Can The Coalition Win The 2025 Federal Election?

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  • Опубликовано: 10 янв 2025

Комментарии • 87

  • @thoughtdigestmedia
    @thoughtdigestmedia  25 дней назад +1

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  • @seal6204
    @seal6204 28 дней назад +16

    It's funny technically it's 4 political parties in the coalition. The Liberal Party, The Nationals, The Country Liberal Party (NT), and the Liberal-National Party (QLD)

    • @thoughtdigestmedia
      @thoughtdigestmedia  28 дней назад

      @@seal6204 Yes...the Queensland Liberal National Party, Country Liberals (an affiliate) generally form into the liberal cohort federally...the rest to the nationals

    • @iris-x9x4s
      @iris-x9x4s 27 дней назад +1

      @@thoughtdigestmediathough one may even presume the majority of federal and state LNP MPs would be in the Nationals were the coalition to not formally merge in Queensland

  • @AMW1able
    @AMW1able 21 день назад +8

    WA will be the key to a Liberal victory. The Liberals lost in 2022 largely due to Morrison's alienation of the Western Australian people. Dutton may be more popular than Morrison was, but he'll have a tough time making people forget that he was part of a Federal Government that despised WA protecting itself during the Pandemic and how it treated WA because of that. Not to mention that, at least at the Federal level, the West Aussies aren't too thrilled with either of the major parties. While the "safe" seats will probably be retained by the respective parties, expect at least 5 of the 15 WA seats to go to minor parties or independents.

    • @mrsmith-sh2px
      @mrsmith-sh2px 21 день назад

      Unfortunately Liberals are almost non existent over there and Labor has an iron grip over WA

  • @Lunchbox632
    @Lunchbox632 27 дней назад +11

    so there more attractive due to all the issues they failed to prevent in their 13 years of office

    • @hanswytkamp5227
      @hanswytkamp5227 5 дней назад +1

      You're absolutely 💯 correct. It baffles how people have a short memory. Or perhaps they are that partisan and blind and ignorant to what they truly are.

  • @zacharybos4230
    @zacharybos4230 29 дней назад +8

    “I’m a country member”
    “Yeah I remember”

  • @skinnywizard103
    @skinnywizard103 28 дней назад +10

    Great video, but it's extremely unlikely that the Tasmanian Independent would form with the LNP as his seat in recent decades leans Labor in the ttp with him formally being a Greens Member and even running in Bennelong electorate for the Greens before leaving the party.

    • @thoughtdigestmedia
      @thoughtdigestmedia  28 дней назад

      Thanks

    • @mattconstance2196
      @mattconstance2196 25 дней назад +1

      True but we have seen that sort of thing happen before, Katter/Oakshot/Windsor backed Gillard/ALP and all were from generally conservative leaning electorates.

    • @skinnywizard103
      @skinnywizard103 25 дней назад

      @@mattconstance2196 Back in the day it would have probably worked but, now with the polarisation of politics he would be punished and its worth noting only Oakshot/Windsor and both didn't contest in 2013 as they were likely to lose their electorates to LNP.

  • @Tekkzn
    @Tekkzn 28 дней назад +6

    I think it will be a hung parliament. The LNP need to do better in states like Victoria were they are hopeless. They basically did nothing for victorians infrastructure wise a decade in its power. They really needed to build a railway to the airport in Melbourne.

    • @shawnbenson7696
      @shawnbenson7696 27 дней назад

      Vic is broke. No houses cause all the trades are making $$$ on CFMEU corrupt projects.

    • @ronan7695
      @ronan7695 27 дней назад

      But Labor does very poorly in Qld and will likely go backwards in WA

    • @michaelnorth3666
      @michaelnorth3666 20 дней назад +2

      Dutton needs to win back all the teal seats💺 ...!

  • @zacdambracio6411
    @zacdambracio6411 25 дней назад +2

    Conservatives (LNP, etc) dropping the "Margret Thatcher said if you're not a liberal when you're young you're heartless, if you're not a conservative when you're old you have no brain."

    • @nigelbaddock
      @nigelbaddock 24 дня назад

      Didn't Winston Churchill say that?

    • @zacdambracio6411
      @zacdambracio6411 24 дня назад

      @nigelbaddock That's the point. LOL. Funny enough the last person that said that did say Margret Thatcher, I don't read up on British politics. Sounded about right.

  • @ArchieGrover-d2j
    @ArchieGrover-d2j 27 дней назад +13

    No I don't want bloody Libral to win because the want to build more power stations and that is bad for the Australian Environment we already funked up most of the Environment. I hope Labor wins I'm sorry for my strong opinion but the Environment the planet needs less pollution.

    • @shawnbenson7696
      @shawnbenson7696 27 дней назад +4

      Stone age living yay! Grid failures and rolling blackouts, mandatory work from home cause the grid cant chargs the electric cars.

    • @mrsmith-sh2px
      @mrsmith-sh2px 21 день назад +1

      Your profile pic explain enough

  • @1969cmp
    @1969cmp 28 дней назад +7

    I think in the coming season, Andrew Hastie would be a solid prime minister.

    • @jy477
      @jy477 27 дней назад +1

      Yeah for sure after Dutton. Hastie is a gun

    • @TheOGPeanutButterLover
      @TheOGPeanutButterLover 23 дня назад

      I like Hastie, but he doesn’t have the intellectual horsepower to be PM imho. Dutton seems smart enough.

  • @BuIldogProd
    @BuIldogProd 5 дней назад

    Yes please. As a traditional labour supporter, nuclear energy has sold me

    • @hanswytkamp5227
      @hanswytkamp5227 5 дней назад

      Sorry nuclear will never happen. It's a scam for Gina and co to keep coal and gas going for as long as they can.

  • @mikeryan2802
    @mikeryan2802 23 дня назад +2

    Sorry? Corruption?

  • @iris-x9x4s
    @iris-x9x4s 27 дней назад +2

    i think my two ideal outcomes this election is a Labor-Greens minority government or a Coalition-Teals minority government. major party majority means less accountability, both would result in albo with less power which i think is what actually needs to happen 😊 6:35

    • @normandiebryant6989
      @normandiebryant6989 26 дней назад +1

      The Teals are "liberals" but without the right-wing evidence-denying nut-jobs. Frankly, they are the equivalent of Labor/Right faction. The Liberals no longer stand for those early principles in the videos. They now seem to want to pork-barrel to win power at any costs, have tax and simplistic de-regulation policies to favour their donors, and to be nasty to trans kids. That's it! Liberals are anti-evidence anti-science simplistic do-nothings.

    • @nigelbaddock
      @nigelbaddock 24 дня назад +5

      I think any Labor coalition with the Greens would really hurt the party in the 2028 election as the Greens would force Labor to take more radical positions.

    • @iris-x9x4s
      @iris-x9x4s 23 дня назад

      @@nigelbaddock what's radical about greens policy?

    • @mrsmith-sh2px
      @mrsmith-sh2px 21 день назад

      ​@@iris-x9x4sSupporting Palestine and Islamic Terrorism

    • @gmponza
      @gmponza 13 дней назад +1

      ​@@iris-x9x4s the Greens were once the environment party for all voters, but they got popular enough that they've tried to carve out a spot for themselves on the political spectrum, to their detriment - they can't just agree on policies anymore, instead they have to be divergent from the two major parties to maintain their position

  • @alexk7467
    @alexk7467 27 дней назад +8

    I don't know how anyone would vote for Labor in the next federal election. Look at what Albanese has achieved so far and how much money has been wasted under a Labor government. With most comments I see on other videos most people would rather vote for one nation, which I believe won't side with Labor because they disagree on some of Labors policies and beliefs. If Labor wins the next election by the skin of their teeth, I think they would continue to go downhill and change their leader every 5 minutes just like in the Rudd/Gillard era.

    • @slicer2938
      @slicer2938 27 дней назад +16

      Bro what? You mean what he's done for you? He's done a considerable amount to assist the ppl who rlly need it. Cutting student debt or increase spending in social welfare 😂

    • @alexk7467
      @alexk7467 27 дней назад +3

      @slicer2938 If he has done those things it hasn't made a considerable dent in the cost of living. Look at the cost of necessities, such as groceries, power and water bills etc, they keep rising. Any welfare payments don't increase significantly to help families with day-to-day expenses, so people have to make sacrifices in order to pay everyday expenses and bills.
      Look at what money has been wasted since Labor has been in office:
      1) The 100s of millions wasted on the "voice" campaign which he thought was going to be so "successful"
      2) The amount given in overseas aid
      3) The millions Labor is spending on the new NRL team
      4) The amount Labor spends on these unreliable renewables
      and the list can go on.
      Can anyone reading this confirm they have been better off under the Albanese Government?

    • @merlin5662
      @merlin5662 27 дней назад

      @@alexk7467 so we are not gonna talk about the liberals here? this isn't even the full list but the most obvious cases
      1) 2020 bushfires
      2) mishandling of covid
      3) sport rorts
      4) robodebt
      5)brittany higgins case
      everything you listed is a global issue that affects more then Australia, its simply not an "australian" issue, even then the labor government is cracking down on coles and woolies for price gouging (forcing them into a code that was volentary under the libs), reducing electricity bills, cutting back on student debt by 20%, tackling immigration issues, tax cuts for the average people which were originally going to the upper echelon of society,
      no matter what labor does or do, people will take the shit on them even when they do the right thing (the voice was a campaign promise which i can guarantee you that if they didn't uphold on that promise you would cry "BrOkEn PrOmIsE!"). do you actually even know what is involved with their renewables plan?
      tell me what did the coalition do in 10 years that labor didn't in 3 years?

    • @slicer2938
      @slicer2938 27 дней назад

      @alexk7467 and who do you think is going to be better? Peter Dutton? He will remove social benefits cut public spending and give him and his friends who bank on mining free use of our land. Peter Dutton wants nuclear, which is takes too long when we need action now. I still find it ridiculous of the ppl saying sustainable energy is unreliable. Everything under albo also just came from covid, we had the worst inflation in some time and that's partially due to the mismanagement of the covid error. Economic issues is not necessarily albos fault the same way I don't blame scomo for the Economic issues during covid.

    • @normandiebryant6989
      @normandiebryant6989 26 дней назад +14

      Two surplusses in a year, fixed relationships with China, fixed relationships with the Pacific, lowest unemployment in decades, finally action on climate change, etc, etc. If we voters hadn't voted against Bill Shorten's policies to tackle housing affordability and tax reforms, we wouldn't have a housing crisis now and we'd have more funds for hospitals, schools and infrastructure.

  • @varietynic17
    @varietynic17 28 дней назад +4

    I would encourage people to rethink their biases around minority governments - they've been how the majority of developed democracies function for the past 50 years, but being part of the Anglosphere, Australia has this strange resentment, fueled by Labor and Liberal influence campaigns, towards minority governments.

    • @1969cmp
      @1969cmp 28 дней назад

      Minority governments have been a heavy mill stone many countries.

    • @lachland944
      @lachland944 28 дней назад +3

      It’s becuase we have single member constituencies which encourage a two party system unlike proportional representation which is more diverse

    • @silverbowftw5225
      @silverbowftw5225 27 дней назад

      @@lachland944Your senate has a very proportional system though. The problem is your lower house, which has preferential voting. Ranked-choice voting is all nice in theory but in practice it is not proportional because 90% of Australians end up wasting their votes by putting the major parties on top. Parliament needs to change to either STV like the country’s Senate or MMP like New Zealand. Once that happens, minority governments would be the rule

    • @lachland944
      @lachland944 27 дней назад

      @@silverbowftw5225 it won’t change, it never gets brought up and the major parties will do everything to stop that and say that minority governments are the worst thing, I would like change, though because the senate is already proportional it isn’t a big issue.

    • @hanswytkamp5227
      @hanswytkamp5227 5 дней назад

      Agree. Vote independents

  • @Giveme1goodreason
    @Giveme1goodreason 27 дней назад +1

    We need 3rd and 4th options. The coalition was corrupt monsters when they had power under ScoMo and Turnbull and abbot. Unfortunately albonese is no better.

    • @hanswytkamp5227
      @hanswytkamp5227 5 дней назад

      Vote independents. There are great options out there.

  • @Fenix69420
    @Fenix69420 29 дней назад +10

    I hope so

    • @ImperialKnight86
      @ImperialKnight86 29 дней назад +12

      lol. I hope not.

    • @sizzas4503
      @sizzas4503 29 дней назад +2

      ​@@ImperialKnight86I hope so!

    • @Ethan-12
      @Ethan-12 28 дней назад

      @@ImperialKnight86I hope so! Have you seen the cost of living in the past few years!?

    • @UnequalSardine
      @UnequalSardine 28 дней назад +7

      ​@@Ethan-12 why do you think the coalition would be better when they support more taxpayer dollars to go to foreign corporations?

    • @TaintedTechnicalTips
      @TaintedTechnicalTips 28 дней назад

      and why would you as someone with the papal keys to the church support a pro "choice" party

  • @nanalen60
    @nanalen60 26 дней назад +4

    I'd rather One Nation personally.

    • @JeffBurn-b1i
      @JeffBurn-b1i 21 день назад +1

      Who murdered your shopping trolley and language?

    • @nanalen60
      @nanalen60 21 день назад

      @JeffBurn-b1i ...tard

    • @michaelnorth3666
      @michaelnorth3666 20 дней назад +3

      Pauline Pantsdown...? ? ?

    • @nanalen60
      @nanalen60 19 дней назад

      @@michaelnorth3666 you're just so fukin funny 🤪

  • @peterkirgan2921
    @peterkirgan2921 13 дней назад

    I bloody hope not! No to liberal & no to Labor