Bitcoin Logarithmic Regression
HTML-код
- Опубликовано: 21 сен 2024
- The price of #Bitcoin can best be described by logarithmic regression in my opinion. We talk about the upside potential and the downside risk quite frequently, and I think these logarithmic regression bands help us to visualize exactly what that looks like. With the logarithmic regression bands we can identify at various stages whether the bias is upwards or downwards, or if there is no bias at all.
Into The Cryptoverse Premium:
intothecryptov...
LIFETIME OPTION:
intothecryptov...
Alternative Option:
/ intothecryptoverse
Merch:
store.intothec...
Disclaimer: The information presented within this video is NOT financial advice.
Telegram: t.me/intocrypt...
Twitter: / intocryptoverse
TikTok: tiktok.com/@benjamincowencrypto
Instagram: / bjcowen
Discord: / discord
Facebook: / intothecryptoverse
Reddit: / intothecryptoverse
Website: intothecryptov...
![WE GOT ACCESS TO GPT-3! [Epic Special Edition]](/img/1.gif)
Hope everyone enjoyed their summer!
Don't say it like it's over 😭
Not over!
C'mon summer is still here!
It's not over yet c'mon 😊
Not quite over yet
ben you are the best content creator for crypto on youtube. always a neutral non biased explanation on your opinions. never irrational unrealistic bs.. always down to earth ideas backed by history and data in which you even disclose sometimes isnt always correct. good work.
My thoughts exactly, he provided so much value in such short videos. He is imo the best or one of the best btc analysts that exist on RUclips.
Thanks for having me in the Cryptoverse.
thanks ben, was missing you and your knowledge
So many words have written about the Merge and about ETH possibly flipping BTC sometime in the future.
So in this phase I am curious to know your opinion: how big could be the impact of the imminent Merge, on the BTC path under the Log Regression Band?
Is this the first time ETH could be really influencing BTC price movements? (or that's just my idea?)
i love the logarithmic regression content, as always
one thing that's not on the charts is experience. A lot of the people who are now of the age to invest probably owned 1-2 BTC in early 2000s sold and saw it continue to go up. They also went through the 911 crash, 2008 crash and the pandemic crash. This is the first dip that a lot of people have had a chance to buy. Channels like this and others will also effect how the market behaves. This bull run like the last one will be a bit different. Thanks for the strong TA. I'm up in a bear market !!!!!
My big concern is that Bitcoin has never faced a recession
Ben the crypto fren strikes again. 100% this is a good time to DCA even if price goes lower you should be salivating at the chance to buy more.
thanks Ben
Thanks!
U were right, not Saylor etc! Nice man! Good job
Hey Ben! I hope you read this comment and, in the best case scenario, have a minute to answer a couple of questions. The first one is: are you weighting the prize of each candle by the volume that is associated to it? Would it make sense to do so? EDIT: second question was wrong, and I realized it afterwards. So, just the question before.
Anyway, thank your for your videos. Have a nice day!
Love your content Ben. Can you please do a video on altcoin vs bitcoin projection?!?
Benjamin, You always deserve a thumbs up!
I feel like we are currently in the upper band of the green curve. We just don't know it yet. On Ben's chart we are in the bottom band of the green curve but I believe when this bear market is over and Ben refits his green band, it will become evident that we were in the upper band and the real bottom was in the real bottom band which is yet to be determined.
hey i have just discovered this video and i wondered how you get this chart to show? would you be able to explain. thanks
do we think the bottom is in?
Much appreciated
love ur analysis, regression fit is very information, thanks you
You put a lot of emphasis on the curve plotted through the "non-bubble" data. There have been wild swings above this non-bubble curve. However, it seems you never consider the possibility that we could start to see, for the first time in bitcoins existence, large deviations the non-bubble curve as well. What are your thoughts on that possibility?
Hi Benjamin, please more content on Ethereum, its my main currency and I am in a no man's land. I cant tell how the merge is going to impact.
did ben just say the bottom is likely in? That is the first time i've heard him say that. Did he change his mind?
we made it to the accumulation phase 🥲
This makes me more calm hehe. Thanks Ben.
Can somebody please explain 1. where does 'fair value' figure come from? 2. What is it fair price, based on what criteria?
The fair value, has Ben named it, it’s just the centerline of the logarithmic regression channel that he drew over the bitcoin chart. Bitcoin won’t necessarily fit into this logarithmic regression channel in the future, but the channel's continuous curve appears to fit the past data well enough, so it’s reasonable to dubiously identify a particular "fair value" along that curve, at least until that model is broken. It’s conceivable that bitcoin might look like the gold chart in the distant future, or, Heaven forbid, the Luna chart, and thus would no longer fit nicely within a predictable logarithmic regression curve, which could also invalidate such speculation of a particular fair value. But for now, the model seems useful while the pricing still fits.
thanks
ben says buy yall fools better buy
This time we will not spend a lot of time in the lower regression
Great Content .Thanks BEN.
Thanks
HI BEN, BUT WHAT ABOUT ALTS IS GOOD TIME FOR DCA IN OR NOT?
Thanks for the great content man. Pretty boring time indeed. Time to buckle up and wait this out.
Great vid, thanks Ben!
why the gap between those two areas is keep decreasing ??
Can you please do an eth regression band video?
Hey Ben,
Would you say that since we didn't get as overextended as previous cycles, we won't see the same downside as previous cycles (going to the very bottom/below the lower regression band)?
He has said many times that is very much a possibility.
Awesome ta thanks Ben!!
Thanks 👍🙂
I'm always perplexed why Bitcoin stays in the lower band for such long periods and when it runs into the high bands, it's always for a short time.
It can be explained quite easily. Bitcoin is in the lower bands during a bear/ sideways market. During such a time emotions (associated to FOMO) are low, people leave the market, new people generally don't enter due to poor price action, you get it, general disinterest in the market. However it runs into the high bands at peak euphoria, every criteria I cited before is at polar opposite.
This leads to some big investors seeing what's going on and exiting/ shorting the market. Mania phases are always short lived.
any dominance video soon ?
how can we get that log regression indicator in tradingview? i can never find it
Ben, how will you know when it's time to refit the upper regression band?
Basically I don't think we are going to see an all time high anytime soon. Maybe when we see the new halving around May 2024 we will see some large moves to the up side, but for now a vey long accumulation faze :(
Try to look at it on a positive way: The longer it takes, the more you can accumulate
@@flameooe Facts, honestly let those guys wait until ATH to buy. We'll be on the moon while they on earth. lol
Time to just accumulate for the next bull run
Blackrock is gonna buy in big event in near future.Can we get episode of whale watching? A lot of stuff that did not happen before r happening now sowe might see big suprises ;)
Good content
Big Ben 💯👍
Hey thanks! Where I can find your indicator?🙏
@@ITC_Admin ok thanks
Hey
Bro, dont mean to be a dick, but how much time does it cost you to refit those damn support bands? 😅 You keep saying you didnt refit them in years haha, could you please refit them? Im very curious to see the real legit updated version :)
The BEST way to model BTC price is following Ben's hairline. We all know this.
For real insight and edge, we need to see what the hairline on the back of Ben's head looks like.
Yes! 😆
Muito bom
Whats the meaning of non bubble data? Anyone know?
Bubble data is basically when a bunch of people are talking about Bitcoin and loads of people are signing up for exchanges and such that weren't here when things were boring and prices were down. So basically non bubble data is the opposite
Non-bubble data is the market prices during periods when price is driven mostly by "normal" buying and selling of the steady longer term accumulation or day to day transaction type. Basically it's when price isn't being much affected by short term speculation / mania / FOMO buying.
I guess it was the bottom anyways then?
Maybe maybe not :)
Solid, balanced content as per usual 👍
Man it really looks like 2023 is gonna be a boring ass year. Sloooow sideways / upward movement. Give me parabola now 🙄😂
Chop city
So... wen moon?
Wen logarithmic progression?
😎
No.2 like 👍
💪🏻⚡️
first
You heard it folks, time to start buyin'