It's Not a Blockade, It's Customs

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  • Опубликовано: 17 июн 2024
  • A 2021 Chinese Coast Guard Law is being employed incrementally in the Taiwan Strait to test the resolve of Taiwan and their Allies. The 'Kinmen Model' is the inspection and expelling of shipping by any means necessary including the use of weapons in 'Marine Areas of Chinese Jurisdiction.'
    Further reading and analysis by experts (not me): www.csis.org
    Credit to Bonny Lin of CSIS and her entire staff for bringing light to this issue.
    I hope I did it justice in my 'layman explanation.'
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Комментарии • 478

  • @SubBrief
    @SubBrief  22 дня назад +47

    It Has Begun: Chinese Coast Guard has 'Rammed' and 'Towed' a Philippine supply ship away from the Spratly Islands injuring the BRP crew. www.voanews.com/a/china-philippines-at-odds-over-who-s-at-fault-in-ship-collision/7658620.html US Ambassador stated the incident happened at Second Thomas Shoal.
    June 20 2024: Chinese CG aggression continues to escalate near Philippines. Japanese flag vessels now involved, location unknown. x.com/TeamAFP/status/1803457306916692057
    🤖🚫:2 The International Water corridor between Taiwan and China exists and is open to all shipping regardless of who controls Taiwan.
    Any Coast Guard can operate away from home waters. US CG does it all the time. The issue is No Coast Guard can perform Customs inspections for port entry unless directed by the Port themselves. USCG is not performing Customs Inspections for port entry outside the United States unless directed by that homeport country.

    • @liran547
      @liran547 22 дня назад +1

      yes its international waters, but is it right for the US navy to pass through? it is a good faith act? do you carry guns walk around your neighbors just as you can?

    • @SubBrief
      @SubBrief  22 дня назад +25

      @@liran547 Peaceful passage of warships is legal. Also, have you ever been to Michigan? Everyone is armed.

    • @paperburn
      @paperburn 22 дня назад +1

      It is my understanding that until lives are lost or boats are seized, it hands off.

    • @Chiberia
      @Chiberia 21 день назад +4

      @@liran547 100% legal per international law. as long as you past directly through and do not make any aggressive actions, absolutely it's considered in good faith.

    • @quisqueyanguy120
      @quisqueyanguy120 21 день назад +1

      @@liran547 Navigating from point a to point b its legal under international law, even under national waters.

  • @jacobaubertin645
    @jacobaubertin645 22 дня назад +66

    "I don't make the rules sir, I just think them up and write them down." -China, probably. 2024

    • @prastagus3
      @prastagus3 21 день назад +3

      that's every nation especially US

    • @johnchin1456
      @johnchin1456 19 дней назад +1

      @jacobaubertin Just think up as many different genders and write them all down -USA 2024

  • @angel_cheon-sa
    @angel_cheon-sa 22 дня назад +141

    My prediction is that the Western powers will get on TV and say something like "I condemn in the strongest possible terms...."

    • @cbhlde
      @cbhlde 22 дня назад +10

      To be fair; they can't do more than posture. ;)

    • @jerseyshoredroneservices225
      @jerseyshoredroneservices225 22 дня назад +4

      Sad but true 😢

    • @fonkyman
      @fonkyman 22 дня назад

      @@cbhlde lol yeah right... they can do anything they decide to do.. when they want to start a war they just make up a reason...
      if they want to release 1000's of sea mines from submarines they could do it...

    • @redasylum
      @redasylum 22 дня назад +3

      Deeply concerned ....

    • @djolds1
      @djolds1 22 дня назад +13

      This is very 1930s. Appeasement until we can appease no more.

  • @mattwilliams3456
    @mattwilliams3456 22 дня назад +70

    China likes to make artificial islands, I think it’s time someone assists their ships into becoming artificial reefs.

    • @cutedogsgettingcuddles9862
      @cutedogsgettingcuddles9862 21 день назад +1

      "Unmanned hellscape" scheduled for 2027. China's behavior is just begging for another "100 years of feeling very embarrassed" (because the actual name gets censored here)

    • @chronicandironic8701
      @chronicandironic8701 21 день назад +2

      agreed

    • @AlvinYap510
      @AlvinYap510 21 день назад

      Come try

    • @mikefowler301
      @mikefowler301 21 день назад +3

      @@AlvinYap510 LOL tofu steel, already put a hole in yer hull by a light bump. ya might wanna rethink it, paper tiger!

    • @ZxZ239
      @ZxZ239 21 день назад

      yep, lets DO IT.

  • @stuartford5556
    @stuartford5556 20 дней назад +7

    Coast Guard has zero rights to interfere with shipping in international waters!

  • @jamesohara4295
    @jamesohara4295 22 дня назад +20

    It's Piracy on the high seas. Please respond appropriately.

    • @fatdoi003
      @fatdoi003 22 дня назад +1

      that's G7 you're talking about

    • @rh906
      @rh906 20 дней назад

      @@fatdoi003 aka International Politics (might makes right).

  • @WhiskyCardinalWes
    @WhiskyCardinalWes 22 дня назад +60

    It's my understanding that there are some seriously badly marked underwater obstacles around Taiwan. I hope the Chinese Coast Guard don't fall prey to those water hazards.

    • @Mike7O7O
      @Mike7O7O 22 дня назад +4

      Like the ambiguous underwater anomaly, hit by a certain US SSN/SBN recently?

    • @12time12
      @12time12 22 дня назад +6

      @@Mike7O7Othat was a seamount by the Connecticut. You must be confused because a Chinese sub went down due to one of their own traps.

    • @jonahhekmatyar
      @jonahhekmatyar 22 дня назад +2

      ​​@@Mike7O7OTaiwan straight is too shallow to hide submarines and has too many chinese sensors

    • @dne9394
      @dne9394 21 день назад

      @@jonahhekmatyarmanned subs, yes. Unmanned subs?🤷‍♂️🤷‍♂️🤷‍♂️😉😉

    • @prastagus3
      @prastagus3 21 день назад

      @@12time12 multiple refusal including from Taiwan about that "incident". Plus that British tabloid stated it happened in the Yellow Sea, not around Taiwan.

  • @djolds1
    @djolds1 22 дня назад +37

    "Stop quoting laws. We carry weapons!" - Pompey Magnus

    • @UtubeAW
      @UtubeAW 22 дня назад +5

      Pompey met a bad end

    • @falcor200
      @falcor200 21 день назад +2

      ​@@UtubeAWso will china

  • @Lee-zn7lj
    @Lee-zn7lj 22 дня назад +21

    And these aren't sea mines they're kinetic suggestions to not enter our waters - Taiwan probably

  • @user-tp6vt6ib4y
    @user-tp6vt6ib4y 22 дня назад +12

    I noticed that their Coast Guard ship didn't appear to have much compartmentalization. One small accident and it's on the bottom

    • @JoeOvercoat
      @JoeOvercoat 21 день назад +3

      China has traditionally considered individual assets as expendable, right down to their people. Building more (or faster/cheaper) with less compartmentalization is the way to go in that context.

    • @xixinan
      @xixinan 21 день назад +1

      WTF you talking about, all the modern ship have to be built in compartments when it’s made of steel. Otherwise it won’t float.

    • @YSKWatch
      @YSKWatch 19 дней назад +1

      notice? from the outside?

  • @greggweber9967
    @greggweber9967 22 дня назад +22

    9:00 Why did the word "Rhineland" pop into my mind? LoL

    • @comentedonakeyboard
      @comentedonakeyboard 22 дня назад +6

      The Sudetenland is part of chinese teritory since ancient times😂

    • @greggweber9967
      @greggweber9967 22 дня назад

      @@comentedonakeyboard Depending on when you take the snapshot picture of the map, although it is harder here than in the Levant, people can say that there's no stasis in borders. No status quo.

    • @Mike7O7O
      @Mike7O7O 22 дня назад

      @@comentedonakeyboard Which reminds me. Zionists have confirmed that China once ruled over the lands now called Israel, Lebanon and Jordan and Bn1.7 Chinese are entitled to return to their homeland....um....apparently.....next Thursday. By afternoon tea.

    • @comentedonakeyboard
      @comentedonakeyboard 21 день назад

      @@greggweber9967 Lybia is in North Africa not the Levante. And when exactly was Taiwan under the rule of the CCP?

    • @prastagus3
      @prastagus3 21 день назад

      @@comentedonakeyboard quick summary: Taiwan returned to China after WW2. China then had a Civil War that didn't end with any treaty which resulted two split governments, PRC and ROC.
      ROC used to represent China until 1972. PRC now represents China. Taiwan is part of modern China, no matter which splinter Chinese government has De Facto control over it.

  • @BluefootOnEire
    @BluefootOnEire 22 дня назад +21

    West Taiwan acting up again. Will you be doing an update about a Philippine sailor being "severely injured" and now an amphibious warship operating near the Philippines? Sino-Philippine tensions are ramping up

    • @prastagus3
      @prastagus3 21 день назад +2

      Big thumb of one PH Special forces was cut off when their ship was rammed.

  • @daynebrown1611
    @daynebrown1611 23 дня назад +28

    Thorough as always Aaron! Love your stuff!

    • @SubBrief
      @SubBrief  23 дня назад +3

      Much appreciated!

    • @ravenkk4816
      @ravenkk4816 23 дня назад +3

      @@SubBriefwe will find out how true RUclips videos and Wikipedia articles on PLA hypersonic missile can’t yet target ship. If this whole thing go up in smoke.

    • @christophermorris6386
      @christophermorris6386 22 дня назад

      ​@SubBrief we both know where this is going. American politics are playing to soft with a dangerous antagonistic super power. Like I said before it's Germany all over again. The need to nip this in the bud. A week or so of zero chinese product being allowed into the us or threaten to take away American business away from the country entirely. Go to India or another cou try with capacity to handle our business. Continuing to pay into thier hand will end in another world war.

  • @KR4FTW3RK
    @KR4FTW3RK 22 дня назад +29

    What y'all seem to be missing: There's this taiwanese company called TSMC. Biggest chip maker in the world. They make the chips for NVidia, Qualcomm, and many others. All the oh-so-hot AI-stuff is running on those chips. The west can not afford these shipments to be stopped. It'll be like the covid chip crisis all over again. This isn't some issue at the end of the world, this affects us very directly.

    • @jozefkovac6858
      @jozefkovac6858 22 дня назад +1

      With the difference that it will hardly go to pre-Covid state.

    • @ZappyOh
      @ZappyOh 22 дня назад +5

      Not a huge problem.
      Chips are valuable, small and light. Can be flown out.
      A lot of them probably already are.

    • @Full_Speed_Ahead
      @Full_Speed_Ahead 22 дня назад +4

      The machines to make them are far far more valuable than the chips. They say they can cut the machines off remotely but to think China can’t intercept that with a few well paid sympathizers is naive

    • @Mike7O7O
      @Mike7O7O 21 день назад +5

      Many of us weren't missing this. We filed it under 'stating the obvious'.
      What you describe is the reason why governments are encouraging chip makers to open plants where the users are located. EU, US etc
      Trust I wasn't telling y'all how to suck eggs! ;)

    • @Aendavenau
      @Aendavenau 21 день назад

      @@ZappyOh If the Taiwanese have trouble trading the entire Taiwanese economy will be affected and eventually the chip-production as well even if its possible to fly out the chips.
      Even if they maintain most of their production that means a severe reduction of the entire worlds high end chips. That will have huge effects.

  • @ClannerJake
    @ClannerJake 21 день назад +3

    looks like the world needs to do some "reef building" exercises out there.

  • @nekomakhea9440
    @nekomakhea9440 22 дня назад +28

    The Gigachad Western response would be to have the entire 7th Fleet do a Good Will port call in Taiwan, and dare the PRC 'customs' blockade to try to stop and inspect them.
    The cowards in power in the West are just going to send a strongly worded letter though.

    • @kevinc1200
      @kevinc1200 21 день назад +4

      There will absolutely be a stand off in that scenario and not one the 7th fleet wishes to be in given that it is in range of an enormous amount of Chinese missiles and aircraft.

    • @prastagus3
      @prastagus3 21 день назад +4

      7th fleet didn't do it in 1990s, what makes you think it can do that today?

    • @stanleyhuynh1659
      @stanleyhuynh1659 20 дней назад +2

      Be careful on your comments, if that went through. It means war!

    • @buckwheat2356
      @buckwheat2356 20 дней назад +3

      @@stanleyhuynh1659 This is youtube, you can't threaten people here for speaking their mind. Oh dear, I think my credit score went down...

    • @rh906
      @rh906 20 дней назад

      Even better, a Great White Fleet 2.0 that makes regular ports of calls to the Republic of China.

  • @statue191
    @statue191 21 день назад +6

    Let's see how committed the Chinese are once they run into a coalition convoy.

    • @xuansu9036
      @xuansu9036 19 дней назад +4

      let's see how committed coalition is by forming that convoy in the first place

    • @YSKWatch
      @YSKWatch 19 дней назад +3

      coalition convoy: we'll watch from far far away.

    • @johnchin1456
      @johnchin1456 19 дней назад +1

      U mean that coalition fleet that's hiding far from those houthi trawler boats?

  • @disco1974ever
    @disco1974ever 20 дней назад +3

    a) Neither China, Taiwan or USA are signatories of ICLS (Law of the Seas) so it does not apply to the Taiwan Straits.
    b) China is 100% crystal clear about the territory of its Maritime Jurisdiction. It doesn't have to accommodate other governments disputes in it's sovereign policy statements.

  • @DDDelgado
    @DDDelgado 12 дней назад

    I really like your seasoned style of logic to the situation. Thanks mate.

  • @Cragified
    @Cragified 21 день назад +3

    Can't wait until they try to do a inspection of a USN vessel or U.S. flagged merchant ship in the international waters.

  • @Fred_Bender
    @Fred_Bender 22 дня назад +8

    Thanks Aaron for the info .

  • @kf6bka
    @kf6bka 22 дня назад +4

    I couldn't agree more with your assessment however you missed a piece. China recently authorized the Coast Guard to detain ships and crews that enter Chinese waters for 60 days. So for countries who "don't think correctly" the Chinese can use this as leverage.

    • @SubBrief
      @SubBrief  21 день назад +2

      You are right. I didn’t read that.

  • @andrewp7179
    @andrewp7179 22 дня назад +2

    "Hutt hutt hutt....I like to draw"
    Love the commentary lol

    • @rh906
      @rh906 20 дней назад

      Sinosphere loves to dance during their dog and pony shows. China, Japan, Korea; they all do the exact thing.

  • @happyhaunter_5546
    @happyhaunter_5546 16 дней назад

    DDG 55 vet. I love you man. Thanks for being as much of a Navy nerd as I am. Very comforting watching your videos. Semper Fortis.

  • @Nick-bh5bk
    @Nick-bh5bk 22 дня назад +8

    More practice for a blockade and invasion.

  • @ronmaximilian6953
    @ronmaximilian6953 22 дня назад +7

    Things that keep me up at night. I suppose that Coast guard ships from the United States, Japan, the Philippines, and maybe a few other countries like Canada and Australia would conduct anti-piracy operations in the area or simply escort cargo vessels going to Taiwan. A determined International response would hopefully force the PRC away from this.
    On a related note, June is such a lovely time to visit Sarajevo

    • @shambalkaran9258
      @shambalkaran9258 22 дня назад +2

      How will they defend Taiwan when they can't defeat the Houtis

    • @xixinan
      @xixinan 21 день назад

      China coastguard currently have three times of ships and they are bigger and heavier than those three countries combined. And they are operating just few hundred kilometers away from their base. It’s obvious who can sustain operations longer.

    • @YSKWatch
      @YSKWatch 19 дней назад

      all (plenty) 1st generation of 052 (or 054, forgot) are given to the coastguard, many possibilities they still keep lots of things inside.

  • @hughmungus2760
    @hughmungus2760 17 дней назад

    I like how despite there not being any PLAN ships in the exercise, the ships used are Type054A and Type056A hulls which are used by the PLAN. They probably have facilities to accommodate most of their military weapons suites with a small amount of shipyard modifications.

  • @MrJansenenjansen
    @MrJansenenjansen 22 дня назад +6

    Good information but a scary story.😮

  • @karlbrundage7472
    @karlbrundage7472 19 дней назад +1

    Going back to the US Civil War, President Lincoln blundered when he declared that the southern ports were under "blockade". That implied vis a vis international law that the Southern States (The Confederate States of America) were a separate and sovereign country.
    He should have declared the southern ports "Closed", which means that the United States still considers those ports US sovereign territory, but that they were off-limits to foreign shipping.

  • @SeanHogan_frijole
    @SeanHogan_frijole 21 день назад +2

    A blockade will not go unchallenged, it’s that simple.

    • @trancepilot5962
      @trancepilot5962 12 дней назад

      Nothing will happen. The US has a leader with NO BALLS so nothing will be done.

  • @dilly818
    @dilly818 22 дня назад +16

    It’ll be interesting to see the US response to a maritime operation like this if/when it comes to fruition, given that they have geopolitical and economic interests in Taiwan. The results of the election will definitely effect said response

    • @michaelsilberg9059
      @michaelsilberg9059 22 дня назад +5

      I don't think either party is interested in allowing China to limit freedom of navigation in international shipping lanes.

    • @Daveyboy1066
      @Daveyboy1066 22 дня назад

      @@michaelsilberg9059 Yeah but they know Trump can simply be bought off like they did with him and TicTok!

    • @Archangelm127
      @Archangelm127 22 дня назад

      They will do absolutely nothing *until* and unless the CCP commits an act of war. Then they will relegate the PLAN into the past tense.

    • @12time12
      @12time12 22 дня назад

      I’m convinced Trump will throw Taiwan under the bus, he’s been saying very nice things about Xi since Trump had that meeting with Orban (who is also a big fan of xi). The Chinese bots have also switched over to anti-Biden rhetoric on Twitter.

  • @jimmywan87
    @jimmywan87 22 дня назад +1

    You should discuss about the recent spotting of Type 094 surfacing in the Taiwan straits

  • @matthewchapman2248
    @matthewchapman2248 15 дней назад +1

    $278,200,000,000 through the ports is an immense amount of gdp.
    Edit: I also noticed that the inspection team don't wear high visibility ppe. 😂

  • @Dasycottus
    @Dasycottus 19 дней назад +1

    N=1, but I'd be extremely interested in a deep dive into the so-called "Great Underwater Wall". Surface actions make the news... Subsea actions make history-even if we don't know it yet.

  • @sgt.grinch3299
    @sgt.grinch3299 22 дня назад +1

    Interesting.

  • @comentedonakeyboard
    @comentedonakeyboard 22 дня назад +6

    Blockade, with chinese characteristics.

    • @rh906
      @rh906 20 дней назад +1

      Great Power doing great power things even if it is really a faux Great Power.

  • @haydenrcarter
    @haydenrcarter 22 дня назад +17

    I understand the concern with the delay of shipping, but in my understanding of Maritime law as a Coast guard entity, they do have the ability to conduct "Right of Approach" & "Right of Visit" boardings. In the USCG if we ask a vessel to stop and they don't, we will advise we will compel compliance in accordance with International Law.
    Now, what I just said is super brief and not the whole process we go through to do that. Also, not a legal or boarding officer so don't quote me 😅

    • @jerseyshoredroneservices225
      @jerseyshoredroneservices225 22 дня назад

      There's a big difference between interdicting a ship here and there when you have evidence that it's up to something nefarious
      and
      Blockading a country to starve out millions of people.
      How well would the US tolerate Mexico interdicting ships going to Florida, New Orleans, Texas and Southern California?

    • @Archangelm127
      @Archangelm127 22 дня назад +2

      To their own coast, sure. Not to the coast of another country. And there's the crux of the issue.

    • @haydenrcarter
      @haydenrcarter 22 дня назад +1

      @@Archangelm127 it tough when your island, but CG's, (like USCG) do this in high seas as well (+12 nm offshore). It's why USCGCs are in the Caribbean right now doing drug ops between Columbia and Cuba.

  • @dcc70
    @dcc70 22 дня назад +1

    8:41 what happened to the orange vests?

  • @bowdoin5063
    @bowdoin5063 21 день назад +2

    These types of actions is why our navy exists, and we will test it

    • @rh906
      @rh906 20 дней назад

      "Are you sure about that?" Zhang Xina

    • @YSKWatch
      @YSKWatch 19 дней назад

      anyone really have the authority to give the command?

  • @ph11p3540
    @ph11p3540 22 дня назад +52

    Sounds like China want to play pirate. Therefore their coast guard ships are pirate ships

    • @dananorth895
      @dananorth895 22 дня назад +4

      Violation of Maritime law, rules of the sea, international passage, trade and commerce.

    • @dananorth895
      @dananorth895 22 дня назад

      Although these ARE state sanctioned vessels (millitary and coastal guard), their behaving somewhat as privateers (state sanctioned private vessels) as opposed to pirates.
      All these 3rd world dictators act like children trying to push things a little farther to see just how much they can get away with. If no one does anything they move in and fill the vacuum.

    • @CMINCOGNITO
      @CMINCOGNITO 22 дня назад +1

      @@SpruceWood-NEG when the American south declared itself independent, the yanquis were less interested in supporting their ''right to self-determination'' as I'm sure would be the same if Texas declared itself independent tomorrow

    • @michaelsilberg9059
      @michaelsilberg9059 22 дня назад +1

      In preparation for maritime exercises, a joint-attack troll force will pirate this thread.

    • @cbhlde
      @cbhlde 22 дня назад +1

      Sound like rules based order; they just have new rules. ;)

  • @afpwarmodernizationarchive1320
    @afpwarmodernizationarchive1320 19 дней назад

    hello can you also do an analysis of Philippine brahmos, the advantages and disadvantages

  • @Archangelm127
    @Archangelm127 22 дня назад +2

    QQ for Aaron (and the community) about the Russian sub in Cuba. Photos show missing anechoic tiles from its hull. Just what effect does the loss of these have on a sub? I've heard a lot of speculation and I can make some of my own, but I'd like to hear from some actual SMEs if possible. :)

    • @SubBrief
      @SubBrief  22 дня назад +5

      missing SHT is common on a long voyage. those tiles come off regularly. As for what effect it has? well, it's not good. you can get a damaged tile slap at some speeds. otherwise the crew would not realize it until they surfaced and saw it.

    • @yahaaa1343
      @yahaaa1343 22 дня назад +2

      @@SubBrief Does it alter the "signature" of the ship, thus making data collection less relevant ?

    • @Archangelm127
      @Archangelm127 21 день назад +1

      @@SubBrief So it's not necessarily a sign of incompetence, just the vicissitudes of life? Thanks for the clarification! :)

  • @Leo_Sneedinsky
    @Leo_Sneedinsky 22 дня назад +4

    Great, more price increases

  • @DOWNUNDER.
    @DOWNUNDER. 22 дня назад +11

    Would be funny to see them try to board a aircraft carrier

    • @Archangelm127
      @Archangelm127 22 дня назад

      Even if they can get aboard, every warship of every nation carries enough small arms for the entire crew.

    • @xuansu9036
      @xuansu9036 22 дня назад +2

      Would be funny to see US risk a carrier in that manner

    • @kurousagi8155
      @kurousagi8155 21 день назад +1

      @@xuansu9036there wouldn’t be any risk.

    • @xuansu9036
      @xuansu9036 21 день назад

      @@kurousagi8155 sure there isn’t any risk if war doesn’t start because of it. But if it does, it’s a sitting duck.

    • @kurousagi8155
      @kurousagi8155 21 день назад

      @@xuansu9036 ah, Chinese confidence. You love to see it.

  • @lw3626
    @lw3626 20 дней назад +1

    Using an ashored vintage landing ship to make claim on territory that was not in the original US Spain treaty is very creative😂😂😂. More over China let it sat for over 24 years is showing the reality of international relations.

  • @hypervious8878
    @hypervious8878 15 дней назад

    In the US,are the US CBP and US Coast Guard bureaucratically related/subordinate to a common civil authority? No doubt they've had to work together on an operation or two.
    Just an interesting comparison to China's General Administration of Customs (GAC) who, last I checked, are not bureaucratically related to the People's Armed Police, who now oversee the Chinese Coast Guard. To my knowledge, no one has raised any fuss at all over how the GAC goes about their work.*
    There are numerous jurisdictions who do not separate these portfolios.
    [*do correct me if im wrong]

  • @Chiberia
    @Chiberia 21 день назад +1

    and it wasn't invading Ukraine, it was a military exercise

  • @corsair6
    @corsair6 21 день назад +1

    Taiwan needs to invest in mines, A LOT of them

  • @SCIXFI
    @SCIXFI 21 день назад

    That’s brutal

  • @Real_Claudy_Focan
    @Real_Claudy_Focan 23 дня назад +7

    There's a lot of common points with Cuba

  • @Andy81ish
    @Andy81ish 21 день назад +1

    As China states that the Taiwan is part of their country, and Taiwan passively acts as independent, without enforcing that they are a separate country, I believe that this is intended by China to make Taiwan ether accept that they are part of China (let these inspections happen) or force them to finally declare independence openly (by not complying with these inspections). This would possibly give China (at least in their eyes) permission to use force (to prevent the separatists from bracing away).

  • @richavic4520
    @richavic4520 22 дня назад +1

    What if nobody complied?

  • @GrantWaller.-hf6jn
    @GrantWaller.-hf6jn 22 дня назад +3

    Golf of Mexico is now off limits to all Chinese shipping

    • @jozefkovac6858
      @jozefkovac6858 22 дня назад +3

      That would last less than 12 hours, then everyone would open their borders, because everone is dependent on their production (even prescription drugs and other critical things and tools), nevermind the harbours were sold to Chinese companies, too. You can thank the CEOs who decided to move business elsewhere, to earn a sliver more, yet will complain that the government is to blame.

    • @YSKWatch
      @YSKWatch 19 дней назад

      ​@@jozefkovac6858talking about drugs, many are developed in china, some US companies just rebrand them and get billions each year. will take 1 decade and lots of money to replace them if US wanted to stop this practice.

    • @jozefkovac6858
      @jozefkovac6858 19 дней назад

      @@YSKWatch Even more are years known recipes, but it is like 0,20$ cheaper to make it there and to ship it.

  • @davetilden68
    @davetilden68 22 дня назад +7

    What about US flagged vessels with US Navy escorts.

    • @Daokl
      @Daokl 22 дня назад +1

      When US navy vessels trespassed USSR naval border they were rammed. So I'd expect something similar eventually.
      Btw US flag gives no benefits, have to comply with coast guard, even if it's sketchy.

    • @martinricardo4503
      @martinricardo4503 22 дня назад +6

      @@Daokl Even out in the middle of the Pacific? Don't think so.

    • @comentedonakeyboard
      @comentedonakeyboard 22 дня назад +3

      Ghaddafi found out, the hard way, on his "Line of Death"

    • @Daokl
      @Daokl 22 дня назад

      @@martinricardo4503 if someone claims that part of Pacific as their territorial waters you have to comply with coast guards or face possible consequences. In international waters, sure, rules are different.

    • @95ellington
      @95ellington 22 дня назад

      Except Xi is not Gaddafi, and China is almost 10x the size, with a much more powerful military. There are no such plans like Libya 2011 for China.

  • @timothyfortin2449
    @timothyfortin2449 19 дней назад

    He's getting a call from his mom. "I told you not to call me" He hangs up. That's very rude don't do that to your Mom.

  • @greggweber9967
    @greggweber9967 22 дня назад +15

    The CCP China has the authority they say they have and what we are intimidated to allow.

    • @johnchin1456
      @johnchin1456 19 дней назад +1

      Try English lessons, seriously it helps!

    • @greggweber9967
      @greggweber9967 19 дней назад

      @johnchin1456 they say that they have, and also, what actions that we are intimated enough to allow them to do.

  • @AidanofVT
    @AidanofVT 22 дня назад

    This makes a ton of sense. I suspect that any international reaction would be proportional to how strict the not-blockade actually is. If it merely reduced Taiwanese trade, or just blocked weapons shipments, for example, maybe the diplomatic response would... stay diplomatic, shall we say.

  • @kananisha
    @kananisha 22 дня назад +2

    "Coast Gaurd "...

  • @kotori87gaming89
    @kotori87gaming89 22 дня назад +6

    interesting (and horrifying) how the Chinese coast guard sailors don't have names anywhere on their uniforms - only numbers. That somehow seems so wrong, reducing human beings to numbers, and yet so consistent with CCP standards.

    • @Cybersawz
      @Cybersawz 22 дня назад +1

      Yes, very Orwellian.

    • @Daokl
      @Daokl 22 дня назад

      You assume names are not used since they are not on uniform and that they are if they are. Both can be wrong - officer can know every face, name and care for every sailor or only go "sailor this, sailor that", despite names on uniform, taking personhood from person.
      Kinda leaning towards existing bias imo.

    • @Archangelm127
      @Archangelm127 22 дня назад +1

      "TK-421, why aren't you at your post?"

  • @bno5357
    @bno5357 22 дня назад +1

    How about the western for the International Water corridor? The western leader should have look at them selves first in the mirror?

  • @FerrisSOCAL
    @FerrisSOCAL 22 дня назад +2

    Can't fish if militia ships are ramming/raiding TW flagged ships.

  • @user-rt8ig3dp7i
    @user-rt8ig3dp7i 22 дня назад +13

    i hope the chinese coast guard will stop the fentanyl and shark fin

  • @ph5915
    @ph5915 22 дня назад +6

    Yeah that tracks. Andrew Bustamante thought China would enact legal manuveurs, in a way they did with Hong Kong a few years back. Pretty clever if it works.

    • @rh906
      @rh906 20 дней назад +1

      They already have started the Hong Kong model on the RoC. Look at their recent reforms in their version of Congress. It was always weak due to the history of the RoC, but recently it is trying to acquire more power since the DPP is likely to keep winning presidential elections and the KMT/TPP legislative elections.

  • @cbhlde
    @cbhlde 22 дня назад +7

    Rules based order coming back to bite. ;) Chinese just following their (new) rules, don't they?

  • @kylexu227
    @kylexu227 21 день назад

    i get your point sub brief but we have to take into account the larger picture which is that 1: the us never signed the convention of the sea in 1982 and 2: the us coast guard operates in the south china sea

    • @SubBrief
      @SubBrief  20 дней назад

      The US Coast Guard does not conduct Customs Inspections in the SCS.

    • @kylexu227
      @kylexu227 20 дней назад

      @@SubBrief i sure hope it doesn't conduct customs inspections 7000 miles away from the US mainland + I was also emphasizing on the #1 that the US never signed the law of the sea

  • @tomte47
    @tomte47 22 дня назад

    The update to this law came in effect June 15, almost immediately we saw the consequence with the Chinese coastguard boarding (under gun point) a Philippine supply vessel crewed with Philippine armed forces soldiers confiscating their weapons !
    Are they going to selectively enforce this ? I can not imagine they would risk something like this if a U.S ship would try to supply the Philippines stationed on the Second Thomas Shoal.

    • @prastagus3
      @prastagus3 21 день назад

      They might not board but they will block because they consider that reef as their sovereign territory

  • @postItNoteObsession
    @postItNoteObsession 22 дня назад +1

    China will put themselves in a position where Taiwan will escalate because by escalating they are putting themselves in better position, allies will be forced to help directly.

  • @penaeus1234
    @penaeus1234 21 день назад +2

    USCG forces also do the same thing. From USCG website, "Coast Guard forces possess the authorities, capabilities and capacity to carry out homeland security and defense operations, either under Coast Guard control or under the control of a Department of Defense Combatant Commander."

  • @anthonyschirillo4377
    @anthonyschirillo4377 19 дней назад

    The world may react or not!

  • @mannyschlaich
    @mannyschlaich 21 день назад

    I find this dissertation interesting. The us coast guard within the past few years has transitioned to DHS while the Chinese have done the exact opposite in being a substrate of the PLAN. I believe our USCG did this to shift their funding which confused Washington even more than they were. Chinese have according to this video executed a brilliant naval plan by utilizing their Coast Guard and civilian ships in a blockade and freeing up PLAN for direct Naval to Naval deterrence. Stunning naval college territorial dominance.

    • @willythemailboy2
      @willythemailboy2 21 день назад

      The USCG still chops to USN command in wartime, but its primary role in peace time falls more fully under DHS's law enforcement authority.

  • @whoknows322
    @whoknows322 20 дней назад

    Thems fighting words

  • @fonkyman
    @fonkyman 15 дней назад

    history repeats.. like others said nobody is gonna do anything good untill its too late..
    and even then most people in power are just gonna exploit the situation to get more money/power

  • @ehaurader2640
    @ehaurader2640 22 дня назад

    Should just keep on sailing if they use water cannon

  • @bigsarge2085
    @bigsarge2085 22 дня назад +2

    China. . .

    • @SubBrief
      @SubBrief  22 дня назад +2

      BigSarge! What's up my dude?

  • @Mike7O7O
    @Mike7O7O 22 дня назад

    I believe this to be yet another prima facie case of China observing an international treaty for as long as it suits them and /or they feel they have developed enough force to impose their will.
    So far as I'm aware. A coastguard ship flagged in nation A, cannot board a ship flagged in nation B, so long as the ship from nation B is not within nation A's twelve mile limit. Unless the captain accedes to a request to board.
    That is as far as a nation's jurisdiction extends. A nation can claim a two hundred nautical mile economic exclusion zone around it's coast where it has control over resources but that does not extend to ships or people.
    As a permanent member of the UN Security Council, China can block any resolutions on the matter submitted by the US, UK or any other Security Council member. Russia would likely side with China, in terms of it's vote. (I don't know whether countries not sitting on the Security Council can submit motions, or the related mechanisms)
    Its typical Chinese tactics to observe any law so long as it doesn't conflict with their interests. Such as with the Hong Kong Treaty with the UK, that they have now repudiated.
    However, it would seem legally suspect, IMO, for a nation to observe an international treaty, such as The Law of the Sea, for forty two years since they signed it and then choose to ignore it unilaterally. Breaches of The Law of the Sea can take a decade or more to arrive at a final verdict, which is probably what China is counting on.
    China is probably counting on what it possibly feels is its parity of forces with the US, given what the US can realistically deploy to the Taiwan Strait. More importantly, China is using the political instability in the US , caused by the Presidential Election. An EU focused on Ukraine. As well as Russian acquiescence as a quid pro quo for Chinese and North Korean help with ammunition, arms and PLAN 'advisors' who have been observed in Eastern Ukraine. China used the Korean War (1950 - 1953) to invade Tibet. Despite its invasion of Tibet and the subsequent genocide and many other abuses of human rights. China was given a permanent seat on the UN Security Council in 1971.
    I would argue that engagement and WTO admission in 2001 has enabled China to build up it's military and regional influence. WE have in fact paid for the Chinese military by buying all of the cheap goods that China flooded the world with. It's goal is to replace most of the rest of the world's electric car production over the next two decades alongside Korea. And it is on course to do so.
    Either we boycott Chinese goods, pull our companies out of China and stop supplying China with the raw materials it needs, so long as they flout the international treaties they've signed up to. As well as eject them from all representative bodies, such as the UN, IMO and WTO etc. Which given China's internal security problems, may topple the CCP. Or, we accept that the foreseeable future belongs to China.

  • @johncage5368
    @johncage5368 22 дня назад +1

    9:00 Chinese Military Command Cyborg 9836606 reciting his programming. ... Interesting idea. If they kill civilians or other "foreign ships" legally there and get caught they can declare it an unfortunate malfunction. ;)

  • @rh906
    @rh906 21 день назад

    They will push however far people let them and stay exactly there. As for the Republic of China, it's getting a Hong Kong treatment with the businesses/politicians falling in.

  • @christianjunghanel6724
    @christianjunghanel6724 22 дня назад

    A blockade would be basiclly a war declaration on Tawan! And then we will find out who is bluffing or not or possibly worse ! Either way we will see !

  • @davids5956
    @davids5956 21 день назад

    It will be very interesting if the CCP Coast Guard attempts to board a ship carrying US weapons to Taiwan. I understand the latest agreement is for Taiwan to purchase a number of Switchblade drones.

    • @YSKWatch
      @YSKWatch 19 дней назад

      if they decided to do it, they'll do it at all cost. even if it start ww3.

  • @cwvhogue
    @cwvhogue 22 дня назад +1

    Cosplay Chinese Navy.

  • @Aendavenau
    @Aendavenau 21 день назад

    This shouldnt be an issue for the US as its not a member of UNCLOS anyway.

  • @davidsuzukiispolpot
    @davidsuzukiispolpot 20 дней назад

    Taiwan is a good tech and parts manufacturer. I bet they can ramp up AI enhanced sea drone production rapidly, and sink anything in the ocean in quantity.

  • @sws6387
    @sws6387 21 день назад +1

    What's happened to a your coldwaters videos and jive turkey channel?

    • @SubBrief
      @SubBrief  21 день назад +1

      jiveturkeylive is still there last I checked.

    • @sws6387
      @sws6387 21 день назад

      @SubBrief yes but all your voldwaters videos etc arnt there

  • @JohnDoe-tv4zf
    @JohnDoe-tv4zf 22 дня назад +3

    I like men

  • @tomcook5813
    @tomcook5813 22 дня назад +1

    Present

  • @stephenkneller6435
    @stephenkneller6435 22 дня назад

    I think the US and Taiwan (and probably Japan and the UK) will test freedom of navigation through such a CCP embargo. It starts with a U.S. owned, flagged, and crewed cargo ship, and others traveling towards Taiwan, with an escort fleet made from US (and probably Japanese and UK) warships standing by to escort the merchant fleet to and from Taiwan.
    As long as there is a U.S. owned, flagged, and crewed ship involved, the US has an obligation to protect such a ship that is operating lawfully.

  • @petrosros
    @petrosros 22 дня назад +3

    Taiwan food production currently runs at 31% of consumption, Fourteen thousand Sq miles (a little bigger than Maryland) and twenty-four million people. It has a couple of weeks before it is in serious trouble. And a Berlin style Airlift won't cut it. Given the shallowness of the South China Sea, and the Taiwan straits in particular. There may exist a deep water channel through the straits, but any sub going in a conflict situation ain't coming out.
    In a conflict over Taiwan with the US, the cards are stacked heavily in Chinas favour, I believe that this is well understood by the USA. However; China main concern will be to protect vital economic assets intact, this precludes an Ukraine style conflict. I think a no-fly zone and blockade will be the preferred option, no fly will of course include civilian aircraft.
    It will be up to the USA if they wish to broaden the conflict, one they know they cannot hope to win.

  • @chichan8424
    @chichan8424 22 дня назад +7

    To be fair, the US Coast Guard is a branch of the US armed forces and were patrolling the Persian Gulf, which to my knowledge is very far away from US coastal waters.....

    • @FerrisSOCAL
      @FerrisSOCAL 22 дня назад

      Not anymore. The coasties fall under DHS. That change was made back in, what??, 2008 maybe.

    • @JamesHarper6061
      @JamesHarper6061 22 дня назад +1

      The USCG is under DHS and is also the 5th branch of the armed forces.

  • @redjacc7581
    @redjacc7581 22 дня назад

    I dont understand why its not a breach of international law to have coast guards ships outside of coastal waters. Its soft military.

    • @xuansu9036
      @xuansu9036 22 дня назад +1

      US would be the first in line against that idea.

  • @greggweber9967
    @greggweber9967 22 дня назад

    11:50 Can other countries do that to ships going to or coming from CCP China?
    Now, we get closer to the embargo against Japan before Pearl Harbor. What is their choice?

    • @jozefkovac6858
      @jozefkovac6858 22 дня назад +1

      Look up where are your tools and stuff made from. Kinda not possible to have shelves stocked when you ban Chinese import.

  • @Max_Flashheart
    @Max_Flashheart 22 дня назад

    I like to draw lol

  • @derekburge5294
    @derekburge5294 22 дня назад +15

    West Taiwan must be stopped.

    • @Archangelm127
      @Archangelm127 22 дня назад +3

      I'mma steal that. 🤣

    • @the13xiii52
      @the13xiii52 22 дня назад

      You’re welcome to try. The US has already signed the 1 China policy.

    • @Archangelm127
      @Archangelm127 22 дня назад +4

      @@the13xiii52 Hello West Taiwanese spambot!

    • @kurousagi8155
      @kurousagi8155 21 день назад

      @@the13xiii52until they renounce the treaty.

  • @ThomasDrehfal
    @ThomasDrehfal 22 дня назад +5

    The West could do the same thing for all of the shipping that is going to China from the ports in Europe and the Middle East. Make the Chinese and anyone else have to travel and "come out" to defend their interests and away from their "lock box" in the South China Sea. This would include the Artic Circle route. Use "inspection" and "quarantine" methods to slow down and delay their need for LNG and oil etc... If they want to ship their cargoes over their "belt and road", let them.

    • @elmohead
      @elmohead 22 дня назад +2

      Yeh I'm sure Europeans and middle Easterners will welcome that idea...

    • @kurousagi8155
      @kurousagi8155 21 день назад

      @@elmoheadmaybe not. But they don’t have the naval power to guarantee their own commercial shipping any safety.

    • @GrahamCStrouse
      @GrahamCStrouse 21 день назад

      Not enough assets.

    • @elmohead
      @elmohead 21 день назад

      @@kurousagi8155 That's a low IQ take. You're saying Europe and ME should defend their shipping lanes to and from China... from China? Why would China attack their own ships?

    • @kurousagi8155
      @kurousagi8155 21 день назад

      @@elmohead not necessarily from China. Just saying that if the USA stops protecting Chinese trade, it would be impossible for the world to guarantee the safety of Chinese shipping. Europe and the Middle East certainly do not have the naval power to do so.

  • @lukapretegiani3348
    @lukapretegiani3348 22 дня назад +1

    why you don't say like you said in Iran case.... China we are coming for you :D?

  • @AlbertLloydy
    @AlbertLloydy 22 дня назад +3

    They wan't to act like Pirates. Then they should be treated as such.

  • @billturner6564
    @billturner6564 21 день назад

    This scenario is ridiculous I'm going to enjoy watching the Chinese coast guard trying to board the Harry S. Truman when she's sent to make her first port visit 2 Taiwan which is exactly what will happen the first time this ridiculous nonsense is tried

  • @patd4u2
    @patd4u2 21 день назад +1

    Can't wait to see the TikTok postings of millennials crying that they cannot play video games on their gaming computers because a shortage videochips. 😂

  • @Factory_Edge
    @Factory_Edge 22 дня назад +1

    Evil will always win, because good is stoopid.

    • @SubBrief
      @SubBrief  22 дня назад +2

      good is dumb. -Lord Dark Helmet

    • @Factory_Edge
      @Factory_Edge 22 дня назад +1

      @@SubBrief good catch, should have googled it. Nice video.👍

    • @YSKWatch
      @YSKWatch 19 дней назад

      evil always call others evil so nobody suspect that they are the evil?

  • @byronharano2391
    @byronharano2391 21 день назад

    Will the Chinese Coast Guard truly hail a US Navy or USNS or US Army ship to " Heed to, for "inspection?" Channel 16 communication. 😮

    • @YSKWatch
      @YSKWatch 19 дней назад

      you should send them so we don't have to guess

    • @byronharano2391
      @byronharano2391 19 дней назад

      @@YSKWatch Send who? Thanks

  • @Chiberia
    @Chiberia 21 день назад +1

    one thing I notice on a lot of these "candid" military videos from borderline/wannabe super-powers... it's staged straight out of the 1960s. if you look at most US videos guys are acting normal and generally doing their duty like regular dudes (and dudettes).
    when you see these types of videos from China/Russia/North Korea, everyone is stoic, the leader is, quite literally, shouting orders into the phone like it doesn't have a microphone, and they've lined 5-6 of the best-looking soldiers next to them randomly and said "look straight ahead and don't smile." on a US ship all those people would be at stations, you know, doing their jobs.
    It's like seeing computer graphics from 1996 - it sticks out like a sore thumb. the video here was like seeing the Rock come out as the Scorpion King to me.

    • @prastagus3
      @prastagus3 21 день назад +1

      PR video catered to their own people and culture