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THE STRONGER POWER IN 2030 - INDIA OR CHINA ? / LT GEN PR SHANKAR (R)
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- Опубликовано: 14 авг 2024
- #GUNNERSSHOT #InternationalRelations #UPSC #CSE #StrategicAffairs #defence
THE STRONGER POWER IN 2030 - INDIA OR CHINA ? / LT GEN PR SHANKAR (R)
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Sat sri akaal honorable P R Shankar sahib as well all listners.. Jai hind. Vandematrum
Your viewership and comments shows how least interested our people are regarding national security and defense matters. Jai shri Ram
Lt Gen PRS, ! Excellent presentation.
Amazing to be informed of the Spore debate in 2013 which seems to have viewed India positively ! Thank you sir. Please continue to educate us and broaden our horizons !
Thank you sir for educating us.. Very Nice session ❤❤
Fantastic analysis!
You are a brilliant analyst Gen Shankar. I love hearing your thoughts.👍
He is a one man show..... crank out good rubbish unlike others.
Sir three things
1) if the banking crisis is as bad as they are saying (with China we never know) then china will be a lesser economy which means that india may catch up faster than then anyone is saying.
2) technologically will china be able to replace people by robots. This is crucial to it’s future performance.
3) One thing people seem to be missing in all this politics is that through GST a necessarily painful formalisation of the Indian economy is occurring. Somehow the current government has been able to stay in power despite this. Somehow the collective will of the people decided to give a qualified approval. Qualified because the approval is given with a warning-improve or you will be out next time.
@@Nashaking316 keep fantasizing, my friend. Talk about today. We were supposed to surpass all others by 2020. We now say 2030 nay, 2047.
@@jsm3692 we will see. I don’t know about when but if you follow the money, not theorists but the likes of self made millionaires you will get your answer. They didn’t make their millions by betting on the wrong horse. And they are not betting on China.
@Nashaking316 No need to worry about china domestic banks.... They are internal.. crisis what crisis... money can always be printed-india can do it too What effect is on export-import, and China import-export is terribly good. Unlike the deficits india is creating for itself
India can Never catch up... needs a revolution or be controlled by another country......... Check Radhika desai's talk on "India and Global left"
He is a one man show..... crank out good rubbish unlike others.
@@biggpicture2930 are you kidding me.do you know anything about economics?
Very motivational analysis. Indian policy planners must focus on science and technology in every domain of life.
I can only see indians getting stronger in population growth compared to china
Worried.
@@gunnersshot 😂
Why india can never rise from the pit.....Understanding Caste in India (Jati & Varna) - How We Destroy Ourselves
Jai Hind Jai Bharat 🇮🇳
Very interesting... Thanks
very very dreamy analysis too
need to dream.
He is a one man show..... crank out good rubbish unlike others.
Jai Hind 🇮🇳
I wish RUclips had a ❤ reaction because this is better than just 👍🏽 Thanks for your great analyses Gen Shankar 🙏🏽🙌🏽
Sir, you are the best about your views on China and all other countries like Pakistan etc
Good Morning General
I have see your video on Thorium Reactor 7 times
Please make a part 2 of it
China Or India.. ? No comparison, Indian daylight Dreams and ambition sounds good.. but dreams and reality are 180 degree apart. Misleading India public
Hmm
At one time China and India were equal with population and economy, but things changed suddenly, so let’s do our Karmas correctly, sincerely and leave the rest to Bhagvan and not worry too much about the future….this is our ancient wisdom…
Under Manmohan Singh 10 year reign India economy triple. Under Modi last 10 year reign India economy didn't even double.
Soon 40 lakh young men will have no women to marry them and old parents and grandparents to look after which is a big social issue…
I agree with this analysis (that by 2030 we will have started to get ahead). I have always held that in another 10-15years we will be first amongst equals.
The point on decoupling and your answer was good. Coupling ensures that the core components are held by the Chinese. This is a risk that the Chinese can execute upon by either constraining delivery (eg. GE Engines) or by raising prices. I'm just wondering if one were to prioritize which ones to focus upon first (for decoupling), such a list would be good as that will help Industry to focus on what to invest on first AND for Govt to provide appropriate support to.
Sir - I think you have described the Political, Economic, Geostrategic and Military reasons (all crucial to being a leader), pretty well. Thank you, Jai Hind.
Welcome
Hey Gen. you make a huge case of a Singapore "HIGH SCHOOL " debating points ! Those were points raise by a Singapore high school on Singapore TV last year. Ge. forgive for stating an obvious fact about India; you are always greatest "in the future". INDIA IS A FUTURE COUNTRY, but China is a nation NOW.
Hmm
I give your points about population decline but does population decline means productivity decline? Even of today with both India and China having almost the same population Chinas' GDP is 5 times of India, China's work force is 40% larger than that of India. Their skilled and trained work force is 192+ million compare to 27 million in India. If a country's economy is depending on labor intensive industry then it is likely with a population decrease the GDP will reduce but in China what we are seeing is the labor intensive industry is moving into inner regions like Guangxi and Guizhou while in the coastal regions they are moving into valued added manufacturing eg. semiconductors, R@D in semiconductors, AI, EVs, EV battery technologies. India has a rising population but it has very much poor educated workforce and that is the problem. Talking about politics India is poorly governed and India throw up capable leaders? That is very questionable when we look at the end result even with this Modi government. The level of corruption is still massive within India, let me ask you this question who is actually responsible for the collapse of the Gange River bridge that has collapsed twice since it was built and who was responsible for the most recent collapse of the roof in the Dehli Airport? So Xi sacked minister because of their corruptions is that wrong or is that right? Talking about Chinese bank disappear I will suggest you to look at how this issue was resolved. The customers of these small banks were largely moved into bigger banks, China has four of the biggest banks in the world, in fact in term of asset China's industrial and commercial bank has almost matching two of the biggest US bank combined. You, General need to study a lot more those with 60 minutes on their hand can do their own research and easily debunk most of your analysis.
Hmm.
Is this the same debate in which Sanjeev Sanyal (member of PM EAC) participated?
Yes
China has one big advantage
They are ahead in AI
Biggest issue for them is their governance
Jack Ma is a classic case of
Poor entrepreneur support
Respected Shankar Sir.
Pranaam
Please accept our warmest thanks and sincerest appreciation for this excellent podcast. It was one of the best by you in solo category. It seems sir the food of USA is acting as catalyst !
With due respect some comments and observations are given below:
It was the drubbing and through beating to Chinese by Vietnam that brought them to senses. Can you please accept our request and do a program on Vietnam war in near future and the the thrashing given to Chinese by Vietnamese.
After Vietnam war it was Deng who changed course - avoid conflicts, peace, liberalise, investment, jobs growth, economic progress exports - of course aided and abetted by USA. But Xi Jing Ping has completely reversed the course and has started to pay the price - the decline is unlikely to be reversed. Agree.
Bedsides N Korea and Pakistan can we put Iran also as supporter or ally of China ?
There is one more aspect which is civilisational, cultural, living habits, human societal and family values. In communist countries, human being society is suppressed, with fear, traumatised and peace, innovation and progress cannot take fast. Chinese have started allowing people to worship in Buddhist temples. In addition the impact of degradation of environment, food security water crisis etc - already discussed by you in earlier podcast will hamper their progress
You had done a program with students of Chennai and Delhi - the quality of their presentation and analysis was very good. yours program of this ought to be juxtaposed with a repeat program with students.
Many of us are still not clear whether Wuhan virus originated from China or not ? Are they culprit ? So many people died but no hue and cry ? It is puzzling. I seek and answer on your platform
Notwithstanding the slow pace of new viewership acquisition, please carry on sir. We are with you
With kind regards
".....After Vietnam war it was Deng who changed course - avoid conflicts, peace, liberalise, investment, jobs growth, economic progress exports - of course aided and abetted by USA. But Xi Jing Ping has completely reversed the course and has started to pay the price - the decline is unlikely to be reversed. Agree....." Complete nonsense....
He is a one man show..... crank out good rubbish unlike others.
india pooh power
Hmm
It’s totally China! India’s GDP per capita is about $2,500. China’s is almost $13,000. Why even have these silly discussions?
You will never understand anything other than money.
Keep being delusional! Just motivation alone is not going to get you anywhere! The country needs to put in the hard work. Our productivity is waaayyy lower than even Vietnam, forget China!
You don’t want to hear home truths..
Keep being delusional- Indian’s productivity is not even at the same level as Vietnam’s forget China! And you need money to buy/make weapons and pay pensions! Motivation and dreams don’t go far enough.. As a nation, we have to put in the hard work to accelerate economic growth.
It would be good if you read up more on how far ahead China is - especially relative to India!
From this oldman Analysis , India win In everything but In reality China economy 5,5 times bigger , China far a head In technology’s so the conclusion Is this BS oldman
take a walk to China buddy.
@@gunnersshotI been in China and India, India just a 3rd world country compare to china
And he seems to talk only about Chinas problems. How about Indias? There are millions of issues in India.
hmm
China. Indians specially hindus, are heavily divided.
Hmm
It is true that Chinese economy is not doing that well. However their Infeastructure, roads, highways, tech infra, educational policies, corruption index etc are much better than India, atleast 20 years ahead. Their army is planning to replace humans by AI robots as front line defence. They have a larger land area, which means more resources. We as Indians are still way behind on terms of poverty, basic education, low GDP per capita, lack of jobs, pollution, poverty, corruption, excess population who cannot be employed! We also have religious issues especially due to a large muslim population which is a growth deterrent. Our road infrastructure is pathetic, worst in cleanliness. So we cannot compare ourselves with China by any means bu 2030. However there is a sliver of hope that India might survive a fiture war with China / Pakistan and might just get better overall and reach close to china in another 20 years.. which is 2045 maybe.
Hmm
Please use facts. China's GDP has doubled under Xi. And that from a much larger base. Can you say the same about India's under Modi!?
hmm..yes
GN sb ko jai hind, Trump sb tapper khara tha, 1ench se bach gaye ,Verna goli kanpati pay legti .jako rakhe Saiyan....
Modi ji v deep state ke target
main hai ! ?
hmm
@@gunnersshot Jatiwadi, corruption, Pariwarwad, anti national
activity, aur " SAMVIDHAN " bachane ka PAKHAND .
Jab desh hi nahi rahega to samvidhan ka kya karoge ?
Laddakh (acchi chin )Aur POK hamare samne hamare samne dusmano ne kabja ker lia .
(Sansad main 62 war ke bad teb ke govt. ne resolution pass kia tha hum apni jamin wapas lenge.)
Hamari Military kab taq in HARAM KHOR leders ke Karen sapna lahu bahati rehegi !?
( Main ager military gn. hota to parliament Khali karwa ker inko nikker main Kargil bhej deta, ki tumhari sahi jageh yahi hai....
@@gunnersshot
China big market world and new super power world but i think India next year big problem but my question khalistan new country and khamir people' azadi nice media answer waiting??bawaG world news
Hmm
No-One is demanding KHALISTAN its only in media.. Please dont corelate Amritpal win with Khalistan, its all because political vaccume in Punjab. All parties of Punjab looted us mercilessly...