Ray Dalio on inflation, the US-China standoff, his new book. and why nations succeed and fail
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- Опубликовано: 27 авг 2024
- #RayDalio #influencers #USChina #billionaire
In this episode of Influencers, Andy sits down with investor and entrepreneur Ray Dalio to discuss his new book on "Why Nations Succeed and Fail".
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He is a billionaire and seems to be more humble than most people I know. A person to look up to.
He is correct. Both parties are going extreme. They need to make peace with each other and meet at the middle.
The USA will separate into 2 or 3 countries before they will meet in the middle.
If that doesnt happen, i predict the complete colaspe of the democratic party after the 2024 election. This is on top of the beat down they will receive this november.
The democratic party will be neutered. If, IF, somehow, the democrats win this november, than i revert to my first statement.
A civil war will ensue and the complete collaspe of fiat currency.
Crypto will be more useless than ever before.
Anybody feel like Dalio kind of called out the interviewer who wanted to make this a polarized political interview, by comparing Warren and Trump? Dalio responded with saying the media is not interested in facts but pandering to those who want to win a fight.
sheesh that was a good quote
Dalio spanked that low iq interviewer!
100%, the interviewer himself is part of the polarization problem. The interviewer likes to say "facts" when the media spent a whole year calling the lab leak a conspiracy, only for them to reverse their stance later. The media blatantly lies and gets upset when ppl lose trust in them. You can't lie to ppl and expect them to still trust you.
@@matthewpourroy1342 Don't forget Russiagate
The host claimed to “not want to go down that rabbit hole,” but he’s the one who dug the hole! 🤦🏾♂️
I believe that the inflation is already priced in the market since the end of last year. These manipulators are always 2 steps ahead of everybody because they are market makers. I hope I’m wrong and they won’t keep dumping it on retail investors as always. i feel those who hold the longest will profit the most my two cents though, I hold good companies Apple, Tesla and others. Credits to my adviser, Rita Wildrin Mora, It has been a year and half of steady growth
I like to play the long term game with well diversified funds
I did read about Rita Wildrin Mora on the web., quite an interesting lady with an amazing track record
I am not going to panic. I am going to sit back and observe how this all plays out, adding more a little at a time.
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Jesus Christ. Those stocks you listed are priced to perfection, unless you stick around for 10 years there is nothing to be optimistic about. Tesla is a joke.
Every financial goal requires patience, dedication and consistent spirit knowing that investment is currently the most lucrative business in the world, both NFT, real estate and Crypto shares are really positively changing people's lives.
I'm thinking of investing in the crypto market but taking my time to figure out how the whole thing works.
Investing in crypto is very volatile and risky which is why most successful investors trade with professional brokers
The real risk in the Crypto market is the risk of not investing, not the risk of short term price volatility.
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Andy "sewer" Serwer unironically proves Ray's exact point that journalists nowadays so often confuse actual journalism with opinion pieces.
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@@dalilaohb86
Te
Le
Gr
Am
“I don’t understand why that’s a question “ lmaoooo served em
Quote 1.Earn more money than is spent 2.Treat each other well
Appreciate Ray Dalio's perspective. He lets the numbers and facts speak for themselves and trusts you to come to your own conclusions.
I was enjoying it until the interviewer showed they are not a journalist but a stenographer for the Democratic Party. Too bad.
Embarrassing performance by the interviewer. Yahoo Finance is a total joke by all means.
Wow the real Casgains Academy LOOL please make a video on this Cold War 2.0 Electric Boogaloo
21:58
"Bridgewater invests in China as do many other funds and companies that do business with THAT COUNTRY. But you and others have drawn criticism for I guess profiting off the rise of the country challenging the United States and at the same time acknowledging human rights violations committed by China. How do you respond to that Ray?"
Yea the interviewer is not humble at all.
The interviewer indirectly validates Dalio’s thesis with his questions without even realizing it.
The interviewer fails to realize many things in this segment.
He did not interrupt and clarified after, is that a crime?
Dalio is prophetic. Much respect to dalio and he was clearer in this video... I learned a lot thank you.
12:03 agreed. History repeat itself.
15:05 Politics + Media + Emotion = more polarization
If history repeats Ray should at least give his new book to the poor and help the U S economy by helping stimulus but no he rather complain. If history repeats who cares but Ray is still a Billionaire,
This man is a legend
This interviewer was too simplistic to interview a man like Dalio
I am looking forward to the day altcoins are no longer affected by bitcoin price fluctuations.
I think this will happen, a big bitcoin crash will always likely affect altcoins, but they should not be affect by minor bitcoin moves, back in the days we have all been trading altcoins against bitcoin, nowadays most traders i know trade USDT.
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Always a pleasure listening to Dalio. Very fair and unbiased in regards to American politics even though he is a big money institutional guy in the spotlight. That cannot be said for most of them. Most have an agenda, follow the status quo and outright lie
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Many people don't agree with Dalio because Dalio throws out cruel realities that are difficult to swallow
Because he is right
Already you were swallowed the cruel realities..
Ray is awesome and an honest man !
12:53 Thank you for pushing back on that stupid question Ray!
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I agree with everything Dalio says in this interview. Dude is just brilliant.
There is no free lunch and entitlement in this world. If you want to stay No.1, you have to keep working hard for it. You are not automatically entitled to it. And printing money like a mad man is not working hard.
There’s no harder working people than in the United States. The Chinese people are enslaved by a transnational criminal organization. United States will always be number one. The Chinese people are doing what they’re told because they’re scared to do anything else for fear of death. Xi Ping may be looking strong, but is really weak, Because the people aren’t doing what they want, they are doing what they are told. Communism is weakness.
@@tonyv7109 Not really. The US has been living off reserve currency for so long, wait until they really have to work. Half the snowflakes will have a nervous breakdown, the other half will die from “exhaustion”.
"what should we do about the rise of China" What? How is that a problem for the US? What kind of mindset does the US has to think that way? "My neighbor is doing better than me, what should I do about that" fix yourself perhaps?
@@tonyv7109 no harder working people? I though people in the US don't want to work now?
25:41 I think "steel manning" is a good technique to understand each other better.
Dalio- we are dangerously close to the working class replacing the US gov. We cannot tolerate more financial or political stressors down here. This is a warning flag.
Historically China is a powerhouse, if we want to compete we should get our house in order. One look at the Democrats and one falls into depression.
Silicon Valley sold us out gave them the store for cheap workers.
My advice would be to make peace with China, stop the aggression, stop humiliating them, and leave them be.
so gives up being a sole hegemony ??? NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO !!!!
Good idea, make peace with the genocide they're balls deep in. That's one clean set of morals you have there, you squid.
"what should we do about the rise of China" What? How is that a problem for the US? What kind of mindset does the US has to think that way? "My neighbor is doing better than me, what should I do about that" fix yourself perhaps?
@@brianminsk8 proof? Like the proof US have on Iraqi WMD? The US intelligence can identify bin laden, but cannot get one video of a genocide? and you just believe that?
This would have been one of the most insightful and enlightening video I have ever come across on RUclips. Mr Dalio is looking at the overall picture for the world, but mainly America and China.
His views on US's political scene is exactly what I had been thinking...An increasingly polarizing and diverging camps. America claims to be the best democracy of the world, but it is now becoming a free-for-all battle ground. Free speech enabled mindless people to say, you guess it, stupid things, and they are protected by law !
Out of this long interview, Mr. Dalio's opinions on China-US relationship interests me the most. Near the end of this interview, he mentioned the truth which I have often expressed...America shouldn't spend so much time criticizing and worrying about a rising China. The most practical thing and sensible thing for America to do is to concentrate on it sown internal affairs. I have expressed on RUclips my take on US/China race. I compare it to a marathon race. Two serious contenders for the title are doing their best to take it off the hand of the other. Coaches often tell their charges that "You concentrate on what you have done in your training. You don't worry about what the other guys are doing."
America is finding itself being left behind further and further. It panicked. But its problems are deep down. These problems were allowed to fester for the decades while it still believed that it is the best and the #1 of all times. it got ambitious and went to wars, many of them in fact. None of them worth writing home about. While fighting all these losing wars, its own affairs back home are getting less and less attention. America might be the greatest, but honestly it couldn't successfully prosecute wars and economy at the same time.
A declining America finds itself in trouble back home. So what did it do? It looks for someone to bitch and moan about, and China is the perfect punching bag for US. The bitching, moaning ans smearing won't help America, but at least it helps to divert Americans' attentions from the politicians' failures.
Concentrate on your own race, America. You have more problems back home than you care to know.
It’s hardly a fair race when you have politicians and big businesses selling out America.
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@@valdencorr2861 Thanks, but no thanks. US Greenback only please. I want the same treatments you get. I believe that the CIA pays handsomely, much better than the CCP. By the way, may I ask why is your response so lame? In fact, it is hardly a response at all. It borders on being childish and witless. You need to try a bit harder to justify the generous payment you get from the CIA.
The question he asked about investing in China does raise an interesting point. When does a country's actions or policies cross a line such that you can't in good conscience invest there? Maybe it's something everyone has to answer according to their own moral compass.
*Ray:* Explains the philosophy of how the world has worked, is working and will work in the future
*Interviewer:* WhAt Do YoU tHiNk Of InFlAtIoN?
Dalio equating Warren and Trump is comical, though overall I agree with the broader strokes.
This was very-well explained in his "How the Economic Machine Works". I guess it's just another one of those.
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I don’t like the way the interviewer conducted this interview.
Ray was great the host was horrible. He can’t ask questions and then listen to answers. He was stuck on getting his version of truth staked verses even understanding Rays response. Classic! Dalio was simply comparing current events to historical events in his book.
What are you talking about? He is one of the better hosts. Not once did he interrupt. Are you mad that he clarified things?
He doesn't understand what Ray is talking about
@ Jason Reese Yup. Serwer was just making another sausage link.
Both China and US have not done well in handling this transition period. China did not need to flex so damn hard, they could have kept quietly growing through their economy. They really kind of played their hand too early, unless there were other factors we don’t know about forcing them to act quickly. Also, ending term limits is going to make the democratic world nervous no matter what. They were doing great just chugging along. The US reaction was also pretty immature. The way they dealt with Huawei hurts everyone because they made Americans stupider by believing China was going to spy on them through their phones despite the fact that there was zero evidence and that every other smart phone in America is made in China anyway so why aren’t we worried about those? Exposure to Chinese tech would have been good for competition in the long run for the US economy because young people using Chinese tech would be inspired to develop better tech in the US. I got to play with some Huawei phones years ago while in Asia and their cameras were way better than even the current iphones. If they just steal tech, why would their stuff be better? That makes no sense.
Expose too early? Lol 😂. Elites on both side know clearly the strength of each other. Only the sheep mass are ignorant and instilled fear of other side when necessary.
You are right in everything you said except questioning why China had to flex so hard. China was quietly growing while US WAS fighting wars all over the world. Then after the war on terrorism, it is provoking China with Xinjiang, Tibet, Hong Kong and Taiwan, all touching on sovereignty. If an intruder tries to enter your house several times to mess it, wouldn't you flex your muscles?
What you don't know about?.. I moved from California to China some 20 years ago and I can tell a few things people don't know about. First the US has its empire formulae to exercise hegemonic strategies on third world countries, Latin America for banana, Venezuela Brazil Indonesia for oil mines plantations. They overthrow legitimate government and install corrupted regimes. In the case of China, it was cheap labor they wanted, so Jimmy Carter pledged One China Policy in 1978. They began with applying the usual debt trap on China with World Bank loans, so China used the money to buy GE CAT Boeing Deere machines for factory infrastructures. China was very poor with 700 million under educated people so they had no choice. For 20 years they were quite corrupted too, which fits in the US playbook. Then China rebounded from 2002 when Hu became Chairman. The replaced incompetent men with capable men and started policing corruption. By 2008 Olympics some US businesses and politicians began to feel uncomfortable because China is slipping from control fast and making a lot of friends worldwide who all loved making money with China. China no longer belonged to the US. The story of Xinjiang began with oil. 1991 oil companies entered Azerbaijan for the Caspian oil fields to use money and know how to get oil. Then they discovered huge natural gas reserves in Kazakhstan and later Turkmenistan. Gas was a new thing and became a big prize in the early 2000s; in the US fracking went big time. In theory, if the US could find an excuse to call upon the UN troops in Afghanistan along for an intervention at the boarder of Xinjiang they could cut off China's access to Central Asia, then they could grab all the gas for themselves. So they played by the agency book, bribe Uighur officials to alter school textbooks, train Uighur separatists to incite unrests. 3 reported domestic terror attack in Xinjiang 2009-2014. Chinese police arrested the Uighur offenders and send them in re-education camp. The majority are not criminal cases but had thoughts poisoned, typical results of propaganda mind control. That was when some agency men came up with the idea of concentration camp. Anyhow their plan completely failed especially due to the fast growth of China's power in the last 10 years. No UN support or fighting China possible. Then they switched target to campaign for forced labor and took cotton for a consolation prize. Notice both oilmen and cotton men have their dens in Texas, evangelicals, white supremacists, gun wielding Republicans. They did pretty much similar playbook stuff to HK, Taiwan, Thailand, Myanmar, Ukraine, and a bit more to Syria. Look, the majority of American businesses have little to do with the godfathers. 5000 Starbucks in China, all high end decorated company owned, has plans opening one new shop every 15 hours, Tesla just complete phase 3 of Shanghai gigafactory supplying China, Europe, and Oceana. I would bet they hate the godfathers too for disrupting their businesses, same for the major businesses of the rest of the world. As they are cornered the godfather are reacting like a caged animal. With simple technical measures China ranks at the top for freedom, human rights, even democracy whereas the US is somewhere at the bottom. I do business with European companies. They don't think Switzerland or Germany outrank China in these categories, or perhaps a tie. The Scandinavian countries rank higher because they have a leisure lifestyle. The most important issue is climate change. The world needs to be equipped with green techs that are not even invented and for now we can only pin our best hopes in China.
@@michael511128 wow, thanks for the response, that adds a lot more perspective
@@michael511128 hold up friend, "China ranks at the top for freedom, human rights, even democracy ", what have you been smoking dude. I am not supporting the US but I am mostly disagree of China being a civil country, let alone free. for god sake, people in China cant even access google and the brain washing you have mentioned did not stop at the Uighur people but the whole good damn country. I am sure your perspective is "real" but you are not born and raised in this place because if you were, you would not even be allowed to surf the internet and leave a comment like you did 4 days ago
Piece of good advice work hard, work smart, increase productivity, increase efficiency, increase job opportunities.
Less ideological and more facts and understanding.
Dalio is right
Someone buy his book already
Great Ray Dalio. Legend and share his valuable insight. Also yahoo the internet company of many people childhood good memories. The first music and introduction is uplifting and great
Thank you Ray!
I like it that you challenged him. Please do it more.
This guy is a real 'influencer'.
Your guest speaker pointing to polarization makes a good point. But the world is much more polarized much now than it was in the past. A well developed country like he pointed out about the two parties potential collision is what leads it into a farther decline or worse downgrade than a foreign influence
I like Greg and Ray most.
Great interview
Those who attack the evil that is within others instead themselves are become evil.
Excellent interview! Intelligent man.
Excellent interview ! My question is how does demographics affect China given that the population is aging more rapidly than the US and the decreasing population in China due to their former child number policy How will this influence future productivity in China Thank you
Ray is an informed observer and student of history and leaves his emotions out of the analysis. As he says he's a "mechanic" not an "ideologue". America must arrest its polarization before it's too late. It needs heavy doses of calm, reasonableness and moderation.
Dalio is scaring the hell out me.
We have to issue the currency and back the currency with productivity, It's not rocket science. It will happen. The people around the globe have to get together and not bow to any political leader. Unity is power. Productivity brings peace.
Invest in Brazil ! 😉
Stocks are at a great discount. Forget Red China....👀
Emerging markets are a great place to be
Vale value visions Dalio holds loads of vwo which has a very large position in Vale so Dalio has already invested in Brazil 🇧🇷. You are quite correct.
Wonder what would happen if he spoke to Jeff snider and Dr. Lacy hunt?
Terrible interviewer! Good job Ray Dalio is a good communicator!
If we don't know history, we tend to repeat it!!!
"the bottom 60% isn't feeling prosperity". More like bottom 90%
This interviewer is a weak weasel. I can see it in his facial expressions and his eyes. I can see the blackness of his heart. It’s unfortunate that we’ve empowered these weak men in our society. As the old adage says. Weak men make bad times.
Interviewer not too biased is he? Had to stop listening when the interviewer started trying to direct Dalio with his biased questions.
16:00 to 17:00 - wow, to that answer the guy says “good” and smiles??? Boy was that weird!
Is it me or the interviewer is reading a script rather than active listening?
Usually how these go. A real conversation might get him in trouble with the CCP.
Surprised the interviewer isn’t wearing a mask but I guess it’s harder for him to smell his own fart with one on
What Dailo's saying about the US is just a synthesis of the obvious.
He totally sidesteps the human rights issue on China. Nor does he address the quite obvious reality that the number of clients he has are so few (around 100?) yet the value of his fund so colossal, he HAS to be a 1% er. But there's no responsibility being taken for that position.
His language is odd: he doesn't finish sentences and trails off, starts another, trails off.
However his thesis is cogent and largely irrefutable. He failed to mention the reality that the Supreme Court is now packed with ultra conservatives. This is a huge threat to social cohesion. So far, the Supreme Court has not paid the piper with Trump. Rather, they endorsed the last election results. The situations before the Supreme Court and the undermining of authority and unrest will be greatly tested, for example as inflation runs more rampant people will start moving outside the law.
His assumption that the market is acting inside the law is laughable.
He ignores that China despite being so productive, has stolen a lot of IP. A LOT. He totally misses the colossal challenge and opportunity presented by the shift from the carbon economy. It gives the US and other nations a huge chance to rebuild and it must be taken. To miss this variable is a huge oversight.
The classical role of government is to tax away economic rents and use it to lower the cost of production. This is done through subsidies for such things as public infrastructure, education, and health care, not raising the cost of living and therefore the cost of labor, as with monopolistic privatization.
The problem with economics as it is understood in America, is that there is no distinction between wealth production and wealth extraction. Production of goods and services speaks for itself, but monopolies and the banks (FIRE, finance, insurance, and real estate) extract what is called economic rent. The free market Adam Smith talked about is free FROM economic rent, not free FOR economic rent.
This is Industrial Capitalism (China) as opposed to Financial Capitalism (USA), and it is what the conflict is really all about.
American democracy is entirely theatrical with the majority having no more effect on the rentier oligarchy than the Chinese majority on the Communist Party of China.
If the US was a democracy, we would have a decent minimum wage, public health care, free education, parental leave, and gun control, to name a few, all by popular demand.
Best investments this week : AVAX , LUNA ,SAND and MANA .
cash is trash, diversification.. right!
The commment about the middle makes sense. As a centrist I have no party, I dont like democrats and I dont like republicans
who said cash is an investment??? it could be a commodity similar to bitcoin.
One of the few western elites that I still respect for speaking out objectively on sensitive issues.
The peaceful transition of power is not the principle. It is the result of free & fair elections that have integrity upon which the citizens can rely. About 1/3 of citizens don’t believe in ballot integrity as internal controls have been eroded over decades. This is how a country moves towards civil war. I hope election integrity can be restored instead of trying to gaslight 1/3 of the citizens and dismiss their concerns.
Thank you, what is the problem with the Host- this is not opinion from his mind, this was the expressions from research of Dalio, it is the measurement of economical related trends derived from political leadership at the national level, and this impact on society in general. The weak questions from our host, made this 50% waste of time...thank god, he wrote the book!
At 28'50'' the host asked the question: how can U.S avoid the cycle of civilization...it simply shows an underlying sense of superiority, or ignorant to history. If you deem the human civilization as a linear process, and still think the U.S system represents the climax and the end of human civilization, then I think you can never accept the cyclical perspective, and so you would not be able to ask the right question to get to the true problem, and you will always find it hard to reconcile with reality.
"Our expertise is in investments and economics." In other words, ethics have nothing to do with our decisions. Making money is our one and only goal. 🤢
Good points made however his attempt on giving the "interests of shareholders" in regards to China's Human Rights Record was pretty limp wristed.
This guy is Billionaires and still want to make more.. Just give your book to the poor this way you can leave a legacy when you past
if you want to raise your standard of living, do so by creating more income. You must be more productive. Wealthy folks do not owe you a standard of living to suit your fancy. Play the lottery.
Don’t forget China has “invested “ billions with Dalio. So how has that effected him.
Sad to see the state of our country.
The former USSR leaders and the current Chinese leaders are watching and they know they don’t need to do much. We will destroy within. There is little interest in reconciliation. Most are interested in proving their point only.
1/6/21 was a lot more destructive than 9/11/01 ever was.
They look similar
That interviewer is a dushbag with riding on the notion of medial propagated 'facts'. Just because government tries to force us to swallow their version of the 'truth', it doesnt mean we will uncritically do so. There are no real debates on climate, corona and what not. Its pretty much top-down and removal of all critics who have a far reach (because they are experts in their fields or prominent people). The fish stinks from its head ... and ass.
Ray seems pretty honest about this, thanks
☝️ Ray, Economy System is real reason of civil war in America 👀 🤝
Ray greatly supported China in the early days and probably had a strong hand in erroding the strength of the US through the shipping of all production to other countries and other issues. What good is all the money in the world when you sold out your country and continue to defend a genocidal and tyrannical government? It sounds like you are being paid off even still.
And now we know that it is about Ukraine, as for the stater...
Dalio: Managing 200 billion $ and wrote a 500 pages book
Me: WFH and can't write a Christmas Card
just tax the rich more based not on income but on money being borrowed .. 0-10M used spread + fed fund rate 10-100M increase by 2% on initial spread 100m to 1B 4% on initial plus spread more than 1B used 6% on initial plus spread. the low interest rates is creating the wealth gap.. just work on the spread of loan ... not tax on income..
Interviewer embarrassed himself.
Average Chinese IQ is 102. US is around 95. Do some math base on population. It’s not hard to understand why they can success Mars landing on one try. Land on far side of moon on one try.
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I trade with Mr Felix too, for a month now... I've made $9,000.
I really wanna go on long term... but too much bills.
*Most* *people* *think....* *Investing* *in* *crypto* *is* *all* *about* *buying* *coins* *and* *holding,* *till* *it* *rises,* 🙅 *come* *on* *it* *takes* *much* *analysis* *to* *be* *a* *successful* *crypto* *trader.*
*I've* *made* *$16,000* *in* *two* *weeks* *of* *trading* *with* *Felix*
Trading crypto now is really profitable, but trading without a professional is really risky. I'm a victim of that. I lost a total of $15,000 between january and marc, but I've recovered $7k with help from Mr. Felix Hartmann..
RESPECT to yahoo to ask tough questions to this FRAUD
I don't think the interviewer understand what Dalio talk about. Bad interview.
What poll asks participants if you’d want a Republican or Democrat dead? How is that poll widely distributed? I think ray is getting sloppy
LOL, try looking at Twitter sometimes.
So the markets flatten, politicians and the entire country feel waaay less rich, egos get set aside, democracy improves? Americans focus better on policy when everybody feels like a financial burden. 🤣
How is cash so bad, Buffet is sitting on 35% of it in his portfolio. He doesn't know his stuff I guess....
Who's name is on the note? George Washington. Give him his money back! He has his name written on it!
Interviewer trying to hard to seem intelligent… He’s constantly trying to win Dalio’s approval
Some hedge fund guy weeeeee I'm rich
China is no longer a good investment. Find another emerging market.
Ray gives crystal clear analysis of the woes of this country and where we’re at today. He also acknowledges that wealth disparity is forget ethical or moral it’s just plain bad for the overall economy and unsustainable. Who knew?? I guess it wasn’t such a good thing that Trump “made all you(billionaires and millionaires) much richer today.”