Thanks Mark for the excellent insight. I was surprised by the relative number of casualties between Russia and Ukraine of 3 to 1. What I have understood so far is that Ukraine number should be far lower because as the defending army risks less and have better weapons / equipment / logistics / medical care / much higher levels of training / motivation and purpose. I know casulaty figures are closely guarded to ensure morale but when I listened to your report alarm bells were ringing. The demographics and population are already in steep decline without the war.
At the start of the interview Mr Galeotti mentions that Tsar Putin is a "19th century geo-politician" and I found myself thinking, yea, he is totally like an old 19th century "reactionary" ala Hindenburg of the German Empire or Franz Joseph of the Austro-Hungarian Empire.
Great interview with many valuable insights from Mark Galeotti, even tho this is now nearly a year old. But please sack your video editor - the switching to the wrong camera view (of the interviewer while the guest was speaking) every few seconds was very distracting.
Galeotti is always a brilliant mind. It looks like Putin is comiting the same error of Hitler in stalingrad. Making this war a personal Matter and interfering with profesional militar staff is the basic mistake.
Quite interesting to hear this. Most people have no idea about how many wars russia had or took part in. During the opening, i didnt hear about the Armenia and Azerbaijan conflict where russia is also taking an active role. For those who think that putin is fighting against NATO. Go and listen to Dudaevs interview from the Chechen war. He was a soviet general that said "once they finish us, they will go to destroy Ukraine". He said thst 25+ years back. EU/US didnt help Chechnya then. Many people died, country became a banana republic run by a russia puppet, and know putin uses them as shock-troops in his wars. russia & russian empire spent 90% of their time on killing other nationa around them. Open any book on russia's history and it will start with some war period.
Strange you would try to focus only as far back as 2021, ignoring the fact that a) after the 2014 illegal annexation of crimea and the Russian manned (not just backed) insurrections in the two far eastern provinces, there would be any reason to think Ukraine wouldn't or shouldn't seek allies against an antagonist, belligerent Russia. b) that even though Zalensky asked for a map to nato membership, he hadn't been given one. c) nato standing policy is no membership with ongoing wars or border disputes. Or did you forget this. d) let's not kid ourselves with some obfuscation of fabricated nefarious claims, as if though Putin was justified in his asinine actions. The Ukrainian govt had been moving towards autonomy for Crimea before the 2014 land grab, and autonomy for the 2 rebellious provinces prior to Russian interference; for Russia this solution, potentially placating those regions' people while cutting Russia out, just would not do.
Mearsheimer, with his historical knowledge and understanding of geopolitics, predicted this conflict 7 years ago. Stick with Mearsheimer if you want a good understanding of where we are and how we got here. Galeotti appears to come from the "Putin evil. Blame Putin" faction.
is this Ray Dalio type falling empire vs rising empire conflict? coz that seems plausible, superpowers like US, russia seek wars to constantly prove their hegemonic position. Though EU, and whatnot are into play too, not just US.
Mearsheimer is a typical "intellectual" that got fused with his own idea and is unable to critically think about it. Nothing in his analysis is correct. Moreover, he said that West should let russia do whatever they want & and the west did this from 2014. Ukraine was not admitted to NATO, was not admitted to EU, russia got 0 sanctions for Crimea - it still invaded Ukraine. And finally, as the author says here, russia was killing people for 2 decades straight. There was no surprise that it invaded Ukraine. And Dudaev (president of Chechnya) predicted this 30 years ago bit 7. He literally said that once Chechnya falls, Ukraine is 2nd on the line.
Mersheimer is a dinosaur stuck in the Cold War era of spheres of influence and big power hegemony; two points the speaker here explains Putin has his idiot mindset stuck in as well. So no, don't stick with Mersheimer, he ignores the fact that self determination is the overriding policy for a people, which is strikingly ironic and hypocritical coming from a man who benefits from those very Rights he enjoys in his own country yet doesn't want to extend to the Ukrainians.
That was addressed - didn't you listen to the podcast or are you part of Pregozhin's troll army of mindless sycophants. Nato doesn't ask nations to join, they apply. The better question is, Why is it that all the former Soviet bloc nations literally scrambled to join nato, post 1991? What could it be that they were trying to avoid as it turns out, wisely?
Putin announced a desire to promote a Gold Standard Currency over 20 years ago. Since then the US has attempted to delay of stop that plan. BRICS Bucks arrive in August, as the US Dollar becomes unsupported. It appears Putin has beaten Capitalists at their own game? If anyone assumes some other reason than Economics and resources created the Ukraine Conflict, it seems to be difficult to prove?
To be fair Nixon 1971 is over 50 years ago and we are still here... these things take lot of time. (The Nixon shock 1971) So you could be right but we gotta wait another 50 years to see actual big changes and BRICS bucks in wide use globally.
@@effexon BRICS is uniting the former Colonies. That seems to be what is distressing the G-7 Guys. Think about what happens as the nations who hold over half of the available resources on the planet, decide to trade with each other? That is what is creating economic issues in the USA. The gradual increase of trade between the Nations who were exploited by IMF Loans that they could never repay, forcing them to hand over goods for free, had been keeping inflation at bay for almost 20 years. Now the opportunity to participate in free trade with Nations who offer fair prices is providing a decent income to Nations who were being forced to pay a form of tribute to the former Colonial Empires. Why do you suppose the NATO Guys are so pissed off?
@@danielhutchinson6604 is US shifting their policy to continue drilling oil part of reaction to this? there is oil in all north america, south america and europe, it is mostly cheap oil and minerals that is lacking.... I can see that viewpoint and china with cheap manufacturing was part of that, now they a) dont take US dumping waste b) dont offer cheap manufacturing so borders are closing. Having decent army is how to keep IMF people away I think? Your scenario would def mean deurbanization trend in west, which I dont consider bad, just coz cheap materials arent available and no need for endless office jobs or markets to sell those products but more shift to more balanced economies of manufacturing + services + sales. Thing is armies run on oil, kerosene and other products.... but building those warplanes, tanks and other nice things needs those export markets. Im not aware of other countries so much, brazil exporting agri products, replacable, but china making solar panels and lot of stuff in big quantities is what west doesnt have right now... sure those are not bleeding edge tech but how societies run. So in that regard china is key, US has 330million+ people, that is lot of products constantly needed. For normal country economic "trends", cycles come and go... it is almost laws of physics type thing what goes up must come down like japanese economy of end of 1980s. Anecdotally US big tech firms have had same 20 years very good boom and now it has come to halt.. not a coincidence. Key thing like in south america they said, is can you trust country a or b to be stable, coz otherwise no sense to invest or trade with them in grand scale. Trust and predictability (not suddenly communist govenrment) for 10-20 year timespan is critical. If they can handle this, they have mastered jew level trade secrets(this is just a joke from diamond trade, this trust,stability thing has been pretty uniformly studied to be consistently true in all kinds of trade and investments + it lowers costs a lot by usually reducing bureacracy). If ya have country like japan that no outside agency can polarize politics and make people fight and bicker among themselves + strong army brazil may have, then outside agencies cant divide it and come do that IMF thing with their foreign big companies. Japan has history but I mean they wouldnt budge until guns were pointed at them. Many countries have different tribes and religions and other groups so they would find disagreements endlessly, so just add some foreign spices to local politics and they can be almost civil war. Then army is no good. I heard unfortunate anecdotes people were joking here in capital people said they made money by slaving cheap resources and labor , some financial game to those IMF type countries you mentioned. In countryside people dont think like that coz job is not based on making numbers in computer.
@@effexon Inflation has been growing as the Nations the US relied on for centuries to supply cheap Coffee and Copper, seem to be trading among themselves, and depriving the US Commodity Brokers. That is the basis of economic grief for the US. The Media appear to ignore the evidence. The Investor Class continues to gain Fiat Dollars and the end appears to be within sight as the BRICS Group accumulates more Nations who want to make use of Collective bargaining. We shall see what August and the BRICS Summit produces....
Excellent, insightful discussion. Thank you.
Excellent interview. The guest was allowed to speak.
I could literally listen to Mark speak about Russia all day long 👏👏👏
Excellent interview with a very smart guy
Thanks very much ❤
Great discussion. Greetings from Poland. 👋
Loved your book , thank you.
Nice interview, AJ!
Outstanding Discussion 👍👍
Thanks Mark for the excellent insight. I was surprised by the relative number of casualties between Russia and Ukraine of 3 to 1. What I have understood so far is that Ukraine number should be far lower because as the defending army risks less and have better weapons / equipment / logistics / medical care / much higher levels of training / motivation and purpose. I know casulaty figures are closely guarded to ensure morale but when I listened to your report alarm bells were ringing. The demographics and population are already in steep decline without the war.
At the start of the interview Mr Galeotti mentions that Tsar Putin is a "19th century geo-politician" and I found myself thinking, yea, he is totally like an old 19th century "reactionary" ala Hindenburg of the German Empire or Franz Joseph of the Austro-Hungarian Empire.
Great interview with many valuable insights from Mark Galeotti, even tho this is now nearly a year old. But please sack your video editor - the switching to the wrong camera view (of the interviewer while the guest was speaking) every few seconds was very distracting.
Interesting
Not 19 ct. - Putin is 16 ct. or earlier !
Galeotti is always a brilliant mind. It looks like Putin is comiting the same error of Hitler in stalingrad. Making this war a personal Matter and interfering with profesional militar staff is the basic mistake.
Gosh 5 mins in and still no question and twice the interviewer says he doesnt know anything about the subject.
Quite interesting to hear this. Most people have no idea about how many wars russia had or took part in.
During the opening, i didnt hear about the Armenia and Azerbaijan conflict where russia is also taking an active role.
For those who think that putin is fighting against NATO. Go and listen to Dudaevs interview from the Chechen war. He was a soviet general that said "once they finish us, they will go to destroy Ukraine". He said thst 25+ years back.
EU/US didnt help Chechnya then. Many people died, country became a banana republic run by a russia puppet, and know putin uses them as shock-troops in his wars.
russia & russian empire spent 90% of their time on killing other nationa around them. Open any book on russia's history and it will start with some war period.
Oh, that's g
Strange that he made no comment on NATO's part in all of this, or NATO's June 2021 announcement to induct Ukraine.
Strange you would try to focus only as far back as 2021, ignoring the fact that
a) after the 2014 illegal annexation of crimea and the Russian manned (not just backed) insurrections in the two far eastern provinces, there would be any reason to think Ukraine wouldn't or shouldn't seek allies against an antagonist, belligerent Russia.
b) that even though Zalensky asked for a map to nato membership, he hadn't been given one.
c) nato standing policy is no membership with ongoing wars or border disputes. Or did you forget this.
d) let's not kid ourselves with some obfuscation of fabricated nefarious claims, as if though Putin was justified in his asinine actions.
The Ukrainian govt had been moving towards autonomy for Crimea before the 2014 land grab, and autonomy for the 2 rebellious provinces prior to Russian interference; for Russia this solution, potentially placating those regions' people while cutting Russia out, just would not do.
Strange how you would make such a comment when NATO had nothing to do with Russias bloody invasion of Ukraine, nor accept countries at war as members.
The experts at telling the history that they want.
Mearsheimer, with his historical knowledge and understanding of geopolitics, predicted this conflict 7 years ago.
Stick with Mearsheimer if you want a good understanding of where we are and how we got here.
Galeotti appears to come from the "Putin evil. Blame Putin" faction.
Some of these "think tank" guys conveniently leave off those parts🤔
is this Ray Dalio type falling empire vs rising empire conflict? coz that seems plausible, superpowers like US, russia seek wars to constantly prove their hegemonic position. Though EU, and whatnot are into play too, not just US.
Mearsheimer is a typical "intellectual" that got fused with his own idea and is unable to critically think about it.
Nothing in his analysis is correct. Moreover, he said that West should let russia do whatever they want & and the west did this from 2014. Ukraine was not admitted to NATO, was not admitted to EU, russia got 0 sanctions for Crimea - it still invaded Ukraine.
And finally, as the author says here, russia was killing people for 2 decades straight. There was no surprise that it invaded Ukraine. And Dudaev (president of Chechnya) predicted this 30 years ago bit 7. He literally said that once Chechnya falls, Ukraine is 2nd on the line.
Mersheimer is a dinosaur stuck in the Cold War era of spheres of influence and big power hegemony; two points the speaker here explains Putin has his idiot mindset stuck in as well.
So no, don't stick with Mersheimer, he ignores the fact that self determination is the overriding policy for a people, which is strikingly ironic and hypocritical coming from a man who benefits from those very Rights he enjoys in his own country yet doesn't want to extend to the Ukrainians.
What a Crumb
Talk about the buildup in Ukraine and the NATO expansion over the years eastward 🤔
Buildup in Ukraine? You mean Ukraine modernizing it's Army?
What buildup in Ukraine.
That was addressed - didn't you listen to the podcast or are you part of Pregozhin's troll army of mindless sycophants.
Nato doesn't ask nations to join, they apply.
The better question is, Why is it that all the former Soviet bloc nations literally scrambled to join nato, post 1991? What could it be that they were trying to avoid as it turns out, wisely?
Putin announced a desire to promote a Gold Standard Currency over 20 years ago.
Since then the US has attempted to delay of stop that plan.
BRICS Bucks arrive in August,
as the US Dollar becomes unsupported.
It appears Putin has beaten Capitalists at their own game?
If anyone assumes some other reason
than Economics and resources created the Ukraine Conflict,
it seems to be difficult to prove?
😂
To be fair Nixon 1971 is over 50 years ago and we are still here... these things take lot of time. (The Nixon shock 1971) So you could be right but we gotta wait another 50 years to see actual big changes and BRICS bucks in wide use globally.
@@effexon BRICS is uniting the former Colonies.
That seems to be what is distressing the G-7 Guys.
Think about what happens as the nations who hold over half of the available resources on the planet, decide to trade with each other?
That is what is creating economic issues in the USA.
The gradual increase of trade between the Nations who were exploited by IMF Loans that they could never repay, forcing them to hand over goods for free, had been keeping inflation at bay for almost 20 years.
Now the opportunity to participate in free trade with Nations who offer fair prices is providing a decent income to Nations who were being forced to pay a form of tribute to the former Colonial Empires.
Why do you suppose the NATO Guys are so pissed off?
@@danielhutchinson6604 is US shifting their policy to continue drilling oil part of reaction to this? there is oil in all north america, south america and europe, it is mostly cheap oil and minerals that is lacking.... I can see that viewpoint and china with cheap manufacturing was part of that, now they a) dont take US dumping waste b) dont offer cheap manufacturing so borders are closing. Having decent army is how to keep IMF people away I think? Your scenario would def mean deurbanization trend in west, which I dont consider bad, just coz cheap materials arent available and no need for endless office jobs or markets to sell those products but more shift to more balanced economies of manufacturing + services + sales. Thing is armies run on oil, kerosene and other products.... but building those warplanes, tanks and other nice things needs those export markets. Im not aware of other countries so much, brazil exporting agri products, replacable, but china making solar panels and lot of stuff in big quantities is what west doesnt have right now... sure those are not bleeding edge tech but how societies run. So in that regard china is key, US has 330million+ people, that is lot of products constantly needed. For normal country economic "trends", cycles come and go... it is almost laws of physics type thing what goes up must come down like japanese economy of end of 1980s. Anecdotally US big tech firms have had same 20 years very good boom and now it has come to halt.. not a coincidence. Key thing like in south america they said, is can you trust country a or b to be stable, coz otherwise no sense to invest or trade with them in grand scale. Trust and predictability (not suddenly communist govenrment) for 10-20 year timespan is critical. If they can handle this, they have mastered jew level trade secrets(this is just a joke from diamond trade, this trust,stability thing has been pretty uniformly studied to be consistently true in all kinds of trade and investments + it lowers costs a lot by usually reducing bureacracy).
If ya have country like japan that no outside agency can polarize politics and make people fight and bicker among themselves + strong army brazil may have, then outside agencies cant divide it and come do that IMF thing with their foreign big companies. Japan has history but I mean they wouldnt budge until guns were pointed at them. Many countries have different tribes and religions and other groups so they would find disagreements endlessly, so just add some foreign spices to local politics and they can be almost civil war. Then army is no good. I heard unfortunate anecdotes people were joking here in capital people said they made money by slaving cheap resources and labor , some financial game to those IMF type countries you mentioned. In countryside people dont think like that coz job is not based on making numbers in computer.
@@effexon Inflation has been growing as the Nations the US relied on for centuries to supply cheap Coffee and Copper, seem to be trading among themselves, and depriving the US Commodity Brokers.
That is the basis of economic grief for the US.
The Media appear to ignore the evidence.
The Investor Class continues to gain Fiat Dollars and the end appears to be within sight as the BRICS Group accumulates more Nations who want to make use of Collective bargaining.
We shall see what August and the BRICS Summit produces....
Oh, boy! How so eone who knows nothing about Russia
Silly propaganda