How large is the discontent among Russia's political and security elite? | Conflict Zone
HTML-код
- Опубликовано: 26 июн 2024
- There are signs of growing discontent among the political and security elite in Moscow, as the war in Ukraine failed to give Russia the quick victory it wanted.
A small group of investigative journalists has managed to pierce the veil of secrecy around those officials.
Among them, Andrei Soldatov, founder and editor of the Agentura website which tracks Russia’s intelligence services.
In this week’s Conflict Zone, Soldatov tells host Tim Sebastian he doesn’t believe Russian President Vladimir Putin can survive the war in the long term.
“People inside (the security services) are really not happy with the way the war is going. And they blame just one guy - Vladimir Putin - for that,” he says.
Conflict Zone is Deutsche Welle's top political interview.
Every week, our hosts Tim Sebastian and Sarah Kelly are face to face with global decision-makers, seeking straight answers to straight questions, putting the spotlight on controversial issues and calling the powerful to account.
Subscribe: ruclips.net/user/deutsche...
For more news go to: www.dw.com/en/
Follow DW on social media:
►Facebook: / deutschewellenews
►Twitter: / dwnews
►Instagram: / dw_stories
#Putin #Russia #dwZone
These longer-form interviews are so helpful for gaining an understanding of what's happening. A lot of American news outlets tend to cut these interviews into 3-5 minute rapid-fire segments. This is a breath of fresh air!
It's just as leading as American tv though. The way the questions were worded - you know when a question is leading because it takes more than one sentence to ask. The interviewer even slightly interrupted trying to lead the answers a few times. It was brutal.
I agree. Of course TV stations dont have time to cover everything in huge detail in a 30 minute news session where they want to include all the biggest stories from the world - but it would be great if they did longer interviews, and used a "cut" version on TV, and uploaded both "cut" and "uncut" versions on YT...
that is because US people maximum attention span is so small.
wanted to say the same..you did already!
:)
@@katharinaopel5989 Wait,what? That's also ItalianTV, Spanish TV, Greek TV, Turkish TV, all aping the USA TV style.
"These relatives, theses mothers, they’re mostly worried about their sons, but they are not worried about what their sons are doing in Ukraine. There is this astonishing lack of sympathy for the Ukrainians.” THANK YOU for saying this, dear Andrej.
I was amazed at this response, thank you for posting his words.
@@arkaprabhamazumder2694 killing innocents?
@@pin00ch no body is innocent. Everybody is well aware of the double standards and policies of West.And the people of the country only elected them so nobody is innocent.
They will only care after they are charged a thousand roubles for the body bag...
@@arkaprabhamazumder2694 sure, Vlad.
Have to say, the quality of DW's analysis and journalism as a whole is beating the major English-language networks by some margin recently.
Agreed. Since the Trump administration and pandemic I've relied on DW News for trusted information and analysis. Obviously they are not completely unbiased but I share their biases, namely pro-democracy.
For sure. I rarely listen to CNN anymore.
I agreed.Germans have interesting point of view...
@@evamarek5205 American cable TV programming in general is very trash.
Brit hosting the show and German television make a good match ... ;)
I have watched nearly 100 interviews about the War in Ukraine and this by far is the BEST ONE! The most informative. Hello from Canada.
I've read a lot of comments.. and they are all raving about DW. This is my first exposure to this program. And your comment has caused me to actually subscribe. So thanks.
Edit: so evidently my memory is getting bad. After leaving you my message, I went to subscribe and to my surprise, I already had!
DW has a more global viewpoint than North American news.
This guy is more articulate and gives a better interview than many people that have English as their first language.
Tim Sebastian (born 13 March 1952) is a television journalist and novelist. He is the moderator of Conflict Zone and The New Arab Debates, broadcast on Deutsche Welle. He previously worked for the BBC, where he hosted The Doha Debates and was the first presenter of HARDtalk. He also presented ...See more
The topic matters to Europeans. He probably doesn't write all the questions. Good team.
I suggest people rather take a listen to Glenn Diesen, a Norwegian professor, on Duran.
@@johnwhitehurst474 Tim Sebastian has English as a first language though, which means the op was most likely talking about the interviewee.
He is English... This is his first language. Still more articulate than most of the UK media though.
Russia has lost all credibility on the world stage. Threatening nuclear war just makes them even more pathetic.
I used to think they had the 2nd best army but they’ve shown that there the 2nd best army in Ukraine only , all he’s got is nuclear threats , he would have no chance against a real western army
Totally
It sure has, and it is really depressing. Praying for the Russian people to open their eyes and see Putin for what he really is. Ultimately, it is they who must make the needed changes in their own country.
@@mjkrbjcw they're constant Nuclear Threats against NATO shows that they know without that they know they'd get crushed by NATO and it also shows that Putin is lying when he says he's afraid of NATO invading them when he knows NATO won't start a Nuclear War.
@@mjkrbjcw I totally agree, and as an American "Baby Boomer" growing up with that Soviet threat hanging over my head, it is astonishing to see how absurdly pathetic of a fighting force they actually are. It shocks me. By contrast, British and American armed services are formidable and professional.
This interview should and will be kept for historians. Objectivity analysis at its most. Amazing.
You might enjoy some of Peter Zeihan's recent videos.
And for comedy shows as well. I can only envy how much money they pay the guy for that kind of nonsense. I wish they invited me. I am ready to tell stories and give deeper insight into Putin’s mind.
Sperando che ci saranno ancora gli storici e qualcuno a cui raccontarla
I wouldn't be surprised or offended if no one at DW cared, but I think you folks did a fantastic job! Intelligent questions asked at a sharp pace to a knowledgeable guest: great work! Thanks!
And the host doesn't interrupt! Brilliant. Shame that guy will be poisoned now....
Agree, I found them by mistake but definitely a premium news source but like the way the BBC used to be like.
"I accidentally broke into your house, destroyed most of your belongings and killed your family. All I wanted was the parking area between our properties. My bad. I'll just take that parking spot and be on my way."
And this is the uptenth time you done it,remember ur previous victims: Georgia,Chechnya,Crimea,Donbass?.
But I siezed all your assets and trashed your credit history. And you appear to be missing all of one arm and half a leg. And your wife is filing for divorce. Good day to you.
All true except "my bad"
@@danielverwey7980 or, "accidentally".
You understand geopolitics very well.
Ever thought of going into the diplomatic corps?
Andrei Soldatov is a great interview, and at the skillful hands of Tim Sebastian you have a powerful investigative piece with piercing questions and thoughtful responses, both backed by intelligent and very experienced minds. Thank you for posting this !!
So glad I found this channel,, from Canada.
Totally agree. I could not have said it better. Also from Canada.
Agreed, it was a very professional and informative interview on both sides. From Ireland. :)
I also really enjoyed this interview and I'm also from Canada 🇨🇦
DW is the Best....I would listen to them on shortwave before internet days....
Completely agree. There's nothing like this in the UK anymore.
Sometimes I find Tim Sebastian a bit abrasive as an interviewer but he has been spot on during the war in Ukraine. Conflict Zone has had some of the best analysis of the conflict I have come across from any news service. Well done DW
He doesn't let people finish answering his questions. Tim < Sarah.
Brilliant interview. Mr. Soldatov offers insight on the Kremlin and the Russian population that I hadn't heard before.
I'm grateful to hear an interview that doesn't include the usual optimistic tone of questions surrounding the peace talks or lack of advancement from Russian troops on the northern front.
Frankly, the more I heard Mr. Soldatov speak, the less hopeful I became, but I thank both parties for their candor and value the information offered.
@Lina Moreno-Goldstein
I agree with you!
You will hear many propoganda news from NATO/America. Another name is lies. Iraq was a lie. The Russia collusion Russia Russia collusion organised by American top people FBI all all departments all were lies proven in court. You still believe American trickery. They are responsable for weaponising Ukraine and killing the citizens.
I liked the last sentence best. Q: Can Putin survive this? A: I don't think so.
"the usual optimistic tone of questions surrounding the peace talks"
Yeah, like the Budapest Memorandum held the bastards back, right? There is absolutely no point to peace talks. I was amazed that Ukrainian grain ships were getting through until I looked at what this "gift to the world" does for Russia. To Russia, it is always Russia, and nothing else that matters. There is benefit to Russia to allow that grain out, as well. Shocker.
Russia has lost 7-8 generals so far, and even more colonels, in a one month. Finland lost in two wars against invading Russia, over a five years period, only one general.
Russia has lost about 540 generals and 34 629 colonels in a month . Dont make it a joke.
@@alru4407 nonsense
@@TheonlyJohnMorris come find out for your self if our army is a joke.. we’ll give you a run for your money.. this time where much better equipped.
Russia tried in WW2 and ended up with 450.00 dead and > 550.000 wounded, total casualties >1 miljon.. 😉
@@alru4407 what universe are you from, is it synced with our timeline?
When will Finland see the light and join the NATO alliance ?
Most comprehensive analysis available to the general population. Thank you for these insights.
The dubstep is a bit much though...
Brilliant analysis by Mr. Soldatov. As others have said; this interview is worth 20x sound bite news clips in terms of indepth understanding and insider perspective. Thank you! And it's crushing to realize what the Russian and Ukrainian people have been committed to by one amoral person.
Он делает все правильно, согласно международным конвенциям и соглашениям. Есть правила. Путин не нарушил ни одно из них, в отличие от Зеленского.
@@olgakoschkina938 Yeah right, you keep telling yourself that. Either you are in deep denial or you are just as repugnant as your supreme leader. Either way, you are f'd in the head! Unilateral decisions are not agreements, by the way.
@@olgakoschkina938 your comments are a joke for people like you 🙄
The lack of sympathy is worrying. It's not what we hoped. And you have a bot😣
Yes, and no.
You could hear what he said about Russian people/mothers if you listened to him carefully. Do not get delusional. Russians are paranoid megalomaniacs, and that didn't start with Putin, not even with Stalin.
This is a much older issue that most analytics are decently silent about since they very probably have no idea about it.
History didn't start when it fits our narrative. Issues are old and carried in the national memory via generations, only modified by the natural changes.
So, it's not about only one amoral person. I am glad the West media already distinguish between Putin and the Russian citizens; that's very positive.
Russians indeed are brainwashed, but some of them, regardless of this strong and regular brainwashing didn't lose their moral compass. Many other Russians did. Otherwise, it's not possible that mothers are concerned about their sons but not what they are doing in Ukraine...
Russia is a state with a very complex history (and also future!), which is very complicated to change unless they don't want to face their own mistakes.
And intelligent, honest, and pro-democratic Russians would confirm how they (Russians) hate being criticized by out-of-nation critics. They feel ashamed of that.
When you compare it with MAGA Trumpers, you can get the feeling.
They are some strong associations over there, e.g., you cannot try to convince Trumpers about their wrong thinking via logical arguments. That doesn't appeal to them, and they will not react positively to such suggestions, no matter how truthful the ideas/facts are.
Fantastic interview. Andrei laid out a true picture of what is unfolding...without all the overhyped main media outlets of the west.
Discontent? Putin has gone full Stalin. Anyone who is discontent will encounter an unfortunate end -- fall out of a tall building, heart attack, auto accident, suicide, etc.
Right? The greeting they never want to hear: "Let me introduce you to my two friends Nova and Chuck."
@@RechargeableLithium lol. Well played, sir, well played.
Seems that Sam and Ella were invited to the nosh at a peace conference too.
@@dougaltolan3017 The folks that attended today's meeting were instructed to not only not eat or drink, but also couldn't touch surfaces during the meeting. May we live in interesting times...
They all will die because of COVID :)), covid helps PUTIN take anyone out with virus causes ;).
Props to Andrej Soldatow, a very analytic and accurat journalist. He risk his life to give us an inside perspective of the circle arround the russian gouverment, amoung all this pressure and war. HE DESERVES THE NEXT PULITZER PRICE!
You need to be able to show your information is credible to be a respectable journalist. There is no evidence of this in Soldatov case. Please share such if you managed to find them. He is acting on information likely fed by western agencies.
I am full of admiration for this Russian journalist. Most comprehensive synopsis of what’s going on.
One of the most realistic briefings from someone with insider info. And exactly what I expected: No popular domestic sentiment against. No insiders looking to oust Putin. It’s simply people looking out for their own necks rather than this romantic idea of individuals saying “this has gone too far, we need to remove this guy.”
Really hard to judge the verasity of these so-called ´insiders´. For example he dismises the chance of a military mutiny stating that they simply don´t conspire against the leadership, however, I think there is contemporary evidence from the time of Yeltsin to show that it is not completely true because the military did stand down when the people went onto the streets to prevent the Communist Party reasserting control over the Russian parliament. I think Russian people can remember that.
Putin is filled with innocent blood of Ukraine family n also his own young deceived boys n their mothers
Putin made sure that there is no sizeable, capable opposition anywhere.
Russians mostly oppose the war, but when Putin decides a 'special operation' in necessary they will always back him. It's like it's a job that is necessary for Russias future. The insiders believe their own propoganda, that's why it's so easy to convince the country. Your right, the insiders will think life has been good for them, there is no reason to doubt Putin. What's more surprising is ordinary Russians have no real exposure to any access of news of the war, so much so they struggle to have an opinion of it or understand it.
@@Yutani_Crayven I think Navalny’s strategy of getting arrested and becoming a Mandela type figure was a terrible calculation.
Mr. Soldatov is very astute and informative on this murky subject. Mr. Sebastian is a great interviewer as well. DW is the BEST - In the US, sadly, it can be difficult to find objective reporting....
NPR invites republicans, democrats, and independents for interviews.there’s never any emotional reporting there.
Exactly the way I feel John. Us news gives you 5 minutes to try get any sense of what's really going on. This is where I get my news now.
@@haroldbell213 This shows the value of Public Service broadcasting which is independent of government and commercial interest.
@@mikeoglen6848 not independent of socialist loving foundations like the Ford and Rockefeller Foundations.
@@JDAbelRN At least not all media are right wing, then?
“I don’t think so” what a beautifully short answer. Well done. You always have the best interviews 👏
Yes the whole video was so worth watching for just that simple answer "I don't think so" brilliant!
Yeltsin survived the Russian defeat in the First Chechen War in 1996.
It was very briefly
With all due respect,..... I really don`t understand how he comes to this conclusion.
He talks for more than 20 minutes about the system of fear, supression and and dependance putin created, describes it as very stable and shifts drastically in the last few moments of the interview....
@@filou89 Yes, a system set up to preserve the system and him, V V Pootin! But all it takes, and he knows it, is one subordinate to be prepared to sarifice themselves(and family?) and bump him off. He sits at the end of that long table in recognition of that fact; I bet he also wears a bullitproof vest !
Love this guy. His name should be Mr "Russia in 30 minutes or less". The way he breaks things down, love it.
One of my Russian friends said it's emotionally impossible for the Russian population to accept they are not on the right side now after so many sacrifices during World War II.
This is one of the points that Western Europeans don't seem to understand when pointing out casualty figures, the Soviet Union totalled roughly half of ALL the causalities in that war, Germans included !
I also find that Russians find it hard to understand that ex Soviet Bloc countries seek protection from renewed Russian occupation, Poland being a prime example ("Oh, but they love us !"), hence the belief that they were coerced into joining NATO.
Never even considered this thank you
@@JamesC785 well a lot of the casualties were from ukrainians which was part of thhe soviet union. so…
@@bullpup1337 The majority I believe :(
Thanks DW for doing a broadcast in English. It is so valuable for Americans to be able to get other perspectives from around the world.
Yeah. The difference in quality between American and European journalism is crazy. I can't even sit through 10 minutes of fox without turning off the tv
@@benharris3100 Comes more down to the difference between public broadcasting and private broadcasting. NPR has very nice stuff, and so does PBS. But these extremly partisan news channels are a really american thing lol
@@benharris3100 the American journalist does not do news, they are nothing more than loudspeakers that play the same message every week.
@@functhefucc5798 Unfortunately. Personally, I think it’s just fine to have a political bias in a news outlet but their sourcing must be 100% verifiable.
@@functhefucc5798 NPR and PBS are not 100% perfect, but generally, they seem to be more mature in their approach to news coverage.
Very interesting indeed. It became clear to me during this interview that we in the West are full of wishful thinking because we don't know how Russian society works.
Honestly,, it's hard to discern what Russian people think because so much of their society and nation are shrouded in such secrecy, as an American I hold no hatred or I'll will towards anyone that is of Russian discent, However I can't say the same of their Leader
Although, speak for yourself. Amateur Kremlinologists such as myself know this stuff pretty well
I don't even think Russian people really know, because everyone is scared the government is always listening, so they cannot be honest.
Thank you for letting your guest talk and answer questions completely and with all relevant information! I am so sick of interviewers who invite people on and then cut them off without allowing them to completely answer their questions! No American media seem to know how to do this or just care more about having someone on to interview without caring about what their guest actually has to contribute. So Frustrating!!
He literally cut Andrei off half a dozen times. Did you even watch it?
[25 Minutes] "...Can Putin, in the long term, survive this, do you think?" Answer: [long pause, after numerous answers of brutal honesty] "I don't think so." I better understand the situation in Russia thanks to his eloquence. Thank you.
Thank you for your show, Tim!!! Keep the programming coming, sir!!! The world needed to hear your program today. Thank you!!!
Sarah > Tim
My favorite journalist of all time. Tim always asking tough questions..
I’ve only watched this fellow since the beginning of the Ukraine War, but, yeah, he’s impressive!
I am really impressed. He was there to do an interview, not "have a conversation."
But look, I've seen a couple of his episodes. There's a thin line between 'tough' and offensive.
@@janalu4067 Indeed. "Conflict Zone" is not for those easily offended. And I'm glad it is that way.
@@harmless6813 we tend to like the Piers Morgans of the world. I don't like what that implies about us. I have seen determined investigative journalists do great work and ask tough questions with grace and respect.
Ceausescu did the same thing in Romania with those around him and suddenly in three days everything changed and he was executed.
My family and I were discussing the lack of credible and reliable news agencies in the United States in 2022. I shared that I’ve been tuning in to DW on RUclips in order to get an unbiased viewpoint on the Russo-Ukrainian war.
Vice also has some good ones. Remember there is always subconcious bias though. But yes DW is classically German, efficient, accurate and precise.
Al Jazeera is not terrible either, pretty fair minded, at least outside their middle East reporting.
no one real is talking a korean style partition . thats the biggest nonsense so far. ukraine is not going to quit until they have all their land back. all of it even what was stolen 8 years ago.
It's what will happen - the powerful nations always partition the smaller foe - witness Ireland, Cyprus and India - there will be a 'Balkanisation' of Russia with many small 'Replublics' appearing
@@Vegan123 not any more because of defensive weapon now. the world needs to unite against war by anyone . its the only cure. all against the invader. it would work so well.
@@Vegan123 smaller nations protected by the whole. it works . the power in numbers could end war .
Theres a state in Russia that is refusing to share sugar stores with other states. The breakaway Russian states have already started; let the sugar civil war begin!
When does Gerhard Schroeder lose his pensions and benefits due to his refusal to quit his Russian energy sector jobs? When does he denounce Putin and Russia's actions so there is no question as to his allegiance? Deutschland has some tough choices to keep on making
There are no doubts about his allegiance. Sadly so.
Once more Germany hangs it's head in shame.
Well unless he is doing something illegal, then depriving his pensions and benefits wont and should not happen. Do you think he is breaking laws or do you think what he is doing should be illegal? If he has broken current laws then he should be charged and have a trial and a proper punishment should be given. If you think he has not broken current laws, but what he is doing should be illegal then it is another matter and process and Schroder can continue working for Russian energy section as long as the law allows it. Moral questions are another thing.
Gerhard Schröder Aka the putin puppet is a total disgrace for any German. He once said putin is a "perfect democrat" and not even ironically. Since that statement 15 years ago i loath this MF.
@@SorbusAucubaria it is rare to find fellow thinkers on the Internet. Does Mr. Schroeder's jobs and activities lend some degree of credibility to Russia, to Mad Vlad? Was he not critical in the choices which led directly to Germany's dependence on Russian gas and oil? These seem traitorous and seditious, whether he only thought of it as his own enrichment without regard for the expense of German energy security interests or not. Ignorance should not excuse him. I'm a Yankee though and am ignorant toward German laws on the matter. I doubt our own politicians would indulge any such actions, because then they would have to prosecute nearly all of their "friends", and themselves
Excellent interview. Depressing though. The depth of Putin's grip on russia seems insurmountable, and the guest's knowledge of how things are arranged in russia makes it apparent only strong success on the battlefield will work. It will take years for Germany and Europe to get off russian fossel fuels, and current sanctions are not going to be nearly enough pressure with Europe buying russin oil, and India, china and other countries having no issues trading at some level. Unless NATO provides Ukraine medium and long-ranged weopnry and aircraft to strike back I don't see how this ends well.
If the west can keep supplying Ukraine with the weapons it needs they will win as Russia will not be able to maintain the same level of resupply. Then the knives will come out for Putin. The tragedy is all the death and destruction that has been caused for nothing, hopefully Russia will be made to pay for the reconstruction of Ukraines towns and cities
My fears exactly
Yeah. It was just brutally honest
Tim Sebastian is a top notch reporter. i remember his time with BBC world when he was reporting from Warsaw in the days of Solidarity and Lec Walenski in old Communist Poland.....
Sarah Kelly is better.
Good interview. The interviewer asked all the questions I had...
I can't see them reaching a peace agreement..puttin wants that land just hope puttin gets what he deserves...karma some one needs to knock him off his perch..he has broken enough war rules and nobody says nothing when will this madness end
Et too IVAN
Unfortunately not before Russia’s deployment of tactical nuclear weapons just to reassert itself. Consider that a real possibility
@@oblivionzzzmike yes, but a tactical nuke has no plausible deniability, so maybe Putin would risk losing the support of China, because the Chinese would be concerned about their trade with the west if they continued to actively support and trade with Putin after an atrocity that couldn’t be hidden as a false flag operation.
Really wish the host wouldn't interrupt Soldatov when he is speaking. Multiple times he seems to be setting up his answer to the question with context or detail and the host just buts in and asks another question - usually the point I feel like Soldatov was just about to get to. I get there's limited time but damn it's really jarring.
What a fantastic and informative interview! Super journalism from both sides - with good questions and good answers! Thank for making us wiser about the current situation in Russia.
An EXCELLENT and EXCEEDINGLY insightful interview. Thank you both very much.
I agree with you.
Amazing interview.. with a guest who knows more than most others.
Thanks to everyone who put this program together. It was very helpful to me to try to make some sense of the pudding that Putin and his band of cut-throats have made of whatever it was that they were trying to do to the Ukraine 🇺🇦. Sadly, after what we have witnessed in recent days I fear that the unforgivable bestiality that has sent civilised people everywhere reeling backwards in horror has probably also demolished any hope for meaningful negotiations since where can we find a common ethical and moral foundation to build upon? In other words, what would we talk about?
DW News has become my primary source for up to date accurate news.
I live in the USA and can't trust any major news network in America. Thank you DW News team!
Paranoid Putin reminds me of the typical Bond villain - like Stromberg - in the way he sits in a grandeous setting at the end of a long table (or even a separate desk) with his minions metres away so they have to raise their voices to be heard. Truth is stranger than fiction, but fiction got there first.
“Fiction is the truth inside the lie.”
-I first caught this from Stephen King’s dedication to his children, if I recall correctly, from _It…_
Perhaps he was trying to deal with two things at one time, send minorities and poor in to rid Russia of them and deal with Ukraine.
Does he (Putin) have a white Persian cat? The question that was not answered.
He kinda reminds me of the bad guys from "Weekend at Bernie's."
I think the most plausible theory for him being so far away from his minions at the conference table is because of the poisons they've developed. They don't have to be ingested and can be delivered very covertly by being within a mere meter of the target.
DW you are doing fantastic politics..i was admirer of your professionalism...
I have never watched any DW News but I have to say, it was very thorough, informative and straight to the point. No partisan issues, just questions everyone is thinking. Am a subscriber now. Thanks 😊
Please can you bring Tim more often on conflict zone
Good interview. Although a lot of other Kremlin experts differ on the view about Putin being replaced. Putin has done such a thorough job of 'eliminating' potential rivals and creating a Putin-Centric narrative, that were Putin to leave, there would be absolute chaos. Such squabbling between many would normally be resolved by forming power sharing alliances. However, Russia's political history has no precedent for anything other than a strong central figure.
@Damo when it all calms down he will retire, be retired, or killed. The security services he trust are bought. For 50 million a piece four “loyal” men will erase him. For the same reason President Biden had to “transfer” many SS because their loyalty could not be assured.
By similar logic I've heard China likes to be communist, historically, and always will be? It depends on your view of history.
No guarantees that losing Putin would gain Russia anything but another despot. The oligarchs didn't want Navalny either. There's little stomach for assuming Putin's position, however; they had something close to actual elections not so long ago. One can only hope!
yes I agree with most but Russia is much different than during the 90's similar to Ukraine being different. I see Russia as having many competent and worldly figures capable of leading the nation. The biggest problem is that some people in society fear democracy and egalitarian leaders. There are nightmarish figures like Medvedev but also nice people. As Soldatov states, there are many security apparatus around the fortification of Kremlin power.
Closest parallel would be Stalins death.
Mr Putin.....You can Only Be "King Of The Mountain" As Long As Those Below You Allow You To Be.........The Real Power Is In Those Below Putin
Yeah but they lack the collective mindset to do anything about it...in the interview, he said the people in Kremlin are all thinking bout their individual selves...
Good on you DW for getting a contact interview with real knowledge and contacts. Americans should listen to this, not themselves.
I prefer Sarah Kelly.
Thank you for this great interview from a really knowledgeable source about the Russian way of thinking.
Great insight. For Putin to draft military from small towns to avoid protests is on another level. I feel bad for the Russian people. They are totally repressed and will not respond to the call that the rest of the world wants them to. This is bad.
If the rest of the world tells you to die for their benefit would you do so?
Michael Rae There is no need to feel bad for the Russian People ,They allowed Putin to get where he is now and that makes them responsible.
The only hope is that Russian economy will not be able to continue to support the war efforts, faster than the West is willing to keep these sanctions.
@@hans895 Putin opponents the Russian people favor are poisoned, murdered or in prison! Putin has a stronghold on average Russian people, and a inner circle that enables him. Do every day Russians have enough power and influence to choose their leader? At the Putin rally it looked like he is admired by many. Its difficult to process, that a large population of Russian people have no moral conscience or sence of human decency.
Putler must go by any means. For Russia and the world.
I really don`t understand how he comes to his concluison that Putin "won`t survive this".
He talks for more than 20 minutes about the system of fear, supression and and dependance putin created, describes it as very stable and shifts drastically in the last few moments of the interview....
Is it really that hard to understand that while he doesn't believe a coup will have within months, that these events may come to bite him 5 years from now?
Excellent journalistic work!
Like many of you, I watched the events unfolding in eastern Europe overnight with deep concern for the people of Ukraine, as well as a growing anger at this affront to peace and order on the international stage. An unprovoked attack on a sovereign nation is a troubling development, the likes of which we have not seen in generations; we likely have not yet seen the worst human consequences of this act of brutality.
Such bollocks 😂 Iraq Syria Afghanistan Libya
@@piked261 Panama 1989, Grenada, . Happens all the time and the world condemns it. But those events were done by the US where International Law does not apply.
When Americans pay boot to write for them😂😂😂
@@piked261 Your WHATABOUTISM only makes your agenda seem more desperate & pathetic ;o)
@@tihomirvuckovic4664 Putin hasn't suspended you from RUclips??
There appears to be little hope for Russia and the Russian people. We are seeing a return to the ways of Stalin under Putin so sad. There was a chance . I hope there will be another.
It is so so sad for those Russians who have tried against the odds and been crushed. The best that can be achieved is that the West continues to supply ukraine with the weaponry to defend itself and cause such wreckage to their forces that never again can russia engage in this appallingness. I get the refusal over a no fly zone. But please provide systems that will destroy MIGS before they destroy civilians and provide shore to ship missiles before they can launch their cruise missiles.
@@richardstone3473 their economy needs to be obliterated so they can't afford a modern army.
Not until they reform their governmental structures so it cant become a totalitarian state ever again.
In truth, part of it is the fault of the Wall Street financial elites that instead of helping Russias fledgling democracy in the 1990s took advantage of them and even tried to take over Russia’s banking system. At the beginning Putin was actually the savior of Russia and kicked out the Wall Street bankers and their rape of Russias economy. But, he transformed into a monster with every passing decade. Now the Russian people need to get rid of him.
@@RazorMouth the only way to obliterate an economy is by nuclear bombing the entire country so no infrastructure remains. If a country turns into an autarky and turns its back on the rest of the world then sanctions become essentially useless
There is always hope
great interview. Ends on a positive note too. 'Can Putin survive this in the longer term?' 'I don't think so'.
Im glad i found this interview i listend to his last interview and im stuck on him so good the people in the field can not get the depth that this man goes too .
Military experts should follow the way of Ukraine warriors civil fighters who without much arsenal kept giant putin stalled.bravery is incomparable.
lol that made me laugh, unleashing military experts on the battlefield! Not sure a bunch of doddering old retired generals would have much effect though
Wow! I wish we had this kind of reporting in the United States.
This crazy guy from the States agrees!
What? Please Just Stop...
I’ve switched over to this comrade!!🇺🇸
@@detroitoneness6237 Comrade?? Are you with the communists?
PBS NewsHour used to be like this but they've gone downhill. Even CNN in the late 80's was pretty good. Now it's pathetic.
A superbly informative interview. We need more much more of this clear and incisive reporting.
This is the news and questions we all deserve to hear.
I'm sure there is a Lavrentiy Beria in the background somewhere and Putin's time on earth is now limited. He will "dissappear" (untimely death, retirement?) in the classic Soviet sense. Fitting for a man who is so nostalgic about the USSR.
Same, can't stop thinking " Beria", thanks for posting !
maybe, maybe not, but to be realistic, the answar is most probably not. Not at this time!
Putin is the current edition of Beria's pattern...
Putin loves the Soviet Union and its effective retirement programs.
Beria was killed in a show trial by General Zhukov’s men under Kruschev’s orders.
" Every second Russian has relatives in Ukraine. " This is a Civil War.
well, or a war for independence.
I recommend watching Fronline’s: The Putin Files which includes a longer interview with Andrew Soldatov.
Thank you Tim .🌷
Glory to Ukraine! 🇺🇦 Ask Russian people why countries join NATO if Russia/USSR is so friendly and wonderful?
Ask Pootin why Russian 🇷🇺 people can't talk about the 'special operation' inside Ukraine? Is there something they are worried about? Is it inconvenient for them to have other opinions in the public arena that are not his (Pootin's)?
Thank you for this very informative interview. Journalism at its best!
Nice interview 👏. The right questions from the interviewer and the Russian journalist answered it honestly 👌
"The last time the Russian army tried to have a coup d'etat was in the 19th century?"
I distinctly remember an attempted coup in the '90s against Gorbechev. Yes, it's relevant that it failed, but it does suggest that coups are not as foreign of a concept to the Russian Army as suggested here.
Further, this journalist spends most of the interview talking about why there's no opposition to Putin, and really no room for a palace conspiracy to form to remove him, then concludes saying that Putin can't survive this in the long run. And I'm finding that a very confusing contradiction.
It wasn't the Army that tried it - it was the political hardliners against Yeltsin. Also not surviving in the long run doesn't mean violent removal in the short or even medium term.
Like the USA, the Russian Federation began as a Revolution.
kremlin is it's own worst enemy, russia's under 40's have phones and vpn's, they see their freedoms crumbling, as the inner circle shrinks the emperor is revealed as having no clothes, a beady-eyed whimper of a man who should have taken his meds
@@hardopinions it does in a autocracy
Getting rid of Putin would be doing a great service to mankind.
Mr. Soldato, thank you for that great analysis. I truly appreciate your insight, however depressing the Russian situation is.
Great interview with very knowledgeable expert.
Maybe the security and elites don't see unrest, but the people might see things differently. After all, Russian people went to the streets to protest. This guy doesn't know what the PEOPLE think.
Super interview. Realistic and informed.
Andrei I have been following your work. Please make sure you keep doing these interviews.
Very informative interview. Good questions and the interviewer allowed the guest to complete his thoughts. Thank you
SUPERB interview, as always. A couple of questions I really liked were the questions about what happens if Pootler cannot declare a win, and can he survive this. Good interviewee, too. I looked him up, he definitely has credibility and knowledge of this subject.
Stand together or hang together will be the mood of the elite in Moscow. So don't expect any heroics from that quarter.
Best interview I've recently watched.
Bravo! Good interview 🙂
The best interview so far !!
Exceptional interview - we need more geopolitical analysis such as this - bravo
This is an incredible interview.
Well done , thank you both for your questions and development of understanding of our complex times .
Tim Sebastian... excellent journalist!
From a distant shore.
This analysis is appreciated.
Many revolutions have been a disaster, Arab Spring, Russian Revolution, Burma, many in Africa didn't make anyone richer, both times, but eastern Europe benefited greatly from its 1990 revolutions, and Ukraine was better until a month ago than it had been in 2014.
Revolutions require certain level of development in the country to work. Russians have no experience with democracy and freedom. They would swap one dictator into other one
The West has it's flaws, no doubt, but it's an outrageously superior system to every other system in the world, with the exception of maybe China. That said, the Chinese system is only effective while pulling their people out of poverty and rapidly modernizing, and eventually an educated and wealthy populace won't stand for complete autocracy.
In the end, if the world is in global competition, smart people will move to the best place available to them, and it will thrive. This is a large part of the US's success in the 20th century.
Soldatov pointed out that the intelligentsia are leaving Russia due to this situation. The damage it will do to Russia's future success is immeasurable.
But also look at how many Russian PMCs went into many of those countries afterwards to capitalize (and destabilize) - Wagner Group most prominent. But you're also right about Ukraine. Despite Donbas and Crimea, Ukraine began to thrive. Attendance at the nations great Universities had reached all-time high and tourism was up. Lviv, Odessa, Chernihiv, beautiful Carpathian Mtns, Rkhiv, KP Fortress - so many great sights. Would be real shame if Russia got to keep Donbas. It holds Europes largest oil and gas basin (outside Russia) plus so many rare earth metals and ores.
What a fantastic interview! That pretty much covered every angle and great insight offered throughout. Brilliant!
I haven't seen Tim Sebastian since the Doha Debates, wondered where he was. Great to see him again, he is must see TV. His moderator and interviewing skills are unsurpassed, I just wish he was broadcast here in the states for everyone to see.
Andrei Soldatov is amazing. So smart and seems to have inside info. Excellent interview style too.
I think it may take some time. But when it does happen, it will be sudden and indescribably brutal.
Brilliant insight as usual, great journalism
DW is my absolute FAVORITE new channel. I love the work you do, the interviews you hold, and the subjects you cover. Keep being awesome DW team!
This channel is very impressive. Better than CNN & BBC.
Excellent and informative interview!
One of the best analysis on this topic I’ve heard.
How precise and acute is Mr. Sebastian.
His interviews are always amongst the the best there are.
I am new to DW News. Apart from the host's interruptions, this was an excellent and informative interview of someone who clearly knows his subject - thank you.