Open AI's New SORA Could Eliminate An Entire Industry Of Jobs
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- Опубликовано: 4 июн 2024
- Open AI's New SORA Could Eliminate An Entire Industry Of Jobs. Tyler Perry is very worried about how AI will impact the entertainment industry. He believes it will lead to layoffs and job eliminations. In this video, let's take a closer look at how SORA and other ChatGPT-related technologies threaten the average person and what you can do about it.
0:00 - intro
1:18 - what is SORA?
8:29 - the impact on the creative industry
12:35 - jobs will be eliminated
16:14 - Apple laying off to focus on AI
17:39 - ChatGPT's evolution is FAST
22:24 - AI's market map
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AI is not taking any jobs. There is industrial inflation of 40 % in European Union and 20 % in USA. That is recession not reported by government in public; it will take a few years. After the recession there will be stock market crash. See the Great depression as an example. AI topic and inflated stock market are used to cover up the recession. Pax Americana is being reorganized into BRICS. BRICS is not a group or alliance. It is new major currency zones. USA is dropping NATO and European Union. EUR is a derivative of USD since the EuroDollar times (the Marshall plan). Russia is reclaiming territories.
So when we get UBI( universal basic income). If 5 year we get AGI (artificial general intelligence)
@carkawalakhatulistiwa whenever the "elites" find the kindness in their hearts to finally share a little bit. Just kidding but seriously if things don't change we may be in for a rough ride the next 20 years.
The irony of AI taking all the jobs is that there will no-one left able to buy products and services due to having no jobs.
Prices will have to go down then.
You'll own nothing and like it.
They will exterminate useless population.
@@ALifeAfterLayoff Pods, bugs, and 5 minute cities!
This has been my theory all along. The acceptance of AI (or even the perceived acceptance of AI) will completely crash society as we know it. You can't suddenly go from an ultra-capitalistic world to a "post labor economy" overnight. But that is what they will try to do. It won't work.
A computer painting pictures and writing books while humanity toils for minimum wage doing crap jobs is not the future I expected.
Hey, that's my cardboard box you're sleeping in, Mac!
Even the minimum wage jobs might be automated out of existence.
I'll have freedom fries with dat..
What humans?
I far more expected dystopia when they promised utopia than I expected utopia. When they promise you The Great Leap forward, go read about The Great Leap Forward
As a filmmaker, I can confidently say, we’re screwed.
Good scripts, real actors will still be important. Even more important. I find too many movies to be boring and formulaic.
@@LilyGazouI get you but things like cod and just about most media today not only settled into a formula but progressively gotten worse yet still make billions in profit
Leona
Do you actually work in film and/or TV? Can you see the massive problems with AI generated images compared to conventional production workflows and the corresponding advantages?
When you say "confidently" is your confidence based on experience or a gut feeling? How do you think the current AI scenario differs from the analog to digital transition in the 1990s?
If only any of us women could be screwed - not even men want us
Nah, it just helps us get shit done quicker.
I noticed that a lot of folks were extremely unhappy to be told about this, and criticized you for showing viewers more anxiety-inducing news. But frankly, I was grateful because I'd rather learn about alarming new developments like this from a friendly and sympathetic person than just have it sprung on me. This gives me time to adjust. Thank you for the thoughtful info!
They loaded and tagged all the books and movie clips the LLM is sharing. Isn't this video content just going to be sold monthly by Adobe and other Final Cut Pro Library content. Curated and AI generated is just par for the course.
Is there going to be any time to adjust? Things are only going to move faster. We can kiss normality goodbye.
Expectations of future - robots will take over all hard manual labour, while humanity will be free to explora arts.
Reality - robots take over art professions while manual labour is still mostly for humans.
we will all be sent to the glue factory
That’s what you call irony … to the nth degree!!
What's with pigeon holing humans into soft subjects.
@@johnbell1810 Sweet! I love glue!
its almost like they lie and go for the immediate money
I’m the lead designer for a major resort in a major tourist destination in TN. This AI stuff terrifies me to my core. Took many years to get to my position, and this AI stuff could steal it away in a matter of years.
I know it is hard not to be terrified, but maybe now may be the time to pivot towards another industry.
Also, what is the name of the resort you work for?
Same my wife is a designer, and I am a camera guy. The thing is wherever we turn we think "oh yeah AI could totally take this too".
Just leverage it in your work going forward. Thank me later!
You in Memphis?
I got Memphis in my blood I cross too
-Project Pat
I am software engineer and I have just recently had to work on my resume and I used AI and I am totally mind blown with it. This technology is going to change the world very soon in a way and scale that we have never seen before. It's going to affect everybody.
I am stunned with my own first experience. Last week I had microsoft copilot explain to me some very ambiguous details a client was asking about. The feeling I had was very similar to my first experience with a computer
Nice! It's NOT all Gloom & Doom, but It's about 99% Gloom & Doom.
It's more like 10% doom and gloom.
1% is not ALL gloom and doom. :)
"You mean there's still a chance!"
Of course! The future is looking better than ever for the top 1%!
I used to work in the insurance industry. The first wave of computer software and automation, in the late 90’s-early 2000’s. Entire departments were eliminated. All of the underwriting clerks were eliminated, then all the claims technicians. Suddenly as an adjuster I was doing all of the work my technician used to do and my own. I could see the hand writing on the wall and went into the trades. I’m now a pipe fitter and while technology changes my job it’s not eliminating jobs. The decision to change careers into something that was very difficult to automate was the best decision I’ve ever made. Blade runner level robots may be coming but they are much further off. Plumbers, electricians, carpenters, mill wrights, linemen. Jobs that both handle physical objects but are absolutely not repetitive are the way to go.
People in the trades solve problems requiring them to think, analyze and synthesize. There are other jobs that are clerical, routine , repetitive and preparatory. These other jobs are more likely to be impacted by AI. Such tasks are the easiest to automate. Why? They're predictable. Human creativity is distinct from machine synthesis. While the former is association driven and probabilistic the latter is combinatorial and more deterministic. Like in a kaleidoscope, the latter can throw up a few Mathematical combinations of the glass pieces. But that's all. The degree of weirdness is limited.
Physical jobs will not be any safer when displaced workers move into the trades and flood the market. The trades only pay relatively well today because most people look down on the trades and feel they have better options. When that is no longer true, wages will be depressed significantly.
We have a 5 year old custom eco house designed and made by computer systems.
I can imagine the plumbing and electric fittings and systems changing design to suit automated installation. That said, legacy systems i.e. old houses will still need a lot of human maintenance.
@@girishshah8929 Clerical work is not easier to automate because it is more predictable than manual labor. It is because state of the art natural language processing and automated data analysis is closer to human level capability than state of the art robotics is to human level agility and image recognition.
Even as recent as two years ago this wasn't the case. This is why far more factory jobs have been lost historically to robotics than clerical jobs that have been lost to AI automation. But that trend shows strong signs of changing in the near future.
Up until we see a similar level of breakthrough in robotics and image recognition capabilities. Human agility and image recognition is the only thing saving the trades today, not the cognitive complexity of their work.
I agree, can't see any AI driven robots crawling around an attic space carrying out plumbing repairs any time soon.
I have already seen layoffs at my company directly due to AI. Our whole photography team was let go and replaced by Midjourney. Not more sets are needed, no props, no models, no animals are being used now to create backgrounds and situations for our products. Extend that to no more real estate needed to rent for shoots, no more Make-up artists and stylists being hired, no catering etc. The ripple effect is actually frightening - I believe we might be seeing a large amount of the general population become unemployed in the next few years.
What's your industry? Advertising?
@@HilleCinee-commerce
Scary, where are the benefits they claimed ai has other than taking jobs and...oh I get it, saving money for the employers ..
@@sonaliv1489 Yup, sadly.
This is sad 😭
I think the danger is jobs not created rather than jobs destroyed, people should use AI to be better than AI alone. Human + AI seems to be better than just AI
I think you're right.
Sadly the corporate world always seeking cheap and quick will take the shortest route most of the time and eliminate the manpower or woman power costs
this is why I am moving back from software engineering back to my roots: electrical engineering. Plenty of jobs around. AI won't install, replace and test electric devices.
It will at some point, but it won’t be responsible for the result, so an engineer will be needed to sign off.
I would say for the mean time no but eventually the software engineer will have to pick up a wrench. Blue collar jobs are going to be hella competitive soon as more people are laid off. On top of that the mass migration of illegals that poured in the US are gonna be looking for jobs. This screws the whole system up.
Yet*
Perhaps, but it can explain to me as a non EE how to install, replace and test electrical devices. Just saying...
@@jkmarshall3553That's dangerous as fuck. One mistake and you are fried .
death of art..imagine the savings, but also the lack artists. Lack of imagination or the lack of humans to be creative...it will be great loss
I personally think it could be just the opposite. If you could direct a whole movie from your desktop, would you?
Never bet against billionaires and their sociopathic greed. You'll own nothing
And be happy?
@@dankmemes8619 yup or "have no choice" something like that
and I am not so sure you will be happy...
@Meritumas for sure, those that at one time had, but as the years go on people will get used to it ....too.many streaming services to keep us pre-occupied
No wonder stoicism has been all the rage.
The pervasive part of this is that companies looked to low cost countries to offshore work....now with AI the play field is.leveled, everyone is under threat regardless of geographical location.
WALL-E Is looking more and more realistic by the day
A matter of time before they dump us into a contained area, while ai harvests us for energy? Matrix+ wall-e
It could easily replace recruiters. spam contact people and lie about the job and pay.
I've already been contacted by an AI-generated recruiter via a fake Linkedin Profile.
@TheSnerggly me too. It was rather surreal of an experience. It instantly redirected me to an interview-booking platform where I had to book an interview.. with a bot. Brave, new world, right?
Way more likely that this is going to happen before you start replacing skilled graphic designers and CGI engineers.
Deloitte wanted me to film myself against a f**king BOT as HR screening
@@dieglhix😂😂 unreal..
When I thought that the job market couldn't get worse, this pops up...
I don’t care how impressive graphics are - I’m not simply not interested in everything I watch being generated by a machine. The world is full of beauty and wonder that I will never get to see in person. Having art and real life replaced by AI is cheap.
I'm 1000% with you on this. I won't watch a show that's completely derived from AI.
@@ALifeAfterLayoffyou might not even know the difference and be aware…
We are a cheap society. No one cares about quality anymore... quality of clothing, products and relationships.
company starts using AI, no matter how beautiful is. Customers would suspect an AI instead of complement
You will never even know if it's generated by a machine.
Nerds have been warning society for decades, now. If there's a world plan for humanity after AI, I've never heard one and I've been in this industry since 8-bit.
It’ll work out. Like how the industrial revolution worked out, with the two world wars and other slight hiccups. But humanity will adapt.
When the tractors and machines came it weren’t a big need for horses and riders. But it was okay. Due to the more productivity there were need for people to load and unload, do accounting, some drove the tractor, some went into repairs.
This replaces the horse , the tractor, the driver, the loaders, the accountant, the shopkeeper, and soon the repairmen.
That’s okay you think, the worker will just go into town and find a new job. When he is there he notices that machines are making burgers, the receptionist at the hotel is artificial, the bank teller is a screen, the taxis drives themselves.
This is a different beast. We are outsourcing the only thing that makes most of us valueable in modern society- intelligence
This is terrifying to me. Imagine in the future when someone is terminated from a job because they generated a false video of an employee stealing. How about the first person sentenced to jail time?
Sextortion scammers are going to love this.
The job will be replaced by AI, anyway
It’s probably a good idea to have the ai talk with older family members. The potential for scams and disinformation is drastic and most older people aren’t aware this tech exists and what it can do
No Joke
At first I thought this was Sora from Kingdom Hearts 😅
Finally found the comment 😂
Same
The only Sora
What's shocking to me is not how quickly AI is evolving...what's shocking is the naivete of anyone who didn't see this happening. Of course things are going to evolve quickly, exponentially. That being the case, everyone should be concerned for your jobs, no matter who you are.
I think many are being head-in-sand about this.
I find it exciting. Scary, but exciting.
BRB. About to walk into traffic.
😂😂 don’t do it we got to fight against skynet together
Too late. AI made driving obsolete.
@@JakoWako -traffic- the ocean.
@@demas5334hold on, I'll go with you, lol!
I do not understand the point of taking AI’s advancement beyond being a tool that makes jobs faster and easier, rather than replacing jobs completely. Just theorizing, but wouldn’t that yield diminishing returns? Just based on how the economy works?
Companies exist to make money. They make money by selling products and services to consumers.
Consumers buy companies’ products and services with money…that they get from jobs.
So, if companies have something advanced enough to take the consumer’s job out of the equation, they will output more products and services - sure - but there will be less consumers to buy them, because they won’t have money…which means companies make less money. So, diminishing returns.
Maybe that’s an oversimplification and that’s not how it works. I’m no economist. But it does feel like we’re moving toward the declining end of the bell curve of “could we? / should we?” when it comes to AI.
The only problem with any a.i. generated music, design, images or photography is that it is not protected by copy write law. In other words, companies use them at their peril as anyone can use them for their own purposes.
Wrong
Wrong
The porn industry will need major bailouts.
Subway will be hiring.
omg AI porn that is conjured up from the sick mind of all of us - scary indeed. Also, I hope AI can be coded to not do child porn, because legally I'm not sure what it would be if no actual children are involved. It still feels 1000% wrong
@adamp6320 - AI-generated or not, it should still be treated as if it were real. There should be NO tolerance for that!
@@ALifeAfterLayoff 100% this! Porn is a deception. They target the young to form addiction before their mind can develop proper caution/awareness. It's a disgusting industry and should be exposed for what it is.
@@adamp6320 Thankfully, even depictions of child porn are illegal. It does not have to involve an actual child.
Where is the government on this?!?!? It’s beyond lunacy that they would sit by and do nothing while companies just lay off entire industries of workers.
They're not concerned as they will be getting their pockets lined by the AI companies going forward.
That would be a great way to destroy their economy long term. Nothing they do can stop AI from advancing and taking your job if you're threatened by it, any politician who says otherwise is lying. There's WAY too much money to be made and cost savings for the entire world to just let these advancements die.
I remember being a teenager too. But when you grow up you realize govt isn’t here to help you. If you still think that as an adult you’re unfortunately part of the problem
What do you want a giant government bureaucracy to do about it? Create more laws?!
@@willdegra317the government exists to screw the working class and the poor while fully catering to the rich and corporations 😂😂😂
That’s why I knew from the beginning that the federal government wasn’t gonna forgive en masse student loans
I think companies that are video centric will want real videos with actual people. It will make their brand more trustworthy and standout.
No. Those componenets cost money...A.I is almost free compared to all that
If they start using AI to make everything - they need to lower prices to reflect the lack of human involvement. Considering most people will be out of work - companies will need to lower prices just to survive. Most people will be poor in the near future.
On the bright side- AI will cause this current inflation bubble to pop. The dollar will start to mean something again if a dollar is hard to come by.
thats not how inflation works
This is what I have said to people, if they replace people products should be cheaper since they aren't paying anyone to make them.
Those “savings” surely wont be passed on as lower prices to consumers, but instead bigger profits to shareholders.
First off, kudos to the work you do and the people who you help. I felt I had to throw in my two cents here. I work in machine learning (though not in natural language processing). I am an independent freelancer, with about 25 years of experience, a PhD in ML and software development experience in multiple domains. I personally think there is a lot of hype to this phenomenon, while content creation can be augmented by AI, code can be assisted by AI, HR can be augmented by AI - replaced by AI is another question. To see for yourself, please ask experienced professionals using these tools, if they trust the code, content or whatever it does. So productivity enhancer yes, replacer is no in my opinion. I do hope people position this to create better products rather than replace products with faulty crappy products.
Edit: I personally experienced this because I tried using this generated video content to produce a video for a product I developed. I was so apalled by the exageration of features and the story it spun up, I decided not to use the video. I have heard the same with people looking at generated code. As a HR professional if you think you can replace your experience and judgement of years with something generated by a language model - I disagree with that.
From the Stone Age until now, the key values are being flexible and adaptable. My grandfather was born before flight and could not believe man landed on the moon. He saw blacksmiths -some-change careers to pumping gas and transform to mechanics. We should not fear the change but embrace the change.
Not that there is a choice.
It’s not just about the job; my passion is art and writing. Will I be able to adapt to AI? Not if the owners put it out of my reach. AI is so fundamentally powerful, I don’t think it will stay affordable to use the way Photoshop and Pro Tools did after revolutionizing photography and music.
@@ikeameltdown8012 you are totaly wrong
@@varframppytwobtokwanguz2286
Part of me marvels at say- when this technology has evolved to its end state - asking AI to write a script and create an episode of my favorite cancelled tv show where the actors are dead - unlimited content that could be as good or better than the original. But okay now writers, actors, and all the production people don't have a job and human creativity is gone. So, you'd not want that world.
It can’t be better than the original since it just takes the old episodes and extrapolates based on what was shown with no creative input. On the other hand, we’re doing that just fine without AI with all the reboots, sequels, prequels and so on.
Sure you could do that. Definitely a dark side of it. But if the tools become cheap enough, you could direct a movie wholely from your desktop. I think it could be done inside a decade with the rate we see things moving now.
@@foodomanthemagnificent2650exactly, and besides the goal of art isn’t meant to be our own glory, that’s a selfish attitude. If you create something able to compete against whatever AI generates (assuming it ever reaches the point where it can write better than us), that’s even more wonderful. If you really have something worth saying, AI can help you get the message out.
The really scary thing about AI is that it does not seem to have any limits and seems to be able to take anyone and everyone's job - even that of a RUclipsr.
When you study Deep Learning you appreciate how impressive these models are but you also get to see how spectacularly bad they are at the same time. I am currently exploring how to use 3D U-Nets to improve cancer segmentation. Is this gonna replace doctors? Ofc not, it will just make their job better so they can focus on other things.
@@marufbepary100 focus on extracting the most money from cancer patients and insurance companies without actually curing the disease. Is that correct?
Your mind has no limits to repeat something until you believe it's true. Internet has endless possibilities so stop focus on something you can't change. Without field knowledge you can't confirm that AI output is correct, it's no silver bullet. Explore the tools and realize it has a lot of limits that showcases never show.
Actually, AI is extremely limited in the types of jobs it can do. Most things an "AI" could do are things we already have programs for anyway.
As an infant care specialist who works for the wealthy I would love to see how AI will take my job 😂 i also make $20-25 hour babysitting on the side during the holidays. Over 20 years people have been asking me when Im gonna get a “grown up job” and now I feel safer then ever in my chosen career
It's amazing how all this time and effort is going into removing humans from the creative process, which is and has always been a deeply human endeavor, when in reality even basic AI is far better suited to eliminating two very different kinds of jobs: drudgery, and management. 95% of what most bosses and middle managers do could be effectively, efficiently, and accurately replaced with basic AI models, yet we almost never hear about those jobs being eliminated -- put another way, the push with AI is to remove lower and mid-level workers and leave only the upper echelons to reap the benefits. It's deeply messed up, and it will destroy our consumer-based economy if left unchecked.
Technology is supposed to minimize work so we'll all have more time to enjoy life and be creative... instead, it's forcing people to scramble for work and taking the creativity and enjoyment out of humanity's hands. Something needs to change -- FAST -- or this will break society at its foundations.
As an aspiring animator myself, this is nothing short of an insult. Film making at its core is an art form that takes years to get into, and even longer to get good at. AI just shortcuts the entire process and lets any random individual with any stupid idea type in whatever prompt they want and "create art."
Funny thing is that I was just watching a documentary the other day about animator Hayao Miyazaki (Studio Ghibli) said that he would never use a thing such as AI in any of his movies. That coming from the same animator who has openly expressed his disgust about the use of CGI in films.
When the Model T car came out, a whole bunch of horse handlers, saddle makers, and horseshoe artisans disappeared. This is either a sky is falling if you are a modern day horse handler, for the small business person who can't afford studio time, this is a blessing. Pick your perspective.
This is happening to way more industries though.
Presidential candidate Andrew Yang hit the nail on the head when he talked about how people will need to be on Universal income due to AI replacing so many jobs. But it comes with a double-edged sword. If the vast majority of people are on a fixed income, they will no longer be able to splurge on the misc. things that we do now and a TON of companies will go out of business. So companies are almost forced to embrace AI to remain relevant and profitable to their shareholders, but AI will for a good majority of companies go out of business.
As for Hollywood, AI will play a major role, but until the vast majority of actors sign away their rights to their likeness, voice, etc., they'll still need sets and locations to film. I've heard that some companies have approached some movie stars to see if they'll sign it all away, but so far they've been told no. But an actor who's at the end of their career may consider it if the money is right.
Also, what if AI can create some amazing characters that people come to love? You see that in any animation movie, none of those characters are real, but tons of people love them! I can possibly see that coming down the road.
sounds like actors jobs may be in jeopardy.
Also, the writers strike was because this exact problem.
This isn’t a complete justification or anything but hey, that could help with our problem of celebrity-worship to a large degree, couldn’t it?
I wouldn't have imagined AI hitting those in 'creative' jobs. Little bit un-nerving.
I think everyone likes AI until it impacts their job. Which I think will create some sort of equilibrium.
That’s why Silicon Valley would be foolish to replace us all at once.
B roll is now all AI, without a doubt. Perry wants regulation to protect his studio, but chose to open his studio in GA several years ago, which is a right to work state (vs. CA, where the unions would provide some employee protection). So no protection for his employees, just protection for him.
All regulation would do is benefit mega corporations (who will use the tech regardless), and stop regular folks from creating their own small studios. AI will give small teams the ability to create things that would usually require a massive budget. Knowing the way governments and corporations work together, any regulations they pass will only ensure that the status quo is maintained--with people like Perry being a gatekeeper to new and upcoming talent.
@@edshanks2189if something is hundreds of times cheaper, then there’s nothing regulation can do.
@@edshanks2189 👏
This is why the stimulus checks were a trial run for the Universal Basic Invome system, they just wantes to test which method was most effective. The PPP method, or the Stimulus. The direct payments of stimulus was what they concluded was.
So everyone will be dependent on the government for their hand-out? I could see that, but how will the government receive their payroll tax revenue.
@@MaxwellMax🤔
@MaxwellMax You're either dependent on a corporation or the government. I don't like it either.
@@JoeBidenator1564but who’s gonna pay for it? You can print money, but you can’t print energy, food, services, housing, labor and anything else physical
@@ThePilot3332 The money would come from taxes on automation and robotics.
So when we get UBI( universal basic income). If 5 year we get AGI (artificial general intelligence)
I keep having hope to one day everyone will come to the answer being UBI but then I found out some states have already started passing laws to ban it 😭
In USA ?! You'll get UBTax more likely. Cannot pay - prison time! Kids for taxes!
Sorry, but UBI is a non-starter under capitalism.
Right now I'm not seeing the threat in my industry, which is security - penetration testing to be specific.
Partly this is because we already use AI & ML, and have for years, partly because we're great at breaking AI for fun & profit 🤪- but a significant part is: to date, no AI platform wants to generate exploit code, phishing email templates or conduct multi-phase attacks because of the fear of potential abuse.
Seems there's a preference - so far - for security testing to be a service with human specialists guiding the effort & using AI to automate & augment that service.
Given some of the crap I've seen working as a temp admin asst- being able to toggle the web proxy, enable developer mode, run commands in PowerShell, install executables from a Google search, add/modify the web browser configuration and extensions, etc- I think you're underestimating how dumb companies can be, particularly big ones.
One of the worst parts is that if you stick your neck out to report vulnerabilities, you're looked at like a criminal, blocked from doing so, and ignored before the staffing agency quietly removes you from the assignment and ghosts you.
@@angryowlet153 ummm, you're preaching to the converter mate - & no I didn't misspell that 😊
Maybe you don't know what penetration testing is?
My job is to look for those & other issues, demonstrate the associated risks by exploiting them, then report on them.
So I'm not someone you need to convince that these issues exist, and whilst yes the adversity to bad news is a big thing going back to the beginning, in my case the client will have paid enough money for me to deliver that news that they can't easily justify ignoring it.
What you described is exactly why this is my major.
Thank you for staying up on what is coming, and what is already here!!
Freelance graphic designers and one-man companies are already feeling the effects and other industries will soon follow. And it's not a matter of adapting: the rate of change is simply too high.
Stop being cynical and repeat that everything going fast. It's a tool. All problems doesn't have only one solution and you need field knowledge to understand quality. AI doesn't understand trends. A lot of result from people using AI starts to look and feel the same. Know your talent and combine it with different things to be unique.
@@hombacomThe people that are losing their jobs because of this tool disagree, unfortunately.
@@duikmans an ai tool interprets text prompts will always have flaws and without knowledge you don’t always know what to prompt or can judge if the result is good. People watch showcases and think ai does everything right because they just happen to look good.
@@hombacomwhen farmers got replaced by tractor drivers, not everyone became a tractor driver. It’ll be fine for the top X%, the rest will either have to develop their skills, or work a less skilled job (majority will probably do the second option).
@@ThePilot3332 average joe maybe thinks that AI is magic, but if you are use to software tools its not that different. A lot of tools, formats, they have to work together, its exciting if you are a problem solver. A person that rely on prompting only will be in trouble because you have no control.
I wouldn’t want it to create video games, music, movies or any kind of art. That’s deeply human stuff.
Put it to work building houses. All of this computer bullshit burns a ton of electricity.
If AI is so GOOD - why isn't AI solving "unsolved problems in mathematics"? For example, proving the Riemann hypothesis of number theory. THAT would be AI.
becouse is not posible
people belive bs for no reason
It eventually will, give it some time
Qstar
Replacing a job isn't merely a procedural accomplishment - it involves removing a human completely from that job. That implies that machines (basically, any technology that functions without human action) can erase certain people from the economy. This is where we have to look at things such as AI with caution so as not to elicit unnecessary fear amongst the working population. In my case, I am a software engineer, and I have discovered more than a few mentions that even this discipline may be threatened by AI, but I am not concerned about it as AI can't possibly replicate the ability of the human brain to do a job with that amount of complexity to begin with. The human brain is a non-deterministic entity (i.e, it is able to make decisions without any restrictions in how it chooses to do so), while machines are not so as they can only decide actions in terms of truth or falsehood (literally, high and low electrical pulses), and a quintillion of them per second with the best mainframes we have today. Even with that capability, there is no machine on earth (and never will be) that behaves non-deterministically, and the only non-deterministic computer that has ever been conceptualized is only done so in theory. This aspect of the AI conversation will require a fair amount of nuance to comprehend for this reason.
What if I shoved mushrooms into the computer and made the mushroom do non-deterministic things?
@@Gnomezonbacon You'd be a billionaire
CEOs, CFOs, investors and the like do not care if AI cannot think like a human…if a job can be replace it will.
And I’ll dare to say that at least 30% of any office job is redundant…which any CEO would interpret “hey I can save 30% on labor.
@netzarim1277 They may try, but eventually they will realize the error of their ways once the loss of innovation actually becomes apparent to them. Nothing can replace the ability of the human mind to innovate and to judge right from wrong.
AI may not replace every programmer but it will make programmers much more productive, thus reducing the number of them needed to accomplish the same tasks. Companies will increase profits but many programmers will be out of a job. Increased Competition for open positions will lead to salaries coming down. In the end, companies win and employees lose. Those with AND without jobs.
Almost everything is replaceable by AI. The skillset that will holdout a bit longer are things like being an electrician or a carpenter and vocations like that.
Still, this thing coming for everyone at some point. At best people will be expected to do their jobs with AI assistance until they can fully replace the person. All for lesser pay.
It's some bs
Those wanting to postpone their production plans in a hope to save money are either too naive or delusional. In 2024 even the static generative imagery is still too poor for serious commercial utilizations and needs A LOT of post processing before it's good to go. Not to mention how difficult is to achieve at least a bit of consistency in order create an entire series of photos or illustrations for a book, comics or calendar. I'm working with AI generated content professionally for almost two years and it's still not as easy as people used to think. And I don't even want to talk about music and sound design, as it's still a total rubbish, fortunately or not.
So before you start panicking about losing your job as a makeup or prop artist, composer, cameraman or cast crew member, etc. ask those who are directily involved in the production pipeline. Do they really see any opportunity for substitution AT THIS POINT of a time? Does AI meet all existing standards in terms of quality, accuracy, consistency, realism, resolution, etc.? Yes, it develops quickly and eventually we WILL get there. Yes, one day your skills become if not obsolete, but in a lower demand. But it wil not happen as soon, as you imagine. Probably not even before you are retired.
So basically it's far more nuanced then previously thought. How do you think the job market will react to the layoffs
AI will NEVER EVER replace Madea!
There are quite a few decent articles online about the costs of using generative AI, both to generate the model, ongoing compute expenses to process data, maintain it etc. It isn’t cheap. Article I just read estimated Microsoft spent $4B to incorporate AI functionality into Bing for instance. Training a proprietary AI model can cost millions in compute costs alone, and that is a recurring expense as they are modified and new versions created.
Personally, I think if Tyler Perry actually executed an AI production, rather than conject from AI hype, he will be shocked at the costs.
How much do you think freelancer will get from that sub niche though?
I'm alot more confortable with the imperfections than I would be with content that's indistinguishable
My question on any of the nature scenes, animals, people. Wouldn't there have to be an actual image taken with a photograph or a video for AI to manipulate to create these scenes? I ask this because there can still be a need for photographers to create an image in the first place. Also, for another opportunity in this: People will still ned to create the story to input into AI, there will also be a need to troubleshoot the software and constantly upgrade it's capabilities. On the flipside, this may also create a demand of people wanting works created using techniques pre AI (Like now with the cost of streaming getting crazy, there is a movement to buy DVDs again, even CDs).
AI is categorizing every photo and video on every platform, camera, and video recording device - think of how much data is captured about you, even on your phone. AI knows you better than you know yourself.
It can't create anything new. It only does two operations: classify and take averages of the data. It can't leave the boundaries of the data it is trained.
The best high level sora discussion I’ve seen on RUclips thanks.
Good stuff, Brian. I enjoyed this.
I could see this particular technology impacting video game trailers or cinematics, but unless this is producing wireframed models it won't be useful to actual game development.
That will 100% come sooner or later for both games and movies/TV shows. Long term I'm sure that you'll be able to generate entire fictional people with AI, save the models, and then tell the AI to use those models to make a film following a script either you provide or that an AI generates using those models. It just might take 5 to 10 years for them to perfect it enough. I fully expect that the only people in Hollywood who will still have jobs are the video editors (to correct any AI glitches) and the writers (because writing is a creative task where it's always subjective who's better or not, and a good writer is worth their weight in gold).
You understand this. Many business people who make decisions don't
Even though they look realistic, they don't look real. Something is off, whether it's the direction of the people walking or the physics of the snowfall.
This level of quality is just the first iteration of Sora’s first release to the public. It only gets better as time goes on and computing power increases.
Yeah, they look totally wrong, unlike all those CGI superhero, SciFi and effects heavy movies people have been watching for years.
It’s early for alot of this technology. The scary part is that they will only get “better” to the point of indistinguishability.
This is something a machine will never get right no matter how evolved it gets.
Great video!
In a way Sora scares the hell out of my and how it can replace me, but in the other hand it kind of exites me, if it becomes public I could use it to make my own movies. I like to think independent creators can benefit from it too.
The problem is, once you can create art without any genuine talent, it becomes worthless. Because everyone can create the same thing.
All of these examples are carefully crafted and a lot of time goes into them. Go to something like DALL-E and enter a prompt to get an image you want. Is it close to what you wanted? 99% of the time, it is not. Even something as simple as asking it to draw two dogs of different breeds will get you one or three dogs or the two dogs are not of the breeds you specified. Or your short-haired chihuahua will have long hair! (Yes, speaking from experience.)
These demos remind me of the early demos of Tesla's self-driving cars which we now know have been faked.
Does this mean graphic artists, animators, photographers, and other creatives have nothing to fear? Of course, not. The ones who don't adapt will lose their jobs. The ones who learn to incorporate AI into their work will be okay. (Or as okay as you can be given how many companies manage by layoff ;) The days of AI creating a movie are at least a decade away, IMO.
I think that is the thing. Taking an image that is AI produced and enhancing it requires higher-level skills. Entry-level anything is really going to hurt.
I’ve heard HR specialists and RUclipsrs are at highest risk for being replaced
How do you know I'm not AI?
Getting hold of HR is already a pain so if this will make it easier than I'm for it.
I mean if you are easily replaceable and the AI actually does the job better then you did not really deserve the job in the first place.
@@ALifeAfterLayoff AI would only tell us what we want to hear!
I am wanting to know where I can get AI experience or take some classes. Where should I look? I have checked at schools and no classes. 🤔
there are certain types of design that I think would be tricky to replace right away with AI. One is advanced data visualization, taking data points and creating visualizations beyond your standard pie chart or bar graph. Sometimes there is no boilerplate solution and it has to be created from scratch. Another is anything that involves visual metaphors, like editorial design. It's often very difficult to describe with language something you want to see visually, which is why poets and writers so often resort to metaphors.
The pace of adoption and evolution will only speed up.
People are already starting to boycott AI generated content. This will definitely affect society and how we interact with each other.
You can bet that SORA will not be free to companies and they will be charged a premium, just like they have been charged a premium for any enterprise-wide software system throughout the decades. Will it save money remains to be seen.
Otherwise, it will be the same cycle of disruption. If tons of people lose their jobs, how will they buy the companies products? People will adjust. They will either get jobs working directly with A.I., or they will work in an area indirectly supporting or related to A.I., or they will work in industries that grow because of A.I., or they will work in industries completely unrelated either existing or that grow for other reasons. Eventually A.I. will be part of life just like the computer, the industrial robot, or the farm tractor.
Intriguing discussion on AI like Sora's potential in the arts. How do you envision regulatory frameworks evolving to balance innovation and job protection?
Good question
And the scary (or maybe not) part is, all those AI technologies are derived from one AI architecture named "Transformers". Sure, current AI tech does improve on Transformers, but it's marginal on the tech. In a sense, all those AIs improvements since 2017 are marginal improvements over Transformers, not real leaps of technology. The AI engineers only increase the number of parameters the AI is capable of processing, but architecture wise, it's the same old Transformers, which created the original GPT and BERT.
When some scientists come with a new AI architecture even better than Transformers, then we'll start seeing some really scary things out there.
Damn I didn't know all that. Would there be any benefit to creating a newer architecture?
@@lavellelee5734 Yes, there is an ongoing hypothesis on whether an architecture capable of solving spatial problems is also capable of solving engineering problems. The general consensus on the hypothesis sides towards "yes". If true, such AI architecture could replace most mathematicians, engineers, accountants, programmers, scientists and inventors the same way ChatGPT might possibly replace translators, text reviewers and journalists. Current day Transformers can't do that, their accuracy is too low on complex math problems because they are, deep down, sophisticated guessing machines and not reasoning machines, despite the general feeling most of the public may have about them.
Never before could I have ever imagined Tyler Perry being mentioned on this channel.
Why do you say that?
Because you’re for ‘work’ and he’s for ‘play’. But now you got me hoping Madea does a cameo here on your channel 😉.
"It looks really realistic." I have a different take on AI videos. I find them conspicuous and annoying. When I'm in search of instructional or educational videos on a subject, and within the first minute if I sense the voice or scenes are AI generated, I immediately look for another video. Even the sample of what looks like a Japanese woman walking the streets of Tokyo, to me it looks AI. I just don't think AI is quite ripe yet.
It's not. The question is: will it ever be? Or will it be like self-driving cars where we keep getting promised them in a year or two ... for decades.
I think it can get a lot better but I'm not sure what the limit is. And there will be a limit. There is always a limit. If you aren't paying people to make things, you are paying for computers (and people to run them) and electricity to power them. There's no such thing as a free lunch.
AI-narrated videos still evoke the Uncanny Valley effect for me. I stop watching them as soon as I detect it.
Same doesn't matter the topic or how bad i need the info. As soon as i detect A.I voice i stop watching. It's getting better though and soon i fear i won't be able to detect it.
I'm thinking that there will be more people trying to get into trade work after this. If AI is taking over graphics design and other office type jobs, most people are going to be pushed to learn mechanics, carpentry or HVAC.
I tried AI generated imagery. I took a week to learn it and at the end, I couldn’t get anything I imagined in my head on the screen. As I film maker, I would not pin my hopes on AI to give me predictable results. I also filmed a corporate event recently. AI will never replace video that revolves around real people.
Does anyone have some hard data on things like... stock photo sales since AI image creators became popular, employment changes in writing jobs, etc.
I can tell you about writing jobs... last year my company fired 100+ tech writers in US. A week after they opened 100+ same positions in India...
@@Meritumas Well that's lame. So instead of AI they hired a bunch of people that write like Kermit the Frog? No wonder documentation is so bad for a lot of companies.
Outsourcing was supposed to decimate office jobs, funny how that hasn’t happened. Sure it did change the landscape for a lot of them. AI will be the same sort of thing. It’s not as if it will be free. My firm pay Microsoft to have the ChatGPT engine sandboxed in Copilot. You can’t use open source ChatGPT for company tasks and have proprietary and legally protected data leak out as it will be used as training fodder for the engine.
@@Meritumaswhat was the name of the company cuz that's just cruel
Thank you
as a VFX artist, we are totally screw up, while studios salivate with the earnings that AI will make, until people get fed up with AI, but that will take a while.
This will create unlimited content. Remember, attention is the new currency. Use it wisely.
Does it really sound so far fetched that AI will eventually will create its own reality indistinguishable from the real one?
AI can only mimic, so that's your best bet to discern the artificial from the authentic.
Nothing is real, everything is permitted?
So people need to use their critical thinking skills, the very thing that politicians and the government are trying to whittle away in citizens@@ALifeAfterLayoff
Clearly all these people pushing AI haven't seen enough Terminator or Matrix movies.
@@DallenPearson agreed. I'll worry when we start hearing about AI F35s, submarines, and battleships.
Very nice video
Computer automation took over many jobs such as switchboard operators and clerk typists. This represents definitely over a million people. When automatic cars are perfected (and there is more research to make them more accurate), kiss taxi/uber and trucker jobs bye bye!
I don't think these look real at all. Just like current CGI does not look real to me. It's too perfect. These images have no soul.
This is very frightening to me. Why bother to learn and develop a skill of any kind at all?When you can just push a button and get it? I think people should boycott all of this.
I have really been enjoying movies From the thirties forties and fifties or even a bit later. When everything depended on the cleverness of actual human beings. It looks real because it IS real. " How do they do that?" They sure didn't press a button and get results.
I am so glad i'm retired and only have a couple decades at most to live. Between AI, environmental catastrophe, and the risecof fascism all over the world, things look very grim.
I create music and play drums for fun and the art of it. When you hear me play you hear the result of study, practice and my soul. Drum machines have been around forever, and yes, the typical person doesn't care if the beat comes from a human or a machine. But, there is a portion of society that does care, and I care about pushing myself forward and the connection that making music gives me. This will never die, as I care, but the masses never really cared to begin with. What we create is not for them.
You are a rarity. A person who can retire.
I think handmade anything will be of more value in future.
Butlerian Jihad is the way my friend
You'll have nothing and love it. That's the goal
What about the other side of the coin? if no jobs, no money. If we have no money to buy what they produce then they will go down as well. The whole system may collapse. Caused by greed. I guess the only way out is to buy land and try a self-sustainable life.
Your voice puts me so much at ease, I listen in the background to calm down
Hopefully this new SORA ai puts “heartless” people and “nobodies” out of business. 😏
It sounds like Sora is going to do to Hollywood what iTunes did to the recording industry.
Agreed. And the sad part is that most folks were already saying the contracts were unfair in both industries.
Wait what did iTunes do?😅
@@lavellelee5734 Artists make significantly less money (sometimes none at all) from streaming than what they did from selling records/cds/tapes.
Huge impact.
Film crews are done.
Big bonanza for individual filmmakers/story tellers.
Thanks for sharing! Good and alarming video. I assume cameras production will crash, Sony, Nikon, Canon, etc. including post proccesing software
Give me practical effects any day of the week. Look at the Lord of The Rings trilogy vs half of the CGI extravaganzas that come out today and the proof is in the pudding in terms of quality. They are banking on audiences not caring/not being sophisticated enough to tell the difference between bad and good vfx
I doubt we’ll ever see something like the LOTR film trilogy again. It wasn’t just the quality of the practical effects but the fact that nearly everyone working on those films respected the source material and had a passion for what they were doing.
@@amicaaranearumnever seen or read it but man that sounds incredible!
So they’ve found a way to make Tyler Perry movies even worse than they already are.
🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣 I'm dead ☠ Here......🏆
Imagine all the people going for graphic design in college right now racking up all that debt.... Our government is too slow to react to changes in industries. Many will lose their careers and many will ultimately die from these changes before gov will do anything if they even do anything.
Nice SWOT analysis!
Thing about those prompts, if you need to tweak anything, good luck with it listening well/accurately. This is definitely doom and gloom, that tech has a long way to go before it reaches true editability, which matters. It's basically still just stock photo concept on steroids.
I completely agree. Writing good prompts is a skill and none of these products make anything of any length. Quality is all over the place. No one is going to fire entire departments tomorrow.
Everything is changing though and people need to start paying attention to this new stuff and start learning the appropriate new skills.
lol give it time. 2 years from now all that is possible
Good luck replacing graphic design when you have 10 different people asking for conflicting information on the same project. No way in hell it will know who to ignore and who not to. Hah
But will it be creative? Or create basically the same stuff over and over and over and over again? Then getting rid of all the artifacts....
When the tractors and machines came it weren’t a big need for horses and riders. But it was okay. Due to the more productivity there were need for people to load and unload, do accounting, some drove the tractor, some went into repairs.
This replaces the horse , the tractor, the driver, the loaders, the accountant, the shopkeeper, and soon the repairmen.
That’s okay you think, the worker will just go into town and find a new job. When he is there he notices that machines are making burgers, the receptionist at the hotel is artificial, the bank teller is a screen, the taxis drives themselves.
This is a different beast. We are outsourcing the only thing that makes most of us valueable in modern society- intelligence
I'd like to hear more content about job scams to advise my family member who is actively looking. Things are getting out of control.
You cannot even follow up with HR or a human being anymore...is anyone else experiencing this?
Yes. That is why I'm not looking for a different job right now. It was demoralizing.