I appreciate the work you do in your presentations. There are so many pro-Ukrainian RUclipsrs that just peddle war update 'happy talk'. I don't think happy talk - or any 'analysis' which doesn't discuss the bad along with the good - is good for anyone supporting the Ukrainians. Just tell it like it is and let the audience decide. You do this well. Thank you!
its about capturing viewers and what people want to hear, like listening to a sports team lose. Those youtubers want their income and the recent case of them being paid off by the kremlin and the amounts involved showed its not about pennies
@@johng3029 that's a bit harsh, he admits he is biased I wouldn't say he peddles happy talk, more that he can be optimistic. He also admits when he is wrong. Overall he does a good job, nothing excludes people from using their own judgement too
3:55 I disagree that the opening is a defeat for the Ukrainians. When they cut off Glushkovo, they gave the Russian a dilemma to create bridges over the Sejm or fight to open up the land route. Obviously, the river crossings didn't work out for them and they probably lost a sizable amount of men and equipment fighting for the land route. BUT! ... Ukraine still holds the heights to the east of the road to Glushkovo and can easily target any vehicles trying to resupply or reinforce there. Another advantage for Ukraine is that the "open" road gives any panicked glushkovo defenders an exit to desert their posts and flee (I'm sorry "redeploy to more favorable positions" lol). Further, Ukraine having now launched an assault across the border will give the russians more urgency to resupply the pocket (under the guns of the Ukrainians) as well as more urgency for the trapped defenders to break and run. Overall this looks like brilliant operational planning by the Ukrainians to cut off Russian lines of communication in their initial assault. Now the Russians have to go on the offensive (while taking their typical outsized losses) just to maintain the defense of an area that has no strategic value for them at all or else continually be humiliated by the Ukrainian occupation of their territory.
The Ukrainians captured farmland in Kursk all while losing entire brigades worth of tanks and heavy armour, not to mention 20+ rocket artillery systems and a dozen air defence batteries, leaving Donetsk severely undermanned.
"Ukrainians are much better at maneuver warfare" is yet to be proven, Both sides can in fact sprint for 3-5 days. True maneuver warfare is much more than that. You need to continuously do that, strike here, then there , penetrate deep hold, then strike in from a different direction.
@22:00 There is a HUGE backlog in F-16 deliveries as well as F-35's, so Administrational usage of dangling the carrot before the horse for the purpose of political incentives has run its course and now applicants are looking for other options such as Rafael, Grippen & FA-50. The Euro-Fighter is another option, but that production pipeline is more constricted than the F-16's is.
The active armor plates appear to be either the German or the Russian designs. Also done by Israel. Usually they need RF or IR detectors mounted on the tanks. Not visible in these photos.
To my knowledge, the components were purchased by Russia from China. The Ukrainians also buy a lot of Chinese drone parts as well due to the low cost relative to their quality.
About Leopard 1 reactive armor - most similar is, to me at least visual, could be type Croatia had on modified M-84 Yugoslav T-72 (M-84 was produced in Yugoslavia fully). That reborned M-84 got codename "Degman". Not many were modified, was just short term solution before we joined NATO. I don't know where Croatia get those plates, is not Croatian production. So it is just how I remember them while I was a soldier, it is just a thought according observation. Wish You all best, thank You for updates! Domagoj
The senator may not be the best APC, but it’s immensely better for casevac than civilian vehicles. I’m sure the Russians would rather have armoured trucks over scooby doo vans and golf carts.
I would expect the outer most advances to be taken back for Russians rather quickly. As Ukraine wouldn’t likely have had time to build up strong defenses and logistics. Ukraine would be digging in and preparing hard defenses well back from the furthest advance into Kursk. Picking the best ground to build up and force a grinding fight. Goal should be to make Russian pay for every inch but give ground to preserve your forces. Key to success of this operation is how much material and equipment is going to be needed to take back and hold the northern front. This isn’t something that will be seen on the fronts right away. It will be months before we see the effects on Russian offensive actions as the forces relocated we’re likely reserve unit. Russia will have to divert limited equipment and experienced troops to guard the northern boarder from now on. Which means they aren’t on the main fronts. With Russia air defense already showing signs of being over stretched this is going to be a major problem for them going forward. End of this year is when Europe and America start hitting their production goals. Should be hitting around 2m 155mm shells end of the year. Ukraine Air Force will gain far more capability as f16 start to come into the fight in numbers and Ukraine will gain access to longer range strike missiles. Russia is advancing in the east but visually confirmed losses of equipment is staggering to say the least. People who have counted Russian reserve equipment numbers using sat pictures estimate they have around two more years at current burn rate. They won’t run out fully but won’t be able to keep up this pace. At best Russia ends this war with what they occupied so far 20%. It will have cost them 40% of their military equipment, 20% of the Black Sea fleet, 40% of the VDV, oils rate with Europe, Finland and Sweden joining nato, huge portion of their stock piles in munitions. They lack the economy to rebuild as theirs purchase price parity advantage will be diminished. Cost of labor is much more expensive and inflation will be an issue because of war time spending. Russia has the Econ the size of Italy so most of this lost equipment isn’t getting replaced.
sorry to say, thats a lot of delusion and prejudices combined with wishful thinking. if one wishes the ukrainians well in this conflict, best avoid that when analyzing and assessing capabilities of the opponent. the russian economy according to gdp ppp comparison is vastly larger than the one of italy and now even larger than that of germany according to figures from the world bank. also it is growing at ca. 4-5%, while germany barely scratches above 0%. it is not the russia of the 90s that went bankrupt under jeltzin, that was 30 years ago. russia now has a state debt of less than 20% gdp, which compares extremely favorably to most western state debts which are at 100% or above or at least at 70%+ in the better cases. at the same time russia still has a very positive trade ballance overall filling the russian coffins with $100+ bln yearly for decades meanwhile. as one of the very few countries worldwide it is having a positive trade balance with even china. much of that money was saved for tough times like today, so they have a full chest of money for this war. also while gdp comparisons with ppp (per purchasing power) correction are more realistic than with the nominal gdp, that benchmark is still quite bad in comparing economies and production capability of different states, while being acceptable to compare the development of a single state along several years. if you look closer at the economy of russia you will find that 30%+ is from manufacturing/industry, while in the west that figure is usually at ~20% with a much larger service sector (lawyers, haircutters,...). for instance russia produces ca. the same amount of steel like usa, at half the population size. just because russian products dont show up to customers in our western markets, does not mean they do not produce them. such closer analysis makes it easier understandable how russia can outproduce the combined west regards artillery shells by a multiple factor. also the sanctions against russia have not been done very cleverly. when the sanctions in 2014 were introduced, their answer with sanctioning western food imports have shown, that russia had the capability to become a big food exporter within a few years, while being on balance a food importer before 2014. this time imo a big mistage of the west was sanctioning the russian oligarchs. while before the sanctions the oligarchs have siphoned yearly dozens of billions worth of usd to the west to buy luxury stuff and to invest, this money now stays in russia and looks for opportunities to invest there, increasing the russian economy size and tax income of the state for probably 2%+ per year. the oligarchs shouöd have been lured to the west instead. if one is waiting for the russian economy to crumble and be their achilles heel in this war, that is wishfull thinking and thus not helpful.
@@SonsOfLorgar one can easily look up these facts even in western official sources. or you can stay in fantasy-land and dream about how the enemy will collapse by you wishing so. you cannot name one thing where i was not correct and support your claim with a credible source, but just accuse me of lying... typical troll behavior.
Ukraine entering Kursk and Russia not being able to expell them after all this time shows that NATO could easily invade and establish a large buffer zone.
@@ailinofaolin8897 "The cauldron is boiling! The ass is in the ass! The asshole is tightening! The latex glove is tightening! The fat woman is choking! The gloves are coming off! The penis is exploding!"
Thanks for proving the point that Russia is incapable of invading Europe if it wins in Ukraine. This war was provoked by NATO expansion. The war is being fought to decide whether British Petroleum or Russia exports Ukrainian natural gas to Europe. SLAVA BRITISH PETROLEUM!!!!
To be honest, leaving some space in the gap might not be a defeat. Sometimes you want to let people leave and take the territory like they did in Kherson. But it might be just my hopes :D
The thing is that Ukraine has no intention to annex Kursk, so it does not need to defend or gain any territory in there. Which means that Ukrainian forces can do fast moves in any direction to outmaneuver the Muscovites. It is a completely different warfare, nothing like at Kharkov or at Pokrovsk.
I didn't go through comments regarding the leopard 1A5, but I believe they're using some sort of ceramic armament similar to what the Canadians used, lightweight and effective but dodgy for a front line tank today
Da ich bei der Arbeit dauernd damit konfrontiert bin: die meisten englischsprachigen Länder oder ex-Kolonien haben bei Zahlen Punkt statt Komma bei Dezimalzahlen und Komma nach 1,000, bzw 1,000,000.54. Mag ich auch nicht anzupassen, aber wenn man schon englischsprachige Quelle sein will, dann verhindert es Missverständnisse.
The Russians willingly committing troops to that cauldron is hilarious. Within a week, the Russians will lose at least another two brigades in Kursk and Ukraine will double the territory they have under control. Not only that but after they frag another 2k-4k of their troops here, the Ukrainians will finally be able to press on the E38 highway and shut down the NPP.
You sound like the pro-russia saying Russia is about to win every day. Can we stop announcing future wins like it's going to speed the end ? It's been 10 years of conflict, and 2,5 years of full war and nobody's winning, everybody is losing.
This situation in Kursk demonstrates once again that Ukraine is lacking in manpower not weapons. Without a good depth in reserves Ukraine will not be able to hold territory in Kursk much less stop advancements in the east. Many of the Russian gains in the east are accomplished the old fashioned way that require only men equipped with light to medium arms. Russia has plenty. Ukraine cannot use shell starvation lack of aircraft or air defenses as an excuse. Unless Ukrainians step up and join the ranks Russian meat waives will continue to succeed.
No sh*t, people were saying for months that Ukraine is suffering from manpower shortage. That is why many people questioned incursion into Kursk since what sense does it make to open up a new front when barely have enough troops to man the frontlines in the east....
yeah every other channel is showing a lot less of a loss of territory, but also reports but no confirmation of the southern attack that flanks the ruzzian counterpush
maybe they have intel of potential Ukrainian operation? People laughed at Russia digging trenches on the coast of Crimea, but it is pretty smart tbh...better to be prepared since war is unpredictabvle.
@@evilleader1991 come on, the trenches directly on the beach are total nonsense. A few ruzzki companies amde some money - and th trenches have been washed away by storms meanwhile
@@DamjanYuriev the russians used the advertise their Black Sea fleet for that 🤣 If they feel the need to install MGs fixed to the bridge, it is the admission of a failure on multiple levels.
Visually it looks like a loss for the Ukrainians in Kursh with this success by the Russians. Ultimately it depends on the response further west towards Vesloye. Was the incursion North a planned organized action or merely a rapid reaction to the Russain counterattack towards Snagost
When I started watching this channel, I knew it was biased towards Ukraine, but the bias was pretty much under control. Recently though, it has gotten out of control. The benefit I had of only needing to watch Torsten to get a summary of recent events is fading and now again I have to start watching other channels to complete a more balanced understanding. This is a clear negative for me and it has depreciated the value of this channel, to the point where I may skip some of the videos. I understand that the new approach is profitable, but if integrity is still a priority, then please take note.
I notice the same thing as well, I come here because it is one of the few non-propagandized channels but lately it has been pretty awful. A whole lot of copium for the Ukrainian side despite numerous setbacks, every "neutral" channel I used to watch have all been much more pro-Ukraine lately (Preston Stewart and this channel). I don't know if there's something I do not know because the typical pro-RU channels are showing a different picture (DPA, Weeb Union, Military Summary).
@@evilleader1991 To be honest, I don't care about the day-to-day map changes, I'm just interested in the trends. But no channels gives 1 week updates (Theti is way too detailed for me and HistoryLegends updates are too far apart and typically just focus on a single area). If you are interested in the frontline map, I think Weeb is a good source because he basically copies Suriyak, who, in my experience, has been very reliable over the course of this war. I also like his overlay style.
@@allydea You also have "Deep dive with Daniel Davis", he does a weekly summary so if you don't have the time or interest to see day-to-day changes then he is good. He was also former military, so he has some interest insights. Another good channel I can recommend is New Atlas with Brian Berletic.
@@evilleader1991 Didn't know Daniel Davis, will check it out, thanks! Watched The New Atlas 1-2 years ago, but at least at that time, it was heavily Russian propagandized, didn't see much value in it.
Considering they both had until relatively recently they both had the same playbook and structure its understandable. The move towards Vesloye could be a positive or simply a knee jerk reaction that does very little.
What a daft comment. Ukraine has shown its more than capable to conduct manoeuvre warfare in the liberation of Kyiv, Kharkiv and Kherson. They are limited by materiel availability, not competence. You couldnt write something more ignorant if you tried.
@@AlexanderHL1919 if you mean a quick advance yes both sides can move sprint for a few days. "Maneuver warfare, or is a military strategy which emphasizes movement, initiative and surprise to achieve a position of advantage. Maneuver seeks to inflict losses indirectly by envelopment, encirclement and disruption, while minimizing the need to engage in frontal combat." Essentially its not a quick run for 4 -5 days and then months of attrition style. It is a constant stick and move attack. Not letting your self get pinned down but constant sometimes sweeping attacks from multiply locations. Material is a problem but so is organization. You need people thinking ahead and being prepared to capitalize on gains.
@AlexanderHL1919 The Russians left Kherson of their own volition, 5000 Russian paramilitaries in Kharkiv destroyed three brigades pulling out, Kiev literally never happened that entire column pulled back to Belarus after the Istanbul agreement.
@@ailinofaolin8897 LOL The fact that "5000 Russian paramilitaries in Kharkiv destroyed three bridges "while retreating does not dispute the need for them to retreat. Yes after being a hopeless state the Russians left Kherson. Istanbul was a series of talks only after the Russian failed in Kiev did they run away. And the Ukrainians were not great a pursuit.
Again, loving your maps coverage. "Other channels" will barely show the maps when things aren't going so well, thank you for refusing to mindlessly spout US propaganda and your dedication to the TRUTH of a situation, hard as it may be to hear. We don't hear you constantly plugging "forbidden" combat footage from your own 3rd party gore-site (of course while advertising it on RUclips still). You don't try and pawn off your 50$/pack "super-gum" every 30 seconds, often in the cringiest ways. Oh yea, and when you quote somebody, we can generally be pretty confident that it's what the person ACTUALLY said... Jake-quotes crack me up, dude just goes off the deep-end adding random little remarks and tidbits he WANTS to hear! It's absolutely ridiculous honestly, and that's all just the tip of the berg... it's a laundry-list with this guy. Just repeating the line "Russia will lose this war guys" at the end of every episode like it's some kindof spell DOESN'T MAKE IT SO, actually on the contrary - it lulls allies into a premature sense of victory (the very definition of underestimating your enemy). I accepted his BS before because I figured "well he really does care at least" with the Birthday donations, but the thing is... what is he actually doing? It's the people legitimately donating (which they can already do anyhow, whenever they want) who are contributing! It just makes dude look like a hero on the surface-level with minimal effort. I guess you can't really be wrong if you only say what everyone wants to hear though so whatever... Really though Tors, you're a light of truth in this mess. Never let those with more... 'infantile' minds guilt you into coddling them/facilitating their attempt at coping. This channel should serve as a prime example of proper, unbiased (well... as much as possible obviously) wartime reporting. Hope you have a great day mate!
You made some valid points, some of the same things I've been thinking, and I'm annoyed by some of the other bloggers, so thanks for your comment, now I don't feel like the only one.
The German dude was wrong on two things this week. There will be no long range strike strikes into Russia. And you said Russia counter offensive was a dud!! I told y’all that the UkraNatsees were stuck. Making stupid moves daily
@@MrBudgiejoe just another tim tool wannabe, mommy's 'special' boy that only wears crocs cause he can't tie shoe laces...i would pity him, but who gives a f about trash!
Ukraine is living in fantasy land, we all can see that they are barely holding on yet Z-man is still making maximalist demands. Either he is a great actor or just delusional.
The brigade that has been thrown to make the new offensive has been taken off from the Chasov Yar area. As a result the Russians have expanded almost twice their control over the channel and now have solid control over several kilometers of it thus gaining multiple axis of attack towards the city. Hostre has been taken 2 days ago. Overall you can keep coping with these maps that are deliberately not showing the reality on the front and keep dwelling Lalalandia or simply expand your sources of information beyond the official Ukrainian fairy tales. Since I do not want you to have a brain hemorrhage, I am not going to offer you to check Russian sources, but you can use reputable independent sources like Syriak mapping at least :) Don't worry - you are not going to be arrested for this :) Well, the NAFO idi ots are going to call you "Russian shill" for this, but I hope you can overcome it :)
Russian source, the same source saying russian was the best army in the world. But wait, russia lost almost her entire black see fleet against a ghost country, man, russia source are very good
@@pasdevosaffaires3038 Yeah, and the Baltic and the Northern fleet too. And they have lost already over a million men and are out of missiles, ammo, tanks food and are doing meat waves with shovels only. Oh, and next week Ukraine will start besieging Moscow. Go back to BBC and the inBritish press dude. Ukraine is still winning there.
@@doublehelix7880Sorry, but who is saying that two other fleets have been destroyed, and that the Russians are out of tanks and ammo? Please provide concrete examples.
@@pasdevosaffaires3038 it is not 2022 anymore, Russia has learned A LOT since it got a bloody nose in 2022. Russian army today is way more competent and I would argue more effective than most of European armies. Why? Because they got tons of combat experience in Ukraine, they have learned to wage war in 21st century with drones and all. Same is true for Ukraine true, but Russia will win since they have many more resources.
Yep, Ukraine over all is loosing this war currently! Kursk will prove to be useless unless the land contained some kind of minerals mines, gold, platinum, diamonds, titanium, etc….!
Thanks for all the work you put into these excellent and well-balanced situation reports!
I appreciate the work you do in your presentations.
There are so many pro-Ukrainian RUclipsrs that just peddle war update 'happy talk'.
I don't think happy talk - or any 'analysis' which doesn't discuss the bad along with the good - is good for anyone supporting the Ukrainians.
Just tell it like it is and let the audience decide. You do this well. Thank you!
its about capturing viewers and what people want to hear, like listening to a sports team lose. Those youtubers want their income and the recent case of them being paid off by the kremlin and the amounts involved showed its not about pennies
*cough* _Denys_ _Davydov_ *cough*
@@johng3029 that's a bit harsh, he admits he is biased I wouldn't say he peddles happy talk, more that he can be optimistic. He also admits when he is wrong. Overall he does a good job, nothing excludes people from using their own judgement too
Very informative
Thank you for your constancy.
So glad to see our beautiful Senators rolling to aid Ukraine! Love from Canada. ❤🤍❤ 💙💛
Thanks, Torsten.
Thx T great work
Great update, thanks!! 👍
3:55 I disagree that the opening is a defeat for the Ukrainians. When they cut off Glushkovo, they gave the Russian a dilemma to create bridges over the Sejm or fight to open up the land route. Obviously, the river crossings didn't work out for them and they probably lost a sizable amount of men and equipment fighting for the land route. BUT! ... Ukraine still holds the heights to the east of the road to Glushkovo and can easily target any vehicles trying to resupply or reinforce there. Another advantage for Ukraine is that the "open" road gives any panicked glushkovo defenders an exit to desert their posts and flee (I'm sorry "redeploy to more favorable positions" lol). Further, Ukraine having now launched an assault across the border will give the russians more urgency to resupply the pocket (under the guns of the Ukrainians) as well as more urgency for the trapped defenders to break and run.
Overall this looks like brilliant operational planning by the Ukrainians to cut off Russian lines of communication in their initial assault. Now the Russians have to go on the offensive (while taking their typical outsized losses) just to maintain the defense of an area that has no strategic value for them at all or else continually be humiliated by the Ukrainian occupation of their territory.
When Armies destroy bridges ahead of an advance, it usually means they don't plan on needing to cross it in the near/medium future.
Tack!
*_THANKS,Mats!_*
Vlad the Invader trying to act like he isn't bothered by Ukraine penetrating into Russian territory is hilarious.
The Ukrainians captured farmland in Kursk all while losing entire brigades worth of tanks and heavy armour, not to mention 20+ rocket artillery systems and a dozen air defence batteries, leaving Donetsk severely undermanned.
Whats more hilarious is that Ukraine thought they could change the situation in the frontline in the east with the Kursk offensive
@@ailinofaolin8897 You don't think capturing farmland is important when one of the major issues in this war is food security and agricultural exports?
@@thiefsleef6752, they kind of did. Russia had to rob reserve units to stop it which is now slowing the Pokrovsk offensive.
Sadly Kurst is looking a forgone conclusion...Ukraine needs to withdraw now and save what's left of their army.
Thanks! Great video again
Any smart viewer realises that it is all about geological, the stuff under the bottom. Ukraine must win, it is theirs ! Slava Ukraini ! 🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦
Excellent work as always 👍
Thanks, Torsten. I wonder if the Ukrainians could open a plant with an all Ukrainian staff to produce drones here in the US.
The US is too far away...
@@blacklion8208 Poland?
The Ukrainians are much better at maneuver warfare that's why the Kursk front is so important, it's where Ukraine can continue to make big gains.
"Ukrainians are much better at maneuver warfare" is yet to be proven, Both sides can in fact sprint for 3-5 days. True maneuver warfare is much more than that. You need to continuously do that, strike here, then there , penetrate deep hold, then strike in from a different direction.
Thanks for your work,🇺🇸🇺🇦💪🌻🌻🌻🌻🕶️
Thank you Mr Heinrich
Thank you, sir, once again.
Great work, as usual.
Slava Canada!
🥃
TRVTH
Thank you for the report!
Thanks ❤
@22:00 There is a HUGE backlog in F-16 deliveries as well as F-35's, so Administrational usage of dangling the carrot before the horse for the purpose of political incentives has run its course and now applicants are looking for other options such as Rafael, Grippen & FA-50. The Euro-Fighter is another option, but that production pipeline is more constricted than the F-16's is.
*Gripen, only one p
Thanks
*_THANKS, Colm!_*
The active armor plates appear to be either the German or the Russian designs. Also done by Israel. Usually they need RF or IR detectors mounted on the tanks. Not visible in these photos.
Chinese supply of Drone parts is a worrying sign for Russian support!
To my knowledge, the components were purchased by Russia from China. The Ukrainians also buy a lot of Chinese drone parts as well due to the low cost relative to their quality.
People greatly underestimate morale, especially when struggling to keep up with manpower
I always appreciate your updates.
About Leopard 1 reactive armor - most similar is, to me at least visual, could be type Croatia had on modified M-84 Yugoslav T-72 (M-84 was produced in Yugoslavia fully). That reborned M-84 got codename "Degman". Not many were modified, was just short term solution before we joined NATO. I don't know where Croatia get those plates, is not Croatian production. So it is just how I remember them while I was a soldier, it is just a thought according observation. Wish You all best, thank You for updates! Domagoj
The senator may not be the best APC, but it’s immensely better for casevac than civilian vehicles.
I’m sure the Russians would rather have armoured trucks over scooby doo vans and golf carts.
Thanks Torsten
Their faces lighting up upon hearing the news of Ukraine's invasion into Russia: PRICELESS!!
Kursk ,if nothing else , has effectively raised the middle finger to Putin
@@tilapiadave3234 Meanwhile rest of Ukraine:
@@evilleader1991most of it is not under russian occupation.
Finished the sentence for you.
@@bw6524 nice cope
@@evilleader1991 nothing to do with cope but a fact.
A fact that's obviously hurt your feelings.
Stick to your childish video games kid.
I would expect the outer most advances to be taken back for
Russians rather quickly. As Ukraine wouldn’t likely have had time to build up strong defenses and logistics.
Ukraine would be digging in and preparing hard defenses well back from the furthest advance into Kursk. Picking the best ground to build up and force a grinding fight. Goal should be to make Russian pay for every inch but give ground to preserve your forces.
Key to success of this operation is how much material and equipment is going to be needed to take back and hold the northern front. This isn’t something that will be seen on the fronts right away. It will be months before we see the effects on Russian offensive actions as the forces relocated we’re likely reserve unit.
Russia will have to divert limited equipment and experienced troops to guard the northern boarder from now on. Which means they aren’t on the main fronts.
With Russia air defense already showing signs of being over stretched this is going to be a major problem for them going forward.
End of this year is when Europe and America start hitting their production goals. Should be hitting around 2m 155mm shells end of the year. Ukraine Air Force will gain far more capability as f16 start to come into the fight in numbers and Ukraine will gain access to longer range strike missiles.
Russia is advancing in the east but visually confirmed losses of equipment is staggering to say the least. People who have counted Russian reserve equipment numbers using sat pictures estimate they have around two more years at current burn rate. They won’t run out fully but won’t be able to keep up this pace.
At best Russia ends this war with what they occupied so far 20%. It will have cost them 40% of their military equipment, 20% of the Black Sea fleet, 40% of the VDV, oils rate with Europe, Finland and Sweden joining nato, huge portion of their stock piles in munitions.
They lack the economy to rebuild as theirs purchase price parity advantage will be diminished. Cost of labor is much more expensive and inflation will be an issue because of war time spending. Russia has the Econ the size of Italy so most of this lost equipment isn’t getting replaced.
Russia would love to have an economy the size of Italy... Try Spain's or Australia's economy then you would be closer.
sorry to say, thats a lot of delusion and prejudices combined with wishful thinking.
if one wishes the ukrainians well in this conflict, best avoid that when analyzing and assessing capabilities of the opponent.
the russian economy according to gdp ppp comparison is vastly larger than the one of italy and now even larger than that of germany according to figures from the world bank. also it is growing at ca. 4-5%, while germany barely scratches above 0%.
it is not the russia of the 90s that went bankrupt under jeltzin, that was 30 years ago. russia now has a state debt of less than 20% gdp, which compares extremely favorably to most western state debts which are at 100% or above or at least at 70%+ in the better cases. at the same time russia still has a very positive trade ballance overall filling the russian coffins with $100+ bln yearly for decades meanwhile. as one of the very few countries worldwide it is having a positive trade balance with even china. much of that money was saved for tough times like today, so they have a full chest of money for this war.
also while gdp comparisons with ppp (per purchasing power) correction are more realistic than with the nominal gdp, that benchmark is still quite bad in comparing economies and production capability of different states, while being acceptable to compare the development of a single state along several years.
if you look closer at the economy of russia you will find that 30%+ is from manufacturing/industry, while in the west that figure is usually at ~20% with a much larger service sector (lawyers, haircutters,...). for instance russia produces ca. the same amount of steel like usa, at half the population size. just because russian products dont show up to customers in our western markets, does not mean they do not produce them.
such closer analysis makes it easier understandable how russia can outproduce the combined west regards artillery shells by a multiple factor.
also the sanctions against russia have not been done very cleverly. when the sanctions in 2014 were introduced, their answer with sanctioning western food imports have shown, that russia had the capability to become a big food exporter within a few years, while being on balance a food importer before 2014.
this time imo a big mistage of the west was sanctioning the russian oligarchs. while before the sanctions the oligarchs have siphoned yearly dozens of billions worth of usd to the west to buy luxury stuff and to invest, this money now stays in russia and looks for opportunities to invest there, increasing the russian economy size and tax income of the state for probably 2%+ per year. the oligarchs shouöd have been lured to the west instead.
if one is waiting for the russian economy to crumble and be their achilles heel in this war, that is wishfull thinking and thus not helpful.
🤦😂🤏🧠
@@vojins9203 that's a whole lot of lies abd you know it.
@@SonsOfLorgar one can easily look up these facts even in western official sources.
or you can stay in fantasy-land and dream about how the enemy will collapse by you wishing so.
you cannot name one thing where i was not correct and support your claim with a credible source, but just accuse me of lying... typical troll behavior.
Ukraine cannot win a prolonged war with Russia at least one Nato Country needs to grow some balls and send troops to help.
Can you please volunteer?
Ukraine is facing a slow collapse.
You are the best :) thank you for good info every day😃
I think they actually that UA forces have a very good plan.... (i dont think they are "losing" in Kursk)
Soon the Russian Navy will run out of coastline to retreat to.
Great report!
Ukraine entering Kursk and Russia not being able to expell them after all this time shows that NATO could easily invade and establish a large buffer zone.
They've walked themselves into a cauldron which is one of Russia's most used tactics in this entire war.
@@ailinofaolin8897 Yeah, right.
@@ailinofaolin8897 "The cauldron is boiling! The ass is in the ass! The asshole is tightening! The latex glove is tightening! The fat woman is choking! The gloves are coming off! The penis is exploding!"
@@ailinofaolin8897I have a spare washing machine for you. Don’t worry. You can have it for free!
Thanks for proving the point that Russia is incapable of invading Europe if it wins in Ukraine. This war was provoked by NATO expansion. The war is being fought to decide whether British Petroleum or Russia exports Ukrainian natural gas to Europe. SLAVA BRITISH PETROLEUM!!!!
You flash the maps to fast. It is to hard to focus on them.
Slava Ukraine 🇺🇦
Could you leave a link for Petrenko's map in the description. I can't seem to find it anywhere
Torsten
You da man
If you lived in America you could indulge your love of fire arms.
Books guns what a great combination 🇺🇸
the reactive armor on the Leo looks like it could be BRATS, used by the Bradleys.
To be honest, leaving some space in the gap might not be a defeat. Sometimes you want to let people leave and take the territory like they did in Kherson. But it might be just my hopes :D
The thing is that Ukraine has no intention to annex Kursk, so it does not need to defend or gain any territory in there. Which means that Ukrainian forces can do fast moves in any direction to outmaneuver the Muscovites. It is a completely different warfare, nothing like at Kharkov or at Pokrovsk.
I didn't go through comments regarding the leopard 1A5, but I believe they're using some sort of ceramic armament similar to what the Canadians used, lightweight and effective but dodgy for a front line tank today
That battle is starting to look like Tobruk
Where's that fighter cat? Eating, fighting or hunting a mouse?
Kitty, where are you? Keep out of Cincinnati. 🐈⬛🐈🐱
no Kitty 😔
Haitians BBQ time?
POW: hashtag I'm with that guy!
Blowing bridges this late shows their was no plan for pokrovsk and now theyve shifted the goalposts
It means the heat is about to be turned up.
lol?
Ukraine
Khorne group spoke about you today. They alluded to you in their latest update, unfortunately they were rude
Da ich bei der Arbeit dauernd damit konfrontiert bin: die meisten englischsprachigen Länder oder ex-Kolonien haben bei Zahlen Punkt statt Komma bei Dezimalzahlen und Komma nach 1,000, bzw 1,000,000.54. Mag ich auch nicht anzupassen, aber wenn man schon englischsprachige Quelle sein will, dann verhindert es Missverständnisse.
Murphy law of combat
13. If your attack is going well, you have walked into an ambush.
Slava Ukraine 🇺🇦
🇺🇦🇪🇺
The Russians willingly committing troops to that cauldron is hilarious. Within a week, the Russians will lose at least another two brigades in Kursk and Ukraine will double the territory they have under control. Not only that but after they frag another 2k-4k of their troops here, the Ukrainians will finally be able to press on the E38 highway and shut down the NPP.
I sure hope you are right.
You sound like the pro-russia saying Russia is about to win every day.
Can we stop announcing future wins like it's going to speed the end ?
It's been 10 years of conflict, and 2,5 years of full war and nobody's winning, everybody is losing.
What kind of dreamer are you?!
@@jpa5038 daydreaming.
Delusional.
got in as Nr. 15
👍
Russia - as usual -
Steps in almost every trap 😅
Sie können es einfach nicht
Besser 😊😎💪🇺🇦🇺🇦🔥
Really?
Is that how much your brain progressed?
Walking into every Ukrainian trap and still manages to steadily advance forward. Something isn't adding up.
Snagost was a split and hit trap so russia will fizzle out without any logistics in that area.
This situation in Kursk demonstrates once again that Ukraine is lacking in manpower not weapons. Without a good depth in reserves Ukraine will not be able to hold territory in Kursk much less stop advancements in the east. Many of the Russian gains in the east are accomplished the old fashioned way that require only men equipped with light to medium arms. Russia has plenty. Ukraine cannot use shell starvation lack of aircraft or air defenses as an excuse. Unless Ukrainians step up and join the ranks Russian meat waives will continue to succeed.
No sh*t, people were saying for months that Ukraine is suffering from manpower shortage. That is why many people questioned incursion into Kursk since what sense does it make to open up a new front when barely have enough troops to man the frontlines in the east....
Ukraine squandered this opportunity! have to be more aggressive if they plan on winning this war
One supply road...
Nice whiskey behind you.
Could be JW Red....
Snagost is not lost, they were beaten back, this is so out of date.
Not according to Deep State who work closely with the AFU.
yeah every other channel is showing a lot less of a loss of territory, but also reports but no confirmation of the southern attack that flanks the ruzzian counterpush
not according to deepstate, they said Russia took the village+surrounding area.
Ditto to the comment below.
15:04 the russians install machine gun nests on the Kerch bridge? 🤣what do they expect, AFU soldiers walking over ???
maybe they have intel of potential Ukrainian operation? People laughed at Russia digging trenches on the coast of Crimea, but it is pretty smart tbh...better to be prepared since war is unpredictabvle.
@@evilleader1991 come on, the trenches directly on the beach are total nonsense. A few ruzzki companies amde some money - and th trenches have been washed away by storms meanwhile
@@spxram4793 better to be safe than sorry as we've seen with Ukrainian lack of building defensive lines
>what do they expect
Destroy unmaned boats?
@@DamjanYuriev the russians used the advertise their Black Sea fleet for that 🤣
If they feel the need to install MGs fixed to the bridge, it is the admission of a failure on multiple levels.
ok
Visually it looks like a loss for the Ukrainians in Kursh with this success by the Russians. Ultimately it depends on the response further west towards Vesloye. Was the incursion North a planned organized action or merely a rapid reaction to the Russain counterattack towards Snagost
This war is just hopeless! For both sides!
I wish we could all simply see that.
Hopeless or not, Russia will win and it is obvious.
Yes, but one party doesnt really have a choice....
When I started watching this channel, I knew it was biased towards Ukraine, but the bias was pretty much under control. Recently though, it has gotten out of control. The benefit I had of only needing to watch Torsten to get a summary of recent events is fading and now again I have to start watching other channels to complete a more balanced understanding. This is a clear negative for me and it has depreciated the value of this channel, to the point where I may skip some of the videos.
I understand that the new approach is profitable, but if integrity is still a priority, then please take note.
I notice the same thing as well, I come here because it is one of the few non-propagandized channels but lately it has been pretty awful. A whole lot of copium for the Ukrainian side despite numerous setbacks, every "neutral" channel I used to watch have all been much more pro-Ukraine lately (Preston Stewart and this channel). I don't know if there's something I do not know because the typical pro-RU channels are showing a different picture (DPA, Weeb Union, Military Summary).
@@evilleader1991 To be honest, I don't care about the day-to-day map changes, I'm just interested in the trends. But no channels gives 1 week updates (Theti is way too detailed for me and HistoryLegends updates are too far apart and typically just focus on a single area).
If you are interested in the frontline map, I think Weeb is a good source because he basically copies Suriyak, who, in my experience, has been very reliable over the course of this war. I also like his overlay style.
@@allydea You also have "Deep dive with Daniel Davis", he does a weekly summary so if you don't have the time or interest to see day-to-day changes then he is good. He was also former military, so he has some interest insights.
Another good channel I can recommend is New Atlas with Brian Berletic.
@@evilleader1991 Didn't know Daniel Davis, will check it out, thanks!
Watched The New Atlas 1-2 years ago, but at least at that time, it was heavily Russian propagandized, didn't see much value in it.
@@allydea i thought the same in the beginning but he has a decent track record of predicting right in this conflict imo
Both gaining ground is loosely analogous to the stork being choked by the frog its attempting to sawllow
Bruh, Ukraine is only ground in Kursk (and even trhat is very limited). Russia advancing on ALL fronts.
Both side appear to be equally inept at maneuver warfare. Good report.
Considering they both had until relatively recently they both had the same playbook and structure its understandable. The move towards Vesloye could be a positive or simply a knee jerk reaction that does very little.
What a daft comment. Ukraine has shown its more than capable to conduct manoeuvre warfare in the liberation of Kyiv, Kharkiv and Kherson. They are limited by materiel availability, not competence. You couldnt write something more ignorant if you tried.
@@AlexanderHL1919 if you mean a quick advance yes both sides can move sprint for a few days.
"Maneuver warfare, or is a military strategy which emphasizes movement, initiative and surprise to achieve a position of advantage. Maneuver seeks to inflict losses indirectly by envelopment, encirclement and disruption, while minimizing the need to engage in frontal combat."
Essentially its not a quick run for 4 -5 days and then months of attrition style. It is a constant stick and move attack. Not letting your self get pinned down but constant sometimes sweeping attacks from multiply locations.
Material is a problem but so is organization. You need people thinking ahead and being prepared to capitalize on gains.
@AlexanderHL1919 The Russians left Kherson of their own volition, 5000 Russian paramilitaries in Kharkiv destroyed three brigades pulling out, Kiev literally never happened that entire column pulled back to Belarus after the Istanbul agreement.
@@ailinofaolin8897 LOL The fact that "5000 Russian paramilitaries in Kharkiv destroyed three bridges "while retreating does not dispute the need for them to retreat. Yes after being a hopeless state the Russians left Kherson.
Istanbul was a series of talks only after the Russian failed in Kiev did they run away. And the Ukrainians were not great a pursuit.
Special military retreat operation for Ukraine it seems
Again, loving your maps coverage. "Other channels" will barely show the maps when things aren't going so well, thank you for refusing to mindlessly spout US propaganda and your dedication to the TRUTH of a situation, hard as it may be to hear.
We don't hear you constantly plugging "forbidden" combat footage from your own 3rd party gore-site (of course while advertising it on RUclips still).
You don't try and pawn off your 50$/pack "super-gum" every 30 seconds, often in the cringiest ways.
Oh yea, and when you quote somebody, we can generally be pretty confident that it's what the person ACTUALLY said... Jake-quotes crack me up, dude just goes off the deep-end adding random little remarks and tidbits he WANTS to hear! It's absolutely ridiculous honestly, and that's all just the tip of the berg... it's a laundry-list with this guy.
Just repeating the line "Russia will lose this war guys" at the end of every episode like it's some kindof spell DOESN'T MAKE IT SO, actually on the contrary - it lulls allies into a premature sense of victory (the very definition of underestimating your enemy). I accepted his BS before because I figured "well he really does care at least" with the Birthday donations, but the thing is... what is he actually doing? It's the people legitimately donating (which they can already do anyhow, whenever they want) who are contributing! It just makes dude look like a hero on the surface-level with minimal effort. I guess you can't really be wrong if you only say what everyone wants to hear though so whatever...
Really though Tors, you're a light of truth in this mess. Never let those with more... 'infantile' minds guilt you into coddling them/facilitating their attempt at coping. This channel should serve as a prime example of proper, unbiased (well... as much as possible obviously) wartime reporting. Hope you have a great day mate!
You made some valid points, some of the same things I've been thinking, and I'm annoyed by some of the other bloggers, so thanks for your comment, now I don't feel like the only one.
Russia dominating again, dreams about Glushkovo pocket taking are shattered, Ukraine crumbling
Get a life Ivan 😂lol
@@MrBudgiejoe says the guy who is boting slava Ukraine 100 times per day, so sad
@@haraldhardrade7539the dictator that Russians bow down to everyday of their lives is now in a dark and desperate place!…it’s been written!…
@@Swish-x7b Thankfully the average Russian is not as stupid as you, keep wishing though!
And DELETE. 👎
The German dude was wrong on two things this week. There will be no long range strike strikes into Russia. And you said Russia counter offensive was a dud!! I told y’all that the UkraNatsees were stuck. Making stupid moves daily
Your not welcome here Ivan. Get a life 😂😂
@@MrBudgiejoe just another tim tool wannabe, mommy's 'special' boy that only wears crocs cause he can't tie shoe laces...i would pity him, but who gives a f about trash!
Ukraine is living in fantasy land, we all can see that they are barely holding on yet Z-man is still making maximalist demands. Either he is a great actor or just delusional.
Is a prescription level of copium being passed around? As Kursk Crumbles, Ukraines continue to lose ground in the south.
Ukraine have just ran out of time!
when god made time he made loads of it
The brigade that has been thrown to make the new offensive has been taken off from the Chasov Yar area. As a result the Russians have expanded almost twice their control over the channel and now have solid control over several kilometers of it thus gaining multiple axis of attack towards the city.
Hostre has been taken 2 days ago.
Overall you can keep coping with these maps that are deliberately not showing the reality on the front and keep dwelling Lalalandia or simply expand your sources of information beyond the official Ukrainian fairy tales.
Since I do not want you to have a brain hemorrhage, I am not going to offer you to check Russian sources, but you can use reputable independent sources like Syriak mapping at least :) Don't worry - you are not going to be arrested for this :) Well, the NAFO idi ots are going to call you "Russian shill" for this, but I hope you can overcome it :)
Russian source, the same source saying russian was the best army in the world. But wait, russia lost almost her entire black see fleet against a ghost country, man, russia source are very good
Pah, the Russians won this war two years ago it’s all black propaganda to say otherwise
@@pasdevosaffaires3038 Yeah, and the Baltic and the Northern fleet too. And they have lost already over a million men and are out of missiles, ammo, tanks food and are doing meat waves with shovels only.
Oh, and next week Ukraine will start besieging Moscow.
Go back to BBC and the inBritish press dude. Ukraine is still winning there.
@@doublehelix7880Sorry, but who is saying that two other fleets have been destroyed, and that the Russians are out of tanks and ammo? Please provide concrete examples.
@@pasdevosaffaires3038 it is not 2022 anymore, Russia has learned A LOT since it got a bloody nose in 2022. Russian army today is way more competent and I would argue more effective than most of European armies. Why? Because they got tons of combat experience in Ukraine, they have learned to wage war in 21st century with drones and all. Same is true for Ukraine true, but Russia will win since they have many more resources.
Yep, Ukraine over all is loosing this war currently! Kursk will prove to be useless unless the land contained some kind of minerals mines, gold, platinum, diamonds, titanium, etc….!
you are insane as ukraine is getting minced.
Meh.
Get a life orc 😂😂
Thanks, Torsten.
👍