US Navy CRISIS: Why Won't America Attack The Houthis - Naval News
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- Опубликовано: 22 дек 2023
- Indecision and inaction in the US Military chain of command threatens United States credibility abroad and endangers the lives of sailors in the Middle East theatre. Today we detail the infighting in the Pentagon and the White House resulting in no action being taken in the Red Sea.
One European country has had enough of the United States and has taken it upon themselves to begin escort operations between the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden.
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I just updated the Royal Navy Astute-class Sub Brief on www.patreon.com/subbrief and in the RUclips Members only area. Enjoy!
Aaron. I thought you were smart. What do you have between your ears? Hay? If the U.S. attack the Houthi, it would not take long before the SA oilfields would be targeted by them. What will that entail? Massive oil starvation on the western hemisphere, not to mention China. What would you do then? You must think a little longer than the end of your nose.
maybe the US isnt dealing with those european ships because they go the the euro cucks who put 1% gdp in the miltary and make fun of the US .. just a thought . that doesnt even cover the benefit the chinese and russians get from getting their ships through. we paying for them too?
Was that a pinky and the brain reference? The same thing we do ever night pinky, take over the world.
You bloodthirsty Americans!
@@erroneous6947 .. Oh boy. Yet another genius. You must press the correct button. Instead of answering me, you are answering Aaron. Try to be relevant.
I just got out of the Navy in 2022 and this type of inept leaders in the US mil are an infestation. I've never seen an organization favor yes men, box checkers, and professional power point producers as the US mil. It truly has lost the art of warfare in it's bloated, over corporatized state. The mass exedus of sailors and releclutance for new people to join is a direct result of the failure of leadership over the last two decades.
Well said bud and spot on. They are slowly ruining the most incredible, powerful, military machine to ever exist. Its sad and dangerous at thr same time
I retired August 2022 due to the “corporate likership” running the military into the ground.
@@billmurray1431 slowly ruining?? Buddy it's already ruined, we are done for.
ok, but riddle me this. It is easy to sit back and say pew pew everyone and everything. From a geopolitical lens, what has Yemen done to the United States to warrant basically declaring war on them? Every country in the world can transit freight throughout the purview of the Yemeni coastline. It is only Israel, Yemen has declared an embargo on. Why exactly should we put our blood and treasure on the line for? What do I tell my wife as to why our kid might die for? What exactly are my Tax dollars paying for? I thought the pro Trump crowd (including myself) wanted to keep us out of wars.
Done purposely to diminish our military, you figure out the reason.
I need you, Sal, HI Sutton, and Ward Carroll to form a powerhouse information channel so I can watch you all in one place.
You can. RUclips.....
Yes, Yes, and Yes! Subscribed to all three and Ward just posted a video with Sal,
might wanna check out Willy QAM aswell.
😂 exactly
Ward Carrol is a fucking joke lol.
USA: two fleets
France: one frigate ‘hold my beer’
At the moment it is only one frigate, but they could deploy other naval assets from the Indian Ocean and from Toulon in Southern France, and aerial assets from their Djibouti base.
Saychells sending a Pedalo lol. I bet the Houties are scared. lol.
@@derekferguson385They're not scared at all. The houthis can sink any vessel that threatens them...
@@brunol-p_g8800sounds like cope
@@gmw3083 But can they sink airstrikes?
I think it’s pretty clear that strategically starting a war in Yemen at this time is not a tenable idea. They’re real dig into those mountains and we know that trying to assault that country would kick off something real spicy.
Yep also with gen Z not wanting to join the military the usa won’t have enough personnel to hold up a potential prolonged war if one starts
also this navies are not as invincible as they were 10 or 20 years ago. sea drones and anti ship missals have made it impossible for the NAVY to operate with impunity. ask Russia, gorilla warfare in the high seas is not something this ships are built for. also Russia, iran and China will be jumping on the opportunity to send some of this weapons just to dgread US standing in the world. granted Russia cant send much in the way of weapons atm but given Ukraine doesn't have any navy..stand to reason Russia will be capable to be sending some anit ship missals and sea drones just to get back at the US. you can go after the houthis without dealing with the backers aka iran...russia and so on. China would also love nothing more than the US getting suck back in the middle east. the US is full of ego so if the huties sink even one of its ship's it will be all out war. the world feels like its on fire and there is no appetite for more war in the US and Europe. no way EU will follow the US back in to the middle east after the last debacle. there is a lot at play here that what this guy is saying
Who is talking about starting a war? Also, the Houthis attacked ships, they have already opened fire. So retaliatory strikes till these attacks stop are perfectly sensible and proportionate.
The dumbest thing is to have someone shoot at you and do nothing.
@@termitreter6545 you are right "The dumbest thing is to have someone shoot at you and do nothing" the houthis are thinking exactly the same thing. they didn't fire on US war ships, they fired at Israel and the US intercepted their drones. so its the US that fired first. second you can retaliate but without escalating into significant bombardment you wont deter the Houthis. if you escalate then it will be perfectly fine for them to directly target US war ships... and that wont bode well for the US war ships... given there will be sea drone and Iran..Russia and possible Chinese made anti ship missal's supplied to the Huties. would be perfect scenario for Iran to test out their missal systems. not everything has a military solution and not everything is a nail. perhaps let the ships go through cap town until this war dies down.
@@termitreter6545the USA has no legitimate military options for the Houthis. We are like an impotent old man. 😂
Man these "flags of convenience" aren't terribly convenient when you need actual protection.
While we should act at some point, the US needs to get more buy-in from other invested parties, both governmental and private sector. We are not rubes, we do not billions on a Defense Budget to give it out freely. Registering you ship as Panamanian affords you all the benefits that entails, principally lower operating costs and low taxes. It however DOES NOT include an obligation of the USN to protect your shipping routes. Private entities can either register their ships in the US, or pony up an appropriate amount of money/incentives if they want judicious application of firepower in another middle east nation.
Exactly why aren’t the shipping companies paying for it? There should be fees if they want protection.
So make the us navy into a mercenary organization.
Hopefully you don’t understand how international shipping works and the impact on the global economy, and food security it has - yes that includes America.
The incentive is that the world keeps ticking if that strait is open. If it’s closed we’re all screwed. Protection of global trade and international shipping and international law is what is paramount. Not who pays what to fly which flag.
We can end flags of convivence by listing the flags we will protect and telling insurers all the rest are on their own. NATO, Japan, South Korea, Australia and New Zealand would be default group, with the rest of the world having to ask for protection in exchange for...???
@@jager6863 bringing us food and computer chips? See how that works out
Sounds like the "creative inaction" I saw first hand in the federal government civilian sector. No one wants to do anything because it might turn out wrong so they delay, do nothing, and hope the situation changes or goes away.
There are 2 kinds of problems, big and small.
Big ones, you can't do anything about, so why bother?
Small ones will solve themselves, so also why bother?
@@thegalli And if you do something but it doesn't go well it's your name on the pyre.
Why the USMIL needs to be a PROFESSION instead of the immoral, inept BUREAUCRACY that it is.
Saudis Arabia bombed the hell out of Yemen for years and it did next to nothing. The US has nothing to gain by attacking the Houthis
That last line - very true.
It's pretty clear now that the only way to keep things from getting out of hand is to respond to aggressors immediately and decisively. Ukraine and the Red Sea should be more than enough to show the Western world this truth.
That’s exactly what they’ve done with Ukraine, Europe being the biggest contributor to both Ukraine’s military effort and Ukraine’s humanitarian effort.
Like Ike said, "speak softly and carry a big stick." He believed you shouldn't be drawn into conf l ict unless you're willing to crush the enemy.
Maybe just allow food and medicine into Gaza and you can use Yemeni waters.
The American led West is swirling the drain. Ukraine and Israel are the canaries in the coal mine. It's over. Face reality....
@@aymonfoxc1442 Teddy, not Ike, but yes all the same.
I’m no sailor nor privy to any information that isn’t public. That said - I thought the Navy mission changed a long time ago away from escorts unless the ships were flagged US. Most these ships are Chinese or Indian or Indonesian. Where are those navies? I’m sure we would protect our own, but we don’t really ship through those lanes so we? I think our navy is there to protect Israel and our own bases, and our US flagged shipping, but not third parties. That doesn’t seem to be our mission any longer.
I gotta agree with you. For the record Cosco ships are transiting through with no fear.
Thats because china and the nation of is|am owns bidumb and the Pentagon.
There are not so many ships with western flags, because it is far cheaper to register them in other Countries. So it is entirely possible to have US cargo on, say, a Liberian or Djibouti flagged ship. But you're right, main routes to the US aren't through that area.
You're trying to apply logic to this situation. There was logic with the original intent to protect cargo ships so that supplies could get through to Israel. However, the mus|ims ignore the Navy ships and attacked cargo ships destined for Israel anyway. The weak leadership in the White House and the Pentagon gave our warship commanders rules of engagement that allowed them to shoot down missiles but doesn't allow them to attack the launch sites. The mus|ims can see the weakness and our exploiting it.
Why Are you so sure the US navy should intervene? Any American ships attacked yet? Aare you so hot on the trigger ;-)
US do not want to start a war that it cannot finish. US president Bush (Jr) started a war on Taliban and said they will crush Taliban to a point where it will never come back to power. 20 years of futile exercise, numerous tomahawks, numerous aerial bombardment, numerous ground operations but net result against taliban remained zero. When you fight against resilient people then its really too hard to beat them as seen against Vietnamese and Taliban.
The issue is that the u.s. military would have had to fight more violently than the opposition, and that would require an unacceptable level of brutality by our troops.
Expecting people who historically allied on a family/tribe level, to suddenly come together and fight for their country as a whole, was a massive mistake and showed a gross and fundamental lack of understanding of how the people operated there before that time.
Expecting to crush the dominant stabilizing force in the region and reform generations of the local society was a huge fuckup.
It was a quagmire from the beginning to the end.
@@gang3576
Exactly. We did not make good dex.
@@gang3576Is the Taliban still actively supporting Al Qaeda or atracking US interests? Interestingly, the Talibans are attacking the Iranians and staying low-key relative to the War in Gaza.
Study geopolitics. 😩
@@gang3576Your kidding right. Afghanistan was destroyed by the Taliban the first time. It is being destroyed by by them now. Even a glance at the GDP numbers demonstrate that. They have no missile program because they lack the economy, the production capacity, and the intellectual background to build such things.
Don't worry too long about wars and the U.S. if tRump gets reelected. The U.S. will become a Totally Corrupt Isolationist country. Good Luck NATO. You'll All be on your own! Happy New Year?
If a ship flies a flag of convenience, then they can wait for the country they’re flagged in to send their own fleet.
Literally every ship fly a flag of convenience. Small island countries fly the US flag for USN protection, US ships fly another country’s flag for lesser taxes and lesser salaries to the employees, etc..
@joelborden: So you'll not complain then when the shortages come to a supermarket near you then? Remember the lesson from Evergiven? Modern trade is so interconnected, Singapore sneezes, Brazil gets a cold! It will take a few weeks, but shortages are a comin!
No need, we (Britain) are taking matters into our own hands.
@@PercyPruneMHDOIFandBarsJust allow food and medicine into the Gaza strip and you won't have to worry about using Yemeni waters.
LIBERIA TO THE RESCUE. Goooo Bahamas!
Really glad to hear you mention Sal’s channel, Aaron. Seems like a great guy. I guess y’all cool guys roll in a pack 😎
Thanks for your insight. Your perspective on these matters is always valuable.
Also yes, we’re definitely fucked.
Navy vet here. You assume we are able to do much more than we actually can. We are not geared for this. What happens when they sink something?
What is the basis of your assertion "we are not geared for this"? also, what do you mean by "this"? Not being critical I just want to understand your meaning.
The Houthis have the ability to reach out and touch these ships. This is not the 2000's anymore. The enemy has missles and drones well capable getting through ship defenses.
So what I'm saying is we are 'Geared' for wars of 10 or 20 years ago. Add to that how far we are projecting U.S power , costs..ect...ect
This is a losing proposition
@@raulquinones6192 The political fallout from losing a ship would make the political fallout from inaction seem miniscule by comparison, maybe you have a point and we shouldn't automatically assume we have the same kind of impunity that was enjoyed when striking Syria in the 2010's.
@@raulquinones6192 Disagree this threat can be easily taken care of. I think is more a question of political willingness. If the threat is substantial enough it comes down to what are people willing to do?
@@raulquinones6192 Agreed. Ukraine has shown navy warfare isn't what it used to be. As the ruZZians, why's their powerful fleet in hiding?
I don't have any qualifications but I think their dealing with a very multifaceted problem and want to avoid escalation. This is obviously affecting shipping but I don't think the Houthis are so dangerous that we need to strike immediately. H I Sutton said in his most recent video that the Houthis told the ship to stop and then they fired at a more or less stationary target.
Exactly. The US is trying to prevent an all out war in the middle east. Like you said, keep other actors at bay.
Thank you Mr. Aaron for speaking your mind on the topics that are in the forefront of many Veterans minds. I am a Navy Veteran and I discovered your channel after my second neck surgery in May of 2022. I binge watched all of your videos after my third neck surgery in July of this year. I normally don’t comment on RUclips videos, but I feel I needed to after watching this video. Thank you for saying what needed to be said. Thank you.. Thank you.. THANK YOU!!!
It sickens me to see what many of us Veterans have work towards for over 247 years just to watch it evaporate right in front of our eyes in real time.
It doesn't have to be like this.
I was stationed in West Germany when the wall fell. We thought we solved the world... Now it seems hopeless
@@cheddar2648no it doesn't but Americans seem to be choosing to adopt the things we fought against. Kinda hard to stomach.
Oh good grief. You're being a drama queen. The only US veterans alive that fought for American freedom are the few WWII vets still alive. The rest of you just served American business and economic interests. 🥴
@@M167A1No, you're all just being drama queens. Why can't you all seem to figure out that WE are creating these "terrorists?!" The US and the Saudis have been bombing Yemen for years! What exactly do you think should be done?? 🤔🤡
Arron, it is evident that your understanding of geopolitics is lacking. The Houtis are not a sovereign nation, nor is what they are doing happening in a vacuum. Obviously this is a complicated situation, exasperated by the war in Israel, the Iranian government pulling strings, the Ukraine war and what Turkey is doing, or not, as the case may be, the stakes at play with Egypt, and on and on...... I can appreciate your impatience and I agree that there should have been a more robust plan in place, but I imagine that plan did not take into account Israel being at war with Iranian proxies. Be patient brother, when it comes to geopolitics cooler heads must prevail or the worlds situation could get a whole lot worse real fast!
Explain how it makes sense for the U.S. to keep going out of its way to effectly appease the demands of private shipping companies and non U.S. flagged ships with free military support....
The narrative that the houthis are causing a shipping crisis is driven primarily by the risk tolerance of the massively powerful private shipping companies who have realized record windfall profits.
If europe truly needs the goods on these ships, wouldn't the risk tolerance have to change and require more substantial action by the nations said ships are in fact owned in?
Now the idea that the U.S. should strike the houthis requires a similar analysis. The shipping companies could petition their home governments to request support from U.S. military assets with pledging financial contributions or reflagging their ships to the U.S. Otherwise the wealthy nations of the world literally get free U.S. military support without having to incur any of the costs, danger, fatigue on sailors and wear and tear on military assets themselves.
Because we are allies? And the world looks to the US for security and leadership? Not anymore I guess.
None of said nations get free US military support. They literally spend billions every year in US bases around Europe, on top of loosing land to said US bases.
@christopho: Don't worry. Most people no longer trust the US, especially under sleepy joe. They aren't a reliable ally right now.
After the infamous pull-out, leaving long term allies high and dry, it's crystal clear that America is powerful and very badly led. Hopefully, the next administration will be better. Sadly, American politics has become so partisan it's rapidly freezing into immobility.
Personally, for once, I'd like to see the Royal Navy follow the French example, stop following USeless fleets around and actually get something done. It's unlikely to happen because the British prime(?) minister RishyWashy is just as weak as Biden but without the excuse of senility!
By the way, you do know a huge amount of US goods also transit Suez and the Med?
@@nathanryweck3137 Shouldn't Allies share in financial and materiel costs in a mutually beneficial alliance? I have no issue with any ship under imminent attack receiving military protection from any nation in good faith. The legal framework of open sea trade is fascinating and complicated.
The practice of consolato preserved evan as bilateral 'free' trade treaties were signed by more nations. The main reason mare clausum gave way to mare librum as coined by Hugo Groitus and the Dutch Republic was the decline of Spanish and Portuguese naval power and the rise of massively profitable international trade. This framework led to many treaties through the Paris Declaration Respecting Maritime Law of 1856 and UNCLOS of 1982. Freedom of navigation and trade is a very new concept and I would argue much more fragile than we all may think.
Have we considered that maybe Russia, China and Iran want us to be fighting in yemen?
They want to start as many fires in as many places as possible! Then sit back watch, ridicule, bitch, complain and maneuver for their best interests while we run around trying to put out fires. Meanwhile they'll keep lighting more.
Exactly. It’s the big picture being missed by too many.
Instead we send the message that we want to avoid a fight and as a result we end up with a much bigger one. Some people don't miss the big picture, they choose not to see it.
My thoughts exactly. The US is wise to keep its powder dry.
All this is doing is showing is that usa has lots its stomach for a fight. Reinforcing the impression biding gave out as soon as he took power.
Bidens disastrous withdrawal from afghan gave the green light to iran, north korea, russia and china to start acting up again and they all did. Immediately. Thats what biden did.
And now his priorities on diversity instead of competency is causing more problems.
Thank you for the update.
Thank you for your insight; may your observations open eyes and ears...
Remember Lloyd Austin said he was proud of how we pulled out of Afghanistan….
He’s always good to find excuses for disasters
Trump's decision.
Somehow it was labelled successful...Paying the Taliban to provide perimeter security, which they failed at spectacularly. Deciding to go to Kabul instead of the obvious choice of Bagram. Biden lying on TV saying no one would be left behind. Abandoning billions in military arms and equipment. Continued payments of billions to Iran. If this was successful, God help us when leadership has a failure.
Maybe Blinken can send the Houthis leader a stern letter ?
It's like that "SCARED" meme from a decade ago, where a baseball player is sticking out hiding behind a wall.
Aaron said it out loud. Thanks!💜
Everyone wants to go to war when they're not the ones actually fighting in the war. "Thank you for your service" doesn't register when an 81 is falling towards you.
Pentagon confirms: Vessel attacked off coast of India was hit by a drone fired from Iran: The tanker was described as having Israel links due to the fact that it was leased from a company that is indirectly owned by an Israel firm.
** Japanese Firm with one Israeli-American board member. If that's all it takes to be targeted then the "we only attack ships that support Israel" is a joke of a claim.
@@dalel3608always has been
This is a major development, if Iran itself is directly engaging in this sort of behavior. Maybe the US military is moving slowly to avoid provoking more mayhem while keeping open the option of laying on the hurt. I'm curious what the Iranians have to say about this strike on a vessel relatively far from the area.
@@beaglemusiclabs Speculation. Old grievances. Nuclear scientist assassinations and bombings in Iran. Although more strategic strikes in northern Lebanon increasing. Who knows. But Putin, Iran and China more aggressive and coordinating to assist Putin’s war effort in Ukraine
Thanks for reporting! And for shouting out Sal! :)
I appreciate your videos and Merry Christmas!
You summed it up pretty accurately there Chief!
Agree I always watch u and sal In sequence.
As a veteran, I have enjoyed your videos and been a subscriber for a couple years at this point.
I am sharing this with others who have been operating with blinders on.
Greatest closing line I've heard, and so true. Bureaucratic nightmares..
Great video!
France, Italy, and Spain have all pulled out of the US led mission. The French Ship is only protecting French flagged ships as they are actually escorting French flagged vessels.
Not surprised as they are hosting large populations of, ahem, "foreign guests" who have a commonality with those in Yemen.
Do you think this is a negative development? I keep asking why the burden constantly placed on the U.S. especially when it doesn't directly involve U.S. flagged ships?
The shipping companies are attempting to influence military action by claiming the risk is too high. If the goods on european or chinese owned ships are truly of necessity, that risk tolerance should change and any military support should come from the nations where ships or owned.... Unless they're prepared to pay the U.S. fully for all military operational costs incurred....
No, the French are protecting French owned ships, whatever the flag is, and they proposed to protect any European owned/flagged ship as well.
Sources:
-Gcaptain
-What’s going on with shipping
@@christopho3255 European owned/ other countries flagged ships do transport US Defence material such as weapons and vehicles…
Source:
-What’s going on with shipping
@@brunol-p_g8800 Indeed. This consideration still doesn't change the overall dynamics at play. As it is DoD prime contractors are price gouging U.S. taxpayers with immensely expensive weapons systems because there is no incentive to develop cost effective platforms i.e. Approximately 18 $2.5 million SM-x missiles were launched from USS Carney to intercept 14 drones launched from houthi controlled areas in Yemen that cost $20,000 maybe (source Ward Carroll). This disproportionate cost is already being used to promote targeted strikes and even ground force ops in Yemen by U.S. military forces as were seeing ftom many commentators. I simply think the developing global shipping security concerns and freedom of navigation in general requires more multilateral support, funding and action into the future.
The outro. Lol 😆 sums up the situation perfectly
Merry Christmas to all at the Sub Brief Team
Just found the channel and subscribed. I was already a Sal channel viewer for years
Lol, the ending. I keep asking what am I missing about this inaction?
You're missing that this is exactly what Russia, China, and Iran want. The US is being very wise not to get tangled up in Yemen.
You are watching the Roman Empire collapse in real time. Our cities are overrun by migrant hordes, our trade routes cannot be protected, and our children are exploited and seen as second class citizens in their own towns.
And to top it all off, no one wants to join the military to maintain this status quo, so we have politicians proposing foederati as replacements.
Its only going to get worse from here.
The US Allies are wary of being too close to the US policy in the Middle East. Specifically Spain and Italy have declined to join Operation Prosperity Guardian. Reportedly France has decided to work with the US as long as they do not have to take orders from US Commanders.
Italy and Spain left because nothing was happening. Biden indecision drove them away. France stayed but only if they could run ops themselves as they wish.
Well, the affected traffic has far more influence in European trade than North America. I'm a bit surprised there's only two ships on station from European states. Although I probably shouldn't be because their navy budgets dwindled for decades.
Many European nations already have a sizeable 5th column inside their borders ...
Belgium refuses to send a frigate, though one (we only have 2) is available for ops
@@Wannes_ They may not have one available with only two in total. Not sure on the timeline or readiness
@@rickjames18 F931 Louise Marie is available and even has a planned "cruise" to the area in 2024.
Many EU nations are hiding behind one another, preaching a "common action" while doing nothing.
Few things are as powerful as the violence of action
none of this should be a surprise given who the commander and chief is. i say we are meeting expectations.
No doubt. Diversity & perversity are his strengths.
Look who is in command.
At least we do not have mean tweets anymore and decency is back in Congress and Whitehouse.
good joke
Yup
Lol good video Aaron. God bless the US Navy. Stay safe out there fellas.
Write in "None of the above!" LoL
I'm sure that targeting coordinates for Tomahawks and perhaps bunker busting bombs are already in place, but as I said before it's always way easier to escalate than to de-escalate once the can is open. Keeping others out of conflict in this region is a factor in showing some restraint though I feel that sooner or later those targeting ooordinates will come to be used.
The results of Operation Praying Mantis contradict your statement.
Praying mantis was attacking naval ships. It worked but they are easier to find than mobile drone launchers on land.
The saudis did close to 10,000 air strikes. Didn't work.
@@pierredelecto7069 I’m referring to the escalation/de-escalation paradigm that op stated. I know targets are dissimilar.
Well it depends on what you wanna do. As long as the us doesn't wanna start "nation building" it's pretty simple to de escalate
You mean the same Tomahawks and bunker busters used in Afghanistan? And in the end, you al soiled your diapers and ran away. 😂😂😂😂
Everyone knows the houthis are not joking around, I think that’s the problem
Your last quip of a statement pretty much summed it up!
Apt assessment as always! 100%
Never seen someone get so eager for WW3 to begin. How many Ratheon shares does he have?
haahahah quickly becoming my fav geopolitical channel. Hilarious, informative and passionate. Cheers mate! Keep em coming. joining patreon now!
Lol. I was just on Sals channel. Then I came over here to get another perspective.
I wonder if it's possible that either they can't actually decide on what to do or it's deliberate in order to encourage other nations to take charge?
If they wanted others to take charge they wouldn’t have announced a operation led by US forces. They would have done nothing which is what they should have done.
We don't have any legitimate options. That's why we are doing nothing.
@@JamesOMalley-hb4tf I know for a fact they have plenty of options. The problem is the indecision at the top. The micromanaging and infighting due to indecision. The military is literally just waiting for a chance to do their jobs not just react to incoming. Basically, either the top leadership including Biden don't know what to do or can't make a decision.
I’ll take mean tweets and world peace any day. Thanks
Great brief as always, heads up FS Languedoc is pronounced “long-a-doc”
The average US citizen barely knows what is happening over there, let alone our inaction.
You are giving the average US citizen far too much credit for knowing anything at all.
@@Urbicide I didn't want to seem to negative.
The inept corrupt TIN CAN USN refuses to have a Naval Maritime Defense Force (NMDF) to arm merchant container ships and tankers; moreover, Mahan said the USN must have 300x armored cruisers (NOT UNDER 10, 000x ton TIN CANs that can't take direct hits) to insure global maritime trade.
Aaron, amazing job. Thank you for having the courage to tell it like it is. I fear we may be in the last years of the US empire
US Republic*. The American empire has yet to be born ala the Roman empire
@@burstingwizard975 we’ll see. Either we break up and fall, or the nation becomes even more oppressive then it is now
Not even close. We just have a senile president that has allowed his cabinet to operate in auto-pilot.
@@burstingwizard975USA became an empire in the late 1800s. The republic was usurped in the 1870s. It's absolutely an empire and a dying one as we speak.
May we quote your last line, because I think that it is pure WISDOM!
😆🤣
I think it was the updated 2023 entry about the Earth in the Hitchhikers Guide to the Galaxy.
From "Harmless," to "Mostly Harmless," and now, "We're F****d!"
@jimb9063 So long and thanks for all the fish!
@@lancekilkenny721 42
@@raylauderback5126 42 indeed.
You called it correctly Sub Brief! Our government is WEAK. They refuse to take significant action. Thanks for taking the right stand!
Thanks for the update as always great content and delivery.
It seems like we need to make attacks in country, which is a little different than pirates. Is there a mass drone attack scenario we are concerned with? Is there something we don’t want to be baited into?
These are the kinds of questions I'm curious about as well. Also, if other Iranian proxies or even their own forces start striking targets elsewhere, do we Americans have the political will to respond to that and even continue escalating, especially given how bloody the war in Gaza continues to be? I'm angry watching Hamas, Hezbollah, the Houthis, the IRGC, & etc. continue to wreak havoc across the Middle East, but it seems every fight in that region is, shall we say, complicated. It seems also rare to find local partners with similar values to our own, which makes working together for peace often about as contentious as fighting wars.
@@beaglemusiclabs We lost a lot of good will in the region after we invaded Iraq on extremely weak pretenses and set in motion events that cost over half a million lives. That's a big part of why the locals don't have "similar values to our own".
How would you attack the houthis?? Landing ground forces into Yemen?? 😂 We don't have any legitimate chance or options.
Aaron it would seem that world and politics along with primary goals have changed ALOT since you were there last time listening to ping pongs..... Yea, kinda sad.
Subbriefs soon? Or did you cover every single sub thats worth the mention? Cause i feel like i can learn more about subs from you, thanks for teaching me subs. Really obscure area and you shed light on it! Subs do be creepy and amazing!
Dankeschön und Frohe Weihnachten 🎄
Thank you for calling this blaring weakness. Shane on the top brass
From watching this video, one would assume the Houtis had sunk dozens of American ships and were killing scores of American sailors! Seems like the only decisions certain warhawks will count as decisions are those that involve attacking cities.
tell me your anti american without telling me your anti american
It's beginning to look like the Afghan retreat. Not yet a debacle, but it's coming ....
Keep it up Aaron!
The US is waiting for Christmas so Santa delivers TLAM's on time...
The Zombie is afraid to start a nother battle before the vote
I think it's the opposite tbh, timing isn't right yet so he's eating ice cream....
I don’t see restraint in not attacking as a weakness, rather a better decision and choice of action. In a country that over utilizes a military and weapons I wish that would become more often. Let’s end our war mongering not end one to start another.
it could also be that the decision making is more complex that you and I think. Can the threatened area be viewed without looking at the developments in the Strait of Hormus as well? What will Iran do if the forming "Coalition of the willing" is at the brink of attacking known drone launch sites?
The end of this video is classic 😂
Since the Houthis threat is directly linked to the war in Gaza i.e "Our attacks on vessels stop as soon as there is a ceasefire in Gaza", I'd imagine the the US administration either believes or hopes that a ceasefire is not too far off.
That would make de-escalation pretty simple and almost instant.
If matters are further complicated with a US confrontation with the Houthis and by extension, Iran it could possibly morph into something else entirely and spiral into a greater conflict.
While the Navy is ready and willing to do their duty politically I'd imagine that Americans really arent that keen on yet another conflict which is essentially an Israeli problem.
Its hillarious that you think its an israeli problem.
@@isserdigan2835the blockade is due to the genocide in Gaza, which is Israel’s doings. You feeling okay chap?
@@tzargon827isreali problem? So the isrealies are the hegemon of the seas now? Genocide? So the isrealies started this war? Or was it Hamas (the Palestinians) who started a war they can't win? No. The US should do its duty and protect the trade routes just like isreal will destroy hamas for starting an unwinnable war. Keep your propaganda on Tiktok where zoomers believe it.
Biden is trying his damnedest to avoid flashpoint Gaza, with tens of thousands of casualties, turning into flashpoint Middle East, with millions of casualties. Israel is a nuclear power, and nukes being used in defense is not off the table if they were forced to. US is supposed to be a peace multiplier in the area, forcing Arab countries off Israels back, which so far has succeeded. Sometimes inaction is the correct thing to do, as the consequences for action *can* be waaaaay worse, but I'll leave that one up to historians of the future rather than some sofa admiral who don't seem to grasp the full picture.
Trump as a wartime leader? He wanted to nuke storms ffs, who has publicly stated he wants to go dictator. For one day. Likely to redefine what a dictator is. Definitely putting my money on not only this one, but wrt actual leadership as well. GOP has clearly shown they only intend to rule and have no intention nor capability to actually govern, whereas Biden has managed to get several things done through backchannels that GOP went hellbent into blocking. Biden has the experience and knows how to play the game while keeping the cards hidden, compared to Trump who plays poker with an open hand. Biden is too hard right leaning (I'm a social democrat, that's still right of center wrt economy) for my personal taste but of the two or any other GOP? Yeah, definitely Biden.
Added: Biden is probably also well aware that the whole Gaza thing is orchestrated by Putin, trying to put the US in a dilemma.
@@tzargon827 you are looking at the smaller picture. Look at Venezuela readying to invade its neighbor. These are Russian allies acting almost all at the same time. Why? Because Russia wanted to stretch the US military and support for Ukraine before their winter offensive. It worked. Artillery shells supposed to be bound for Ukraine has now been diverted to israel
Perhaps the first female should consult the first lady or even the first sea lord. He would probably say "ladies first"
I can't stop watching this video!
Thanks! This explains the info I heard about Spain, Italy, and France dropping out because they don't want to be under US command. Being a flat squirrel is not how to lead!
We used to have Generals and Admirals that believed in responding to obvious and escalating aggression with overwhelming and decisive force. As you said, there is a serious and frightening weakness in our CoC all the way to the top. In the shadow of the embarrassing and shameful withdrawal from Afghanistan, all of these recurrent world aggressors are striking now because we look more passive, weak, and disorganized than ever.
Look where that got you: In wars you couldn't win with overwhelming force like Afghanistan and Iraq, because waging those wars means having a plan for after the war and a lot of action, money and personell to spend on that completely destroyed country or leaving it to the vultures and wondering how ISIS could emerge from nowhere.
This started when General MacArthur was removed from command and it has never stopped
@@jguillot72MacArthur exceeded his orders and started a war with China that resulted in tens of thousands of American dead. Then demanded nukes be used to fix his own mess.
"Inaction by Consensus" I think is what they call it. Everyone needs to agree or else they don't do anything. It isn't indecision in DC. This is the White House intentionally sitting on their hands until he gets the okay from the State Department that countries X, Y, and Z agree to join in on doing the obvious right thing. Which does kind of make sense in a way. So far the only locals that are on board is Bahrain. Not even Egypt who has a lot to lose here. The current admin is extremely gun shy in being seen as acting unilaterally in any fashion. Everything is done as part of a bigger international thing. So we sit and we wait. Yay. International politics.
"Inaction by Consensus" This is the EU. I mean, collectively as a bloc they can't help Ukraine coz Hungary says no. They'll have to change to a 2/3 or 3/4 majority soon - their response to anything currently is glacial.
To start a war or send troops he needs approval from congress. It’s not only on the president. The president himself cannot declare war
It’s a joke that Egypt and Saudi Arabia aren’t leading this. Egypt makes $10 billion per year on the Suez Canal so they should be helping fund any mission.
@@MusicalMemeology Maybe Egypt, with a population of 100+ million pissed off Muslims, tacitly considers punishing Israel worth more than the $10 billion of lost Suez revenue? Maybe Saudi Arabia feels similarly? That some things are more important than just money?
Or perhaps the current administration isn't really keen on continuing the decades-long mistake of the US constantly invading and/or attacking Middle Eastern countries who then want retribution... It's like y'all still think 9/11 happened completely out of the blue. 🤦🏻♂️
The way you said "Languedoc" is the probably the most brutal English attack on the French navy since Mers-el-Kébir
1:16 - *"Bunch of Marines..."* -- Am i bad for reading this in fresh prince of belair rap??
_"But a bunch of marines, that were up to no good. Started causing trouble in my neighbourhood...."_
Not to make excuses, but it is entirely possible that there is more information we don't have. But otherwise this situation is not good.
Kinda shocked he just glanced over that with a one sentence “I dont know what conversations are happening in DC.”
This is why I find this video harmful as anything but entertainment. His other stuff? Sure, he generally does great work - but he's let his feelings and values override the restraint necessary to provide balanced commentary, giving people the wrong impression. "Smart Navy man is angry, so I should be angry, too!"
He's acting as judge and jury with none of the pertinent information he'd need to do anything but speculate.
He's comitting the cardinal sin of underestimating the enemy - which is surprising because the US often OVERestimates its enemies in the past 40 years.
He's laboring under the assumption that we enjoy the ability to hit the Houthis with the kind of impunity we had in striking Syria in the 2010's. We may, but we also may not and it's surprising that he's willing to gamble when what's at stake is the lives of young sailors. But again, he might not even realize it's a gamble at all, he assumes impunity.
@@fuzzydunlop7928 Great points. It's not like it's easy to just whip up a plan to take on the Houthis. There are legal ramifications as well. And going to war isn't going to immediately solve the shipping issue, it will probably make it far worse.
Wise words Aaron. Respect to you, from the UK.
Wise? you mean to avoid humiliation is a wise? go figure.
Aaron, I watch you and Sal every day.
NATO- No Apparent Tactical Operations? Nobody has ever won a three front war, and we have started one.
This is your best video. Good analysis and honest perspective. I agree 100% with you. There is NO LEADERSHIP from top down.
I think it safe to say the US knows how to resolve this and has the assets in place to do so. Question is should we? The vast majority of the vessels are not US flagged ships so they arent paying for protection. Why should we protect foreign flagged ships not transporting goods ports in the Western Alliance?
The US does not import much energy or other critical things from the Red Sea. China does. For China this is critical for them. Worse for China they lack the force projection to solve this. Even worse the US is an energy exporter so high energy costs dont impact across the total economy like it does in energy import nations like China. Places like Japan and Western Europe can buy or energy and adversaries can suffer since I think its safe to say China and the US have aa work at each other relationship status currently.
We have something like 15% of the USN carrier fleet in theater, and have done nothing show the flag with it and keep the war from spreading out of Israel and Gaza. The world has seen for decades we are capable of crushing this swiftly. I think this is the US telling China they F'ed around, now they find out. Its a shot at EU too because they have kept out sourcing their defense to the US while they have free higher education, healthcare etc and then claim the US society is bad for not having that. Let EU sort out an escort mission for EU ports. It will be good for them to toughen up to avoid future Libya situations where they instantly ran low on munitions and parts.
If world trade takes a hit it will affect the US. Supply chains will again get all knotted up, prices will increase and eventually Americans will pay more at the store and the gas pump. Things like container ships are a global commodity and Americans also use them. Prices going up and availability going down will also affect the US. Not saying other countries shouldn't carry their share of the burden too but this most certainly is America's problem.
I think the main problem is that the US Navy is incapable of waging sustainable war against a guerilla army. Firing $2.4 million SM-2 missiles is no way to shoot down Iranian flying lawnmowers.
@@wombatillo the argument guys like Zeihan seem to indicate we can afford it better than everyone else. Let the pressure build up on China till they call their partners in Iran to have them stop the Houthis because it’s destroying their energy market. Let shipping companies that paid dirt cheap rates to naval powers such as Liberia and Panama pay to reflag to nations that have a navy to protect their ships.
Good post. Reasonable points and understandable, particularly concerning us Europeans.
From the aesthetic point of view, I'm not sure that inaction sets a great precedent, unless this will be sorted behind the scenes very quickly.
If the US doesn't uphold the tradition of it's leadership of FON (while not technically signed up to it all), someone else will fill the void, just like the USN did, just before, or after WW2, whenever you want to put the date.
@@wombatillo then they should register and paid the protection fee to the US or other power that had actual navy that can take care of them.
or even better had the entire world solve this issue.
you can't expect US to be burdened on something that didn't really benefit them.
If anything US will act way later when to maximize profit
@@jimb9063No one else can fill the void. It'll take a decade minimum for any country to build a navy needed.
Merry Christmas Gene. For good or ill, we are always at the mercy of our political masters.
haha your last line litterally made me lol. yeah i've just excepted we're too corrupt and to incompetent. Rome vibes going on.
There will be a moment by which The World understands it needs to act by itself. It is a bit strange that there is only one navy protecting the worlds shipping.
Especialy when there is a status qo due to being in between War and Peace.
The Brittish and the French have a better attitude! Bravo!!!
My opinion.
But maybe it is understood that acting wood mean engaging in a starting war between each and everybody, when the most powerfull nation starts to become involved. Then better to leave the job to less influencial nations . . .
A lot of countries have sent their ships. Not just the ones you mentioned. Asian democracies deployed to the area right now:-
Indian Navy: 5 Destroyers, 1 Frigate and P-8I aircraft.
JMSDF: 1 Destroyer
ROK Navy: 1 Destroyer
Well put. Depressing but well said.
The end of this video is iconic
Shocking of the Pentagon not to keep you in the loop re: upcoming offensive action...
Considering iran just launched a drone attack from it's own territory, the option of stopping iranian vessels is not only justified, but more viable than attacking yemen.
"Naval trade disruptions for us means greater naval trade disruptions for you".
It's not viable at all. Iran can kick our ass in the middle east. The party is over.
You all wanted a female CNO who made her career in a soft administrative navy. This is what you get. She “empathizes” with all parties. Well done.
Thank you for the update and your insight on this question, Aaron. Much appreciated 👍
PS Merry Christmas all!
Do you think they are waiting for the Vinson CSG to arrive to do something big?
Why is this happening? Lack of spine from the leadership starting with the old guy in the White House.
It really says something when the shipping companies don’t believe the US can lead an effective operation trueintointrationaldepressue
It is understandable, the US haven’t led any single effective operation since the WW2 in the Pacific.
@@brunol-p_g8800 lol k kiddo
There an military enlistment crisis right now not to no one sign up the military they fall short and so many people dropped out the military to retirement but they not saying that we don't know the real number yet
Thank you, Aaron, for speaking on what I have essentially been mulling about for the last week or so. I don't like to get into "hypotheticals" but the current situation is what I felt would be predictable and maddeningly frustrating. Blessed holidays to you and yours!