE as you pointed out as they listen to the deadlines made by the federal government and the likes of Blackout Bowen and obviously watch to much sci-fi while thinking of our new lives in Utopia. Excellent job once again.
John, thanks for your commitment to facts, and to gathering them! I learnt quite a bit from the original session on EV vs. ICE, and today's. Keep up the good work!
John is a prodigious prognosticator promulgating mistruths, poor information and outright made-up falsifications. His *endless* twaddle should just be ignored.
Hi John, always a pleasure listening to your channel. Your command of the English language is excellent, especially for an engineer 😊. Would love to hear your thoughts on China's EV graveyards. Just do a quick search on RUclips and you see what I mean. Brand new EVs (cars, bikes, scooters) parked up and left to rot. How does this help the planet or resource scarcity?
Absolutely. Here in NYC, contractors competed for the right to collect them from the streets. They were barged to several plants in the area for processing. You left out tallow, horsehair, mucilage, and animal feed. Nothing went to waste. There was never a horse cemetery, that's for sure
I think hybrids make the most sense paired up with ICE power trains. I am a big proponent of CNG. It is clean, cheap and plentiful. It can sit in a tank literally forever just waiting to be used. I have run dual fuel big trucks in the Midwest. We ran gasoline and CNG with just a changeover button on the Dash. It refueled just as quick as gas and burned way cleaner in the engines. I got 1mpg better fuel mileage in the same vehicle when I changed over to it and had just as much if not more power out of it. I could see moving to a 100% CNG engine with a plug in Hybrid set up. You could get the best of both worlds. The hybrid system can take advantage of regen braking to both capture energy to reuse and help with controlling heavy loads. It has great benefits. Also it would allow you to have some portable AC power to run jobsites, campsites or emergency power for your home. A guy I know has been driving a CNG Honda car for 15 years and has over 350,000 miles on it. He fills it in the city or off of his home incoming NG system. He has something similar to a scuba compressor that he uses to fill it off of. He commutes 70 miles 1 way to work in it. He has 275 miles of range at full pressure or about 180 from his home system that can't compress as high. The fuel point get's him 275 miles at interstate speeds. put a 5 KW battery in a light to heavy truck that you can plug in to charge and put regen energy into or 2 KW in a car. The battery from 1 Tesla could be used to build 30 to 40 hybrid vehicles instead. I invested in Hyliion in the trucking industry because they have bolt on systems right now that can be used on class 8 trucks. It is better for the Environment to burn or convert Methane gas then to just let it enter the atmosphere. Hydrogen has it's uses but should be for only certain uses not cars.
I think the most important part people missed in the EV v ICE vid was just how well Tiffany is going. She's got her own business and it looks pretty impressive too. Good to see Tiff and the girls doing so well.
I suspect you are correct. Imagine how much carbon we'll save when we're not allowed to leave the pods. Through the "hyperloop to the moon" into the equation and it'll be like heaven!
Actually one huge issue which barely gets looked at is the expectation that people will charge their vehicle overnight. Well what if (like me) you rent and arent able to install a charger at home or you live in an apartment which doesn't have nearby EV charging? It means finding an EV charging station and charging your car up but that does cost money in most cases and its more than what i pay for electricity at home. I have to be considerate of others as well so i cant always just plug in and go do the shopping... Sometimes i have to come back and move my car. As nice as it is... Charging leaves a lot to be desired and if they want more uptake, they need to fix this.
I was watching this doco the other night. Had a dude named "Kirk" in it, he had this matter beam thing. Looks the goods to me, our problems all solved with a simple call to "beam me up". 😁
fossil fuels will one day be replaced completely by electrofuels (man made gasoline), but that won;t happen in our lifetime. Problem is, there is so much fossil fuels that are easily accessable for mining.
@@monkeyonarock Hydrogen, well yes, it's a wonderful and viable fuel, just getting it is a problem. As John pointed out, obtaining Hydrogen the traditional way is a very dirty process. We need nuclear power for green hydrogen.
The rochford copart which has photos and videos of their ice engine area currently on fire. Copart isolates EVs from ice cars for this reason. And it wasn’t the ev side that went up.
The problem I see for ICE's or EV's sold now and the next ten years and maybe more is replacement parts and the cost of those parts. Right now new cars sold in the last couple of years are already facing long, long delays right now. On the story of electric conversions. I looked into converting my MX5 to an EV. When I regained consciousness after seeing the quote for the kit that excluded installation cost and certification. I rapidly gave that idea to where it belonged, the bin. I'd hate to think what the insurance cost would be if they would insure it and what replacement value would they payout if it became a write off.
@@SeersantLoom Besides the fact that the expansion of the power grid is happening since the first power pole what you are describing is already happening in many places and the grid doesn't care. You think the power providers would have a problem with selling more of their product? They are happy to provide everything to the grid to sell more electricity. We even have a proof for this. The Cryptomining hype from 2019 to 2021 consumed FAR MORE electricity than millions of EVs ever could. Don't know about your grid but my grid handled it perfectly. The power providers were selling all that electricity with a happy grin on their faces. Obviously... that's their business.
I've driven a BEV now for 9 years. Nothing at all has gone wrong with it, let alone with any of the BEV specific parts. No clutch to wear out, no gears to crunch, no exhaust to rattle or corrode, no water pump to leak, no fuel pipes to degrade, no cooling system to drip, no oil system to weap. The only significant wearing part (the battery) is covered by a longer warranty than that of an ICE powertrain and in fact, is pretty easy to remove and refurbish. In the UK, if you have an early model nissan leaf (famed for signifcantly worse battery degredation due to a lack of a battery conditioner system) you can today drive into a few specialists who in just two hours can diagnose (leafspy) remove, repair/replace, and refit that battery pack. The very simplicity of the powertrain makes that possible (take a look at the steps required to remove, refurbish and replace a hguely complex modern engine and the difference is obvious and stark. ruclips.net/video/-ySOspbt0BM/видео.html
It might also be nice to think about all the other minerals and metals ( besides lithium)that are needed not only directly for EVs but also for huge electrical grid improvements. Peter Zeihan(geopolitical analyst and and private sector adviser)has said that it takes at least 10 years to double any mining based products production, and there are more products that are used in making EVs that will need between 8 to 10 time increase for the projected requirements of the EV industry and the amount of copper to connect all these STUPID wind and solar farm will make Reo tinto blush.
Hi John, I think you're on the money or close to it with EV uptake (unless Australia collectively wins a Norway Jackpot), and I agree we really need to think laterally about battery end of life options - I'd encourage you to look at a video by Matt Ferrell on repurposing EV battery for Solar storage as he provides a good insight into opportunities less explored - Imagine being able to take your old Leaf battery (with 70% capacity left) and plugging it into your home microgrid, who needs a Powerwall. Also I think we need to look at bang for buck and realistically EV Cars are B/S in terms of improving environmental polution. What would be far better would be mandating removal of traditional hot water systems (& replacement with solar or heat pump technology) and implementing real energy star efficient homes along with mass transport systems which work for our cities and disincentivising individual car ownership. A good start would be to remove the Collins Street / Pyremont / Queen street tractors from the school runs and make the little shits walk or ride bikes like we used to. Cheers Peter
What would be better is NO MANDATING. Government needs to get the hell out of our lives. Nothing they push works. All they do is create 'new industries' engineered to extract more of our taxes. This is all just more wealth transfer. The whole premise is a lie to start with. Repeat a lie often enough, and sure enough a lot of semi-literate people believe it.
I am typing this reply on a PC that is powered by yesterdays sunshine (raining and cold here today in the uk ;-) ) and that energy was stored overnight in my garage by a second hand nissan leaf battery! I designed and built the system myself. Not very difficult or particularly expensive other than the battery cells themselves, which are in such high demand that a driven-into-a-lamppost-and-written-off Leaf is worth pretty much the same as one that you can actually use as a car......
To be honest I am a bit confused about Sodium ion batteries. Chinese companies have claimed they have implemented new technology that have significantly improved these batteries. BYD have claimed their Seagull model will have a 30 KW/H battery. In the end time will tell and they are yet to yet to actually manufacture this vehicle, would not be the first time claims like this have been " vapor ware ".
I watched a very good video from Asianometry on China's lithium battery recycling and how the CCP sort of mandated the car industries are soley responsible for recyling the batteries when they reach 80% useable range. The first mandate was in 2016 which was fairly broad and in 2018 a more detailed mandate was produced. Even in 2022 when the video was produced, China was still struggling to get EV batteries recycled anywhere near the mandated levels. If they cannot do it, we have no hope.
That's because Chinese laws are for political purposes only. Foreigners (YOU) are impressed by the law, while their citizens live in a poisoned environment. Laws are only enforced when officials don't like you
You're suggesting a totalitarian government is the model we should adopt? These programs do one thing, they end up with stockpiling of dangerous materials rather than recycling. Just look at the Australian recycling schemes. We though we were recycling, until China publicly said no to accepting other countries' waste. They had enough of piling up other people's crap. Now what's happening with it? Go on, have a guess.
China has all sorts of laws. They only get applied if you upset someone that matters. Sure they will, seemingly randomly, clamp down on things when a bigwig comes to town but apart from that it's largely Rafferty's rules. Any law that requires their car industry must do something will be treated in the same way.
You obviously haven't followed the news about the Chines EV graveyard s where thousands of brand new ev's are just registered and dumped just so the company's can meet their government quotas.
I missed one. You were talking about upgrades. You are correct that auto manufacturers are not interested really in helping you upgrade old cars to EVs, or upgrading older EVs to new battery technology. But that is what the aftermarket is for. Once your car is out of warrantee aftermarket parts and a local shop is much more typically how cars are repaired/upgraded than taking it to the dealer. Sure, there isn't much of that today but as sales continue to grow, there will be. Storedot did an aftermarket upgrade of a model S and got 700 miles on one charge. If no auto manufacturer snaps up a deal with them, why wouldn't they look for that after market to sell their product?
I am really surprised by some of the comments, most of what you said can be independently verified if you read any decent book about internal combustion engine and electric vehicles.
Great work John, I am sure that the calculations have been made for comparison of energy availability to push the wheels of a vehicle along the road, between ICE and EV, such as the space required to hold the fuel being petrol/diesel or battery, weight of the fuel/battery and comparable distance. Asking as I am sure that a small car with a 50 lt fuel tank can go further than the same car as a EV? I know for sure that refuelling is way much quicker than a EV.
er, yup, those calcs have been done, years ago. I started working on the elctricfication of passenger cars in 2003. Back then, i had to stand up and justify my reports to people like the head of reseach at BMW, not someone who takes fools easily. The maths and physics is quite clear and has been for at least 15 years! 50 litres of petrol holds 445 kWh of energy The largest mass produced passenger car battery is roughly 100kWh, ie 4 times smaller total energy storage. A Tesla model X is one of the most consumptive BEVs, by dint of it's large size (BTW, the mass of a BEV is largely irrelevant because the powertrain of a BEV is fundamentally bi-directional ,ie it can recover energy from that mass, whereas the mass of an ICE really matters because it cannot recover KE and refil it's fuel tank as you slow down!) returns over 100 miles per gallon equivalent energy consumption because it's powertrain is so efficient in comparison to that of an ICE powertrain. A typical BEV passenger car has MORE occupant and cabin space than an equivalent ICE model of comparable exterior dimensions because even with the poor (currently) energy density of existing battery energy storage systems, the huge power density of an electric motor, lack of requirement for a large and complex multi-speed transmission, and the lack of requirement for large and complex exhaust system (including emissions aftertreatment systems ie catalyst DPF, GPF etc) and much reduced cooling system requirement. Add in the package optimisation benefits brought by battery energy storage systems being solid state (no moving parts) and this is why a BEV makes better use of the available volume for a passenger car application
@@maxtorque2277 If the BEV is more efficient then why can't a BEV do 1000km on a full charge? Sounds like BS marketing that BEV's are more efficient, and after 1000km, how ling does it take to charge so I can finish my drive into the night? A ICE fills up in under 10 minutes that includes a pee stop at the service station.
@@robpinter5431 For the simple reason that current batteries are not nearly as energy dense as petrol. 1kg of petrol (roughly 1.4 litres) holds 13 kWh of energy 1kg of current tech batteries holds just 0.4 Wh A tesla model x with a 100kWh battery (one of the biggest batteries available in a bev car) holds the equivalent of just 14 litres of petrol! Put 14 litres of petrol in your car and see how far you can drive! At 40mpg, you'd get just 120 miles, and yet a Tesla Model X can do over 200 miles on the same amount of energy So BEVs are massively more efficient (over 3 times more efficient in the real world) but they currently can't go quite as far as a vehicle with an engine because current batteries are not (yet) as energy dense However, the fundamental maximum energy density for a battery is approximately 9 times greater than we can currently do with mass produced batteries. There are a lot of new batteries that have demonstrated they can realise much greater energy desity, but these are not yet commerically available. These new tech batteries are set to revolutionise battery energy storage in the future!
Like you said, the recycling of batteries will have to be greatly increased, if there is a lithium shortage I expect there will be money in it, regardless of how complicated it is.
It's not particularly complicated and people already doing it. Today, the biggest problem is actually getting end-of-life BEV batteries in any volume as those batteries are not yet anywhere near end-of-life. I am working with several UK companies that are already buying all the available used batteries for second life storage projects (ie static electricity storage with ISO containers full of used BEV battery packs). These packs even at EOL for a pass car (typically 80% SoH) are massively valuable comodity!
@@maxtorque2277it is very complicated and dangerous. With demand almost doubling every year, recycling is not going to make the difference, unless they enlist the biblical JC for some miracle.
In the late 90s, I was doing market research on utility-scale battery energy storage systems for the U.S. Department of Energy. At the time, lead-acid batteries (like your car battery) were being used for utility BES demonstration projects. The research indicated that we needed higher energy density battery technologies like lithium-ion (which was just starting to be available in significant amounts) to make this concept approach commercial feasibility. An alternative advanced battery chemistry that was identified as a possibility involved sodium chemistries. So here we are, a quarter of a century later, and sodium-chemistry batteries are ready...for more laboratory research. As John says, Li-ion batteries first became available in the early 90s. I was working at Sony North America when their Li-ion battery team for portable electronics was just starting to hit its stride, and that was in 1994-1995. It has taken Li-ion batteries over 30 years from commercial introduction to get to where we are now, which as John says is an order of magnitude from where we need to be. Right now, sodium batteries seem to be best for electrical loads that are fairly steady, and do not require rapid energy output increases you would need when you do something like step on the accelerator pedal in your car. Maybe sodium-ion batteries will be improved, so they have a longer life and improved energy ramping, and maybe that can be done at an economically feasible price. But IF that happens, don't be surprised if it takes 30 years to be available in the amounts required for the green technology future everyone speaks of.
SYdney must be such a beautiful, friendly, respectful, crime free utopia. You try walking down the street in any UK city holding a camera set up like that and you will receive a "gentle" tap on the head and find your recently liberated equipment on sale in the closest pub to be exchanged for some, shall we say, 'white powder'.
It's surprisingly docile compared to a lot of other places. For example I have a habit of leaving my wallet and phone on outdoor tables at cafes when I sit down, and when I went to Paris quite a few years ago I was constantly being reminded by the staff to not do that because it will get stolen.
What gets me is most households have more than one car. How are we supposed to charge dad's work truck, mums round town runabout and the teenagers wheels all at the same time and overnight? 😂
That is on smaller scale. What would happen if all people come from work and start charging their EV-s? I imagine how power graphs start to look much like roller coaster ride.
You’re not. I know someone who does this with a Tesla model 3 and a Leaf. It’s nearly impossible for that family to keep both cars charged at home with three adult drivers. Doesn’t work. They don’t have a solution other than to fast charge the TM3 once a weekend before heading home from the shops
well, like the 80%+ EV efficiency tells us, they really are dumdums. why do i snag on the 80%+ efficiency claim? 80% of WHAT? they think that by merely removing the powerplant from the vehicle it makes it magically more green and forget all about the chugging coal powerplant miles away that itself is about 34% efficient. Suddenly that EV is using fuel that itself is only using 80% of efficiently, dont get me started on the charging, adding that ev ranges drop by 30% in the winter, add another 50% off for cabin heat. Headwind, a trailer or other load adding, like driving uptilt, and the motors start guzzling those delicious electrons, again cutting the purported range in half. there a reason we dont have BEV trucks, the range is dismal if you dont have solar (ie another 50K + the car) and are charging at charge points cos you live in an apartment complex where you dont have room to park your regular ice car, not to mention an EV with a charge point, the recharge cost will be near the same when just tanking petrol. It matters where you live and how rich you are, but to make an ev truly green it will take a lot more money than to just buy the damn thing, you'll need a house and some land, a solar system, a battery system(solar doesn't work at night) and a charging system and of course the car. so say 70K car, 50K solar, 10K batteries and charging, 200K for the house and land, totaling 330K for a "green" car that you can use to not haul your trailer.
Nobody has thought of that (no surprise there, really), but mandatory 1-vehicle per household limits will be imposed by unthinking legislative bodies and signed into law by unthinking presidents and prime ministers.
Thank you for stating the obvious re the ev question, it is extremely concerning to hear the level of lack of understanding reality in some of the comments you have raised probably not as concerning as policy makers who make decisions with the same level of lack of understanding. Keep up the good work..
@@wizzyno1566 When a 7 year old car, is worth more than I paid for it new. That makes it very economical, as depreciation is the biggest cost when buying a new car.
@@SunRise-ul7koyou've edited your post to make it seem sensible. Well done. You never mentioned "holding its value" before. Bit of a dicks trick really.
Nice work John. In this age where credible information is at your fingertips most people appear to be totally ignorant when it comes to the reality of the actual cost in human lives and the environmental damage that is created by the mining of these minerals in third world countries. On another note, I see the Dutch oven has made port and the CEO of the salvage company has said that the ship will have to be scraped as the EV's are fused to the decks and that there are over 1000 cars on the lower deck's that are in reasonable condition, but the risk of the upper deck's collapsing makes it too dangerous to of load these cars. The Dutch have said it can only stay in their port for a short period of time. I wonder how toxic the contents of the ship are now and what lucky third world country will get to off load the cars and scrap the ship.
Why would the _participation trophy winners_ want to get their feelings hurt by looking up facts that contradict their beliefs? So much safer for them to look at websites that agree with and confirm their preconceived notions.
According to the chief of the salvage company dealing with the Fremantle has said that not only did the fire not start with an EV, but it looks like none of the EVs on the ship even burned. "However, between 900 and 1000 cars including the EVs appeared to be in good condition, the chief of salvage company Royal Boskalis Westminster NV, Peter Berdowski, told media last week." The Driven, Aug 14th 2023.
As a DIY nut waiting to win my darwin award, I've been playing with and following the lithium battery market for years. The price was already stable in 2019 and are now slowly trending up not down. Lithium batteries are getting MORE expensive. Production can only scale up if the raw materials can keep up. People confuse lithium batteries with finished goods. With finished goods the tooling cost is the initial main component of price then the cost of materials take over as the main cost component. Lithium battery production has passed the point where the equipment was a limiting factor and the supply of the raw materials is now the main constraint and as you point out: it's getting worse.
Do you know what must fundamentally lead volume in a capitalist society? yup, demand. High demand drives higher prices that drive investment in production volumes. Today lithium is in demand (worth noting that this element is being phased out of newer battery chemistries btw), the costs is climbing but right now there is HUGE investment in increased production. The reason a litre of petrol is cheap is because society has spent the last 100 odd years and investing billions in the extraction, refining, and logistics chain for this material......
@@maxtorque2277 and it's price is rising because new reserves require much more work to extract. It doesn't matter how much oil demand rises production can only grow so much. The same is true for lithium only that existing supplies are already close to maxxed out and all mines that are in development won't be able to meet the demand. BEV and lithium production will increase but the increase won't keep pace with demand and battery prices will trend higher. Like oil, when lithium carbonate prices reach a certain level more expensive extraction will become viable but these technologies aren't even scalable yet so barring a miracle will take at least an additional decade to come online and will take years still to start to meaningfully impact supply and price. Other battery technology that is suitable for stationary batteries may reduce demand somewhat and mitigate the issue but the projected demand is so far beyond projected possible supply that this won't fundamentally change the situation. Other metals are also facing supply constraints copper alone is also rising in price and the new mines coming online use a lower grade ore that is more expensive to refine which also pushes up prices. Economics works both ways, if supply physically cannot keep up, prices will rise. This is the case for lithium as well as other elements needed. The transition period will take a lot longer than many believe. It will happen but will take decades. True exponential growth can't happen beyond the point where a hard limit is reached and we're already approaching that limit.
@@maxtorque2277 also there is no viable replacement for lithium in vehicles. It's a basic fact of chemistry. Sodium batteries will always be heavier for the same capacity. Sodium is lower on the electrochemical series so it's maximum potential cell voltage is lower and it's heavier per Mol than lithium. Assuming they fix all the other current issues a Sodium BEV will be heavier with less range than a lithium BEV. Sodium, zinc bromide, redox and flow batteries may and likely will play a major role in stationary power in power walls, UPS systems and grid scale batteries but it's a fundamental limitation of chemistry that lithium based chemistries will always have an inherent advantage.
Great information as usual JC we need more people like you that present the facts backed by your training , intelect and research .Pity our politicians aren't capable of the same if they were we would not be headed for such potential disarters that I can see coming !
"Training, intekect and reseach"? hmm, what actual qualiifiaction does he have on this subject? I mean, i've watched some you-tube videos and i've googled "how to fly an airliner" so you'd be happy for me to be sat upfront in the pointy bit doing the flying next time you jet off on hols with your family right??? ;-)
Too many people can not look past their current agenda on petroleum fuel, how do you replace a fleet of 500Hp tractors on a farm in rural Australia with an EV substitute.
or a dump truck,or trucks in general or the asphalt or medicine etc etc. there comes a line where you realize that these people are against humanity as a whole.
The electric options for tractors are pretty limited above 100HP, hell even under 100 HP the options are limited. It will be a few years before the average machinery dealer ship has a normal sized electric tractor in stock. (Kubota and John Deere are the only mainstream brands playing with larger electric tractors. Still sub 300 HP equivalent from memory I think closer to 100 HP) If they can move mine dump trucks to electric, tractors should be feasible. (But that is a guess the cost of the needed batteries to run a large tractor are going to be pretty substantial) On top of this I doubt most farms are going to be able to draw massive amounts of power from the grid on top of existing needs. So yes it will be a lot of work to do (If it is feasible)
@@Tschacki_Quacki "Maybe... you don't replace them? So what? Why does my washing machine at home work with an electric motor and not with a diesel combustion engine?" what a truly brain dead answer. i reiterate, with this last comment as an example: there comes a line where you realize that these people are against humanity as a whole. and ill tell you "So what"- no food, no heat, no electricity, no EV-s- No Nothing you deranged mongrel barbarian you are sawing off the tree branch you yourself are standing on and are asking "So what" at the same time ffs Milk, meat, eggs and other good stuff come from the supermarket with guys like these. and electricity from the socket, tis Magic dontcha know. id tell You, buddy, to go to school, like you told me in another thread here instead of pointing out something wrong with the argument. But its way too late for you, you cannot go back to kindergarten, you are too old.
Here in Merica, back in 2017 we had an epiphany. Science and facts are not part of the reality that makes the world go round. Half the population, many of whom slept through science class, subscribed to the notion that there are "alternative facts". Aahh, the witty banter I had over social distancing, masks and airborne diseases. It still feels surreal.
They still haven’t shown environmental benefits of EVs for the full life cycle of the vehicle. I can’t even absorb the level of hypocrisy to get cadmium and lithium.
I’m dying here with coffee running through my sinuses and dripping from my nose… You are Absolutely Positively Awesomeness Extreme. Thank You! Much Love
...and they still sell corded phones. :) Great work, Sir John! The fight against humanity's stupidity continues! As they said in Starship Troopers: "I'm doing my part!"
Until battery technology improves substantially EVs kind of don't make much sense, especially in aus. Not very enviro friendly but fun to drive in a city. Cheers to the great content. 👍
Electric vehicles actually do make a lot of sense, the technology is currently sufficient but it is a valid point that we are nowhere near ready for them to be the only option. Our infrastructure was not designed for it and the lithium shortage is going to be a major roadblock.
@@alanakafang6143 Could easily do it in one, but we normally stay overnight on the way when holidaying. Plenty of superchargers which are always working
I definitely agree with you john I have put my estimate for EVs to become more wide spread (especially in the transport industry) to between 70-100 years UNLESS there is a major breakthrough in materials engineering This is purely based upon the trend of improvment of energy density in lithium ion batteries over the last few decades For local work, where the vehicles can park up and charge over night, i give that closer to 30 years Sure you could have pure electric trucks now, the problem is trucks are basically paid by how much weight they can carry The weight that you lose by the extra weight of the batteries is not small about $200-$500 per T of cargo lost depending on the cargo type With thin margins that transport operate under The expensive upgrade to EVs is alot to expect This estimate isnt even including supply, Or even the level of power grid needed to charge all these EVs
Greetings from the Netherlands, the land of burning car ferries. Do you think that we, as a species, are going tp solve global warming at all? Or do you think we are screwed?
Not screwed, the high cost of energy will bring forward a proper economic response such as nukes, hydrogen and far better utility of existing energy sources. German industry and the people will discover reality, perhaps as earth as next northern winter
I started out as an EV convert a few years ago but like you when I started doing more reading in areas other than "fully charged" and the like many holes started to appear. I still love electric propulsion for its simplicity and efficiency but until the right battery presents itself it will be limited. That is a shame because its greatest potential in transport is pollution reduction in cities. As for ICE vehicles, I still love the old ones [pre 1980] from a nostalgia point of view and I am impressed with the newer ones due to the performance gained from smaller engine sizes and the improvements in safety systems as well as comfort and road holding but the penalty has been a massive increase in component complexity and therefore repair costs. In the second hand vehicle market I am seeing many more cars that would have thousands more kilometers left in the majority of their makeup being written off because of the failure of a few very expensive parts or because a certain part is not available anymore. Those who can afford to buy new on a regular basis do not feel the pain as much as those who have to pick their ride from the used vehicle sector.
I daily drive a 2000 ML320 with 294,000kms I picked up for 1500 bills. It takes about two minutes to recharge to 100% and tows a 16ft powerboat. Range anxiety just isn't an issue. Let me know when an EV is up to this and I'll buy it. Used after depreciation.
It never will. Just like no smartphone ever had a battery run time like your old Nokia. But that doesn't matter. You simply stick with your Benz just like you still use your Nokia too. No problem.
@@Tschacki_Quacki A stupid comparison. They've gone from just a phone to a all encompassing device you use for all sorts of tasks. The EV only does what any other car will do. Just not as well. And you assume I only have one car. The ML gets to sit outside in the elements and go to carparks. The newer one not so. And I get four days from my Pro Max. So there's that too.
@@grantleyhughes Any other car can't drive gearless. Any other car can't give you instant torque. Any other car doesn't have a remote controlled HVAC system you can turn on anywhere, anytime. Any other car cannot be fueled with power from the roof. Any other car cannot be fueled with 10€ for 400km. Any other car cannot be fueled for free as a customer incentive. Any other car does not have brakes lasting for 150.000km. Any other car doesn't make it 100.000km without any major maintenance. Any other car does definitely not what EVs can do. The comparison is just as bad as EV vs. ICE cause EVs can do so much more that they are the overall better product, exactly like a modern mobile phone compared to a corded phone, despite having one or two disadvantages. That's exactly the point.
Electric vehicles have been around since the 1830s and have and do have the same issues only now we have the added bonus of fire's. The internal combustion engine can run on other fuels like renewable ethanol. A fact is if it hadn't been for the alcohol tax, the Model T Ford would have run on it.
You missed the bit where friends of Ford in the oil refining industry were at a loss to dispose of a byproduct known as petroleum distillate. Until Ford mass produced petrol burning engines, the oil industry had a big problem
Recently, I got into a discussion on EV when a Tesla owner thought we should all be driving EVs. I stated what about replacing the battery at 100k miles. He went into a tirade claiming all the mis-information on EVs including the non-sense about EVs crashing California's grid several months ago. Yes. I guess Gavin Newsom was spreading mis-information when he asked EV owners to not charge their EVs during that time. I did however find some information that some Tesla owners are getting 200kj miles from there batteries. Perhaps you could do a show on that.... :)
@@guringai What happens when 150,000,000 people get off work and go home, plugging their 240 volt,, 50 amp car charger in? (USA) The US doesn't have enough power in the grid for 10% of that. Where will it come from? The "switch" from ICE to EV's is being done by activists instead of engineers.
@TheBandit7613 The electricity networks & retailers are working on incentives for consuming power in the middle of the day when there is too much electricity in the market & generators are switched off. Our retailer allows this & we normally charge for the weeks ~350ks for under $4. This is normal in the UK too, & no doubt in many other parts of the world. I work in the energy industry & also study the engineers work - of those who actually operate the grid in Australia & they don't give a hoot what the activists reckon. They are just getting on with the grid upgrades.
@@TheBandit7613 The only realistic way to deal with that is to tank energy at the charging location which is trickle charged from the grid. But that is quite an expense to add on top of the car.
Hi John, not only did an ICE truck deliver the produce to the supermarket, but, the tractor that worked the fields was an ICE vehicle. Hydrocarbons made the tires, pain,t plastics, tarmac for the road, steel for the car/truck bodies etc. So even in fairy electric wonderland we will still need oil and coal. The most environmentally friendly vehicle was made early nineteen nineties , and well maintained. It has long ago used the carbon used in manufacture ,something like 5 to 7 years for an EV, and while not as efficient it does not create tonnes of CO2 a new vehicle takes to manufacture. So hats off to a 1997 Camry, or of course a 350 Chev. Cheers George
We don't know what technological advancements might happen in the future. And the majority of predictions people try to make end up being wrong. Maybe someone will come up with new battery technology that enables EVs to take over. Maybe someone will figure out how to make ICE cars 2 or 3 times more efficient, and make it even harder for something else to replace them. Maybe someone will invent a completely new technology altogether. We won't really know unless/until it happens. Then all the armchair experts will show up to tell us they knew it would happen all along.
John, I was reading about electric cars back in the late sixties, when the first emergency cycle started in my young life. Electric cars preceded gas cars. My daughter chides me for wearing my green or brown T shirts from the gulf war. Thanks for an interesting walk about through Sydney.
Unless someone comes up with a new battery technology that enables batteries to be built with cheap, abundant materials, and hopefully without the kinds of dangers that lithium batteries have, I don't see electric cars taking over. Even on a 50 year time span. Batteries are *the* sticking point.
@@GadgetMart How fast did your milk float go and how far??? Fred Flintstone had lead-acid batteries. Li-Ion batteries were introduced for a reason, any idea why???? Duh.
Here is an idea for saving the environment. 1. Cities should become carless. 2. Public investment into public transport 3. Re-engineering cities for bicycle, ebikes, scooters and walking. 4. High speed intercity transport, (planes, trains) 5. ICE cars used for country and extended suburbia. Obviously, there are 100's of ways that the above could be cut. However, absolutely none of them are conducive to increasing profits. So, they have shit all chance of becoming a reality unless capitalism is given the old shot in the back of the head. We also need to become a lot better at recycling and building products that last longer. But again. No one builds long-lasting products anymore because, long-lasting products don't keep those lovely profits high.
To build a EV vehicle it takes about nearly twice the amount of carbon dioxide than to build a ICE vehicle. A percentage of those vehicles will not last until the cost of the carbon dioxide is recouped .So these vehicles are a carbon dioxide loss. So how many EVS will not make it past 4 years or 60000 klm due to accidents or fires and then its if its a fire how many other vehicles can they damage or destroy. So is this really the way to reduce emissions.
And that assumes 100% of electricity comes from solar or wind. Where I live it's 90% coal in the evening and night when most people charge their vehicles. So if you are really disciplined and have solar panels you can break even at 60,000 km, but for most people it's heading towards 600,000 km.
My brain was, in fact, bent when you rotated that GoPro like that. Never saw that before. Now that my brain has been cold-worked I think I'll just have to live with it.
They have been trying hydrogen for over 30 years and can’t get it right and cost effective. It’s what car companies keep dangling and have been dangling so they have to do the least amount possible
Doesn’t matter what the fuel source is. A fire is going to be a problem. The Mont Blanc Tunnel fire is a perfect example of how fires in a tunnel are a bad thing especially if managed badly. 39 people died in 1999.
That old (disused) Horse Cemetery near your place John. Is it to be repurposed for the recycling of that 135,000 tonnes. If so may impact resale values at The Fat Cave (TFC). Apparently that Lithium Iron Glow will be visible from space. Oh well no need for that GPS. .
Absolutely brilliant commentary! As a farmer from the middle of the US, there is no way possible for the ICE to be replaced. During harvest it is not uncommon for a combine to spend weeks away from the nearest "charging station"! LOL. What idiots!
In the old days that wonderful metropolis you refer to was known, west of the sandstone curtain, as Shitney. I suppose it has grown up to become Shitsville. Jeff.
Ok John, top points for finding a divisive subject that can drive engagement on your channel (= $$$). However, The reason wholesale electricity prices have plummeted in the last 6months is the increasing supply of cheaper renewable energy. And, assuming ev owners use green power, eg charge at home fro their own solar (1/3 of all Ozzie homes have rooftop solar pv now), calculating on the ABS ave distance travelled of 11kkms pa, and the ave fleet consumption of 11L/100km, and an ave vehicle life of 20yrs, an ev will cause 1/3 the green house gas emmissions compared to an ice. No Cobalt or Nickel in the new LFP cells, thus cheaper, and Sodium cells will be cheaper again. Already the MG4 is a similarprice to an upspecced Corolla. And, the NTSB say that per 100k vehicles registered, ice catch fire 20x more than evs. Keep driving that engagement. Meanwhile, surveys show that nearly all first car buyers want an ev as their first car now. The ev transistion is a generational force. Those same young people will go on to be policy makers. You cannot stop this.
It would be nice if people realised how relatively little energy passanger cars use My home uses typically 30,000 KWh of gas for heating while my car uses only ~5,000 KWh of petrol per year A heat pump or insulating my home would do FAR more to lower my emmissions than switching to an EV
I like the comment stating the Auto industry will fix the problems in five years. Porsche said forget it will develop a cleaner fuel and the very clever people at Toyota said No, its Hydrogen for us! Maybe the carrier fire will change a few more manufacturers' minds about EVs.
Do you have insights in to the reports of the car carrier of the Netherlands that caught fire, are now stating that then 500 evs were not involved in the fire. They were, along with 500 other cars on the lower 4 decks and there was no fire there. Thanks.
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I was a MITSUBISHI mechanic and when the I MEV came out I was sent to Adelaide head office for training on the car . We were told that in a few years you would be able to get a new larger capacity battery that you could fit to your existing car to be able to increase the range. That was in 2013 , still waiting for that one .
Yes, that would be good, very good. But that means that car makers wouldn't be able to sell more cars. I have a feeling that the structural battery pack in Teslas has that goal in mind too. It's a pity because you should be able to swap HV traction batteries as easily as you do your 12V. Whether the batteries wear out first or the car wears out, at least you get to keep one going.
A standardised battery format would be great on so many levels. Swap and go to remove the need for charging. It would also allow users to effectively rent cycles on battery packs. However manufacturers would see this as stifling their creativity with respect to designs. Recycling batteries is going to be an important thing. From what I've heard lithium chemistry is able to take reasonable advantage of this but we're not thinking forward enough and learning from the past. We need to be designing recycling in at the front end and not as an afterthought once the horse has bolted. Standardisation helps with all of this. Look at what the standard 18650 lithium cell has done. Just scale it up. Recent changes in EU with minimum levels of recycling should help but it would be better if the makers could take a leadership position and not rely on government directives. Like that's going to happen.
@@vk3fbab So, as John informed us, we are 50% short on demand of lithium, you want us to make two batteries for every vehicle. And recycling only works if it pays for itself and makes little profit. No one will do it for nothing.
@@vk3fbab from a study i read, by 2030 recycled lithium is going to make 1-2% of the demand/market.
whether its bull time will only tell.
I-Miev had a LTO battery. Thsoe are great in regards of having a very very long lifespan. About 30 years or 10 000 full charges. The main drawback is that they have very high volume, so its hard to fit anything more than a fairly short range in a small car like the I-Miev. Also LTO was a very new technology back in 2013. I-Miev was the first product to use it.
There is a sort of backwards drawback with this kind of battery. When the car is waste, the battery still have 15-18 years to go. This is probobly why most car manufactures have abounded LTO. Its cheaper to just use LFP or NCA batteries and just scrap the batteries with the car. With that LTO is very good for industrial applications.
Kenworth used to have exactly the same body for over 20 years (OK, I'm old, this was 30 years ago when I owned a K125). They also sold 'Glider kits' - a new motor, gearbox, suspension, brakes to replace the old ones (Some trucks managed 7 million Km before being scrapped).
CAT are offering complete reconditioning of their plant equipment back to new. Smart move.
@@grantleyhughesthat's impossible after the blacks in Africa have operated that machine😂😂😂
They can destroy a square block of titanium
Used too, and they weren't very nice trucks from start to finish unlike a Volvo FM or FH. But with time and realization of chain of responsibility by truck owners, it's more economical to replace a 10 year old 1.5m km truck with 35,000hrs on it's second engine, if it's a volvo or Scania, probably only on it's first diffs and gearboxes. They are just worn out in the chassis now.
I'm a Peterbilt guy myself, but I definitely believe in keeping things going for as long as possible. I don't own one (yet) but I am an honorary member of a Ford Model T club. Most of these cars are over 100 years old, and have been restored to like new condition. I also have a friend who has a 1947 Beechcraft V35 Bonanza. It's 76 years old, and looks and flies like brand new. Any new vehicle should last at least 50 years. Considering what they cost today, it takes at least that long to get your moneys worth out of them.
The bullshit atoms flowing freely around this world is mind boggling.
Keep up the great work JC 🙌
You fail to see the source of all bullshit, which includes JC.
Astonishing levels
Not atoms, more like chunks.
I mean, I am a Silicon Valley engineer. Driving to my favorite resort, about 3 hours east, there is no cell service for the last hour and no chargers to be found. I'll happily keep my ICE vehicle for the foreseeable future.
Edit: I admit I was suckered in to the VW TDI program. The Golf was a great driver, but most of the appeal was green mileage. When that proved a lie, I just went ICE Subaru. It's been great.
RORO car carrier fires have also been amazing, yeah?
You are not alone.
Between Death Valley and Vegas, there's always an EV that needs a tow to a charger somewhere.
In the North were I live by 35 below 95% are still on the road. The rest made it to destination.
@@TheBandit7613yeah I found one with a little Honda petrol generator charging himself on that stretch of Road😂😂😂😂
@@BubblesTheCat1 That made me laugh for real. I could picture it.
This is an enormously divisive issue. Quite honestly, I'd like to have an electric vehicle but it has to be a practical exchange that does what I do now. Anytime the Government gives me an incentive, or a mandate, to do something, I have an immediate negative reaction to adopting that product. I have many friends, here in Florida, who have solar panels on the roof. They were bugged , and incentivized, to adopt solar panels - so they did. Once they had them installed, the emphasis then immediately changed to "upgrading" their panels since solar panels are in a continuous upgrade cycle as the technology does indeed improve as we progress. So the "one and done" statements from the sales people was yet another myth where the "rebates" didn't actually go to the resident, they went directly to the installer. Then the "new and improved" panels arrived and it's "rinse and repeat".
As I said, I'd love to have an electric car but, at the moment, the technology just isn't there to completely replace the functionality of an ICE. This, IMHO, is quite simply another Government scam backed by population that has been indoctrinated without knowing the benefits/drawbacks of EVs vs. ICEs. When it makes sense to switch to an EV, I'll do it with a smile on my face and I'll do it when it is to my advantage and not to other people's.
You took the words right out of my mouth!
Right on man!
My sentiments as well. I'm in Canada and no matter the state of the global economy, our illustrious idiot in charge keeps pushing through a higher carbon tax (useless as it is and only one of his numerous insane, dictator policies). People that can afford all this stuff, can. People who can't, suffer through insane policy. Carbon tax is a cash grab scam and there's not a soul on the planet that can convince me otherwise.
The sales people didn't force your friends to upgrade their solar installation???
Only rich early adopters could even afford this in the first place. The solar panels on my mom's house are 12 years old and she (like most owners) hasn't upgraded anything and has not planned to do so.
I own an EV from 2019 and have no plans on "upgrading" either. Works just fine.
I understand your point, but watch for change. I made a video two years ago that said ICE was still more economical overall. Three months back I wanted to replace my wife's 2018 VW and took another look at EVs, just in case of change. Well, the $6,000 rebate was new, and BYD had arrived with an EV that was about $15,000 cheaper than a Model3, so I crunched the numbers against comparable cars, mainly the Nissan Qashqai TI and had to eat crow; the day of the EV had arrived sooner than expected. I bought the Atto3, and it goes well with my roof solar in sunny Brisbane, not to mention it drives so well. Now, this only means it's good for here, and if circumstances are favourable. The EV decision is always relative to location and circumstances, so you may have some waiting to do - just saying to keep an eye out for change wherever it is a poor choice at present.
Australia cannot even adequately supply its present demand for electricity at the moment, how on earth are they going to burn enough coal to charge additional EVs?
Plus the grid won't handle a street full of people all plugging in their ev's when they get home .
@@nigelliam153It will. Entirely by co-incidence I was looking at an available supply map in Queensland this morning. Most residential distribution areas areas have > 1MVA additional capacity available even at the small scale maps. In non-metro areas of Queensland transformers are sized on the basis of each premises getting allocated 5kVA, I think. That should be sufficient to get a useful amount of charge into everyone's vehicle overnight. Remember the case of a person having to take their vehicle from '0% to 100%' each night is rare. Most people's vehicle use is a lot lower than that.
What we do need to address though is fine grained control of vehicle charging to ensure worst case, lights go out, are always avoided. Queensland has the blunt 'turn it off completely' approach but we need a better integrated common protocol system where the vehicle owner can simply say 'I want at least 25% charge when I get up tomorrow' and let the car and network sort out how that is achieved.
@@retrozmachine1189 There are more states in Australia than Queensland, andrewallen9993 was talking about all of the country.
@@retrozmachine1189 try looking at the pole fuses or how many houses have 200A supply fuses which would allow them to charge 2 EVs on fast chargers? Or just look at LA were residents are now given a choice of running their AC or charging their car but not both at the same time.
@@redbomberr4594Thanks Captain Obvious. I never would have know that without your insight. Now how about you go and look at the availability of capacity in other parts of the country? I'll give you a tip just in case this is beyond your abilities; the same situation is seen across the country. There is over MVA capacity available all over the place, that's the network can carry MVA more than is currently used. All areas also have existing peak time capacity averages which they are all meeting. That means one way or the other the capacity to supply power for EV charging outside of peak hours (the 6pm etc hours) is there. Right now. With no additional work. At All. This might change in the future, depends on how flatly the greenification falls on its face, or not.
Interesting people have not thought about how long a change can take place.
Combustion engines were invented and being used from the early 1900's.
60 years later steam trains were still in operation.
The two worked alongside each other.
My Grandfather in his Rambler car waiting for us to disembark the steam train.
steam is more powerfull,,it doesnt get effected by altitude, as diesel , petrol, do.. steam was banned in favour of diesel, something to do with oil co,s,,maybe,,,??...
@@harrywalker968 boiling point of water IS affected by altitude, the higher you go the lower the temperature or the less energy needed and the less energy the steam has. ICE was simply better than steam engine,
Funny that the Muppets are talking about going back to steam engines (of sorts) in EVs. They conveniently forget where the electricity comes from to charge their EV batteries, which here in Australia is mainly coal fired powers stations used to drive steam turbines.
@@harrywalker968 Steam died because it was impracticable and in-efficient. People look back at steam railway engines with rose tinted specs and say "aren't they wonderful" but ask someone who actually had to use them for their work each and every day and they were incredibly pleased to move to a deisel loco! They could simply get to work 5 min before they were due to leave, start and drive off. unlike spending several hours getting filthy shovely coal, watering, lighting the fire, stoking and building steam required by an old external combustion steam engine.
As the employers saw massively better reliability and hugely lower running costs, the change came quickly. Keeping an old steam engine was mostly comercial suicide, and once diesel locos became available in volume, pretty much every operator in the world swapped over as quickly as they could.
Funnily enough, pretty much exactly the same thing is happening with the global electrification of our transport systems today..... ;-)
Like flat screen TVs and smartphones!
Thank you for your clear-sighted assessment of the EV Utopia that is being championed by various sectors of society, Mr Cadogan. There is indeed an environmental imperative to use EVs at scale; pointing out the engineering and marketing voodoo currently being invoked in the name of EVs is an essential activity. Keep up the rather splendid work on that front.
Hi John, thank you for your great videos. Always informative, thought provoking, educational and humourous. Love your work, keep it up. Regards, Andy
Do yourself a favor, Andy. Bugger all of what John says is educational. Most of it is just falsehoods when it comes to his relentless waffling against EVs. Anyone would think he was paid by Murdoch.
I like this bloke, true Aussie. He's telling it as it is. And I'm a pom as he would no doubt describe me, but he's right on every topic he covers.
I agree with Yawangle90, many EV evangelists recruit their flock on a bell-end curve trajectory. The bellier the end, the steeper the curve.
I was just about to say similar about a ‘bell-end curve’. You beat me to it. Excellent comment! 😂😂
That's the fun thing about evangelical beliefs though, no evidence needed! Just believe and it'll all be right on the night with your bell end at hand.
The amount of 'Magical Thinking' and what I can only really call 'Divination' from some people believing that there will only be a good end to the technological innovation is kind of remarkable. It's gotten so sorcerous they may as well drag out the cock, sacrifice it and read his organs on a full moon or something. It'd be about as accurate
@@timhicks2154 "nurse, help - my bell-curve has become parabolic!"
@@tomparker5000 - a pairobollox?
Don't know about the curve, however, the bell-end descriptor does seem somewhat apt.
Perhaps the future of EVs is to stick a tank of water in the boot and buy yourself a few dozen electric eels. All you then need to do is buy food for them once a week. 😂
I like it. i-eel-TRONIC MAX...
Do eels eat crab shells I wonder? And if they do, what would we do with all the naked crabs?
@@AutoExpertJC could we feed the crab meat to William's eels?
Nah feed the eels on vegan EV owners...
Get ride of the marxist politicians and the climate hoax pushers & fix the worlds problems
Would absolutely like you and the electric Viking to have an interview live and compare reality with his dreams !
This.
Ha ha that wouldn't last long 🤣
Not to mention that Akio Toyoda, ex-CEO and now Chairman of Toyota, the world's largest car maker, is on the record saying that "EVs are not the answer", "BEVs are just going to take longer than the media would like us to believe" and that "the company's goal remains the same: pleasing the widest possible range of customers with the widest possible range of powertrains". Straight from the horse's mouth.
The WEF also said EVs are not the answer. It never was. the idea was to pass laws banning gasoline/diesel cars. people think they are going to get an ev to replace their gas car. they will not.
Look up what Toyota engineers had to say after they took apart a Tesla Model Y.
Toyota is incentivized to minimize the impact of EVs and maximize the clearly inevitable transition time since they don't really have any good ones, and their government doesn't want EVs. That is of course, unless orbtalair2013 is correct and the WEF will be killing democracy and we will all be slaves in communism 2.0. In that case we will all be taking public transportation or biking/walking.
Toyota are salty because they sold their stake in Tesla years ago for a pittance
And yet Toyota have just started to sell BEVs in the UK.
Right or wrong, whatever your view on this subject, your Channel gives us all a voice on EV and ICE and the Politics there in. Thanks John for this platform which has become so informative regardless of a persons personal Religion.
If the shortage of lithium required to build new EV batteries is going to inhibit the building and sales of EVs then looking at repowering an older EV is also going to be very expensive.
If there is a "shortage" of lithium, then clearly the price will go up (HINT: think about why GOLD is more expensive than iron for example) And if the price goes up, then clearly recycling and reusing the lithium in old battery packs will be viable. Today, the lead in the lead acid battery in your car is almost 100% recycled, and there is no reason we won't do the same for the elements in a BEV battery. I work with companies already that are using BEV batteries for second life storage and repower. Today the single biggest issue is that there are simply not many batteries available for their schemes because BEV batteries last a lot longer than the average man on the street thinks. Recycling with very good recover rates has already been demonstrated and proven by numerous pilot plants and studies to be both viable (cost effective) and scalable (really important that bit) but today other than the odd small volume plant, there simply aren't any batteries to recycle yet.......
2 years with my Stinger GT, love your work John & co.
My apologies for being stung ….
Sir, i love your logics! The fun part is that when you tell exactly this to some people, they don't get it at all and stick to the dreams ;-) Sharing this one
No wonder why countries like Australia suck if think he has any logic.
Love your work, I like the walk vid, and thanks for the camera insight. Don't ever change!
Don't ever change? I can confidently state that this comment was not written by one of John's ex-wives.
Absolutely brilliant video John thanks for sharing. Although I’m not an EV fan watching videos like this I often feel like I understand the challenges we face in transitioning away from fossil fuels a lot more. Have given up discussing with family that it’s going to take more than 5 to 10 years before we see the end of ICE as you pointed out as they listen to the deadlines made by the federal government and the likes of Blackout Bowen and obviously watch to much sci-fi while thinking of our new lives in Utopia. Excellent job once again.
John, thanks for your commitment to facts, and to gathering them! I learnt quite a bit from the original session on EV vs. ICE, and today's. Keep up the good work!
To many, facts are irrelevant. Unfortunately those types are dooming us all.
John is a prodigious prognosticator promulgating mistruths, poor information and outright made-up falsifications. His *endless* twaddle should just be ignored.
Hi John, always a pleasure listening to your channel. Your command of the English language is excellent, especially for an engineer 😊. Would love to hear your thoughts on China's EV graveyards. Just do a quick search on RUclips and you see what I mean. Brand new EVs (cars, bikes, scooters) parked up and left to rot. How does this help the planet or resource scarcity?
Just do more checking and you will find they are cars from car sharing companies that went bankrupt. Not what the click bait video pretend.
@@peterblenkinsop2985but they are still rotting away. I can’t see them being loaded onto a boat snd being shipped out anywhere
@@ukusanz I don't doubt that but they are not EV's being left to rot so China can claim lots of folk are buying EV's.
It also demonstrates the CCP's commitment to a healthy environment for its citizens, no??
@@markh.6687 In th eUK. What is the CCP?
Horse cemetery? I doubt they'd waste the resources a horse carcass represents, leather, fertilizer, cordage come immediately to mind
Absolutely. Here in NYC, contractors competed for the right to collect them from the streets. They were barged to several plants in the area for processing. You left out tallow, horsehair, mucilage, and animal feed. Nothing went to waste. There was never a horse cemetery, that's for sure
The best E.V is a Diesel combustion engine 😅
Really impressed with the Go Pro set up 👍
Thanks John. Keep up the good work even if it is difficult fighting all this greenwashing and EVangelism...
I think hybrids make the most sense paired up with ICE power trains. I am a big proponent of CNG. It is clean, cheap and plentiful. It can sit in a tank literally forever just waiting to be used. I have run dual fuel big trucks in the Midwest. We ran gasoline and CNG with just a changeover button on the Dash. It refueled just as quick as gas and burned way cleaner in the engines. I got 1mpg better fuel mileage in the same vehicle when I changed over to it and had just as much if not more power out of it.
I could see moving to a 100% CNG engine with a plug in Hybrid set up. You could get the best of both worlds. The hybrid system can take advantage of regen braking to both capture energy to reuse and help with controlling heavy loads. It has great benefits. Also it would allow you to have some portable AC power to run jobsites, campsites or emergency power for your home.
A guy I know has been driving a CNG Honda car for 15 years and has over 350,000 miles on it.
He fills it in the city or off of his home incoming NG system. He has something similar to a scuba compressor that he uses to fill it off of. He commutes 70 miles 1 way to work in it.
He has 275 miles of range at full pressure or about 180 from his home system that can't compress as high. The fuel point get's him 275 miles at interstate speeds.
put a 5 KW battery in a light to heavy truck that you can plug in to charge and put regen energy into or 2 KW in a car. The battery from 1 Tesla could be used to build 30 to 40 hybrid vehicles instead.
I invested in Hyliion in the trucking industry because they have bolt on systems right now that can be used on class 8 trucks.
It is better for the Environment to burn or convert Methane gas then to just let it enter the atmosphere.
Hydrogen has it's uses but should be for only certain uses not cars.
I think the most important part people missed in the EV v ICE vid was just how well Tiffany is going. She's got her own business and it looks pretty impressive too. Good to see Tiff and the girls doing so well.
The best thing we have done for the environment is to work from home.
yeah, but if you are a builder?
I suspect you are correct. Imagine how much carbon we'll save when we're not allowed to leave the pods. Through the "hyperloop to the moon" into the equation and it'll be like heaven!
@@cameronjohnston5748technically you’re working from home just not yours! 😂
wouldn't it help the builder@@cameronjohnston5748
What if u arent a paper shuffler?
Actually one huge issue which barely gets looked at is the expectation that people will charge their vehicle overnight. Well what if (like me) you rent and arent able to install a charger at home or you live in an apartment which doesn't have nearby EV charging? It means finding an EV charging station and charging your car up but that does cost money in most cases and its more than what i pay for electricity at home. I have to be considerate of others as well so i cant always just plug in and go do the shopping... Sometimes i have to come back and move my car. As nice as it is... Charging leaves a lot to be desired and if they want more uptake, they need to fix this.
I was watching this doco the other night. Had a dude named "Kirk" in it, he had this matter beam thing. Looks the goods to me, our problems all solved with a simple call to "beam me up". 😁
Once again a really funny but honest video. Love your work, in particular these videos about electric vehicles.
John,
Great analyses. Most excellent t-shirt 😜.
Keep the aspidistra flying!
I think we need to look at EVs as only a part of a diverse group of technologies to get away from fossil fuels, not the be-all and end-all.
fossil fuels will one day be replaced completely by electrofuels (man made gasoline), but that won;t happen in our lifetime. Problem is, there is so much fossil fuels that are easily accessable for mining.
@@Ozgrade3Hydrogen 🐵
@@monkeyonarock Hydrogen, well yes, it's a wonderful and viable fuel, just getting it is a problem. As John pointed out, obtaining Hydrogen the traditional way is a very dirty process. We need nuclear power for green hydrogen.
But that thinking is too complex for the lawmakers ie politicians.
We had electric cars in the beginning! They failed then and they may just fail now.
Car fire in UK is at an auction place in Rochford Essex. Estimated 200 cars destroyed and counting.
The rochford copart which has photos and videos of their ice engine area currently on fire. Copart isolates EVs from ice cars for this reason. And it wasn’t the ev side that went up.
@@mathewrussell1533 I didn't say it was EVs that caught fire, I just replied to a comment asking where it was.
The problem I see for ICE's or EV's sold now and the next ten years and maybe more is replacement parts and the cost of those parts. Right now new cars sold in the last couple of years are already facing long, long delays right now.
On the story of electric conversions. I looked into converting my MX5 to an EV. When I regained consciousness after seeing the quote for the kit that excluded installation cost and certification. I rapidly gave that idea to where it belonged, the bin. I'd hate to think what the insurance cost would be if they would insure it and what replacement value would they payout if it became a write off.
Holdens are an issue thanks to Gm pulling the pin and selling off all their stock. It's great to get parts on 7 year old cars from ebay only.
I see the power grid as limiting factor. Plugging in (tens/hundreds of) thousands of EV-s to charge overnight should create large power spikes.
@@SeersantLoom Besides the fact that the expansion of the power grid is happening since the first power pole what you are describing is already happening in many places and the grid doesn't care. You think the power providers would have a problem with selling more of their product? They are happy to provide everything to the grid to sell more electricity.
We even have a proof for this. The Cryptomining hype from 2019 to 2021 consumed FAR MORE electricity than millions of EVs ever could. Don't know about your grid but my grid handled it perfectly. The power providers were selling all that electricity with a happy grin on their faces. Obviously... that's their business.
@@SeersantLoom not if they turn your ev charging off 😋
I've driven a BEV now for 9 years. Nothing at all has gone wrong with it, let alone with any of the BEV specific parts. No clutch to wear out, no gears to crunch, no exhaust to rattle or corrode, no water pump to leak, no fuel pipes to degrade, no cooling system to drip, no oil system to weap. The only significant wearing part (the battery) is covered by a longer warranty than that of an ICE powertrain and in fact, is pretty easy to remove and refurbish. In the UK, if you have an early model nissan leaf (famed for signifcantly worse battery degredation due to a lack of a battery conditioner system) you can today drive into a few specialists who in just two hours can diagnose (leafspy) remove, repair/replace, and refit that battery pack. The very simplicity of the powertrain makes that possible (take a look at the steps required to remove, refurbish and replace a hguely complex modern engine and the difference is obvious and stark.
ruclips.net/video/-ySOspbt0BM/видео.html
It might also be nice to think about all the other minerals and metals ( besides lithium)that are needed not only directly for EVs but also for huge electrical grid improvements. Peter Zeihan(geopolitical analyst and and private sector adviser)has said that it takes at least 10 years to double any mining based products production, and there are more products that are used in making EVs that will need between 8 to 10 time increase for the projected requirements of the EV industry and the amount of copper to connect all these STUPID wind and solar farm will make Reo tinto blush.
If you like numbers check out how much global lithium production grew from 2016 to 2018.
Hi John, I think you're on the money or close to it with EV uptake (unless Australia collectively wins a Norway Jackpot), and I agree we really need to think laterally about battery end of life options - I'd encourage you to look at a video by Matt Ferrell on repurposing EV battery for Solar storage as he provides a good insight into opportunities less explored - Imagine being able to take your old Leaf battery (with 70% capacity left) and plugging it into your home microgrid, who needs a Powerwall. Also I think we need to look at bang for buck and realistically EV Cars are B/S in terms of improving environmental polution. What would be far better would be mandating removal of traditional hot water systems (& replacement with solar or heat pump technology) and implementing real energy star efficient homes along with mass transport systems which work for our cities and disincentivising individual car ownership. A good start would be to remove the Collins Street / Pyremont / Queen street tractors from the school runs and make the little shits walk or ride bikes like we used to.
Cheers Peter
What would be better is NO MANDATING. Government needs to get the hell out of our lives. Nothing they push works. All they do is create 'new industries' engineered to extract more of our taxes. This is all just more wealth transfer. The whole premise is a lie to start with. Repeat a lie often enough, and sure enough a lot of semi-literate people believe it.
I am typing this reply on a PC that is powered by yesterdays sunshine (raining and cold here today in the uk ;-) ) and that energy was stored overnight in my garage by a second hand nissan leaf battery! I designed and built the system myself. Not very difficult or particularly expensive other than the battery cells themselves, which are in such high demand that a driven-into-a-lamppost-and-written-off Leaf is worth pretty much the same as one that you can actually use as a car......
To be honest I am a bit confused about Sodium ion batteries. Chinese companies have claimed they have implemented new technology that have significantly improved these batteries. BYD have claimed their Seagull model will have a 30 KW/H battery. In the end time will tell and they are yet to yet to actually manufacture this vehicle, would not be the first time claims like this have been " vapor ware ".
I watched a very good video from Asianometry on China's lithium battery recycling and how the CCP sort of mandated the car industries are soley responsible for recyling the batteries when they reach 80% useable range. The first mandate was in 2016 which was fairly broad and in 2018 a more detailed mandate was produced. Even in 2022 when the video was produced, China was still struggling to get EV batteries recycled anywhere near the mandated levels. If they cannot do it, we have no hope.
That's because Chinese laws are for political purposes only. Foreigners (YOU) are impressed by the law, while their citizens live in a poisoned environment. Laws are only enforced when officials don't like you
Check out what western companies achieve with battery recycling since decades.
You're suggesting a totalitarian government is the model we should adopt? These programs do one thing, they end up with stockpiling of dangerous materials rather than recycling. Just look at the Australian recycling schemes. We though we were recycling, until China publicly said no to accepting other countries' waste. They had enough of piling up other people's crap. Now what's happening with it? Go on, have a guess.
China has all sorts of laws. They only get applied if you upset someone that matters. Sure they will, seemingly randomly, clamp down on things when a bigwig comes to town but apart from that it's largely Rafferty's rules. Any law that requires their car industry must do something will be treated in the same way.
You obviously haven't followed the news about the Chines EV graveyard s where thousands of brand new ev's are just registered and dumped just so the company's can meet their government quotas.
I missed one. You were talking about upgrades. You are correct that auto manufacturers are not interested really in helping you upgrade old cars to EVs, or upgrading older EVs to new battery technology. But that is what the aftermarket is for. Once your car is out of warrantee aftermarket parts and a local shop is much more typically how cars are repaired/upgraded than taking it to the dealer. Sure, there isn't much of that today but as sales continue to grow, there will be. Storedot did an aftermarket upgrade of a model S and got 700 miles on one charge. If no auto manufacturer snaps up a deal with them, why wouldn't they look for that after market to sell their product?
I am really surprised by some of the comments, most of what you said can be independently verified if you read any decent book about internal combustion engine and electric vehicles.
Great work John, I am sure that the calculations have been made for comparison of energy availability to push the wheels of a vehicle along the road, between ICE and EV, such as the space required to hold the fuel being petrol/diesel or battery, weight of the fuel/battery and comparable distance. Asking as I am sure that a small car with a 50 lt fuel tank can go further than the same car as a EV? I know for sure that refuelling is way much quicker than a EV.
er, yup, those calcs have been done, years ago. I started working on the elctricfication of passenger cars in 2003. Back then, i had to stand up and justify my reports to people like the head of reseach at BMW, not someone who takes fools easily. The maths and physics is quite clear and has been for at least 15 years!
50 litres of petrol holds 445 kWh of energy
The largest mass produced passenger car battery is roughly 100kWh, ie 4 times smaller total energy storage.
A Tesla model X is one of the most consumptive BEVs, by dint of it's large size (BTW, the mass of a BEV is largely irrelevant because the powertrain of a BEV is fundamentally bi-directional ,ie it can recover energy from that mass, whereas the mass of an ICE really matters because it cannot recover KE and refil it's fuel tank as you slow down!) returns over 100 miles per gallon equivalent energy consumption because it's powertrain is so efficient in comparison to that of an ICE powertrain.
A typical BEV passenger car has MORE occupant and cabin space than an equivalent ICE model of comparable exterior dimensions because even with the poor (currently) energy density of existing battery energy storage systems, the huge power density of an electric motor, lack of requirement for a large and complex multi-speed transmission, and the lack of requirement for large and complex exhaust system (including emissions aftertreatment systems ie catalyst DPF, GPF etc) and much reduced cooling system requirement. Add in the package optimisation benefits brought by battery energy storage systems being solid state (no moving parts) and this is why a BEV makes better use of the available volume for a passenger car application
@@maxtorque2277 If the BEV is more efficient then why can't a BEV do 1000km on a full charge? Sounds like BS marketing that BEV's are more efficient, and after 1000km, how ling does it take to charge so I can finish my drive into the night? A ICE fills up in under 10 minutes that includes a pee stop at the service station.
@@robpinter5431 For the simple reason that current batteries are not nearly as energy dense as petrol.
1kg of petrol (roughly 1.4 litres) holds 13 kWh of energy
1kg of current tech batteries holds just 0.4 Wh
A tesla model x with a 100kWh battery (one of the biggest batteries available in a bev car) holds the equivalent of just 14 litres of petrol!
Put 14 litres of petrol in your car and see how far you can drive! At 40mpg, you'd get just 120 miles, and yet a Tesla Model X can do over 200 miles on the same amount of energy
So BEVs are massively more efficient (over 3 times more efficient in the real world) but they currently can't go quite as far as a vehicle with an engine because current batteries are not (yet) as energy dense
However, the fundamental maximum energy density for a battery is approximately 9 times greater than we can currently do with mass produced batteries.
There are a lot of new batteries that have demonstrated they can realise much greater energy desity, but these are not yet commerically available. These new tech batteries are set to revolutionise battery energy storage in the future!
Like you said, the recycling of batteries will have to be greatly increased, if there is a lithium shortage I expect there will be money in it, regardless of how complicated it is.
Yeah, like recycling flour out of unused bread.
It's not particularly complicated and people already doing it. Today, the biggest problem is actually getting end-of-life BEV batteries in any volume as those batteries are not yet anywhere near end-of-life. I am working with several UK companies that are already buying all the available used batteries for second life storage projects (ie static electricity storage with ISO containers full of used BEV battery packs). These packs even at EOL for a pass car (typically 80% SoH) are massively valuable comodity!
@@maxtorque2277it is very complicated and dangerous. With demand almost doubling every year, recycling is not going to make the difference, unless they enlist the biblical JC for some miracle.
In the late 90s, I was doing market research on utility-scale battery energy storage systems for the U.S. Department of Energy. At the time, lead-acid batteries (like your car battery) were being used for utility BES demonstration projects. The research indicated that we needed higher energy density battery technologies like lithium-ion (which was just starting to be available in significant amounts) to make this concept approach commercial feasibility. An alternative advanced battery chemistry that was identified as a possibility involved sodium chemistries. So here we are, a quarter of a century later, and sodium-chemistry batteries are ready...for more laboratory research.
As John says, Li-ion batteries first became available in the early 90s. I was working at Sony North America when their Li-ion battery team for portable electronics was just starting to hit its stride, and that was in 1994-1995. It has taken Li-ion batteries over 30 years from commercial introduction to get to where we are now, which as John says is an order of magnitude from where we need to be. Right now, sodium batteries seem to be best for electrical loads that are fairly steady, and do not require rapid energy output increases you would need when you do something like step on the accelerator pedal in your car. Maybe sodium-ion batteries will be improved, so they have a longer life and improved energy ramping, and maybe that can be done at an economically feasible price. But IF that happens, don't be surprised if it takes 30 years to be available in the amounts required for the green technology future everyone speaks of.
SYdney must be such a beautiful, friendly, respectful, crime free utopia. You try walking down the street in any UK city holding a camera set up like that and you will receive a "gentle" tap on the head and find your recently liberated equipment on sale in the closest pub to be exchanged for some, shall we say, 'white powder'.
It's surprisingly docile compared to a lot of other places. For example I have a habit of leaving my wallet and phone on outdoor tables at cafes when I sit down, and when I went to Paris quite a few years ago I was constantly being reminded by the staff to not do that because it will get stolen.
That's nothing try do that in South Africa and you will end up dead in hospital
It helps when you're an island with a real border force. You can thank the Liberals and Tony Abbott for that.
The invaders come in by 747 jumbos these days
@@jackmorganfiftyfive I thought it was ScoMo who stopped the boats. He had the trophy in his office and everything.
Love your comments mate, so hard to get so many ppl to ACTUALLY THINK SENSIBLE.
What gets me is most households have more than one car. How are we supposed to charge dad's work truck, mums round town runabout and the teenagers wheels all at the same time and overnight? 😂
They'll have to take out a second mortgage (on both the family home and beach front holiday unit) just to pay their power bills.
That is on smaller scale. What would happen if all people come from work and start charging their EV-s? I imagine how power graphs start to look much like roller coaster ride.
You’re not. I know someone who does this with a Tesla model
3 and a Leaf. It’s nearly impossible for that family to keep both cars charged at home with three adult drivers. Doesn’t work. They don’t have a solution other than to fast charge the TM3 once a weekend before heading home from the shops
well, like the 80%+ EV efficiency tells us, they really are dumdums.
why do i snag on the 80%+ efficiency claim?
80% of WHAT?
they think that by merely removing the powerplant from the vehicle it makes it magically more green and forget all about the chugging coal powerplant miles away that itself is about 34% efficient.
Suddenly that EV is using fuel that itself is only using 80% of efficiently, dont get me started on the charging, adding that ev ranges drop by 30% in the winter, add another 50% off for cabin heat.
Headwind, a trailer or other load adding, like driving uptilt, and the motors start guzzling those delicious electrons, again cutting the purported range in half.
there a reason we dont have BEV trucks, the range is dismal
if you dont have solar (ie another 50K + the car) and are charging at charge points cos you live in an apartment complex where you dont have room to park your regular ice car, not to mention an EV with a charge point, the recharge cost will be near the same when just tanking petrol.
It matters where you live and how rich you are, but to make an ev truly green it will take a lot more money than to just buy the damn thing, you'll need a house and some land, a solar system, a battery system(solar doesn't work at night) and a charging system and of course the car.
so say 70K car, 50K solar, 10K batteries and charging, 200K for the house and land, totaling 330K for a "green" car that you can use to not haul your trailer.
Nobody has thought of that (no surprise there, really), but mandatory 1-vehicle per household limits will be imposed by unthinking legislative bodies and signed into law by unthinking presidents and prime ministers.
Thank you for stating the obvious re the ev question, it is extremely concerning to hear the level of lack of understanding reality in some of the comments you have raised probably not as concerning as policy makers who make decisions with the same level of lack of understanding. Keep up the good work..
My 2016 6.2 litre VFll Commodore is holding it's value very well. My second car is a 2017 Mazda 3 bought new on John's recommendation.
7 years old. Wow!! Please inform the Guiness Book Of Records
@@wizzyno1566 When a 7 year old car, is worth more than I paid for it new. That makes it very economical, as depreciation is the biggest cost when buying a new car.
@@wizzyno1566my little Japanese Nissan Sunny is 23 years old and running like new
@@BubblesTheCat123 years old is impressive. 7 years isnt.
@@SunRise-ul7koyou've edited your post to make it seem sensible. Well done.
You never mentioned "holding its value" before. Bit of a dicks trick really.
I actually enjoyed the scenery, even though it could be Midtown Manhattan, except for that nice tram. I wish I could afford a visit.
Nice work John. In this age where credible information is at your fingertips most people appear to be totally ignorant when it comes to the reality of the actual cost in human lives and the environmental damage that is created by the mining of these minerals in third world countries. On another note, I see the Dutch oven has made port and the CEO of the salvage company has said that the ship will have to be scraped as the EV's are fused to the decks and that there are over 1000 cars on the lower deck's that are in reasonable condition, but the risk of the upper deck's collapsing makes it too dangerous to of load these cars. The Dutch have said it can only stay in their port for a short period of time. I wonder how toxic the contents of the ship are now and what lucky third world country will get to off load the cars and scrap the ship.
Why would the _participation trophy winners_ want to get their feelings hurt by looking up facts that contradict their beliefs? So much safer for them to look at websites that agree with and confirm their preconceived notions.
According to the chief of the salvage company dealing with the Fremantle has said that not only did the fire not start with an EV, but it looks like none of the EVs on the ship even burned.
"However, between 900 and 1000 cars including the EVs appeared to be in good condition, the chief of salvage company Royal Boskalis Westminster NV, Peter Berdowski, told media last week."
The Driven, Aug 14th 2023.
As a DIY nut waiting to win my darwin award, I've been playing with and following the lithium battery market for years.
The price was already stable in 2019 and are now slowly trending up not down. Lithium batteries are getting MORE expensive. Production can only scale up if the raw materials can keep up. People confuse lithium batteries with finished goods. With finished goods the tooling cost is the initial main component of price then the cost of materials take over as the main cost component. Lithium battery production has passed the point where the equipment was a limiting factor and the supply of the raw materials is now the main constraint and as you point out: it's getting worse.
Do you know what must fundamentally lead volume in a capitalist society? yup, demand. High demand drives higher prices that drive investment in production volumes. Today lithium is in demand (worth noting that this element is being phased out of newer battery chemistries btw), the costs is climbing but right now there is HUGE investment in increased production.
The reason a litre of petrol is cheap is because society has spent the last 100 odd years and investing billions in the extraction, refining, and logistics chain for this material......
@@maxtorque2277 and it's price is rising because new reserves require much more work to extract. It doesn't matter how much oil demand rises production can only grow so much.
The same is true for lithium only that existing supplies are already close to maxxed out and all mines that are in development won't be able to meet the demand. BEV and lithium production will increase but the increase won't keep pace with demand and battery prices will trend higher.
Like oil, when lithium carbonate prices reach a certain level more expensive extraction will become viable but these technologies aren't even scalable yet so barring a miracle will take at least an additional decade to come online and will take years still to start to meaningfully impact supply and price. Other battery technology that is suitable for stationary batteries may reduce demand somewhat and mitigate the issue but the projected demand is so far beyond projected possible supply that this won't fundamentally change the situation.
Other metals are also facing supply constraints copper alone is also rising in price and the new mines coming online use a lower grade ore that is more expensive to refine which also pushes up prices.
Economics works both ways, if supply physically cannot keep up, prices will rise. This is the case for lithium as well as other elements needed. The transition period will take a lot longer than many believe. It will happen but will take decades. True exponential growth can't happen beyond the point where a hard limit is reached and we're already approaching that limit.
@@maxtorque2277 also there is no viable replacement for lithium in vehicles. It's a basic fact of chemistry. Sodium batteries will always be heavier for the same capacity. Sodium is lower on the electrochemical series so it's maximum potential cell voltage is lower and it's heavier per Mol than lithium. Assuming they fix all the other current issues a Sodium BEV will be heavier with less range than a lithium BEV. Sodium, zinc bromide, redox and flow batteries may and likely will play a major role in stationary power in power walls, UPS systems and grid scale batteries but it's a fundamental limitation of chemistry that lithium based chemistries will always have an inherent advantage.
Great information as usual JC we need more people like you that present the facts backed by your training , intelect and research .Pity our politicians aren't capable of the same if they were we would not be headed for such potential disarters that I can see coming !
I reckon pollypottydisarseters is better if you like word invention.
"Training, intekect and reseach"? hmm, what actual qualiifiaction does he have on this subject? I mean, i've watched some you-tube videos and i've googled "how to fly an airliner" so you'd be happy for me to be sat upfront in the pointy bit doing the flying next time you jet off on hols with your family right??? ;-)
Too many people can not look past their current agenda on petroleum fuel, how do you replace a fleet of 500Hp tractors on a farm in rural Australia with an EV substitute.
or a dump truck,or trucks in general or the asphalt or medicine etc etc.
there comes a line where you realize that these people are against humanity as a whole.
"Current" agenda. LOL.
The electric options for tractors are pretty limited above 100HP, hell even under 100 HP the options are limited.
It will be a few years before the average machinery dealer ship has a normal sized electric tractor in stock. (Kubota and John Deere are the only mainstream brands playing with larger electric tractors. Still sub 300 HP equivalent from memory I think closer to 100 HP)
If they can move mine dump trucks to electric, tractors should be feasible. (But that is a guess the cost of the needed batteries to run a large tractor are going to be pretty substantial)
On top of this I doubt most farms are going to be able to draw massive amounts of power from the grid on top of existing needs.
So yes it will be a lot of work to do (If it is feasible)
Maybe... you don't replace them? So what?
Why does my washing machine at home work with an electric motor and not with a diesel combustion engine?
@@Tschacki_Quacki
"Maybe... you don't replace them? So what?
Why does my washing machine at home work with an electric motor and not with a diesel combustion engine?"
what a truly brain dead answer.
i reiterate, with this last comment as an example:
there comes a line where you realize that these people are against humanity as a whole.
and ill tell you "So what"- no food, no heat, no electricity, no EV-s- No Nothing you deranged mongrel barbarian
you are sawing off the tree branch you yourself are standing on and are asking "So what" at the same time
ffs
Milk, meat, eggs and other good stuff come from the supermarket with guys like these.
and electricity from the socket, tis Magic dontcha know.
id tell You, buddy, to go to school, like you told me in another thread here instead of pointing out something wrong with the argument.
But its way too late for you, you cannot go back to kindergarten, you are too old.
Here in Merica, back in 2017 we had an epiphany. Science and facts are not part of the reality that makes the world go round. Half the population, many of whom slept through science class, subscribed to the notion that there are "alternative facts". Aahh, the witty banter I had over social distancing, masks and airborne diseases. It still feels surreal.
They still haven’t shown environmental benefits of EVs for the full life cycle of the vehicle. I can’t even absorb the level of hypocrisy to get cadmium and lithium.
And cobalt. And manganese.
@@AutoExpertJC
I've watched some videos about the cobalt mines in Africa, its pretty nuts how dreadful the conditions are.
Virtuous tax dodgers don’t give a sh1t about that@@CarbonEternity
@@CarbonEternity. Fortunately 1/2 the world's EVs have no cobalt or manganese.
Increasingly they're moving away from these.
Just made my week, I don't get out much lol.
I’m dying here with coffee running through my sinuses and dripping from my nose…
You are Absolutely Positively Awesomeness Extreme. Thank You!
Much Love
With the volume of Muppets invading your comment section, we're going to have to start calling you Jim Henson
...and they still sell corded phones. :) Great work, Sir John! The fight against humanity's stupidity continues! As they said in Starship Troopers: "I'm doing my part!"
Until battery technology improves substantially EVs kind of don't make much sense, especially in aus. Not very enviro friendly but fun to drive in a city. Cheers to the great content. 👍
Mate, I, like many, drive our EVs all over the country.
Electric vehicles actually do make a lot of sense, the technology is currently sufficient but it is a valid point that we are nowhere near ready for them to be the only option. Our infrastructure was not designed for it and the lithium shortage is going to be a major roadblock.
@@guringaihow many days does it take you to drive to Melbourne?
@@alanakafang6143 Could easily do it in one, but we normally stay overnight on the way when holidaying.
Plenty of superchargers which are always working
I definitely agree with you john
I have put my estimate for EVs to become more wide spread (especially in the transport industry) to between 70-100 years UNLESS there is a major breakthrough in materials engineering
This is purely based upon the trend of improvment of energy density in lithium ion batteries over the last few decades
For local work, where the vehicles can park up and charge over night, i give that closer to 30 years
Sure you could have pure electric trucks now, the problem is trucks are basically paid by how much weight they can carry
The weight that you lose by the extra weight of the batteries is not small about $200-$500 per T of cargo lost depending on the cargo type
With thin margins that transport operate under
The expensive upgrade to EVs is alot to expect
This estimate isnt even including supply,
Or even the level of power grid needed to charge all these EVs
Greetings from the Netherlands, the land of burning car ferries. Do you think that we, as a species, are going tp solve global warming at all? Or do you think we are screwed?
Not screwed, the high cost of energy will bring forward a proper economic response such as nukes, hydrogen and far better utility of existing energy sources. German industry and the people will discover reality, perhaps as earth as next northern winter
I started out as an EV convert a few years ago but like you when I started doing more reading in areas other than "fully charged" and the like many holes started to appear. I still love electric propulsion for its simplicity and efficiency but until the right battery presents itself it will be limited. That is a shame because its greatest potential in transport is pollution reduction in cities. As for ICE vehicles, I still love the old ones [pre 1980] from a nostalgia point of view and I am impressed with the newer ones due to the performance gained from smaller engine sizes and the improvements in safety systems as well as comfort and road holding but the penalty has been a massive increase in component complexity and therefore repair costs. In the second hand vehicle market I am seeing many more cars that would have thousands more kilometers left in the majority of their makeup being written off because of the failure of a few very expensive parts or because a certain part is not available anymore. Those who can afford to buy new on a regular basis do not feel the pain as much as those who have to pick their ride from the used vehicle sector.
I daily drive a 2000 ML320 with 294,000kms I picked up for 1500 bills. It takes about two minutes to recharge to 100% and tows a 16ft powerboat. Range anxiety just isn't an issue. Let me know when an EV is up to this and I'll buy it. Used after depreciation.
..computer says "no"...
It never will. Just like no smartphone ever had a battery run time like your old Nokia.
But that doesn't matter. You simply stick with your Benz just like you still use your Nokia too. No problem.
@@Tschacki_Quacki A stupid comparison. They've gone from just a phone to a all encompassing device you use for all sorts of tasks. The EV only does what any other car will do. Just not as well. And you assume I only have one car. The ML gets to sit outside in the elements and go to carparks. The newer one not so. And I get four days from my Pro Max. So there's that too.
@@grantleyhughes Any other car can't drive gearless. Any other car can't give you instant torque. Any other car doesn't have a remote controlled HVAC system you can turn on anywhere, anytime. Any other car cannot be fueled with power from the roof. Any other car cannot be fueled with 10€ for 400km. Any other car cannot be fueled for free as a customer incentive. Any other car does not have brakes lasting for 150.000km. Any other car doesn't make it 100.000km without any major maintenance.
Any other car does definitely not what EVs can do.
The comparison is just as bad as EV vs. ICE cause EVs can do so much more that they are the overall better product, exactly like a modern mobile phone compared to a corded phone, despite having one or two disadvantages.
That's exactly the point.
Electric vehicles have been around since the 1830s and have and do have the same issues only now we have the added bonus of fire's. The internal combustion engine can run on other fuels like renewable ethanol. A fact is if it hadn't been for the alcohol tax, the Model T Ford would have run on it.
You missed the bit where friends of Ford in the oil refining industry were at a loss to dispose of a byproduct known as petroleum distillate. Until Ford mass produced petrol burning engines, the oil industry had a big problem
The amount of stupidity on offer here is both shocking and inspiring. Plus it gives JC something to do on a Sunday.
Recently, I got into a discussion on EV when a Tesla owner thought we should all be driving EVs. I stated what about replacing the battery at 100k miles. He went into a tirade claiming all the mis-information on EVs including the non-sense about EVs crashing California's grid several months ago. Yes. I guess Gavin Newsom was spreading mis-information when he asked EV owners to not charge their EVs during that time. I did however find some information that some Tesla owners are getting 200kj miles from there batteries. Perhaps you could do a show on that.... :)
To replace ICE cars, EV's need to be better. I don't think they are. I don't want an EV, even at a low price. I'm happy with my ICE vehicles.
They are mate, except for a few teething problems with just a few examples getting way more than the fair share of attention, due to novelty.
@@guringai What happens when 150,000,000 people get off work and go home, plugging their 240 volt,, 50 amp car charger in? (USA)
The US doesn't have enough power in the grid for 10% of that. Where will it come from?
The "switch" from ICE to EV's is being done by activists instead of engineers.
@@TheBandit7613 Then the available energy supply is rationed.
@TheBandit7613
The electricity networks & retailers are working on incentives for consuming power in the middle of the day when there is too much electricity in the market & generators are switched off.
Our retailer allows this & we normally charge for the weeks ~350ks for under $4.
This is normal in the UK too, & no doubt in many other parts of the world.
I work in the energy industry & also study the engineers work - of those who actually operate the grid in Australia & they don't give a hoot what the activists reckon. They are just getting on with the grid upgrades.
@@TheBandit7613 The only realistic way to deal with that is to tank energy at the charging location which is trickle charged from the grid. But that is quite an expense to add on top of the car.
Hi John, not only did an ICE truck deliver the produce to the supermarket, but, the tractor that worked the fields was an ICE vehicle. Hydrocarbons made the tires, pain,t plastics, tarmac for the road, steel for the car/truck bodies etc. So even in fairy electric wonderland we will still need oil and coal. The most environmentally friendly vehicle was made early nineteen nineties , and well maintained. It has long ago used the carbon used in manufacture ,something like 5 to 7 years for an EV, and while not as efficient it does not create tonnes of CO2 a new vehicle takes to manufacture. So hats off to a 1997 Camry, or of course a 350 Chev. Cheers George
Love your videos mate. Can I what do you think will replace ICE do you think this might be Hydrogen? or something else?
There's nothing on the horizon as practical as ICE.
Why replace something that works?
Obviously, hover boards. The cold fusion powered ones.
We don't know what technological advancements might happen in the future. And the majority of predictions people try to make end up being wrong.
Maybe someone will come up with new battery technology that enables EVs to take over.
Maybe someone will figure out how to make ICE cars 2 or 3 times more efficient, and make it even harder for something else to replace them.
Maybe someone will invent a completely new technology altogether.
We won't really know unless/until it happens.
Then all the armchair experts will show up to tell us they knew it would happen all along.
@@Knowbody42 why? Car emissions are not the problem..
John, I was reading about electric cars back in the late sixties, when the first emergency cycle started in my young life. Electric cars preceded gas cars. My daughter chides me for wearing my green or brown T shirts from the gulf war. Thanks for an interesting walk about through Sydney.
Problem is when dealing with EV fans , if you don’t agree with their narrative they have a tantrum and just share with you their delusions.
There will never be a battery powered heavy haulage truck, that can cart stuff to places like Cape York or Kalumburu.
Unless someone comes up with a new battery technology that enables batteries to be built with cheap, abundant materials, and hopefully without the kinds of dangers that lithium batteries have, I don't see electric cars taking over. Even on a 50 year time span.
Batteries are *the* sticking point.
We already have that.
It’s called lead/acid worked great on the milk floats of the 1970s.
(That’s all EVs are good for, local trips)
@@GadgetMart How fast did your milk float go and how far??? Fred Flintstone had lead-acid batteries. Li-Ion batteries were introduced for a reason, any idea why???? Duh.
@@GadgetMart lead acid doesn't compare in energy density per volume or per weight.
@@csjrogerson2377 plenty fast enough.
You do realise 20mph speed limits are next?
@@Knowbody42 Yes I know.
I’m taking the piss - however the smaller lighter and more energy dense you go. The nearer you get to a bomb. Fact
Here is an idea for saving the environment.
1. Cities should become carless.
2. Public investment into public transport
3. Re-engineering cities for bicycle, ebikes, scooters and walking.
4. High speed intercity transport, (planes, trains)
5. ICE cars used for country and extended suburbia.
Obviously, there are 100's of ways that the above could be cut. However, absolutely none of them are conducive to increasing profits. So, they have shit all chance of becoming a reality unless capitalism is given the old shot in the back of the head.
We also need to become a lot better at recycling and building products that last longer. But again. No one builds long-lasting products anymore because, long-lasting products don't keep those lovely profits high.
To build a EV vehicle it takes about nearly twice the amount of carbon dioxide than to build a ICE vehicle. A percentage of those vehicles will not last until the cost of the carbon dioxide is recouped .So these vehicles are a carbon dioxide loss. So how many EVS will not make it past 4 years or 60000 klm due to accidents or fires and then its if its a fire how many other vehicles can they damage or destroy. So is this really the way to reduce emissions.
And that assumes 100% of electricity comes from solar or wind. Where I live it's 90% coal in the evening and night when most people charge their vehicles. So if you are really disciplined and have solar panels you can break even at 60,000 km, but for most people it's heading towards 600,000 km.
My brain was, in fact, bent when you rotated that GoPro like that. Never saw that before. Now that my brain has been cold-worked I think I'll just have to live with it.
EV is old hat Hydrogen is the future ! !
Not really.
No its not.
Gas powered ICE is still easier and better.
Hydrogen is generated from electricity and is inefficient
They have been trying hydrogen for over 30 years and can’t get it right and cost effective. It’s what car companies keep dangling and have been dangling so they have to do the least amount possible
John, could you comment on what the results of an EV fire inside of the M5 and or M8 tunnels.
Doesn’t matter what the fuel source is. A fire is going to be a problem. The Mont Blanc Tunnel fire is a perfect example of how fires in a tunnel are a bad thing especially if managed badly. 39 people died in 1999.
That old (disused) Horse Cemetery near your place John. Is it to be repurposed for the recycling of that 135,000 tonnes. If so may impact resale values at The Fat Cave (TFC). Apparently that Lithium Iron Glow will be visible from space. Oh well no need for that GPS. .
Fantastic as always there’s a great piece on TED talks about EV perhaps you could link it to your next post.
Absolutely brilliant commentary! As a farmer from the middle of the US, there is no way possible for the ICE to be replaced. During harvest it is not uncommon for a combine to spend weeks away from the nearest "charging station"! LOL. What idiots!
In the old days that wonderful metropolis you refer to was known, west of the sandstone curtain, as Shitney. I suppose it has grown up to become Shitsville. Jeff.
Ok John, top points for finding a divisive subject that can drive engagement on your channel (= $$$).
However, The reason wholesale electricity prices have plummeted in the last 6months is the increasing supply of cheaper renewable energy.
And, assuming ev owners use green power, eg charge at home fro their own solar (1/3 of all Ozzie homes have rooftop solar pv now), calculating on the ABS ave distance travelled of 11kkms pa, and the ave fleet consumption of 11L/100km, and an ave vehicle life of 20yrs, an ev will cause 1/3 the green house gas emmissions compared to an ice.
No Cobalt or Nickel in the new LFP cells, thus cheaper, and Sodium cells will be cheaper again.
Already the MG4 is a similarprice to an upspecced Corolla.
And, the NTSB say that per 100k vehicles registered, ice catch fire 20x more than evs.
Keep driving that engagement. Meanwhile, surveys show that nearly all first car buyers want an ev as their first car now. The ev transistion is a generational force. Those same young people will go on to be policy makers. You cannot stop this.
I am so glad that John does not curse or use foul words.. Too much. Paradigm what? Was it shift or sh... never mind. All the best.
"Hoping that the free market will step in and get it right once again." Gold. 🤣
Wow! That GoPro's amazing! Nice setup!
It would be nice if people realised how relatively little energy passanger cars use
My home uses typically 30,000 KWh of gas for heating while my car uses only ~5,000 KWh of petrol per year
A heat pump or insulating my home would do FAR more to lower my emmissions than switching to an EV
All the pedestrians thought they spotted Angry Anderson in camo
As to all the bell curves and parabola's, they might be better spinning in ever decreasing circles until they disappear up their own clacker.
One of my son's uni lecturers was working on using gas for electricity storage.
Love the report from 2016, a few things have changed, for one you can buy kits, they are just not cheap.
I like the comment stating the Auto industry will fix the problems in five years. Porsche said forget it will develop a cleaner fuel and the very clever people at Toyota said No, its Hydrogen for us! Maybe the carrier fire will change a few more manufacturers' minds about EVs.
Do you have insights in to the reports of the car carrier of the Netherlands that caught fire, are now stating that then 500 evs were not involved in the fire. They were, along with 500 other cars on the lower 4 decks and there was no fire there.
Thanks.
That was a fantastic show, thank you John, I completely agree with you.
The analogy of crab/lobster cracks me up every time 😂 .
Imagine the same story, but dogs and cats instead of lobsters and crabs...
Big hello from Ottawa Ontario Canada enjoy your videos
We have to learn how to tap into The Ether and get that Zero point energy...😊