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Gotta love the panic title that makes you expect that Wall Street exploded and then you get a nice well researched and well explained video that is not nearly as dramatic as the title
Mild correction when the market adjusts to a new administration. S&P probably doesnt go below 5250. Certainly not below 5000. Hope everyone has some cash ready.
Good update..thank you. One thing few talk about is the supply of bonds. All other things are fixed, but the debt and thus issuance of new bonds might be something the market cannot overcome. At the very least, money will have to come out of stocks to help fund debt, but the bond market is huge, so even if we liquidate the entire market, we would still have a debt problem. This might be worse than folks are guessing.
Rates and tariffs are going to significant headwinds. My guess is we have a big pull back and tough economic conditions then the fed will lower rates significantly and the party goes on.
Stocks extended their year-to-date rally following the CPI report, with the S&P 500 last up 0.8% in morning trading. but I don't know if stocks will quickly rebound, continue to pull back or move sideways for a few weeks, or if conditions will rapidly deteriorate. I am under pressure to grow my reserve
buying longer term bonds does not make sense, because the real rates are negative! 3 months and 1 year bonds are best to buy, and precious metals to hedge
Treasury yields have increased mostly because demand for them has gone off a cliff due to fears of the inflationary environment we’re heading into. Investors would rather own stocks in an inflationary environment rather than fixed income products, whose income is further eroded by inflation. That’s what’s happening, among other things, right now. People are anticipating Trump’s tariffs and fiscal policies.
Fund manager does not have a thing to do with it. Everything centers around the bench mark lending rate and that is the 10yr T-Bill and the non federal, federal reserve controls this 100%!
Bond rates aren't going up and markets correcting because of the U.S.' growth prospects per se, more due to the prospects of Trump's proposed inflation inducing, expansionist policies, likely leading to 4 years of chaos and division the likes the country has never seen..
I’ve been saying it since early December. We are due for a big crash, maybe worse than 2008 or 2000. Everything has been pointing to that, and I think that trump’s tariffs will start it. This is the most chaotic point in the economy since 2008, and everything is on a precipice.
Earnings are strong until they are not. There is a massive depreciation of goods coming out of China right now. So anything coming out of China and sold in the U.S., corporations will make money on. Hence, stocks will rise. Watch the unemployment and weekly hours worked. No one is buying cars, manufacturing is slowing, and the building is slowing. consumers are not spending. Macy and Kohls are closing 100 stores.
Larry Williams is also not super bearish (his latest predication's are on RUclips) Falls to February, then rally. 2026 he's not so sure, and predicts a 3-5year bear market. Latest Chicago PMI is 37, below 40 has predicted all recessions in recent past. It's different this time with a felon in charge ?
Alright, so I’ve got $156k chilling in my emergency fund, ready to finally take a swing at investing, but now the market decides to crash?! Perfect timing, right? 😂 Guess I need a crash course in catching falling knives or whatever. Any tips for a clueless newbie trying to not lose it all in one go?
People saying cash is king for the last 4 years now. They lost 25% of their money due to inflation. I’ve seen these same videos during january 2023, which was followed by another bullish year for the indicices. Don’t know why people insist on pulling their money from the market as if they are gonna time a crash and call the bottom on time. Bravos Research is doing great research, but people are acting like they can swing trade on the information in these videos
Subscribe to our FREE Macro Report 📈👉 newsletter.bravosresearch.com
Get a membership at Bravos Research:
🔔 Trade alerts
✅ Our short-medium-long term outlooks on the stock market (3 episodes a week)
⚠ Emergency updates on market opportunities
🎓 A TON of education on becoming a profitable trader
Gotta love the panic title that makes you expect that Wall Street exploded and then you get a nice well researched and well explained video that is not nearly as dramatic as the title
What I really want to know is how you produce your videos. The animation of the charts is super slick.
Seriously! They are amazing.
Adobe after effects ..
Mild correction when the market adjusts to a new administration. S&P probably doesnt go below 5250. Certainly not below 5000. Hope everyone has some cash ready.
Good update..thank you. One thing few talk about is the supply of bonds. All other things are fixed, but the debt and thus issuance of new bonds might be something the market cannot overcome. At the very least, money will have to come out of stocks to help fund debt, but the bond market is huge, so even if we liquidate the entire market, we would still have a debt problem. This might be worse than folks are guessing.
Liquidity is slowing. Good news is now bad news. Bad news is now bad news. Expect this to be a very choppy year
revenue grow because of inflation and the destruction of value. It's design to do that, we get poorer but revenue number grow.
We were due for a correction, DOW will bottom around 40k then slowly go up
Gold and oil breaking out to higher prices, tanker stocks reversals
Depressions are always overlooked.
Everyone says they're prepared but always seem to never notice the signs.
Its literally been over 90 years...
@@CoasterRangerthat’s what I’m saying
2025 is not gonna be a fun year...
It will be if you short / buy puts 😸
@@LiberatedMind1 exactly
@@indiaeastonBuffett just sold his holdings
Head and shoulders reversal yesterday
Rates and tariffs are going to significant headwinds. My guess is we have a big pull back and tough economic conditions then the fed will lower rates significantly and the party goes on.
ur not even thinking about incoming tariffs that could cause a trade war
Yep growth is 5%??
Stocks extended their year-to-date rally following the CPI report, with the S&P 500 last up 0.8% in morning trading. but I don't know if stocks will quickly rebound, continue to pull back or move sideways for a few weeks, or if conditions will rapidly deteriorate. I am under pressure to grow my reserve
Nice research
But what can i do against that?
The market will correct by at least 20 percent. It could fall as much as 60 percent.
Looks like Gold is about to hit a head and shoulders
buying longer term bonds does not make sense, because the real rates are negative! 3 months and 1 year bonds are best to buy, and precious metals to hedge
Your analysis is all over the place.. 🤨🙄
Treasury yields have increased mostly because demand for them has gone off a cliff due to fears of the inflationary environment we’re heading into. Investors would rather own stocks in an inflationary environment rather than fixed income products, whose income is further eroded by inflation. That’s what’s happening, among other things, right now. People are anticipating Trump’s tariffs and fiscal policies.
Thanks for some optimism!
Who would have thought a pullback was coming...
wait does this mean I should sell off market or wait until monday????? I havent checked my stocks in only 3 weeks and lost 2k :(
You will get no where with these emotions
There’s gonna be ups and downs. You’re never gonna get it perfect.
end year stocks all time high again, why fear
@ thanks man
If it makes you feel better, I lost 50k the past 2 days in stocks only. Still not selling
Fund manager does not have a thing to do with it. Everything centers around the bench mark lending rate and that is the 10yr T-Bill and the non federal, federal reserve controls this 100%!
SPX did great in 2024, I seems now it is the time for a pullback and correction.
I really like this guys video analysis. Usually logical
Great content and animations, thank you! Are you german (strong sibilant sh, sch)?
So we are in Wave 4 and final wave to ATH remains
Probably valuable information for stock traders. Yada yada yada for people with long horizon.
Bond rates aren't going up and markets correcting because of the U.S.' growth prospects per se, more due to the prospects of Trump's proposed inflation inducing, expansionist policies, likely leading to 4 years of chaos and division the likes the country has never seen..
Thanks for your work!
I’ve been saying it since early December. We are due for a big crash, maybe worse than 2008 or 2000. Everything has been pointing to that, and I think that trump’s tariffs will start it. This is the most chaotic point in the economy since 2008, and everything is on a precipice.
Earnings are strong until they are not. There is a massive depreciation of goods coming out of China right now. So anything coming out of China and sold in the U.S., corporations will make money on. Hence, stocks will rise. Watch the unemployment and weekly hours worked. No one is buying cars, manufacturing is slowing, and the building is slowing. consumers are not spending. Macy and Kohls are closing 100 stores.
I like this explanation
Larry Williams is also not super bearish (his latest predication's are on RUclips)
Falls to February, then rally.
2026 he's not so sure, and predicts a 3-5year bear market.
Latest Chicago PMI is 37, below 40 has predicted all recessions in recent past.
It's different this time with a felon in charge ?
And...what about the Bonds market? 😂
Ez short. Put your money up.
Theres no way in hell the market is going higher with a ten year bond at 10 percent and thats exactly where rates are going.
1 minute ago is crazy
dude, not hating, but please tell me - why on earth do ppl comment shit like this
@@adi96adi u commented 2 mins ago thats crazy
Thanks!
If crypto becomes our money how can we invest into stocks?
Never will
Bitcoin is store of value, asset for deflation. Not currency.
Gold is such a nonsense investment
Watch when the dollar hits $1.20
Alright, so I’ve got $156k chilling in my emergency fund, ready to finally take a swing at investing, but now the market decides to crash?! Perfect timing, right? 😂 Guess I need a crash course in catching falling knives or whatever. Any tips for a clueless newbie trying to not lose it all in one go?
So does this mean that this a great time to get into investments because the market is stable and is quite low right now, if I understand correctly?
Cash is King
Haha cash is dumb.
Cash is trash
sold all my S&P and dived into gold yesterday. won big today
@@Pik0l0 This coming from a Dunning Kruger that's never had his money trapped in a bank.
People saying cash is king for the last 4 years now. They lost 25% of their money due to inflation. I’ve seen these same videos during january 2023, which was followed by another bullish year for the indicices. Don’t know why people insist on pulling their money from the market as if they are gonna time a crash and call the bottom on time.
Bravos Research is doing great research, but people are acting like they can swing trade on the information in these videos
Last
Welcome to the trump russian-republican depression.
Biden is still in office😂
I dont like trump but this is old man biden
Yes, everything set up during the Biden administration is already Trump's fault 😒
@@rakashaagainyou're part of the problem
Biden has not left yet.
First 😊
7605th
first
Nope. I was first😂. As you can see right now, cause I am the only one with 1 hour ago
I like your explanations👍👍