Has World War III Already Started?
HTML-код
- Опубликовано: 6 июн 2024
- Thanks to Keeps for sponsoring this video & for the free product! Head to keeps.com/ryanmcbeth to get a special offer. Individual results may vary.
Are we fighting World War III right now? The argument can be made that the current global conflict, particularly centered around Ukraine, shares many characteristics with past world wars-multiple actors, new weapons systems, economic warfare, and pervasive propaganda. The conflict, which arguably began with Russia's annexation of Crimea in 2014, has seen the West's response largely in the form of diplomatic and economic measures, avoiding direct military confrontation. An avoidance which is built on the presumption of nuclear weapon use. However, use of nuclear weapons is unlikely due to the significant strategic and political repercussions.
This new modern warfare is increasingly fought in cyberspace and through media. This new type of warfare aims to influence minds, shape perceptions, and create divisions through misinformation and fear. We are already fighting World War III whether you like it or not.
For uncensored video, check out my substack at:
ryanmcbeth.substack.com
Like my shirts? Get your own at:
www.bunkerbranding.com/pages/...
Want a personalized greeting:
www.cameo.com/ryanmcbeth
Watch all of my long form videos:
• Military Equipment, Ta...
Twitter:
@ryanmcbeth
Instagram:
@therealryanmcbeth
BlueSky
@ryanmcbeth
Reddit:
/r/ryanmcbeth
Join the conversation:
/ discord
Want to send me something?
Ryan McBeth Productions LLC
8705 Colesville Rd.
Suite 249
Silver Spring, MD 20910
USA
Thanks to Keeps for sponsoring this video & for the free product! Head to keeps.com/ryanmcbeth to get a special offer. Individual results may vary.
Are we fighting World War III right now? The argument can be made that the current global conflict, particularly centered around Ukraine, shares many characteristics with past world wars-multiple actors, new weapons systems, economic warfare, and pervasive propaganda. The conflict, which arguably began with Russia's annexation of Crimea in 2014, has seen the West's response largely in the form of diplomatic and economic measures, avoiding direct military confrontation. An avoidance which is built on the presumption of nuclear weapon use. However, use of nuclear weapons is unlikely due to the significant strategic and political repercussions.
This new modern warfare is increasingly fought in cyberspace and through media. This new type of warfare aims to influence minds, shape perceptions, and create divisions through misinformation and fear. We are already fighting World War III whether you like it or not.
For uncensored video, check out my substack at:
ryanmcbeth.substack.com
Like my shirts? Get your own at:
www.bunkerbranding.com/pages/ryan-mcbeth
Want a personalized greeting:
www.cameo.com/ryanmcbeth
Watch all of my long form videos:
ruclips.net/p/PLt670_P7pOGmLWZG78JlM-rG2ZrpPziOy
Twitter:
@ryanmcbeth
Instagram:
@therealryanmcbeth
BlueSky
@ryanmcbeth
Reddit:
/r/ryanmcbeth
Join the conversation:
discord.gg/pKuGDHZHrz
Want to send me something?
Ryan McBeth Productions LLC
8705 Colesville Rd.
Suite 249
Silver Spring, MD 20910
USA
"The 80's called, they want their foreign policy back" - Barrack Hussein Obama
Wow
Cover M.A.D for those who are still worried about a nuclear war.
People may know about M.A.D but may not know the extent of which it will be used should say someone like Putin pushes the button.
And why it's importance is what helps keep people like Putin from ultimately pushing the button.
If you've covered it already disregard this post. Lol
Isn't every point in your analysis a closer match for the Cold War?
I can see the point of going for the controversial claim to make people take the assessment seriously, but doesn't an impression of intellectual sloppiness just undermine your credentials long term?
If the claim is that this conflict has the potential to become WW3 and that in retrospect an argument could have been made for it having already started, well, 1. is that an interesting point to make, and 2. doesn't that still match the Cold War better - it could have gone hot?
With only two nations on the battlefields? Nope. By your criteria Korea was WW III and Vietnam was WW IV
A hair growth commercial in the middle of a WW3 video is peak end-of-days vibes
At least you will have a healthy head of hair when you lose it again in a radioactive hellscape. To be balding before the nukes drop is just sad.
The only thing missing is the "Would you like to know more" button at the bottom!
Its just like a cartoon, its insane
The transition was beautiful. It's like an episode of Fallout.
Exactly. Sheesh
3:46 Russians intentionally OMIT 1939-1941. Their "Great Patriotic War" starts in 1941 when Germans "unprovoked invaded" peaceful USSR, who was enjoying benefits of their cooperation in 1939-1941.
The historical blinders of Tankies and Russians is actually impressive. They think Poland is very ungrateful that the USSR "saved them". They've actually said that to me.
@@drewmalesky9869 "laughs in Katyn"
Tankies casually ignoring the winter war😂
@@drewmalesky9869 who are "they"?
Mother Russia and her mother?
Katyn sure was a lesson for the smart polaks. Especially that president that thought he was going to travel to Moscow to "celebrate" the massacre...
You'd think the toppling of power structures would expose systemic weaknesses but here we are again, gulping down another load of angry swindling disifnormation
as an american, this is eerily reminiscent of the asian and european conflict in the 30's. what looks like a spectacle today could be in our back door tomorrow.
Two years ago it was apparent to me that all the preludes of WW2 have been following the exact same patterns (in 2022 to current) of the USA western Europe and Russia, Japan and Italy. Well, the new Axis is already formed and functioning as in aggressive actions and threats of war against their neighbors and the neighbor's friends. Even Putin is doing his part imitating Hitler in lockstep with Hitler's behavior, military ignorance and micro-managing military decisions down to company level. Maybe its a dictator thing that they cannot see how they are repeating history step for step. Its crazy. Never thought I'd see history repeat itself in my lifetime.
Time Magazine decided not to make Trump Man of the Year this time. 1939 was a little bit too embarrassing for them
@@LolUGotBusted Your President again on January 20th. Deal with it.
Не совсем. Уже заложены две ядерных бомбы с помощью носителя Посейдон вдоль восточного побережья Соединенных Штатов. Цунами 500 м дойдёт до Кордильер. Я думаю что тоже самое будет сделано и в районе тихоокеанского побережья. Причём очень удобно. Мы можем вооружить северную Корею. Поэтому вы можете не волноваться. Всё в порядке. До вас война дойдёт в самом лучшем виде. Вместе с волной 500 м. Ну в этом есть свои плюсы. Обвинять будет некого. И некому.
In your home .
Korea, Vietnam, USSR in Afghanistan, most conflicts since WWII also share a lot of the characteristics you describe. I don't strictly disagree that this looks like a world war, but warfare has looked broadly like this for the last century or more with how interconnected the world has become. Economic and political pressures, propaganda, new technology, these have been pretty prevalent everywhere this whole time.
yeah.. the career korear was was tough
i sherved in career
We have 4 active proxy wars right now Israel Iran russia and the EU the DRC mess continues as is tradition by now and sudan is also risking to turn into a multinational war with everyone qd their mother picking a side from the sidelines only Myanmar seems to be heading towards a conclusion but the politics of that is not yet known so we could be looking at a Somalia situation with regional war lords and splintered state control
Идеальный вариант это то что Россия фактически обломала Соединенным Штатам зубы. Вы уже не можете применить силу на ближнем востоке. Вы уже не можете применить силу в Южной Америке. Вы уже не можете применить силу в Африке. При этом долларовая зона сокращается. Особенно хорошо что недавно были уничтожена нефтедоллары. Саудовская Аравия не стала продлевать, благодаря поддержке России и экономическому сотрудничеству с Китаем соглашение Соединенными Штатами у продажи за доллары. Ясные дело что Китай не станет рисковать и поставлять оружие не станет помогать антиамериканским военным силам. У России таких проблем нет для нас Соединённые Штаты никто. Поэтому в соединённых Штатах будет скоро большая инфляция. давление американского долга вы не выдержите. И содержать армию примерно за 1 000 000 000 000 $ в год вынес сможете. У вас и так бюджеты дефицит годовой примерно 2 000 000 000 000 $. Таким образом Соединенные Штаты не смогут содержать свою армию. Станут постепенно миролюбивыми. А когда у вас начнётся экономический коллапс то многие штаты посчитают более выгоднымвыйти из состава Соединенных Штатов. Ну конечно был такой пример 160 лет назад. Но с большой вероятностью сейчас это будет легче. И войны не будет. И тогда никакой мировой войны не будет.
Avarage Russian worldview. @@Alexey1967
change title to "Has Minecraft World War III Already Started" to trick youtube
we have seen the same Minecraft vids ;)
Hermitcraft specifically, that courthouse b00 made is gonna go nuclear ☢️
This is a good point.
I am afraid to look that up sounds like major rabbit hole
@@lostpony4885 hermit craft? Nah it’s just 10 seasons of 27 minecrafters building amazing things in survival mode. Each creating 1 30ish minute video per week for the past 10 years so maybe about 9,000 hours of content :)
> WW3 started
> Buy this hair product
Ever noticed how good men looked in WWII? War and style go hand in hand, just ask Hugo Boss
@@OutsiderLabs
Seems legit 🤷
Yeah, says it all about modern times doesn't it.
Well, whenever world is going to end, you better go out with bangs, innit?
Has info wars vibe😂...next up grifting bone broth
Fun fact: The term 'World War II' was first used in 1919. It was used by Time Magazine in _June_ of 1939, before the War itself actually started. So World War II was referred to as such even before it began, though not necessarily by all parties.
I grew up behind the Iron Curtain. In my history book, the Second World War started with the annexation of Austria, but it also mentioned in fine print that it is valid to date it as early it as the Second Sino-Japanese War that started in 1937, and some people connect it to the invasion of Manjuira or even to one or other event in Korea; however, connecting it to the annexation of Korea in 1910 is perhaps a bit too early a date. Also, later dates can be valid depending on our point of view and research interests.
Exactly. There was no clear starting date, it just stacked up and escalated bit by bit over years until it reached a peak, then after a few years it finished, and in the time after that there was massive upheaval, the fall of empires and rise of new ones, and a new - very different - global order. A new cold war or uneasy peace replaced the old ones that everyone forgets about (like Britain-Germany, which had been going on for several decades really, like Russia-USA has been now).
1910 would place WW2 before WW1. lol
Some historians consider WW1 and WW2 as one big conflict
In 2014 the Canadian PM said publicly that Russia would not stop and sent military trainers to Ukraine at that time as I recall. No international leader can use the excuse that “we didn’t know” every NATO country knew. They just chose to poke their heads into the sand and say “LALALA WE CANT HEAR YOU”….just like in 1939.
No country wants to fight an overt war until it has to.
Not the baltic states, they’ve been shouting loudly for years
Merkel didn’t dug her head into sand but into a certain lower body part of putin. Giving weapons for 125 million dollars to russia after crimea ‘14, increased the gas dependency to absurd levels, vetoed Ukraines Nato membership 2008, and allowed russia to build ns2 with money, special permits and against US sanctions. Total russian sub. If she would be still chancellor, Ukraine wouldn’t even have received the famous 5000 helmets.
and sholtz is still doing that
To be honest it was mostly a inconceivable idea
I don’t know how old you are but I’m 21. When I was a kid it was a near constant conversation about how pointless NATO was and how it was slowly coming apart starting with Turkey in the Middle East at Odds with the US while nations like Germany denied to send troops to Iraq .
At the same time this was the absolute height of what was termed “long peace” it was so ingrained in people that the places you had war was Middle East. And the idea that Europe would come to war? That idea was about as believable as Jesus being reborn in Springfield Mississippi.
You also had Poland and Hungary at Odds with the EU and Russia frankly biggest conflict with America was mercenaries engaging US soldiers.
World of 2014 was completely alien to 2024 in many ways. The US was war weary and beginning to question everything it was doing while also in middle of a conversion of conventional to asymmetrical warfare.
All in all the response the west gave was completely predictable
Edit: the comment regarding Germany not sending troops is only meant to give an example of a common conversation point in the discussion of NATOs waning relevance in the 2000s-2010s. The German government had very good reason behind the decision to not send troops as the American justification for war being WMDs was not then or after given any credibility or evidence)
Another important precursor to WW2 wasn't just the Japanese invasion of Manchuria in 1931, but also Mussolini's invasion of Ethiopia in 1935 - effectively challenging the League of Nation's ability to prevent or mitigate the conquest of territory and political change by force of arms. With that failure, the 1938 Anschluss and Sudetenland annexation, the 1939 Soviet invasion of Finland, and then the formal conflicts we recognize as 'the Second World War" followed.
You also should include the proxy war of the Spanish Civil War (1936-39)
To some extent it comes down to definitions. Would we have called it WW2 if only the earlier incidents you mentioned had occurred BUT Germany/Russia didn't invade Poland? It's impossible to really know, but I strongly suspect not.
That is why I don't think it makes sense to declare any year except 1939 as the beginning of WW2.
For the same reason, I also don't think it makes sense to say WW3 may already have started in 2022 or 2014. If it had started we'd all know for sure. You can't not notice a WW3.
However, we are on a slippery slope towards that outcome.
Yes all of the above and more.
So once again back to 2014 then?
Land grabbing by individual nations. Notice they allied with each other and then the Allies and them had a tussle . All over the world. Innocents like New Guinea and many others , suffered immensely.
History is defined by the victors you can spend hours and years of your life, trying to define wars and situations. In the end it doesn’t matter. The victor will just tell the history of books when it started.
Because we only have one source of history and history isn't constantly evolving to become more accurate
@@unixsocks It's clearly not becoming more accurate. Almost all history humanity has ever known is lost forever. What do you know of the great empires of 500,000 years ago? What of their stern emperors, their beautiful princesses, their brave warriors? What of the intrepid explorers who first laid foot to Australia, Sri Lanka, England? Their names are gone, their deeds forgotten.
@@joemerino3243 civilization didn't exist 500,000 years ago
Let’s not forget that the Russians and Germans were allies and both invaded Poland
Like we shouldn't forget how the Poles invaded Russia together with the Zaporozhian Cossacks...
Or how Napoleon thought walking on Moscow looked like a good idea.
Or the unreal level of evil the genocidal nazis unleashed on Russia after Poland was divided.
Or how the UK and the French were the ones advising the Poles not to come to an agreement with Hitler on the Danzig-problem. As if the Treaty of Versailles wasn't bad enough. (Germany wasn't finished paying for WW1 until june 2011...)
Funny how the Poles got played by London in the exact same way the clown was in april 2022...
...and whose proto-states cooperated to break up the Polish Lithuanian commonwealth 229 years ago. A state which was, funny enough, modern poland, the baltic states, and (part of) modern ukraine.
@@vxathos "polish-lithuanian commonwealth"?
LOL. Even the pacifist Swedes humiliated that "commonwealth", and helped Peter the Great create his empire.
Don't build an arena between Russia and Germany and expect them to not use it...
yeah and one ruled poland for centuries and the other wanted to eradicate a whole country...... and remember if the russians didnt step in themselves then you leave the people eradicator one position closer....
@@111076tom tell me when the fuck the swedes were pacifist in the 1600 and 1700s
Don't you worry about Thag. He gets the Thagomizer named after him.
*laughs in Ankylosaur*
I love Far Side.
That Dr Strange love insert was PERFECT!
Georgia gets no mention in media. Armenia and NE Syria also invaded, yet again no complaint from the UN or activists.
I strongly support the UN and I complained at the time.....
Stop blaming the UN for things that have nothing to do with it....
@@fiachramaccana280 Yet the UN supplies funding to Aid agencies into Gaza and elsewhere, has peacekeepers and has a security council to sanction and condem countries for invasions etc. My collegues lodged complaints to the UN about the invasions and attacks upon civilians and their infrastructure, but unless they are Gazan, I guess they don't matter. Turkey even works with ISIS, yet resolutions in the UN were passed to sanction such countries. But, hey they aint Israel🙄. The UN is corrupt.🤮
@@fiachramaccana280 the UN isn't to blame for these conflict. I agree. However they ARE to blame for doing NOTHING to end them.
Georgia folded very soon. It usually takes weeks, even months for momentum to build for the UN to care.
@@rustomkanishka the UN = an assembly of all sovereign countries. You might as well complain about all the people living on your street having a group meeting. Or the last time you went to a restaurant with 20 people and tried to group order........
Ryan, I read that Russia AND Germany started WWII when BOTH countries invaded Poland. They were at peace with with each other before and after the Poland invasion. Actually, France and Britain can be held responsible, too. Both countries had treaties to stop German aggression, but they BOTH turned a blind eye when Germany broke various treaties and moved militarily into the Rhineland, Czechoslovakia and Austria. THEN, Germany and Russia jointly invaded Poland. Usually, you are much more precise.
Arguably WWII had already started when the Japanese kicked off their invasion of China
You need to read more.
😂😂😂
ww3 in the title? RUclips demonetizing this video in 3, 2, 1...
😂😂😂 funny
Don't know, I got adds galore on it.
@@fredbyoutubing I wouldn't know, I use Brave Browser and ad blockers. Why don't you?
@fredbyoutubing of course, you got more ads, YT may disagree, but they still want their cut. . . And his.
Nope, its the shower scene 😉
Ryan, I'm digging the Dr. Strangelove bit.
I hope there's more than just those three seconds. Enough for a short, at least.
If you behave, maybe you get to come on his moon...
World peace is probably impossible. Either the global foreign policy is to counter every aggression, or things like Crimea will happen and embolden the aggressors. However, most civilian populations refuse to accept the cost and energy needed to be so proactive, especially in seemingly endless peacetime.
Thanks for this
I’ve been fighting it mostly figuratively but sometimes for real since 2008. I lived in Ukraine pre 2014, went back 3 times to volunteer. The Russians began 2014 sometime in the period 2007-8. Ask me how I know. They declared kinetic war when they microwaved US military/Intel inside USA around 2020, at that point it’s not debatable, if you 300 our guys inside our territory with DE weapons that permanently wound you, you’ve gone kinetic. Russia went kinetic on USA then in my opinion.
And all the while the US has decades of being best in the class. Your wrath is justified...
How dared Putin put an end to the empires plans to crush Syria? After all, he accepted Yugoslavia and Libya. Why not Syria. Bad bad Putin, not listening to Victoria Nuland...
Also in 2008 was the second Russian invasion of Georgia
go listen to tucker carlson interview with putin, he openly states its his responsibility to restore the borders of the soviet union.
Absolutely, that should have been a heads up to everyone. I was i Ukraine when it happened. I happened to attend a Ukrainian military cadet symposium that some students (like ROTC) were going to. It was a Ukrainian lt general or something talking about the Ukrainian plan to defend Crimea, i was like cool ill go (in retrospect probably should not have) but was surprised to see the whole thing was orientated around a surprise NATO attack on Crimea. It was like a time machine back to 1989. I literally looked around for surprised faces when Nato strike fighters from Italy and Turkey bombed Dzankoi etc. The conel responded with naval infantry and air force movements from Russia to reinforce (and help Ukraine) l got a few mean mugs from assorted dudes for looking around in a “is he serious” but anyway my first thought was oh boy they are fucked. I asked through my friend in the QA what if Russia attacks not NATO? Second mistake. Anyone people genuinely laughed. 1) It was obvious to me that Russia was coming 2) i better run after the seminar. Anyway the context of this was Georgian war, moldova leaving communist rule, transniester issues and also gas cutoffs and the naval base lease. I remember thinking that Russia must be spending a lot of money to influence the military and mvd. It was either that or Ukrainians were stupid, which i knew for sure they were not. Influence operations were obvious. Football thugs spray painting anti nato pro CISM stuff, aggresive dudes in g-wagons etc. Few listened to my warnings. They said would USA invade Canada? As analogy. Anyway, influence ops are real and dangerous. Lot of people died through bias. Russia and China don’t think like we do. Its all or nothing with them. Might is always right, etc
@@vbcountryboy China, apparently, tries to avoid wars by first using business scams. But their main focus is Russia right now. Putin’s playbook calls for breaking china into 3 pieces and annexation of some territories. Meanwhile, Xi wants outer Manchuria back. Honestly, Europe would have acted like Russia if there was no NATO.
My analysis is that WWIII is not one huge cataclysm, but a series of congruent regional wars all feeding off general instability, worldwide.
A new 100Years War??
Have you started on the trilogy?
That is not how world wars work
30 years' war 2: electric boogaloo
AKA the Jackpot
Awesome clip Ryan...facts, thoughts, perspective...
That video was really thoughtful and excellent, thank you.
I’m still pissed about 2014. Why did we under react to that annexation. They went all in and I don’t know why we didn’t call their hand back then. 🤨
Because everyone was still scared of Russia's military capabilities. We didn't learn how bad a state the RU military was until they failed to take Ukraine despite the smaller nation.
Now everyone knows that Russia is on their last foot and the other lions are starting to notice it limping
The reason...Obozo was the president
I find myself wondering how long the current pattern of appeasement and cronyism has been active. It'd be interesting to see if that was a primary reason.
@@oveidasinclair982 exactly.
@@oveidasinclair982you na zis are so pretensious 😂
"'Scare tactics only work on the frightened ones!''... never forget that too...
Also works on people with something to loose.
@@3_character_minimumEveryone has at least their life to lose.
Which makes the current Global Gerontocracy so hard to predict.
When everyone in power is already through 90%+ of their life expectancy?????
@@NullHand If this is WWIII most 18 years olds are also through 90% of their lives
@@OutsiderLabs America had really low casualty rates compared to the other countries involved in WW1 and WW2. It's one of the reasons the US was so strong economically compared to others after the wars. And of course the US avoided most of the worst fighting by putting boots on the ground only at the very end. Most 18 year olds in the US will live on to become total losers, have no fear.
@3_character_minimum Like their hair?
Fantastic content! I appreciate every video Ryan puts out, but this one was outstanding!
Most your content is great, this one was especially fantastic. Very informative. 👍
3:53 Germany and USSR invaded Poland! Don’t forget the Molotov-Ribentropp pact!
People has to know that! Russia facilitated the WW2 and after that played the victim and victory show.
France and Britain snubbed Stalin. Kinda pragmatic for them to ally with the Nazis.
"Russia facilitated the WW2"
U mean by laying her borders totally naked and inviting the germans to annihilate millions in 41-42?
U mean it was their goal to lose +20 MILLION people?That playing the victim-card after losing 14200 ppl PER DAY for 4 years is perhaps a little whiny?
The Sovjets lost more men in any given month of the war than the US or the UK (aka as "the winners") did in the whole war.
How strange they haven't forgotten this miniscule detail in their history. How strange that they still are so fearful of national-socialists and German tanks.
Whiny Russians.
@@uioplkhjthe small mustache guy said Usa & Britain chose the wrong side
imagine the times western european countries shook hands and then divided up countries in asia and africa.. i guess they arent white people, those things dont start ww3
Fake
This is a good mix of education about current and previous events, as well as a good antidote to fear mongering.
😂
Are you talking about the fear monger himself?
Educational? Sure, if you are in high school...
@@111076tom
Ok, Ivan.
@@111076tom😂
Ok, Ivan. Sure.👍
@@i-love-comountains3850 What an NPC answer. Washington bots are so depressing...
Why not just stay up in the "co" mountains?
Great video, thanks!!
As always extremely informative and honest love these videos.
Could it not be argued then that the start was Bush II not standing up when Russia sliced off parts of Georgia p?
Why would the US have to defend Georgia?
@@JoeBlow-fp5ngwhy is Putin allowed to invade Georgia? We only care our enemy doesn’t get stronger.
Yeah its not really fair to blame Obama LOL.
Or Obama not standing up when Russia annexed part of Ukraine, which they had a treaty to defend
It’s the same as saying that appeasement before WW2 was the start of WW2.
I'm liking the video so far Ryan, just a little historical critique. Instead of linking WW1 to Alsace Lorraine, you should have linked it to the Austrian conquest of Bosnia. It closer affected the start of the war by mobilising Serbian nationalists, of which Gavrilo Princep was one, while Alsace was taken decades prior from a nation who did not ignite things per se. As well, I would argue WW2 started in 1937 with the start of the Second Sino-Japanese War, helping to clarify how smaller conflicts can add up to greater ones, because that war directly was part of the greater conflict of the Second World War if albeit a single theatre.
I also appreciate not going to hard on the political digs when you brought up the statement by Communists in Chicago. On one hand you could have gone further, but on the other I think you also realise that there's a decent amount of people on the right who have been dupped in this situation like MTG in Congress. Now it's less about politics and more so the depth of the politics. An example, I'm against invading any countries for anything other than self defence, so I wasn't a huge fan of Iraq or Afghanistan. But that's also why I'm pro-Ukraine in the current conflict.
So you think it was fair game for the Nuland-junta in Kiev to use cluster munitions in Donetsk 10 years ago?
The fact that you "enlightened and exceptional" undereducatet Americans are still floating is a miracle...
@@111076tom I don't, nor do I agree with Ukraine changing its language laws, or putting troops too close to civilians as per the Amnesty report from a couple years ago. This doesn't mean that I then support an invasion a decade after the fact that kills hundreds of times the amount of people. This whole situation is at Russia's feet, including Ukraine's reactions. If you want things to get better, have the Russians leave.
And it's a bit ironic you would call Ukraine a junta despite having a change of presidents and political elites with each election since Euromaidan, yet Russia has been headed by the same handful of oligarchs and KGB agents since the end of the Yeltsin regime. One is clearly drifting into a more democratic way of doing things, the other is the same Russia as before the Soviet Union, just with oligarchs instead of nobles.
Well thought out comment. The point about the Chicago newspaper is really good.
@@111076tomRuzzian spoted
@@dunkelsteinen1747 You speak as if nothing happened in that decade.
You speak as if Kreml has done nothing but lean back and then suddenly attack.
You speak as if Nuland telling the world about the 5 billion dollars spent in Ukraine pre 2014 doesn't matter.
Russia is the same as the Sovjet Union!? Are you trolling? What is the tax rate in the US? What is the tax rate in Russia?
Russia us less socialists than the US.
U speak as if you were a child.
I agree. Thanks. Your analysis is incredible.
Great video Ryan
Been saying it since February 2022 and have been called hysterical
its not ww3 yet. its more like 1938 where germans want to take czechoslovakia for their number 1 arms industry in the world with the promise they wont invade other countries in the future. if the uk and france had said no and backed the czechs then ww2 would not have started.
"BRAIN!"
"Yeah?"
"A new Ryan McBeth video dropped, but I've got work!"
"Then I guess work can wait."
"Oh yeah."
Soo... When I saw Brain mentioned my mind went "conversation between Pinky and Brain". Correct, yes?
Narf!
Well done sir 🙌
oh i know Americans have a brain - it was the bit , where he seid Americans' have minds, i was sceptical about 🤔- the rest of the info seemed true
Thank You Ryan. Stay the course.
Thanks, Ryan. A very insightful analysis.
Oh man! The Dr Strangelove spoof was both brilliant and awesome! Well done!
Glad you liked it!
@@RyanMcBethProgramming go listen to the tucker carlson interview with putin, he openly states its his responsibility to restore the borders of the soviet union. we are in a 1938 moment before ww2 where germany is invading czechoslovakia for their number 1 arms industry with the promise they wont invade other countries in the future. emboldened with czech arms the germans invaded poland and started ww2 shortly after.
@@RyanMcBethProgramming did you hear at st petersburg conference, putin spilled the beans but likely on the low side russia taking 5k kia a month?
I always appreciate the clarity and the grounding of your analysis. Thank you.
Excellent as always!
Thank you.
Extremely well thought out Ryan.
Great video Ryan, thank you so much❤
everyone was expecting mushroom clouds and the immediate end of civilization. it's hard to get through to these folks and make them understand that that isn't how it has been playing out
Things could escalate quickly from a relatively benign point
God, I know. I can't even begin to calculate how many hours i've burned trying to walk a general public through realistic expectations. A huge chunk of it is absorbed by having to repeat myself explaining the changes to nuclear strategy first,.
Chinese military doctrine calls it “unrestricted warfare”.
@@brianhirt5027but u guys still want to play an away game in Russia?
I would ask, what is a realistic look at WW3?
I mean, I can't help but feel anxious about the possibility of a nuke war and whenever the news talk about it, it's just nuclear ths nuclear that.
Thank you Ryan❤
Thanks Ryan, Keep on keeping on man.
We are kind of in a superposition of two states right now. WW3 has both started and not started depending on whether it turns into a global material conflict or not. Wagner in Africa and South America could play a role, West Taiwan vs. Taiwan, Iran vs. Israel and Saudi. Russia in Europe, whether it turns nuclear or not, should be a curbstomp given how much Russia is worn down already.
That wouldn't qualify as a "world" war but as a European war.
"We are kind of in a superposition of two states right now. WW3 has both started and not started depending on whether it turns into a global material conflict or not." This is perhaps among the most erudite summations I've read about this point in time. This encapsulates my view too.
Talking about nuclear exchange like it nothing. Half the modern world would be vaporized.
@@mw9297 At worst, Russia would be able to punch a hole into a couple of cities, nothing civilization-ending and I doubt this war would go nuclear.
Putin wants his daughters and himself to live and not evaporate and he knows that Nato, as long as a war stays conventional, will be surgical and show kindness towards the Russian people once they surrendered as the US did with Germany and Japan after WW2, which yielded them some usefull allies.
So there's no reason for Russia and Putin (plus whoever needs to greenlight a nuclear response) to go nuclear.
Whether Putin, his family and all the oligarchs get to keep their position of power and stolen wealth is a different story, maybe one that the Russian people themselves have to decide...
@mw9297 we have systems in place to shoot down nukes. It's not like every or even the majority would hit major cities. And in a few years the falloutbwould dissipate
@@thadisturbedone1606 Assuming missile shields will work so well is a bad move
Everything you said is very very true, but a lot of it applies to a ton of conflicts since ww2. There were Chinese working against the soviets just like US in Afghanistan in the 80’s , Russians and Chinese helping the NVA in the 50’s 60’s 70’s while French American Australian etc etc fought against them. I would say the qualifier for a World War™ would be combat on most domains.
Love your thought pattern
Geat work Ryan fantastic presentation
Always appreciate your insights
Excellent product transition Ryan 😄
Great content, Mr. McBeth. Thanks.
Excellent video! Truly enlightening and informative. TY
Thank you. Excellent video.
Thank you!
Ryan thanks again for another informative piece.
I think the atomic question is put a bit wrong. "Can Russia use a nuclear weapon and get away with it?" would seem a better way of putting it. If Russia would use a tactical level nuclear strike in Ukraine, would NATO really step up to counter that, or just try to downplay the matter fearing a larger strike on its own territory?
Man Ryan what a great video!!! Thanks for all the work you put in on a daily basis to help fight the spread of misinformation . Luv ya
Not sold Ryan. While this could be a precursor to ww3, not enough actors are officially in the conflict (declared war or active combat presence). Even Russia is not fully on a war footing, so no ww3 until multiple nations are in. May happen, but I don't see Russia pulling anyone else into active conflict.
It doesnt need to be to that level to have it be WWIII. This time period (2014 - present) will be considered the early war years. Much is yet to come and it has indeed started.
I hope more hearts and minds see this vid and your content in particular.
Thank you Ryan I have a similar hunch lately. Thank you to sort it clear.
We've become too complacent and ungrateful for what we have to realise what is unfolding right in front of us. When we can't be bothered to fight, what hope do we have?
Why fight this fight at all is the real question? If we lost Alaska. We would probably want that back when we were doing alright again.
Not our circus
@@probablynotanagent5594I have no idea what you're trying to say.
We need to build something worth fighting for, that's got to be the first priority. Then people will happily fight (happily is the wrong word but you get the point).
@@DaFinkingOrk And therein lies the Catch 22. We can't be bothered to fight if we don't have anything worth fighting for, but we never will have anything worth fighting for if we can't be bothered to fight for it. Thanks to how much we take our luxurious lifestyles for granted, this simple logic loop could well be our undoing.
@@probablynotanagent5594 Learn some history. Or just watch this video more carefully. These fights don't stay local. Dictators are never satisfied.
Plus we live in an interconnected world, virtually and physically. Major chaos will cause effects everywhere.
We need to stand up and stop this now.
Yes .
Let’s get some tacos and corona,beer .
Corona? 🤮
@@BackYardScience2000 Start getting reacquainted with the cheap stuff .
Trust me .
@@CAStone-kq4mdcheap stuff is keystone, icehouse. Things from dollar store, not beer where it’s required you pay for a bottle and add lime to make pallatable. Try Pacifico, real Mexican cerveza
@@chrismeister2554 Silly Wabbit .
Nothing is real , it’s why we drink !
Great briefing, as always!
Ive feltthis best sums up my stance has been when debating with my friends thank you!
I think this is mostly an exercise in semantics. If the current war in Ukraine is WW3, why was not the Korean War? It involved multiple countries, most of whom had to no direct irons in the fire. They nevertheless fought openly (both Koreas, several UN countries and China) or covertly (Soviet Union). IMO, the Russo-Ukrainian War is just another regional conflict. A big one, no doubt, but certainly not WW3 in the sense most people would define such an event.
It could also just be another crimean war (no pun intended)
Can you be quiet...... We're trying to convince people that war with Russia is a good thing.
Korea was a single theater.
It was only in Korea.
WW1 and WW2 were all over the world.
Key diffrence
I have to say I like the definition of historia civilis the best: he defined the world wars as great power conflicts. So you would need at least two great powers to start something of that scale.
@@NX4.6GT315 i usually gamble in something that holds value.. not toilet paper like the paper money we hold..
Only Ryan would use World War III as a lead in to a male pattern baldness product.
They both involve fallout.
@@tristant1385😂
Thank you for information delivery in a balanced manner to educate not inflame. Bless you buddy
Thanks, that was interesting
By my count, we're on WWIV or V by now.
Not to mention the cola wars
Sounds like you are educated in america...
@@111076tom anti Americanism is boring and lame and predictable. You're likely Canadian or European and therefore have nothing to brag about. believe me.
@@robertb8629 What an utterly impotent reply.
Sorry Roberta, but there are still men left in the world...
@@111076tom yeah they're in America. Thank them for defending you.
The male pattern baldness got me, too. 😢
One of us! One of us!
Hence the overt jealousy of Putin.
So transparent...
Apparently, red (650nm) light can stimulate hair growth.
Not entirely sure if it helps MPB, but maybe try googling it. There are several studies with red light and hair growth.
Norwood reaper...
Great vid!!
super fascinating!!
Yup, Ryan is one of the few that gets it. Thank you Ryan.
Get's what...Besides paychecks from Boeing, Raytheon and General Dynamics?
@@JoeBlow-fp5ng Go touch grass.
Great doctor strangelove. You got game
Thank you
thank you for your service
Excellent analysis 👏👏👏
09:37. Scott Ritter seems to be doing this.
The war is also moving into Africa and France.
France already lost Africa.
Wagner isn't dead just because Prigozhin got a new identity...
...and the Middle East. Possibly east Asia.
@@111076tom lol. I think you need to change out your foil hat, the CIA already degraded your current one. 😂
@@drewmalesky9869
THAT is all you got!?
U child...
My hat has a deeper analysis than you brain. That is sad. (Not for my hat).
@@111076tom
lol
That tinfoil hat must be super heavy.
France didn't occupy Africa, so they can't "lose" it. Duh. At most they can lose influence, and that has certainly happened. Let's cut the drama queen no sense.
Looking forward to when you get a million subscribers! This is such clear and effective content!
Many good points!
"Hey, Thag, dare you to grab that Stegosaurus' tail."
⬆️This guy Far Sides.
"Hold my boozy berries and watch this!"
Betcha'Ah'can
I love it Ryan. Dr. Stragelove! You make a great Peter Sellers. I hope you're wrong and once again, we can "put the genie back in the bottle".
Excellent analysis and historical perspective thank you very much Ryan.
Excellant video Ryan 👍
While they do share several characteristics, I think the one stark difference between the current conflict and a World War is the scale. World War II engulfed multiple continents and 70 total nations took part in the conflict.
Yes, it lacks the “world” aspect. WWIi had theaters across the world (Atlantic, Western Europe, Eastern Europe, the med, Africa, se Asia, china, pacific). So far it’s just been Russia w/ indirect support against Ukraine w/ indirect support fighting in Ukraine snd Russia, and the Black Sea. There’s not even multiple nations providing combat troops on either side (yet)
Yet is very relevant.
It's just getting started. Look at all the countries currently threatening military action or currently aligning themselves with Russia/China/Iran, or against them. Right now, most of the world is picking teams.
@@urbanarmorythough those nations lack any international capacity. They can protest and support all they want. But they don’t have the capacity to put troops abroad.
Well we could say we are at the point where German took Czechoslovakia in WW2. Not technically seen as part of WW2 but the point where the war was inevitable.
Thanks ryan 😊
Well reasoned hypothesis, with excellent support through sources and testing.
Nice work, homie.
WWI begins in 1871
WWII begins in 1919
WWIII began in 1946
Turns out war never ends..
I'm glad I don't care about my hair thinning. Dad never cared, grandpa never cared. It's just something I have to pay to get rid of periodically.
I'm not balding but really struggle to find why hair thinning could be an issue to someone. Just shave, it's much more comfortable and practical anyway. Plus if you get ripped you look more badass.
@@tenchotenchev5606 yeah, to me, hair is something you have to pay to get rid of. Lol. If it ever gets bad enough, perhaps I will buy a razor for it.
That is why your grandma and mother is better on radio than TV...
Thanks Ryan
Great video, Dr. Strangelove-McBeth.
I actually disagree, by your reasoning WW3 was actually the Gulf war. It met all the same criteria. The Ukraine war is still isolated to Ukraine and Russia soil. In order to fit the definition of a world war we need multiple theaters. You can't claim cyber or propaganda as warfare because we have been engaged in the later since WW2.
actually no... the Gulf wars and the invasion of Ukraine by Russia are different contexts... Iraq did not change the post WW2 world order nor were it's borders changed by military means, moreso the first war was in defense of a country invaded illegaly (Kuwait) ... don't get things mixed up, russia invaded a sovereign country whose borders it was bound to respect (by its own commitments)... cyber/propaganda/active measures are an admitted and integral part of the russian military doctrine... and consist acts of war ( which the West still chooses to overlook)
U trolling?
The rape of Serbia was closer than Iraq.
Ask the Chinese embassy-personell i Beograd if they though Iraq was WW3.
Oh wait. You can't...
Kuwait stole Saddams oil. Rumsfeld fooled Saddam into the trap.
Checkers.
Maidan was a US-funded violent coup. Putin tried to negotiate (in Minsk, twice), the Nuland-junta in Kiev is now getting exactly what Washington ordered...
But the world wars started out as isolated conflicts that were precursors as well, until they expanded into bigger conflicts.
Nobody thought much about the German annexation of Austria and Chezchoslovaia. The Italian invasion of Ethiopia, and Soviet invasion of Finland until it expanded as the European theaters.
In the same token, nobody gave a thought of the Japanese invasion of Manchuria until it expanded as the Pacific Theater.
The Urkaine war might be isolated for now, but it might be the kickstarter.
As for propaganda and cyber as warfare. Then why was it called the Cold War, dispite it was being all about propaganda and intelligence.
Syria has been a proxy war between Rus and the west for a long time. The timing of the current Israeli conflict was certainly meant to split our attention and martial resources. Wagner in Africa. But the war certainly is isolated to Ukraine, right?
By your logic this is technically world war IV because the Cold war was world war III
give it time.. ww4 is fought with sticks and stones... because we wont even have the pleisicine stone culture our ancestors had... just fumbling with garbage left behind until it rusts away until what survives evolves back into some new beast
and the uncontacted tribes will take who knows how long restablishing tooled humanity
@@LukeTEvans ?
another banger, as always
🇺🇦🙏✊💪💪💪🇺🇸
i guess your just another belligerant... no matter what you call your self, your a belligerant..
because of your actions... if i had a family are they now belligerants?