Analysis | No wonder there’s a shutdown: New poll shows how much Republicans and Democrats really di

Analysis | No wonder there’s a shutdown: New poll shows how much Republicans and Democrats really disagree on immigration
ppinclude, dreamers, DACA, border wall, #endtheshutdown,
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President Trump walks to Marine One on the 24th day of the partial government shutdown, the longest in U.S. history. (Jabin Botsford/The Washington Post) By Kimberly Gross and John Sides John Sides Email Bio January 15 at 7:00 AM This past weekend, the partial shutdown affecting a quarter of the federal government became the longest on record. Most Americans do not support the shutdown: In a recent NPR-Ipsos poll, 71 percent said Congress should pass a bill to reopen the government while budget talks continue. And more Americans blame President Trump: In a new Washington Post poll, 53 percent said Trump and congressional Republicans were responsible for the shutdown, while only 29 percent blamed congressional Democrats. Yet Trump appears unwilling to change course. Last week, he walked out of a negotiating session with congressional Democrats when House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) told him that they would not fund a border wall. Meanwhile, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) won’t consider House-approved bills that would reopen the government because Trump won’t support them. Why is there such difficulty finding a path forward? The roots of the shutdown can be traced to the fraught issue of immigration. A new GW Politics Poll shows just how hard it will be to reopen the government if that depends on a bipartisan immigration compromise. [Americans don’t want Trump’s border wall. Here’s what they think should happen instead.] 1. Republicans identified immigration as the most important issue for Congress this year. The GW Politics Poll interviewed 1,920 registered voters in December, before the shutdown, about what issues should be priorities for Congress this year. For Republicans, immigration was the top issue: Eighty percent said “dealing with the issue of immigration” should be a priority for Congress this year. Immigration was followed closely by “defending the country from future terrorist attacks” (79 percent said it was a priority) - an issue the Trump administration has misleadingly tried to link to border security - and by “strengthening the nation’s economy” (78 percent said it was a priority). By contrast, only 41 percent of Democrats said immigration was a priority. Thus, it’s clear that a president who prioritizes support from the GOP base has an incentive to focus on immigration. 2. Republicans are deeply concerned about immigrants entering the country. During the 2018 campaign, Trump focused on a caravan of Central American migrants headed to the U.S. border to seek asylum. The GW Politics Poll asked respondents how concerned they were that some of these migrants might gain entry to the United States. There was a remarkable partisan divide on this question: Sixty percent of Republicans were very concerned, and 21 percent were somewhat concerned. But only 19 percent of Democrats were somewhat or very concerned, and 47 percent were not at all concerned. The same partisan divide emerged in The Post poll’s questi