Costly Russian STORM-Z Assault on Fortress Avdiivka
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- Опубликовано: 22 окт 2023
- Russia launched a massive offensive against the fortress city of Avdiivka. Although the first assaults have been costly for the Russian Armed Forces, with a large portion of their armored components eroded, they are only a couple kilometres away from encircling the Ukrainian stronghold. Only vivid counterattacks and proper supply lines can save the Ukrainian garrison.
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It’s quite interesting that Russia is still capturing territory using only shovels.
I think they got bigger shovels
They're fight shovel vs more expensive shovel
Tied to the end of tanks maybe that's why they have lost over 100 tanks in a week.
@@truthseeker6116 Ukraine incurred no loses
It's quite interesting that people have such poor imagination that they still use the "shovel joke" to this day.
Ukraine has dug into Avdiivka for years. This stronghold is no joke.
Go and ask Bakhmut. they been called Bakhmut as fortress of Ukraine until it been fall
@@tiglishnobody8750 He's not saying Avdiivka will not fall, rather that it will not be easy.
Avdiivka has been fortifying since 2014.
@@tiglishnobody8750the different about Bakhmut is that its not in siege. Avdiivka is basically already in siege for like half a decade now. so the different is huge.
@@chico9805 Ok
Ugh, who would have thought. For a gas station disguised as a country, Russia seems to be holding pretty well. Also, russian shovels sure give results
I mean the gas station is denying gas to everyone else. Its not fair 🥹😭
6 meter long atomic powered shovels!
? What fantasy is this ? Russia invaded, but can't invade any further because Ukriane has beaten them to a standstill, and now is pushing them backwards. The #2 army in the world has been stopped and pushed back and that is 'holding pretty well' ?
Dude, they were supposed to be the second biggest army in the world, fighting right next to russian border, fighting a country that was repopulated by pro russian people, wtf
@@joseribeiro9564 And the Ukraine military was the 2nd most powerful military in Nato after USA after 8 years of EU and Nato pouring absurd amounts of money and technology into the place.
And that army now lies in shallow graves.
AND the army that was mobilised share that location.
AND the army mobilised after that is mostly gone.
Guess why Ukraine needs to hurriedly build a brand new war cemetary for 600 thousand graves.
Większość pokazanych pojazdów było opuszczonych, a nie zniszczonych. Część wyglądała na przebywające tam od bardzo dawna. Prawdopodobnie zniszczonych podczas wcześniejszych starć. Rosjanie zajęli w końcu te tereny na których porzucili sporo sprzętu, więc to raczej straty powrotne. Wystarczy odchować te pojazdy i naprawić. Straty Rosjan są prawdopodobnie kilka razy mniejsze niż podają Ukraińcy.
Никогда не верьте в то, что они пишут. Их неоднократно ловили на лжи при каждом отчете, они даже не ленились менять числа иногда 😂 весь режим зеленского построен на лжи, абсолютная ложь в каждых заявлениях.
@@dennisshatov2202 Так наше министерство обороны тоже лжет 24/7. Военная пропаганда была везде и всегда
@@yellowtunes2756но это не значит что можно верить врагу, особенно с такой сильной медийкой.
@@user-qv6yc7tt6x я верю заинтересованным сторонам только тогда, когда они признают свои ошибки. И то, только половине сказанного. Не слушай ни наших, ни их, когда они об успехах говорят
On the social network X (formerly Twitter), pro-Ukrainian OSINT projects are slowly being closed.
Over the past month, the Oryx and Ukraine Weapons Tracker accounts, which were engaged in counting losses in the SMO zone, stopped working, and the Caliber Obscura project recently announced its imminent closure.
Despite the fact that Oryx and CO were actively working before the Ukrainian conflict, a distinctive feature for all three was the biased presentation of information, distortion of statistics, smoothing of angles when covering Ukrainian losses and savoring the losses of the Russian Armed Forces.
Perhaps the closure of these projects is due to the end of the fiscal year in the United States in October, or perhaps due to the redistribution of the budget for media support in Ukraine, which is gradually weakening
13:10 Guardian forgot to mention that in this attack Ukraine forces also destroyed the MIllenium Falcon, Starship Enterprise, six enemy planets and thousands of Klingons. Ukraine of course suffered zero losses .
What about emperors armada?
and then Admiral Viktor Sokolov came back from dead and wake you
Bye bye KA-52🌬
As a former Imperial stormtrooper and current member of the intergalactic Jedi Council, I can fully confirm your words. But I also want to add that Zelensky finally took Thanos’s infinity gauntlet from the laundry and is ready to use it
Have you seen Sokolov last weeks in some video/news?
Audio cuts out at 18:16
Returns at 18:50
I'd be very sceptical about 'huge' Russian losses near Avdeevka. So far none of the Russian units (including Pyatnashka, Storm and 114th brigades) near Avdeevka have pulled out. Usually if your unit took 50% losses you retreat then fill up the ranks with fresh troops, work on units cohision before returning to the front line...if ever - depending on losses. It takes time while you're replaced with other brigades. None of this is happening. The amount of the burned vehicals doesn't tell much because there was an ongoing battle for Avdeevka since 2014. A lot of armored vehicles have accumulated there
This is a terrible cope 😅🤣🤣
@@danielbwestwhy
@@user-cj9wq1tt5x he's trying to make the excuse that the destroyed vehicles we've seen are in fact old wreckage over many months 🤣🙄
Out of curiosity, how do you know the name of the brigades? Telegram or another YT channel?
@danielbf2821 And it seems plausable. Avdeevka is a Ukrainian strong point since 2014 and there probably must be quite a lot of “landmarks” because of it. The reasoning behind the comment seems logical, although there certainly are some losses, just not nearly as big as Ukrainians are trying to present. So, do you have a counter-point or are you just going to continue spamming emojis?
Avdeevka is not really a settlemnt, more like a large industrial zone.
You should seek interviews of DNR fighters to truly understand how well fortified it is, they speak of concrete reinfoced rail wagons and other stuff.
Also, the last guy who tried to capture it was offed by GRU.
There is some audio issues on 18:16 but other than that great video as always!
Yep, audio and image 18:16 to 18:48
Yeah, the whole thing freezes.
From what I've heard the amount of artillery shells, airbombs and rockets that have been used was insane. And they keep firing.
And the Russians keep loosing equipment to counter battery.
Russians have claimed that they had insanely high artillery fire at the start but then low fire quickly after then a slight uptick. Artillery crews have complained about a lack of counter artillery radars leading to many artillery losses which may be a factor in Russia firing less artillery shells than Ukraine.
Tough Russians.
@@georgethompson1460 In football, if matches were like you tell, there will be only the same winner even if they scored less than the other team.
@@qhayiya252Had*
Reading western history books you will get impression that on 2ww eastern front german nazis won all battles ,including Kursk and Stalingrad (Germans took 95% of the city); you just wonder how red army took Berlin.
Pyrrus też wygrywał bitwy ale przegrał wojnę.
western history of the eastern front was written by defeated german commanders
@@kazimierzmarszaek1539wait, who lost WW2?
@@paledawn363 @sashavujnic3338 kto nie zna historii ten popełnia te same błędy. Poczytaj, a dowiesz się... . Także ,,pycha/arogancja kroczy przed upadkiem..." - jedno i drugie dotyczy generałów III Rzeszy Niemieckiej.
@jamespwickstrom8731 why was that army beaten and starved? oh yeah, because they underestimated the USSR and got destroyed. keep seething that Germany lost
18:16, lost of sound till 18:49 ??
Ukrainians armed forces have been performing so well in their great counteroffensive that now they allow the Russians to gain land. What a generosity.
russians gained like 2km squared or something compared to 250 km2 captured in ukrainian counteroffensive, what are you on?
@@peterptsdlmao 😂 what are you smoking 🚬🚭
Don't jump the gun, it's still not over and won't be for a very, very long time. People keep romanticising on their perceived invincibility and want to believe that they're winning, but they not.
@@Jonathan-jp4zz90k dead Ukrainian Soldiers in the almost 6 month counteroffensive sounds like your projecting Ukrainian FAILURE on the Russian FEDERATION
@@Jonathan-jp4zz their own men, I presume you mean.
The city will go from “vital” to “minor and irrelevant” once captured.
It's not a city
It's a town of 10000 inhabitants but well fortified
@@baha3alshamari152 Bald And Bankrupt went there about 4 years ago, if you want to see it as it was.
@@Dude0000 I personally don’t care about the size of cities
I was making fun of the media who does a total 180 when russia captures something.
More like “a strategic regrouping of Russian forces” to “it’s just a feint” soon
Ukranians aren’t the ones claiming it’s “vital”
It did seem that the summer offensive was being lackluster everywhere else but at Avdiivka they were very successful at creating a cauldron for themselves.
Сколько мирных жителей Донецка, Горловки и окрестностей погибло от обстрелов из Авдеевки.
😂😂😂
The irony
Сколько мирных жителей Авдеевки погибло от обстрелов из Донецка и Горловки
None of this would have happened of Putin hadn't decided to invade Ukraine in 2014. It could stop tomorrow if he decided to pull his goons back to Russia.
@@user-jf8bb2wc6q None, Avdeevka was evacuated of civilians so it could be turned into a military base for Ukraine
The U.S. says all 31 Abrams tanks have been delivered to Ukraine. To prevent their imminent destruction Zelensky promises to use them only for his military parades.
I call bullshit unless you show me a source which is reliable
Okay kiddos ever heard of confusion? This man said it so seriously that it was hard not to believe. Now bugger off and go to sleep. It ain't that deep 💀💀
😂😂😂😂BRO DONT BE HYSTERICAL..COPE LIKE A MAN..😂😂😂😂
@@generalpanzerfaust2387 it is called sarcasm, ever heard of it?
@@generalpanzerfaust2387this is satire yknow
@@generalpanzerfaust2387 It's a joke.... Stupid!
20 000 elite ukrainien soldiers defend a relatively small city of Avdivka ( some pre-war 30 000 inhabitants today less then 2000).
Heavily fortified from 2014 onwards, real -fortress.
To put in perspective many europian countries have smaller ground army then 20 000.
20 000 one third british army ground force defend town size Avdivka.
That is a one hell nut to crack.
the problem with a fortress is if it is encircled, you going to run out of supplies real quick
First of all, I'm not a military expert. But
Heavily fortified for years? There is no fort what must be built for that long. How? Every month they built a new trench, or one more bunker? I know what you mean when you say they are fortifying it for 9 years, but it is not stronger than 8 years ago.
The 20k elite soldiers must eat, drink, shit, sleep every day. Oh, and fight maybe. If they don't get supplies, because the city is surrounded they won't last too long.
And yes, it is possible, that they have endless food, water, toilet paper and ammo piled there, but that's why they are shelling.
@@joik3308Same with Russia!!! Just a bunch of convicts armed with shovels!!!
@@joik3308 Miles better than Russian conscripts. Have you seen their own tanks and BMPs driving over their dismounted troops? Non existing level of training and discipline 😅
@@istinagy5835 just ignore these kind of comments, no one here are actually pros, and vets are outdated for this war, I've been watching one by one as they make false predictions, one after the other, especially proukraine, the few that made right predictions, from the west, top 2 are high key individuals, not some grunt from the fields. If Russia wanted to obliterate Ukraine, they would have done it long time ago, this new front is still Russia not taking Ukraine seriously. The fact people thought trench warfare are obsolete, and instantly proved wrong when this war started.
This new front, Russian losses are not even considered bad by them, I told many this few months, attacking the south east was the stupidest thing Ukraine can do in the offensive, because east and north east would be next for Russia, its not a problem unless Russia can easily flank Ukraine soldiers attacking South East, which they can if they succeed. I'm thinking Russia expected casualties to reach 200k with 10k KIA minimum and they will keep pushing as long as they dont reach either numbers. It doesn't matter how tough it will be, it doesn't matter how many vehicles Russia loses, compared to the west, their tanks are cheaper. So there is nothing to discuss about this new front, Russia can play games and it won't change anything, they have vast numbers to throw at Ukraine in everything.
Thanks for still covering this war, the rest of the world has already forgotten where Ukraine even is again.
Finally a new video from history legends! We've been missing your videos man. They're more lively than the other mapping channels. Much appreciated! Keep up the great work.
This is still the best channel for War Updates. Your knowledge and humour is entertaining and informative.
Humour is A1 especially for English being his second language 🫡
@@whypree_thowhat's his first language?
@@shivanshna7618 I don’t recognise his accent but I’m assuming somewhere in Eastern Europe.
@@whypree_thohe is Canadian
@@beaconing7689serbian immigrant in canada but yeah canadian
I’ve heard people saying Russia is failing in the most recent battles because they have lost a lot, but ig they don’t see the most heavily defended city is about to be encircled fully
Nowhere close to being encircled. And all those Russians troops attempting to encircle then end up in long strung out columns and get exposed to Ukrainian reserves and artillery. Quite easy to pick off.
According to this tool Russia is doing great in Avdiivka
@@user-ow1bn6qv8qthat's not true , they're literally gaining ground every day when you look at maps and Ukrainian artillery can no longer fire because it get picked off by russian Su-35s or MIG-31s, the more heavily guarded artillery batteries can just be picked of by the Su-57 like last year around izyum, not that they really need to use such fighters as Ukraine has little to no air defence capabilities left and Russia has near total air superiority and failing at that Russia has Artillery superiority and more counter battery Systems.
I remember all the Ukrainian bootlickers saying same stuff about sevredonetsk and bakmhut and in the the end they fell, this is a heavily fortified city, probably most defended in Ukraine other than Kiev, russia has the numbers, the tanks, the fighters, the attack helicopters, the Artillery and the manpower, Ukraine is reduced to using conscripts and has even been calling for western countries to send male refugees back.
There needs to be peace, compromise between the two.
They have been “close to getting encircled” for more than two years now
@user-ow1bn6qv8q not true. Im not sure that the picture shown of Russian blown up equipment at Avdeevka is all from this offensive. A large part of it is equipment thats built up over the years. Would be interesting to see whats old and whats new.
My heart goes out to all those young men who lost their lives over this chess game by big powers..
@2:56 "Which is believed to have an entire Battalion of foreign *BEEP!* , umm, 'volunteers'..." 🤣🤣🤣🙃🤫
I do not think Russia will close the pincer. I suspect they will leave a gap to prevent being attacked in their rear, but take complete fire control over all access/supply routes.
Once the rest of the northern and southern flanks are completely secured is when the pincers will close completely. That's my take, anyway.
I suspect it depends on what their goal is. In Bakhmut they wanted to play for time while restructuring their army undisturbed.
They can leave the pincers open, so Ukraine would be able to keep sending in reinforcements but at a high cost.
Or to allow the garrison of Avdiivka to retreat to be able to take Avdiivka faster and with less resistance.
Or they could try to close the pincers, who knows.
@gusjeazer I honesty think we are going to have a Bartmuth 2.0
hard to say, it could go either way on this particular battlefield it looks like, I was thinking the same thing but the Ukies seems to have learn a thing or two with their artillery here recently. Hard to say who is trapping whom....
@@ericmacrae6871
Dartmouth 2.0
Ukraine 🇺🇦 is done.
Ukraine should conserve the men they have left 😢
The loss of human life is insane on both sides
Hilarious 😂😂😂
@@Bob10009Russia bot
@@chidindunwosu815Ukrainian bot
Ukraine has been done for 2 years now and yet still inflicting heavy losses in Russia
Or the Russian's can go back to their miserable country and be miserable there instead of making everyone else miserable.
This guy is good in telling stories. When he is 70 years old, all his grand kids would be around him before bed time to listen some stories.
So, just to make it clear for everyone, Avdeevka has been fortified since around 2014. But all this time, it has been and still is being used to heavily shell Donetsk, almost in the same way as it's happening much further south, somewhere between Lebanon and Egypt, right now.
I just wanted to say that I really appreciate the way you make your videos and how you express your assessment about the tactical situation of the armies and battles, maps, footage when possible. Great content
He has yet to comment on the fact that the Russian attack in Notthern Luhansk failed. He spent 20 mins in another video hyping it up
137th like, I love this channel.
He is one of the best and presents the information in a fair and unbiased way. Major props to him for sticking his neck out and being willing to make predictions too, even if he risks being wrong sometimes.
@@Dysthmic_Danny .. he is Russian, and very far from being unbiased. He keep saying "the Russians" , "Russian soldiers" while "the enemy" = The Ukrainians.
@@agffans5725That not he is Turkish?
Good analysis as usual, but another channel pointed out an interesting possibility - Russia deliberately made the mad charge in the north to get things shaken up, expose artillary and draw in anything Ukraine had left in the south (it achieved all these things). While none of us know for sure, if you look at what Russia has achieved since, it makes sense. And if we look at the losses, even the wild propaganda claims from the UK - Russian losses are tiny compared to Ukrainian losses in there offensive... And Russia will take a far, far bigger prize. Plus of course we have no idea how much equipment and manpower Ukraine lost of the last 10 days.... its likely to be an awful lot.
10/10 i dont think you can cope harder
Cope!
@@blubbblubb.7867 That was some Olympic level copage for sure.
we have video evidence of Russians loosing more vehicles and man power in 1 week than Ukraine did over 4 months.
^ I noticed the nato supporters here just say cope without actually coming up with arguments of their own why they think the person "coping" is wrong
Like come on guys be better
Man, you rule, the best content about the conflit. You can use humour while being assertive and on point with factual info. Thanks for a great work, god bless you, from Portugal 🇵🇹
Russia is going to have the best trained military in the world after this. They are the country that has fought a truly modern war since WW2. The experience they are getting out of this is incredible.
Experience in how to lose 1000 men in a single day
LOL...LOL.....LOL.... YEAH .... Modern warfare.... Their tactics are more akin to World War Z !
@@ivanzlatar2445🐽🐽
What the hell are you saying
ANd who will utilize this experience, their internet whores and prostitutes. They gonna draft them next lol.
The main point of holding Avdivka is, that south to it the railway towards the south is is going. To get it is a strategic success. Also mentionable is that the Russian are building a new railway in the south. Still the battle is here undecided for now.
Thank you for always keeping us updated.
Update, today Russia fully activated the Doneskt front and captured the main height in Avdeeka along with pushing their lines deeper in Marianka which is always surprising
Realy? and what happened since then ? are russian near lviv already?:D
@rz011279 Since then they captured Marianka and put Avdeeka in a cauldron whilst pushing the frontline away from Bahkmut and towards Charsov Yar, busy working bees!
@@reddyforlenny9389 3/4 of Mariinka were under their control already. you cant call it like they cuptered it....fact is that Ukrianias sized much more land in their spring offensive icluding 10 setelments...just look at the map....so if you call ukrianian offensive a failure, than Russian offensive is super mega epic failure...
@rz011279 Ukraine captured a farm in the middle of nowhere wtf are you talking about, and Marianka was under siege for a year since it was since 2014 a major military stronghold, also you're ignoring that Russia even during the Ukrainian offensive was gaining land in lugansk, hence why it was a failure they lost land during their offensive, Russia is gaining land and a lot more since they captured a small city now and surrounded another, meanwhile Ukraine barely captured a farm and are now abandoning it since they're getting pushed back even in Rabotyno
There's a lot of talk about the great Russian losses from commentators...
And yet, based on what's coming from the ground, from actual Russian soldiers, they do NOT consider there to have been large losses and basically just states that things are going "mostly according to plans" and that while "would have preferred faster and more success, things were still proceeding much better than the worst case planning". With Berdychi and Stepove obviously being not quite openly referred to as the unsuccessful parts.
One mapper that had gotten something similar through personal contacts suggested that Russia used a lot of remote controlled vehicles to basically stage a diversion of massed tanks as an explanation for the disparity. With previous Russian use of RC tanks, it's not out of the question.
Regardless, Russia does not seem in any way uncertain or worried about it. Nothing like when they DID take heavy losses against Ugledar.
Suggesting that Ukraine claims, AS USUAL, are at least exaggerated.
Underrated cment.
Lol bro is coping
@@user-pr9qb6yi9w I can not participate in an argument so I will type in "cope" to show my "dominance" as I go back to being a NAFO Twitter Keyboard FIghter.
@@extra_byter its simply cope 💀 how many men had to die to capture a waste heap. A whole towns worth. Russia is done for. They dont have the numerical advantage to capture this fortress
@@user-pr9qb6yi9w Wow! You know exact plans of russian hq on this offense
Russian columns got clapped, but if the images from space are true, then Russia has at least 8000-9000 vehicles that are waiting. And those are the ones openly parked, how many more are produced daily? So as long as the men are fine, the destroyed vehicles are not a problem for Russia atm.
Sure all 8000 are perfect outside for decades :D , corrosion does not exist in Rusia
And Russian output is higher than Western countries
For example, artillery: the Pentagon claimed that in 2 years it could raise 155 mm artillery shell production by 500%. This would result in the US making about 100,000 shells per month (1.2 million per year). Even if that is true. It would still smaller than what Russia is already producing and Russia is still increasing its output.
January 24, 2023. Pentagon Will Increase Artillery Production Sixfold for Ukraine. The New York Times.
""We're going to be at 100,000 per month in 2025. We were at 14,000 per month 6 or 8 months ago, we are now at 28,000 a month today," Bill LaPlante, the Pentagon's chief weapons buyer said at a conference on Friday."
September 15, 2023. U.S. aims to make 100,000 artillery shells per month in 2025, US official says. Reuters
"Western officials told the outlet that Russia is on track to manufacture two million artillery shells a year, which is twice as many as Western intelligence originally estimated it could make before the war."
Erin Snodgrass. September 13, 2023. Russian manufacturers are making up to 7 times as much ammunition as Western arms makers, Estonian defense official says. Business Insider
Another example tanks: (these articles are from before Ukraine's "counter-offensive")
Reuters. January 27 2023. Total of 321 heavy tanks promised to Ukraine - Ukraine ambassador to France
"For those who may be hesitant to think that the United States can build so many Abrams in such a short span of time, Abrams procurement between 1985 and 1992 offers a reassuring example. During that period, 4,800 Abrams were built, coming out to 50 tanks built per month for each of the eight years. It will take a significant amount of work to get our tank production up to the levels we need for the Abrams fleet, but production capacity can be gradually expanded through sustained funding, which is exactly the thing that multiyear procurement contracts provide."
October 31, 2022. To replace the Abrams tank, the Army should stick to what it knows. Breaking Defense
"Questions remain over the timeline of when the Abrams tanks can be delivered to Ukraine. The tanks are assembled in one place only - a government-owned, General Dynamics-operated plant in Lima, Ohio. That facility can produce 12 tanks per month, but the line is now full of new tank orders for Taiwan and Poland - orders it would be difficult and likely controversial to put on the backburner."
12 tanks per month = 144 tanks per year
January 26, 2023. U.S. to send Ukraine more advanced Abrams tanks - but no secret armor. Politico
Navoyagazeta. 2 November 2022. The barren barrels. Navoyagazeta is an anti Russian government newspaper. The article gives a pessimistic estimate of Russian tank production. The following is a quote from the article:
"According to the channel’s calculations, Russia’s tank industry is currently capable of producing up to 250 new vehicles and modernising up to 600 old ones each year." In other words, 600 T-72B3s and 250 T-90Ms.
Military Watch. March 25, 2023. Russia’s Medvedev Reveals 1500 T-90M Tanks Will Be Built This Year: Expresses Confidence They Can Tackle Top Western Armour
All of the above are pro western sources.
@@victort.248 exactly 😂😂😂. The cope is real from these clowns
you might want to look at the current sattelite pictures. its down to about half of those numbers. and a lot of them are scrap as can bee seen on the images. there's a cannel 'Covert Cabal' that did an analsis and counted them
Russia actually has way more than that
I think those numbers are the vehicles that are converted to the war but no way near the total fleet
watching the actions on both sides, it is shocking how ineffective armored units and large scale assaults' are on the modern battlefield.
The armored units are there to take hits , to expose enemy positions so they can take it out with counter artillery and stuff like lancets
They build these wooden covers, covered in leaves that they use to hide artillery positions.
When the enemy enters in range they remove these covers and start firing
You can see most of these tanks kills are just mobility kills
In a way, not much has changed since WW2: even eighty years ago, armoured formations would tend to come to grief if sent up against a well-equipped infantry unit that was prepared and ready for them. Longer-range artillery and more surveillance makes it easier for the infantry to be ready, but the same principles basically apply.
No it is not shocking at all. You just dont know military history. WW2, for an example, 60 Soviet/German/American tanks would be destroyed in a single day in one location trying to breakthrough due to anti-tank guns and mines.
The reason why successful armored assaults doesn't work as spectacularly today as back in ww2 is simply due to the lack of creative tactics by either Russian or Ukrainian commanders.
For an example, during ww2, the Germans would always send the infantry first to hinder the front or destroy AT guns and take territory where then large armored formations would exploit the chaos created by the infantry and crush the enemy's front, which leads to breakthroughs.
Today, what we see both Russia and Ukraine doing is that instead of sending infantry first, they would simply send the armor in first without hindering the enemy's front with the hope that armor would force enemy infantry to retreat.
If Russia wants to launch a successful armored assault, 3 things would have to be done.
1. pre-designated every location of enemy artillery guns, the day of the offensive starts means enemy artillery should be destroyed or suppressed, this would be a huge advantage to attacking armor. Destroying enemy artillery should be top priority.
2. When first launching the offensive, instead of destroying the first line of defense, Russian artillery/MLRS should destroy the SECOND line of defense. Destroying the second line of defense is much more effective then destroying the first because the second line of defense is where the enemy has its reinforcements and ATGM positions. This would leave the first defense line isolated where fast-moving Russian DRGs can pop up from behind the first line of defense and destroy retreating enemy units. It could also prevent the enemy from launching counter-attacks.
3. To destroy the first line of defense when launching an offensive, Russia would have to employ cheap and creative tactics in order to reduce losses. A good example would be large amounts of fast-moving, unmanned kamikaze cars and trucks. Russia could bring tons of Lada cars or pickup trucks where they can fill it with deadly explosives such as vacuum bombs, sending waves of these vehicles towards the enemy's first line of defenses would not only obliterate it, but also cause chaos within the ranks of defending troops. Immediately after, Russian tanks and infantry should start moving towards them where accurate tank shelling would leave the surviving defenders confused and force them to retreat which then they will run into Russian DRGs behind them. An important option for an armored assault is to deploy lots of smoke grenades and shells, which I barely see from any armored assault. This should make the disorganized enemy even more blind.
With the combination coordination of destroying pre-designated enemy artillery, destroying the second line of defenses, and destroying the first line of defenses with cheap kamikaze cars and coordinated infantry + armored assault would almost certainly mean 100% success within a day or two. If the enemy has a third line of defenses, which is likely the weakest one, Russian firepower could switch its focus there where it could be demolished but will still inflict losses on advancing Russian columns due to having been alerted unlike the first or second defense lines. After crossing into the enemy's rear, fast-moving vehicles like MRAPS or simply armored cars could start occupying lots of territory and encircle the enemy in Avdiivka. Speed is key to success.
3 important bonuses to also launching a successful breakthrough would be
1. Assuming the enemy has minefields, it is incredibly important to have lots of thermal drones coordinating with the armor to avoid any spotted mines ahead, thermal drones can absolutely detect minefields since the majority of the enemy's mines are not even dug in but rather remotely mined and in the open. One way to clear a path is to send unmanned mine-resistant vehicles to clear paths through mines, it is also important to have tanks to be equipped with mine-plowers.
2. EW systems either ground or helicopters which should significantly reduce losses from being harassed from FPV drones but also can blind enemy since they cannot use their drones. 3. Important to take the time to build cages, including cope cages, around tanks and armored vehicles to prevent being harassed from drones but also increase the survivability of these vehicles with infantry inside.
@@eliasziad7864
1.They are sending armor ahead, because the combat is taking place 20-30km away
How the FUCK are you supposed to have infantry walking 30km? This is half an hour for a tank to cover
30km btw is what roman soldiers walking in a day would cover
And the Javelin missile? That weighs 50lbs for 1 shot, not including water, rations etc.. The Russian Kornet? 65 lbs for the 5km version oh yeah and the stand is not included
-----------------------------
Your suggestions literally don't work, because the artillery is hidden, they build covers out of wood, cover them in leaves, and then use these to cover their artillery.
They pop open briefly, fire a couple of shots before they put up the covers again
The AGTM crews are literally hiding in dugouts, google it if you aren't familiar dugouts are not trenches and they afford a much higher level of protection. You would have like 1 guy hiding in a dugout, with a AGTM and a couple of reloads
---------------------------------
So you are entering a mine field, people are popping out of the ground and launching AGTM's and then popping back into the ground , Artillery is firing at you for less than a minute before they are covered by leaves again
--------------------------------------
They did bomb and hit with MLRS everything that they thought was a fortification but thats not enough there are forests and cover still, there are still places where people can dig holes and hide in the ground
But now Russia is launching their offensive, and they are doing it by sending the armor, letting the armor take hits, to reveal the positions of Ukranian artillery and AGTM operators and trying to remove them with lancets and counter battery
And they are losing vehicles to minefields, AGTM's artillery. but thats the price of a offensive vs a entrenched enemy
The purpose of doing this is because the armor reduces casualties, you can see most of the kills are mobility kills the structure of the tank looks intact so the crew has a chance of escaping to safety
@@eliasziad7864 dugouts are no joke, theres a guy that literally made a youtube video digging one , we literally carpet bombed Okinawa, and vietnam. The soldiers were still hiding underground.
While you can remove them with like Tos-1, ground penetrating bombs, the problem is you are spending a expensive piece of ammo on a position that may or may not have a soldier in it.
One soldier could dig multiple of these especially if he had time, he could dig one each week. How many bombs are you going to waste hitting empty ones ?the name of vid is
Digging a War Trench
Hundreds of tanks rushed around Avdiivka. They were hit by massive artillery fire. What amazing events, and for some reason no one filmed them. Despite the fact that the fortress is lined with surveillance cameras. In each video we see two, three cars on the move. But there is a lot of damaged equipment there. How did it happen? To begin with, let's establish what we know. The battles around Avdiivka have been going on since 2014. During this time, there were countless attempts to capture Avdiivka by the forces of the DPR. And break through from it to Donetsk by the forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. As you understand, all these attempts were carried out on armored vehicles. How fortunate. Unfortunately for those who considered the damaged cars, those that can be restored were evacuated from near Avdiivka. Otherwise, it would be possible to count three hundred damaged cars. Was the Russian army going to immediately surround Avdiivka? Don't you think that wouldn't be smart? Imagine on the map what this environment would look like? A thin bridge between the territory controlled by Ukraine and the fortress. In which there are enough supplies so that it does not fall immediately. Such an environment would have been broken even without the retreat of the APU. Why would they retreat if this encirclement doesn't last long? What was the goal of the Russians? Approximately the one they have reached is to deepen the boiler, if possible, to reach the supply lines of Avdiivka. And most importantly, get to the point from which this fortress will be viewed. Why is this so important? Since the beginning of the operation, shelling of Donetsk by artillery systems has stopped near Avdiivka. There have been several Hymers attacks, but rockets are not shells. Some of the missiles are shot down, and the very attempt to fire missile systems is many times more expensive than artillery. If long-range artillery systems have survived in Avdiivka, an attempt to fire from them, in the current situation, is suicide. Further. As it was said. If on the territory of this fortress, the APU will constantly suffer heavy losses. There is no point in surrounding this place, or capturing it. If Avdiivka has become an ideological symbol of the current Ukraine. They will pay for this symbol with their army.
Nice...but hundrets tanks??
@@M88881 Since 2014, fighting has not subsided in this place. The APU did not abandon attempts to take Donetsk. And the shelling of residential areas of Donetsk forced the DPR to try to dislodge the AFU from Avdiivka. So this place turned into a fortress. By the Maidan, Ukraine had more tanks than anywhere else in Eastern Europe. Now they have to use NATO tanks. Everything they had is in places like Avdiivka.
Important points!
-Shelling of Donetzk has stoped
-artillery systems are exposed
DPR does not exist. Next.
@@bramposthumus9300 Is there no Donetsk Republic in your parallel dimension?
Only two days later and your video already hasn't aged well.
In one of your previous videos you conducted a poll on which Ukrainian city would fall next after Bakhmut, i am beginning to feel I was one of those who guessed rightly.
He also said that after Bakhmut fell, it would open the door for Russia to move on to the rest of Donetsk. Hmm, I wonder what happened.
@@TonyBustaroni this guy always does this, whenever he is wrong he just moves on to another topic. Typical.
@@Damian.99there was also the summer counter offensive the Russians had to worry about
@@Damian.99 "Hmm, I wonder what happened."
Many hundreds of additional pieces of military equipment was delievered from Nato and EU, and then there was the Ukraine Great Offensive... Which later, even the Russians openly noted was drastically less successful than expected, or hoped, as they had been aiming to destroy a lot more Ukraine forces during it.
@@TonyBustaroni "Bakhmut was supposed to be the " domino " to let the rest of the Donbass fall into Russian hands, meanwhile nothing happened"
LOTS of things happened. But for such a "domino effect" to happen, Russia would have had to accept taking LARGE casualties.
We also know NOW, that Russia had not finished training the mobilised personnel before the Ukraine offensive.
Amazing work as always. You csnt get analysis like this anywhere else.
I can usually tell how well Ukraine is doing by how much the tankie bots in the comments are coping.
they don't even argue they just say cope and run away.
@@jackjames7283 This is straight up a cope channel. Ukraine regained 1/3 of its territory and there was literally one video that basically gave credit to nato. There has been 20 videos on how Russia will surely hold Bahkmut over the past year. Alexander is of Serb ancestry which explains why he is such a Russian boot licker. Every Canadian should be ashamed to share a country with him.
Tx for your work, special kudos for keeping ppl posted ab the military history of WW2 - storm units is smth I've never heard of 👍💯
Thank you for this update, I have not been able to follow the daily map updates and didn't really understand what has happened so far in Avdiivka. You video has now brought me up to speed!
Following daily map updates is a waste of time unless the conflict just started.
Where do you follow daily map updates bro?
It’s simple, Russia has lost literally hundreds of armoured vehicles and thousands of men to capture a few yards 😂😂🤦🏻♂️
@@ayushbisht5510 Military Summary has two a day. He's a machine.
@@Bob10009
So 10% loses compared to Ukraine then. Oh well 😅
All week I watch Ukrainian sources, Russian sources, & Neutral sources and still I wait for History Legends to give me the accurate coverage of what's actually going on.
How do you know he is correct?
@@user-vy4xx2qp3d Because the truth lies somewhere in the middle, and he doesn't try hard to convince me of a side winning, just a story of the war as it is.
@@nm-zl4wn His literal last words of the video is "Avdiivka will fall". He is definitely trying to convince you russia is winning. He is a pro russia shill, take his words with a grain of salt.
hes more pro russia than neutral
@sndx2 do you have evidence that he is biased toward Russia?
Media: Russia ran out of weapons 18 months ago. But they are doing 5 hours nonstop strike 😂😂😂
But people still gonna say Ukraine is winning 😂😭😂
great analysis as usual. Keep up the good work!
Your videos and analysis are in a league of their own. Such an informed analytical synthesis. Tk you very very much.
Hello HistoryLegends! Thank you for your reporting. You had me in stitches when you were talking about the 'coke' plant. Keep safe. 👍❤
this is how a 5 year old would display a war.
Great stuff as always. Thanks for the updates. Peace and love
Thank you for always keeping us updated. Your research and context blend well
Thank you very much for the video, I lost the track of the conflict due the Palestina conflict, you cleared everything so nicely I understand now what happened in avdeevka
You see...people don't like when we talk about Advinka...guys, it is a Bakhmut 2.0, and you might accept that. Now, if the Ukranians learn someyhing about that loss, we will see soon.
Awesome show. You have a great way of presenting the current battlefield events.
I wish u would put out daily videos but I understand that amount of work u must put into these.
If you want daily videos, refer to Military summary, Weeb Nation or Theti mapping.
This channel is especially valuable because it does NOT give disjointed updates of irrelevant details but tells a story in context.
Again amazing video! Its the type of videos where I never want it to finish lol
Thanks for the detailed information
i saw some ridicoulose claims from Ukranian side xD ... claiming Russians lost 3500 men per Day and 75 Tanks + Armored vihicles xDDDDD
From my experience with Russian vehicles, Those tank wrecks will be taken to the Nizhny Tagil and given a new life, Some of those "wrecks" or "Destroyed" vehicles look pretty OK and only abandoned. Unlike the AFU the Russians can and will repair their tank husks they have spare parts, recovery vehicle scooper teams and field mechanics.
Oddly it's probably not likely as despite claims of superior Russian technology it has come to light that even recently Russia has purchased western machine tools and CNC for making vehicle cranks etc , including the military bureau doing the same. Funnily it came to light when they called for workers to build tanks and it was there in the background. If machine tools need to be western , it's unlikely more technological intense components such as processors can be made very quickly. Should anyone want to call cope I can supply the Russian recruitment videos from recently and the purchase orders made thru a Swiss third party
@@damonburroughs5283 I was talking about field repair and such maintenance that's much more easier with Russian vehicles than on For Instance a Challenger II.
@@damonburroughs5283 Вы слабо понимаете как устроена экономика России. Не обижайтесь. ВПК отдельно, коммерческие фирмы отдельно.
@@damonburroughs5283 When someone hires new workers to their company, it means that they want to increase their production volumes. However, it is impossible to increase production volumes without increasing the increase in production capacity. Therefore, Russians are buying new machines and equipment for this. It's logical!
@@ouner-699 point is it's western CNC machinery which suggests they do not have the superior technology that many claim. Think you missed the point. If they had superior tech, they would be using Russian machinery would they not ? After all they claim they are self sufficient
18:19 to 18:46, there is a pause in the video.
YO HISTORY LEGENDS
The sound cuts out from 18:17 to 18:48 when you were describing the Russian movements into the fortified town...
That is the BS blocker 😂
Проделки украинских хакеров))
The author thinks wrong. Firstly, it is difficult to confirm the ownership of all armored vehicles, Ukrainian resources always lie very much and exaggerate very much in almost everything, I notice this almost every day for almost 2 years. I am sure that at least a third of these armored vehicles belonged to the Ukrainian side, because they somehow had to defend themselves during these 1.5 years in this area and restrain a rapid offensive. The author also says that the operation in the north failed, it cannot fail, because such operations are always complex and the north is only one small part of the entire operation, in parallel with the actions on the ground, there are a lot of drones, tactical aircraft and missile systems that reveal the positions of the Ukrainians in the rear. Artillery is being destroyed, logistics is being destroyed.
The Russians have taken strategic heights or the heights are in the gray zone, which already means success for them. Almost always and in all areas, the Russians push the enemy back by 5 km, and then strengthen their positions by 2.5 km, turning the remaining 2.5 km into a gray zone. This tactic can be traced in all directions and it makes sense. The losses are large, but the operation is going according to plan. This area has been fortified for 8 years and this is not the boundless expanse of Zaporozhye, there are very precise and verified fire maps up to a meter. Even with this, Ukrainians are losing their advantage so quickly...
A lot of these armored vehicles are old, that is correct
Most of the recent ones are mobility kills meant to draw out defenders, there are numerous videos of artillery kills by the Russians who are popping them after they are drawn out by tanks
The successful advance means that the Russians drew them out of hiding with tanks, and they were downed by suicide drones /counter battery/ lancets.
cope
Cope
«Харьков слышит гул родных орудий.
Гул всё громче. Звук разрыва сух.
Превратились в слух дома и люди, и деревья превратились в слух»
Дайте только время, нам день простоять, да ночь продержаться
Подписан на Оккоя, уважаемо
🤡 🤡 🤡 🤡 🤡
Comrade Chapaev is telling the truth.
@@jaynikk758 я в курсе, что ты клоун, я понял это еще по первому смайлику, но зачем остальные?
@@dnik1260 Малка, пион, гиацинт, гвоздика, град, смерть, солнцепек и прочие;)
Невероятно сколько здесь было сломано лопат. Не думал, что это такой защищенный участок. Спасибо за анализ ❤
Никогда западная пропаганда от этого мема не отмоется 😅
Думать надо было прежде чем одну сторону называть пидо.. киборгами а другую голодранцами с лопатами, ибо если победят вторые то либо пидорги какие то барахлящие либо лопаты самое сильное оружие во вселенной
Татарский сразу по взятии Мариуполя сказал ,что Авдеевку будет взять гораздо труднее
Great work thank you
Excellent analysis. This war is brutal!!
Russian and Ukrainian high command have one thing in common: Their disregard for the lives of Russian soldiers.
A war not brutal doesn't exist ... but whatever.
TBH a lot of those losses seems not to be destruction but damage, which will probably be sent to the rear after the offensive to repair and be brought back to the front
Disabled armored vehicle rarely get recovered unless the front shift fast. Chances are they would be finished with drones grenade a few days later.
Like the russians ever recover equipment or even their men, they dont care. COPE
Russians rarely get to bring damaged vehicles for repairs. It's too much work to bring them back and they have a lot of old junk laying around accross Russia that needs repairs anyways.
@@sk-sm9sh i recently saw a returning train with damaged bmd so i think they do recover
Thise T90 lost close to the frontlines are not going to be recovered
A very impressive analysis of the battle for Avdiivka. Thank you very much. Keep up the great work.
Like always thank you for your reporting and clarification on the situation.
Thank you @historylegends for great insights and clear understanding of current affairs on the battle field. Much appreciated!
Kap
Yes, clear as mud!!!
@@freemanreed5228either you're a Russian bootlicker butthurt he's talking about heavy losses or Ukrainian bootlicker butthurt he's talking about Russia advancing
All this points out that demining equipment is often rare, under appreciated and valuable 17:47
Am i the only one with the audio cut out from 18:16 to 18:50?
Boy they really stormed Adivka right!
Yep, they did.
@@cleoarchwhiza9006 Yup 3 months later.
Awesome vid once again man. Totally need those tips to touch.
Great work as always 👍
As always, amazing video!!!!
I really enjoy your perspective and analysis.
and the other news outlets are only focusing on Russian casualties, not the overall picture
Good analysis
Keep it up
I have the impression that regardless of the country, current technology favors the defender in a similar way to the First World War and that, like in this one, only advances are made on a broad and short-range front.
after 18:16, there are about 30 seconds of missing audio. otherwise very informative, thanks.
On the plus side, apparently the Ukrainian artillery shelling within the dpr city has slowly decreased
You mean the lying Russian propaganda has slowly decreased?
Love that line:" Welcome to history legends." Absolute brilliance. 👍
Headquarters
@@krevetka9744 ,"and welcome to headquarters "😁😁😁
Great analysis as always Alex.
I always appreciate the Headquarter Reports🙌🏽
What is everyone thinking now that OpenAI put up the *TKP33X* for everyone? Was rumored for a while but I didnt think they would rly do so
What is this?
@@KongoMuller69 It’s called lazy 💩 marketing. The company is too poor to invest in real advertising so they spam youtube comment threads not realizing it makes their crappy wannabe ai product more repulsive.
paid by each post...spend wisely
Excellente vidéo bien détaillée et illustrée avec humour aussi, komdab. Continuez ainsi.
Your analysis is on point. 👍
You're One of the best war analyst.. I have ever seen
The video cuts out at 18:16 to 18:49, something must have gone wrong in the production of the video.
"Coke plant must be defended at all costs!!" Volodymyr Zelenskyy 😂😂😂
Sounds goes off between 18:18 and 18:49
Were you discussing top secret things? Audio went out 18:18-18:49
I know those news are very recent, but there's a couple of "game changers" you didn't mention for this battle field: the new version of the "Flamethrower" TOS-1A upgraded from a 6km range (nearly point blank) to 10km (not so close), and the arrival of the R-37M credited to have downed 1 helicopter and 14 jets just over the last 3 days. From what "The Military Summary" reported, there is zero air support over Avdiivka any longer, and all attempts to send air support end up the same way, resulting in no Storm Shadow for the last 2 weeks.
Like in Bakhmut/Artiomiovsk, the Russian tactics seems to be "hey, look, we're attacking here!" to attract the Ukrainians to their meatgrinder and pretend to give them a chance to surrender: demilitarization at its highest level...
Also, it looks there was an actual "wave" of ATACMS against Lougansk and the airfield in Berdiansk, home of a squadron of KA-52. Since then, some info has leaked: out of the 21 ATACMS reportedly delivered, 18 were launched, supposedly to support an attack of the Ukraimian in Kherson, letting them cross the Dniepr after putting the Russian army in disarray. Out of these 18 missiles launched, 3 made their way close to destination (they don't have GPS). Because those ATACMS missiles have fragmentation heads (according to the US), they did minimal damage to the site (up to 4 KA-52 damaged, none destroyed) and the attack had to be cancelled. On that Kherson front, TASS reports sunk boats several times every day and all the videos show the Ukrinian foothold on the "Russian side" is shelled permanently by pretty much everything the Russians have, starting with FAB500 and TOS-1A.
Bs
Yes, the author thinks too narrowly, such operations are very large and complex and are designed in waves and for months ahead. This lightning attack in the north of Avdiivka was not aimed at the goal = result, it is only a small cog in the huge plan in which the Ukrainian side showed the location of its artillery, after which the lancets made "Brrrrrrr". Not to mention everything else....
It also forced them to pull together troops, introduce reserves, logistics, not to mention the planes and helicopters shot down over the past week.
It's a very huge game and the ball is on the Russian side now...
Except this isn't true and when you actually research that in no way shape or form did russia destroy 14 ukraine aircraft and instead russia managed to lose over 15 helicopters instead lol
why do you support putin war to build a new empire with lies and twisted facts? your claims are blatantly false and easy to check
@@saahilichigo524 Nope, I verified the info Regis.... said and I used various sources, I don't use bs sources. A couple of discrepancies with him, according with my various sources 13 Ukraine aircraft destroyed, confirmed, and one made it back lightly damaged, unconfirmed. In regards Russian helicopters 5 damaged, one of them requires extensive repair, the other 4 damaged but reparable in roughly a month worth of work, confirmed. TOS-1A (aka TOS-2) decimating Ukraine troops, this was unexpected by Ukros. The R-37MBB (not sure what the MBB initials mean). The colossal disappointment, ATACMS, the problem is that they use the same functionality and navigation as with HIMARS for which Russians already have found the way to neutralize, via a software upgrade.
there was some technical hickup around 18:20 . There was a strategically important bridge destroyed on the Russian front side by saboteurs - didn't this play a role in the northern flank having issues?
2:45 @HistoryLegends You counted rotated troops as permanent troops. …Again.😅
I have to salute you for the same level of creativity as the Russian Headquarter for that.
Always a good day, when History Legends uploads
Can i borrow $20?
you won't return it@@user-vy4xx2qp3d
@@user-vy4xx2qp3d Zelensky is that you?
Did anyone else have experienced audio loss and video freeze starting 18:18
Yes