To anyone who doesn’t know, the gambler’s fallacy refers to the false idea that a certain event of chance is more or less likely to occur based off of previous attempts at an event of chance. i.e. “if I lost 9 times because I have a 90% chance of losing, that means the 10th time is more likely to be the winning 10%”. This is an incorrect way of thinking, because that 10th time you try still has a 90% chance of failing like the previous 9 times. Nothing changed compared to the first time, except now you both have a 90% chance of failure AND you’re poorer than the first try. The phrase also does not tell us what counts as part of that “95% of gamblers” idea. What kind of gambles? Does the lottery count? Does my 15 year old video game that got abandoned by valve count? Does a child playing rock paper scissors count, even? Probably not, but that lack of specification leads to people getting baited. I’m not an expert on this thing so correct me in a reply, but fuck this dumbass 95% thing. TL;DR the chance of failure on the current gamble isn’t lowered by how many times you gambled prior. That just means you fucked up and lost multiple times already.
9:32 "ThE ArGuMeNt Is ThAt It EnCoUrAgEs TeAm PlAy BeCaUsE oF HoW mUcH mOrE impffffff" like yeah, that's called "an enemy spy is wrecking us and we have to do something about it" the kunai just makes reaching that point a lot easier
Now I just need a SFM of a scout running over to their ball and just as they’re about to grab it they see a heavy about to eat their sanvich. If the scout moves closer the heavy starts putting away their sanvich for their tomi and vice versa
24:44 'THERE I AM GARY THERE I AM!' Lord this was taken some time ago, barely remember the game but I only remember 'holy hell this sucked' and 'what the hell was I doing with these sentry placements?' I think I was desperate for a win instead of the steamroll we got. goob bideo feesh guy/
On the Harry Potter topic, Voldemort tried to use a different wand. Harry broke it. So he does need the Elder Wand if he wants to duel Harry. The Elder Wand is more of a thematic element than an important story element anyways, it's basically just showing how depraved people will become for just a bit more power. Also, the Elder Wand isn't his main goal, his main goal is controlling the world, which you could argue is more silly. The Elder Wand is just another layer of insurance. It informs Voldemort's character.
I ended up trying out the Sandman after the BWA video, and I've developed an odd fondness for it? I've had situations where the slowdown saved my life from a W+M1 Pyro or crippling a Demoknight mid charge, and I think I'm gonna be using it unironicaly now lmao
What it does isn't entirely useless, the downside is just quite severe. Slowing someone down is only sometimes gonna help while having less health is always bad. If you are having fun then keep using it, I think its pretty lucky to be into a "shit" weapon because the strange pro kill streak is really cheap
You know what would be cool? If a moonshot with the sandman gave you a speed boost, so you know, you could catch up to the stunned target before it wares off.
If you want some ideas for how the sandman could be rebalanced into something actually fun *and* viable, I have a 2-part plan that I came up with recently. A plan that also actually directly references the sandman being a *baseball* themed weapon. Part 1: We actually visit the babyface's blaster for this one. Remove its penalty on double-jumping, but keep its penalty on being hit (altho make it more lenient god please). Remove the base speed reduction penalty as well. Nerf it so that full speed charge gives you 20% extra bonus speed instead of 40%. That is part 1. Part 2: We now descend upon the sandman. First order of business, completely discard the idea of a stun completely forever goodbye stun. Instead, hitting an enemy with the baseball gives you a 20% movement speed bonus, with the duration depending on the distance away from your sandman hit (i'd say 10-15 seconds max idk testing required). For the SANDMAN's speed buff, double jumping will remove it (also playing with the idea of just having it so the sandman removes scout's double-jump as a penalty, which would honestly prolly just feel better. trade air speed for move speed) The sandman helps you get into combat, the babyfaces helps you stay in combat, and it amplifies your combat presence at the cost of only having 4 rounds in your scattergun, while also not having the speed boost be overly punishing. You can lose up to half of it by getting hit in combat, but you can build it back up just as fast, and regardless, you keep that 20% from the sandman until that timer runs out. IMO this could be an extremely fun and sweat-inducing combo if tuned right, where the scout is fighting against the clock to get as much work done as possible before having to pull back and hit another moonshot.
Also make the Sandman Moonshots crit like the Wrap Assassin because it no longer stuns. Maybe also make it so that reflecting the ball gets an automatic moonshot instead of regular minicrits. Maybe also make the ball a bit easier to pick up now since the stun mechanic made it easier to grab than a speed boost would.
@@gamerdomain6618 I'd rather just buff the wrap assassin's damage and have that be the damage thing and the sandman be the speed thing. Also the idea is that a max duration speed boost would last longer than it takes to recharge a new ball anyways, so the more moon your shot gets, the less you'll need to pick up the ball
@@CorwinTheOneAndOnly Personally, I think actively forcing the ball to be picked up for constant speed boosting would synergise with the idea of damage not clearing the boost, but considering the health penalty and how dangerous it is to be that predictable against real players, that's a fine alternative and possibly the push that both the Sandman and Wrap Assassin would need to balance evenly with the Atomizer( and the Boston Basher if you are an omniscient god of M1 inputs).
@@CorwinTheOneAndOnly That would be strong combined with the Soda Popper, which is already meta alongside Scattergun, so I think the boost cancel on double jump is more consistently balanced and a nice parallel to the BFB's own speed boost, not to mention that you would then be able to double jump to higher ground to hit your moon shot from to enhance ambush gameplay potential.
If wanting the stun back is an evil deed then you can call me Sauron man. I'd take the Bonk effect back even if it meant an absurd nerf to other stats or effects, I just want the good 2014 days of dangling my balls around in Nucleus and throwing my balls to people stunning them with no objective or plan cause I was a dumb kid and didn't know the guillotine combo (which sounds like shit don't bring that back).
I want the cleaver combo to be back, but not as strong as it was before. Currently I can only see the cleaver being used in conjunction with the wrap assassin as a way to make the Baby Face Blaster less shit
It's a minor thing, but it bugs me that spy's health with the kunai can go above 150%. Should be capped at the same amount as medic's overheal. As for the Elder Wand, I assumed it's because it's powerful enough to overcome the love protection thing or something. Or, they could just like paralyze Harry and stab him.
Apparently the TF2 Team updated one of the achievements a while back for the Sandman to get multiple environmental kills after hitting someone with the Sandman ball, since the stun mechanic got removed. But how the hell is slowing someone down going to make them more likely to walk into a map hazard? Wouldn't that make it easier for them to *avoid* it? I know you can just use the Force-a-Nature or the Shortstop shove or something, but that kind of defeats the purpose of the achievement being for the Sandman.
As a transplant from LA to San Diego, San Diegans care about the Dodgers a lot more than LA even acknowledges the Padres... The Giants is a lot bigger rivalry for LA in terms of baseball, and the Angels are a lot bigger rivalry in terms of the culture of LA.
cool idea for the sandman, maybe instead of a slow and 15 dmg it could do 25 dmg and scale up to 75 with distanse but with out the slow , or make the ball do 35 with the slow that it has now.
you know what'd i'd like to see for a sandman buff, assuming we're not going to revert it to any of the stun versions up the damage the ball does and make the ball recharge faster it's still probably not going to be good but you can make it a lot more fun to use
I thought you were funny with maybe a few cringe opinions (Californians) when I first found your channel. After exposing yourself as from San Diego (based), your dinosaur rants, and the MvM stream the other day (you know what you said) you’re definitely one of my favorites.
Hey fish don’t know if you can see this but I had a thought where some people want the old Cleaver and sandman combo back well what if you made the cleaver crit when it would mini-crit so on your server you hit them with the ball and the Cleaver you still get the combo and it’s not bs because you can still fight the scout and the scout could just miss the throw idk just a thought
I hope the padres do good this year. I am interested on your opinion on the Tatis ordeal. Where do you think he is gonna play position-wise and what is your opinion on the suspension? idk if you actually follow baseball that closely lol
The Sandman in TF2 has always seemed like a strange case to me. On one hand if you like how this weapon worked but hate how unfair it was it's nice to have it balanced. But on the other hand, The Sandman usually is not very used since it was nerfed poorly and became useless.
Padres did great this season, they beat their division rival, the dodgers, in the NLDS but then they got owned by Bryce Harper in the last game of the NLCS. Pretty cool moment, not for the Padres though, good luck in 2023 Padres
@FishStickOnAStick - Gaming 13:49 Do mine eyes deceive me, or did you just make the Sandman have hit targets be marked-for-death on your custom rebalance server?
I swear I've already seen this video, some of the clips are really familiar and I know I've seen the warpaint unboxing clip before as well as hitting the disguised Spy with the sandman ball. Is it a reupload?
what if sandman would just mark for death on hit for 5 seconds? and so that fan o war doesnt become useless afterwards, it gets to apply a 50% increase of all related meter rates. example: medics charge 50% faster and madmilk or hype builds 50% faster
what if the sandman did like higher damage than scout's other melees? so like the ball allows you to even better get in to hit em real hard with a big bat
![[TF2] Direct Hit Devastation - Fish Bites](http://i.ytimg.com/vi/Q2msLOQ8HdI/mqdefault.jpg)
![[TF2] Direct Hit Devastation - Fish Bites](/img/tr.png)
![[TF2] Welcome to Boston - Fish Bites](http://i.ytimg.com/vi/iCBJFBCu6b0/mqdefault.jpg)
![[TF2] Turning Red Team - Fish Bites](/img/1.gif)
Watch this Lis, you can actually pinpoint the second where he develops a gambling addiction.
And… now 0:43
14:15 My mans litterally skipped across the entire enemy team like a young kid hopping across rocks in a river
Lol
This is so cool! I wish the sandman got it's own bad weapon academy!!!!!!
It did
@@larrychilders6599 no
Yeah and then after the sandman he could do a video on the Classic!!!!
@dogpee yeah the only weapons left IIRC is Hot Hand, Thermal Thruster, and gun boats
you imply that the gunboats are bad and as a soldier main that hurts
Fun fact: Did you know that 95% gamblers quit right before they are about to hit the jackpot?
Thanks
That was sad
wat
i thought it was 83%
But if they didn't hit the jackpot, how did you know they would have?
To anyone who doesn’t know, the gambler’s fallacy refers to the false idea that a certain event of chance is more or less likely to occur based off of previous attempts at an event of chance.
i.e. “if I lost 9 times because I have a 90% chance of losing, that means the 10th time is more likely to be the winning 10%”. This is an incorrect way of thinking, because that 10th time you try still has a 90% chance of failing like the previous 9 times. Nothing changed compared to the first time, except now you both have a 90% chance of failure AND you’re poorer than the first try.
The phrase also does not tell us what counts as part of that “95% of gamblers” idea. What kind of gambles? Does the lottery count? Does my 15 year old video game that got abandoned by valve count? Does a child playing rock paper scissors count, even? Probably not, but that lack of specification leads to people getting baited.
I’m not an expert on this thing so correct me in a reply, but fuck this dumbass 95% thing. TL;DR the chance of failure on the current gamble isn’t lowered by how many times you gambled prior. That just means you fucked up and lost multiple times already.
9:32 "ThE ArGuMeNt Is ThAt It EnCoUrAgEs TeAm PlAy BeCaUsE oF HoW mUcH mOrE impffffff" like yeah, that's called "an enemy spy is wrecking us and we have to do something about it" the kunai just makes reaching that point a lot easier
That slayer skin is the best thing the sandman has ever done for someone.
8:05 Hey Fish, what's your Ifunny?
can you do a compilation of your scout impressions?
i need to hear you say "oh man i friggen love eating rocks" or whatever, wherever that came from
Yes please, there are so many good moments and I would love a compilation or best-of.
scout va did some lines saying "i love glass i eat glass"
Oh man I love eating dirt
Ok you know what I gotta give the scout at 29:20 props on the getup and name combo.
The real slim shady
Now I just need a SFM of a scout running over to their ball and just as they’re about to grab it they see a heavy about to eat their sanvich. If the scout moves closer the heavy starts putting away their sanvich for their tomi and vice versa
i have never seen so fishstickonastick so excited before, the reaction was pure
The name and description of the weapon gives a magical touch to that clip 22:32
POV: fish pack-a-punches his pistol to the sacred sidearm
Fun seeing fish server clips and being like
LOOK GARY THERE I AM
24:44 'THERE I AM GARY THERE I AM!' Lord this was taken some time ago, barely remember the game but I only remember 'holy hell this sucked' and 'what the hell was I doing with these sentry placements?' I think I was desperate for a win instead of the steamroll we got. goob bideo feesh guy/
On the Harry Potter topic, Voldemort tried to use a different wand. Harry broke it. So he does need the Elder Wand if he wants to duel Harry. The Elder Wand is more of a thematic element than an important story element anyways, it's basically just showing how depraved people will become for just a bit more power. Also, the Elder Wand isn't his main goal, his main goal is controlling the world, which you could argue is more silly. The Elder Wand is just another layer of insurance. It informs Voldemort's character.
Thanks fish for uploading this, i was watching an hour of shorts because there was nothing to watch
16:41 the mini pushed back the entirety of blu team
Yeah, the Padres did really good this past season
They even eliminated the LA Dodgers which really put a smile in my face
I ended up trying out the Sandman after the BWA video, and I've developed an odd fondness for it? I've had situations where the slowdown saved my life from a W+M1 Pyro or crippling a Demoknight mid charge, and I think I'm gonna be using it unironicaly now lmao
It would be cooler if maybe it had a slower draw speed and less damage instead of less health
@@pissthrower4477 Maybe, though admittedly I have been using it to bash the other team's faces in so I do kinda like the damage lol
@@pissthrower4477 all you need is to make the cleaver crit slowed players and the sandman will go up a few tiers instantly
What it does isn't entirely useless, the downside is just quite severe. Slowing someone down is only sometimes gonna help while having less health is always bad. If you are having fun then keep using it, I think its pretty lucky to be into a "shit" weapon because the strange pro kill streak is really cheap
29:53 now that's a sandman funny if I've ever seen one
Scout's Ass:
+50% increased damage if you equip "Big Slappy".
-No random crits.
"oh alright scout just handed me a schematic! Wonder what its for..
His ass?!?"
Pretty sure that mega wand Voldemort wanted gave him more immortality. He wants Immortality+.
Came for the Sandman, stayed for the sick unboxing. Now go get addicted to more RNG.
I only now just realized at 21:45 he kills another youtuber
How to make the sandman good again: keep it as it is, but grant the cleaver crits on slow downs again.
Fun fact: when gambling, you can gain 2000% of your money, but you can only lose 100%. Do the math.
21:43
SpaceGuyOnline. You’ve found him.
6:00 YES GIBBY JUMPSCARE WOOOOO
If the Baby Face's Blaster and Wrap Assassin together make the "Speed 'n Bleed" set, why don't we call the Blaster-Sandman combo the "Speedball" set?
24:41 finally someone with a platform says it
Are you sure you like things?
I'm proud to say I was there to see fish develop a gambling addiction.
You know what would be cool? If a moonshot with the sandman gave you a speed boost, so you know, you could catch up to the stunned target before it wares off.
If you want some ideas for how the sandman could be rebalanced into something actually fun *and* viable, I have a 2-part plan that I came up with recently. A plan that also actually directly references the sandman being a *baseball* themed weapon.
Part 1: We actually visit the babyface's blaster for this one. Remove its penalty on double-jumping, but keep its penalty on being hit (altho make it more lenient god please). Remove the base speed reduction penalty as well. Nerf it so that full speed charge gives you 20% extra bonus speed instead of 40%. That is part 1.
Part 2: We now descend upon the sandman. First order of business, completely discard the idea of a stun completely forever goodbye stun. Instead, hitting an enemy with the baseball gives you a 20% movement speed bonus, with the duration depending on the distance away from your sandman hit (i'd say 10-15 seconds max idk testing required). For the SANDMAN's speed buff, double jumping will remove it (also playing with the idea of just having it so the sandman removes scout's double-jump as a penalty, which would honestly prolly just feel better. trade air speed for move speed)
The sandman helps you get into combat, the babyfaces helps you stay in combat, and it amplifies your combat presence at the cost of only having 4 rounds in your scattergun, while also not having the speed boost be overly punishing. You can lose up to half of it by getting hit in combat, but you can build it back up just as fast, and regardless, you keep that 20% from the sandman until that timer runs out.
IMO this could be an extremely fun and sweat-inducing combo if tuned right, where the scout is fighting against the clock to get as much work done as possible before having to pull back and hit another moonshot.
Also make the Sandman Moonshots crit like the Wrap Assassin because it no longer stuns. Maybe also make it so that reflecting the ball gets an automatic moonshot instead of regular minicrits. Maybe also make the ball a bit easier to pick up now since the stun mechanic made it easier to grab than a speed boost would.
@@gamerdomain6618 I'd rather just buff the wrap assassin's damage and have that be the damage thing and the sandman be the speed thing.
Also the idea is that a max duration speed boost would last longer than it takes to recharge a new ball anyways, so the more moon your shot gets, the less you'll need to pick up the ball
@@CorwinTheOneAndOnly
Personally, I think actively forcing the ball to be picked up for constant speed boosting would synergise with the idea of damage not clearing the boost, but considering the health penalty and how dangerous it is to be that predictable against real players, that's a fine alternative and possibly the push that both the Sandman and Wrap Assassin would need to balance evenly with the Atomizer( and the Boston Basher if you are an omniscient god of M1 inputs).
@@gamerdomain6618 The tradeoff is just no double jumping. Sandman will remove the double jump.
@@CorwinTheOneAndOnly
That would be strong combined with the Soda Popper, which is already meta alongside Scattergun, so I think the boost cancel on double jump is more consistently balanced and a nice parallel to the BFB's own speed boost, not to mention that you would then be able to double jump to higher ground to hit your moon shot from to enhance ambush gameplay potential.
As an Australian who plays baseball this is great batting.
Avada kedavra can kill instantly, but it is not guaranteed to land. The elder wand fixes that promising you to win every battle.
Sandmenanigans.
1:31 you have become the very thing you swore to destroy!
If wanting the stun back is an evil deed then you can call me Sauron man. I'd take the Bonk effect back even if it meant an absurd nerf to other stats or effects, I just want the good 2014 days of dangling my balls around in Nucleus and throwing my balls to people stunning them with no objective or plan cause I was a dumb kid and didn't know the guillotine combo (which sounds like shit don't bring that back).
16:01 I did not expect to hear that today.
Such a waste on the pistol😢
18:14 I don’t say this often, but BASED
I do miss the old Sandman + Cleaver crit combo, those were the good times
I want the cleaver combo to be back, but not as strong as it was before. Currently I can only see the cleaver being used in conjunction with the wrap assassin as a way to make the Baby Face Blaster less shit
This is why I use mad milk and at the 8:56 part and I change the aim sight to the round one for the shortstop to um prove aim kinda and color green
It's a minor thing, but it bugs me that spy's health with the kunai can go above 150%. Should be capped at the same amount as medic's overheal.
As for the Elder Wand, I assumed it's because it's powerful enough to overcome the love protection thing or something. Or, they could just like paralyze Harry and stab him.
Apparently the TF2 Team updated one of the achievements a while back for the Sandman to get multiple environmental kills after hitting someone with the Sandman ball, since the stun mechanic got removed.
But how the hell is slowing someone down going to make them more likely to walk into a map hazard? Wouldn't that make it easier for them to *avoid* it? I know you can just use the Force-a-Nature or the Shortstop shove or something, but that kind of defeats the purpose of the achievement being for the Sandman.
Maybe if you annoy them long enough they'll jump of a cliff in frustration
Que emoción ver a John Wick utilizar una de mis hachas favoritas
Honey, shut up. New Fish Bites just dropped
18:44this happened to me way to many times i just quit sniper
Personally, i think the Sandman ball should have reverse damage falloff in a similar fashion to the Crusader's Crossbow
SpaceGuy cameo was cool
new troll maneuver: if your team is one man down to the enemy, kill someone then leave in the hopes that they get autobalanced
That is simultaneously the most genius and stupid thing I have heard all year.
It's not the wand but the combination of the three items
GAMBLING IS A PART OF WHO WE ARE!
As a transplant from LA to San Diego, San Diegans care about the Dodgers a lot more than LA even acknowledges the Padres... The Giants is a lot bigger rivalry for LA in terms of baseball, and the Angels are a lot bigger rivalry in terms of the culture of LA.
cool idea for the sandman, maybe instead of a slow and 15 dmg it could do 25 dmg and scale up to 75 with distanse but with out the slow , or make the ball do 35 with the slow that it has now.
Young influencer teaches kids that gambling is an advantageous financial decision
he entered the sandman
16:42 The comic is number 598
Sandman should’ve gotten a in defense of the sandman
Thanks for the the great content the what. I love your bad weapon academy videos
you know what'd i'd like to see for a sandman buff, assuming we're not going to revert it to any of the stun versions
up the damage the ball does and make the ball recharge faster
it's still probably not going to be good but you can make it a lot more fun to use
Maybe it could do guaranteed crits at long range, and possibly apply some kind of damage over time effect
I thought you were funny with maybe a few cringe opinions (Californians) when I first found your channel.
After exposing yourself as from San Diego (based), your dinosaur rants, and the MvM stream the other day (you know what you said) you’re definitely one of my favorites.
8:12 instant subscribe
You should do a BWA on the vita saw
0:41 my reaction time was about the same xd
Roses are red
Pyros eat glue
The teams have been autobalanced
You are now on BLU
Would you believe me if I told you I won a game because of a crit sandman ball once?
Cause I kinda did...
Was in super zombie fortress, but still!
Surprise Pingas in a unrelated video
The new location for in which server are you playing is now better,less intrusive
Hey fish don’t know if you can see this but I had a thought where some people want the old Cleaver and sandman combo back well what if you made the cleaver crit when it would mini-crit so on your server you hit them with the ball and the Cleaver you still get the combo and it’s not bs because you can still fight the scout and the scout could just miss the throw idk just a thought
Fish is starting to sound like Jerma's MiniMe. Now I can't unhear it. (‘◉⌓◉’)
Huh, I thought I saw this already
Gambling
Also the server change icon def looks better in the top left corner
Prequel apologists are on the rise only because of memes
holy shit that crate was so lucky
I hope the padres do good this year. I am interested on your opinion on the Tatis ordeal. Where do you think he is gonna play position-wise and what is your opinion on the suspension? idk if you actually follow baseball that closely lol
finally a video
The Sandman in TF2 has always seemed like a strange case to me. On one hand if you like how this weapon worked but hate how unfair it was it's nice to have it balanced. But on the other hand, The Sandman usually is not very used since it was nerfed poorly and became useless.
Currently watching this while killing the French in HOI4
As anyone in their right mind should
what if instead of slowing the enemy down the sandman sped you up?
Broooo, you got a war paint worth 500 fucking dollars!!
Definitely not a full stun, but maybe like 90% movement penalty + inability to strafe?
“I would be racist for free.” - Fish 2023
Padres did great this season, they beat their division rival, the dodgers, in the NLDS but then they got owned by Bryce Harper in the last game of the NLCS. Pretty cool moment, not for the Padres though, good luck in 2023 Padres
@FishStickOnAStick - Gaming
13:49
Do mine eyes deceive me, or did you just make the Sandman have hit targets be marked-for-death on your custom rebalance server?
I swear I've already seen this video, some of the clips are really familiar and I know I've seen the warpaint unboxing clip before as well as hitting the disguised Spy with the sandman ball. Is it a reupload?
Now this is content
What if it stunned sentries?
Sandman just mark for death instead of the "stun"?
just like it does in MvM?
23:43 it's you. It has been proven that random spread barely affects your damage output. Your aim fucks you up more than rbs
One day people will stop parroting that nonsense video of Zesty's and when that happens I will be significantly happier.
@@fishstickonastick-gaming it's pure statistics, unless you have a proof it's nonsense, you have to get better
what if sandman would just mark for death on hit for 5 seconds? and so that fan o war doesnt become useless afterwards, it gets to apply a 50% increase of all related meter rates. example: medics charge 50% faster and madmilk or hype builds 50% faster
“Medics charge 50% faster” thats fucking busted lmao
@@TheMuffinman191 eh maybe exclude medic and also dispenser metal recharge that was not thought of carefully
what if the sandman did like higher damage than scout's other melees? so like the ball allows you to even better get in to hit em real hard with a big bat
What if the sandman was good
YES. Harvest sucks
invest all your live savings into crates i think it would be goofy and sexuual of you ;)
~margret
Proof gambling is good