What you NEED to Know Before the TOUR DE FRANCE 2024 - Predictions, Stages, Season Summary
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- Опубликовано: 22 июн 2024
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It's been a tumultuous pro cycling season so far, so with the Tour de France starting soon, I thought I would provide a summary of all of the races so far, who's on form, what storylines to follow, and what stages to watch. This year I won't be doing a daily stage update (that nearly killed me in 2023), but I'll come in for explainers, takes, summaries, and coverage as-needed.
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Your daily TdF reviews last year were awesome. You always keep things tight and smart! Very sorry you aren't giving us a couple of minutes per stage, but you know what works for you. That said, please err on the side of doing more. Your input is always some of the smartest out there!
Pogacar achieving Giro-Tour double, Cavendish winning a stage, and Bernal back on a podium. This is my dream scenario!!
There's a massive question mark hanging over JV. No one will argue with that. But one thing in his favour : he hasn't been overtraining.
If Jonas struggles, which I believe he will, I hope that Visma will quickly switch and give Mateo a legit shot at the leadership.
3rd week mountain stage where I can see Jonas will win his 3rd tdf
why would they take vingegaard to the tour if hes worse then hes domestiques
@@tobiasdencker853Because it gets more eyes on the tour and that's what the sponsors want. I don't think he isnt going to be able to perform, but whether he's winning or not, no way the sponsors wouldn't want him there
@@raymundmalig2506 Winning will be difficult for Jonas. It's not very often a rider is in the hospital for 12 days. Will be difficult to fully recover from that. Hope he does.
@@edhill8568 I still have high hopes. Looks like a warmer tour and mountain stages in week 3. Would be not favourable and conditions where Pog had lost more time. Would be exciting week 3 :)
You should do the UnChained rewatch again. Those were fun
Thank you I'll think about it. That one's a lot easier since it wouldn't have to be timely
Having just made some of my first videos… I’m impressed with how much you were able to cover in such a short video! Very info-dense. Chappeau.
good distillation of the season so far
bravo
Jonas was out of the hospital in 12 days, not 6 weeks.
That’s what I thought
hey really appreciate this. your input is very unique and different from other pundits and so it is very interesting!
I needed this, thank you
Wow! What an amazing Summary! 💯I am gasping in Amazement, 😮😮😮!
The new cut looks good! Thanks for the breakdown!
I ABSOLUTLEY love it!!!!!!
i love this, i can't wait to hear your mid-race updates. I will miss the dailies. Your audio seems blown out, by the way - no idea how to fix it.
Man I loved the daily video.
good review always enjoyed analysis back to road magazine and jelly belly days : )...ive loved cycling since childhood and tour in 89 because in states. Didnt see roche do giro-tour worlds triple but saw indurain and marco but its been 25 years I hope everyoe ejoys what they are seeing it might be once a lifetime or next year of jonas tries as well. You just never know but since l'avenir then slovenia national tt at 19 and amgen tour of california and vuelta podium tadej has never ceased to amaze me.
Hes so refreshing as he wants to win hes a racer through and through he wants to win gc only by winning stages in process like a hinault, merckx, coppi. He has amazing style, class, pinache, grinnta whatever you call it. Could see a double and cavendish stage win along with likes of VDP, wout, mads fighting for stages and primoz, remco, jonas, bernal fighting for podium or yellow if tadej struggles. Matteo should have a wonderful showig hes capable of top 10 and perhaps top 5. Really amazing collection of talent.
Agree with all of your observations : ) enjoy!!
How many watts is Pogacar losing when his tufts of hair stick out of his helmet? That can't be aero
Kuss is going to win the tour this year. I think it will go like this. Pog takes the jersey stage one and keeps it for two weeks. He will sprint for things that don't matter and burn matches he will need later. I suspect that Jumbo team is so strong they won't allow Pog to get a big gap on Kuss or Jonas. The jumbo boys crack him in week three when he finally starts to fatigue. They will pull that 1,2 punch move they pulled with Roglic and Jonas in 2022. This time, it will be Kuss and Jonas. Kuss showed us he can win a grand tour last season. Maybe Pog learned not to go out hard and try and win every stage in the off-season. Maybe Pog is so strong that he's fully recovered from the Giro. Or maybe at the giro, this lunacy was given credence it should never have had in the first place. (I'm just a fan I could easily be wrong. but if you think this is possible and enjoy placing mispriced bets, casinos have Kuss at +5,000 to win the tour.) Love your content, Phil!
Did you watch the Basque Country, Catalunya, or Dauphine? Kuss has shown next to nothing this year regarding form and has been sick. He's surely going to lose a considerable amount of time to Pogi the first couple weeks. I think he'll come into form and climb well on the Alps in the 3rd week, but that will be either in the service of Jonas or Jorg or for a breakaway stage win attempt. I am a Kuss fan btw. His form has just been brutally bad this year.
Kuss is out w/Covid
Time to update this take
@@JAB-jp6le i don’t see anyone beating Pog now. Hey maybe Matteo is better than we all think tho. He did look excellent almost winning the Dauphine
what's your take on Biniam Girmay from Intermarche? He's been training in high altitude and might score at least a stage sprint win
Nice short and concise! I'll also see you when I see you 😂
I expect we will see Phil for the first 4 days. It will be explosive
I agree that it will be the Pogacar show. 12 days in the hospital is too much with the TdF jumping right into GC stages 1 & 2.
This year will be reverse of last year. This time Pogi had a good prep and Jonas had the crash. Probably he will be good in the first week and then drop off in week 2 and 3.
I think Jumbo will ride for Kuss as the primary plan. They’ll send him up the road to “be there for JW” on the first big mountain day and he’ll keep going. They haven’t let him race hard yet this year.
With Kuss current form he probably would have a hard time to just get in that break ^^
Matteo is Plan B according to the DS. Makes sense considering her almost beat Roglic at the Dauphine. Kuss has shown no form at all this year. February he looked ok and ever since then he's been really far off. I think the best he can hope for personally is a 3rd week breakaway win like in 2021. Hopefully, he comes into form in the 3rd week as usual. However, I think Jorg will be the primary Plan B GS/Super Dome for Visma.
Sepp Kuss is not starting this TDF, he’s out from the effects of a covid-19 infection that he picked up during the TDS
Can‘t wait to see at least 4 team strategies happening at the same time. Will we see alliances or will they all be confused because it‘s not a 1 vs. 1 GC and look at each other?
excited to see how the americans fair- great talent and on some great form. Will be interesting if Jumbo lets Matteo get in any breaks, or if other teams let him. Kuss had a rough Dauphine with sickness I believe but cant count out the Eagle to be in the mix with all the climbing. McNulty and the EF boys Quinn and Powless will be fun as well!
Are you going to review Unchained again? That was a good time to watch.
Would you do a link up with Chris Horner? A fan of you both, any content together would be great!
What about Pidcocks shot at a good GC position? He survived the absolutly gnarly Crans Montana XCO-MTB-Worldcup last weekend and is heading to the tour.
Phil, where's your MERCO stage race champions jersey?
it's on that wall somewhere
What do you mean by "a GC day"? (I know what GC.)
Shout out and props for the non-doping spotlight and analysis. Takes balls (ball?) to say that right out front. 😅
you and Cosmo Catalano should do a TDF show this year. It will be great.
Do you think Tom Pidcock will target the gravel stage?
Any chance Van Aert could be podium? I heard he’s real light this year .
Watched the balance of result of ?. Can GOOGLE even spell FRANCE? BICYCLE?
Wout a favourite for the TT? Are we forgetting Jonas's amazing (and suspect) TT last year?
Pog is going to walk it unopposed.
Jonas’s plan will be to hang on to Pog as much as possible and try to ride himself into fitness - it won’t work though - Pogs whole season and training has gone to plan so he’ll be ready day 1
i want to see how Cofidis does this season on new bikes, better worse, is it placebo can't you just watt bomb the differences?
Can they beat those French colleagues of theirs on those super fast Van Rysel's 😂
@@stuartmclean3843 would be sick to see, look has the cormia wheels too so maybe something there.
They have new bikes?
@@julian3740 for the 24 season look picked up sponsorship
Vingegaard or Pogacar?
There better be an emergency explanation video if Cav wins any stage of this Tour 🤨
Stage 10 - Isn't Alaphilippe skipping this year's Tour?
Kuss isn’t doing the tour this year
Jonas 12 days in hospital - not sure where you are getting 6 weeks?
Jonas seam to have recovered more than most people had expected physically. He seams to have a super strong mental edge normally , but I doubt it will be as sharp as required to push through the Tade mind games. No podium though??
I'm sorry. My request to GOOGLE is to tell me about 2024 Tour DE France . WtF am I seeing? GOOGLE?
"Vingegaard not on podium" Famous last words.
You and Chris Horner need to do an episode together. Cycling Crossfire!
I like to be as far away from that creep as possible
@phil 😂😂😂😂
@@worstretirementever I forgot about his le dope!
I can't really understand the whole Cavendish 35th stage win obsession. It seems crazy to me that the other younger sprinters are going to allow a 39 year old who's on the slide beat them to the line (even once) at the most prestigious event of the year, and imo it would be far more interesting to see the new blood create a new era, rather than we all desperately try to keep Cavendish's glory days going.
However, to be fair, if he does win a genuinely contested stage, he deserves the record, on the basis of having the tenacity to keep plugging away for all those years in order to secure all those wins. But with him announcing his retirement at the Giro and then crashing out of the Tour in 2023, imo it was clearly a sign from the universe that it was time to say goodbye to top level cycling.
Disappointed one of the most insightful perspectives (you) isn’t doing the daily vlog…last year was excellent.
Thumbs up for the Ukrainian bar tape combo!!!🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦
Alaphilippe isn't on the start list this year
It might still be an entertaining tour if we ignore the yellow yersey, there's just no way Vingegaard is back to match a top-shape Pog, and the others have shown they weren't there by any means. The good thing in stage races is that there are so many stories to be told and subplots to be followed that might even be fun to watch day by day. Only the Eurosport social media channels will annoy the c**p out of me for a solid three weeks of Pogacar fanboying.
You're out of focus, but the background is in focus!
Wait Ben O’ Connor is doing the Tour? First I’ve heard of that
I couldn't find a complete start list (not all teams have announced yet) so not sure
I wonder for how long Vanderpool is gonna keep working for Jasper Philipsen, Vanderpool is a better rider IMHO, deserves more stages wins,
Anyone think this guy looks a bit like Mohoric?
Oconnor and Ganna arnt gonna race the tour
No way you’re using FasCat
Pogi's doping program seems to be on point this year, but we'll see if Vingenaards can hold up.
Cavendish hasn't been a world class sprinter for a Loooong time. I see jim not doing much tbh.
So I'm gathering you're not very confident in Poggi xD
1st Pog
2nd Rog
3rd Yates
Jonas abandons half way through
😂 roglic 2nd that's funny. He will crash first week
This!
Who was that clean-cut, relatively hairless young man?
please Cav just one more win pleeeasssse
I’d really like to know what doping drugs are used in today’s pro cycling.
everything i see and read is like sugar then sleep my man. hard work pays off
So edgy.
You and most of the riders, I imagine. Whatever goes on or doesn't, we seem to find out with a few years delay
epo microdosing, painkillers, diuretics, meldonium, bemitil
probably some other stuff for recovery
That will be Trapentadol to help ease those tired and ever so painfull legs, a great drug when mixed with non illegal supplements like bi-carb to buffer that lactate, plus of course those ketones, ever increasing carb per hour intake, no doubt insulin oh and those altitude camps that mask potential epo usage, all speculation of course, I wouldn't want to get sued by a Dane or a Slovenian
1st Kelderman
2nd Pogacar
3rd Roglic
It'll be interesting to see if cav ruins another riders career before retiring. #cat5cav #crashendish
Worst Tour Review Show Ever and we all want MORE episodes!!!!! Just film yourself watching it with commentary and post the raw footage. Quick and easy then you go ride up some hills real fast and we’re all happy.
Pog in yellow all tour. Snooze-fest. Guess Ill catch up on some other shows I've backlogged.
First babyyyyyy
Sup!
You get the KOC.... king of the Comments 🏆
@@DanTuber i've trainer so hard for that👑
For being a person who had to hang out with a lot of these European professionals you butchered these names way more often than other creators wow.
Why do people always point out Bastille day and never the queen stage? I am more concerned about which stage in the Queen Stage of the Tour since it is the hardest stage on the calendar. Which luckily, is that day but still should be pointed out since that is not always the case.
So much going around with WVA, the crashes, team's GC contenders getting COVID. I didn't even know that MVDP was also doing the Tour, I always thought he had the same schedule as WVA with skipping TDF for Olympics. Yeah, Jasper Philipsen is going to be a menace in the sprints with him. Hopefully Cav can sneak one in early though.
I think there will be tons of stage hunters and GC stage wins that will be interesting to see which will be fun to look back upon since you can't predict them. The one that stands out to me is Roglic can score a stage win between everything. I'd also watch out for Adam Yates with him being a double-edged sword due to being on the same team as Tadej and last year's podium finisher.
When humans become defensive they are guilty. Any person who are a fitness and health junkies knows every PRO ATHLETE are on the juice. Its part of professional sport since the Roman Gladiator days.
Your first sentence may be the stupidest thing I've ever read, congratulations.
As a clean pro athlete who knows many clean pro athletes, being explained at by a "health junkie," it's just funny how wrong you are
@@worstretirementever Like I've said when ever humans get defensive they are guilty. World history tells us that. Stop lying to the people. You act like any big corporation to make money. I'm not discrediting athletes what so ever. I respect the processes to be an elite athlete(hard work, nutrition plans, talent and mentality) but to get there you need the special juice as well. Its part of the game.
Who cares.