Preview | Alcaraz vs. Medvedev, Djokovic vs. Musetti Wimbledon 2024 SFs
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- Опубликовано: 10 июл 2024
- Gill Gross previews the upcoming men's semis at Wimbledon 2024. Carlos Alcaraz and Daniil Medvedev meet at this stage for the second straight year. And a fresh Novak Djokovic will face Lorenzo Musetti in his first major semifinal.
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Gill Gross provides in-depth ATP tennis analysis. Match breakdowns, draw previews, the latest news, and other tennis insights...
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Gill is the GOAT of tennis analysis
fr I love this guys videos, thanks for making these Gill
gill goat
Yeah honestly, this tournament he's been on point so much. Heard some other commentator say he'd bet his house on fritz beating musetti 😂😂😂😂
Does he have the longevity tho? He may have the peak but longevity matters for me to award someone the Goat title
I thought it was Jim Courier...
Ending had me in chills with the way you said it’s just another Friday for Novak
If someone had told me there will be an Italian in the semi final I would have never guessed it would be Musetti
He had quite a lucky draw, though
It’s awesome for Lorenzo! He’s had an amazing grass season.
I don't think Fritz is the easiest draw, and he could've easily had Zverev. Comesana was easy but Perricard was playing kind of insane tennis too. Def not a hard draw but not the easiest ever for a lower seed to make a good run
Nobody did tho.
@@merlicocaioi take exception when ppl talk about 'easy or lucky' draws.
Aint nothin easy about tennis and the top 100 guys anyone can beat anyone. Men's tennis is highly competitive so Musetti *EARNED* his way to the semis, had nithin to do with luck, bub
I don't tell you this nearly enough Gill, but your analysis is BRILLIANT! Thank you. Keep it coming, please!
Naturally, that match had Gill enGrossed!
Excellent Analysis! Who would have thought Djokovic would be competing at such a high level 3 weeks after surgery! Unreal…
Insane.
your pace, pauses, reflexion,analisis, vulnerability, empathy, thanks man
Idk life is so enjoyable when you wake up and the new video pops and i can watch along my coffee. Great stuff
Enjoy it!
Same here. Great for commute to work.
Enjoy! ☕️🎾
To correct myself - Alcaraz is 12 wins 1 loss in 5 set matches. His self belief is equaled only by Djokovic. That's why they are the best and theirr matches so compelling.
Alcaraz is better . If they play 5 sets djokovic is getting sent home again
Usually when players dope, they can play longer without any problems
Thank you for everything so far during this season but especially this tournament. This Wimbledon has been devastating for all the players who’ve had to retire due to injury; however, the matches have been astounding. Foe vs. Alcaraz. Fritz vs. Musetti. Sinner vs. Medvedev. We are truly privileged to be watching great tennis. I can’t wait for more surprises here and at the next slam in August.
Hope you’re well. 🍓
We're really spoiled with the Wimbledon coverage 😂 What are we going to listen to after Sunday 🤭
Every time I like before I watch Gill's videos I feel like the most generous guy in the world😂
Same here -:) after watching the video, I wish there s a second “ like” button to click lol
Epic last words in the Musetti Djokovic analysis.
Novak vs Musetti 5 seter in rg was classic.
Hope they going to upload whole match .
Musetti gave it all to win and put Sinner on no 1 spot , but Novak won passing 3 am .
Musseti box yelled kill him, destroy him even thought they know Novak understand Italian.
They attacked Novak in Rome too just to put Sinner at no 1 spot.
I remeber haters saying Novak is beating nobody's (Musseti and Cerundolo with torn meniscus ! ) in rg and was thinking ye really ?
I find hard to believe that musetti thought about sinners ranking while playing Novak.
@@Mc-kk4fd really , they are both Italians and never had no1 before .
You wouldn't play for your friend ?
You everywhr repeating the same crap!
Dont you get tired, bot?
Conditions can be a huge factor in the Djokovic - Musetti match. If the roof is open and the wind is swirling this should really help Musetti's already masterful slices and funky shots. Also, Djokovic plays far worse in the wind. If the roof is closed due to rain this would greatly help Djokovic.
The roof will be open on Friday as no rain is forecasted
I think you re spot on ..
So basically Medvedev needs to play more like Alcaraz (aggressive asf) and Alcaraz needs to play more like Meddy (patient). I like this analysis!
Another amazing analysis thank you Gill 👍👍👍👍
WOW! Musetti seems to be an incredibly exciting prospect with elite defence, great hand skills, fantastic speed and powerful groundstrokes! Novak in 3
The state of tennis for the last ten years 🤣
No worries. Alcaraz will retire djokovic on Sunday
I’d probably find this comment funnier if I hadn’t seen this exact format at least 135 times before 😑
@GillGross I would love to hear you do a breakdown on Jasmine Paolini and what maybe she's done to improve her game to become an elite player like this.
Thanks for these!
Good analysis. Like your show, from hong kong
I actually think Djokovic has very poorly disguised drop shots. I also thinks he puts way too much air underneath them. Still, if Musetti was unable to put Paul away at Queens, I doubt he'll be able to dispatch far more experienced, far more complete Djokovic in his first major semi.
That being said, Alcaraz is a tennis revolutionary. He has clearly worked more than anyone else on the tour on shots historically seen as tangential or auxiliary (i.e., drop shots and lobs). His next-level drop shots are feathery, low, and very well disguised; and they die immediately upon impact with the ground. And his lobs always seem to hit the baseline no matter where he hits them from, showing he's clearly worked on the lob with the aim of developing it into a legit weapon, not as a Hail-Mary, wing-and-a-prayer, hope-it-lands-in shot. Alcaraz has turned these two throwaway shots, but particularly the lob, into weapons that instantly turn defense into offense. If players hope to beat Alcaraz, they too must get on those practice courts and put in the requisite hours needed to make these shots reliable weapons as well: give Alcaraz a taste of his own medicine (i.e., Alcaraz Alcaraz).
Musette in four. I may be the only one
Great Analysis Gill
Thanks 👍🏼
Thank you.
Thanks Gill!
Alcaraz/Djokovic rematch would be insane
When players say they always give 100% effort every match, they may (or may not) be right in one way, but not in another way.
Bigger and more important matches unlock the ability to bring more of the best out of yourself. In less important matches, you consciously can try to give as much as possible but unconsciously you know the occasion isn't as big and therefore you won't be able to bring as much.
So as this "bringing 100% every match" thing is concerned: on a conscious level, it may (or may not) be true, but on an unconscious level it almost never will
I have literally watched more minutes of Gill’s Wimby analysis than I have of Wimby itself. That says something, right there
same bro same!
One thing I was surprised wasn't mentioned: the roof, considering that tomorrow's forecast does call for rain again. Obviously that would help Nole, allowing for his more pinpoint serves that Lorenzo won't find as easy to push back. Personally I think that would also help Meddy, or more specifically playing without a roof would put the match more in Carlitos' favor.
It’s looking dry for tomorrow. No roof
Hi Gill,
I think you forgot to mention a very important technical point for the Djoko vs Musetti match: the very long preparation required by the Italian to hit the balls (especially on his forehands side).
Why is this essential? Because Musetti needs time to prepare for his shots. And the player on the circuit who is best at taking time away from his opponent is Djokovic.
On clay, Musetti can eventually overcome this weakness. But on grass, and against a player who takes the ball as early as Djokovic, I don't see how the Italian can keep up.
We're likely to see him often defending very far from the baseline (to give himself some time) with beautiful slices like he did against Fritz, but as you said in the video, slices don't bother Djokovic much (especially if they are played in a defensive position).
In short, Djokovic will do what he does best: be consistent and patient behind his baseline game, take time on his opponent, hit hard and with flat-trajectories, and you'll see that Lorenzo will not be able to keep up with Novak rhythm and will make errors 90% of the time.
My prediction: Djokovic in control in 3 sets.
Gil's cerebral tennis analysis has helped my tennis game AND my sports betting game 👍🏼
NOLE have also good returns
Djoker: Over Musetti in 4…maybe 3. Danil v Carlos will be Carlos in 3 or Danil in 5. On the Final, think Nole is posed for #8Wimby/#25GS. Thanx Gill😊. Cheers, Milan.
Daniil won't win in 5, I think the only way he wins is in 4. Carlos just always finds a way in the fifth
@@AMINOMMA you may be right! Just a gut feeling for this one :)
@@TuningintotheOne4BLN you might be right tbh, I'm just excited for the match
Being a slower starter, Djoker in 4. Carlos in 5 or Danil in 4. Danil will give Carlos a tough time.
@@seanl6885 sounds good! lets see what happens :)
Just another Friday, great delivery there. Here hoping to get a rematch of 2023 finals and to have it as epic (with maybe a 25 jacket making an appearance 😜)
25 jacket will make an appearance but it will be alcaraz wearing it when he breaks the grand slam record . Djokovic is getting retired on sunday
@@Fraudkovic get a life mate, for your own sake.
@@Lucky_Luke486 i am just being objective mr OVIC . Djokovic has not beaten a single top 10 player this year . How do you expect him to win when he lost to alcaraz last year and was in way better form
@@Fraudkovic I'm not expecting anything, I'm hoping for a good match that results in the win for the player I'm cheering for. I agree with you that he is not in as good of a form but if I learned something over the years, it is that it's a bad idea to write Djokovic off
Literally the goat man
Novak’s spot serving will be far more effective than Fritz’s powerful but 60CM’s from the lines serves and his returns are just a completely different caliber.
He will also move forward given every chance because of the knee and it will just not give Musetti the chance to turn defense into offense.
Grass is just a whole different match up than these two on clay. Novak loves to lose the first set for some odd reason and so I’m taking Novak in 4. lol
Medvedev is a bit of an anomaly in today’s game. I like him. He plays big boy tennis with his power but ultimately, alcaraz just has a higher tennis IQ which is why I like Carlos today in 4 sets. In a best of 5, Alcaraz has that special ability to improvise and adapt and more than that, execute when it matters.
While the rest of the fans and commentators at SW 19 will be feasting on strawberries and cream, this kid eats pressure for breakfast. He’s uncanny and is almost unstoppable at a Grand Slam final.
Djokovic and Musetti is a fascinating matchup because of all the unknowns.
In Novak, how is his knee? Where is he at mentally after disappearing from competition since Australia?
I’ve seen signs of life this fortnight in his game. The eye of the tiger is there and most of all, the aggression is back. I’m seeing offensive, confident shot selection. He’s hitting deep and he’s hitting the corners
He has enough to dictate play against Musetti today but will he have enough to beat Alcaraz or Medvedev? This is the biggest question.
Novak has not beaten a top 10 player this year which is the longest he’s ever gone in a season without a top 10 win. He had 17 last year.
I love the story of Musetti. He’s a great kid. He’s an exceptional athlete and he can cause Novak problems.
I never saw Fritz losing to Musetti because I didn’t expect Fritz to be so lost in the execution a winning grass court strategy. Fritz’ game is built for grass. Huge serve. Big ground strokes but ultimately, way to defensive which gave Musetti second and third chances over and over again.
Novak is an exceptional defensive player but his offense is lethal and unrelenting which will ultimately shut down Musetti.
I could see Musetti taking a set as Novak adjusts to musettis new found Grass court prowess but in the end , Musetti simply does not have enough weapons
The final? I like Novak and Carlos but my major concern is Novak not being tested. This is arguably the easiest path to a grand slam final in his career
His advantage? Losing to Alcaraz last year will help him. That’s his edge. He knows what he did wrong and what it will take to beat alcaraz on grass in a GS final
I think the mistake Novak made last year was being content to play his game and expecting Alcaraz to wilt or fade under the pressure. He won’t make that mistake again.
I’m first in today. Thanks Gill your insights are really amazing 🤩
Alcaraz to win come on do all you can we are ready to watch u play 🎉
Medvedev can win only with more atacking, obviously, but he will also need a fantastic serving. Against Sinner he had incredible depth of shots, if he can repeat that quality, it will be a great battle. Anything short from top level- he will get smashed. Alcaraz looks so sharp, that is scary 😅
17:36 ⚡️👊
Meddy has to serve very well.
Sbould be excited match ! Alcaraz in 4 !!!!!!!!
Gill is a prime example of Dr. David Keirsey’s Rational, Reporter, Extrovert - a natural teacher.
I hope that you soon announce tennis matches on Center Court. The sport needs you!
Viewers would be fascinated by what so few announcers bring attention to. For example, Novak Djokovic would be so much more popular if the casual tennis fan routinely heard, “Novak redirects pace better than anyone in tennis” and “Novak first redirects so that he plays backhand to backhand until Federer’s lightweight and prone to breakdown backhand hits net, long, or wide or hits short, which Djokovic can hit down the line and Federer can’t defend.”
Instead, for years, we heard idiot McEnroe say, “Novak is Gumby.”
In short, tennis is dynamic chess and most tennis announcing is malpractice. Gill informs and, in so doing, entertains!
Charlie in 4, Nole in 3. Agreed.
Nice analysis! Let's go Nole! 🔥
Dajeeee' Muso!
He is going to Pikachu you 😦
Don't forget the 3.
Djokovic vs Musetti, could be real good for Novak to play him into form more.
Another 48 Friday actually !!!
Gill did you pick Djokovic to win? Please say so.
I fell like Medvedev can win the hole thing
feel*
If he did that would be one of the greatest runs in grand slam history!
Would be unfortunate if he fell in a hole thing.
Whole*
❤❤
GIL GOAT
Wow great analysis. I cant see Medvedev winning unless Alcaraz starts spraying balls. For Novak, this could be the test for his knee, but he's a master, so cant see Lorenzo winning this, but it could go to 4.
‘My advice to anyone going up against Novak in the future in the crowd, if you don’t want Novak to win, be as quiet as possible.’ - Nick Kyrgios 😄
Yeah, have to agree. Really wish Gill would do women's analysis. I'd love to see his analysis on Paolini, especially since she basically came from nowhere really to end up in two back-to-back finals.
Incredible match today against Vekic, especially considering how much Vekic dominated in the first set. This really has been the wimbledon for the underdogs. Love the Paolini story, though. And I absolutely love her attitude on court.
Novak could take a lesson from her in that department. Even when she was getting blown out in the beginning today, and when things got really tight in the final set, her body language was still positive. She was still smiling after losing points. That, to me, is the heart of a champion who loves tennis. Novak never smiles on court anymore. I think that speaks volumes.
I still don't trust Medvedev on grass, he did well so far extracting a reti. and then taking out Sinner.
So he might be coming in a little more fresh this time & Alcaraz a lot less so.
But Alcaraz just has too much variety, and i see the drop shot being lethal and even if Daniil stays with Alcaraz I feel like he will just choke and double fault like he did vs sinner on set points.
Good thing though is Idk if Alcaraz's serve will be as lethal as Sinners, so he might have a lot of exchanges, good defending and potentially wear him down and win, because' that is about as only way I see him winning. I'd like his chances a lot more on HC, not here. I just don't see anyone being able to take out Alcaraz and Sinner back to back, a feat like that I don't see happening especially on his weak surface.
Timestamp
We have three dads in the semifinals. When was the last time that happened?
I think RBA just became a father in 2019 before his SF match vs Novak, so thats 3 (Nole, Federer and RBA)
4 dads actually. Alcaraz is djokovics daddy
@@Fraudkovic Djokovic beat "Chucky Vamos" the last two times they played. We'll see how they get on if they meet in another GS match.
21:00 djokovic vs Musetti
I think Medvedev will find it hard to replicate that aggression outdoors. Remember he beat Alcaraz at USO indoors and Sinner at Wimbledon indoors. You have to put more spin outdoors to hurt the opponent and that's where he comes up a bit short.
Very dangerous that everyone is giving Musetti no chance basically putting Novak in the final. Not to mention a huge jinx but Did anyone learn anything from the Rybakina semi yesterday nor the numerous lopsided favorite calls that became upsets? I am a massive Novak fan and want him to win but strongly feel that Lorenzo is not a pigeon - he almost beat him numerous times, has a decent matchup and has way more belief.
I mean.....he got it right, both matches actually. Down to a set
Reupload coz of sponsor?
Editing errors
Happens to the best of us @@GillGross
Great stuff, Gill. Medvedev might have half a chance if he outserved Carlitos but Carlitos is serving better than ever (tweaked motion). So no chance. Lorenzo can win if he can keep his head on the big stage. Which he did yesterday so…
Hmm Carlos keeps missing first serves in every single match
Me: Gil make me SF preview
Gil: Hold my cup
(Alcaraz vs Medvedev - 75% of the time; Djokovic vs Musetti - 25% of the time)
lol, but I love the preview nonetheless.
Well yeah lol we know how musetti and novak is going to go
@@fv4328lol yeah
Musetti in 5
Good analysis. Just put $100 on a Medvedev-Musetti final.
Your predictions are almost always the worst. Good technical analysis though.
Carlos in 3 or 4
Alcaraz's win over Medvedev in Turin wasn't an important match for Medvedev because he has already qualified for the semi finals in that tournament, you failed to mention that
The same medvedev has played his heart out against djokovic in turin the year before during a dead tie so mute point
Hoping for Djokovic vs Medvedev final. Alcaraz vs Djokovic will also be great, but I think Alcaraz has a big advantage of being 16 years younger and fitter. Besides, Novak and Meddy haven't met on grass.
Gill picking Chokervic was the greatest thing that happened as a Novax hater
A 7time champ is humiliated in front of his children and Wimbledon allows this? What if Stefan his son makes it to Wimbledon one day. Will he remember the shocking treatment of his dad. Wimbledon management is a disgrace.
If you weren't such a hater, Gill, you'd pick Djokovic in 2.
🤣
Federer also had his serve and forehand. I don't think Musetti's forehand is as good as Federer's was. Novak is going to win 2,2,1 or something along those lines(2 breaks in each set).
Going to be soo disapointed if we get another Medvedev vs Djokovic final. Be so predictable and not exciting.
Please don’t make a sinner excuse video my god.
Loool fr .
Novak winning another slam is so boring. It’s fun for his fans and that’s about it. I’d rather see Alcaraz or Medvedev win Wimby this year. And if Meddy wins it will be one of the greatest runs in GS history imo. Would be very interesting to see that happen!
Yeah, like Nadal winning 14 RG was the most boring thing ever
Maybe just rid of grand slams and hit against the backboard
@@flpideas1 Actually it was!
Is Novak’s draw the easiest ever?
Medvedev is destined to lose his 6th grand slam final on Sunday.
When Musetti played Djokovic in RG I remember his first set and the beginning of his second set was pretty terrible. I think this semi might go to five sets, because I just don't see the current Musetti losing in straight sets. He showed a lot of heart and fight against Tommy Paul a few weeks ago and I'm not 100% convinced that Djokovic's health won't face some entropy during the match when tested by the likes of Musetti's shot variety. My heart is telling me that Meddy wins Wimbledon this year and I could see a world where Musetti pulls off the upset against Djokovic.
Straight set or max 4 set victory to Novak. I don't see it going 5. Novak's serving has been amazing this Wimbledon. And i feel for the first time this year, he is playing freely. Even at RG his coaching situation was not sorted out and he ddn't look free (mentally).
But if it does go to 5, would be amazing to watch.
@@Whatreally123 Yeah I'm leaning towards Novak in 4, but if its straight sets then its probably a couple of tiebreaks that Musetti gets outplayed in which breaks his spirit. I'm definitely going to be rooting for Musetti though. I have nothing against Novak as my first Grand Slam that I followed from the start that got me into the sport was the Australian Open in 2008.
@@soysaucehairdye7869 I want Novak to go on win Wimbledon and be equal to Fed's records and get his 25th. Even if he doesn't win any more slams after, I'll be a happy fan.
@@Whatreally123I'm a novak fan and i want alcaraz to retire him on sunday
Give the audience the popular match analysis. Alcaraz by far has a bigger base of viewers than sinner and Medvedev.
Why
@@Adaobieistyping Because it's true. Alcaraz has achieved more and has 3x the number of social media followers and gets more audience in every tournament
Sinner meddy was obviously the bigger match.
@@dean7273 Nope. Carlos is the defending champion and easily superior to Sinner and Meddy on grass. He is the main draw of the championship
Why do you limit the possibilities of Alcaraz? You analysis of game strategy is brilliant? but you you ignore obvious results. He's lost 12 w 1 L in 5 st matches. More importantly, current players (ie. MEDVEDEV)? and past champions ie. Nadal and Navatralova say publically, 'when he plays his best he beats everyone - including Nole. He believes he can beat anyone/anytime/anywhere, and his record proves it.8
Mark my words. The narrative will quickly shift to this is a weak era if Carlitos goes on to beat Meddy and Djokovic and then win US Open to head to Aus for Carlitos slam/career slam. "Djokovic to old" .... "Sinner and Meddy are one slam wonders"
Alcaraz djokovic final who wins?
carlos
Hopefully tennis wins and not fedal haters .
@@ja-kl8rg no hating, carlos will just win thats all
Djokovic far more clinical on hitting spots precisely, to keep holding serve.
Considering Nole should have won last year, he has revenge on his mind.
Love the way the Tennis Gods mess up ATP & behind the scene manipulations that try & make the final they try & stage ( for profit of course ) So excited that novak might make 25 slams History at Wimbledon Yes. So sorry Roger could not make Sir Andy's farewell & chose to go to a Shapo & Shelton game instead. Then oh not around for this paid hecklers but at a Taylor Swift concert just like Prince William but no daughters or wife. Sleazy ? Bravo Novak your integrity & love of this game is stellar. Go Novak the Goat!!
Djokovic is already the greatest grass player by far , but this would cement it permanently
I'm looking through six pages of grass records, (about a hundred categories) and Djokovic has one (1) record.
Whereas Federer has all the important records on grass: most match wins, most QF, most SM, most finals, longest streaks, most titles, most GS on grass, highest win % and the most records on grass by far, yes, Djokovic has the winning h2h but holistically the stats show Federer is the grass GOAT.
@@_MrAvocado_half of Feds Wimbledon wins have come from beating Andy roddick lmao. Come on, if this was Novak beating someone like that we would never hear the end of it
@@AmateurSynthusiastNovak beat Anderson, Berrettini, and Kyrgios. I’d say Roddick was stronger than all 3
@@BillyBob-xi9ih roddick was a serve bot that would get smoked today, so no.
@@AmateurSynthusiast lol ok
Gill is a bit biased, due to his preference to spaniards, he thinks Carlos will win easily, but this is, am sorry to say, a ridicolous assesment.
Meddy has beaten Carlos 2-1 in Majors and this is a Major.
Meddy is a fast court specialist and Carlos is a clay courter
Meddy has just crushed the world number 1.
To me, is quite clear that Meddy is the favourite tomorrow, just as Nole is a big favourite against Musseti.
He didn’t crush sinner, it went to 5. Plus Wimbledon courts are not as fast as they used to be. Centre court is actually slow
😂😂😂 delusional djokovic fan is just hoping for a medvedev win because he knows alcaraz will retire bumkovic in the final
Finally a good comment. Agree on what you said.
Zverev had also beaten Carlos 2-1 in Majors and we all saw what happened
Carlos has 1 Wimbledon title, Medvedev 0
Medvedev beat the world number 1 at USO too, what happened in the next match?
@@BillyBob-xi9ih Carlos was never a real world number 1. Nole was stolen of Wimby points
I think Medvedev will beat Alcaraz in 4 sets just have a feeling he won’t make the final. I think if Alcaraz reaches finals against Djokovic I think Djokovic wins in 4 sets. Novak knows time’s running out and he’s not going to get many more chances to win majors. Would love Alcaraz to win second Wimbledon title but don’t think he’ll win Wimbledon this year.
0% chance that djokovic will beat alcaraz in the final . Alcaraz will retire djokovic on Sunday
Im sorry but Novak had the easiest draw AND a walkover now. And he complained about some boos? geez. hes never been to a soccer match.
It's tennis, not football.
People talk while the game is on in football, they don't in tennis.
Apples and oranges
You commented when the draw came out that Novak had no chance what changed???
@@Mekzy007exactly!
These people never talked about Roger or Nadal easy draws. 2ndly everyone have easy drws until now going to semis. Stop being always about Novak and is seeking. Just stop including the media.
Federer had easier draw in almost all his draws before Djokovic and outside clay.
That doesn't mean he should be okay with being booed
Gill your pick on Mussetti beating Frietz was great- Novak will win 28-30 slams - he is incredible champion , great person, highly intelligent- its shocking to see negative stuff- is it his fault he int dating transgenders or isnt bisexual, as many athletes or 80percent of movie stars in Hollywood- Novak is a real deal - just verify his records - he is above everybody