Will China's 'three child policy' reverse its population decline? | Inside Story
HTML-код
- Опубликовано: 31 май 2021
- Once known for its 'one child policy', China is again relaxing its restrictions as it tries to cope with an ageing population.
In 2016, the policy was altered to allow couples to have two children.
Now the government says they can have up to three.
Census data show the birth rate is at its lowest in decades.
So what are the social and economic consequences?
Presenter: Mohammed Jamjoom
Guests:
Dan Wang - Chief Economist, Hang Seng Bank (China)
Stuart Gietel-Basten - Professor of Social Science and Public Policy, HKUST
Sophie Richardson - China Director, Human Rights Watch
- Subscribe to our channel:
- Follow us on Twitter: / ajenglish
- Find us on Facebook: / aljazeera
- Check our website: www.aljazeera.com/
Should we all accept that humans are now just an economic ajustment parameter?
Only if u fixate on that perspective.
Those pesky humans, if only we could have an economy without them.
humans are renewable resouce.
Always has been
@@orangeoblivion they are already working on it.
Government: We need more people so you can now have two children!
Citizen: I can’t really afford to have another kid right now.
Government: Ok then how about three children?!
Citizen: Do you even hear me??
so sad
It's too late
They can't fight against the government
Whether 40 years ago or now
@@mxm1337 ???
@@theoneinthebackground4209 around 1980 the govt set the one child policy... after that a mass abortion happened 6 months in pregnancy even 7 months many wasnt spared as long as they already had a child after that child trafficking started... many children was sent abroad for adoption... you tell me if the government was not behind this who else could go on such a large scale trafficking... especially the poor one...
A government who could track down landlords during cultural revolution in china causing a mass revolution can't even stop child trafficking?
Around 1985-90 university marched to get the understand their plight for freedom of speech and stop corruption when they were given the chance to finally study in college they couldn't get a proper job when they did they were suppressed by people with connections... family members of these people would take their credit and so on...
However this march was considered as rebellions by the communist party... calling on martial law... forcing any government members supporting these students to resign... many students died when the army was sent in Beijing to suppress them... it was another massacre... many soldiers lost their lives in it... so did any other civilians who either supported these students or just happened to be passerby
The communist just set the law... you have to follow even if you don't want it... if you don't agree to it more suppression to come... at worse death or war
Chinese can't do anything even if they don't agree they have to bear with it... if not they would just be another Myanmar... well Myanmar coup detat can still last this long... but despite China large population they wont last long against the Chinese army if they even try to rebel
I love China and Chinese people there's so many good things there... culture food etc.... but the communist party ruling it well... huh not much different from north Korea tyrant...
@@mxm1337 I don’t understand the argument. The people aren’t rebelling they’re just not having kids. The government can say they can have any number of kids they want but if they don’t want any there won’t be any so them allowing three won’t mean there will be more. The population will still be declining.
During one child policy, everyone wanted to have a son, and for their son to eventually get a wife.
Only one tiny problem; not as many families were willing to have daughters.
@rational thinker BIAS is HATE
@rational thinker god just go away, your life too short to deal with that problem
@rational thinker yall make up like half world population anyway, even dropping whole countries can’t dilute so sit down
20 years later - UNO REVERSE
@Criss Sukala Cool, so how many Chinese male died in the war since the one child policy was established?
China: don't have children
Population: drops
China: surprised pikachu face
New policy: men are now required to give brith
I've heard some of them say that they will basically just "steal" women from the surrounding Asian countries and Africa.
@@bobmarley4272 Yes check documentary on Chinese men going for Pakistani and East European brides
I know enough men that are very paternal. They would sign up willingly. I say never mind having kids in a world that's insane.
Lmao
@@KC-jr6zs yes you know many men who are paternal but do you know the biology? No matter how many of them sign up, none would be able to give birth unless they are trans men, so basically not biologically men.
I wonder what the psychological implications of an entire population of people growing up as only children could be…
Try to queue somewhere in China and you will know. Very elbow-y.
Life is hard in China, and the cost of life will make it especially difficult to have more than 1-2 kids. Same as in the west. When your standards of living rise kids become much less affordable.
the main problem for china is the population is aging too fast before people have gotten rich not a very good mix for their economy
@@eduwino151 *China should legalize euthanasia for elderly people like Switzerland did.* So old people who can’t take care of themselves anymore and do not want to spend the rest of their lives rotting away in a assisted care/retirement home have the option of being euthanatized fast and painlessly with the help of doctors. *It could also benefit poor elderly people who have not saved any money for retirement and can no longer work.* ~ That is my retirement plan.
Breading soldiers is behind it . And cheap labour. The whole world has been inslaved for ages.
@@JD-jz5rr Excellend idea! A country that has absolutely no rule of law and the worlds largest illegal organ harvesting crimes now will be the world largest place where elderly will be murdered for government efficiency.
How to make a Country Population Grow Old Faster = CIA Secret Weapon ! 😁😁😁👍👍👍
Chinese government must think raising children is an easy thing. Life is not so easy.
It is for them when they get unlimited access to everyone's money, but restrict it to the people. How else would they be able to swim in their pools full of money
It
@@kitkatkruncher22 I don't think they have "pools full of money" , but what they have and their population don't, is financial security, and that is decision making.
Just imagine living in a country telling you how much children you can have...soon they will tell their people how much air they can breathe
you can breathe 2 L of
Or how often you can fart....
For average people, how could a mom with 3 kids even have time to go to work???
Some has as many as 9 children and they never missed their work😃
@@programmingcafe4398 like to create a kindergarten, daycare business or become a football team coach?
Well I have 5 siblings and my mom was legal manager at local supermall. Almost 6 if not stillbirth.
Grand parents help with taking care kids and they love their grandchildren.
I want at least 3 children though.... Maybe 4 ? If not at the minimum 2.
@@gkagara the question is that "have you got a boyfriend" ? 🤔
@@user-tj6ot7tw8g watch out the commie bots might come with a additional third leg.
To quote Pierre Eliot Trudeau . " There's no place for the state in the bedrooms of the nation."
"Women love working so bad they would rather work than do ANYTHING else in life!" Wow talk about nonsense. Give a person a choice to work or not work and get same salary in both cases. THEN you can say they prefer working to anything else. If you put people into condition where not working = suicide, a lot will choose to work. It doesn't mean they're hard-core workaholics. It simply means they do not think they have a choice.
A different question - how will China feed itself now that they are going abroad to find food for its people? Population goes up but the amount of farmland does not. Earth is round, abundant, finite. One child as policy has many social problems but overpopulation also has problems.
I totally agree so many areas are short on water food and housing we need more freaking people like we need a toxic waste dump site next door.
I suppose it could learn not to pollute the soil with toxins, which is reducing the farmland, but that would be the end of their cheap electronics industry.
This is why caring for the environment shouldn't be something that only western nations care about
They are already doing it. They are going into Africa for farm land.
@@StupidBadyXD Yes they are. And building businesses and creating areas where the native African people are not allowed enter or live in.
No, it is not. Or well, it will not for at least 20-30 years, maybe even more if not enough women are born.
71 years of forced sterilization, murders and abuses especially in an era where low-end jobs are disappearing because of robotization and extremely expensive life are absolutely not going to help.
But maybe it's a good thing, less soldiers and supporters for the big bully. One good swipe during the first battle and they'll crumble like USSR in the 90s
tbh there is no lack of low end job in china however most children born in the 80s and 90s are educated and grow up in an environment where factory work is dirty work. most of them prefer white collar work even if the the pay is similar. therefore you can see the situation where the unemployment rate of university graduate is sky high but the factory owner could not find enough labor to operate.
Nothing will change unless living cost change
EXACTLY!
Its not just that. People are having less kids because lifestyles and outlook on life has shifted. Society as become more self indulgent and less focused on legacy or lineage. People arent passing things down to kids, there is nothing to be passed down so there isnt a need for heirs and now people have a mentality that favors their satisfaction in life and more often than not, that satisfaction comes from being child free or having only 1 or 2 kids. People dont want to spend their youth raising kids either, so are having them later..which also reduces the amount they have. Incentives will help but even countries that offer them arent seeing much results because of the cultural/mindset shift that has occured in current era. And this is world wide in every developed or developing nation.
In the 40 years of the one-child policy China (because of its preference for the male child) has managed to skew the gender ratio as well. Today they don't have enough females who can get married and have children.
Lol i am singaporean our country also have this porblem i think all hardworking country will have this porblem look at usa they have crack head so many is my country total people
@Joseph Santos lol most of the developed countries are facing population decline because people rather pursue money than start a family
@@Liukanginthehouse any human who loves their child, will NOT create one to subject it to miseries of working class life.
@@rajadhirajmaharaj I feel saddened by the fact you had to experience pain to type that comment. As there are truth to those words, remember you are from a great ancient civilization so have pride and stand tall. Don't lose hope in the humankind
@@Liukanginthehouse Working class is just working class. Race, civilisation, era nothing matters. History of civilisation is about genocide and oppression. My "civilisation" is basically a history of oppression by upper caste over lower castes and Dalits i.e. slaves.
During British Raj, some privileged upper caste boys got together and wrote some fluffy nationalistic poems about how awesome their ancestors' lives were.
People are just physical machines run by numerous chemical reactions. Humans create humans to feel good, feel superior. A working class father procreating a child is the most selfish, egoistic, psychopathic behaviour among humans. Those orphanage and government hospitals in third world countries are perfect example of humanity's absurdness. A pretentious facade inside of which exists explicit truth.
The issue isn’t about the child policy… the issue is the fact that there are whole generations of girls who would be adults that were never given chance of life. There’s also the mere fact that bringing another human life into this is now seen as nothing more than an additional expense that both companies and parents have to pay for.
The women that are missing aren't the only problem what about the women that can't have kids because of health issues and the women that don't want to have kids at all. Also you have two maybe three generations that grew up with one kid was the norm that's a lot to fight with too.
Having hundreds of millions busy with the devotion and responsibility of having children is an excellent way to distract the people from collecting together to demand a better society for themselves from their state.
The US did it post 1947.
You can change a policy by a stroke of pen, but to change the attitude of people, you need time and collective pursuance. The capitalist order does not allow that.
If China gets more forceful in raising the birth rate, I will call it "The People's Republic of Gilead."
Blessed be the fruit!! 😂
May the Lord open
Under His eye…it’s already like that
Same problem in the US, Women don't want to have babies because of the discrimination and cost. Men have a hard time getting paternity leave here. The government want things but doesn't want to come up with real long term solutions
Why would I pay for someone else’s babies? There’s a reason for traditional gender role. Employer can’t hire someone who doesn’t work or takes months of vacation.
@@StupidBadyXD That attitude proves my point. Why would women want to have babies when there are people like you that either don't understand or don't want to understand. Talking to people like you with this mind set is a waste of time. It's just better not to have the babies.
@@studiohq If you are so righteous, why don't you just go pay for other people's children. Don't force other people to do it. Forcing other to pay is call robbery, regardless what bullshit "Righteous" word you use. I have no problem with charity, I have problem with robbery.
The CCP need to have family support system like free maturity leave, free healthcare, free $ monthly to cover children cost, free food WIC, and free education. This may help the population increase beside just have more kids.
This is the effects of policies from over 30 years ago. The men will marry women from south east Asían countries
han chinese rarely marry outside their culture
@@eduwino151 I have seen that. But they seem to like Hong Kong...the poorer Chinese marry from Vietnam, Laos
@@eduwino151 Not anymore. They recently started inviting women from Eastern Europe, South East Asia, and Africa to marry farmers in China.
@@bobmarley4272 I have seen that...it is said Africa women are culturally similar eg. Zambia and Ugands
@@melissascott5490 What do you mean?
No one should ever tell you how many children you are “allowed” to have
and that is why whites will not exist in the next hundred years while chinese will be in space exploring the universe.
In China, people have a different mentality, they cherish more about collectivity and common good, that’s why they could easily win the war against COVID domestically.
@@marcuscaines9168 if the chinese keep CCP in power, then it will be more likely they will eat grass during famine like in n. korea then going into space :P
Exactly
@@HCqvintus na, china is powerful and full of highly educated people that are proud of their race and nation. the west is turning into a backwards craphole due to non-whites outbreeding whites.
we need to stop using gross domestic product as a measure of an economy: gross sustainable product should be the measure.
They can raise it to a ten child policy and it won't make any difference. A culture of "only" children produced by the one child policy has resulted in a high % of adults who dont want children. Additionally, a lack of economic mobility makes it financially difficult for those living in the big cities to take on the responsibility of caring for children. And finally, like Russia, there's likely many who don't want to raise children in an undemocratic society.
Mike Saunders Not just that. Due to the only child in the family, this child when grow up had to support his two parents as well as grandparents and his one child. He had no siblings to help take care of his parents. Therefore, it is unlikely he can afford to have another child.
Unlikely, just as the change to a 2 child policy a few years ago didn't produce the desired results, it's doubtful this will either. For most there are other factors to consider, for instance, if you already have your hands full taking care of the child you have and both sets of parents your not likely to want to add to that burden simply because the government asked you to get to it .. Unless the government makes it viable for people to have that many children, I don't see the policy shift making much difference to the overall population.
Yeah like they had discussed, the Chinese government have completely forgotten that you have raise and care for children for at least 18 years… the oldest kids who were born under the 2 child policy are only 6 years old
AI, 5G, Automation, Blockchain, Robotics all are reducing the need of low end jobs, meaning quality weigh more than quantity...
Nope that need maintenance fee human in China basically only have 2$ per hours fee no retirement nothing.
Machinery have average 25 $ per hours maintenance.
@@gkagara So do you think this attempt at fixing the birthrate will not work? I'm not from China but I am just curious about how life is over there.
I used to hear Xi Jinping was actually making good progress in many fields and turning China into a good country.
And when the CCP looks at the Chinese people only in term of a factory worker, totally dehumanization them - implementing robots is no issue.
Many people don’t realize that about 80 percent of Chinese live with their sons and daughters or live very near them. Furthermore, demographics fail to consider the toxins and diseases and other impactful living conditions that was cause by China’s modernization. A lot of old people in China will end up dying sooner, an unfortunate event for the families but good for the economy.
@@tokyoslasher3522 I am not currently reside on mainland, but my cousin said life is good, we have split in our grandfather one staying one going for adventure outside, I am from adventuring side.
I don't get the fuzz about this.
Developed ciuntries are worried about population decline, yet when justifying unemployment they cite automation. Why do they want more people to be born?
Robots don't consume or buy you need people to consume and buy to make a profit
@@ruthj2359 neither unemployed people
Short answer: they want more voters, consumers, wage slaves, soldiers, etc so they (politicians, corporations, etc) stay in power and get richer.
The media and movies centered around this will be odd, tons of three child families. Three utensils in cereal commercials, lots of three color combinations, three player games, etc
The amount of time we spend believing we can't is more than enough time to learn how we can.
He must be a pro, for people to talk this good of him.
I tried trading on my own but it only left chasing shadows
I've worked with 4 traders in the past but none of them is as efficient as he is. His trading strategies are awesome!
" mission impossible " never ever exist in our Chinese dictionary.
The Soviet Union collapsed know Soviet China will collapse
Get fact straight. The one child policy was adopted as early as 1965 and interrupted during cultural revolution. But this policy was only limited to the Han Chinese but not adopted to minority.
Lol you fall for propaganda of ccp? Just see uighur population rate graph.
Source from Wikipedia:
"The one-child policy was part of a broad program designed to control the size of the rapidly growing population of the People's Republic of China.[1] Distinct from the family planning policies of most other countries, which focus on providing contraceptive options to help women have the number of children they want, it set a limit on the number of births parents could have, making it the world's most extreme example of population planning. One-child families were first encouraged in some areas in 1978 by Chinese leader Deng Xiaoping[2],[3][4][5] although strict enforcements did not begin until 1980 (after a decade-long two-child policy).[6] The policy was modified beginning in the mid 1980s to allow rural parents a second child if the first was a daughter, and then lasted three more decades before the government announced in late 2015 a reversion to a two-child limit.[7][8] The policy also allowed exceptions for some other groups, including ethnic minorities. Thus, the term "one-child policy" has been called a "misnomer", because for nearly 30 of the 36 years that it existed (1979-2015), about half of all parents in China faced instead a two-child limit.[9][10][11]
To enforce existing birth limits (of one or two children), provincial governments could, and did, require the use of contraception, abortion, and sterilization to ensure compliance, and imposed enormous fines for violations. Local and national governments created commissions to promote the program and monitor compliance. China also provided a nominal reward to families with one child, in accordance with the instructions on further family planning issued by the Communist Party Central Committee and the State Council in that year, regulations awarded 5 yuan per month for families with one child. Parents who had only one child would also get a "one-child glory certificate".[12]
The impact of China's birth restrictions has been hotly debated. According to its government, 400 million births were prevented. That statistic originally referred to all births averted since 1970,[13] although later it referred to just the one-child era beginning around 1980. Some scholars have disputed the official estimates. They claim that the one-child program had little effect on birth rates or the size of the total population when one considers the large drop in fertility during the two-child decade preceding it and that other countries - such as Thailand and the Indian states of Kerala and Tamil Nadu - experienced notable fertility declines without official birth quotas.[14][15][16][17] A recent study even suggests that, contrary to popular belief and its government's intentions, the one-child phase of the birth program had a pronatal effect that raised birth rates above what they otherwise would have been.[18] Yet this study has itself been disputed as an implausible "erasure of the impact of this program from history."[19] Moreover, the comparative models proposed by those dismissing official estimates as exaggerations[18][15] imply that, even when China's rapid development is considered, its birth program since 1970 has already averted at least 600 million births, a number projected to grow to one billion or more by 2060 when one tallies the averted descendants of the births originally averted by policy.[20][21][22][19] Thus, there is little dispute about the massive demographic impact of China's half-century campaign to control its population. The real debate concerns what portion of the averted births (and population) should be attributed to the tightened one-child limits (and related enforcements) after 1980, as opposed to the two-child program that preceded it".
how is it that they went through half an hour of discussion without even mention the word "CLIMATE" even once?
Heck, China is suffering from pollutants that are hundreds of times deadlier than CO2.
At least the Chinese know how many children they can support. In many area of the world this seems an unheard of concept.
I won't be surprise if China impose a fine for any couple who dont reach target of 3
From mandatory abortions to mandatory child births xD
@@rubyred6687 Yup...😑
In that case they'd probably just save for the fine rather than the other children. Moreso, if many are unable to pay then jailed, who will care for the current children? Probably will need more orphanages, again. Vicious circle. 😞
It will continue to decline even though 4 children are allowed as new generation has get used to one child policy.
There’s no way the birthdate is 1.5 in China. They’ve had ONE child policy for 4 decades, so the actual birthdate would logically be closer to 1.
Make health and education free
Japan and South Korea have the same population issues, though. Low birth rates that are unsustainable.
Low birth rates are sustainable. It is the high birth rates that are unsustainable.
Earth 🌐 : so u would never think about me
😭😭😭
don't bring more burden on me
Chinese are more in number but they don't pollute as much as westerners. an average pollutes 100times more than a citizen in developing country.
@@rajadhirajmaharaj I find it humorous that the smog over Los Angeles looks less disgusting than the smog over most major Chinese cities, yet China is supposed to be much further ahead on saving the environment than the USA.
Yeah, 3 Children Policy is just a stand-alone policy, without any social welfare or benefits, not even more maternity leave. Imagine this: taking a 2-year old while another one in the belly at a working place. Does China government expect all Chinese women to be superwomen? Why don't those pregnant women just quit jobs? Well, ONE working salary can't cover a 3-person family's expenses. Now China government is looking for that tiny amount of money to cover a 5-person family's expenses. Come on, we've got to buy foods to survive. BTW, there's no Food Bank program in China. One wants to eat, then one has to pay to buy his foods.
China has more than enough people aren't they only second to India in population numbers?
India is second to China.
But if you count Bangladesh and Pakistan included in India as Indian subcontinent or "brown people country", then yeah, India is the most populous.
But the west totally controls Indian subcontinent through religious extremism, drugs, divisive politics.
Sadly, China is still No. 1 as for population, but soon it will give the place to India.
@@rajadhirajmaharaj exactly
@@gmailgmail1010 Wait... Is that something to proud of?
Don’t ever meddle with nature.
You can never win.
Population planning and control have gone hopelessly wrong beginning with restrictions on the numbers of children. Sterilization, ligation, abortion upset naturalness.
Hence birth rates are uneven which affect the age spread in most countries.
If governments could guarantee that the single wage of the breadwinner, usually the husband, is sufficient enough to support the family, then half the battle is won with the wife managing the home and all their children full time.
Educate women to the highest level, and when she get married, encourage her to manage the home full time.
Birth control like “coitus interruptus” and other natural processes to be taught for better planning of numbers.
Not enough thought and discussions on population management in the past is posing a big problems for the world today.
Raise the hourly rate/ salary for workers with children, build more child care facilities, and let parents (both mothers and fathers) to work some of their hours from home if need be.
They can’t. They lose their world manufacturing status if they raise salary/hourly rate for worker.
They don't have money to build more child care facilities, or for decent welfare in general, as the CCP takes a MASSIVE share of tax revenue relative to Western countries.
you can force a woman to have an abortion, but forcing her to have a child is a lot harder.
12 million babies a year is A LOT. Here in Canada, we have way way less than that. Canada would be completely collapsed if we have that much babies a year.
China averages about 30 million abortions a year.
So much talk about economy if u can't even have a happy family .
Next time we will see news old people are mysteriously disappearing from china
Yup
I hope this leads to the demise of China and ultimately help in the independence of Uighurs in occupied East Turkestan.
Invasion of Afghanistan led to the break up of the Soviet Union and consequently led to the independence of Central Asian countries.
Are you kidding?It has i.41 billion Chinese! What about overseas Chinese number??
Playing with nature unfortunately
If the government wants to raise the birth rate, why on earth haven't they legalized egg donation? There are millions of infertile women who want to have children but cannot; it seems like an obvious way to increase the birth rate, without even forcing anyone to give birth.
China can make it 100 child policy but the population will decline like it or not. China option is to get immigrant from poor countries even then it will be hard since China doesnt have much freedom.
Most of the world outside Africa is in that situation: children are just too expensive.
@Max 10 we know how china destroying bhudist ,islam,chirstan in their country
China shouldn't adopt policies it shd be left to couples how much they wanna...
To see more poverty and know human rights 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
Not enough children? The govt pays all cost of living for all the kids. Otherwise just shut up.
China is competing with India as the world's most populated nation in the world 🤔
India will win ;)
Finally, some civilised conversation about China, without aggressive ccp propaganda peddlers like Guo or Taigen
You're allowed 3 children. But can you even afford it?
I really don't know that China's three child policy will make their birth rate higher because I'm home country the USA is having a low birth rate too and there's nothing I can do about it at all.
This won't stop the birth decline in the cities, but in the vast rural hinterland? That's different.
What about a second child or third that was born and they never became a citizen. Their families were fined the other child was never able to receive documents. They will never be able to attend school or leave the county.
Keep changing slowly for betterment of your people.
Yeah. They're going to have to do something else for elder care. That's not going to bring down housing costs and long working hours.
I'm just laughing 🤣
Ridho baihaqi 🤣🤣🤣🤣
Mahatma Gandhi once said you don't even own your soul in a communist society
I can assure you that the soul is THE ONLY thing you can keep in communism but obviously that requires sacrifices 😉
No one knows communism better than you
Three children is way too much for China
China is China. They view problems differently than the Western World and resolve their problems with a different approach than the Western World. If China's population is aging, so is the population of the entire world. It seems to me that the Chinese mentality is set to resolve problems, not to find reasons not to. Based on who has the most kids around the work ( the poor ), they are planning for a country "Kids Boom" in wish they will invest in and educated. I see allot of schools in the country side. We all may learn something from this "Experiment". Lets check in 20 yrs.
no child policy for those below poverty and one child policy for those below median income.
Population decline is not the reason its bcoz they claim most of teritorial waters and islands which they claim they owned it and that means more habitats for their property i knew it
Great journalism ✅
Why three? Why just no restrictions?
It doesn't make sense to have a limit still, like most people are just not gonna have more than 2+ children when they get more wealthy in general
They can implement the “100
Child Policy,” but it won’t change a thing. Children are expensive.
Same in every developed country, stupid to raise more kids and lower standard of living because of inflated costs.
Now There is a chance they will create faulty condoms😂
Couples struggle to afford 1 baby, why so 2 or 3 child policies if government can't even help out. Chinese women don't want to date cause they focus on their career
impeding chinese disaster, Isnt China the reason for the massive deforestation in Brazil, USA and other countries? more people-more demand for pigs... more deforestation ... doesn't seems a bright future for anyone. Besides... 3 children are too much for their future parents in an expensive country- What's the world their State will left them?
Over a billion people are going to have fun trying..LOL
This title is incorrect. The population growth rate is declining, but it is still POSITIVE growth, the population is not declining! Like a car accelerating down the road taking the foot off the accelerator a bit but still speeding up. The countries population is still increasing. Many are getting older they are concerned that too many will be retired and they won't have enough people to care for the retired and dying...This growth is the same situation with nearly every country on the planet.
More headaches for wildlife conservation projects as more rhino horn, ginseng along with other endangered species' concoctions will be highly on demand again as boosters for the great expectations of the salivating males .... Re education camp for the 70+ and prison time for those who are reluctant as AI enhanced cameras will be watching your every move!
in the first place, only 10% of its population got married every year. The government should get more people to marry first.
12 million kids born in one year and they are saying low birth rate 😂
That is low, only 12 million to run whole China country would collapse.
Even if 100% of that enter government and civil service it wouldn't be enough one factory can house 50.000 workers all work on shift 24/7 China has tens of billion miles of road that need public transportation this alone need around 500.000 driver not counting truck delivery or rail worker or air transportation or naval cargo service.
for china with its huge population that is very low especially with many people now aging , India next door with comparable population is churning out over 30 million babies a year
Hahahahaha we are taking about rate...not number
Because 12 million people compared to the size of China is nothing.
@sneksnekitsasnek If you actually think people have any kind of effect on the environment you're wrong. The biggest source of pollution comes from big corporations. Airplanes, freight/cargo ships, factories, etc. Most "normal" everyday things people do like driving cars for example don't really amount to much.
Children work in the rural areas. Once they can carry a tool they are put to work.
It's never too late .
There a still a lot of governments that have yet to learn that it is not enough to simply increase the retirement age. China of course is the most extreme example but its not just China.
How about changing the economy instead of forcing them into poverty
isn't three child policy still a birth control policy?
Yep. You’re right. Once women have had 3 children, there will be the issue of forced sterilisations and abortions.
No, the point is to slow the decline as China is still far too overpopulated.
In hindsight - What if a 2 child limit had been mandated instead of the 1 child limit?
'Population decline?' They have 1.44 billion people. Like capitalism and the rationalization of
endless growth, will China need 10 billion Chinese because each generation needs increase to
care for the over population of previous generations? Absurd. They don't need more births,
but less births than deaths, far less, to get back to a decent number of people for the geography,
like 400,000. Same for India, Indonesia, Africa, and Mexico.
well, the studies show in 2050 there will be 700 millions of them. Halved. I call it not just decline - but a very rapid decline.
@@rockyfjord3753 the annual growth this year is about 0.3%. In 2-3 years it will be 0, and later negative - that's when the population will start shrinking.There are few articles about it online.
@@rockyfjord3753 hence the new 3rd child policy in China introduced last week. It is not western but Chinese research.
@@lukei6255 If the 3d child policy is enacted,
then population will be on the increase.
There's no evidence over any period of
time that China's population is or will decline. You are supposing a theory.
@@rockyfjord3753 Chinese rarely have 3 kids. And given the cost of raising a child in China (and the environment) most have only one.
Pretty sure China will force the three child policy or find a way to artificially grow them.
Having read through .any comments, I'd like to add my own understanding of the problem. The one child policy was cruelly imposed on women, and many comments acknowledge this.
But no one seems to join the dots between "taking away a woman's right to control her fertility " for four generations, and suddenly " ok now you must have 2, 3 or more children". Its tragic that women from all levels of society will no longer be controlled like farm animals.
The wider Culture has changed.
The specific culture of women has changed.
What do older women tell the younger women about being a woman in China?
Maybe it's not just the difficult economics.
It's not political science.
Its not the male centric culture in China.
Its the absolute outrage women feel about being treated like " breeding stock".
How dare the govt try to do this? Where will it end?
"No contraception until you've had 2 or 3 babies"?
They need to multiply to fill artificial lands in South China Sea.
There is enough people in the world. Especially in China.
The Government needs to find other ways to support the economy without needing more people.
why do they Need to have three kids whats wrong with a smaller population? it just means theres more room for people to live unlike america thats way to crowded
Yes, but you need people to work the land to work to pay taxes. So they need more future workers!
This is an stupid ideology.😂
You fools. Even if this doesn’t work. My comrades at home have the 4 child policy ready to go.
It's a matter of time before they MUST have three children.
They care about the country as a whole, but not its people. ¡Also, the culture has become so materialistic that I think they would choose Louis Vuitton bags over having a child.