You said is nothing waiting at the end of being right. At the end is our appreciation. You are teaching us great things you are our mentor. And besides your videos helps us to take bater decisions with our money . Thank you for your time and help.
In simple terms. ETH represents alt coins. It doesn't matter if you hate or love ETH. If ETH doesn't pump, your shitcoins won't pump. And Ben is saying that ETH is likely gonna break down against BTC going into the end of the year. But ETH might rally starting next year.
Previous ETH ATHs: January 2018 and November 2021. If history repeats that puts new ETH ATH in September 2025. Based on previous cycles, January 2017 and December 2019 are worth looking at. That's where we are in the cycle - if history repeats. And if history repeats with the same level of return ETH goes to $17.5k. Diminishing returns could be a factor that brings that amount down. Or the dollar could collapse more. We don't know how this script plays out.
Love your channel man and your advanced ta and strategies. I heard you mention you might not be as vocal about your view in the future because there nothing waiting at the end of it but I strongly encourage you not to change. I’m here for the discussion and the theory’s would be boring without them. Keep up the good work 😀
I just started recently to watch some of your content and I have to admit that your content is really amazing and valuable. Its really rare to see someone with a similar view on the markets and then also with a similar (degen-) approach to study charts. 😂😂 the main reason , why those pattern are so similar under somewhat same conditions is because of bots. So much trading volume is done by bots and it totally makes sense that those patterns occur in a really same manner (in terms of price AND time), because they make always the same calculations and come to the same results when they have the same variables as an input. All the best for the bullrun!
14:40 - red Q4 would be the first occurrence of 3 consecutive red quarters. unless of course september closes above 3.7k, turning Q3 green. such september would be much greener than the possible/forecasted 3-3.2k
Keep being vocal, that why I follow you. The dunkers do not matter. You dont have to b right 100% of the time. But you always give thoughtful analysis.
Ben, your logic has been sound this entire time and it has panned out as predicted. Thank you. Waiting to load the boat on Eth this winter - already started chipping at it.
Ben, i do care about the btc valuations and the btc dominance... i´ve learned a lot with your vision... so thank you very much... keep up going with the good work
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Ben! you always mention the haters/critics, but you tend to forgett all of us lovers/agreers/followers, and I think that you should acknowledge the increasing dominance of us too :)🤩
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Ben, i want to let you know that as a fan of yours, i truly appreciate your videos. Any financial market is the reflection of human's behavior. And your video teaches us just that. I can confidently say that your video thought me how to navigate through many more cycles because i believed your teachings are cheatsheets. You're the best mentor there is right now. Thank you for your effort and passion in the videos.
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I've noticed crypto, at least the big one, loves to follow some sort of 35% move rule. It loves to correct or move in around 35% intervals. Idk what it means, it's just something I noticed.
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Ben, I do sincerely enjoy and appreciate your insight in the BTC pairs. I was wondering if you will be continuing the paring videos on your premium website since I do think this adds depth the understanding of the cryptoverse. I’m currently not a member of your ITC premium group since currently my portfolio isn’t big enough, I do however plan on joining in 2025.
Just a suggestion: sign-up for the *ITC Premium Pro plan* for a month-experience it for yourself-see if it’s right for you, has what you’re looking for, or even exceeds your expectations… you can always cancel anytime or switch to the Standard plan if it’s more suited to your needs. Here’s a link to the breakdown of the different plans/tiers: help.intothecryptoverse.com/support/solutions/articles/69000833996-what-charts-tools-are-offered-in-each-tier
Hi Ben! I've been following you since the end of 2021 and have watched every video. I've been waiting to invest all this time. If we assume you're right that (TOTAL3-USDT/BTC) will reach 0.25, do you think it's more likely that the BTC/USD valuation will decrease or increase? If I recall correctly, you believe that the BTC/USD value will decrease. Perhaps you could make a video discussing how long this has typically lasted in the past? I know you say we should use BTC as THE denominator, but it still feels a bit abstract for someone like me (a degen at heart) who has just been patient and has only been paying attention to the cryptoverse for less than one cycle. And by the way, you shouldn't stop talking about BTC dominance in the next bear market because that advice has helped me build up over $100k in capital instead of dollar-cost averaging (or worse lump sum) into altcoins. Cheers!
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I’m in the same boat. Ben says a btc heavy portfolio. I took some btc profits into cash but still have mostly btc. That cash is in case we do see lower eth prices this winter. Expecting eth to outperform btc next year. I’m chipping away at Eth from 0.04 and below
You were right about most things, including the rate cuts in Sep - you said that in May (about the rate cuts) and its coming true. I just noticed that in all the cases in the past, Eth stayed in the regression band for a few months before climbing up, it did so for a much longer period when the decline was sharp. In 2024, it looks like the decline is not going to be a sharp drop, ie it's coming down a few percentage points into the regression band, so the stay inside could be shorter. Nevertheless, there could be a few months after the drop before any significant climb. Just an observation from your charts.
Did 'Total 3' follow the same identified trend as you've shown with ETH or did it perform differently? Wondering how dependent we are on the Russell vs NASDAQ.
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If people really want to have no risk, just buy an ETF SPX or something so you are in the market BUT in case ETH does crashes a lot you can convert your ETF into ETH. Staying all-in cash is a risk.
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The problem is that your comparing eth after a completed bull market and mania blow off top, to eth after a retrace and subsequent liquidation event ala COVID 2020
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I always respect your analysis but you are saying in this analysis that this time is different. It's a halving year and so far bitcoin makes a run starting in the 5th month of the halving year. So that Could explain why Ethereum didn't pump until January in 2016. October was the 5th month in 2020 and late September will be the 5th month in 2024. So this year, you are saying that Ethereum will follow 2019, but not saying this time is different?
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BTC without miner rewards is a dead end. Long term Bitcoin has structural problems. It won't be secure if miners have to operate at a loss. Unless governments are willing to secure BTC at a loss.
I genuinely hate that your BTC valuation analysis receives more criticism than love. Although looking at the market through its BTC valuations in 2022/2023/now/the rest of my life has helped me so much, I completely understand your decision to avoid making content on it. The masses never want to hear the most responsible options in any economic climate because it isn't nearly as sexy as doggy token to the moon. Do what makes the channel reach as many people as possible while maintaining your genuine outlook and hopefully you can come back to it in the future and everyone will listen.
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Bro, let it go - we all know you were right and the haters were wrong. You've made this same video many times now. I for one, am happy you were right, and made a very good trade based on your views.
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Green shirt!!!!! 😮😮 is it a sign 🤔
Ethereum Classic - the original Ethereum💚
GREEN SHIRT
😅
“There is nothing waiting for you at the end of being right” - this line it’s SO hard
Hmm… except for LOTS of profit 😂
You said is nothing waiting at the end of being right. At the end is our appreciation. You are teaching us great things you are our mentor. And besides your videos helps us to take bater decisions with our money . Thank you for your time and help.
ben you are doing an amazing job, never stop
BEN, you are de G.O.A.T.!!! Thanks for all you videos
In simple terms. ETH represents alt coins. It doesn't matter if you hate or love ETH. If ETH doesn't pump, your shitcoins won't pump. And Ben is saying that ETH is likely gonna break down against BTC going into the end of the year. But ETH might rally starting next year.
Agreed
So many thousands of coins will disappear in the next five years.
It's all about the big first movers
You were right. Things just take time to play out. Remember people cheer the loudest when someone is falling.
Love finding all these details and comparisons.... Keep up the great work!
Love your views I like your honesty always talk your truth if somebody doesn’t wanna listen to it that’s OK
You are a treasure please do not stop you’re chanel because I learned a lot
Previous ETH ATHs: January 2018 and November 2021. If history repeats that puts new ETH ATH in September 2025. Based on previous cycles, January 2017 and December 2019 are worth looking at. That's where we are in the cycle - if history repeats. And if history repeats with the same level of return ETH goes to $17.5k. Diminishing returns could be a factor that brings that amount down. Or the dollar could collapse more. We don't know how this script plays out.
Love your channel man and your advanced ta and strategies. I heard you mention you might not be as vocal about your view in the future because there nothing waiting at the end of it but I strongly encourage you not to change. I’m here for the discussion and the theory’s would be boring without them. Keep up the good work 😀
So pumped I listened to you this cycle. Enjoying the ride A LOT MORE 😎.
I like when things get dubious.
I’m waiting for your video since Powell just announced rate cuts next month😅
I just started recently to watch some of your content and I have to admit that your content is really amazing and valuable. Its really rare to see someone with a similar view on the markets and then also with a similar (degen-) approach to study charts. 😂😂 the main reason , why those pattern are so similar under somewhat same conditions is because of bots. So much trading volume is done by bots and it totally makes sense that those patterns occur in a really same manner (in terms of price AND time), because they make always the same calculations and come to the same results when they have the same variables as an input. All the best for the bullrun!
14:40 - red Q4 would be the first occurrence of 3 consecutive red quarters. unless of course september closes above 3.7k, turning Q3 green. such september would be much greener than the possible/forecasted 3-3.2k
Keep being vocal, that why I follow you. The dunkers do not matter. You dont have to b right 100% of the time. But you always give thoughtful analysis.
Really appreciate your long outlook Benjamin...thank you very much
Ben, your logic has been sound this entire time and it has panned out as predicted. Thank you. Waiting to load the boat on Eth this winter - already started chipping at it.
Ben, i do care about the btc valuations and the btc dominance... i´ve learned a lot with your vision... so thank you very much... keep up going with the good work
Ben next video on alts plz. I appreciate Ur efforts for us
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Ben! you always mention the haters/critics, but you tend to forgett all of us lovers/agreers/followers, and I think that you should acknowledge the increasing dominance of us too :)🤩
This guy!❤ All hail King Cowen. PS: Just reminding Ben don't stop what you do even in the future cycles. Please. Be you sir. Thanks
Fascinating insight as always, Ben, thank you
good job, love your analysis thank you
Ben, your analysis is great!
Took a lot longer than expected, but ETH may actually be going home after all 🎉
Thanks for great info! you always help me!
finally I got my fix , those short ain't doing sh!t to me no more
😂😂
Both eth and btc retraced after 2019 rate cuts. If you expect eth to go down, it would only happen if btc would retrace significantly
Ben, I’ve noticed $link following some similar moves to early $eth..
I’m sure you have seen these also, a video on that would be awesome!
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great vid Ben love your exp
Thank you Ben
Please do a video like this on Solana!
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Bro what. Solana is literally an altcoin and a lower mc than eth. If eth eats shit, solana will eat shit more. If eth pumps, sol may pump more
And he just served
Lisan al Gaib
Ben shows that ETH potentially could go down to 1200 in case of a 70% pullback: "Obviously, a lot of people are gonna be mad" haha :D
Ben, i want to let you know that as a fan of yours, i truly appreciate your videos. Any financial market is the reflection of human's behavior. And your video teaches us just that. I can confidently say that your video thought me how to navigate through many more cycles because i believed your teachings are cheatsheets. You're the best mentor there is right now. Thank you for your effort and passion in the videos.
considering diminishing returns can we consider diminishing drops in price on ETH?
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I've noticed crypto, at least the big one, loves to follow some sort of 35% move rule. It loves to correct or move in around 35% intervals. Idk what it means, it's just something I noticed.
Thanks Ben! Appreciate the thorough explanation. Question: does this also apply to Alts like SOL, LINK and AVAX? Thank you!
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Excelente análisis muy buen trabajo
Ben,
I do sincerely enjoy and appreciate your insight in the BTC pairs. I was wondering if you will be continuing the paring videos on your premium website since I do think this adds depth the understanding of the cryptoverse. I’m currently not a member of your ITC premium group since currently my portfolio isn’t big enough, I do however plan on joining in 2025.
Just a suggestion: sign-up for the *ITC Premium Pro plan* for a month-experience it for yourself-see if it’s right for you, has what you’re looking for, or even exceeds your expectations… you can always cancel anytime or switch to the Standard plan if it’s more suited to your needs.
Here’s a link to the breakdown of the different plans/tiers: help.intothecryptoverse.com/support/solutions/articles/69000833996-what-charts-tools-are-offered-in-each-tier
Hi Ben! I've been following you since the end of 2021 and have watched every video.
I've been waiting to invest all this time. If we assume you're right that (TOTAL3-USDT/BTC) will reach 0.25, do you think it's more likely that the BTC/USD valuation will decrease or increase?
If I recall correctly, you believe that the BTC/USD value will decrease. Perhaps you could make a video discussing how long this has typically lasted in the past?
I know you say we should use BTC as THE denominator, but it still feels a bit abstract for someone like me (a degen at heart) who has just been patient and has only been paying attention to the cryptoverse for less than one cycle.
And by the way, you shouldn't stop talking about BTC dominance in the next bear market because that advice has helped me build up over $100k in capital instead of dollar-cost averaging (or worse lump sum) into altcoins. Cheers!
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I’m in the same boat. Ben says a btc heavy portfolio. I took some btc profits into cash but still have mostly btc. That cash is in case we do see lower eth prices this winter. Expecting eth to outperform btc next year. I’m chipping away at Eth from 0.04 and below
You were right about most things, including the rate cuts in Sep - you said that in May (about the rate cuts) and its coming true. I just noticed that in all the cases in the past, Eth stayed in the regression band for a few months before climbing up, it did so for a much longer period when the decline was sharp. In 2024, it looks like the decline is not going to be a sharp drop, ie it's coming down a few percentage points into the regression band, so the stay inside could be shorter. Nevertheless, there could be a few months after the drop before any significant climb. Just an observation from your charts.
“After all this time” Ben is a wizard… or at least a fan of them 😂
Benjamin we like you because you say it the way it is so don't change that pleas
thank you ☝
Thanks 👍
Did 'Total 3' follow the same identified trend as you've shown with ETH or did it perform differently? Wondering how dependent we are on the Russell vs NASDAQ.
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Ben’s hairline looks like the 2021 price action to now
@@DivergentObserver, @capsized8603 - behave
Wow and you just got that from the video... Slow claps !!!
If we talk about diminishing returns how to expect same volatility as last cycles for those moves?
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Where would BTC be when ETH hits the lower part of the Log Reg Band?
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We are not far from "Final Capitulation as the Fed cuts rate" to "Accumulation of a lifetime phase"
If people really want to have no risk, just buy an ETF SPX or something so you are in the market BUT in case ETH does crashes a lot you can convert your ETF into ETH. Staying all-in cash is a risk.
Thanks Ben
Good day bro!!
Ben, genuine question; what needs to be true for you to refit your ETH log regression?
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Just what i needed. Thanks a lot Ben! ignore the haters, they're too busy trolling to pay attention
Great video!
I think we should monitor the total assets (walcl) closely this coming weeks
Great content
I just can't find how much eth greyscale has left, do u know? Want to go long when they are running out u know
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appreciate all your views please stay vocal
Ready to see what you see for Cardano as it compares to Eth👍
The problem is that your comparing eth after a completed bull market and mania blow off top, to eth after a retrace and subsequent liquidation event ala COVID 2020
China is about to start pumping out billions in stimulus the same as the start of 2021, also rumours they will allow crypto
so we never really entered back into the fair market value band... that's interesting. Are we ever going to see it again?
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Great video dude
I always respect your analysis but you are saying in this analysis that this time is different. It's a halving year and so far bitcoin makes a run starting in the 5th month of the halving year. So that Could explain why Ethereum didn't pump until January in 2016. October was the 5th month in 2020 and late September will be the 5th month in 2024. So this year, you are saying that Ethereum will follow 2019, but not saying this time is different?
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Good job ❤❤❤
Thankyou
May be a video of how high ETH can go after the capitulation in December?
master ben: if into the eth video you go, only btc dominance will you find
So what.
BTC without miner rewards is a dead end. Long term Bitcoin has structural problems. It won't be secure if miners have to operate at a loss. Unless governments are willing to secure BTC at a loss.
underated comment 💯
@@jp6951 come on man really?
Thks
September might be green. But if it’s green…, look at the losses in 2016 & 2019 between Oct and Nov 😮😮😮
2016: Reaccumulation
2019: Double bottom ( accumulation )
2022-2024 : MASSIVE Redistribution
Finally ETH go home.
I genuinely hate that your BTC valuation analysis receives more criticism than love. Although looking at the market through its BTC valuations in 2022/2023/now/the rest of my life has helped me so much, I completely understand your decision to avoid making content on it. The masses never want to hear the most responsible options in any economic climate because it isn't nearly as sexy as doggy token to the moon. Do what makes the channel reach as many people as possible while maintaining your genuine outlook and hopefully you can come back to it in the future and everyone will listen.
at the end of the day it was about the colour of the shirt 🤔
Ben Cowen the GOAT! Appreciate all the incredible content, much love brotha!
Shadow.. Shadowwww!! We’re homeward bound
You should do more of that dubious speculation.
LFG Sheldon Cooper!
Can anyone provide me on how to get the "ETH logarithmic regression band" indicator in Tradingview?
If your portfolio is 90% plus btc this analysis is like listening to Mozart.
for alt holders vivaldi 4 seasons
@6:34 Green Day 🎸🏁
Retail is totally bearish on ETH but the whales keep buying the breaks. I’m expecting new ATHs in 2025.
What about macro environment 2016
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dont let the altcoin bros get to u ben, im not a btc maxi by any means but we all know u dont give a shit about anything but the numbers
I live in the weeds - but dang - i’m getting lost in thee weeds. I’ve lost the main point. Cliff notes please.
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"There's nothing for you at the end of being right"
Guys we should have a party when ETH/BTC drops below .4
Bro, let it go - we all know you were right and the haters were wrong. You've made this same video many times now. I for one, am happy you were right, and made a very good trade based on your views.
There's nothing waiting for you at the end of being right... Except a big ole pile of cash 🎉
Wow, it really is coming home. Bem you fucking goat
Eth has to come back home
oh no i hope it's not a btc dom reference ;)
This video is out right as BTC is rallying xD
you sure ;)?
What a bullish shirt 😂
Did he say 1.5k
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Your haters are mostly silent. That’s a good sign 🎉
TL;DW - fire sale this fall, bull run likely next year