THE #1 RULE IN TRADING + Behavioral Bias, Narratives & CPI Market Reaction
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- Опубликовано: 15 сен 2024
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Jason shares his thoughts on post-CPI (Consumer Price Index) market reaction: stocks down, bonds crushed & dollar strong + why behavioral bias & narratives have the tv analysts losing their minds.
#trading #futures #options #bonds #stockmarket #gold #silver #forex
Getting used to your daily reports. Thank you.
Appreciate the support
Im getting used to your pooper.
This level or clarity, objectivity and reasoning is so rare amongst traders. Thanks, Jason!
and so quick
Perhaps this is cuz you’ve never worked with really GOOD traders, only the RUclipsrs.
@@indianajones3315who are good traders 😂😂😂you are?😂😂😂
Jason's fashion is far ahead of the times. Kayne is taking notes for inspo right now.
Haha
Laggard story is on point
All about getting the facts straight and telling how it is in a green hoodie like a wizard.
Love these short and informative daily reports.
Indeed! Not only they are smart and lucid, but having them in a short format shows that Jason respects us and values our time. I know many who would have taken 20 minutes to deliver the same info
Thanks Jason, brilliant as usual, appreciate your daily commentary
Thanks for the daily reports. Super helpful to learn. Thanks Jason.
People are still living in the 40 years before 2020. They'll gradually wake up.
Great to get your take on today's moves.
Great Daily view on the markets. Your insights are better than many others and It is very well felt that you are coming from a point a view of a very experienced "hands on" trader. Great call on rates. I get that you have a service for actual trades but it would be great if you could comment on some of the COTs that you show in the videos. Maybe in extreme situations. Many thanks again!👋
Jason nails it every day. It’s such a great mental approach to the game. I really appreciate his emphasis on discipline .
Very useful insightful commentary, thanks.
Very good, greetings from the Netherlands
Great chat 🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉
👍Thanks. Neat, direct and packed powerful. 👍
Thank you Jason for posting these daily, great analysis
Number 1 yo 😊
Thank you Jason! Please keep doing these market recap videos everyday! Awesome work!
Nice video ❤
Thank You
Thanks for sharing every day new video, thanks so much helpful to new traders
Indeed, it would make no sense to cut rates; they are not high enough. The only argument that makes cutting rates logical is the national debt: the only way to service that debt is to lower rates or print the dollar to oblivion (which will end up happening regardless)
I was mildly short going into this, and you're absolutely right, it was nauseatingly difficult to do. I'm not surprised the metals didn't tank - the pat answer is that geopolitical risk hasn't declined, but I think it also reflects a Fed losing credibility and also power. Keeping financial conditions just slightly too easy is probably the most damaging stance that the Fed can take with respect to the national debt, and gold is still the reserve-reserve.
Truly appreciated Jason. Thanks man.
I don't trade narratives, just charts using EW. However, I am really enjoying your perspectives. Long metals/miners, commodities, select utilites, and energy. Everything else has topped or is in the process of topping.
Laggards buy laggards 😮
Would love to hear more currency related stuff!
Love the videos. Very good!
WOW, for me one of the best videos so far!! ❤
Thank you
Thank you Jason!
Thank you for making these videos.
Great
Your way of thinking about everyone who bought the fed day is now out of the money is amazing to me.
Thanks a lot for sharing your knowledge and thoughts.
I prefer to trade options instead of futures, although I do trade these big events with NQ, but these constant days where the moves happen overnight and then sideways chop all day is really annoying.
Gold....not the metal, the content. Cheers
I love the hello greeting 'hallo" on each of these vids Jason. Hallo to u too brother❤❤
Keep doing these quick daily updates!
Yup rate hikes needed
Speaking of chasing laggards, jpy looks like getting ready for a massive short squeeze. I nibbled a little. I looked at the Cot reports and commercials are positioned mostly long (75%), while non-commercials are 78% short. Volume was decent. You got me tuned into the cot reports, but I am not quite yet sure how to determine extreme conditions. Can you please comment? Thank you and I love your daily recaps.
best i can say is its part science and part art. but no matter what the COT read is, you have to wait for market confirmation before doing anything. COT can stay crowded, and can always get more crowded too
thanks!
i agree, cutting rate this year seems not gonna happen, is gonna be beat down stock indexes? is hard to tell, we still have couple month to end 2024
Powell said on his first rate hike he wanted to inflict as pain as possible.... It has taken a while but maybe he gets back on track
Behavioral bias is so powerful
I think most traders at some point have made the "buy the laggard" mistake. I have.
A lot of people are thinking that Shelter inflation (which has huge lags) is going to come off over the course of the next 1-2 quarters and that will be hugely disinflationary in terms of the number. Not my take, but what I've heard so far.
Hey Jase, you've basically been the only one I've heard that says rates should go higher. I've never believed we'd get 6 rate cuts this year and still don't see the need for the 1 or 2 markets are still predicting.
Assuming no rate cuts or possibly a raise, where do you see the S&P going from here?
I'm thinking a correction to the 50 DMA almost immediately and to the 200 DMA over coming months.
Be interesting to see if the "buy the dip" crowd come back in this week.
I know nothing about trading /investment and l'm keen on getting started. What are some strategies to get started with?
As a beginner, it's essential for you to have a mentor to keep you accountable. I'm guided
by a widely known crypto
consultant
Mrs Julie Huff Williams
This is correct, Julie's strategy has normalized winning trades for me also and it’s a huge milestone for me looking back to how it all started..
Please do you mind sharing any means of reaching out to her easily?
She's mostly on Telegram, using the username.
This current market cycle we're in does have a tendency to adjust very quickly. So nothing will surprise me at this point. But I am short. Hard not to be.
dang. i need that COT indicator
think they have it available on Jasons website
Where is Jason coming up with rates NOT getting cut? Odds of a rate cut are near 70% June or earlier and CPI didn’t change it
While you had to do a deep dive, shorting DAL's strong earnings report this morning made you money.
Next move is up
bitcoin dumped a bit then rallied higher then it opened at by around 1k, can you explain why?, If CPI went up higher then expected, why didnt it go up?
don't you find it surprising that equities reaction is so mild today?
Some guy on CNBC calling IWM Russell will do a 50% return in 2024 lol
Were in the move the market just enough to steal the option $ from newbie environment
is the COT data your using in tradingview a free indicator or is it something private
it was made by cmr and is available to all cmr members
Jason what’s the name of your cta if it’s open for investment ?
it is not open unfortunately
On todays episode of where will Jasons head be in the frame... :)
❤❤❤✝️✝️✝️
DropComment &TapLike 4AIgoz
Is it my impression, or you have been buying new recording gear? Quality microphone - Check, Video quality - check, good lighting - check, top-class market analysis - check.
we listen to viewers comments and try to improve as we go. input always appreciated
Biden said rates will go down so it should.
Hahaha, yeah sure. I'm expecting the market to go down a lot before the Democratic convention in August, because there needs to be a pretext for Biden to exit the race. I just don't think anyone really wants another 4 years of the stiff, ice-cream cone eating mafioso.
👍👍
I enjoy the videos but I wish he would stop saying "right" every 10 seconds