ETH / BTC: Finding The Bottom

[@intothecryptoverse]

a long journey indeed

[@ITC_Admin]

💯☝️🧐-notice how the *Real Ben* is highlighted and RUclips verified☑️

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@thesteelman3656]

@@intothecryptoverse I want to say that I appreciate you doing these videos DAILY. I’ve learned so much and actually have made money. Thank you for all you do and I hope your family is doing with what you’re going through.

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@conor-conor8715]

Please make videos with USD pairing

[@KudretBayram]

Seeing you here posting 40min videos tells me your daughter is doing well and that's enough for me

[@irc1414]

How?

[@drflat9223]

ETH bottomed when Vitalik Buterin sang. If you heard it, you will know.

[@8o828]

that would be sick
if it holds

[@investinginlove2059]

Facts 😂😂😂

[@JJ_00X]

It’s not over until the skinny dude sings

[@skendersadiku8274]

NO ONE, and I mean, NO ONE does Crypto Analysis like BEN. Appreciate it man.

[@SirkitBr8ker]

Ben, you're a treasure to this community. Thank you for the level-headed, non-hype approach to dubious spec. You're a gem.

[@PeterS94]

ETH/BTC finds Bikini Bottom.

[@Jeanetjes]

Everyone was calling bullshit the last 2 years on here and on reddit. Good job by sticking to it and showing everybody they were wrong to doubt

[@mrjackobs32]

DCA Eth for the next 3 months, gotcha :D

[@arthurvanderkooij5456]

same, just started to auto-invest till end of december

[@VasileSurdu]

Yes let's go

[@alexkidd4144]

If I’m honestly being honest….. this is great stuff Ben

[@adityachk2002]

It is finally here! Let's take action after sitting outside for so long

[@am7373]

Hundreds of threads on crypto twitter saying that ETH is going to zero and never coming back is a good enough signal for me to start accumulating.

[@rk092]

The second most important index after bitcoin dominance ofcourse

[@riaji]

I love Ben's way of getting attention on some points. He's like a teacher who already knows the stupid things that comes through his students heads, so he points it right there, so that the lil' students know when to stop thinking in asking that stupidity 😂

[@adityachk2002]

worst part is you had accepted defeat when the eth etfs approved. I still believed in you and you turned out to be right, not wrong
!

[@adityachk2002]

It's crazy that Ben predicted 60% dominance years ago and everyone faded him and howled. I myself believed Ben but did not expect beyond 55%. Well, alts & eth are both yet to bottom against btc. Eth also will reach lower log trendline against usd. , we can easily see dominance higher than 60%

[@Mawlicious2024]

man we don't care what other "people" have to say, just share your thoughts it's really enough, we appreciate and follow you

[@olabueno78]

Yes, f*%k the haters Ben. Ok to every once in a while finger point, but does get a bit old.

[@josephc4229]

Bought a ton of Eth on Wednesday, was hoping I’d have a few more months of these prices

[@1234practice]

Figured I owe you a comment. You are smart and a G. Keep educating as many as you can about how to think. You are tremendous at recognizing patterns

[@respect2mattie]

I need my cheap ETH, please crash as low as possible. Love it. Thanks Ben

[@andreasschultze6644]

The Video we‘ve all been waiting for…. Exciting times ahead

[@olabueno78]

So, buy some ETH and don’t worry too much about catching a falling knife. Got it. Thanks as always, Ben.

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@MrDrumvid]

Patience finally pays off, well played Ben 👍

[@kapaaaau]

I want that 10 hour video of your mistakes 🤣
kidding aside, I request a video about the bull market that happened last cycle and what to learn from it. (Hopefully on a better timing, not right now ofcourse).
Thanks Ben!

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@himeshpeiris693]

Talking about finding gems in crypto, Ben is an absolute gem 💎
Thank you Benji!!!!

[@usharavi2268]

Thank you

[@XxPietRo97xX]

maybe its time for a alt/btc video

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@thompson4620]

The 50 day was also crossed on the way down in May of 2019 and continued to drop another 50%!

[@intothecryptoverse]

but eth/btc had not broken down below support yet

[@thompson4620]

@@intothecryptoverse Not sure if you would have known that at the time. I mean, how long does it need to stay above the 50 day before it's a sign of higher times?

[@RuhaanGupta-yq4jm]

Patience ultimately pays off, good job staying the course Ben

[@suzu363]

I have NO idea how anyone could miss hear, misinterpret, misunderstand what you are and have been saying! Blows my mind how that keeps happening.

[@peterjohnlerum6580]

At this point I wouldn’t be surprised if ETH/BTC wicks down and touches 0.028-0.030 as the final cycle low before it turns around for good, without FED QE every single attempted rally since 2022 just gets rejected as a lower high, perhaps ETH USD bottoms at 1K USD 😭

[@limjason6364]

if this happens alts wrecked right?

[@caw1996ify]

​@@limjason6364yes.
My base case is $1,260 ETH for sure, and possibly it hits like $1,020, but we'll see. 🤷🏽‍♂️

[@MHMichaelHooper]

Great video Ben! The most amusing timeline is the one where this video marks the bottom of the ETH/BTC ratio! It certainly could be.

[@KonstantinosNakos]

I mean, Ben has a pretty good record of calling ETH/BTC. First video of the channel, Ethereum: Timing the Long-Term Momentum Shifts, on Sep 20 2019. ETH/BTC bottom Sep 16 2019. So, bringing this to today, ETH/BTC should have bottomed already 😄

[@XFlyingDutchmanX]

Because you tell us the things we don't want to hear, we follow you Ben.

[@jceli76]

Let’s go Ben! Thanks for your insights!

[@unclepizza1291]

Love it. Been waiting for this for a while along side you. Green light for ETH DCA’ing

[@PeterYS]

Ben, you proved Patience is Gold,
Or BTC, virtual gold! Always sincere great analysis! Thanks for all the good job!

[@JoinTheBlocks]

Anyone else get jubilant when Ben mentioned 10 hour video 😍

[@farsh66]

Benjamin, your approach is enlightening.

[@jonencarnacion4763]

We finally made it! Never doubted you for a second.

[@emretekdemirkoparan8100]

It’s not about the charts Benjamin, it’s about the possibilities of Vitalik singing.

[@stuck999ro]

Ben, bro U a genius!

[@stevebutter3k]

Ben is the Bitcoin chart Wizard, so much value!

[@ImperfectAnalysis]

Difference between now and 2019 is weve already had the btc halving. We are at a different point in the crypto cycle. This is my only issue with the eth/usd analysis.

[@ITC_Admin]

*“Why I make the comparisons to 2019.”* 👉x.com/itc_crypto/status/1833586468058546257 ✔️

[@MartD78]

Another great video. Thanks Ben

[@fadiqawwas9888]

thanks for your honesty !

[@ovidiubalaban947]

Nice video, as always. I still have one question to ask: what would you think is the btc.d peaks at 60% and all btc pairs ( in that moment) are still around same levels as they are now and there is no leg down of TOTAL 3 to 0.26 level in Total 3 / BTC evaluation? What would you think in that scenario?

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@lazylonewolf]

Vitalik singing cringe should've brought it to NEGATIVE

[@philipclarke6826]

Good on you Ben!🍉

[@ceuceu177]

Times have changed…

[@sfygy32]

Ben I need to sleep…

[@delarosae]

😂

[@rajivchaudhary5774]

😂

[@CADILLAKTRACKZ]

Goodnight yall

[@justinfitzpatrick013]

You can sleep during the bear market

[@HeavyDutyCharlie]

Tell me about it 😅 just got home from work.

[@bentravisjeffreys3834]

Woohoo! Literally waiting 2 years for this video!

[@adityachk2002]

tell us when you swap btc for eth in tranches

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@spacespike6659]

Ben, could you provide your thoughts on Alts/USD in the context of current monetary policy? Specifically, do you anticipate that alt valuations will remain low over the next few months, presenting a buying opportunity, with the potential to sell at a better valuation once QE resumes next year? I also believe the FED won't revert to QE immediately unless a significant crisis occurs. Could you offer a historical analysis of QE and its connection to major events? Do you think this is a good buying zone for alt/USD, with a potential to sell by mid-next year, assuming a return to looser monetary policy and QE?
Additionally, I'd like to hold and flip for a quick profit. I believe the system must eventually revert to QE for the financial system to function properly. The real question isn’t if, but why and when. Risk-on sentiment has to return, with institutional money likely waiting to enter the space. What’s your take on this?

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@CAKEface75]

I second this, good shout 👍🏻

[@brandonjuarez1918]

Great video Ben. Thanks for always keeping it real. No sugar coating

[@tokyoluGS]

Thank you for everything dr Cowen. Thank you 🙏

[@johanneskettelhodt]

With that, wouldn't it make sense to swap BTC back to ETH based on Ben's logic? Obviously timing this is difficult, but if I understand the macro factors and BTC-D logic, that would be the logical choice some time in Q4?

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@Zet4reticuli]

This is once again mindblowing analysis. Ben, you're the goat.

[@bkram1]

Thank you Ben

[@foobar1575]

Ben for president!

[@frankroberts6840]

Ben take a look at OTHERS.D, linear scale, and that chart may explain why ALT/BTC pairs aren't bleeding. OTHERS.D shows alts already at the range/parallel channel low which has held strong since 2016. Very similar to the USDT.D chart.

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@Slenderman63323]

So that means the top 10 alts which are not in OTHERS need to bleed

[@lourenshoeksma915]

The Eth/btc chart looks like a risk metric chart. Why not BCA (bitcoin cost average) between eg 0.38 and 0.47 and sell at the high levels when you are indicive where the bottom is?
You do the same buying BTC in risk levels compared too usd.

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@ImperfectAnalysis]

Just from very basic chart analysis. There is a very long trend line we are approaching. Should bounce off that. And out of a channel down trend. To the upside. Just in time for rate cutting and 2025 bull market year. Big resistance at the top is a 100% move of eth against btc. and if btc meets my targets in the 100k region. That puts eth at around 10k. Also puts total market cap for the entire market at the 5 trillion region. Btc at around 2.5T, Alts at 1.8T. Eth at 1T. Perfect resistance points for the market for this bull run. Top sometime in second half of 2025. Then perfect timing for crypto cycle bear market in 2026.

[@ajb2016]

Could you make an updated vid on alt btc pairs and alt usd pairs please?

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@panpatys]

I still expect altcoin capitulation after BTC goes to ATH. Last cycle when BTC broke previous ATH (20K$) and went to 40K$ it was one man show. Last half year BTC went "sideway" and alts bleed vs BTC anyway they will bleed even more after strong move. ETH for 0,03 is very possible.

[@antoniusjohan1362]

Hope your daughter is alright Ben, thanks a lot btw for all great insight!!!!

[@jsantan89]

Your consistency, resilience, determination, and GRIT is incredibly inspiring. I have so much respect for you

[@benkeating7886]

Great analysis, Ben. Thank you! Hope your daughter is doing well.

[@AbsoluteFunction]

Honestly wish i found ben at the beginning of last cycle some ofbthe concepts he discusses i never fully understood but now im actually able to understand the information and what would be the logicial actions to take

[@IvanMalechko]

“This time is going to be a little bit different.”

[@Nostulex]

One of your best videos ever imo. thanks for the analysis

[@georgel760]

I JUMPED BEN, I JUMPED BACK, IM GONNA MAKE IT

[@sattoriemei3210]

Thank goodness for the lemmings so that some of us can make money.

[@davidvdr]

Thanks ben! Thought-provoking and prophetic as usual. Moreover i appreciate the humility and sharing of lessons learned. The crypto journey is so wild and you have added a lot of value. .. at least to my journey 😊

[@0reo2]

It's crazy to think this QE cycle will start with a balance sheet close to where it was AFTER the initial Corona spike. Sure, they reduced it, but overall they just increase it

[@FORTYSIX_N2]

For ADA/BTC: Fed cut on Jul 31 2019 was followed by a roughly 30% drop to about 390 sats 11 days later on Aug 9th. From this weeks cut a 30% drop would take ADA to about 390 sats again.. That's the bottom for ADA. Will it get there??

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@mozera4783]

I want the 10-hour video Ben

[@babahitch67]

My question is if eth has to go to its 1200 usd band and there isn’t much room for eth/btc to fall, does that mean that btc sees a bigger correction than eth? And if so are we looking at a hard landing that provides an accumulation of a lifetime scenario.

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@sonnyreddr5155]

Great video Ben, thank you.

[@kidada7714]

Final chapter of a very long tale. Reminiscent of Roland of Gilead finally reaching the Dark Tower.

[@boogernosetv]

Perfect call man!

[@sidichendid7237]

Year 4 for me, cant wait for 2025 learned alot since i wasnt invested and emotional about the turns in the market.
I will admit tho, i was one of the 2019 top waiters lol. Lesson learned, and a TRUE alt season awaits us all!!! 🎉🎉🎉

[@yugo4557]

Question is, if ETH is being swapped at levels below 0.04BTC, what level does one trade back into BTC given the previous highs of 0.15BTC and 0.08BTC?

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@steven7371]

Ben is good at finding the bottom

[@CS-ie4to]

Ben, which altcoins will you buy?

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@Iamlegend-94]

Absolutely fascinating stuff Ben thanks for your insights on this

[@shangri-lamood7365]

Morning Ben thx for video😊

[@AntoninoDitta-b4w]

Thank you Ben always, open my mind even more and more in this wild west

[@rizaokcu]

What about SOLETH, SOLBTC?

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@EfiPylarinou]

Very much appreciate the way you make your case.

[@Ryan-xj1vr]

So focusing on ETH BTC gives you exposure to crypto vs ETH USD

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@itsabergie]

I love the passion!

[@PowerTripp]

Is it possible eth usd went down in 2016 while btc went up because at that time had a much smaller market cap and was treated more as just an alt coin back then?

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@sty811]

Do you consider changing your satoshis with ALTs? If ETH/BTC drops more or BTC.D increases +60%?

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@spaghettimonster1498]

ehrm, the whole mechanism for eth changed so can you compare so far back ?
10 times les generated cannot be ignored

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@angguhadventure5008]

Thnks ben🤙

[@mattb6040]

I need to start doing the opposite of what I think is going to happen. ETHUSD has been seemly unstoppable and I was want an entry 😅

[@BudiJempol]

Maybe the only answer is.. start DCA eth from now!

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@meangene1980]

Time to swap BTC back into ETH?

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@Jimmybob21]

Solid analysis Ben great work 💯

[@thesteelman3656]

FINALLY EARLY ON BEN AND BITCOIN TOO 😂

[@BunnyHoperStar]

Maaasteer class, thanks 🫡