Kantai Kessen (Japanese Decisive Battle Doctrine) - Method or Madness?

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  • Опубликовано: 18 авг 2020
  • Today we look at the the Kantai Kessen, the IJN's strategic doctrine for much of the early 20th century, and if it would've worked.
    Sources:
    www.amazon.co.uk/Kaigun-Strategy-Technology-Imperial-1887-1941/dp/159114244X
    www.amazon.co.uk/War-Plan-Orange-Strategy-Defeat/dp/1591145007
    www.amazon.co.uk/Reluctant-Admiral-Yamamoto-Imperial-Navy/dp/087011512X
    www.amazon.co.uk/Imperial-Japanese-Navy-Pacific-War/dp/1472801466
    www.amazon.co.uk/Mahan-Pearl-Harbor-Imperial-Japanese/dp/1591140374
    www.amazon.co.uk/Influence-Power-History-1660-1783-Illustrated/dp/1539887596
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Комментарии • 2,5 тыс.

  • @Drachinifel
    @Drachinifel  3 года назад +217

    Pinned post for Q&A :)

    • @joweeqc98
      @joweeqc98 3 года назад +15

      Can you compare the 15in guns of the Vittorio class, QE class and the Bismarck class in terms of ballistic performance, shell shell penetration and range and which would you take home as a trophy mount assuming you had space?

    • @ble688
      @ble688 3 года назад +23

      Do you think capture of the franch navy, by the Germans, in world war II, would have Changed the Outcome of the Battle of the antlantic and Operation Seelöwe?
      Thx for getting me interessted in naval warfare, keep Up the great Work

    • @2710cruiser
      @2710cruiser 3 года назад +6

      When would a video about DD development during WW2 and post war come out?

    • @santiago5388
      @santiago5388 3 года назад

      Do you think that a strategy like this could have worked for the HSF in WW1?

    • @bkjeong4302
      @bkjeong4302 3 года назад +5

      Vince Cuevas
      The Italian 15” gun all the way (when it has non-defective shells). Reasonably accurate, and hits harder than every other battleship gun except the 16”/50 and the 18.1”.

  • @jasondiaz8431
    @jasondiaz8431 3 года назад +1804

    A quote attributed to a German officer during World War II shows the persistence of the Army’s ambivalence towards doctrine: “One of the serious problems in planning the fight against American doctrine, is that the Americans do not read their manuals, nor do they feel any obligation to follow their doctrine.”

    • @thoralexander9387
      @thoralexander9387 3 года назад +427

      Reminds me of a Soviet Officer being quoted as saying "The reason the US Army does so well in war is that war is chaos, and the American army practices chaos on a daily basis"

    • @mpetersen6
      @mpetersen6 3 года назад +176

      This goes a long way to explain the COVID-19 response in the US. Americans by and large do not like being told what to do. Especially by agents of government. Of course at their workplace they are being payed so that's different

    • @richardm3023
      @richardm3023 3 года назад +158

      "Instructions are for women!" My father, 1979. Also, "I feel fi........ugh" my father 2004. RIP

    • @Edax_Royeaux
      @Edax_Royeaux 3 года назад +36

      @@richardm3023 And COVID-19 may just kill 500,000 Americans. Many Americans have already sworn to not take any vaccines that will be developed.

    • @jimmyseaver3647
      @jimmyseaver3647 3 года назад +114

      @@richardm3023 This would've been over by now had people shut up and worn the goddamn masks.

  • @bramweenink7697
    @bramweenink7697 3 года назад +2444

    "The Australians had the E.M.U. defense system" oh dear God. I see why Japan never dared to set foot there

    • @georgebizos944
      @georgebizos944 3 года назад +310

      Mounted Emu cavalry would have been devastating... especially after they realized bullets don't seem to work against emus...

    • @IanSinclair77
      @IanSinclair77 3 года назад +170

      The Australian coat of arms has an emu and a kangaroo in it as they can't move backward. Perhaps that is what the defense system was aspiring to....the vicious emu....(what, behind the rabbit?)

    • @herbertgearing1702
      @herbertgearing1702 3 года назад +211

      I'm sure that Japan is grateful that they never had a wool or mutton shortage requiring them to invade that crocodile and emu infested venomous creature incubator you genuinely lovely, crazy, people call home.

    • @zakofrx
      @zakofrx 3 года назад +168

      Kangaroos use their claws to tear open people while balancing on their tail..
      Even Koala's are dangerous.
      When I was young I saw a Koala get pissed at a person and tear their leg open with its claws..
      The person had to be rushed to hospitol due to the blood loss..
      Don't fight wildlife in Australia, Even the cute ones kill you if annoyed..

    • @sillygoose210_6
      @sillygoose210_6 3 года назад +69

      Japan did technically land a dozen troops on the Australian mainland, they didn't stick around though.

  • @TheGrandUser
    @TheGrandUser 3 года назад +605

    Drach: "Attention now focused to the last remaining major threat to the Japanese interests in the western Pacific..."
    My Thoughts: "The Japanese army?"
    Drach: "The United States."
    My Thoughts: "Oh, I guess that makes sense too."

    • @sundiver137
      @sundiver137 3 года назад +54

      The Japanese Navy? The two branches of the Imperial Military were almost as big a threat to each other as the US military.

    • @stepbruv8780
      @stepbruv8780 2 года назад +20

      *SENPEI DO MORE KANTAI NO MORE HENTAI!*

    • @tickticktickBOOOOM
      @tickticktickBOOOOM 10 месяцев назад +32

      "The Americans are our opponents; the Army is our enemy." - IJN staff officer, probably

  • @DoddyIshamel
    @DoddyIshamel 3 года назад +1886

    The fundamental problem with decisive battle is the assumption that the US would give in upon losing that battle despite knowing that Japan would not give in if it lost. Same with Germany thinking Britain would give in after the fall of France despite knowing Germany would not give in in the same situation. If your strategy relies on wishful thinking about the enemies moral weakness compared to your own its doomed from the start.

    • @bkjeong4302
      @bkjeong4302 3 года назад +150

      That’s not even the biggest problem here. This doctrine actively contradicts its own assumptions.

    • @halfassedfart
      @halfassedfart 3 года назад +234

      Well, if the US was seen to be pissing away good ships and men just to defend European colonial possessions, the American people might have had something to say about it. Then the Japanese went and did the one thing that guaranteed the US would fight a war to the finish.

    • @DoddyIshamel
      @DoddyIshamel 3 года назад +102

      @@halfassedfart True, but the Phillipines was a US possession not European. Personally I don't get why the Japanese felt the need to attack the Phillipines at the same time as attacking the European possessions, I doubt the US would have intervened.

    • @bkjeong4302
      @bkjeong4302 3 года назад +31

      @@DoddyIshamel Because Yamamoto badly misjudged US intentions.....

    • @theunknownone5990
      @theunknownone5990 3 года назад +94

      Even if the US lost a large "decisive" battle, they had such massive industrial capability that they could make up for however many military units they lost in a matter of months, while countries like Japan would have taken years to cover similar losses.

  • @platinumhawke
    @platinumhawke 3 года назад +1752

    Japan: We will end this in one single battle!
    USA: OK.
    *Leyte Gulf happens*
    Japan: No not like that.

    • @VersusARCH
      @VersusARCH 3 года назад +133

      Midway and Philippine Sea helped too...

    • @thomasvandevelde8157
      @thomasvandevelde8157 3 года назад +97

      You got me there, was thinking ´Mariannas Turkey Shoot?´ LMAO

    • @thomasvandevelde8157
      @thomasvandevelde8157 3 года назад +32

      @@VersusARCH Yup! :-D Especially Philippine Sea I think... From there on out it was just 1-way tickets for every single Japanese ship and plane, literally

    • @bkjeong4302
      @bkjeong4302 3 года назад +67

      Philippine Sea was the real decisive battle. Leyte was just cleanup-even at Samar the Americans were in a much better position than usually made out to be.

    • @thomasvandevelde8157
      @thomasvandevelde8157 3 года назад +35

      @@bkjeong4302 Yes, completely agree there. And Leyte was admitting to the fact they got pretty desperate (on the IJN side) and basically, the operation already carried a semi-kamikaze undertone in it (sacrifice of remaining carriers as pure bait) like Ten-Ho would be the next year. Yes, it was more a cleanup, and also shows the incredibly weakened state of the IJN, even when outnumbering and outgunning a foe in every department (I´m referring to Kurita´ś Debacle vs Task Force 65, was it 65? You know, the Miracle Fleet :P). Philippine Sea was the last ´conventional´ operation anyways.

  • @cosmoflanker
    @cosmoflanker 3 года назад +644

    IJN: "Can't I kessen?"
    USN: "No."
    I'll show myself out.

  • @Lubyak
    @Lubyak 3 года назад +1154

    I always like to say that the Japanese didn't really have a *strategy* for how to win a war with the US. They had a bunch of fantastic operational and tactical plans for how to defeat US military formations, but never a plan to defeat the US. This tends to go all the way to the top as well, as the Japanese at the highest levels never really had a grand strategy for national defense. They just effectively had the Army and Navy each planning their own private wars against the Russians/Soviets and US respectively, and then fighting for resources to do so. Probably the biggest advantage Japan gets in grand strategy games like HoI4 is just having a unified strategic vision and coalescing all their resources to implement that vision.

    • @polygondwanaland8390
      @polygondwanaland8390 3 года назад +99

      The downside is that HoI4 is a massive downgrade from HoI3, and in HoI3 you have to deal with the very complex and very messy supply system. Which works REALLY POORLY as an island nation.

    • @bohba13
      @bohba13 3 года назад +50

      @@polygondwanaland8390 which tbh is probably the reason for the downgrade.

    • @mickaeldelatre3320
      @mickaeldelatre3320 3 года назад +62

      One can even argue that their operational vision, like the Germans, was not that great - especially when you compare with Russians who learnt (with lotta pain, Vatoutin can attest to that ...) how to prepare an operation, execute it and most importantly stop it at the right moment to begin the next one. See what happened in China, they got properly sucked into a neverending battle ; see how bad they were at logistics, the bread and butter of operations (carriers striking Pearl Harbour not even able to go there at first ...)
      Japanese were the second victims of the XIXth vision of war, after Germans. And before Americans after WW2.

    • @mysss29
      @mysss29 3 года назад +54

      Their idea of grand strategy was, "maybe if we hurt them, they'll go away."

    • @Philistine47
      @Philistine47 3 года назад +51

      Just to clarify, "fantastic" here means "unrealistic; based in fantasy" rather than "excellent."

  • @BoyKissBoy
    @BoyKissBoy Год назад +118

    I'm a software developer, and it's a little frightening how common this "take a complicated but probably sound idea, simplify it by ignoring complicated but critical aspects of it, and then apply it wholesale without considering context or nuance" way of thinking is with managers in my field. Encountering the same kind of thinking in so separate domains just reinforces the sad conclusion that this is just how a lot of people function, even higher up the ranks 😞

  • @Big_E_Soul_Fragment
    @Big_E_Soul_Fragment 3 года назад +919

    "End in a single battle, you say? Sorry, I can't hear you over the sound of our shipyards pumping out ships."
    -US Navy

    • @GaldirEonai
      @GaldirEonai 3 года назад +144

      @Katyusha They had a pretty good estimate of the US' industrial power. What they horribly underestimated was just how badly Pearl Harbor would piss the US public off. They expected that americans would take a look at their initial losses, tally up how much it would cost them to keep this up and decide it wasn't worth it.
      What they didn't expect but really should have was that Pearl Harbor would drive the american public into a frenzy that would not allow the war to end in anything but an unconditional surrender, no matter the cost.
      Their reading of economic and military power was decent. It was their appreciation of their enemies' _psychology_ that was way off.
      (This went the other way too, by the way. Japanese forces' preference for suicidal charges over surrender caught the US completely by surprise.)

    • @EricDKaufman
      @EricDKaufman 3 года назад +1

      great screen name also!

    • @dexexmachinatu4151
      @dexexmachinatu4151 3 года назад +25

      *Haha shipyards go brrrr*

    • @thomasvandevelde8157
      @thomasvandevelde8157 3 года назад +4

      You mean like this?
      ruclips.net/video/l9ag2x3CS9M/видео.html

    • @dimdimbramantyo7666
      @dimdimbramantyo7666 3 года назад +8

      Pacific Ocean? Did u mean American Pond lol

  • @richmcgee434
    @richmcgee434 3 года назад +717

    Of course the IJN liked the French jeune ecole at first. Just look at those incredible torpedo boats they had, sailing the North Sea and blending in with British fishing trawlers to confuse the Russians. If you had MTBs that could manage to operate on the far side of the globe without any kind of logistics support you'd be pretty confident in them too.

    • @deeznoots6241
      @deeznoots6241 3 года назад +26

      Rich McGee plus they didn’t really have the money or capability to run big warships yet, so might as well just go for the cheaper method

    • @mpetersen6
      @mpetersen6 3 года назад +66

      But if you had a dyslexic French admiral the bottom of the North Sea would littered with LeClerc Main Battle Tanks instead of Motor Torpedo Boats.

    • @PalleRasmussen
      @PalleRasmussen 3 года назад +92

      In contrast to the others, I appreciate the Kamchatka joke.

    • @richmcgee434
      @richmcgee434 3 года назад +75

      @@PalleRasmussen We need an emoticon for "angrily hurled binoculars" around here. :)

    • @scottyfox6376
      @scottyfox6376 3 года назад +25

      Ahhh the Infamous Dogger Bank Torpedo Boat Squadron..yes a most Darstadly plan indeed.

  • @huntermurphy2148
    @huntermurphy2148 3 года назад +358

    "The enemy will surrender after a single decisive blow because we cannot sustain a long fight with them!"
    Narrator: "They did not."

    • @arthas640
      @arthas640 3 года назад +13

      Americans never do what we're told. They told us "colonies cant be super powers" and "extremely ethnically and politically diverse countries cant work together" and "you have to wear a mask" and we did the polar opposite of all those things, and that's why we're number 1, Canada never landed on the moon, and Japan doesn't even have a real military anymore.

    • @Excalibur_86
      @Excalibur_86 3 года назад +17

      @@arthas640 agree with u until u said not to wear mask 😂

    • @kekistanimememan170
      @kekistanimememan170 2 года назад +4

      @@arthas640 America 90% white lmao.

    • @stepbruv8780
      @stepbruv8780 2 года назад +1

      *SENPEI DO MORE KANTAI NO MORE HENTAI!*

    • @saybrowt
      @saybrowt 2 года назад

      @@arthas640 If you still think the US is number 1, you're delusional.

  • @BadSkeelz
    @BadSkeelz 3 года назад +425

    Imperial Japan: "Here's our plan to beating the USA."
    Yamamoto: "Uh, there's a big blank spot between 'Destroy the US fleet' and 'US surrenders.' Do we have a plan for that?"
    Imperial Japan: "..."
    Yamamoto: "..."
    Imperial Japan: "..."
    Yamamoto: "Alright let's do this then."

    • @madensmith7014
      @madensmith7014 3 года назад +61

      So it would have went like:
      *Japan: "..."
      Yamamoto: "..."
      Japan: "Make it happen."
      Yamamoto: "Alright, let's do this then"

    • @rayg.2431
      @rayg.2431 3 года назад +19

      Apparently Yamamoto's political enemies among the Japanese ultranationalists and the Imperial Japanese Army (but I repeat myself) in the late 1930's thought he was a traitor in cahoots with the Americans and British and wanted to assassinate him: www.nytimes.com/2011/12/07/opinion/a-reluctant-enemy.html

    • @trentonarney6066
      @trentonarney6066 3 года назад +50

      I have to both respect and pity Yamamoto. Respect him for doing his duty to the best of his ability and pity him for what that duty was.

    • @craiga2002
      @craiga2002 3 года назад +14

      @Gen. JFH "If 'common sense' were actually so common, people would not adjure each other to use it so much." - Samuel Johnson

    • @wrayday7149
      @wrayday7149 3 года назад +1

      Don’t worry, we will patch in that part of the plan post launch - Japanese war planner, probably.

  • @Self-replicating_whatnot
    @Self-replicating_whatnot 3 года назад +463

    I feel like there is a
    3) ???
    4) PROFIT
    joke in here somewhere

    • @jimmyseaver3647
      @jimmyseaver3647 3 года назад +78

      1) Build fleet of battleships to beat up enemy battleships in flashy Jutland/Tsushima fashion.
      2) Sink said enemy battleships in port, forcing them to use carriers.
      3) ????
      4) PROF-where did our ships go?

    • @bkjeong4302
      @bkjeong4302 3 года назад +24

      @@jimmyseaver3647 The Japanese DID care about the American carriers (albeit for semi-wrong reasons). Which actually makes their doctrine self-contradictory.

    • @insignificantgnat9334
      @insignificantgnat9334 3 года назад +19

      1. Sink the American fleet in a decisive battle.
      2. Seize the Pacific territories your empire needs.
      3. ???
      4. Profit.

    • @fix0the0spade
      @fix0the0spade 3 года назад +23

      1) Launch surprise attacks on the two largest industrial and military powers in the world.
      2) Assume there will be no response due to overwhelming success of said attacks.
      3) ???
      4) Mushroom cloud.

    • @edie9158
      @edie9158 3 года назад +3

      1. Construct the largest naval power in the Pacific and most of the world as you know it.
      2. Force your now catching up Army and your increasingly expanding Navy to fight for resources and political power.
      3. Piss off 90% of the world and spit on the biggest economical power near you.
      4. Profit

  • @spartanalex9006
    @spartanalex9006 3 года назад +545

    Japan: No, we destroyed a significant section of your fleet in the surprise attack! Why aren't you giving up?
    The US: Hahaha, slipway go BRRRRR!

    • @PalleRasmussen
      @PalleRasmussen 3 года назад +9

      ruclips.net/video/l9ag2x3CS9M/видео.html

    • @Ron52G
      @Ron52G 3 года назад +33

      Tōjō now in charge of Japan's highest political office, it became clear the army would lead the navy into a war about which Yamamoto had serious reservations. He wrote to an ultranationalist:
      Should hostilities once break out between Japan and the United States, it would not be enough that we take Guam and the Philippines, nor even Hawaii and San Francisco. To make victory certain, we would have to march into Washington and dictate the terms of peace in the White House. I wonder if our politicians [who speak so lightly of a Japanese-American war] have confidence as to the final outcome and are prepared to make the necessary sacrifices

    • @thanakonpraepanich4284
      @thanakonpraepanich4284 3 года назад +7

      @@Ron52G
      So it was either bomb the Pearl Harbour or Tojo launch the coup and shoot Yamamoto himself, then bomb Pearl Harbour anyway?

    • @mickaeldelatre3320
      @mickaeldelatre3320 3 года назад +13

      @@Ron52G attacking the Americans was pretty much a Navy idea, Army was rooting more for a Soviet Union attack. Except the Army got spanked by uncle Zhukov, and Germans trampled the Anti Komintern pact with the Ribbentrop-Molotov agreement ruining the prospect of a war against the Soviet. That's when the Navy could impose their own ideas that happen to favour the Navy by mere coincidence.
      ... Reminds me of the Air Force creation, to be honest. "We'll go full nuclear and blast the world because NO WAY WE GO UNDER ARMY JURIDICTION AGAIN !"

    • @satriorama4118
      @satriorama4118 3 года назад +12

      @@mickaeldelatre3320 No, it was the high command (aka Tojo and his friends) wish to attack Pearl. Yamamoto intently against it as he's one of the few naval officer who actually spend time in US and know her capability to keep pumping the war machines. Heck most navy general was against the war against US. They're sure Japan can get all the resources on China and there's no point attacking allies colonies in SEA. But the high command insist on attacking allies and its colonies. Yamamoto and other naval officers can't defy high command order.

  • @jameshunter5485
    @jameshunter5485 3 года назад +539

    As Mike Tyson so eloquently spoke, “Everybody has a plan, ‘til they get punched in the face.”

    • @mpetersen6
      @mpetersen6 3 года назад +29

      One of the few times he made sense

    • @scottyfox6376
      @scottyfox6376 3 года назад +12

      Or a good ear munching if the face punch doesn't get desired results.👂😉👊

    • @QqJcrsStbt
      @QqJcrsStbt 3 года назад +37

      This sounds like an echo from the past...
      “No battle plan ever survives contact with the enemy.”
      ― Helmuth von Moltke the Elder

    • @Markle2k
      @Markle2k 3 года назад +5

      In this case, Japan tried to punch America in the face, whiffed it, and just pissed America off.

    • @gordonpeden6234
      @gordonpeden6234 3 года назад +7

      Japan: "Shit we've lost our fleet, But we'll never surrender!" USA: "We'll bomb the crap out of you!" Japan "We will never surrender" Boom! Hiroshima, USA: "Surrender you started this!" Japan: Never! (Emperor was assured USA didn't have another atomic bomb) three days later Nagasaki BOOM! USA: "Surrender!" Japan "Why can't we all just get along?" (The USA had one more atomic bomb all ready to drop on Japan. It's a shame they didn't drop another) Hirohito cost the lives of millions of innocents and treated prisoners like animals. He should have been strung up.

  • @tanyl85
    @tanyl85 3 года назад +557

    Can't help but wonder how many torpedo boats the IJN had around 1905...
    ...and their range.

    • @vladfedonkin4731
      @vladfedonkin4731 3 года назад +180

      Do you see torpedo boats?

    • @tanyl85
      @tanyl85 3 года назад +180

      @@vladfedonkin4731 *throws binoculars*

    • @disbeafakename167
      @disbeafakename167 3 года назад +106

      According to the Russian navy, they had about 8. And they had 3,000 mile range. One way.

    • @popuptarget7386
      @popuptarget7386 3 года назад +113

      @@vladfedonkin4731 heck, driving to work here in the midwest I still occasionally see Japanese torpedo boats. Its why I drive too fast.

    • @vladfedonkin4731
      @vladfedonkin4731 3 года назад +72

      @Popup Target
      “Do you know how fast you were going?”
      “Allow me to answer that question with another question. Do you see torpedo boats?”

  • @b1laxson
    @b1laxson 3 года назад +120

    Japan: We aren't using the Jeune Ecole and will seek decisive battle.
    Kamchatka: Its a trick! The Japanese torpedo boats are everywhere!

  • @spider0804
    @spider0804 3 года назад +258

    Summary of Japan fishing for decisive battles during WWII.
    Japan: Oi come fight us on our turf on our terms in the perfect circumstances for our advantage.
    USA: No.

    • @Maverick-gg2do
      @Maverick-gg2do 3 года назад +7

      To be fair, they had oppurtunities during the battles around Guadacanal. They just flubbed them.

    • @madwolf0966
      @madwolf0966 3 года назад +3

      Maverick Raphael H. Sebastian *cough* *cough* Powerful Battleships not being used *cough* *cough*

    • @bkjeong4302
      @bkjeong4302 3 года назад +6

      @@madwolf0966 Fuel shortages plus the fact they'd be bombed from Henderson Field on the way back....

    • @richardm3023
      @richardm3023 3 года назад +23

      @@Maverick-gg2do The Japanese won several huge victories around Guadacanal. But in the end, they couldn't fight the war of attrition that was the Solomons campaign. Each side lost about 30 warships during the campaign. The Americans replaced their losses with newer, more modern ships. The Japanese could only stretch themselves thinner and pull back.

    • @Maverick-gg2do
      @Maverick-gg2do 3 года назад +4

      @@richardm3023 I'm familiar with these. That's why I brought up Guadacanal. They won several victories but failed to capitalize on a few of them.
      They were never gonna win the war. But they had their chances to have the "decisive battle" they were looking for and they didn't really make the most of it.

  • @ravenknight4876
    @ravenknight4876 3 года назад +255

    Decisive battle doctrine is never really madness. It's quite sensible in symmetrical conflicts actually, since it both shortens the war, reduces the impact on civilians and the economy , and for all intends and purposes, makes wars less bloody.
    The issue is that decisive battle basically stopped being a sensible strategy in Warfare once nations with vast populations, areas and resources came about which could kinda just keep churning out men and material for prolonged wars. And that basically started in europe in the 17th century.
    When Mahan wrote his book about decisive battle, he was writing during a unique time period during the late 19th century when most major navies just so happened to have had most of their navies obsoleted, while building viable and powerful warships was both so expensive and time consuming that not even the royal navy could field a full battle line of them.
    A naval war during the 1880's or 1890's would indeed have been decided by pretty much just a single battle, no matter the participants, since no nation was capable of replacing battle line units at a fast pace at that point.
    And the Spanish american war pretty much proved that. The Russo Japanese war then cemented this sentiment, and the First World war with its battle of Jutland which was by all means decisive, must have set it in stone in the eyes of the supporters of decisive battle doctrine.
    It just so happened that the Major navies of the second world war had by then developed the capability to swiftly replace losses again, which completely invalidates decisive battle.

    • @BHuang92
      @BHuang92 3 года назад +21

      Which is ironic that the Japanese used Mahan's naval strategy against the Americans whom Mahan himself is an American. The Americans used Corbett's strategy which was the opposite of Mahan and that proved far more effective than Mahan's doctrine during WW2.

    • @thanakonpraepanich4284
      @thanakonpraepanich4284 3 года назад +8

      Mahan never wrap his head around the idea of true total war with almost unlimited resources and manpower US and Soviet brought to bear in WW2?
      Come to think of it, did he wrote the book for the world WITHOUT U.S.? Similar to how NAFTA and WTO was designed for the world without China some say.

    • @ravenknight4876
      @ravenknight4876 3 года назад +5

      @@thanakonpraepanich4284 He wrote his book for a world im which the US where these US, I.e.not a nation but a collection of aomewhat independant nations with united foreign policy.

    • @NRSGuardian
      @NRSGuardian 3 года назад +8

      @@ravenknight4876 More that Mahan was writing for a world where the US was just exiting, and would quickly re-enter after WWI, a phase of Isolationism. Also, up until WWII the US had maintained a pretty consistent tendency towards Isolationism, and avoidance of major international conflicts.

    • @Markle2k
      @Markle2k 3 года назад +3

      @@thanakonpraepanich4284 NAFTA without China is like the EU without China. It's in the name.
      Hong Kong has been a member of WTO since 1995, the year after its inception, and the whole of the PRC since 2001

  • @sreckocuvalo8110
    @sreckocuvalo8110 3 года назад +585

    Some of the defenses Australia could muster in case of invasion:
    Koala drop-troops
    Roos' cavalry brigades
    Huntsmen spider minefields
    Saltwater crocodile torpedo boats
    Setting entire continent on fire

  • @TheAsh274
    @TheAsh274 3 года назад +149

    Last time I was this early, Rozhestvensky still had at least half a crate of binoculars

  • @kuribayashi84
    @kuribayashi84 3 года назад +170

    To be fair, this doctrine led to *several* decisive battles. Unfortunately for the Japanese, none went as planned.

    • @wrayday7149
      @wrayday7149 3 года назад +23

      When you think about it.... this plan was so bad, it even resulted in Germany's downfall.
      Japan see's Germany's plight.
      Tojo "I'm helping"
      /bombs Pearl Harbor
      Hitler "Why would you do that!?"

    • @enterprism5298
      @enterprism5298 3 года назад +3

      it's kind of stupidly outdated, yeah.
      could've cool and awesome in WWI where you can have a cool jutland thing, but can't do that now where Aircraft Carriers and escort ships = boom boom enemy fleet gone where BBs just cough up the funds, if yamato would face BBs then she could've been great but not against planes

    • @gkelly941
      @gkelly941 2 года назад +12

      @@wrayday7149 Let's face it, it was Stalin who kicked Germany's butt. We did our part, but it was mostly by giving the USSR the material it needed to do the job and by distracting the Germans in Africa, France and Italy.
      And if the US learned anything from the US Civil War, it was that losing a few "decisive battles" did not mean that we could not win the war, especially when we could employ a blockading Anaconda Strategy similar to what was used to strangle the Confederacy. Timely development of the Atomic bomb just speeded up the time line and caused Japan to surrender ahead of previous plans at less cost in men and material.

    • @Battyj
      @Battyj 2 года назад +5

      @@wrayday7149 no, Germany's downfall was when they declared war on Poland and later the USSR, they had started a war that they had no proper strategy to win against multiple enemies with more of literally everything that they had

    • @bkjeong4302
      @bkjeong4302 2 года назад +12

      @@enterprism5298 Do note that while Japan was stupid enough to think battleships had strategic value in WWII, so was everyone else, hence why everyone else also wasted resources on battleships around the same time.
      The Germans were actually significantly worse in this aspect; they were less able to afford battleship construction than Japan, and shouldn’t have bothered with large surface ships (or carriers), period, given their geography and strategic situation.

  • @doomedwit1010
    @doomedwit1010 3 года назад +230

    Has anyone written "The Influence of the Influence of Sea Power Upon History Upon History" yet?

    • @NRSGuardian
      @NRSGuardian 3 года назад +24

      Probably, that was essentially my thesis for my Bachelor's in History.

    • @gameandgamer1479
      @gameandgamer1479 3 года назад +29

      Entire Japanese naval strategy gets RAILED by carrier-ignorant historian’s book (graphic, NSFW, 18+)

    • @spartanalex9006
      @spartanalex9006 3 года назад +2

      Now I'm probably going to for my Military History class.

    • @talltroll7092
      @talltroll7092 3 года назад +11

      @@gameandgamer1479 "iya, onii-chan!"

    • @glennsimpson7659
      @glennsimpson7659 3 года назад

      Yes

  • @baraxor
    @baraxor 3 года назад +141

    The Japanese DBD seemed to best reflect reality when the enemy was incompetent technically and administratively (e.g. Imperial China and Russia), and who tended to regard war as a game played at a distance by elites moving their pawns around for relatively limited goals, and not as existential conflicts between nations in their social and economic entirety. That is to say, much like wars between European powers prior to 1914, landing a single heavy blow against your enemy could convince its monarch and ministers--the only players who mattered--that a face-saving treaty and a few concessions of territory were preferable to a long drawn-out conflict that could eventually move even the peasant rabble against you.
    Nobody in Japan with influence--or who wasn't afraid of getting slaughtered by "patriotic" subordinates--could believe or admit that the "mongrel" United States was willing to overlook the effective destruction of its Pacific Fleet and the occupation of the Philippines and its other Pacific outposts, to create a new battle fleet and fight an extremely bloody retaking of its lost assets, much less threaten directly the Home Islands.

    • @gkelly941
      @gkelly941 2 года назад +12

      Keep in mind that what Japan destroyed at Pearl Harbor were the weapons of the previous war, and that the decisive weapons for this war would be aircraft carriers, submarines, bombers, and amphibious assaults.

    • @thanatosstorm
      @thanatosstorm 2 года назад +7

      @@gkelly941 Yes. Also keep in mind they never allowed Japanese fleet submarines the authority to hunt U.S. merchant shipping as regularly as U.S. submariners did. Had they, the war would have been much harder.

    • @VersusARCH
      @VersusARCH Год назад

      ​@@thanatosstorm US in the pacific used convoys with many escorts including carriers. It also broke the Japanese codes so they sent out hunter-killer groups to hunt down the Japanese sumbarines whose positions were known. It would not have worked.

  • @RustyDice
    @RustyDice 3 года назад +33

    "66% is less than 70%"
    Okay - his maths checks out.
    Subscribed.

  • @ayylmao9697
    @ayylmao9697 3 года назад +254

    It was decisive
    Rarely ever for their forces however

    • @Julianna.Domina
      @Julianna.Domina 3 года назад +33

      Oh no, quite decisive for their forces. Just not in the way they hoped.

  • @halikstears6307
    @halikstears6307 3 года назад +28

    I'm a little concerned with any characterization of Isoroku Yamamoto as "aggressive." Yamamoto was a supporter of the unpopular "treaty faction" at a time in Japanese political history when many other members were being assassinated by war hawks in the IJA (he further risked murder by opposing the imperial invasion of China AND the Tripartite pact). He even insisted that the US be advised of Japan's declaration of war no less than one hour before his attack on Pearl harbor, and was appalled when he learned that decoding delays in Washington had prevented this. I think that his decision to take the offensive whenever possible came from a desire to preserve strategic initiative as long as possible, which was the best implementation of what he knew to be a hopeless and foolish strategy.

  • @TheNinjaDC
    @TheNinjaDC 3 года назад +514

    The problem with Japan's decisive battle doctrine was the enemy. The US wasn't the clusterf#$k that was late imperial China and Russia. The US was far to big, and stable to be put down by a few key battles.
    Essentially, Japan picked up bad habits from kicking the tar out of China and Russia during their lowest points.

    • @stevep5408
      @stevep5408 3 года назад +35

      By the end of the war the US had 151 aircraft carriers, I 29 were full sized fleet carriers.
      Could you explain how the US managed the shipping logistics of how the US not only managed to make up for losses in military and civilian shipping to the UK and enough cargo tonnage to supply over 285,000 naval personnel and over 168,000 soldiers???

    • @Vespuchian
      @Vespuchian 3 года назад +64

      That's a good summary, actually. Japan's plans after the First World War do come across as 'whatever worked before, but BIGGER', always betting the Americans would assemble for the awaited Decisive Battle, because why _wouldn't_ they?

    • @TheSchultinator
      @TheSchultinator 3 года назад +64

      To be fair, the Pacific Fleet's pre-war plan pretty much (unknowingly) played along with the Japanese Navy's plans. Then Pearl Harbor sunk all the BBs and only the carriers were left, so the USN had to adopt a completely different strategy.

    • @BHuang92
      @BHuang92 3 года назад +50

      @@TheSchultinator So basically, Japan lost the war the moment the bombs fell in Pearl Harbor.........

    • @Vespuchian
      @Vespuchian 3 года назад +56

      @@TheSchultinator Very true, but it strikes me that Japan still thought that even after losing their battleships the Americans would still act exactly the same way, as if the Pearl Harbour attack never happened, just with the Atlantic Fleet. Essentially by assuming the Americans were doctrinally rigid, Japan made itself likewise.

  • @Ron52G
    @Ron52G 3 года назад +148

    Tōjō now in charge of Japan's highest political office, it became clear the army would lead the navy into a war about which Yamamoto had serious reservations. He wrote to an ultranationalist:
    Should hostilities once break out between Japan and the United States, it would not be enough that we take Guam and the Philippines, nor even Hawaii and San Francisco. To make victory certain, we would have to march into Washington and dictate the terms of peace in the White House. I wonder if our politicians [who speak so lightly of a Japanese-American war] have confidence as to the final outcome and are prepared to make the necessary sacrifices

    • @gameandgamer1479
      @gameandgamer1479 3 года назад +37

      Yamamoto: “The Americans won’t just surrender to us like that. Why, we would need to dictate peace terms in the bloody White House to make them quit!”
      US Media: “OUTRAGE! YAMAMOTO PLANS TO DICTATE PEACE TERMS IN WHITE HOUSE”
      Yamamoto: “What? No, wait, I said-“ *gets cut off by P-38s shooting down his G4M*

    • @ericstromberg9608
      @ericstromberg9608 3 года назад +23

      @@gameandgamer1479 Y'know... He probably would NOT have enjoyed living long enough to find out how right he had been about the outcome of a long war with the US.

    • @RW77777777
      @RW77777777 2 года назад +5

      yup
      Y demoted Takagi for poor KK after The Battle of Java Sea
      T sank 3 ships and damaged a dozen others, with no losses in his own 20 ships
      the amount of allied losses necessary to view each engagement as a victory for Y was; impossibly high.
      it's a ridiculous scene for a battle that isn't self defense

    • @FrankHeuvelman
      @FrankHeuvelman Год назад +3

      *_"Give me a FED from who I can borrow billions and billions to finance this war..!"_*

    • @dutchhoke6555
      @dutchhoke6555 Год назад

      Interesting memo..
      War on two fronts is oft cited as a major Hitler blunder. China was
      unsubdued,war with Russia a real possibility ; even conquest of Australia was judged by IJ leadership to be..not possible. US
      dwarfed Britain in capacity, population, strategic position .
      IJ Pacific empire
      was a series of marginally mutually
      supportive garrisons, (dependent on air & sea forces to cover the gaps ) vulnerable to envelopement/total defeat in detail. Possibly IJ leaders realized that going on the defensive would signal the beginning of the end.

  • @andreaspersson5639
    @andreaspersson5639 3 года назад +179

    Seems like all Japanese strategic plans end with
    Step n: ???
    Step n+1: They sue for peace
    Step n+2: Profit

    • @ztoob8898
      @ztoob8898 3 года назад +11

      Yes, but when do they collect underpants? They left out that crucial step, and... well, we all know what happened.

    • @Julianna.Domina
      @Julianna.Domina 3 года назад

      @@ztoob8898 *THE PANTY RAID*

    • @bubbasbigblast8563
      @bubbasbigblast8563 3 года назад +14

      It's a flow chart:
      1. ATTACK!
      |
      2. They suffer hideous casualties .--------------------------------------------------- They don't, and we are now losing.
      | |
      3. They lose the will to fight. Wait, that can't happen, we're racially superior.
      | |
      4. They sue for peace. WHY DO WE KEEP LOSING?!? WE'RE RACIALLY SUPERIOR!

    • @darrellsmith4204
      @darrellsmith4204 3 года назад +8

      @@bubbasbigblast8563 You think the USA might have been able to see how that worked before VietNam, but no.....

    • @VersusARCH
      @VersusARCH 3 года назад +2

      Bite and hold. It worked more often than not: the First Sino-Japanese War, Russo-Japanese War and the Invasion of Manchuria... Hindsight is a wonderful thing but it was not unreasonable at the time. In fact the WW2-style unconditional surrenders happened rarely in history.

  • @wrayday7149
    @wrayday7149 3 года назад +39

    "If it sails, it will be alert and active."
    HMS Glorious: "Huh?"

  • @amschind
    @amschind 3 года назад +91

    "As for the Japanese, they will be ground to powder. All that is left is the proper application of overwhelming force." Winston did not mince words....he more or less hurled them at objects that irked him.
    I would argue that the Kantai Kessen happened despite Japanese losses in 1942-3 at the Battle of the Philippine Sea. It was viewed that way by Japanese planners and their preparation for it was the main reason why 1943 had no major carrier battles. The Japanese were able to force a battle of favorable terms, but the tactical changes in the US navy in 1942-43 vastly outstripped those in the IJN. US air defence doctrine had crystallized since the Battle of the Santa Cruz Islands into a coordinated system that little resembled its efforts at any prior engagement. The addition of proximity fuzed AAA helped, but the fleet level coordination of destroyer radar pickets combined with constant CAP meant that incoming aerial attacks would be met with furious opposition starting over one hundred miles from the carriers.
    I would thus argue that while your criticism of the strategic flaws in the Kantai Kessen doctrine are sound, it was also severely hindered by a failure to address evolving tactics.

    • @VersusARCH
      @VersusARCH 3 года назад +9

      Very much true, but you failed to mention 2:1 advantage in numbers for the US, more advanced aircraft and radar as well as signals intelligence.

    • @robyoung703
      @robyoung703 2 года назад +1

      Hmm, well put sir. I can't deny your accuracy of the events but I don't think there was kantai Kessel style Battle through the entire war with the possible exception of midway.
      My reading of the kantai Kessen is that both sides are going to take all thier best war ships, gather them together in big formations and ram them down the other sides facehole. Kantai kessen hadn't been achieved since Jutland, because midway had no gun duel and every other campaign you mention is a loose bunch of skirmishes and night actions, not the bushido style ass kicking the IJN wanted.

    • @asteropax6469
      @asteropax6469 Год назад +2

      The most important tactical change was a result from Pearl Harbor: Carriers as the lead capital ship.
      The US had to do it because they were the only capital ship they had following the attack as their battleships were out of the picture. Given how the carrier’s air group can kill a battleship before it can get in range, they proved to be the new flagship of any fleet. Japan didn’t make the change until 2 years later.

  • @trekaddict
    @trekaddict 3 года назад +77

    E.M.U. Defence system. Clearly the biggest flaw of the Japanese strategy was not to negotiate a limitation to that during the Naval Treaties.

    • @panzermacher
      @panzermacher 3 года назад +8

      Well, even the ADF tried to rein in the E.M.U in 1932, but the E.M.U were having none of that & thumbed their noses at the ADF by increasing their numbers despite Government protests.

  • @Maddog3060
    @Maddog3060 3 года назад +126

    Rather interesting. The whole "And then what?" question that was never really answered by the Japanese planners.

    • @phbrinsden
      @phbrinsden 3 года назад +7

      A bit like the Gulf war to evict Iraq from Kuwait and crush Sadams forces. US had no follow up plan and we know here that led.

    • @Wolfeson28
      @Wolfeson28 3 года назад +30

      @@phbrinsden Not really. The whole thing about 1991 was that the objectives were limited to defeating the Iraqi military and liberating Kuwait; objectives that military force was entirely capable of accomplishing, and did. More complex ideas like overthrowing Saddam or occupying Iraq were avoided in 1991 precisely because those went well beyond military objectives and there wasn't a clear plan for accomplishing them. The second go-round in 2003 was another story entirely.

    • @puskascat
      @puskascat 3 года назад +3

      ​@@Wolfeson28 The Americans were a bit like that in WWII before and after Overlord as they wanted a quick in and out victory. Montgomery thought that things would be different and that a massive build up to allow momentum to be maintained once the ball was rolling was necessary. Similarly, in the run up to GW II the British advised the Americans that they needed a continuation and an occupation plan after the invasion, and that far greater forces would be needed, but were ignored. The American war planners didn't understand - they found it convenient not to understand - that they needed to steamroller the entire country into total submission.

    • @robc4191
      @robc4191 3 года назад +1

      @@phbrinsden sounds like a pack of idiots that recently attacked the U.S. Capitol. Once they got in it all fell apart 'cause nobody thought that part out.
      Maybe it's just human nature.

  • @Big_E_Soul_Fragment
    @Big_E_Soul_Fragment 3 года назад +79

    French school of thought AKA Kamchatka's worst nightmare

    • @tanyl85
      @tanyl85 3 года назад +8

      ...do you see torpedo boats?

    • @bogdangabrielonete3467
      @bogdangabrielonete3467 3 года назад +1

      @Marc Joeseff G. Lajara Somewhere off the coast of Madagascar, a handful of binoculars are still waiting to be found

  • @lookythat2
    @lookythat2 3 года назад +29

    The primary weakness of the Decisive Battle doctrine (by any nation) is the concept of risk; it is win or die. If that battle is joined, there is no guarantee it will be won, and a loss will be catastrophic. The fate of the combatant hangs on one roll of the dice. Attritional warfare, on the other hand, has much less risk.
    The concept of the decisive battle dates back, in the West, at least to classical Greek times, possibly to get the fighting over with so everyone could go back to their fields and flocks so their communities don't starve.

  • @gerbrandvisser
    @gerbrandvisser 3 года назад +41

    Well done and particularly well researched! Talking to veterans of the IJN I was often surprised by the resentment of naval officers towards the army. They felt that often their hand was forced and that the IJN lacked an independent policy.

    • @glennsimpson7659
      @glennsimpson7659 3 года назад

      Which could never happen between USN and the US Army. Or the USMC and the USN (think Guadalcanal and RADM Kelly Turner).

    • @Gotterdammerung05
      @Gotterdammerung05 2 года назад +15

      @@glennsimpson7659 I don't think thats really a fair comparison. Break downs on communication is not quite the same as the US Army deciding to invade Truk in force, while the USMC goes island hopping and the Navy hates both and never wants to support them. The Americans had a unified strategic plan and the military carried it out. The Japanese had two strategic plans and each precluded the other as much as possible being carried out by their own branches.

  • @EricDKaufman
    @EricDKaufman 3 года назад +30

    @30:00 that is an EXCELLENT analysis of Mahan. My military history professor was of the same school of thought.

  • @jimcat68
    @jimcat68 Год назад +12

    I like the analogy of the dog trying to catch the car, that they hadn't thought the plan all the way through. But putting it in the perspective of the Russo-Japanese war and the battle of Tsushima shows that the Japanese naval command were also making the mistake common to so many military strategists: they were planning to fight the previous war.

  • @kurtru5selcrowe607
    @kurtru5selcrowe607 3 года назад +18

    Not to mention that if you sink a large number of ships in their harbor then it’s that much easier to re-float and repair them. Whereas the open ocean will typically claim what sinks.

  • @wiryantirta
    @wiryantirta 3 года назад +32

    Mahan to the IJN if he could comment anything: “guys next time READ THE ENTIRE thing what I wrote smh”

  • @johnmosbrook9964
    @johnmosbrook9964 3 года назад +32

    Even in total defeat and in retreat the IJN Admirals convinced themselves they were 'luring' the US Navy into a decisive battle. Admiral Kusaka candidly admitted later 'we were running'.

    • @doraemon61377
      @doraemon61377 4 месяца назад

      Americans still think they can win in Iraq, Afghanistan and Vietnam. They have great strategy too.

  • @johnm6201
    @johnm6201 3 года назад +49

    Given that in 2020 here in the states being "pearl harbor'd" is still a metaphor for a sneak attack. You were spot on with Japan pretty much removing any chance of a negotiated peace.

    • @scottyfox6376
      @scottyfox6376 3 года назад +5

      To be fair, the failure to decrypt the embassy Declaration of War msg in time before the attack wasn't deliberate, just a huge f#ck up tbh.

    • @PrinceOfDolAlmroth
      @PrinceOfDolAlmroth 3 года назад +18

      @@scottyfox6376 the message that was sent to washington was not a declaration of war, it was simply a ceasing of negotiations and a diplomatic breaking of relation. Nowhere in it was there a message of japan declaring war on the US, just that japan was breaking off relations with the united states, and while that message did arrive late, it did not qualify as a declaration of war, even if it was delivered on time.

    • @johnm6201
      @johnm6201 3 года назад +19

      Don't forget the fleet had set sailed in late November so regardless of when the message was delivered it was a planned sneak attack without a declaration of war

    • @TheGunderian
      @TheGunderian 2 года назад

      @@scottyfox6376 They had sent away the regular staff for extra security reasons

  • @matt-hew69
    @matt-hew69 3 года назад +24

    IJN: Brings world's largest battleship to have decisive battle.
    USN: SWARM OF FLETCHERS

    • @Rocketsong
      @Rocketsong 3 года назад +11

      Swarm of ANGRY Fletchers. ;-)

    • @the99throgue25
      @the99throgue25 3 года назад +2

      A battleship that did literally nothing useful but cost money at that

    • @carriertaiyo2694
      @carriertaiyo2694 3 года назад +4

      More like SWARM OF ESSEXES! =D

  • @christerprestberg3973
    @christerprestberg3973 3 года назад +50

    Drachinfel ; Everyone tried to forget the Ryujo.
    Me, watching this while playing the Ryujo in world of warships; wow rude

    • @bluemountain4181
      @bluemountain4181 3 года назад +8

      Ryujo was my favourite carrier before the carrier rework (stopped playing CVs after that)

    • @libraeotequever3pointoh95
      @libraeotequever3pointoh95 3 года назад

      I'm gonna have to sail my World of Warships Ryujo, now. 😎

    • @gameandgamer1479
      @gameandgamer1479 3 года назад

      Come on guys, the reeeeework wasn’t THAT bad. Carriers were cancer before and they’re cancer now, but at least now they can only be cancer to one ship at a time. On average, it isn’t really harder or easier to fight against them (with the notable exception of DDs trying to kill them and getting their shit kicked in), but now it’s arguably more fun to actually play them on the whole. Carriers now have a much easier time doing SOMETHING in the battle but have to work just as hard and play just as well as other classes for a monster game.
      I just wish they hadn’t gotten rid of the V, VII, and IX carriers. Like come on, no Taihou or Hiryuu? No Bogue or Essex? For shame. I understand why they did it though, with cv gameplay being more fun and accessible to new players the game would be too saturated with them.

    • @ImaSpacePotato
      @ImaSpacePotato 3 года назад +1

      Pretty sure he said Ryuuhou no?

    • @arkdeso2864
      @arkdeso2864 День назад

      poor ryujo

  • @xgford94
    @xgford94 3 года назад +27

    Invading Australia apart from the EMU system you also have to take into account the lots and lots and lots of nothing barrier between the Australian coast closest Japan and the bulk of Australian cities

    • @bkjeong4302
      @bkjeong4302 Год назад

      Which is why they didn’t bother.

  • @John-ru5ud
    @John-ru5ud 3 года назад +28

    What the Japanese failed to take into account was that the U.S. Navy would keep advancing its forward bases. San Diego to Pearl Harbor (Midway for submarines). Pearl Harbor to the Marshall Islands. The Marshall Islands to the Mariana Islands. And add in refueling / resupplying at sea. Never a long, long supply line. The contribution of the Sea Bees cannot be underestimated.

    • @bkjeong4302
      @bkjeong4302 3 года назад +6

      This absolutely cannot be understated-it undermined the Japanese logic behind causing the enemy to extend their supply lines, rendering the whole doctrine invalid.

    • @VersusARCH
      @VersusARCH 3 года назад

      Those bases are nice targets for the Japanese carrier aircraft (see Pearl Harbor). Unless they are beaten back in a... DECISIVE BATTLE:
      Coral Sea - target Port Moresby
      Midway - target Midway
      Eastern Solomons and Santa Cruz - target Henderson Field on Guadalcanal
      Philippine Sea - target US invasion fleet off the Mariana Islands
      Leyte Gulf - target US invasion fleet off the Philippines...
      So how wrong was the Kantai Kessen doctrine really?

    • @griffinfaulkner3514
      @griffinfaulkner3514 2 года назад

      @@VersusARCH Because the Japanese were counting in losses taken on the way to battle, hence their emphasis on night fighting. If those same targets have a continuously reduced travel time to get to the actual battle, the odds of engaging and reducing the size of that force go down dramatically, meaning much worse odds in the big decisive battle.

  • @SkilledOutdoorsman
    @SkilledOutdoorsman 3 года назад +16

    >The Japanese simply didn't have that many ships with the range to go all the way across Pacific and back again, and their torpedo boats definitely didn't
    Kamchatka: *press X to doubt*

  • @slurpat7162
    @slurpat7162 3 года назад +13

    Hidden away at 46:58 and 47:42 are two of the best Pearl Harbor attack photos I've ever seen, one blurry and the other sharp and clear, each telling a story as if it were still December 7, 1941. Your narration leading up to these photos kept me happily up long into the night, and gave me a comprehensive overview of events leading up to and following this attack. Thanks much.

  • @GeekControl2MajorTim
    @GeekControl2MajorTim 3 года назад +33

    I was totally expecting the Blackadder approach when he said, "there was one massive for with the kantai kessen strategy... It was bollocks"

  • @shaunsalter450
    @shaunsalter450 3 года назад +22

    Even though you answered the "what were they thinking" question on Japanese strategic planning, it's still a valid question: What they heck were they thinking! Fascinating stuff. It demonstrates the importance of understanding the character of your opponent, not just their capacity: Of course the 'Merkins would prepare their heaviest boots for a kick-back after Pearl Harbour. I wish we had this resource when I did O-level history...

    • @ineednochannelyoutube5384
      @ineednochannelyoutube5384 3 года назад +6

      Ascribing character to a nation in attempting to predict its histprical decisions is a massive flaw I feel.
      For example numerous planners were expecting nations to swiftly crumble in war, and the historical evidence points to almost without fail all belligerents fighting until their capacity to make war is totally exhausted in total war.

    • @dennisweidner288
      @dennisweidner288 3 года назад +2

      @ Shaun Salter They were thinking that the Germans had defeated the Red Army and that America would have to ficus its resources on the European conflict,

  • @ditzydoo4378
    @ditzydoo4378 3 года назад +47

    20:26, Omaha Cruisers with all the protection of an "Ambitious" sheet of paper... o_0 LMAO at that, I dearly love your dry English wit Sir Drachinifel... >_

    • @wrayday7149
      @wrayday7149 3 года назад +2

      They were hoping for a War Thunder “No armor = best armor” strategy.

    • @ditzydoo4378
      @ditzydoo4378 3 года назад +2

      @@wrayday7149 Yep! if it passes through with no boom, simply patch, rinse and repeat.

    • @snakes3425
      @snakes3425 3 года назад +7

      Ironic that not a single Omaha was lost in the war

    • @ditzydoo4378
      @ditzydoo4378 3 года назад +2

      @@snakes3425 That was a bit of a small miracle considering their opponents.

  • @professional3028
    @professional3028 3 года назад +69

    Kantai Kessen: Jutland off Sydney heads without Beatty

    • @VersusARCH
      @VersusARCH 3 года назад +5

      Kurita and Nishimura checking in... (interesting to compare Nishimura - Shima team to Jellicoe - Beatty. All in reverse, and in totally different strategic situation).

    • @deeznoots6241
      @deeznoots6241 3 года назад +4

      On one hand god i would love to see that, on the other hand that could potentially actually extend the war since there would be less German sailors to form the nucleus of the 1919 German revolution

    • @daviddechamplain5718
      @daviddechamplain5718 3 года назад +3

      @@deeznoots6241 Maybe a little, but the German army was falling apart in late 1918. Luendorff had wanted an armistice in October.

    • @thanakonpraepanich4284
      @thanakonpraepanich4284 3 года назад +2

      @@VersusARCH I think Nishimura knew he was on a suicide mission from the get go.

    • @ThroneOfBhaal
      @ThroneOfBhaal 3 года назад

      But how will we manage without Beaty...

  • @AdmRose
    @AdmRose 3 года назад +18

    To quote Blackadder, there was a tiny flaw with the plan:
    It was bollocks.

  • @Yuzral
    @Yuzral 3 года назад +19

    If your opponent is scraping the bottom of the barrel (or seeing if the barrel itself will float): Method.
    If your opponent can build two more navies: Madness.

  • @AHBdV
    @AHBdV 3 года назад +6

    I think one major aspect is missing... in the late 1930, the USA had started a massive shipbuilding program with 6 fast battleships and 6 (or 8?) fleet carriers. Meaning that they doubled their strength! No matter what strategy Japan adopted, you cannot fight such numerical superiority. The first 2 new battleships had been launched before Pearl Harbor, and were ready to fight at the Solomon's .
    By the time of the Marianas and Philipine campaign, the US Navy consist of all new carriers and battleships. The USA was building ships quicker than Japan could destroy them.
    When Yamato was sunk, it was attacked by 7 fleet carriers, which is more than the entire pre-war carrier fleet.
    Had this ship building program started in 1942, instead of 1936, the war would have looked very different.

  • @wekapeka3493
    @wekapeka3493 3 года назад +22

    “Like a dog chasing a car”. Love the analogy. Love the channel.

    • @VersusARCH
      @VersusARCH 3 года назад

      That is Drach confusing the operational naval doctrine with overall national policy. Japan won 2 major wars against stronger opponents before WW2 (1.st SIno-Japanese and Russo Japanese war... WW1 was a skirmish insofar the Japanese participation was concerned) with exactly the same doctrine. But during those two wars nobody intervened against them, in fact they had a mutual defense pact with UK during the latter of the two...

  • @seannordeen5019
    @seannordeen5019 3 года назад +28

    I'd like to see a video on the development of the USN's replenishment of ships underway techniques and doctrine which was superior to every other nation in WWII. From what little I know, the beginings seem to date to WW1 when it had to get shorter range destroyers to Europe. It's interesting to see a young officer named Nimitz involved to a small extent.

    • @f430ferrari5
      @f430ferrari5 3 года назад

      @Sean Nordeen. Try this vid. It’s pretty good but a bit misleading.
      The vid doesn’t account for the huge head start the IJN has and it doesn’t split the vessels used for Atlantic and Pacific. It’s not a fair comparison.
      Example. All the escort carriers were already promised to Britain.
      ruclips.net/video/l9ag2x3CS9M/видео.html

    • @donaldbowen5423
      @donaldbowen5423 3 года назад +4

      READ "BEANS,BULLETS AND BLACK OIL" IN KINDLE

    • @TheGunderian
      @TheGunderian 2 года назад +1

      What is greatly ignored is the US fast development of naval and air bases.
      These allowed the projection of all other forms of power.

    • @MoultrieGeek
      @MoultrieGeek 9 месяцев назад +1

      @@donaldbowen5423 Outstanding book, I never thought logistics could be so interesting and complex.

  • @mpetersen6
    @mpetersen6 3 года назад +21

    A new school of thought coming out of France. If one simply puts the most luxurious hotels possible to sea the enemy will feel the immediate urge to drop all hostile activity and check in for a spa day. Then you escort them to their 4 star accomadations in the ships brig. For the British one must never conduct gunnery practice as it musses the paintwork. Simply won't do old chap.

    • @matehavlik4559
      @matehavlik4559 3 года назад +1

      mpetersen6 of course France improved on that strategy, and what the French navy is doing now is escort the enemy to British waters, and they are put up in hotels there.

  • @thunderK5
    @thunderK5 3 года назад +11

    That "..." between "win the decisive battle" and "Americans give up" has the IJN resembling the Underpants Gnomes of South Park.

  • @madalheidis
    @madalheidis 2 года назад +4

    Thanks for covering this, Drach! You've helped me patch two of the biggest holes with an alt-hist project I've been working on. The answer is quite simple: Don't make attritional warfare when the opponent has the materiel advantage, and also don't expect the enemy to do something you wouldn't.

  • @markmaki4460
    @markmaki4460 3 года назад +8

    Dog chasing the car - i love the metaphor. The one time my dog (when i was 12) caught up with a car, she decided it was a good idea to maneuver in front of it, at which point she was run over. (She survived but was scuffed up a bit).

    • @sundiver137
      @sundiver137 3 года назад +1

      One could say the same for Japan....

  • @panchoamd
    @panchoamd 3 года назад +1

    MONUMENTAL!!! Excellent job, Drach!! Thank you very much for making such an illustrating video!!

  • @patw1687
    @patw1687 3 года назад +2

    Drach. This was a good presentation (as always). The quality of the presentation shows through. Thank you for all the hard work.

  • @enzedpcs2
    @enzedpcs2 3 года назад +3

    Thanks for all your content I never knew I was interested in Navel history, but I’m now thanks to you.

  • @jamesharding3459
    @jamesharding3459 3 года назад +14

    The Kantai Kessen doctrine reminds me of the dreadful battle at Verdun in the First World War. To oversimplify it greatly, the German army planned to bleed the French by forcing them to defend the city and then, not to put too fine a point on it, shelling the shit out of them. However, over time, the campaign shifted from causing casualties to taking the city. After several months and nearly a million casualties, despite a very promising beginning, the operation was very much a failure.

    • @americankid7782
      @americankid7782 Год назад

      The Battle of Verdun was one the German Army did not want to partake in.
      But due to the Strategic Location and Power of Verdun, they didn’t really have a choice.
      And Both sides knew that.

    • @jamesharding3459
      @jamesharding3459 Год назад

      @@americankid7782 What on earth? Are you learning history from some map game? Verdun was a strategic irrelevance, taking it would have not facilitated any German advantage. Conversely, inflicting the heavy casualties intended would have considerable effect on the French army.

  • @3ducksinamansuit
    @3ducksinamansuit 2 года назад +2

    This is one of my favorite channels. In depth, funny and interesting topics. If you keep making videos, I'll keep watching them.

  • @mollybell5779
    @mollybell5779 7 месяцев назад +1

    Didn't discover your channel until about a year ago, so still some catching up to do. I have to say, the level of detail combined with your articulation and passion concerning the subject matter is brilliant. Thank you so much for all you teach.

  • @Aotearas
    @Aotearas 3 года назад +32

    Japanese torpedoboats you say?
    *heavy Kamchatka breathing in the distance*

    • @lordskeleton3928
      @lordskeleton3928 3 года назад

      Lol pack it in you, I just giggled in me coffee

    • @bogdangabrielonete3467
      @bogdangabrielonete3467 3 года назад +2

      *Rozhestvensky* : Don't make me hurl another binocular at you 👉

  • @kenjiwenger1803
    @kenjiwenger1803 3 года назад +29

    Japan has forgotten the Vladivostok - squadron doing considerable damage to their troop transports in 1904 and the lessons learned in the Mediterranean during WWI concerning escorts by just looking at the big gun battles. So their greatest victory at Tsushima haunted them 4 decates later, they totally ignored the threat to their own shipping from subs. Perhaps the transition from Samurai feudalism to Great Power with first class navy went to fast...

  • @deltavee2
    @deltavee2 3 года назад

    Thank you, Drach. That was a very nice precis of a very expansive subject. Well done, sir. As always. I enjoyed ever second of it.

  • @kitkun7669
    @kitkun7669 3 года назад +25

    The Kantai Kessen is pretty much the definitive expression of, "No plan survives contact with the enemy."
    Another nail in the plan's coffin I feel is that by the outbreak of war, the US had learned the importance of logistics. With the Great White Fleet and WWI still in memory, the US made sure to build plenty of well-escorted supplies and transportation as well. This would keep the war at Japan's doorstep even despite Pearl Harbor.

  • @nathan290192
    @nathan290192 3 года назад +3

    Damn I love this channel. The in depth information, the way its told, the romance... Cheers from the Belgian navy 👍

  • @orwellboy1958
    @orwellboy1958 3 года назад +15

    Its raining so hard here I'm expecting the IJN to hove into view at any moment.

  • @dichebach
    @dichebach 2 года назад

    Really excellent synthesis! Learned a few things and had a few things I'd forgotten refreshed. Well done.

  • @davepratt9909
    @davepratt9909 3 года назад

    I am constantly amazed at your ability to put these out week after week. BZ!

  • @neurofiedyamato8763
    @neurofiedyamato8763 3 года назад +4

    Amazing video. Although I'm quite familiar with the details of the strategy I never made the connection between this and the Japanese's refusal to deploy its battleships. It all make sense now. Your breakdown of its faults and the overall operational change help me further understand why it didn't work. it sounds pretty good on paper yet when asked why it failed, the most common explanation is pretty unsatisfying and simplistic. You definitely explained this topic wonderfully. It is definitely one of my favorite episodes, along with your armor and boiler development episodes.

  • @MoultrieGeek
    @MoultrieGeek 3 года назад +9

    Another brilliant, in-depth analysis. At this point the "like" is automatic, subscribed months ago.

  • @straswa
    @straswa 2 года назад

    Great vid Drach! I really appreciate the amount of effort you put into your vids.

  • @kushanblackrazor6614
    @kushanblackrazor6614 3 года назад +1

    I'm reading through "Kaigun" right now and this is an excellent companion piece to it. Well done.

  • @DrThunder88
    @DrThunder88 3 года назад +24

    Between this video and Mark Felton's recent one on Japanese brutality in WWII, I feel like I've gained more insight into the Japanese mindset of the period than I ever had before.

  • @zexusdexus4193
    @zexusdexus4193 3 года назад +17

    Like everything else, if it works, it's method, if it doesn't, madness.

  • @bandbrandjay5103
    @bandbrandjay5103 3 года назад +2

    The writing is getting progressively better with every episode. Thumbs up!

  • @davidangelo8902
    @davidangelo8902 3 года назад

    hi Drach, These Rum Ration videos are Bloody Marvelous! I hope you'll do a bunch more. All the best, David

  • @curium9622
    @curium9622 3 года назад +116

    Last time I was this early rokosovsky still had enough binoculars for Tsushima

    • @thatsme9875
      @thatsme9875 3 года назад +1

      nice allusion !!

    • @silaskuemmerle2505
      @silaskuemmerle2505 3 года назад +8

      Before or after Kamchatka reported torpedo boats the first time?

    • @Rammstein0963.
      @Rammstein0963. 3 года назад +13

      You mean Rozhestvenskiy?

    • @ithidt6587
      @ithidt6587 3 года назад +9

      How exactly is Rokossovsky related to the pre-WW1 naval warfare?

    • @jillfizzard1018
      @jillfizzard1018 3 года назад +1

      @@ithidt6587 He commanded Russian ships in the Russian-Japanese war of the 1900s

  • @brucepoole8552
    @brucepoole8552 2 года назад +6

    Interesting, I think, and I am not a particularly good thinker, that if the American carriers were in pearl harbor for the sneak attack and were subsequently destroyed, it would have achieved nothing more than the war taking a bit longer to culminate with the outcome very, very similar to that which did occur,
    And that ends this remark thank you for reading

  • @GM-fh5jp
    @GM-fh5jp 3 года назад

    Another quality naval video Drach.
    It's always a pleasure to listen and watch your posts.
    oh, and by the way...your pronunciation of Kantai Kessen is fine.

  • @warroompainstate2661
    @warroompainstate2661 3 года назад +1

    War room fans love this channel, keep up the good work Drac. Love the content

  • @nicholas209
    @nicholas209 3 года назад +46

    Kantai Kessen, has Drach finally joined the weebs? Oh wait wrong Kantai.
    Speaking of which, if you play Kantai Collection you see echoes of the thinking Drach lays out in the video everywhere, which makes sense since it's such an IJN focused game. The attritional warfare strategy he mentions, with cruiser escorted destroyers, is why one of the most common required fleets is a torpedo squadron of a light cruiser and 5 destroyers. And of course night battles are important enough that they're a separate (potential) phase of most battles where the damage cap is almost doubled. These kinds of historical details are a big part of what drew me into the game.

    • @yoseipilot
      @yoseipilot 3 года назад +2

      Kantai = Fleet

    • @madwolf0966
      @madwolf0966 3 года назад +8

      That and hot waifus. (Kongo is bae)

    • @ThrowawayModeller
      @ThrowawayModeller 3 года назад +2

      @@therake8897 >tfw you use Kazagumo in E-4 but she is God incarnate in E-7
      why even live

    • @raphaelseat6410
      @raphaelseat6410 3 года назад +6

      @@madwolf0966 team Kaga (Kongo is good too though)

    • @dimdimbramantyo7666
      @dimdimbramantyo7666 3 года назад

      Did I just read a fucking historical analysis on a gacha-based weeb game? Noice

  • @barrybend7189
    @barrybend7189 3 года назад +19

    Japan: bombs US major battlegroup..... misses every carrier and escort vessel.
    USN: improvise, adapt, overcome.

  • @stephaniewilson3955
    @stephaniewilson3955 3 года назад

    A very thorough explanation. A classic case of fixating on one thing while all around is changing.

    • @bkjeong4302
      @bkjeong4302 3 года назад

      The really big one being that the US wasn't going to bring the fight to Japan quickly as the Japanese planned for.

  • @Rift45
    @Rift45 3 года назад

    Great video!! Love these in depth histories

  • @sanitarycockroach9038
    @sanitarycockroach9038 3 года назад +15

    As an American, I can attest that a significant amount of us have a nasty stubborn streak, so there is little chance we would recognize other military powers as so superior as to not be beatable. We also have a tendency to take attacks on our actual states rather...... *personally* .

    • @dankuchar6821
      @dankuchar6821 3 года назад +3

      People forget that America was populated with people that left all these other countries. That gives us a unique DNA. We don't put up with other people's crap.
      We may put up with our own crap, but outside people best leave us alone.

    • @TheGunderian
      @TheGunderian 2 года назад +4

      HI was not a state yet but otherwise Yes

    • @SithFTW4072
      @SithFTW4072 3 дня назад

      More importantly, they messed with America's boats. Never a good idea

    • @sanitarycockroach9038
      @sanitarycockroach9038 2 дня назад

      @@SithFTW4072 No touchy le boats

  • @Historyfan476AD
    @Historyfan476AD 3 года назад +45

    Like with most Japanese plans this one could only work in a vacuum where the enemy does not react, or act in a way that goes against the plan, and also does not take into account the enemy's economical might.

    • @bubbasbigblast8563
      @bubbasbigblast8563 3 года назад +3

      They did account for the US economy...by telling their pilots to shoot down something like seven planes each, I forget the exact number. The fact that it's considered a big deal to shoot down even five might seem relevant to that... but we don't want to be executed for cowardice so sure, no problem boss.

    • @Historyfan476AD
      @Historyfan476AD 3 года назад +2

      @UCbOExR2Np1oSylYzNo51ENQ Plans where the enemy just acts like you want them to are quite commonly drawn up.
      Even the United States has fallen into this trap some what a lot of their war games also limits their opponents and stacks things in the USA favour.
      I remember the 2000 millennium war game where they war gamed against a Iran stand in and the guy in charge of the stand in Iran did a lot of out of the box moves which did some nasty damage to US forces. So each time he did that they did not allow him to do it when they restarted the game. by the end of the game the US had Won but it was very clear that the result was rigged to favour the USA feelings.

    • @marcomontanarini1836
      @marcomontanarini1836 Год назад

      @@Historyfan476AD looks a lot what happened in Japan High Command when they wargamed the midway operation. The first result saw a staggering loss of tow or three carriers due to a surprise US attack (if I remember correctly). Then they restarted the game considering as granted that the US fleet would be spotted in time. The result was just the opposite. A crushing defeat for the US Navy. Apparently they took in consideration only the second conclusion while planning the real operation.

  • @lancethompson6839
    @lancethompson6839 3 года назад

    Terrific analysis and discussion. Thanks!

  • @Thecoolman1
    @Thecoolman1 3 года назад

    A good informative video as usual!

  • @garykeenan8591
    @garykeenan8591 3 года назад +12

    The photos of the ships with the bridge structures seemingly made of Legos by a 6 year old makes me think a history of the battleship mast from 1750 or so to 1945 might be almost as interesting as the Hotels Go To War video you did on French battleships. From mast with sails and crow's nest to lattice mast to tripod etc. with the changes in steering/propulsion and targeting seems worth a recounting. If this was covered in another presentation, I'll hunt it down on my quest for seeing every video you have done. 21 gun salute for this latest, Drachinifel.

    • @glennsimpson7659
      @glennsimpson7659 3 года назад +4

      Hear hear! Just identifying what all those levels on Nagato’s bridge were used for, for example, would take its own 5 Minute Guide to Warships (lasting the traditional 30 minutes, of course). You can tentatively identify the admiral’s bridge, navigating bridge, signal bridge, wheelhouse, conning tower, secondary directors, AA directors, air lookouts, sea lookouts, main battery directors, and there still seem to be a lot of windows and platforms unaccounted for. And the top weight and lever arm on the ship when rolling must have been frightening. And there is the fascinating question of evolving battleship design philosophy - forward conning tower/bridge backed by rear tower mast (Graf Spee, Iowa, Richelieu) vs tripod/quadrupod mast with hanging platforms (Nagano, Royal Oak, Marat) vs apartment block (Rodney, KGV). Definitely seems to be national preferences involved but an analysis of the thinking, and advantages/disadvantages, would seem a fertile field of inquiry, and I am sure Drach could bring his usual amazing insights to the issue. Few books on warships cover this question at all, let alone in any detail. The only discussion I can recall is by Raven & Roberts of the HMS London conversion from a stacked platform bridge to a ‘Queen Anne Mansions’ style bridge which badly overstrained the hull, but the discussion was in terms of effects rather than the design philosophy behind it.

  • @shingshongshamalama
    @shingshongshamalama 3 года назад +28

    Japan in the 19th and 20th century fought all its wars with other nations _as if they were feuding Japanese warlords_
    In other words, the Warring States period ruined Japan's ability to approach war on a level of foundational doctrine.

    • @allangibson2408
      @allangibson2408 2 года назад +13

      Particularly as the Army and Navy had their own warlords. You know the Japanese were conflicted when you discovered that the Japanese Army had more submarines than the Japanese Navy…

  • @TheFeyd
    @TheFeyd 11 месяцев назад +1

    I have to say your videos are great. I’ve had a love of ww2 era ships (particularly the pacific theater since I was hopelessly addicted to a game called P.T.O).