How Can We Fix Australia’s Housing Crisis? Alan Kohler Weighs In

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  • Опубликовано: 11 сен 2024

Комментарии • 526

  • @ideaWorld403
    @ideaWorld403 Месяц назад +107

    The host said she doesn't want her house value to go down, but wants her kids to be able to afford a house. There is the entire story. You cant have it both ways lady! Either you keep your inflated nest egg as is, or your children (and Australias children) can have a better future by having affordable housing choice. I know which I chose- the younger generations should come first! (And i say this as a home owner. But i own just 1 home, and its the one i live it. Owning more than that in this kind of market is immoral).

    • @timfudy3147
      @timfudy3147 Месяц назад +10

      I would like to think that a lot of Australians see it this way. Short term thinking never helps.
      These two are always a bit out of touch.

    • @robb5642
      @robb5642 Месяц назад

      ​@@ianmcnamee1652 💯 Ian
      Housing as investment has ruined Shelter in Australia.

    • @Elemenopi205
      @Elemenopi205 Месяц назад +11

      Just plain greed.

    • @srinivasdumpala637
      @srinivasdumpala637 Месяц назад

      That sounds like I want money, my children want money, rest go to hell

    • @baits9301
      @baits9301 Месяц назад +8

      ! minute in and couldn't stand the bullshit .

  • @niceworkabc
    @niceworkabc Месяц назад +103

    Halting immigration until housing catches up would be a good first step.
    Importing 1.2 million people within a 2 year period into a country with a housing crisis is asking for trouble.

    • @demetriot
      @demetriot Месяц назад +12

      At least Alan is able to use the word migration, I've seen may interviews and podcast that don't mention the word for, what looks like, fear of appearing unwelcoming. It's not about being unwelcoming it's about having the infrastructure to support them.

    • @BrigitteTucker-vn9bf
      @BrigitteTucker-vn9bf Месяц назад +1

      Why didn't the futurefund build housing? Or did they?

    • @friendlychat34
      @friendlychat34 Месяц назад +9

      Yeah it's remarkable how often our public conversations about housing never ever discuss demand, or migration levels. People are just petrified of being called racist.

    • @BrigitteTucker-vn9bf
      @BrigitteTucker-vn9bf Месяц назад +2

      Walk in robes and bathrooms,whoes going to clean 4 bathrooms a day?

    • @niceworkabc
      @niceworkabc Месяц назад +2

      @@demetriot yes, and ensuring the people already here aren't being adversely affected by the number of immigrants - which unfortunately is what is happening atm.

  • @claycameron8500
    @claycameron8500 Месяц назад +13

    I love the comment from Alan about investing in companies as opposed to housing.
    As Australians as obsessed with investment properties the more we have funded these unproductive investments. The only jobs they provided are 100000s of real estate agents like these two, buyers agents. They aren’t investing in companies that try to improve society at all, no medical discoveries, technological advances.
    So here we are stuck with a bunch of have’s and have not’s and the haves just hoarding wealth in unproductive assets that aren’t beneficial for society or the next generation.

    • @chuzzbot
      @chuzzbot 22 дня назад +2

      Agreed, invest in business, housing should not be an abstract asset.

    • @TheMcBadie
      @TheMcBadie 22 дня назад +1

      One of the least diverse and impressive economies in the world, despite our massive resource endowerement. House and holes, despite such a creative, educated and wealthy populace. Shameful.

    • @AntonHandel-bw7vv
      @AntonHandel-bw7vv 18 дней назад

      Nearly all our superannuation is invested in companies, ie, the sharemarket.

  • @dustingoldsworthy7303
    @dustingoldsworthy7303 Месяц назад +21

    Alan is very genuine and its sad to see him speaking such honesty and respect for the betterment of Australia in contrast to these vultures that would break the backs of Australia's future generations just to make a more $$$

    • @zenmachine50
      @zenmachine50 25 дней назад +1

      vultures ... good word for them

    • @mushbeck
      @mushbeck 21 день назад +1

      real dystopian watching Alan sincerely confront the housing crisis only to be shut down with variations of "aww but that would hurt my business/my property price"

  • @tahliamobile
    @tahliamobile 28 дней назад +6

    My cousin bought a home on the Gold coast for $480k just before covid. 3 years later it was worth at least $1.2 million. That's an increase of over $5000 a week.
    What job has pay rises that keep up with that sort of increase?

  • @rickman2267
    @rickman2267 Месяц назад +12

    Close the floodgates Labor! Australians living in cars and tents! Disgraceful.

  • @stevenmitchell7830
    @stevenmitchell7830 Месяц назад +19

    The obsession with property sees our banks only lend for property. So new business ventures can't access capital, regardless of interest rates. Makes for a dumb, unproductive economy.

    • @rohanhall-dq9ij
      @rohanhall-dq9ij 28 дней назад +1

      Exactly right, business ventures are high risk and the banks know that full well.. Loans for property are very low risk and is why the bank love mortgages.. It's gold plated business with little to no risk..

    • @thejackbancroft7336
      @thejackbancroft7336 22 дня назад

      STAY TUNED FOR ANOTHER SEASON OF THE BLOOOOCK

    • @mohhingman
      @mohhingman 22 дня назад

      it's like a giant vacuum cleaner, sucking in wealth from across the globe.

  • @predrinkking8782
    @predrinkking8782 Месяц назад +44

    I own my house and I wish it dropped 50%. it would be better for society and banks will finally learn their lesson

    • @AussieZeKieL
      @AussieZeKieL Месяц назад +2

      What if we dropped income tax for a land tax to stop people speculating on property? This will make the ownership of property (property costs + land taxes) instead of (property cost and a tax free haven).

    • @AussieZeKieL
      @AussieZeKieL Месяц назад

      @@ianmcnamee1652 people want to keep their tax free haven asset (their home). You have to change that so it stops being the most coveted thing in Australia.

    • @snowconecyndrone
      @snowconecyndrone Месяц назад

      ​@@AussieZeKieLnice I guess you would also welcome communism and take away free markets. Good job bucko

    • @wassim9763
      @wassim9763 29 дней назад

      drop income tax for under 100k earners to 0%. tax brackets start from 100k+ up to 90 cent for $1 over 2 million.

    • @linmal2242
      @linmal2242 27 дней назад

      You are a dreamer. Banks 'learning lessons'? They know it now, they do it every day !

  • @321277328L
    @321277328L 23 дня назад +3

    If the six story places looked like the ones in Paris, I imagine less people would care. People expect medium to high density Australian buildings to be rubbish cheap and potentially not structurally sound.

  • @MrGareth777
    @MrGareth777 Месяц назад +6

    Ironic that a show called" Elephant in the room " barely mentions the ACTUAL elephant in the room, which is record levels of immigration. The argument about negative gearing and regulation is just smoke. If local regulation was the cause for local house prices why is EVERY Western nation having the same problem of high house prices?
    Elephant in the room indeed.

    • @OilBaron100
      @OilBaron100 27 дней назад

      it wouldn't be politically correct for Alan to mention immigration. His masters in the Greens Party would not approve of that narrative.

  • @robb5642
    @robb5642 Месяц назад +23

    GOVERNMENT
    That is the problem for housing in Australia.
    Labor & Libs are both guilty.
    You can talk all you want about rezoning and density this & that, about wages catching up blah, blah, blah.
    The Housing Ponzi in Australia will destroy lives if no one works in the interests of the Australian people and their future.
    We are a nation of rich & abundant resources that could sustain our collective qualities of life if we had sincere decision makers. But we don't.
    MASS IMMIGRATION is, in the current climate, frankly criminal. Our country's riches built on resources does not need more people. More people dilute that wealth. A wealth that is underachieved by a corrupt Government that under taxes and gives away much of Australia's resources with behind door handshakes & golden escalators.
    Infrastructure is being stretched. Why the hell are people dying in Ambulances waiting to get into the ER?
    - Stop Mass Immigration
    - Strangle Airbnb & Stayz to be less attractive than leasing longterm
    - Restrict CGT discounts to New Builds Only.
    Give us a Government brave enough to work for Australia (not the WEF)

    • @alexinanalogue2645
      @alexinanalogue2645 Месяц назад +5

      Beautifully said my friend.

    • @linmal2242
      @linmal2242 27 дней назад

      @@alexinanalogue2645 Yes

    • @Rob-fx2dw
      @Rob-fx2dw 17 дней назад

      Restricting CGT will not produce more housing and will reduce the amount that investors are putting into housing which means fewer houses built or refurbished because of that less investment..
      If you disagree then show me anywhere that less investment has resulted in fewer goods produced.

    • @robb5642
      @robb5642 16 дней назад

      @@Rob-fx2dw Restricting CGT to new builds only - how does that equate to fewer houses built? I would suggest more, as those addicted to the capital appreciation carrot of RE investing will in some part join RE investors who already build to take advantage of the CGT benefit still applicable to new builds.
      The Government and some of its bidders will have us believe that "Supply, supply, supply so build, build, build" is the simple, in a box, problem & solution to the housing crisis. The last Census noted 1 Million vacant homes. Many would have been residents simply not home on Census night, but there were significant numbers that were vacant, holiday homes, and landbanked, let's just say for arguments sake 20%. That's 200, 000 homes. Without CGT benefits many owners would no longer see economical benefit in keeping these properties. They become offloaded, increasing supply dramatically, letting air out of the inflated market, reducing prices somewhat and opening opportunity for many renters who are atm priced out of the market - freeing up other existing rentals at the same time. This can only work in conjunction with other measures like net zero immigration.
      As for your question - It doesn't make the sense I think you wanted it to.

  • @FrankCornwall
    @FrankCornwall 27 дней назад +87

    The wisest thing that should be on everyone's mind currently should be to invest in different streams of income that don't depend on the government. Especially with the current economic crisis around the world. This is still a good time to invest in gold, silver, and digital currencies.

    • @williezeal
      @williezeal 27 дней назад +8

      I began investing in stocks and Def earlier this year, and it is the best choice I've ever made. My portfolio is rounding up to almost a million and I have realized that when a stock makes it to the news, chances are you're quite late to the party, the idea is to get in early on blue chips before it becomes public. There are lots of life changing opportunities in the market, and maximize it.

    • @stephensonwade
      @stephensonwade 27 дней назад +8

      I'm interested in investing, but I'm not sure where to start. Do you have any advice or contacts who can help me out?

    • @JulietOhara
      @JulietOhara 27 дней назад +7

      Having a discussion with financial advisors such as Stella Cornwall is highly recommended for adjusting your portfolio.

    • @scottjohnson8193
      @scottjohnson8193 27 дней назад +4

      Stella Cornwall is really a good investment advisor. Was privileged to attend some of her seminars. That's how I started my own crypto investment.

    • @williezeal
      @williezeal 27 дней назад +2

      I totally agree! Her transparency is something I really admire. She's open and honest about everything.

  • @cameronalexander359
    @cameronalexander359 Месяц назад +25

    Its a bubble... and bubbles don't deflate, they *pop*

  • @icucmerc
    @icucmerc 29 дней назад +21

    Fear and uncertainty create major wealth. It's those who take the risk and have strong gut to endure the bloody days. When i notice extreme dips i tend to actually move more money to crypto

    • @MA-KEJointVenture
      @MA-KEJointVenture 29 дней назад +1

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    • @whitefearlytales
      @whitefearlytales 29 дней назад +1

      Very possible! especially at this moment. Profits can be made in many different ways, but such intricate transactions should only be handled by seasoned market professionals.

    • @bombasticlove76
      @bombasticlove76 29 дней назад

      Some persons think inves'tin is all about buying stocks; I think going into the stock market without a good experience is a big risk, that's why I'm lucky to have seen someone like mr Brian C Nelson.

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      @mohamedali-fj8xz 29 дней назад

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    • @mfmcintyre
      @mfmcintyre 29 дней назад

      Brian demonstrates an excellent understanding of market trends, making well informed decisions that leads to consistent profit

  • @j38bravo
    @j38bravo Месяц назад +10

    Make the federal government 90% smaller would help

  • @BOTTLETax
    @BOTTLETax Месяц назад +5

    Australian government should learn from Singapore government to build more social housings and sell them in reasonable price and restrict them to resale.

    • @user-vt5ln7qq4j
      @user-vt5ln7qq4j 25 дней назад

      silliest comment ever. australia is huge, plenty of land available for all citizens and residents. sg is tiny, suffers from significant lack of land. absolutely no need to model oz housing on sg housing. oz federal and local govt are lazy with zero intention and desire to improve the lives of its citizens. just build to increase the housing supply (not social housing. plenty of land to build proper houses that citizens want) and oz housing crisis is solved.

  • @dustingoldsworthy7303
    @dustingoldsworthy7303 Месяц назад +13

    Im a home owner and im sure a ton of home owners like myself would vote for a government that scrapped 50% CGT form the sale of property! and the taxpayer subsidies (negative gearing) that renters pay for to discount for their landlords income!!!

    • @PeterParker-st9ps
      @PeterParker-st9ps 27 дней назад +1

      keep the CGT discount. Why should I have to pay tax through the arse? I pay enough income tax as it is.

  • @rodrigopalacin4707
    @rodrigopalacin4707 Месяц назад +18

    The main reason I want to own a house is so I'm left alone. I can't even stick a poster in a wall without permission. That's my take

  • @AUThePunisher
    @AUThePunisher Месяц назад +30

    8% cash rate for 6 months and no Banks bailout would fix this mess in 12 months.

    • @srinivasdumpala637
      @srinivasdumpala637 Месяц назад +5

      Also no equity should be considered for property loan, only the real money should be considered

    • @linmal2242
      @linmal2242 27 дней назад

      @@srinivasdumpala637 ???

    • @linmal2242
      @linmal2242 27 дней назад +1

      No, it is a shortage of buildings; not everybody wants to live in a shoebox apartment !

    • @AUThePunisher
      @AUThePunisher 25 дней назад

      @@linmal2242 Demand side immigration. You cannot keep up with the BS lefity agenda.

  • @dianay6691
    @dianay6691 Месяц назад +4

    "we want affordable housing, but don't want to see the value of my house drop"
    Is she for real? You can't have it both ways! Increasing supply outpaces demand would definitely drop prices. Why do you think the government is bringing so many migrants?
    And some of us are not here to buy a mcmansion with cinema room. A lot just want a stick standard 3 bedroom homebwith a good sized backyard.
    These property pundits are so way out of touch, the faster this bubble implodes the better our country will be! But no... They gotta kick the can.
    This country's f**ked.

  • @kerrimackay521
    @kerrimackay521 Месяц назад +14

    All housing solutions require short term sacrifice from people who own property for the longer term benefit of the whole of society. Who would vote for that?

    • @leonie563
      @leonie563 Месяц назад

      It's not a sacrifice if valuations have overshot. They can sell and downsize. It's only an issue if they stay and market drops.

    • @joek292
      @joek292 Месяц назад +1

      You would hope people who had children

    • @Elemenopi205
      @Elemenopi205 Месяц назад

      FOMO driven society. They can’t help themselves

    • @user-wm6hn5bn7c
      @user-wm6hn5bn7c Месяц назад +2

      @kerrimackay521,
      All housing solutions require short term sacrifice from people who own property for the longer term benefit of their children, grandchildren, and great grandchildren. Who would vote for that?
      For instance, if I bought a house 50 years ago for $10,000 and now it is worth $1,000,000. Am I really richer or am I only richer on paper? If you sell the house to realise the $990,000 capital gain, are you going to buy another house or are you going to live on the street with $990,000 in the bank? If you buy another house in the same suburb or in another suburg with the same distance from the CBD as your old house, what makes you think that the new house in a different suburb will not sell for a price around $1,000,000 before taking into account of the stamp duties and real estate agent's fees in selling up to buy a different house in a different suburb? And after purchasing the new house, are you now better off with a realised capital gain of $990,000 in the bank account? That is why housing wealth is all illusory and not real.

    • @lspag7415
      @lspag7415 Месяц назад +1

      I'm a home owner and property investor and would be happy for valuations to go down in order to help young people buy their home.
      Biggest problem is that people need to park wealth somewhere and unfortunately property has been that place for decades.
      I'm hopeful Bitcoin will become a stronger, more attractive market within the next decades, leaving property to be what it should be, home and shelter ❤

  • @nottenvironmental6208
    @nottenvironmental6208 Месяц назад +14

    Labor has proposed giving tax breaks for foreign corporations to own Australian homes. Corporate donations are the problem, not the solution

    • @bradmackie3476
      @bradmackie3476 Месяц назад +1

      @@nottenvironmental6208 those tax breaks are rewarded favourably post career 😂

    • @niceworkabc
      @niceworkabc Месяц назад

      @@nottenvironmental6208 yes, they have all sorts of incentives in the pipeline. BlackRock/ Vanguard/State Street already own 25% of US residential property (82% of the stock market) and they're coming for Australia's houses now.

  • @actualfacts1055
    @actualfacts1055 Месяц назад +5

    Increasing capital gains tax would discourage people from ever selling the property.

  • @andrew1470
    @andrew1470 26 дней назад +3

    Treating housing as a business is the root cause. The suffering will never end until that changes.

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  • @amielmatt
    @amielmatt Месяц назад +16

    Scrap the 50% CGT discount, and only allow negative gearing on new builds.

    • @linmal2242
      @linmal2242 27 дней назад +1

      Then you would have a REAL rental crisis ! Private Landlords are half at least of the rentals.

    • @amielmatt
      @amielmatt 27 дней назад +2

      More likely you would increase the proportion of first home buyers. Less renters overall. The point is we want ppl to have house in retirement, but investors gobble them up, now young generations are fuked

    • @Neil-yg5gm
      @Neil-yg5gm 22 дня назад +1

      So you think CGT should be at 100%?? What problems would that cause?

    • @mrmo3379
      @mrmo3379 16 дней назад +1

      Capital gains tax should be reduced not increased. Increasing CGT would just reduce investment in business which would be bad for everyone. It would also have no impact on house prices. It is more about supply and demand. Unfortunately red tape is killing the construction industry which hampers the ability to increase supply.

  • @zoezoe610
    @zoezoe610 Месяц назад +5

    Supply and demand. 300,000 people returned to Australia when Covid struck causing a greater demand for homes and rentals. Many investors get a better return having their homes available for Air Bnb. Lastly immigration numbers are too high. There is no easy or short term fix.

    • @robb5642
      @robb5642 Месяц назад +2

      Good points Zoe. I think you found the easy & short term fixes in the problems. Stop mass immigration immediately and adjust policy to make Airbnb & Stayz less attractive than leasing as permanent rentals. Thirdly Negative gearing and CGT discounts could be restricted to new builds only.
      A motivated Government could enact all of this within a month, but that would require a Govt working in the interests of the people of Australia. That's not Labor or Libs unfortunately

  • @Betterthat
    @Betterthat Месяц назад +11

    People on average incomes do not buy median priced house as their first home. Nor they did 50 years ago.
    This is a useless metric.
    What needs to be looked at as an affordability metric is median house prices in the first home buyer segment vs average wages.

  • @johnschannel449
    @johnschannel449 Месяц назад +3

    Its becoming that only those born with wealthy parents will ever own their own home

  • @goranstojanovski5213
    @goranstojanovski5213 29 дней назад +1

    The primary driver of rising property prices is the Capital Gains Tax (CGT) discount introduced in 2000, which needs to be abolished. Another significant factor was the deregulation of the banking sector in the 1980s and 1990s.
    To address these issues, we should:
    1. Reintroduce regulation to the banking sector.
    2. Limit mortgage terms to a maximum of 25 years, with simplified variable principal and interest loans for owner-occupiers.
    3. Restrict interest rates to variable rates where the maximum rate calculation is the Reserve Bank's rate plus 2% and a maximum banking margin.
    4. Calculate borrowing power based on a maximum of one-third of net income for principal and interest payments.
    Additionally, implement large-scale rezoning to increase medium and high-density housing, streamline building approvals, and reduce red tape to boost supply. Finally, develop government rental accommodation using prefabricated homes on designated sites.

    • @roughhabit9085
      @roughhabit9085 28 дней назад

      The banks have so many compliance and regulatory burdens already, that they are practically bureaucracies. What’s the point of cutting red tape in the building sector and adding it to the banking sector?

  • @donaldwayne4219
    @donaldwayne4219 27 дней назад +1

    Costs have increased for sure but people's expectations have too. So much money goes on tech and cars as well as extras in today's houses. Everything including furniture is expendable. How many people today have only second hand sheets as curtains, milk crates for chairs and old fruit crates as tables in their homes. People used to knuckle down and live with bare necessities, no air conditioning included. Times have changed. Houses have to have all the bells and whistles now days and everything including furniture bought on finance, of course it is a struggle. People don't have the same work ethic as in the past either. Difficult to work 38 hours a week for some. Rely on working 60 to 70 hours per week to make ends meet. In my 20's that would be more like 120 hours per week. Productivity? Farmers that I knew, growing crops such as wheat, family members all seeding day and night to get the crop in, then doing exactly the same when it came time to harvest the crops. Just ridiculous hours but commitment and work ethic that seems to be a little lacking these days. You can do the math on the work to lifestyle ratio and compare that to today's generation might answer a few questions. Different priorities.

  • @ricecrash5225
    @ricecrash5225 Месяц назад +7

    Housing is cheaper today than it was 25 years ago. Our dollar has been debased by government overspending and thats why housing is unaffordable.

    • @InfinityIsland2203
      @InfinityIsland2203 Месяц назад +4

      This is such a good point so many are missing. Only a bit over a decade ago AUD was worth more than USD but it nearly halved due to bad fiscal and monetary policies in Australia.

    • @Ferwail
      @Ferwail Месяц назад +2

      No

    • @ricecrash5225
      @ricecrash5225 Месяц назад

      @@ianmcnamee1652 I have done some homework. In the year 2000 if you sold a Sydney home for the median price and exchanged the proceeds from that sale to Gold you would have received approx 1000 ounces. If you wanted to buy that same house back today in the year 2024 you would only need 434 ounces. You could effectively buy two of those properties having done nothing but held gold instead of AUD. This will be true again in another 20 years.

    • @testicool013
      @testicool013 27 дней назад +2

      And it’s going to go down further, the only question is are we going to end up looking like Argentina or go as far as Venezuela

    • @ricecrash5225
      @ricecrash5225 27 дней назад

      @@testicool013 Agree, but by that stage we will all be living under a dystopian digital currency and id linked to our social credit score.

  • @bradmackie3476
    @bradmackie3476 Месяц назад +8

    No one talks about unemployment anymore. Technology is going to create a noticeable rise in unemployment by 2030

    • @MrGareth777
      @MrGareth777 Месяц назад

      Nah, if AI is going to put everyone out of work, why are they pumping immigration as hard as they can?
      Record immigration numbers in EVERY Western country.
      Does not look like the actions of governments worried about AI.

  • @wildcat1419
    @wildcat1419 Месяц назад +2

    Conclusions way off the mark and missing some biggies. Too fatalistic and not proactive enough thought processes in this video. Alan you need to lift your game.
    1. Bring in more tenant rights???. Look at Victoria. Most anti landlord state. Landlords leaving in droves, less rental supply. Will ultimately push up rents.
    2. You can’t tax people on inflation that’s theft. Being back the indexation method and scrap the 50%. Fairer for all and frankly indexation is not complex for non mathematical muppets in society.
    3. Quarantine losses to the property, ignore new builds argument. When you put in special rules you create perverse outcomes. Losses get quarantined in trusts and companies. Investment properties should be no different.
    4. In no way should any new buyer be let near their super. Loss of compounding will hurt them massively. Why not a government deposit guarantee perhaps. Underwritten by the government, SMSF’s would prob invest if at the td rate with a govt guarantee.
    5. Rejig the aged pension. If you sell your house into a govt annuity no assets test. The annuity will help fund the pension, the four bedroom house with one little old lady will be freed up, the poor dear won’t lose her pension. Annuity reversionary to the estate ‘so the kids don’t miss out’.
    6. Menzies’s may have started it but every govt from both sides has been fleeing public housing for 50 years. In Europe the bottom 30% of the socioeconomic strata have access to public housing.
    7. Stop council ability to halt sensible development. Good move by minns in NSW to designate development zones around public transport. Take it off of the councils but not allowing unfettered development everywhere.
    8. Remove vast swathes of green tape and red tape BS that massively adds to construction costs. Again mostly the fault of councils.
    9. Massively cut back immigration until the supply/demand dynamic rebalances.
    10. Remove GST for first home buyers. Immediate 9% discount.
    11. If this leaves the commonwealth short, as much as Bill Shorten is a twat. No refundable franking credits. Franking credits were fair until Howard made them refundable. CBA earns $100. Pays $30 in tax. Retiree gets a $70 dividend plus the $30 fr cr refund. No tax is collected on CBA profit. This is ABSOLUTELY ludicrous.
    We need to end retiree theft from the young. The money can be put into public housing and increase supply.
    12. Don’t victimise landlords. The housing mess is 100% government ineptitude. We shouldn’t bring down a small section of society and blame them for something that isn’t their fault.
    Fix the legislative levers, make it fair for all and the system will right itself.

  • @David-x6f
    @David-x6f Месяц назад +1

    Is profit from housing investments or an increase in the valua of housing counted as part of Australia's GDP?

  • @Sainter66
    @Sainter66 Месяц назад +3

    1950s there were usually only 1 working adult. Similar in 1980s.
    Just means household income relative to house prices is likely higher.

  • @CineTechGeek
    @CineTechGeek Месяц назад +3

    Unfortunately. Houses NEED to stand still for 20 years. Otherwise you will not have a job at all as Australia is so uncompetitive.
    I own my house but I would love for it to go down in price as otherwise my business and the people I employ care cactus...

  • @enats984
    @enats984 Месяц назад +2

    I have to disagree with Alan around European vs Aus cities and when they were built. True that many were built prior to cars becoming affordable/pre-WW2But many were also rebuilt after the destruction of WW2. As well as many examples of European cities moving away from car centric design, eg Germany and Netherlands.

  • @David-qz7fx
    @David-qz7fx 28 дней назад +1

    Nice to hear a discussion about housing between individuals with varying viewpoints rather than all these channels which are clearly on one side or the other. More discussion should be like this. Thank you

  • @RobertDonald456
    @RobertDonald456 27 дней назад +33

    I lost over $70k when everything started to tank. Not because I was in an exchange that went belly up. I was just stupid to hold and because that's what everyone said. I'm still responsible. It just taught me to be a better investor now that I understand more of what could go wrong. It took me over two years of being in the market, I'm really grateful I found one source to recover my money, at least $10k profits weekly. Thanks Natalie Strayer .

    • @Josephbasta827
      @Josephbasta827 27 дней назад

      I'm surprised that you just mentioned Natalie Strayer here also Didn’t know she has been good to so many people too this is wonderful, i'm in my fifth trade with her and it has been super.

    • @carolynvo7802
      @carolynvo7802 27 дней назад

      The very first time we tried, we invested $2000 and after a week, we received $9500. That really helped us a lot to pay up our bills.

    • @DaveCulbertson
      @DaveCulbertson 27 дней назад

      Natalie Strayer has really set the standard for others to follow, we love her here in Canada 🇨🇦 as she has been really helpful and changed lots of life's

    • @Rodriguezpaul-9
      @Rodriguezpaul-9 27 дней назад

      I'm new at this, please how can I reach her?

    • @AmandaStewart0908
      @AmandaStewart0908 27 дней назад

      After I raised up to 125k trading with her I bought a new House and a car here in the states also paid for my son's surgery
      Glory to God shalom.

  • @mh017509
    @mh017509 20 дней назад +1

    A lot of issues related to supply flexibility and costs of the new development was missed in that conversation.

  • @KingComputerSydney
    @KingComputerSydney Месяц назад +3

    How about the government reduce the bureaucracy and taxation on builds? From what I have seen the taxes add as much as 30% to the cost of building

    • @roughhabit9085
      @roughhabit9085 28 дней назад

      Compliance and regulations make it more than that

  • @johnschannel449
    @johnschannel449 Месяц назад +11

    in the 1980's and 1990's average immigration was 80,000 people a year, last year it was 700,000 in just one year

    • @lindsaywebb1904
      @lindsaywebb1904 28 дней назад

      Ah no. That's incorrect

    • @linmal2242
      @linmal2242 27 дней назад

      @@lindsaywebb1904 Go on......

    • @testicool013
      @testicool013 27 дней назад

      @@lindsaywebb1904close though, last year was 560,000 net

  • @jeffbox1torres
    @jeffbox1torres 26 дней назад +26

    I was a stay at Home mom with no money in my IRA or any savings of my own, which was scary at 53 years of age. Three years ago I got a part time job and save everything I make. After 3 years, I am 56 yo and have put $9,000 in an IRA and $40,000 in my portfolio with CFA, Evelyn Infurna. Since the goal of getting a job was to invest for retirement and NOT up my lifestyle, I was able to scale this quickly to $150,000. If I can do this in a year, anyone can.

    • @NianLisa
      @NianLisa 26 дней назад

      I know this lady you just mentioned. Evelyn Infurna Services is a portfolio manager and investment advisor. She gained recognition as a former employee at Goldman Sachs; a renowned investor she is. Evelyn Infurna has demonstrated expertise in investment strategies n has been involved in managing portfolios and providing guidance to clients.

    • @DannielleRosales
      @DannielleRosales 26 дней назад

      I went from no money to lnvest with to busting my A** off on Uber eats for four months to raise about $20k to start trading with Evelyn Infurna. I am at $128k right now and LOVING that you have to bring this up here

    • @user-if8hq9kg4p
      @user-if8hq9kg4p 26 дней назад

      This is interesting. I heard a lot about the same person not long ago, please how can I contact her?

    • @jeffbox1torres
      @jeffbox1torres 26 дней назад

      SHE’S MOSTLY ON TELEGRAMS APPS WITH THE BELOW NAME.

    • @jeffbox1torres
      @jeffbox1torres 26 дней назад

      @Infurnaevely1

  • @drinno8900
    @drinno8900 23 дня назад +2

    A house should only be purchase with an Australian citizen. Companies and over seas investor should not be allowed to buy a house units excluded and land tax should be abolished,

  • @lspag7415
    @lspag7415 Месяц назад +2

    Encouraging people to downsize would also help this crisis...
    Allowing tiny home developments too. Many people want this option.

    • @roughhabit9085
      @roughhabit9085 28 дней назад +1

      Yes can I please live in the tiniest house possible with narrow streets.

  • @perthjc
    @perthjc Месяц назад +3

    I cannot believe the elephant in the room was not addressed and that is immigration. Australia had 750,000 new immigrants in 2023. This is a ridiculous number. We have to slow down the immigration numbers and allow the market to breathe and rebalance. We are at record low stock levels that we have not seen before. Why was immigration not discussed in this?

    • @friendlychat34
      @friendlychat34 Месяц назад

      We all know the answer: anyone seeking to discuss immigration is immediately labelled a racist

    • @AntonHandel-bw7vv
      @AntonHandel-bw7vv 18 дней назад

      Australia grants about 200,000 permanent resident visas per year and has done so for at least 20 years. Look it up, it is publicly available information. This level of immigration actually stimulates the economy, for every 10 immigrants, 11 jobs are created. Most immigrants come as highly skilled, they get jobs quickly, work hard, pay taxes, and because they are also young, counter our aging population problem.

  • @Elemenopi205
    @Elemenopi205 Месяц назад +3

    New migrants coming to live in Australia permanently must build a home or buying a home within a year. Sounds reasonable.

  • @David-qz7fx
    @David-qz7fx 28 дней назад +1

    The fact that she said "i dont want my property to fall in value by the way" is the precise issue. If your property rises in value, its of little benefit if every other property rises in value too.

  • @georgialee3797
    @georgialee3797 Месяц назад +1

    The council can solve housing issues by allowing a large house to have more than one kitchen. In the kuringai council, don't allow to have two kitchens in a large two storey house with a large block of land. It is simple and easy to fix issues.

  • @Jennifer-mv9pg
    @Jennifer-mv9pg Месяц назад +2

    Stagnating wages while house prices rose! Then add in record immigration! Oh and government Housing Commission not building enough community housing

  • @1490aap
    @1490aap Месяц назад +2

    give investors (private and companies) incentives for new builds and penalise them for existing properties, thus forcing supply growth and decreasing demand for existing.

  • @Hunty49
    @Hunty49 Месяц назад +4

    Australia has an overpopulation problem, cause by Labor's mass immigration program. They could get them over in boats, so they flew them over instead. Set the immigration level to 90% of total dwellings built the year before. Problem solved.
    Why are houses expensive to build? Inflation. Let's change home loan interest rates. They are made up of bank interest and RBA interest. Make the RBA interest go to the loan principal instead of bank profit. It will reduce the amount of printed money by the banks, reducing the amount of money in circulation, this lowering inflation more efficiently than just take away people's money. And remove the redraw facility on the loans. House will get paid off quicker as well.

    • @joek292
      @joek292 Месяц назад +1

      Mate, you don’t have a brain if you think this is only LABOR’s fault

  • @antoncarmoducchi6057
    @antoncarmoducchi6057 23 дня назад +2

    There's all you need to know. The opening disclaimer saying don't take any advice we're giving you. OK I won't goodbye.

    • @Rob-fx2dw
      @Rob-fx2dw 19 дней назад

      That's very true.

  • @craiganstiss8087
    @craiganstiss8087 Месяц назад +3

    I have an idea of allowing people to use their superannuation to guarantor the house loan instead of drawing it out for a deposit.

    • @friendlychat34
      @friendlychat34 Месяц назад

      Hey this is an interesting idea, have never heard this one before

    • @matt-james-c
      @matt-james-c Месяц назад +1

      This would only increase demand and decrease affordability further.

  • @SunshineCoastRealEstate
    @SunshineCoastRealEstate 18 дней назад +1

    As Alan said, the charts clearly show that 1999 is the tipping point. Negative Gearing and the Capital Gains Discount.

  • @Rob-fx2dw
    @Rob-fx2dw 16 дней назад +1

    The hosts as well as the journalist do not seem to understand that investment means lower prices than otherwise.

  • @rodgerhempfing2921
    @rodgerhempfing2921 26 дней назад +2

    My parents are both in their ,90's, still going strong.

  • @Adzer2k10
    @Adzer2k10 Месяц назад +2

    "everyone seems to be okay with now having a back yard anymore"........
    No boomer..... No we are not okay with that. We don't have a choice.

  • @DancingWithFools-b1y
    @DancingWithFools-b1y Месяц назад

    Really enjoy listening to thoughtful people having a serious discussion,

  • @actualfacts1055
    @actualfacts1055 Месяц назад +1

    Downsizing with all proceeds being able to go into superannuation would help.

  • @richarddobosz6174
    @richarddobosz6174 25 дней назад +1

    Excellent thank you compulsory listening

  • @timjohnston5201
    @timjohnston5201 Месяц назад +2

    if house prices don't increase next 20 years or half compared to income, then owners still be happy as they are able to pay off loans quicker. So much money in housing , 4 trillion, when it could be put to better use is a big problem when your lacking money for schooling and health and welfare. Housing in australia is a ponsi scheme

    • @timjohnston5201
      @timjohnston5201 Месяц назад

      alan is a politician puppet.....just spruking government housing policy for prices always to rise

  • @timothyallen7956
    @timothyallen7956 Месяц назад +1

    Main reason I wanted to own a house, is the Alan's second reason. Which is I needed to be able to have a family pet, ability to fix issues with house quickly and no rent inspections.

  • @jg5032
    @jg5032 Месяц назад +6

    Shshsh Alan, don't mention the other thing the Howard government did around the same time as halving CGT... dramatically increasing net overseas migration. But look over there, it was definitely only the CGT changes.

    • @joek292
      @joek292 Месяц назад

      His white paper does discuss it

    • @thisthattheother7541
      @thisthattheother7541 Месяц назад +2

      Howard was voted out 17 years ago - how can you sheet home all responsibility to him lol

    • @vincentcacciola7161
      @vincentcacciola7161 Месяц назад

      Mass immigration has occur in the last two years own it

    • @jg5032
      @jg5032 Месяц назад +2

      @@thisthattheother7541I think you missed the point. Kohler says says the CGT concession is the only thing he could see that coincided with increase in house prices. Net overseas migration also increased at the same time and has remained at historic highs through various governments since then, culminating with the fiasco under Albanese (look at the charts). Kohler was laying all the blame on Howard's CGT concessions and I am saying the permanent increase in Net Overseas Migration since 2000 may in fact be a significant culprit.

    • @jg5032
      @jg5032 Месяц назад

      @@joek292 Thanks Joek, can you give TLDR? I take it he dismissed the correlation as not being causative for some reason?

  • @emmaharris4398
    @emmaharris4398 Месяц назад +1

    If we’re going to be renters for life can we have discussions on the type of houses being built. We don’t want carports! We want garages! We want proper shaded outdoor spaces! We want a garden! We want backyards! Don’t need cinema room but need big pantries. We hate inspections every 3months! We hate having to move we want to build community! Stop rent increases!

  • @juliefuller4556
    @juliefuller4556 29 дней назад

    You have overlooked the fact that not all people want big homes with no yards. The new estates with small yards 450m2 550m2 have covenants that restrict buyers from building smaller homes. In essence they have a minimum size home and hence they have no option than to build the size home they are dictated to build.

  • @c.s2001
    @c.s2001 Месяц назад +1

    Wrong Alan, you can have a pet whilst renting. Also a major reason in owning your own home ie house is that you won’t be in Strata. That was the reason my wife and I sold a townhouse and bought a Torrens title house. We are a retired, mostly, couple that learned to hate Strata, both management and owners corporations. Fyi.

    • @zenmachine50
      @zenmachine50 27 дней назад +1

      yea strata is a breeding ground for fascism

  • @CineTechGeek
    @CineTechGeek Месяц назад +1

    The main reason people are not building is because its just as unaffordable as buying plus it has a huge risk as the price may explode over your capability OR the builder screws you and your left with a desaster.
    So do not expect supply to get better until land prices and building costs go down. I.e. house prices in general need to go down to allow new houses ro be built.

  • @graemeharris9779
    @graemeharris9779 29 дней назад

    The major limits in increasing supply are the highly restricted zoning. This situation is clear in textbooks printed 15 to 20 years ago.

  • @Rob-fx2dw
    @Rob-fx2dw 17 дней назад +1

    Governments love high property prices. They get more stamp duty and more tax when prices rise.

  • @savoyjazzman
    @savoyjazzman Месяц назад +1

    Berlin has roughly 4 million people - not 6 times the population of Melbourne.

  • @rodgerhempfing2921
    @rodgerhempfing2921 26 дней назад +1

    If they drop negative gearing, there will be no rental properties, so the government would have to build new properties for rentals.

  • @goranstojanovski5213
    @goranstojanovski5213 29 дней назад +1

    Yes, you can encourage people to sell high-value properties by introducing a residential property tax. Additionally, consider abolishing stamp duty and implementing a progressive land tax that targets properties above the median household price or large land parcels.

  • @TheMcBadie
    @TheMcBadie 22 дня назад

    Amazing how no one seems to understand Demand side economics, although Alan at least mentioned it briefly. 99% discuss on supply side which is inelastic and politically unpalatable. Even if pulled off it means Melb and Syd become high density, congested hell holes. Demand is so simple to fix and has limited downside. Match population growth to house building capacity. That equation is well out of balance currently, hence the shortage of both rentals and homes. Reducing demand will also temper house price growth and lift wages. It's still a long path out, but at least it doesn't require us to destroy livability.

  • @c.s2001
    @c.s2001 Месяц назад +1

    The Government giving 1st home buyer incentives is like the dog chasing its own tail.
    Also what is not mentioned is that immigrants, more so than indigenous Australians, are used to sharing a house to get ahead in property. I am not casting dispersions just stating life experience.

  • @professorwhoopee
    @professorwhoopee Месяц назад

    Excellent interview with Mr Kohler

  • @PJERRAM
    @PJERRAM 22 дня назад

    Increasing supply won’t fix the issue because there is no price ceiling. Look at what vacant land is selling for? $500k+ based on what?

  • @teatowel11
    @teatowel11 Месяц назад +1

    Rent seeker used to be a pejorative term.
    Now everyone wants to be a 'property investor' aka landlord.
    The more landloads we have, the less home owners we have. Very simple.
    Landlords provide a minimal benefit at an exhirbinate cost, subsidised by givernments.
    Time to end negative gearing on more than 1 property among other reforms.

    • @lspag7415
      @lspag7415 Месяц назад

      The trouble is govt used to supply housing for low income families but no longer do, leaving only property investors who still have to service loans....
      No investors = no rental homes!

    • @teatowel11
      @teatowel11 16 дней назад

      @@lspag7415 there would be very little need for rental homes if investors were not bidding up prices above what working families can pay. Investors should only receive incentives when building new homes.

  • @johnkirkland4045
    @johnkirkland4045 Месяц назад +1

    There is only one way to fix the housing crisis which is to take the planning approval process out of the hands of council bureaucrats. If it’s zoned residential, build on it!

  • @rodgerhempfing2921
    @rodgerhempfing2921 26 дней назад

    They never mentioned b and b replacing rental properties.

  • @neilmccoy9390
    @neilmccoy9390 6 дней назад

    In the 30 years since I bought my house in Canberra in 1987, average size of New houses increased from about 16 squares to 26 squares.

  • @MarkZX14R
    @MarkZX14R 21 день назад +1

    We don't have a housing crisis, we have a crisis which is resulting in people becoming homeless. We need to look upstream to find the cause.

  • @neilmccoy9390
    @neilmccoy9390 7 дней назад

    No-one mentions HECS, which is massive and prevents young people from ever saving for a deposit.

  • @callofduty6661
    @callofduty6661 18 дней назад +1

    The two host have no interest in house prices being more affordable just like most Australians. The new Australia is every man for themselves.

  • @KoDeMondo
    @KoDeMondo 16 дней назад

    In my view, this is heading towards a catastrophic outcome. To be honest, I foresee an endgame where we are left without a valid currency to exchange for goods and services. I don’t know how long it will take, but I can see this scenario approaching rapidly.
    Once people realize that their money is worthless, it will mark the point of no return. What follows could be an unprecedented acceleration of events, where people scramble to buy whatever is left, regardless of need. Within a week, restaurants will be empty, shops will be vandalized, and the streets will be filled with people desperate to barter, steal, or escape through drugs, or simply find a place to sleep.
    All businesses and public venues will close down, leading to an apocalyptic landscape that will continue to deteriorate. This state of chaos could persist for years, with no quick return to any semblance of normality.

  • @willemgrooters4958
    @willemgrooters4958 15 дней назад

    Precisely !!!! Household size DOES paly a very important role.

  • @zenmachine50
    @zenmachine50 27 дней назад

    yea.. I love Allan's idea of people not seeing housing as a way of building wealth. that would solve a lot of problems and one of the ways to do that would of course be tax reform. Get rid of the 50% discount on capital gains and negative gearing would be a step in the right direction, hey?

    • @PeterParker-st9ps
      @PeterParker-st9ps 27 дней назад +1

      no, it would gradually push up rents over time and encourage institutional investors to buy residential properties.

  • @KoDeMondo
    @KoDeMondo 16 дней назад

    No, you don't own your home! but only a subscription plan (land taxes, council taxes etc) for the exclusive use of it.. Is obvious if not evident that once you stop pay the subscription plan the property will be confiscated from you.

  • @TikenMoirangthem-bd3hu
    @TikenMoirangthem-bd3hu 29 дней назад

    Govt. needs to provide better connectivity. Make satellite cities and specialised economic zones etc. and spread out. There is no more nation building anymore in Australia. It's a shame.

  • @linmal2242
    @linmal2242 27 дней назад

    Dam! that lack of water supply! No mountains in AUS

  • @lspag7415
    @lspag7415 Месяц назад +2

    Scammers in comments, beware.
    Dont follow any advice re crypto helpers, do your own research!!

    • @jg5032
      @jg5032 Месяц назад +1

      👍

  • @linmal2242
    @linmal2242 27 дней назад

    Alan; you are still not addressing the water/sewerage supply systems !

  • @baits9301
    @baits9301 Месяц назад +1

    You fix it by making land in the outer suburbs affordable for first home buyers , it costs 350k for a small 300sqm block , not even anough room for swings for the kids or to plant a tree . 25km out of Melbourne is empty land as far as the eye can see . how on earth can it cost so much for land , not much difference from buying iner city or outer , prices don't change all that much . A starter home in the outer suburbs cost over 700k , thats crazy . You dont need to tax empty bedrooms lol .

    • @actualfacts1055
      @actualfacts1055 Месяц назад

      How do you make it cheaper, big land owners won't sell at a low price.

    • @baits9301
      @baits9301 Месяц назад

      @@actualfacts1055 Government needs to step in , but wont because they don't want affordable , they are property investers also . The greatest con job ever . We have more land per population , than any country on earth .

    • @actualfacts1055
      @actualfacts1055 Месяц назад

      ​@@baits9301 That's OK if you want to live where most people don't want to live.

    • @baits9301
      @baits9301 Месяц назад

      @@actualfacts1055 anywhere away from the city is good enough for me . look at Kyneton or wood end , 85km out of melbourne. or woodend 79km out . Have a look at the prices of realestate there . If i was young , i would be happy to have my own place instead of renting , not everyone works in the cbd .

  • @tfalani3861
    @tfalani3861 17 дней назад

    Australia has the wealth to support its people but the greed of politicians and corporate make sure we struggle. Just have a good look at the gas Sol last year. Qatar earned 80 billion and Australia earned 2 billion for the same amount of gas sold last year. The reason? A politician named Matt Ferguson enabled the free presentation of Iz gas to corporate thieves who employed him after his term in government. It’s called the Neoliberal assault prevalent in most western nations. Prof Noam Chomsky spoke about this problem and was very verbal on this matter. And we’re still asking questions today when the answer has been there all along.
    Look at Finland as an example of not allowing corporate thieves to prosper from your own natural resources

  • @Zilron38
    @Zilron38 Месяц назад

    Hi everyone, looking to buy a house on a 70k salary and 60k deposit. Any advice?

  • @kewpietonkatsu
    @kewpietonkatsu 24 дня назад

    We need another asset class to compete with housing which creates jobs. We need to encourage Aussies to invest in companies more

  • @Billabong42
    @Billabong42 24 дня назад

    Does the median price include m²? Because I reckon the plan is to build a bunch of shoeboxes to bring the median down. Younger skilled Australians should move to Christchurch New Zealand. They have a free pass to move here, and a lot have already made the move.

  • @jonnyblent
    @jonnyblent 11 дней назад

    How to fix the prop market? 1. Abolish local councils role in approvals and dealings w developers 2. Abolish -ve gearing. Reintroduce it for the first 10 years of your OWN home ownersip. 3. Allow people facing foreclosure/repossession to on-sell their mortgage/home to the private sector and NOT the banks. 3. Return the power of the sale to the owner and NOT the real estate agent. You decide how much comm you're prepared to pay. Finally.... wait for all the babyboomers to drop off the perch :)

  • @actualfacts1055
    @actualfacts1055 Месяц назад

    The reduction in allowable salary sacrifice into superannuation caused people to invest in property instead of superannuation.