A DANGEROUS Tornado Season Is Coming!
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- Опубликовано: 16 май 2024
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In this video, I breakdown everything that YOU need to know about this upcoming Spring & Summer severe weather & tornado season.
VIDEO CHAPTERS:
0:00 Intro
0:37 The End Of El Nino
3:19 Looking Back At 2016
4:28 2024 SPRING Severe Weather Season
12:02 What Is A Derecho?
14:09 2024 SUMMER Severe Weather Season
17:42 2024 Severe Weather Season
18:31 Outro
#news
#weatherchannel
#weather
#severeweather
#forecast
#spring
#summer
#storm
#tornado
#weatheronthego
#weatherforecast 
Развлечения
And it drives me bonkers that the NOAA's severe weather climatology goes from 1982-2011, i mean 2011 was 13 yrs ago! Why not update this??
I agree
Same here, all the data shown on the climatology is wrong because the severe weather is all happening more in the east, not central states anymore
@@usipussi6647we just had a tornado rip through south central Wisconsin the other week.. we typically don’t worry bout tornados this time of year.
@@KRLS-One The same can be said for us here in northern Illinois, I expect such events to become common by 2028
@@usipussi6647 I honestly think the fact that the poles have & are slightly shifting more each year has a lot to do with it. Mix that with a Warming overall climate, & your left with Seasons that have altered characteristics, sometimes quite a bit altered. I mean just look at the Southeast, they haven't had a break from severe weather in over a year, regardless of which season they're in.
"Normal" weather doesn't exist anymore.
It looks like minnesota warm spring in 2016 and very warm fall in 2016. The rain totals in minnesota were close to record numbers, and large storms were recorded all over northern Minnesota. This falls in line with pretty much everything you said. Minnesota last summer was like a desert. I hope the rain and storms come this year!
Yeah, last season we didn't really get much in the way of storms.
As a MN trout fisherman, I am praying for rain
@@europajones1946 Rainbow trout! Blacksmith lake in Minnesota up by Park Rapids.
Trout fishermen, at those small streams stuffed in the woods never litter. I have much respect for the trout people. I used to fish trout with grandpa and it was wonderful being in the woods with no radio or cars, just bird and nature noises. Keep it clean trout folks. You're #1@@europajones1946
The past 3 years - 😣😣 and the worst was 2021.
Awesome overall synopsis. Thanks for taking the time to put all this together.
Thank you so much! You’re very welcome.
thank you as usual and I love the spring/summer long term forecasts . Have a wonderful rest of your day WOTG!
Thank you for watching!
Gooooooooooood morning, Guy! We had 3 inches of snow this morning YAY Thanks for the extended outlook for 2024. Much appreciated!
Lucky! Snow has been difficult to come by for many folks this Winter season. I expect a warming trend into March. Thanks for watching!
Thanks so much for putting this together. I love storms and tornado's so I'm really looking forward to this years season!
You're welcome! Thank you for watching. Stay safe this severe weather season!
Well let us know if you still love them after your home is destroyed, A N D/I F you manage to escape with your life like our family members last night. 😢
@@barbmormile4806 stop begging for attention
You’re my favorite go to weather man. Thank you for the spring and summer weather forecast. Hope you have a safe and wonderful weekend.
Thank you so much! I appreciate it. Have a great day!
Thanks for the info, I live in Wisconsin and now I know how signifigant these spring/summer months may be for weather.
You're welcome!
Good for us Illinois boyz ! I Love storm season ! 🌪🌩🌨
Yesterday illinois had over 10 tornadoes
thanks for posting about the prediections im really looking forward to a really active season and might go on my first storm chasing adventure
Thank you for watching!
Central Wisconsin here. This last winter and summer have been pretty disappointing in terms of weather. I'm hoping you are right, and we will have an exciting season.
I remember the last derecho system that came through. Power was out at work for almost a week!
while i like having storms, i live in a mobile home, so if the tornados could go north of jefferson county or south, that be great
Sheboygan here. Its been so mild, we only had one significant week of snow and cold but its been awfully warm, all the snow has melted. It was just in the 50s the other day. Makes me wonder how crazy the weathers gonna be this year
I'm in southeastern Wisconsin and I also hope we have an exciting season. This winter has been very dead.
@@jjjacerI live in one as well. Im in Waupaca Co. Just be proactive and watch the weather reports and have a plan ahead of time.
I'm your neighbor in MN, and I hope we get some cool thunderstorms, but not too bad!
Thanks I’m northern IL
I want a good storm season!
The time to watch for potentially significant, and frequent severe weather outbreaks across Northern IL would be from May through July time frame. But severe weather will still be possible during March and April.
I’m from Missouri and I am hoping to see some action too
Well, we just had 11 tornados in one night here in Chicago, so I would say so far you're right on the money
My goal will always be to forecast the weather as accurately as possible. Thanks for watching!
Dang and I thought Michigan was bad.
@EvilGrunt98 michigan has been in a tornado drought, just wait till swaps to la Nina there's a yt documentary called preparing for the big one explaining this for michigan!
@@EvilGrunt98Well welcome to Ohio Hell! We had 9 tornados 2 nites ago and some the week before that. Governor declared state of emergency, death and destruction. It was horrible and this is just the start of the long season. Eclipse seekers better think twice.....do to want to risk your life because we have depressing gray skies most of the time.
I live in the red 🫥
Time to look for tornadoes 🌪️
I live in the purple 🫠
same, gonna be a great season @@zz.vortex
Oklahoma City, Oklahoma resident here! Looks like an active season for us for sure!
Oklahoma wasn’t the same last year. Many said it would move out east and it did exactly that. Now it’s moving up north. It always starts memorial weekend here. We got hit three years in a row and same location, over by Muskogee. Then it always starts over by Moore and moves towards Tulsa. I lived in Cushing most of my life and that’s on the path for sure. I sure hope it stays north like they’re saying.
Well Ryan Hall said this could be similar to 1991 and 2016, both of which seemed to hit Kansas pretty hard, and also something interesting about neutral tornado seasons is they have some of the widest tornadoes on record, including Hallum NE, El Reno OK, and Bassfield-Soso MS. Idk if that means anything necessarily it's just interesting. However this is a neutral season coming off of El Niño so like Ryan and WOTG showed, this specific type of season will likely affect the north more
@@weird0.420 I follow Ryan also. Him and POW 👍🏻
It’s also due to a ridge of high pressure that is expected to build north from Mexico into the Central/Southern Great Plains the deeper we go into the Spring/Summer months. That will shift the main corridor of severe weather potential likely further north into the Northern/Central Great Plains and across the Midwest. The busiest time appears to be May through July. The El Reno, OK tornado was certainly an anomaly. That’s a very rare setup for something that intense to occur. That’s more of a once in a lifetime type of storm.
With a ridge of high pressure building north from Mexico into the Central/Southern Great Plains late Spring into Summer, that should shift the main corridor of severe weather potential further north (overtop of that ridge of high pressure) and be focused across the Northern/Central Great Plains and Midwest regions.
@@WeatherOnTheGoForecasts yes.
We were right on the path of the EF5 that went through Moore and headed towards Cushing. It did not touch ground until it passed us, which is good. But 2013 was probably the wildest year for me.
Interesting ! Thankyou
You're welcome! Thank you for watching. I appreciate it! Have a wonderful rest of your weekend.
In western Wisconsin we get some gnarly thunderstorms so this has me a little nervous lol. We had a tornado basically go through our backyard in 2022. I am in the red every graph you show lol
Just because you're in the red doesn't mean you'll see significant severe weather for sure this season. But the overall probability is just higher in significant severe weather outbreaks happening this Spring and Summer.
@@WeatherOnTheGoForecasts for sure, I just know the past few years we’ve definitely had more active severe weather outbreaks in the summer.
@@tpghl5225 I live just north of Madison out in the country. Summer 2023 we had a tornado rip through the woods in our backyard. Power was out for a few days
Lived in Oak Creek on 2000 when the freak twister went through the airport March 7. Saw funnel coming down from clouds as we were outside apartment building. Was already moving north away from us. We are unlikely to all if a sudden have EF Oklahoma twisters in Milwaukee
Illinois resident here…. It was dry asf last year until august
Last year we transitioned from a 3-year La Niña to an El Niño. This year we’re transitioning from an El Niño back to a La Niña. Something that hasn’t happened since 2016.
yeah being a home owner in wisconsin this year is gonna be tough... seeing the bullseye in my area in june and july brings me some scary times to come... considering we just shattered our high temps today by well over 10 f and got whipflash in the temps as we hit the upper 60s today and now its the high teens and snow is falling... buckle up as were in for a wild tornado season...
Interesting to see this now, when a few days ago we've already had a couple tornadoes here in Michigan! one between battle creek and marshall and one in grand rapids as well
Here in central Illinois, we got hammered with 4" snow early Friday morning.😂❤
Yikes! Enjoy the snow while it lasts. Spring is right around the corner!
Iowa definitely knows what a Derecho is. We had one a few years ago. It was not good. Hopefully we don't have another one.
Correct. I remember that derecho very well. That was the August 2020 derecho. The strongest derecho in U.S. history. I expect by sometime late Spring through mid-Summer time frame, the pattern could become favorable for derechos across Iowa and parts of the Midwest and Great Lakes region. I’ll keep you updated as always.
@WeatherOnTheGoForecasts didn't hit where I live but it was close. It caused so much damage. Months of clean up. I'm going to keep my fingers crossed that doesn't happen again lol.
Last June we had a deracho go through Springfield IL. 25% of our trees went down and most of the city was without power 😢
I agree I live in the waterloo area
@WeatherOnTheGoForecasts do you remember the EF5 Tornado in Parkersburg iowa? I live 1 hour away and had mail and insulation and wood from houses in my yard and on my roof. I saw that Tornado it was 3 miles south of my town of readlyn is their a chance of a Tornado that size for my area.
Nice more precipitation than average for March to maybe see more snow than average and for April, May and June more precipitation than average too. That’s going to be good for the summer days later on and maybe it could mean a cooler summer because of all the rainfall that can pass by. I’m not saying that I believe this is actually going to happen because it’s still so far out but hopefully we do get that because it’s very good for the grass and trees and plants. Anyways Thanks for the update weather on the go and have a good day.
Thank you for watching!
As someone who is in the red for June and pink in July makes me feel uneasy. I hope the Chicago area is spared.
Well done. Meteorologist here and weather enthusiast. While I don’t think we can forecast that far out, I do find it quite possible that many if not most of the months and locations of respective severe weather is accurate. This year (and winter season) strongly resembles 97-98 El Niño season which featured severe weather in the Midwest in the spring (may derecho) and Feb 1998 and Feb 2024 both displayed record breaking heat in the same area with early snowfall in October the fall season preceding this event. We shall see!
Correct. Short-term forecasting is much more accurate than long-range forecasting, especially when it comes to mesoscale events such as severe weather. But overall, I'm expecting an above-average severe weather season across the Great Plains and Midwest.
As an implant to NW Arkansas- this has always baffled me.
Wow, get ready upper midwest and plains!! 🌪🌬⛈. Its interesting in some ways that this seems like a typical weather season - in other ways quite different. Fascinating!
May and June are likely to be the most active months for severe weather across the Midwest.
@@WeatherOnTheGoForecasts good to know!
Good morning!
Thanks for watching!
Good morning to you from Canada 🇨🇦. Long range? I wonder if you are going to be close or off.I can wait. 😊
Ofe
I think it is pretty safe to say winter is officially over. Im already seeing trees bloom, bye winter 🌱🌼
I see wasps
central indiana civilian here, thanks for the info!
Thank you for watching!
Hey weather on the go thanks for telling us about the significant severe weather this spring and summer I am very excited about this intense weather
It’s looking to be a big severe weather season across the Great Plains and parts of the Midwest. May through July time frame looks to be the most active period for severe weather in 2024. I’ll continue to keep you updated. Have a wonderful day!
I’m terrified of tornadoes, I have seen 2 in my 53 years and I have witnessed up close the damage they can do. 2 years ago I bought a double wide here in PA. The way my house is sitting the winds hit the front of my house most of the time. The weather has changed so much and I am scared to death of seeing another one near me.
When you say brief cool downs In March in Erie Pennsylvania what kind of temperatures are you talking this year
Just gonna enjoy the good days when I can. Located in the Twin Cities and the Iris in my garden are already 4 to 5 inches tall.
Looks the same as recent years. Big storms in northern Wisc make a right turn and go down lake. Hope that's not the case again. I predict isolated strong (possibly tornadic) storms in May in Northern IN, OH southern Mich and SW Ontario. But small areas affected. Iowa is always prime territory for tornadoes. The derecho forecast he gives is typical.
I really hope the Chicago area is spared 😢 I'm very nervous
well from the looks of the Official NOAA CPC ENSO Probabilities chart 2024 is shaping up to be a big year for severe weather/tornado season and as well as hurricane season which is not good at all
but we shall see as we get into those seasons??
Dang i hope you are right we are soooo dry in iowa...
El Nino is beginning to weaken. Late Spring will transition to ENSO-Neutral, and then back to La Nina into the Summer. This will completely change our jet stream pattern across North America, and the U.S.
@@WeatherOnTheGoForecasts hope so i have never seen the ground so dry in febuary i belive over the last 4 years we are short some 50 in of rain not much subsoil moister
It has been very mild winter in the fingerlakes area i live in. Our lake has had very little ice, maybe for about 2 weeks Total, which is rare. In the 50's today, slight cool off for Saturday, then after that much above average temperatures are forecast. Going into March
70s for me today in iowa
Southern Ontario and Quebec were hit hard by a Derecho on May 21st, 2022 it killed 10 people and caused widespread damage. I hope we don’t have to go through another one this year
As a photographer who wants to photograph some good sized storms, I’m both excited and nervous about this summer
i like otrnadoes as long as people dont die and im in the red abiut every time excited for tornadoes !
Good Saturday morning, had a dusting of snow overnight and the temperature of 16 degrees. Come on spring where are you. Hit the like button and subscribe it's free. Have a blessed day ❤
Thank you for watching!
Looks like a typical spring in SD to me.
Oh a huge tornado season is coming
Yes, most likely for parts of the country.
Nice 👍🙂
Bring it on hasnt been to exciting weather wise in southern Illinois
Good morning. Thanks
Good morning! You're welcome.
I Live in Council Bluffs iowa close to Omaha but i have a bad feeling about this severe weather season
That’s an area where I expect most of the severe weather to be later this Spring and into the Summer months. Mainly from May through July time frame.
@@WeatherOnTheGoForecasts what do you think will happen
What’s your thoughts on the Columbus, Ohio severe weather season?
Late start, but big finish. I think May through July could be interesting in parts of the Ohio Valley.
@@WeatherOnTheGoForecastsalright. Thanks! Hoping for some good storms :)
@@intrepidexplorer306same
I live in northeast ohio we had a derecho like 2yrs ago and was out of power for almost a week some people lost there houses my neighbor had power lines on there house, trying to go into town was like doing the limbo with the lines hanging close to the road almost touching your vehicle do you think northeast ohio will get hit hard this summer
It’s possible Northeast Ohio could get some significant severe weather this Summer. Especially given the placement of a ridge of high pressure building north from Mexico and into the Great Plains. That would put Ohio on the Northeastern quadrant of that high pressure system. That could lead to higher instability for severe weather and derecho potential. The time to watch for the most significant severe weather would be from May through July time frame. I’ll continue to keep you updated.
Good morning
Good morning!
Ohio here we’ve already had close to our yearly total of tornados in February and March and we still have our 3 most active months ahead of us. Gonna be a rough spring 🥺
Stay weather-aware this Spring and Summer. Severe weather is trending above-normal for much of the Ohio Valley.
Will all of March this year be warm or mild in Erie Pennsylvania?
Yes, most likely. But I wouldn’t rule out brief cooldowns throughout the month.
You're the best. Thank you.
'
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Thank you so much!
I live in Minnesota in the Twin Cities area and that means, better fire up my GMRS radio, weather radio and Radarscope + my spotter beacon for my severe weather season in my neck of the woods.
Weather on the go 2016 and 2019 were both great examples of what could happen this year across the upper Midwest and Great Lakes region and both of those which were El Niño years
The analog years that resemble this year would be 2016, followed by 1998.
If you overlap all the probability maps, what is the worst weather place to live at? 🤔🤔🤔
In general, the Great Plains and Midwest is likely to see the worst of the severe weather season in 2024.
You’re up early!
Yes.
So are you. LoL. Even though I am no longer miliary, I wake at 5am, whether its a sunny shiny day or not. LoL
@@roxane7432 I manage a grocery store. It’s part of the biz
Spot on, my town got hit by an EF1 last week in Ohio
I’m expecting a very active severe weather season, especially from April through June.
❤
I have a feeling there will be an F5 this year. Especially since there hasn’t been one since 2013. I just hope if so, it stays to open land and doesn’t injure anyone!!
There won't be any F5's as the scale has been upgraded to the Enhanced Fujita Scale several years ago, so only EF5's would be possible. But I overall understand where you're coming from and it's definitely possible.
I wonder when oklahoma will start getting hit with the severe weather. I just moved back to Tulsa after living in idaho for 15 years i miss the big thunderstorms.
any news in canada? like ontario?
Here in IOWA definitely expecting massive storms this spring
Severe weather should begin to increase for Iowa by May and June, especially.
It's going to be a wild year in Iowa.
Late Spring through mid-Summer is expected to be the most active period for Iowa this severe weather season (May through July time frame).
@WeatherOnTheGoForecastall all of iowa or only certain areas. I live in Eastern iowa
Bigtime tornadoes in Minnesota this summer. I can feel it.
Transition seasons from El Niño to La Niña typically lead to more significant severe weather & tornado outbreaks across the Upper Midwest. Thanks for watching!
@@WeatherOnTheGoForecasts thank you.
I already had some severe storms 2/8/24 (Wisconsin)
So, it sounds like a repeat of the Memorial day 1998 derecho is possible in Michigan's future this spring?
Every year is different. I wouldn’t write that down on the calendar. Just know that the severe weather season should be above-normal for the Midwest region, especially from May through July time frame.
How does the Nashville/Clarksville area look for this spring?
Near average for severe weather this Spring in Nashville/Clarksville, TN area.
East Tennessee Valley Weather? Like Tornadic Activity?
Severe weather will always be possible during the warm season for the Tennessee Valley. But overall, I expect the worst of the severe weather & tornado season in 2024 to be across parts of the Great Plains and Midwest.
Oh I'm in the red shaded cooler
Just means watch for severe weather later into Spring and throughout the Summer. Especially from May through July time frame.
We in Wisconsin can use the rain
That El Nino is weakening quickly and expected to transition to La Nina
I live in northeast south dakota, will I have a good chance to see some severe thunderstorms/tornados???
May through August will be the time frame to watch for severe weather & tornado potential across South Dakota.
im in the illinois there was snow in friday and i just whant summer already
I can confirm that lake county Indiana and berrien county Michigan had developed a tornado I believe 2 days ago.
The Grand Blanc area in Genesee County, MI got hit with EF-2 overnight on February 28th. It struck a quarter mile North of where I live.
Hi Weather On The Go am I gonna get a dangerous tornado season for northern Missouri?
All the information you need to know is talked about in the video.
@@WeatherOnTheGoForecasts thanks for the information in the video and you’re doing a great job at your job 👍
@@haileyconti798 You're welcome! And thank you so much.
@@WeatherOnTheGoForecasts you’re so welcome and I’ll cya in the next video 👍
Oh no, I live in the Quad cities area
Don’t panic. Just know that severe weather will be increasing for late Spring and throughout the Summer, especially from May through July time frame. That’s the time to watch for more frequent, and potentially significant, severe weather outbreaks for the Quad Cities (IA/IL) area.
Omg im in Minnesota
Don’t panic. Just know that severe weather will become more frequent later into Spring and throughout the Summer. The most significant period of severe weather for parts of Minnesota could be from May through July time frame.
@@WeatherOnTheGoForecastsmay-July time?
@@AidynGmng Yes.
@@WeatherOnTheGoForecastsis any tornado expected in Minnesota may-July?
My senses are very suspicious on what we’re in for in central Minnesota, with as weird as our weather has been, along with a severe drought.
Paying very close attention to weather forecasts & possible anomalies!!!! Could be severe super cell thunderstorms or a late March blizzard?
One just never knows how this insane weather will go!
im watching this right after we had tornadoes in the northern suburbs of chicago. IN FEBRUARY😂
It’s going to be an active year for severe weather across the Midwest. This is just the start. I expect May and June to be very active.
Looks like everyone has been off in their predictions for my region. Ohio has been getting slammed. 18 tornadoes so far in my state this year. Last week we had multiple long track tornadoes which is really rare for Ohio, especially in March. One missed my home by less than 2 miles. It’s going to be a rough storm season this year.
I'll admit, I wasn't expecting March to be this active that far north. That just shows how active this severe weather season will be moving forward into April, May and June. I expect the rest of my forecast to verify. Thanks for watching! I appreciate it.
Just had a tornado touch down near me in michigan! Pretty uncommon for february
May and June are likely to be the most active months for severe weather across the Midwest and Great Lakes this year.
same
Rip Iowa dude
So… Wisconsin could have a bad tornado season?
Potentially, yes. Wisconsin is expected to start slow but finish strong. I expect May through July to be the most active period for Wisconsin.
@@WeatherOnTheGoForecasts thank you for an amazing forecast! I will be sure to remain weather aware for this 2024 severe weather season.
@@Jackson-tq4hi You're welcome! Thank you for watching. I appreciate it!
me seeing the red and pink over the hoosier state has me severely intrested
How do I feel I live in iowa it's gonna be worse here
It came we got the tornado ripping everything up lol.
i think the midwest ohio valley in may june july will be very busy and yes derachios will be likely there too
Yup
Bro, where I live, Lake Michigan won't give us many tornados or much damaging storms. An extreme severe weather forecast won't happen as often as you said. I mean you had a lot of good reasons. So keep it up but, this might be a little to much.
A huge ridge of high pressure during the mid-Summer months will likely cause a series of derechos in June or July across the Great Lakes region.
Do you think Ohio will get another derecho this late spring/summer? We didn’t get one last summer, and we were in the extreme category
It’s possible. Just remember, not everyone in that entire red/purple color will always get a derecho or significant severe weather outbreaks. It just means the potential is much higher for those things to occur. I’ll continue to keep you updated.
@@WeatherOnTheGoForecasts alright. Thanks!
@@WeatherOnTheGoForecasts will we see at least one severe thunderstorm event?
@@SevereStormFilmer Yes. I would think you'd see quite a few chances this Spring and Summer season.
@@SevereStormFilmer No problem!
With La Niña and a lower jetstream, there should be fewer tornadoes this year mostly occurring further south. Hurricanes may be the biggest issue.
ENSO-Neutral and La Niña’s typically bring more tornadoes than El Niño. The jet stream during ENSO-Neutral or La Niña actually becomes stronger and more dominant across traditional tornado alley. But yes, the Atlantic hurricane season appears to be very active this year.
Any tornadoes from derechos will more likely be weak in the front of line. Strong tornadoes could happen
South Central Texas needs a flood. Lakes are dry.
I feel you're unfortunately neglecting to take one issue into account. Solar forcing relative to the current solar cycle will play out more like the spring & summer following the muddy winter of 73.
El Niño transitioning to ENSO-Neutral conditions will be the main driver into the Spring/Summer severe weather season. That means “Tornado Alley”, or Great Plains, and the Midwest, will likely get above-average severe weather this year. 2016 is the most matching analog year for this upcoming severe weather season.
@@WeatherOnTheGoForecasts I absolutely understand your reasoning. But, low earth facing sunspot activity, coronal mass ejections & holes will probably fail to drive up total proton counts & Phi-angle shifts in the solar wind. The weakening magnetosphere will determine severity of what reaches earth. Thus, I believe it will be a good growing season in the corn belt albeit a few severe tornado outbreaks & straight line storms are likely as you indicated but, it will be relative to the effects of solar forcing. Much respect for what you do with what you have.
Noooo I live in Northwest Indiana
I live in Minnesota, and we have had 0- 5 inches of snow all season long. It has also been extremely warm- we simply had a 6 month duration of October. From what this forecast says about Minneapolis and St. Paul specifically… I knew the payback would be greater than the payoff with all this bizarre weather we’ve been having here. I knew it was too good to be true.
Here’s to wearing a helmet in the bathtub with my mattress laying on top.
I heard going into a neutral phase means more activity. Is that true?
Yes. The jet stream becomes more erratic across the middle of the country. This could lead to widespread, potentially significant severe weather, at least for a period of time this Spring and Summer as we transition back to La Niña. I expect May through July time frame to be quite active.
@@WeatherOnTheGoForecasts thank you
@@Max-jp5dm You're welcome!
I’m scared for my life on the ones for June and July. I live in northern Ohio. Please God. No tornadoes.