There's not a person alive that explains this all better than you do. Seriously, I've watched a hundred other people talk about the hurricane and I'm always left with a ton of questions but you wrap it all up in one nice, exceptionally easy-to-understand package. 🙂
So true. I live in Rockport Texas and no one is better than Tropical Tidbits for tracking the storms. I’ve been tracking hurricanes since I was small and my Dad always got me hurricane charts. It’s so nice that there is no fear mongering only facts.
Tampa Bay is where I’m from. I’m currently in Pensacola Beach Florida. My youngest is in Tampa Bay! My daughter is taking this storm very seriously and is preparing as I comment. I share every one of your videos and she recently subscribed. She is getting the VERY best information now from you! Get the BEST and most knowledgeable information, Get ready. Prepare and be safe my beautiful daughter and the amazing people and beauty of Tampa Bay and surrounding areas. Thinking of everyone in the track of this massive storm.Tampa Bay STRONG, smart, and ready!!Love you!!
Denis Phillips the meteorologist from Tampa mentioned you this morning on Facebook and said you're the smartest meteorologist he knows,even though he's never met you. And,I agree with him. 😊 Thank you for the update.
This is exactly what I came here to post. Was watching Dennis' livestream last night as well and am glad to have found Tropical Tidbits. Great source of information and excellent presentation.
My advice is get the hell out of there at least for this week, if you can board everything up and be prepared to be away from your home for at least a week
Without a doubt I get much smarter every time I view one of Levi's videos. Thank you for making a very complex phenomenon more understandable, and especially for focusing folks on the "critical few" things they need to watch and plan for. To those in Ian's path, be smart and stay safe!
Over the years, we've learned about Troughs (both low- and high-pressure systems), Depressions, Dry Air Masses, Wind Sheer, Vortices (I did not know that hurricanes tilt and are not always vertical) …. What else? ... We’ve also learned that Storm Surge is what kill most people and not the wind blowing at 150 mph…. The symbol and letters we see on this screen (beginning at Southwest Cuba and curving all the way up into Georgia) represents X=the eye or center of the storm, H=Hurricane, M=Major (Hurricane) S=Tropical Storm and D=Tropical Depression…. I will never stop watching this channel.
Watching from Tallahassee with a lot of friends and family in the Tampa area. These videos are doing wonders and keeping all of us informed. Thank you!!!
Thanks again for your analysis - in Tampa - just gave your site to my neighbor and he couldn't thank me enough for giving him such a valuable resource.
The information you provide has grown to almost legendary levels on the Internet. Thank you for everything you do for the general public by sharing your vast knowledge. Also, when do you think you'll have the magic insight you alluded to in this video?
You not only explain the hurricane information with more intelligence than anyone else I've watched, but also why anyone would go into meteorology in the first place. The depth and detail of the amount of information is amazing.
Very interesting to see how the models are shifting in each run. GFS is trending East while the Euro is trending West. Opposite of just a few days ago. I wonder if they are over correcting based on recent upper/mid/lower level wind patterns? Might be helpful for us to understand what each model considers more impactful in terms of steering flow.
@@christinecanty5409 No. He said the incoming cold front tries to push the storm down, meaning it comes from north to south and causes shear, which helps weaken the storm. North and North West eye wall would be strongest, it would be kept off shore.
Hurricanes spawn many deadly tornado's and they are in fact a major concern for inland areas of hurricane impacts. Winds (especially associated winds) are a MAJOR danger along with flooding water.
Meteorology is so interesting when it's taught in this way. Very enjoyable and highly informative to those of us here in Manatee county. The storm track looks a little bit like Irma a few years ago and Charlie back in 04, although Charlie was a lot smaller, more like a large tornado than a small hurricane.
Hello @Tropical Tidbits, typically when storms stay out over the water, they may not necessarily strengthen, but are much slower to weaken. Will the air really be that dry to support confidence in the model of the storm staying out over the water, that it will weaken, and weaken quickly? If the storm manages to get to Cat 4 (or God forbid a 5...) that's a lot of energy that must be dissipated, therefore the storm will expand and become larger, and impacts will be more widespread. On top of the fact that if the storm gets very strong and moves slowly, the water is very efficient at moving the surge and waves, even if the storm were to weaken quickly, the storm surge could still be catastrophic. Either way it doesn't sound good, and I know from experience that strength of the storm is very important. Just wondering if it's really plausible for a storm over the Gulf of Mexico to rapidly weaken due to the dry air mass. I just thought that there was inflow at all different levels like with mesocyclones. Thanks for your input as always!
Euro model giving some good possibilities, hard not to hope they'll become the reality. Even harder when the Euro model is so often accurate. Excellent as always, doctor.
Hi Levi Hope you are having a bless day I was wondering what does this all mean for the east coast of Florida. I live in Ormond beach . Thank you for all you do. Be Safe
Great info… I don’t bother with the MSM commentary anymore. I just want information not Sensationalism based on Catastrophe Porn. These hurricanes are bad enough without that
Looks like this just might be the big one Tampa Bay has feared for years! Last couple of GFS runs showing a jog to the east into Pinellas County are just about a worst case scenario for Tampa Bay for storm surge as it would place the eye just north of the mouth of the bay with the southern eyewall (winds blowing east) pushing the largest surge possible into the bay, especially if the eye makes a jog northwest into Pinellas rather than move north along the barrier islands of Sarasota and Manatee Counties. For those not local, the last major hurricane to strike Tampa Bay directly was a century ago in October 1921 (this doesn't include major hurricanes that made landfall elsewhere in the state and were down to TS, or Cat 1 or 2 by the time they passed over the bay area after travelling over land). I don't think any hurricane has made landfall on the central West Coast of Florida (so Sarasota County up to Citrus County) in a few decades (1980s??). Hurricane Ivan paralleled the coast as a major hurricane in 2005 bringing a few outer bands but passed much further west than Ian will pass and there have been a couple Category 1 hurricanes off shore also bringing some outer bands.
After Cuba is generally when these low ones get a better forecast. We could get lucky and this will weaken and move outward. In my Florida-born experience we have to wait.
Can you make some videos, during the off-season that explain how you process the data on the backend and GFS Ensembles and the GEPS Ensembles are so different. Maybe explain some of the differences in the different models.
Why will the north west part of the eye wall be the strongest? I would assume it would be the north east eye wall, given it’s counter-clockwise spin. Thanks for the great content
There are a couple reasons, but one is that the hurricane's rotation moves the updrafts to the left of the shear direction. So if shear is pushing toward the northeast, the strongest part of the eyewall will be offset counterclockwise toward the north or northwest.
Watching this in 2024 in Englewood, Fl which got walloped by Ian. That sucker changed course so quick. We had no clue. Neither did Ft Myers. No one forecast that one right😢
![[Tuesday] Dangerous Hurricane Ian Tracking Toward Florida; Life-Threatening Impacts Likely](http://i.ytimg.com/vi/psxR5JRjCPA/mqdefault.jpg)
![[Friday evening] Fiona nearing Canada; TD9 Expected to Threaten Western Caribbean and Southeast U.S.](http://i.ytimg.com/vi/LSAnUH3ZKUw/mqdefault.jpg)
![[Wednesday] Hurricane Ian Bringing Catastrophic Impacts to Southwest Florida](/img/1.gif)
There's not a person alive that explains this all better than you do. Seriously, I've watched a hundred other people talk about the hurricane and I'm always left with a ton of questions but you wrap it all up in one nice, exceptionally easy-to-understand package. 🙂
Agreed. I live in Florida so always watch this channel at this time of year. I recommend his site to everyone I know
Agree!!
Absolutely great. This guy is a legend... and he doesn't beg for likes or subs.
Check out Hurricanetrack RUclips channel.
So true. I live in Rockport Texas and no one is better than Tropical Tidbits for tracking the storms. I’ve been tracking hurricanes since I was small and my Dad always got me hurricane charts. It’s so nice that there is no fear mongering only facts.
Tampa Bay is where I’m from. I’m currently in Pensacola Beach Florida. My youngest is in Tampa Bay! My daughter is taking this storm very seriously and is preparing as I comment. I share every one of your videos and she recently subscribed. She is getting the VERY best information now from you! Get the BEST and most knowledgeable information, Get ready. Prepare and be safe my beautiful daughter and the amazing people and beauty of Tampa Bay and surrounding areas. Thinking of everyone in the track of this massive storm.Tampa Bay STRONG, smart, and ready!!Love you!!
Denis Phillips the meteorologist from Tampa mentioned you this morning on Facebook and said you're the smartest meteorologist he knows,even though he's never met you. And,I agree with him. 😊 Thank you for the update.
This is exactly what I came here to post. Was watching Dennis' livestream last night as well and am glad to have found Tropical Tidbits. Great source of information and excellent presentation.
@@Brimmlinn I've been following Dr.Levi Cowan since Irma and I find his videos the most informative and fascinating. Stay safe !
Watching from Slidell Louisiana. Prayers for protection and healing for victims of this storm❤
Dr. Levi is the hero we need but don’t deserve. Your videos are helpful but your website is amazing too.
He has a website?
My advice is get the hell out of there at least for this week, if you can board everything up and be prepared to be away from your home for at least a week
@@justinlizamor1541 yes the same name
The website is perfectly aggregated for all you want and need.
God bless you for this update from Jamaica
We got rain here,please be safe everyone
God bless you all
Without a doubt I get much smarter every time I view one of Levi's videos. Thank you for making a very complex phenomenon more understandable, and especially for focusing folks on the "critical few" things they need to watch and plan for. To those in Ian's path, be smart and stay safe!
Over the years, we've learned about Troughs (both low- and high-pressure systems), Depressions, Dry Air Masses, Wind Sheer, Vortices (I did not know that hurricanes tilt and are not always vertical) …. What else? ... We’ve also learned that Storm Surge is what kill most people and not the wind blowing at 150 mph…. The symbol and letters we see on this screen (beginning at Southwest Cuba and curving all the way up into Georgia) represents X=the eye or center of the storm, H=Hurricane, M=Major (Hurricane) S=Tropical Storm and D=Tropical Depression…. I will never stop watching this channel.
Thanks for the update, and stay safe to all those in Ian's path.
Watching from Tallahassee with a lot of friends and family in the Tampa area. These videos are doing wonders and keeping all of us informed. Thank you!!!
Thank you Levi! Your calm, easy-to-understand updates are invaluable every hurricane season. We appreciate you!
If you only knew how important your updates are for us...we really appreciate each video you post. Thank you!
Thanks again for your analysis - in Tampa - just gave your site to my neighbor and he couldn't thank me enough for giving him such a valuable resource.
Thank you for giving us such complicated information in such a way that many of us can comprehend.
Chomping on the bit waiting for your updates Levi! Thank you!!
You are the one I get my real info from and love trying to understand what makes these storms tick. Please keep them coming. Thanks bud.
Lord knows there are a great many people who rely on your expertise and outstanding teaching style. Thank you again!
The information you provide has grown to almost legendary levels on the Internet. Thank you for everything you do for the general public by sharing your vast knowledge.
Also, when do you think you'll have the magic insight you alluded to in this video?
He said. When the storm passes Cuba, it will either go North (worse case), or slightly West (better case).
Stay safe and best of luck for everyone in FL and Cuba!
Watching from the East Coast, Central Florida… Thank you Levi, for all the Time and effort you put into this work. Your site rocks!!!!❤️
You sir are my new Neil Frank. Thank you.
NEIL Frank - a legendary NHC Director I remember fondly from growing up in Tampa!
Thank you for educating us, and trying to keep everyone safe...
Thank You Dr. Levi! We all appreciate you!
Wish us luck! (from SW Florida)
🙇🏽♀️🙇🏽♂️🙇🏽♀️💯💯🙇🏽♀️🙇🏽♂️🙇🏽♀️
As a Tampa Bay resident I really appreciate these updates Levi 💜
Liqwid stay safe wishing you all the best
You not only explain the hurricane information with more intelligence than anyone else I've watched, but also why anyone would go into meteorology in the first place. The depth and detail of the amount of information is amazing.
The single best place for Hurricane information. Thank you Levi. Awesome work.
Dr Levi is the best. I have watched him for years. My money is on him. 👍thanks💞
Knowledge is comforting, even if the answers are not exactly what I want to hear. Thanks again fro your work. It helps a lot.
Thanks very much for these videos, Levi. You're doing a great service.
Levi provides quality information
NW Florida panhandle…… we’re beginning to feel some better today. Thanks, Levi
Very interesting to see how the models are shifting in each run. GFS is trending East while the Euro is trending West. Opposite of just a few days ago. I wonder if they are over correcting based on recent upper/mid/lower level wind patterns? Might be helpful for us to understand what each model considers more impactful in terms of steering flow.
There is a cool front headed south this evening steering the storm further east.
@@christinecanty5409 No. He said the incoming cold front tries to push the storm down, meaning it comes from north to south and causes shear, which helps weaken the storm. North and North West eye wall would be strongest, it would be kept off shore.
Thank You Dr Levi
Stay safe everyone
Thank you Levi thank you for letting us use your sight
From Houston, Texas
🙏🙏🙌🙌
Thank you again for all you do.
As always, your insight is valued so much. Thank you, Dr. Cowan.
This is THE place to get your storm updates/analysis. Nobody does it better!
You and Reed Timmer provide the most in depth and easy to understand information for the general public who are not weather savvy. Great job👍
Thank you for the easy to follow forecast.
Hurricanes spawn many deadly tornado's and they are in fact a major concern for inland areas of hurricane impacts. Winds (especially associated winds) are a MAJOR danger along with flooding water.
Thank you! For taking the time and effort to put these together extremely helpful
Absolutely love your videos Levi.. seriously. Been watching your updates for years. Thank you for the amazing videos full of great information
The best source there is....
Meteorology is so interesting when it's taught in this way. Very enjoyable and highly informative to those of us here in Manatee county. The storm track looks a little bit like Irma a few years ago and Charlie back in 04, although Charlie was a lot smaller, more like a large tornado than a small hurricane.
Thanks so much for these updates!
Hello @Tropical Tidbits, typically when storms stay out over the water, they may not necessarily strengthen, but are much slower to weaken. Will the air really be that dry to support confidence in the model of the storm staying out over the water, that it will weaken, and weaken quickly? If the storm manages to get to Cat 4 (or God forbid a 5...) that's a lot of energy that must be dissipated, therefore the storm will expand and become larger, and impacts will be more widespread. On top of the fact that if the storm gets very strong and moves slowly, the water is very efficient at moving the surge and waves, even if the storm were to weaken quickly, the storm surge could still be catastrophic. Either way it doesn't sound good, and I know from experience that strength of the storm is very important. Just wondering if it's really plausible for a storm over the Gulf of Mexico to rapidly weaken due to the dry air mass. I just thought that there was inflow at all different levels like with mesocyclones. Thanks for your input as always!
Euro model giving some good possibilities, hard not to hope they'll become the reality. Even harder when the Euro model is so often accurate.
Excellent as always, doctor.
Euro model is giving me PTSD!! Hurricane Michael was brutal in my part of the state...no one ever mentions that Cat 5 monster.
Dr. Levi- BEST weather site anywhere. GO NOLES!
Thank you for continuing to keep us informed. It will be interesting to see where things are at tomorrow.
And as always your correct love you so much thank you I really wish so many others would listen to you!
Thanks for the update !
Many thanks for sharing all this potentially life saving information.
I'm in Bradenton Fl right on the tampa bay. Stores are bare and gas is running dry. People seem to be taking it seriously.
Thanks very much for this video, Levi. Great job.
great work levi!
Lots of rain in Jamaica but we're ok
Hi Levi
Hope you are having a bless day
I was wondering what does this all mean for the east coast of Florida.
I live in Ormond beach .
Thank you for all you do.
Be Safe
Great info… I don’t bother with the MSM commentary anymore. I just want information not Sensationalism based on Catastrophe Porn. These hurricanes are bad enough without that
Looks like this just might be the big one Tampa Bay has feared for years! Last couple of GFS runs showing a jog to the east into Pinellas County are just about a worst case scenario for Tampa Bay for storm surge as it would place the eye just north of the mouth of the bay with the southern eyewall (winds blowing east) pushing the largest surge possible into the bay, especially if the eye makes a jog northwest into Pinellas rather than move north along the barrier islands of Sarasota and Manatee Counties.
For those not local, the last major hurricane to strike Tampa Bay directly was a century ago in October 1921 (this doesn't include major hurricanes that made landfall elsewhere in the state and were down to TS, or Cat 1 or 2 by the time they passed over the bay area after travelling over land). I don't think any hurricane has made landfall on the central West Coast of Florida (so Sarasota County up to Citrus County) in a few decades (1980s??). Hurricane Ivan paralleled the coast as a major hurricane in 2005 bringing a few outer bands but passed much further west than Ian will pass and there have been a couple Category 1 hurricanes off shore also bringing some outer bands.
Great report, thanks.
After Cuba is generally when these low ones get a better forecast. We could get lucky and this will weaken and move outward. In my Florida-born experience we have to wait.
Happily surprised to see this video! Thanks!
Just a quick question. Dont storms that sit in the gulf increase in strength due to the warm waters?
Can you make some videos, during the off-season that explain how you process the data on the backend and GFS Ensembles and the GEPS Ensembles are so different. Maybe explain some of the differences in the different models.
Thank you, from Tampa!
Thanks again Dr Levi Cowen
Great presentation, sitting here on the west coast of Florida, we need all the info we can get.
I’m from Tampa. Left on a cruise to the Bahamas. Whatever happens happens
that's one way to weather the storm
Best. Forecast. Ever.
can only imaigne how the hurricane would be without the cold front and trough..... id have a problem in pensacola...
Come on Dr Cowan, we need an update today Tuesday. You are our best source of info. PLEASE ???
Done watching mike. You're a lot less emotional. Thank you
Thank you, Levi. Very informative.
You're very good at this sir.
Thanks Levi!
Thanks Levi checking in from cedar key Florida 🇺🇸
This thing looking NASTY, stay safe everyone in the path 🙏
Update!
Thank you!
thank you Levi!
Waiting here in Cape Coral FL, thank you!
Based on past data, which model has shown to be more correct in tracking; the GFS or the Euro?
You’re the best!
Thank you, sir! 👍
I was hoping for an evening update Monday night but guess you are waiting until after Ian crosses over Cuba.
Excellent!
Thank you very much
Shear. Shear. Shear. Take care of everyone, everyone. ☺️
GOAT METEOROLOGIST
Why will the north west part of the eye wall be the strongest? I would assume it would be the north east eye wall, given it’s counter-clockwise spin. Thanks for the great content
There are a couple reasons, but one is that the hurricane's rotation moves the updrafts to the left of the shear direction. So if shear is pushing toward the northeast, the strongest part of the eyewall will be offset counterclockwise toward the north or northwest.
CNN "Ian could be 'something that we haven't seen in our lifetime'"..... I feel that is WAY exaggerated.
Watching this in 2024 in Englewood, Fl which got walloped by Ian. That sucker changed course so quick. We had no clue. Neither did Ft Myers. No one forecast that one right😢
SWFL thanks for the hard work
Guys what about Melbourne area no body talk about this area ?!?
I'm in withdrawal! I need a new video!
Mannn Idw to put up hurricane shutters... Pull west buddy
Geology Hub is the volcanism info equivalent to this channel. Better vocals here, but content wise for sure.
Yeah, the updates on the hunga-tunga-haapai eruption was excellent... it just sounds like I'm listening to a spam call :P
@@sebastianmarquez3014 Right? 🤣
Heading toward Big Bend imo
*Steeeeeeen-hatchee*