PAUL TUDOR JONES - Billion Dollar Stock Trader (200 day moving average)
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- Опубликовано: 28 май 2024
- PAUL TUDOR JONES - Is a billion dollar stock trader and was ranked as the 108th richest man in the world on the Forbes 400 rank.
Jones is the founder of Tudor Investment Corporation which is also ranked as number 13 as the richest hedge fund in the world. Needless to say when Jones gives advice, everyone listens...
Jones's stock trading philosophy is quite simple; Achieve a favourable risk reward ratio, which should be a minimum of 5 to 1. Stay with the trend, determined by the 200 day moving average, and buy at turning points which are often referred to as pull backs within a predominant trend.
Also known as a contrarian investor, a trend following advocate, and an excellent risk manager, Jones was famous for predicting the 1987 crash, Black Monday.
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As a professional trader I have consumed hundreds of financial books and endured countless hours of self education. My hope is that this channel will reduce the learning curve duration of many aspiring traders by providing the key information in a concise and enjoyable manner.
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Legendary trader, legendary book and legendery book teller!
After going through multiple strategies and indicators ,I have realised that the simplest of strategies and price action behavior works the best to have profits and consistency ...trading is simple if ones disciplined but we have made it complex due our human traits ...
Well said
I've watched all of your videos, every video is a gem and unique, very nice and simple explanation.
If possible please make a video on price and volume anomalies.
Thanks a lot.
Noted
I literally use the 200 EMA & MACD for swing trading and only enter the MA breakout when there’s positive divergence in the MACD. - 9 figure strategy lol
Great job
What's your timeframe
@@swing_nikhilr92 I'd assume the daily timeframe and perhaps the 4hr for pinpoint entries.
Nothing under daily or you’d be gambling.
Also, don’t put your Stop too tight or on even numbers such as 2300, 2350. Better 2342. I was told this stop / buy trick from an old trader
theory is easy execution is hard
Very true
Congrats for 10k+ subs
Thank you so much 😀
one of the few truly educating videos you rock 👊🏻
Thanks dinaburg
You consistently have outstanding videos. Outstanding content!
Thanks A lot! 👍🙏
Your channel is amazing! I've watched all of your videos.
Awesome to hear.. thanks Ricardo🙏👍
Another great video. PTJ is one of my favorite Market Wizards. Thanks!
Glad you enjoyed it!
❤ love these types of video’s which we can learn about different trading techniques.
More to come!
Thanks for your time and explanation.
You are welcome!
great video. respect for your efforts!!👍
Thank you so much 😀
Excellent teaching!
Great video! Thank you
You are welcome!
This was Brilliant! Thank You!
You're very welcome!
Thank you, thank you, thank you. For ALL your great videos!
You are so welcome!🙏
Great explanation ! Appreciated !
You are welcome!
Just watched this one again. Particularly relevant as we are going through a dip in the world indexes and one or two stocks are heading towards the 200 DMA fast. Scottish Mortgage Trust has actually got there. It's going to be interesting - and hopefully profitable - to test Tudor Jones' hypothesis.
Thanks WIlkonz👍
William if I may ask how did shorting the 200 DMA breakthrough go for you?
@@sam-pz5zf Thanks. The chart tells the story. I didn’t go short on the S&P but I started buying SMT back at around 1100 and that was profitable. Still holding.
Keep creating and sharing, another gems
More to come!
Great videos
Thanks Amuserr👍
The stock market is manipulated and rather it's up or down, is nothing more than a calculated decision. Reasons why, are nothing more than Catalyst for Hope or fear.
We may not be able to time when to get in the market but we sure can follow the market. If you're able to do that then you're working with a winning formula.
Thanks so much for this exceptionally explained video. It's one of the best about trading!
My pleasure!
this video is a gem. Thank you
Thank you
Thank u for 🔥 video
Thanks Raghu👍
I’m curious to know how he handles when the price is choppy over the 200 day.
Excellent content
Glad you enjoyed it👍
Love it, every time!
Glad you enjoy it!
Great thanks, excellent.
Thanks Umut
Superb video
Thank you so much 😀
Good one👍
Thanks ✌️
Thanks as always Gareth. I guess all eyes are now fixed on the 200 day MA of the S&P 500. A dip below could indicate be a pretty safe short (if there is such a thing...)!
Hi William... Certainly a point of consideration...😉
Or some eyes inducing some other eyes to trade.
I have watched this movie over and over again but the beginning and the end contradict it self he is counter trend trader or trend following the example u gave on black Monday is counter trend but the end of clip example is trend following can u please help me with this
another great video, ty
Glad you enjoyed it
After a horrendous 2022, shell-stunned financial backers have misfortunes to recover and a lot to consider, as an expansion report and a pile of different information did close to nothing to change assumptions that the Central bank would probably keep climbing interest rates regardless of whether the economy dials back, And that implies more red ink for portfolios for the principal quarter of year 2023. How might I benefit from the ongoing unstable market, I'm currently at a junction choosing if to exchange my $250k security/stock portfolio
Center around two key targets. In the first place, remain safeguarded by realizing when to offer stocks to cut misfortunes and catch benefits. Second, get ready to benefit when the market turns around.I suggest you look for the direction a representative or monetary consultant.
@@stellaadams593 Actually, ever since Coronavirus, I've been in regular communication with financial examiners. Nowadays, buying moving stocks is very easy; the key is knowing when to buy and sell. The section and leave orders for my portfolio are issued by my attorney. more than $550,000 was accumulated from an initial stagnating savings of $150,000...
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@@gowonjake She is Claudia Trinidad Rivas, my consultant. Since then, she has devoted section and leave attention to safeguards that I have been keeping an eye out for. You can locate information about the chief online, on the off chance that you're interested. I made no regrets about substantially adhering to their exchange strategy.
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This concepts are gold.
🙏
Great video
Can you make a video about Gerald Leob(the battle for investment survival)and mr Bernarl Baruch
Ill add to the list👍
You explained how he limits risk (10% stop loss), but not how he measures potential reward (in theory, at least a 50% move). How does he anticipate the size of the reward? It surely can’t be looking back, otherwise he would never know if his trades are 5-to-1 before making them.
as a pro trader I can tell you it's an entirely separate strategy and there are many many approaches to this
Trading on 200MA breakouts is "meat between" and not trading on turning points like he said. That is why I am very sceptical about him using 200MA as his primary trading strategy.
Quite true, I would say a trading strategy should be employed when price is above the 200 dma, In essence you are with the trend and not against it.
Another masterpiece, Thanks for the videos!...... Could you please make a video about Dan Zanger ?....It would be very helpful!🙏👍
Hi Bharath, i have not forgotten... i had intention to do prior this but its now likely end of this month👍😉
@@FinancialWisdom Thanks brother!🙏
hopefully on the weekend i will have it complete...
Great video. Can you do a video on David Ryan please if possible?
Ill add to the list..👍
The figures you see at 6:24 are not correct, at least for the S&P 500. According to the overview, 72.60% was lost in the crash between 1972 and 1975. The high for the S&P 500 was on January 11, 1973 with almost 122 points (daily high) and the low on October 4, 1974 with 61 points -> max. loss 50%. Where does the 72.60% come from?
If paul tudor use rsi during that time and uses lower ema to enter he could juice more profit from that.
Great video.Regarding 200dma, does Jones look at weekly or daily chart.
both I believe
Great videos. You sound like you worked for the BBC news
I wish!😃
Lol he does, come to think of it.
When stock breaks support, it falls suddenly and with huge percentage. So how can you maintain such strict stop loss. In theory many things are possible but in reality it is all about practice and experience to be an expert.
I tend to use the weekly charts for this reason, although you would be surprised the a breakdown does not always result in a huge drop.
Don't rely on the computer to do your job, just get out of trade.
Is that a Simple or exponential MA ?
That's right, TQQQ & SQQQ, it's only one option when someone's coming at you with a bunch of crap, you shut that ass down, that's how I did the stock market in 2022 by empowering you the people..
I appreciate the highlighted comment, more than you may ever know, thank you!
It seems you are making me to prepare for the upcoming market fall. Thanks.
Any time!
Concept of "Predominant trend" adds a new dimension to 200 DMA.. it makes lot of sense. However, trading is still a probability
Agree, trading is probability, no certainty involved👍
@@FinancialWisdom Waiting and holding to a position is so much tough mentally
200 MA is exponential OR simple ??? anyone knows
Think it is simple
Great summary thanks
Glad you enjoyed it!
How can you actually apply that information in reality? What tool/platform would allow you to do the things mentioned in the video without too much struggle? Total newbie here
Join my group :-) Most trading platforms will suffice
(1)BITCOIN BELOW -200MA (48000)DAILY CANDLE FRAME -MOST TRADERS USE THIS TO IDENTIFY THE TREND 📈-DOWNTREND WHATEVER THE REASON (2) BITCOIN ABOVE -200 MA(5000) WEEKLY MONTHLY CANDLE 🕯FRAME -HOW TO DECIDE THE TREND?
1.Is the 200 DMA judged on lower timeframes or higher ones ? (Minutes, hours, days, week or month)
2. Would this still work nicely in the crypto markets ?
It’s just a 200 day simple moving average. Averaging price of the last 200 days. Crypto could work but it’s choppier than stocks
Does he apply this only to the S&P500 or also individual stocks?
Largely individual stocks too
Cheers u r growing too fast....well done.
Thanks MM, yes couldn't have asked for more...👍
He didn't predict the market would crash in 1987; he predicted it would crash in 1988
Fair enough.
I learned the name of this guy from Martin Schwartz's book.
His name frequently appears👍
backtesting 200 MA versus 10 m MA always shows 200 MA winning over most time periods
How do you deal with false signals? Between August 1999 and August 2000, you would have entered and exited the market almost daily, to put it somewhat exaggeratedly. These false signals eat up the gains made in long bear markets.
@@nixblick1221 since writing this I developed my own strategies and I will know make around 80% per year
Friends and family, you've all asked me, if I could only buy one stock, which would it be. Here's my pick (VTI).
Reasons why, 1. Affordable, 2. It represents the best. 3. It's been tried and verified. Peace ✌, Love 💘 & Soul ✊
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Sir, thank you for your excellent work and thank you so much for accepting one of the suggestion I made. Sir, may I suggest another title, an excellent title for the value investor: Inefficient Market Theory?
www.amazon.com/Inefficient-Market-Theory-Investment-Foolishness/dp/0692273948
The rating is just excellent from everyone who has read it and I think will be add to your excellent work.
Thanks.
Ill add to my growing list😉
@@FinancialWisdom thank you sir, thank you
@@FinancialWisdom Sir, so I guess, I get to see a nice, excellent video on Inefficient Market Theory, may be in two years or so in the future? Thank you so much.
Sir, if I may make one more suggestion?
'Applied Value Investing: The Practical Application of Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffett's Valuation Principles to Acquisitions, Catastrophe Pricing ... Execution'
I think the book is extremely well reviewed. I think the book brings a person to a level of value investing beyond what is exemplified in the basic knowledge of Security Analysis. Very valuable for people who aspire to be somewhat more than a good value investing. But I guess if you were to make a video on this, it will be more like 30 minutes or so to go over the applications assuming people already know the book Intelligent Investor.
www.amazon.com/Applied-Value-Investing-Application-Acquisitions/dp/0071628185/ref=sr_1_3?dchild=1&keywords=applied+value+investing&qid=1602611849&sr=8-3
🙏
A lot of you have asked me how do I trade, so here it is. I make every trade simultaneously by using friends and Family's accounts. I trade the upside And the downside simultaneously every trade, this way I'm guaranteed not to miss the trade and not to be manipulated by the platform broker's. This strategy works best with stocks not options, options expire. In fact option should be avoided at all cost with any trades because of its expiring component.
My NASDAQ pair is (TQQQ and SQQQ -1up & 1down shares needed),..My S&P 5000 pair is (UPRO and SPXS-1up & 3 down shares needed),...My Dow Jones pair (UDOW and SDOW- 1up & 2 down shares needed),...My Russell 2000 pair is (TNA & TZA-1up to 2 down shares needed)) and My Vix PAIR is (SVXY & UVXY- 1up & 1 down shares needed).
These pairs cover the entire stock market. These are all Leverage stocks and all that you will ever need. With these stocks you don't have to worry about trying to find a stock to short because your playing the inverse side of each stock and the short is encompassed within.
Now this is how I do this, I first take the 52-week low and the 52-week high of each Leverage stock, ad them together for a total, then divide the total by two and come up with a middle number. If my current leverage stock price is above the middle number, then my pair is moving upward and the reverse goes for the down side.
Foot note: Only add to your position when the stock is moving in your direction period, any other way it's wrong.
You want to make money in the stock market this is how it's done. Remember where you heard it from, peace ✌...
Wowwwwwww - loved every sec of this vid.
Thanks D Ali 🙏
How many death crosses have resulted in absolutely zero though? I’m willing to be far more than the recessions and depressions have demonstrated.
It’s easy to explain doing trades in the Rears.
Ever trade on a Demo account and do well but after opening a Real Cash account your trading changed and you lost money? Why? Because your stomach was getting in your way! We’ve all had the experience in our early trades.
isn't the 200 day moving average for forex and not stocks or can i set that up for my stocks as well?
Hi - The concept can be used for all assets.👍
how can he achieve reward to risk ratio of 5 to 1 is mistery.
Its not too difficult actually, the key is to also have the strike rate elevated too. You cant have one without the other
He's a macro trader, he only takes huge reversal opportunities and if he's using the 200 day moving average that tells me he looks at 4hr/daily candle charts and nothing smaller then that
@@Fromtheashes2020 he must dump all the assets on the pivot point on 4hr/daily chart.
This video does not make sense....The crossing of the 200 ma....what crosses it? The first line you draw is never defined....The 200 DMA of what? The S and P? The dow?
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Tudor’s descendant maybe..?
Do NOT buy the book showed in this video. It should be removed staight away as it is a very bad. Actual video is good.
The 1987 crash that was predicted by paul is similar 2 stain weinsten
Yes you will find many have similar principles and watch similar indicators/averages.
Common sense is not common
Very true
GOD Loved you enough too send His Son JESUS for you and if you will believe in Him and turn from your sins you will be saved
🙏
Five important things about investing or Trading.
1. Know your opponent, i.e.(The Brokerage platform) and that your interest are not aligned.
The broker has a job to do, introduce you to the stockmarket, facilitate your trade and try take your money for the company they've been employed by. Anyone tells you different doesn't know how this game is really played, period.
2. Develope an entry and exit plan, before every trade, for he or she who fails to plan, plans to fail. No know what you want from your investment, Win Lose or Draw. The stock market is a percentage game not a dollar game. On average the stock market or any stock moves 1% up or down daily. There for a $100 investment, would only yield 1% Return daily, do the math.
3. Invest or trade only the best stocks because if you can't win with the best, you should know the rest doesn't stand a chance. When selecting a stock, understand it's fundamentals because it's not about timing when to buy it but rather the time you will spend in it, to benefit from it.
4. Day trading is not a reality for the average trader period because it's more about algorithms and high frequency Trading by big hedge funds. Don't be fooled by the stockmarket hype.The stock market is not a quick fix to your finances, it takes time to make money in this game.
5. My goal is not to discourage but to encourage you to make thoughtful and calculated moves. All that I ask, is that you do me a favor and remember where you heard from, peace, love and soul..
Well said OG
I appreciate the highlighted comment more than you may ever know, thank you.
@@FinancialWisdom that's what's up thank you
🙏