next video: "Hey Everybody, this Peter Zeihan coming to you from the Amazon rainforest, this is gonna be a short one since I'm currently being chased by a jaguar"
I don't know why but as well as highly-informative I find Peter hugely amusing, not just the delivery of content with perfect comedy timing and emphasis, but also the fact that every day he's somewhere new and often somewhere kind of obscure... Love it!
@@davidpitchford6510 And lets not forget the lizard people and the shapeshifters who conspire to prevent you from forming a relationship with a woman. And living with your Mother, is not a relationship with a woman.
His ability to speak with such clarity off the cuff with no teleprompter or cuts is almost savant like. Nobody sees the world more clearly than Zeihan.
@@kerbyzhaoat this point he can say he is Lisan Al Gaib from Dune movie and I would believe him like Stilgar :D I am from Turkey and I lived in multiple European countries over 15 years. Never have I ever seen an American analyst that can correctly understand each of these countries, their relationship and their geography. Things Peter has been saying for years all is slowly becoming reality and for me this is insane
Except he didn't mentioned why we are striving for a new alliance, decades of rejection from our own allies, terrorists still getting financed from our so called allies TO THIS DAY. No, they will never tell those little details because we will become an enemy in the near future.
CHP/Kemalists are completely full scale puppets of the Western Regime, Erdogan and Islam they have led Turkey to become a regional power and in the future it will also be a global power
Huh? Existentialism is the philosophical belief we are each responsible for creating purpose or meaning in our own lives. Our individual purpose and meaning is not given to us by Gods, governments, teachers or other authorities.
@@jeffgehrke705 I don't think anyone has ever been able to give an absolute deffinition to existentialism but if we are comparing Peter to any style of the big 4 I would think its a bit of a stretch.
Hi Peter, not geopolitics related, more geo-exploration related: would you consider releasing a guidebook on the best hiking trails you've explored? I'll be your first customer.
Peter thank you for sharing your profound knowledge and your hiking 🥾 adventures with us!!! Your daily email is definitely something I look forward too with great excitement!!!
Great analysis as always. Appreciate that you're keeping up with this to the extent that you're aware Turkey has started to abide by the EU-US sanctions on Russia, which most people don't seem to be talking about.
Turkey has to cooperate with Russia because of the negative diplomatic relations with Europe and America. If Trump had been president of the United States for one more term, everything would have been great. Democrats are a party that exists to end Turkey. Members of the Democratic party are constantly receiving wages from the Armenian and Greek diaspora.
China didn't broker a damned thing. Saudi Arabia and Iran worked the deal out themselves, China just piggy backed on it for propaganda purposes at the last moment.
@@andrewlee1573 Oh china is going down. These are just some desperate try to stay relevant in geopolitics. Do you really think their pebble economy have any chance??
Peter why are you never talking about Poland? Especially George Friedman is expecting for Poland a role to play in the future of Europe. In my personal opinion the shifting of the polish border after world War 2 had create a geopolitical different Poland than before. Poland has now a secure connection to the Baltic sea and controls both good navigable rivers which where controlled by Germany earlier.
That's neat, I just started listening to "The End of the World is Just the Beginning" a few weeks back while solo hiking the Motatapu track in New Zealand (just round the corner from the Routeburn track). I was sitting on the top of a mountain watching a few guys hunting tahr by helicopter while listening to Peter explain vulnerabilities in the Southeast Asian shipping channels. Something about looking out at the world from such a far flung corner casts geopolitics in an interesting light. 😊
I recommend a great 3 series of videos by the RUclipsr Kraut for a nice introduction on Turkey They are a little long though about an hour each but they are such well made
Whenever I go hiking I listen to the woods very closely… not for birds and other nature sounds, but for “and in the city kids become very expensive furniture ….” Just hoping to stumble upon this wanderer some day !
Imagine being lost in the woods for 6 days, living off of small plants and insects. Clothes torn and shivery cold and wet. You’re nearly given up and hours away from collapsing from exhaustion and suddenly Peter walks by talking about Turkey politics into his phone and disappears over the hillside.
How you can walk in the rain on a wilderness track with a backpack and talk fluently and extemporaneously for 9 mins on international geopolitics is beyond me.
Turkey needs to avoid biting off more they can chew which is a major issue with Erdogan. But if they moderate their ambitions and are methodical they have a potentially bright future.
@@GDB11That's possible but you ignore Soviet Union. Thar was devastating for Romania and Bulgaria. And today economically they are closer to turkey or am I wrong? So in the end it would be a mistake to decide to for Russia, because the West and turkey will do everything to stop Russia. But if Bulgaria and Romania wants to fight with Russia and lose it's their choice. But if they lose, those countries will fall under control of turkey. So after the whole analysis even you have to agree it's better to choose turkey than Russia.
@@devalapar7878 Turkey is slowly becoming an enemy of the West due to Erdogan's policies. My analysis assumes Western absence from the Balkans as it was until 1990 and Turkey and Russia remaining as the only regional big players. In that situation the Balkans will always chose Russia. Only countries that will side with Turkey will be Bosnia, Albania and Kosovo, as the native Orthodox population there was exterminated and replaced with Muslim Turks during the hundreds of years of Ottoman occupation The average Balkan citizen doesn't care about the economic relationship as much as it cares about the religious, cultural and historical ones
@@GDB11 Please, don't tell me that the ottoman empire exterminated orthodox Christian. If ottoman empire had done that, there would be no orthodox Christians. Take US as an example. They have almost no natives in America. They started fighting during nationalism in 19th century. I mean they can ally with Russia, if they want to lose who cares.
Tell us more about the Yuan and how it's supposedly going to replace the US dollar, like is that possible? Doesn't sound like it if China doesn't even want their own currency.
Thanks Mr Zeihan,i follow you for a long time whit your former partner,now seaing you doing your own Geopol. Is nice. Make more about Turkey (Turkiye) please. Grtings from EU Belgium.
I think the take on Romania is wrong, they will never subscribe to a Turkish system. Romania will firmly stay in the US led system. I think you definitely don't have the whole context on this region of Europe and it's a bit more complex than you think.
I've been saying that I think the Turks are going to be the superpower of the Middle East this century, with our backing. Sort of take our place as the big dog in the ME. They've got the demographics, the military and they're a NATO member.....
Since you are in the country, and your mind might be there already, I'd be interested to hear what you have to say about New Zealand, AUKUS tier 2, the strong trade ties with China, and lack of FTA with the USA, the defense forces focus on disaster relief / lack of military power [although the NZSAS are pretty badass] vs the country's geographic isolation, and any missed opportunities that country could be focusing on? PS: be a little careful. I'm aware that you spent a lot of time here when you were younger and so understand what tends to offend us, and you saw what happened to Posie Parker this week when she tried to do just that :p
I found a video of him doing that and basically we are in good shape to make it, well need to buddy up with the yanks, demographics are OK and been a food positive nation will be to our advantage
"Hey everyone-" *gunshots in the background* "-Peter Zeihan here" *shouting in Korean* "-uuuh I got caught trying to cross the North Korean border so-" *trips and falls into underbrush* "-so I thought this would be a really good time to talk about North Korean demographics"
Maybe go watch his video on how the US dollar isn't going to be dropped - and certainly not for any of the BRICs? Best example is the billions the Russians spent on Yuan - and now the Chinese don't want them back. You *did* listen to this video, right?
Hello Peter, few months ago you looked at BRICS counties displacing USD and you were very secptical as to if USD could be displace. Since your video I belive there has been a lot of coverage ref. Soudi Arebia & BRICS. Would love for you to revist the issue and if you see no change regards USD being patially displaced?
Zeihan's emphasis on geography is interesting, but it comes across as strange to me that Russia would still hold concern about an invasion through the Bessarabian gap. I mean what are even the chances of that ever happening again? It seems quite nebulous for a country to target something so obscure with troops to prevent something that right now could never happen.
While it remains "Russia's war to lose", Russia still hasn't gotten to the hard part, i.e. fighting an active insurgency. An insurgency that has the lessons learned in Afghanistan and Iraq with NATO technology rather than 80s technology.
As a person having daily contact with Bulgarians I can tell you, no guarantee you that the Bulgarians will never ever in a life time let their future be decided by the Turks, trust me, they have had some bad experience with that
You never mentioned the earthquakes in Turkey, and how they lost almost 60K people, and how that impacts their power base, and ability to support Russia.
How would that affect anything? Turkey has over 80 million people and its economic hubs are in the east not west where the earth quakes happened. Edit: West and East are switched.
even if ukraine falls, which i'm not convinced it will, Russia will never be able to maintain a Ukranian insurgency, which Zeihan never mentions. There's no way Russia expands (in europe) beyond Ukraine, not for the next 15 years. I'd even be willing to bet on it
I enjoy watching you too Peter. Your choice of attire is colourful and fun and you’re sure moving around in the great geopolitics outdoors. It would be even more interesting to see you broadcast from some of the counties you talk about.
I was wondering if you were going to do a video on all the China/Russia Middle East peace deals I have been hearing about. The Iran and Saudi one doesn’t make sense considering all the flack the Arab states went to signing peace deals with Israel specifically for countering Iran? Your insight would be great!!
My best guess is that this is political theatre from Saudi to make Biden look bad since he called MBS and Saudi in general pretty shit stuff on mass media. I have a feeling this will ramp up during the 2024 election cycle
Does anyone else think that the current protests in Israel is sort of about these new geopolitical alignments? I think the elites must know something really bad is coming so they want to have as much control of the courts to pass martial laws. Netanyahu is a war time leader, not peace time. I would like to hear other opinions on this.
No I don’t think so. From all the articles I have read state the judicial overhaul bill passed by Netanyahu was created by him to future corruption charges he might be indicted for. I think if Netanyahu knew about future of region he would Allie Israel with Arab nations to stop Turkiye controlling the region instead of causing unrest in Israel.
Would love to hear a breakdown of the new trade deals China has been making with Saudi Arabia, France, and Brazil. Seems worrisome for the future of the US Dollar when many countries are investing futures into the yuan.
Funny fact: they would have their own natural gas for decades and coal for centuries. But they don’t want to penetrate the holy ground of the Aryan earth mother.😮
Interesting how Turkey is like Mexico in the good ways. Hadn;t thought about how being a peninsula makes it hared to invade. Contrasts with Japan excellent. Surprised there was no discussion about their ties to the Turkic peoples of Central Asia, and what might happen from that over time as the Ru55ians weaken.
Mmmm, I don't know. It makes strategic sense militarily for Romania and Bulgaria to side with Turkey but historically there is a lot of bad blood there. I, as an Irishman, know exactly how bad blood can effect policy. My nation's neutrality, while I support it on moral grounds, is making less and less sense as the world changes yet seeing Irish troops under British command in an alliance like NATO would leave a bad taste in my, and many other Irish citizen's, mouths. Logically, it's better to be in bed with Turkey against Russia if the US is disengaging, but would it be acceptable to the Romanian and Bulgarian populace?
Hard to see the war as "Russia's to lose", Peter. Maybe we could have said that six months ago, but now they don't seem to be learning much about what they need to change, their economy is in long-term trouble, and their population advantage is also weakening.
I actually think Peter is holding to his "Russia's war to lose" assessment until the Ukes put together the several combat battalions they intend to launch in their counter offensive this summer. If the Ukes punch through and make it to the Azov Sea, then his opinion will change as to who’s likely to win. If the Ukes fail to break out then he'll conclude that Russia will be able to hold the territory it currently controls indefinitely. Everything depends on whether western armaments will truly have a great effect in this new type of war and if the Ukes can execute a combined arms attack.
@Jake Mimosa Good description of what the Ukes need to do offensively to turn the tables. They must also have enough forces to defend against several Russian offensive vectors as well.
Yes but what are the facts on the ground in relation to their conquest of Ukraine? Despite their idiotic way of managing their invasion, Russia is still in Ukraine. As Zeihan has said the Russians will throw millions into the grinder so that Ukraine will be strained to train enough troops to fight to replace the dead. You can't fall into the trap of thinking Russian incompetence means the war is over. The Taliban kept the Russians and Americans at bay for decades and Russia has far more to lose than Afghanistan did in geopolitical and economic terms. The Russians are definitely hurting but they aren't done. Also even if Ukraine did push Russia back into Russia, do you actually believe the Russians will stop and say"Oh we're back in our territory guess we lost". They'll regroup and invade again and again and again. You would have to take the war into Russia and of course escalate matters. Short of sending in NATO troops, the Russians will stay entrenched in Ukraine for decades if they are allowed. The war has just gotten started and there's a reason Poland is readying for a fight not out of precaution but out of experience because they know the Russians have a good chance of wearing down the Ukrainians and gunning after them as well. I think it be best you get off the kumbaya train and see that this war is not as over and done as many people like yourself imagine it to be. Russia is going to pick off as many countries as it can and in my opinion Poland is on that list. I think Russia is stupid enough to attack NATO Poland and Poland seems to think so too. Russia isn't afraid of taking us down with them and people tend to forget that little fact.
I lived in Bulgaria for while. You forgot to mention the rather messy history between Bulgaria and Turkey/Ottoman empire. The Bulgarians have not forgotten and that may influence their decision making.
![Megan Thee Stallion - Mamushi (Remix) [feat. TWICE] [Official Audio]](http://i.ytimg.com/vi/5c0_u9PsrsQ/mqdefault.jpg)
next video: "Hey Everybody, this Peter Zeihan coming to you from the Amazon rainforest, this is gonna be a short one since I'm currently being chased by a jaguar"
"Funny thing about the Amazon, it makes for terrible farmland and needs an *insane* amount of fertilizer..."
I love people of Zeihan
This comment made me laugh, and look over my shoulder
This made me smile
And in the next one after he explains the jaguar that there Demografics sucs 😂
“This is basically a nation of Ferengi, when it comes to trade.“
That was all I needed. Well done.
I thought that was funny with the Star Trek reference 🤣
I straight away got what he meant😂
Grand Nagus Erdogan!!!
I've always seen the British as the Ferengi, between the dental situation, the constant rain, and the FCA.
When he threw in the feringi as a comparison I instantly understood the turks.
You could say, Turkey's complex foreign entanglements and machinations are almost: Byzantine.
Excellent.
kudos
Hahahahah
Very good.
You could….but I wouldn’t
Imagine running through a trail and catching Peter in the middle of a geopolitical vlog lol.
In light of his travels, my bumping into Peter is less unlikely than me running along any trail I can think of.
Could you imagine not knowing who he is and just seeing this crazy guy Vblogging on a trail in the middle of no where? 😄
The dream! 😂
That would be my chance to ask him about stock tips!
I don't know why but as well as highly-informative I find Peter hugely amusing, not just the delivery of content with perfect comedy timing and emphasis, but also the fact that every day he's somewhere new and often somewhere kind of obscure... Love it!
Just watch out for his messaging which he delivers as a page boy for the elite.
@@davidpitchford6510 And lets not forget the lizard people and the shapeshifters who conspire to prevent you from forming a relationship with a woman. And living with your Mother, is not a relationship with a woman.
He's in such high demand for lectures and on a tour pushing his book his travel is free. I would love to be living his life.
@@davidpitchford6510 Really? I'm knew to him but I have heard him mocked by dissident types and am wondering why.
Now if he could only dump the infantile Man Bun…
If I’ve said it once I’ll say it again, this guy takes multitasking to a whole new level.
I liked the one where he was buttoning up his shirt
The guy travels a lot. At first I thought he had screen shots behind him. My mistake.
Also he is gradually changing his prediction of the outcome of the war.
I been watching Zeihan was the last couple of months, I'm starting to think he is a bit on the spectrum with Asperger's.
@@icysaracen3054 His definitely not a normal dude.
His ability to speak with such clarity off the cuff with no teleprompter or cuts is almost savant like. Nobody sees the world more clearly than Zeihan.
I was just saying the same thing to my wife. He just has to do it, it "needs" to come out...We love it!
@@kerbyzhaoat this point he can say he is Lisan Al Gaib from Dune movie and I would believe him like Stilgar :D
I am from Turkey and I lived in multiple European countries over 15 years.
Never have I ever seen an American analyst that can correctly understand each of these countries, their relationship and their geography. Things Peter has been saying for years all is slowly becoming reality and for me this is insane
As a Turk I must confess,that your depth of analytical thinking about Turkish situation, is far beyond I was expecting.. Congratulations!
Except he didn't mentioned why we are striving for a new alliance, decades of rejection from our own allies, terrorists still getting financed from our so called allies TO THIS DAY.
No, they will never tell those little details because we will become an enemy in the near future.
Kolay gelsin from NYC, ağbey! Are you voting for CHP or Zafer Partisi?
Definitely CHP
CHP/Kemalists are completely full scale puppets of the Western Regime, Erdogan and Islam they have led Turkey to become a regional power and in the future it will also be a global power
@@mehmetk.501 not everyone is power hungry, most of us want freedome and stable economy with secular sytsem
Geeze, even a Ferengi reference?? Mr. Zeihan, you have reached a new level of greatness!
Using a Star Trek reference to explain 21st century Turkish geopolitics is an instant win
Guy is just mapping every forest on earth because he knows that’s where he’s going to live when shit hits the fan
Daily dose of existentialism. Thanks Peter
Very liberal use of the word existential.
Huh? Existentialism is the philosophical belief we are each responsible for creating purpose or meaning in our own lives. Our individual purpose and meaning is not given to us by Gods, governments, teachers or other authorities.
@@jeffgehrke705 I don't think anyone has ever been able to give an absolute deffinition to existentialism but if we are comparing Peter to any style of the big 4 I would think its a bit of a stretch.
Can any of us fully appreciate how rare the ability to communicate complexity this clearly and engagingly really is?
Ferengi, spot on!
I’ve passed the demarcation line from being a fan of Peter’s work to a “Zeihanite”🥾
Or a Zeihanist 😂
Really enjoy these videos, I feel like I'm just on a hike with ya and listening to a friend that is way smarter than I.
I follow you since 2015. And I was waiting for your in depth video about Turkey since then. Thanks for the video.
bayağı erken keşfetmişsinn😄
@@caferpeksen9334 İngilizce'yi bu adamla söktüm 😃
Kolay gelsin from NYC, Ağbey
@@juniorjames7076 Sağol varol hacı abey
Adam Türkleri kötülüyor sende zevke geliyorsun
Hi Peter, not geopolitics related, more geo-exploration related: would you consider releasing a guidebook on the best hiking trails you've explored? I'll be your first customer.
I'll be the second. I've been to a lot of places in the Yosemite backcountry, but last fall Peter Z. got to a few I hadn't.
Peter thank you for sharing your profound knowledge and your hiking 🥾 adventures with us!!! Your daily email is definitely something I look forward too with great excitement!!!
Absolutely love your energy.
Wow. Peter can walk, chew gum AND talk at the same time. Good stuff. That Turkey is in that strong position is fascinating.
7:12 Best description of a nation's trading zeitgeist ever! 5 bonus points to Peter just for that!
The Ferengi explanation cleared it up for me immediately 🤣
@@Re5ist_ance i dont get it
Walking around the back country is a great way to see the world.
Cheers.
Great analysis as always. Appreciate that you're keeping up with this to the extent that you're aware Turkey has started to abide by the EU-US sanctions on Russia, which most people don't seem to be talking about.
no it hasnt. Turkey knows who is going to win. That would be the side backed by China.
Turkey has to cooperate with Russia because of the negative diplomatic relations with Europe and America. If Trump had been president of the United States for one more term, everything would have been great. Democrats are a party that exists to end Turkey. Members of the Democratic party are constantly receiving wages from the Armenian and Greek diaspora.
Biden was raised and educated in the Greek Orthodox church.
Stay safe Peter 😊 we can't afford to lose you. Thanks for your videos.
The Routeburn is very far from 'dangerous'.
Plssss do a piece on china brokering the deal with Saudi and Iran!! I'm really interested in your take!!!!
China didn't broker a damned thing. Saudi Arabia and Iran worked the deal out themselves, China just piggy backed on it for propaganda purposes at the last moment.
Yes I agree. Not looking like China is going away any time soon.
He did that already or not?
@@andrewlee1573 Oh china is going down. These are just some desperate try to stay relevant in geopolitics. Do you really think their pebble economy have any chance??
Money.
A pipeline from Saudi through Iran to end in China
Peter why are you never talking about Poland? Especially George Friedman is expecting for Poland a role to play in the future of Europe.
In my personal opinion the shifting of the polish border after world War 2 had create a geopolitical different Poland than before. Poland has now a secure connection to the Baltic sea and controls both good navigable rivers which where controlled by Germany earlier.
Hope you enjoyed the Routeburn, now can we have your thoughts on the Saudi Iran situation!
Yea. I want to hear this too.
Seems Biden has really damaged the US relationship with Saudi
That's neat, I just started listening to "The End of the World is Just the Beginning" a few weeks back while solo hiking the Motatapu track in New Zealand (just round the corner from the Routeburn track). I was sitting on the top of a mountain watching a few guys hunting tahr by helicopter while listening to Peter explain vulnerabilities in the Southeast Asian shipping channels.
Something about looking out at the world from such a far flung corner casts geopolitics in an interesting light. 😊
I knew nothing about Turkey. Now I know a little. Thanks!
I recommend a great 3 series of videos by the RUclipsr Kraut for a nice introduction on Turkey
They are a little long though about an hour each but they are such well made
@rejvaik Yes, krauts series on the "turkish century" is really worth watching.
Whenever I go hiking I listen to the woods very closely… not for birds and other nature sounds, but for “and in the city kids become very expensive furniture ….” Just hoping to stumble upon this wanderer some day !
Nice stroll through Fangorn with you... hi from Texas
Thanks for the Star Trek reference. Instantly understood what you meant. lol
Ferengi
Walking geopolitics 👏🏻👏🏻
The Peripatetic school, based on a classical model, now available on our screens🧔♂
Turkey is a real player on the American handgun market now. Canik, Sar, Girsan, etc.
And also world Player at drones at the Moment around 29 countries using their drones
Imagine being lost in the woods for 6 days, living off of small plants and insects. Clothes torn and shivery cold and wet. You’re nearly given up and hours away from collapsing from exhaustion and suddenly Peter walks by talking about Turkey politics into his phone and disappears over the hillside.
What a background. Temperate rainforests are so cool, almost stuck out of time.
Love the Ferengi reference..
Love the star trek reference, I would love to hear your breakdown of interplanetary relations in the federation lol
Great. _Now_ I wanna see a demographic breakdown on the Romulans and Cardassians. 😆
Great and interesting assessment. Thanks 👍
How you can walk in the rain on a wilderness track with a backpack and talk fluently and extemporaneously for 9 mins on international geopolitics is beyond me.
We have some great walks on the North Island too, thanks for another great video.
Always Fascinating!!!
Turkey needs to avoid biting off more they can chew which is a major issue with Erdogan. But if they moderate their ambitions and are methodical they have a potentially bright future.
Thanks Peter for the update.
2:46 "It's Russia's war to lose"
6:38 "It's Russia's war to win"
Well, which one is it?
Noticed that to. Previously he have been fairly clear that Russia is losing big time so I guess the second one was a slip.
Great to hear you have made it to New Zealand. Enjoy your stay. Enjoy your videos. All the best, from the naki.
the last part is incorrect. Bulgaria and Romania will not join a Turkish Alliance willingly. There are acient and strong feelings to consider.
I think if the choice is between Turkey and Russia, they will join Turkey. They already have strong ties to Turkey economically.
@@devalapar7878 Historically we were always with the Russians against the Turks and we will always be
@@GDB11That's possible but you ignore Soviet Union. Thar was devastating for Romania and Bulgaria.
And today economically they are closer to turkey or am I wrong?
So in the end it would be a mistake to decide to for Russia, because the West and turkey will do everything to stop Russia. But if Bulgaria and Romania wants to fight with Russia and lose it's their choice.
But if they lose, those countries will fall under control of turkey.
So after the whole analysis even you have to agree it's better to choose turkey than Russia.
@@devalapar7878 Turkey is slowly becoming an enemy of the West due to Erdogan's policies.
My analysis assumes Western absence from the Balkans as it was until 1990 and Turkey and Russia remaining as the only regional big players.
In that situation the Balkans will always chose Russia. Only countries that will side with Turkey will be Bosnia, Albania and Kosovo, as the native Orthodox population there was exterminated and replaced with Muslim Turks during the hundreds of years of Ottoman occupation
The average Balkan citizen doesn't care about the economic relationship as much as it cares about the religious, cultural and historical ones
@@GDB11 Please, don't tell me that the ottoman empire exterminated orthodox Christian.
If ottoman empire had done that, there would be no orthodox Christians.
Take US as an example. They have almost no natives in America.
They started fighting during nationalism in 19th century.
I mean they can ally with Russia, if they want to lose who cares.
Thanks!
I have found an exellent youtube channel today!
Do a video on the UK!
The Feregi comment was, chefs kiss! 😃 so happy right now
Tell us more about the Yuan and how it's supposedly going to replace the US dollar, like is that possible? Doesn't sound like it if China doesn't even want their own currency.
There is a reason they find Chinese CCP officials hoarding gold and silver.
Thanks Mr Zeihan,i follow you for a long time whit your former partner,now seaing you doing your own Geopol. Is nice.
Make more about Turkey (Turkiye) please. Grtings from EU Belgium.
“Bypassing” and “ways to get around them” sound like pretty much the same thing to me but I get your point, they’re exploiting loopholes.
Loving it! Thanks Pete
I think the take on Romania is wrong, they will never subscribe to a Turkish system. Romania will firmly stay in the US led system. I think you definitely don't have the whole context on this region of Europe and it's a bit more complex than you think.
incisive as ever and with a refreshingly different backdrop. Politics en plein aire. Go for it.
I've been saying that I think the Turks are going to be the superpower of the Middle East this century, with our backing. Sort of take our place as the big dog in the ME. They've got the demographics, the military and they're a NATO member.....
thanks man for all you great videos....
Since you are in the country, and your mind might be there already, I'd be interested to hear what you have to say about New Zealand, AUKUS tier 2, the strong trade ties with China, and lack of FTA with the USA, the defense forces focus on disaster relief / lack of military power [although the NZSAS are pretty badass] vs the country's geographic isolation, and any missed opportunities that country could be focusing on? PS: be a little careful. I'm aware that you spent a lot of time here when you were younger and so understand what tends to offend us, and you saw what happened to Posie Parker this week when she tried to do just that :p
I found a video of him doing that and basically we are in good shape to make it, well need to buddy up with the yanks, demographics are OK and been a food positive nation will be to our advantage
Always a nice thing to see Peter has uploaded - even short clips. +1+1+1+1+1+11
last time I was this early it was still called Constantinople 🎉
I really appreciate these dailies Sir. Hilarious that you did it from the trail in the rain no less.
"Hey everyone-" *gunshots in the background* "-Peter Zeihan here" *shouting in Korean* "-uuuh I got caught trying to cross the North Korean border so-" *trips and falls into underbrush* "-so I thought this would be a really good time to talk about North Korean demographics"
Peter is the man
Peter, can you make a video about China and Brazil dropping the US dollar and how will it effect us?
Maybe go watch his video on how the US dollar isn't going to be dropped - and certainly not for any of the BRICs? Best example is the billions the Russians spent on Yuan - and now the Chinese don't want them back. You *did* listen to this video, right?
Thanks 😇 I like how your mind works. Very informative 👏
Hello Peter, few months ago you looked at BRICS counties displacing USD and you were very secptical as to if USD could be displace. Since your video I belive there has been a lot of coverage ref. Soudi Arebia & BRICS. Would love for you to revist the issue and if you see no change regards USD being patially displaced?
Hi Pete…when does the blooper reel come out?
Zeihan's emphasis on geography is interesting, but it comes across as strange to me that Russia would still hold concern about an invasion through the Bessarabian gap. I mean what are even the chances of that ever happening again? It seems quite nebulous for a country to target something so obscure with troops to prevent something that right now could never happen.
Live Q & A? Surely this is more fun than some speaking engagements.
While it remains "Russia's war to lose", Russia still hasn't gotten to the hard part, i.e. fighting an active insurgency. An insurgency that has the lessons learned in Afghanistan and Iraq with NATO technology rather than 80s technology.
Cheers.
As a person having daily contact with Bulgarians I can tell you, no guarantee you that the Bulgarians will never ever in a life time let their future be decided by the Turks, trust me, they have had some bad experience with that
In that case, they will become a Russian puppet. Bulgaria and Romania got destroyed under the Soviet Union.
Your topics are so incredibly timely. Love this and all really. I would really love to hear your thoughts on BLOCS!
You never mentioned the earthquakes in Turkey, and how they lost almost 60K people, and how that impacts their power base, and ability to support Russia.
How would that affect anything? Turkey has over 80 million people and its economic hubs are in the east not west where the earth quakes happened.
Edit: West and East are switched.
@@secretname4190 lol you are right. I confused East with west.
As a dedicated trail runner myself I love that "How do they do that ?".
even if ukraine falls, which i'm not convinced it will, Russia will never be able to maintain a Ukranian insurgency, which Zeihan never mentions. There's no way Russia expands (in europe) beyond Ukraine, not for the next 15 years. I'd even be willing to bet on it
I enjoy watching you too Peter. Your choice of attire is colourful and fun and you’re sure moving around in the great geopolitics outdoors. It would be even more interesting to see you broadcast from some of the counties you talk about.
So, walking backwards on the raised causeway approach to the Angkor Wat while explaining ASEAN…
I was wondering if you were going to do a video on all the China/Russia Middle East peace deals I have been hearing about. The Iran and Saudi one doesn’t make sense considering all the flack the Arab states went to signing peace deals with Israel specifically for countering Iran? Your insight would be great!!
Yes definitely waiting for that too!!!!!
My best guess is that this is political theatre from Saudi to make Biden look bad since he called MBS and Saudi in general pretty shit stuff on mass media. I have a feeling this will ramp up during the 2024 election cycle
Does anyone else think that the current protests in Israel is sort of about these new geopolitical alignments? I think the elites must know something really bad is coming so they want to have as much control of the courts to pass martial laws. Netanyahu is a war time leader, not peace time. I would like to hear other opinions on this.
No I don’t think so. From all the articles I have read state the judicial overhaul bill passed by Netanyahu was created by him to future corruption charges he might be indicted for. I think if Netanyahu knew about future of region he would Allie Israel with Arab nations to stop Turkiye controlling the region instead of causing unrest in Israel.
@@ZackK1261 Turkey and Israel have been allies historically (Erdogan was a blip and is going away). Turkish "Deep State" has ties to Israel.
Love the Star Trek comment!!! Having lived in and worked in Turkey you are spot on! =)
Would love to hear a breakdown of the new trade deals China has been making with Saudi Arabia, France, and Brazil. Seems worrisome for the future of the US Dollar when many countries are investing futures into the yuan.
Desperate move by the Saudis.
7:47 First of all, Thank you Peter Z.🧠✨. Second, that low-key made me jealous 😂 because, that looks like a beautiful trail to run ❤.
Curious your take on Germany's energy future, now that they're getting LNG from Qatar.
Funny fact: they would have their own natural gas for decades and coal for centuries. But they don’t want to penetrate the holy ground of the Aryan earth mother.😮
Big mistake. Qatar Isn't a democratic country. They should stay clear out of them.
I am more impressed Peter is giving a dissertation while hiking.
Peter, how does Turkeys 55.20% inflation rate affect their economy? That seems high ,but admittedly, im no expert lol.
5:26 organic Avocado Craze most countries subscribed to
Interesting how Turkey is like Mexico in the good ways. Hadn;t thought about how being a peninsula makes it hared to invade. Contrasts with Japan excellent. Surprised there was no discussion about their ties to the Turkic peoples of Central Asia, and what might happen from that over time as the Ru55ians weaken.
🤔Enver Pasha’s Pan Turkic dream, in abeyance for the last hundred years.
@@jonrolfson1686 next will created massacred back armenians.
Where in the .......world is Peter Zeihan..........Walking the line!
Mmmm, I don't know. It makes strategic sense militarily for Romania and Bulgaria to side with Turkey but historically there is a lot of bad blood there. I, as an Irishman, know exactly how bad blood can effect policy. My nation's neutrality, while I support it on moral grounds, is making less and less sense as the world changes yet seeing Irish troops under British command in an alliance like NATO would leave a bad taste in my, and many other Irish citizen's, mouths. Logically, it's better to be in bed with Turkey against Russia if the US is disengaging, but would it be acceptable to the Romanian and Bulgarian populace?
Thing is Britain's history in Ireland is sweetness and roses compared to Turkey's in the Balkans.
@Tzazo's Ghost exactly my point
I LOVE THE ROUTEBURN
Could you comment on recent developments in China, particularly Xi Jinping saying that he is preparing China for war! Thanks 🙏🏻
Another great videos sir
Turkey a Nation like Ferengi when it comes to trade. LOLOL!! Well that cleared it up!
Never knew Peter is into Star trek
Do you like RTS games Peter?
That is a perfect analogy comparing them to that of the ferengi
Hard to see the war as "Russia's to lose", Peter. Maybe we could have said that six months ago, but now they don't seem to be learning much about what they need to change, their economy is in long-term trouble, and their population advantage is also weakening.
Yes Russia is having a hard time in Donbas They would have to conquer the other 80% + of Ukraine to reach the Romanian border.
I actually think Peter is holding to his "Russia's war to lose" assessment until the Ukes put together the several combat battalions they intend to launch in their counter offensive this summer. If the Ukes punch through and make it to the Azov Sea, then his opinion will change as to who’s likely to win. If the Ukes fail to break out then he'll conclude that Russia will be able to hold the territory it currently controls indefinitely. Everything depends on whether western armaments will truly have a great effect in this new type of war and if the Ukes can execute a combined arms attack.
@Jake Mimosa Good description of what the Ukes need to do offensively to turn the tables.
They must also have enough forces to defend against several Russian offensive vectors as well.
Honestly also hard to see Turkey dominating their own security alliance, fixing their economy or teaming with Southeastern EU member states.
Yes but what are the facts on the ground in relation to their conquest of Ukraine? Despite their idiotic way of managing their invasion, Russia is still in Ukraine. As Zeihan has said the Russians will throw millions into the grinder so that Ukraine will be strained to train enough troops to fight to replace the dead. You can't fall into the trap of thinking Russian incompetence means the war is over. The Taliban kept the Russians and Americans at bay for decades and Russia has far more to lose than Afghanistan did in geopolitical and economic terms. The Russians are definitely hurting but they aren't done. Also even if Ukraine did push Russia back into Russia, do you actually believe the Russians will stop and say"Oh we're back in our territory guess we lost". They'll regroup and invade again and again and again. You would have to take the war into Russia and of course escalate matters. Short of sending in NATO troops, the Russians will stay entrenched in Ukraine for decades if they are allowed. The war has just gotten started and there's a reason Poland is readying for a fight not out of precaution but out of experience because they know the Russians have a good chance of wearing down the Ukrainians and gunning after them as well. I think it be best you get off the kumbaya train and see that this war is not as over and done as many people like yourself imagine it to be. Russia is going to pick off as many countries as it can and in my opinion Poland is on that list. I think Russia is stupid enough to attack NATO Poland and Poland seems to think so too. Russia isn't afraid of taking us down with them and people tend to forget that little fact.
I laughed so hard when you said a land full of ferengi I know it's you mean my dad watches Star Trek that just cracked me up
I lived in Bulgaria for while. You forgot to mention the rather messy history between Bulgaria and Turkey/Ottoman empire. The Bulgarians have not forgotten and that may influence their decision making.
I watch your videos daily.
Keep up the great work.
Did you say Ferengi ?
😎