Why Putin's War in Ukraine is Still Going Badly - TLDR News
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- Опубликовано: 2 окт 2024
- We're coming up to 2 weeks since Russia first invaded Ukraine and things clearly aren't going as well as Putin hoped. Now, things could change (and fast) but right now Russia are having real difficulties. So in this video, we explain why Russia seems to be struggling so much at what Putin thought would be a very easy job.
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"Superpower" in Russian is "сверхдержава". But Ukrainians used to refer to Russia as "смехдержава" what means "joke power".
How would you pronounce that phonetically?
@@orlogskapten4161 sverhderzhava - smehderzhava
Russia only strong in nuclear weapons. China is the real Joke superpower because their quality standard is sucks.
@@acoustic296 china has problems, but theyre no joke anymore.
The fact that Putin is talking about nuclear war twelve days into watching his clown army getting destroyed speaks volumes. Putin is a pathetic, weak, little man who has something to prove.
At 3:05 you say "Russian forces retook the airbase", but I think you meant the Ukrainians re-took the airbase.
We'll let you off ;)
A few technical errors too, and its far from the 1st time. I don't think anyone reviews the videos prior to uploading.
Exactly
Are you going to let him off every video? Pretty much every video on this channel seems to have such easily-spotted mistakes.
This is TLDR, that's their trademark. I've been watching them since 2017 and the only thing that's changed is there are fewer errors now, most of the time.
as a russian, i am happy that the war is going bad for Putin. Because it will be the very end of him and finally we can then think about rebuilding the nation.
It's quite cynical and inappropriate to think at this point in time but long it may continue so that the coffers are empty and we have to force into democracy and nation building.
p.s i am genuinely sorry for all the Ukrainian deaths and destruction and russian conscripts who are needlessly fighting .
@Ranch the hate for Putin in my area of Novosibirsk is rising at a rate that is unseen before
@Ranch F U....we want development in our area. we don't want any more sanction and we don't want to shear our oil profit with Putin's inner circle any more
@Ranch The baltics are NATO allies. If putin dares touching them, WWIII begins.
@Ranch youre delusional.
id be really cool if Y'all pulled off another Bolshevik on ol'putin there that would be pretty sweet
The real problem is that public opinion doesn’t really matter much in an autocratic society. Those 4500 that got arrested are in for some real possible jail time. We’ll just have to see how many people are willing to make the same sacrifice for a chance to try to hold their autocratic leader responsible for this war
It's worse than an autocracy, it's a full-on dictatorship now.
Putin is in far less danger of a public uprising as he is from a palace coup. THAT'S the domestic political threat he's scared of. Of course, any measurable level of public unrest will combine with military failure to bolster internal support for an opposition clique to make its move to depose Putin. If reports come out of the Kremlin that Putin has suddenly come down with a "cold" or "COVID" and a deputy steps into his place, you'll pretty much know he's been taken out.
True, ordinary people have very limited influence on current situation, but at least it create another point of pressure. He probably will be hesitant to send more troops to Ukraine, because he will have to keep a lot of forces inside for "inner stability", for case these protest get out of control, police force refuse to serve him, etc.
@@timkom2289 you are right, their influence on Putin is limited. But the signaling towards Putins political opponents is important. If they are going to take Putin down, they needs to be certain that people are behind them. That is the importance of demonstrating or even just posting on social media.
@@LordZontar Yeah, Putin surrounded himself with superrich oligarchs, who were both happy to support him and scared to oppose him while he was making them lots of money and seemed so assuredly in charge. But now they are haemorrhaging money hand over fist, and Putin is looking increasingly desperate and unstable. They are going to see two roads ahead, one where they keep getting poorer and even the still vast amounts of money they do have cant be spent on all the luxuries only available in the west. Or toppling Putin and trying to install a new dictator in his place. They will probably try to use the popular unrest as an excuse and pretend to be the populist, pro-democracy movement for a while in order to get the sanctions lifted before going back to crony-capitalist dictatorship business as usual.
Thats the good outcome though. The bad outcome is that several groups rise up to try to fill the power vacuum, or the one opposition group fails to finish the job and leaves Putin alive and with some amount of power, which could end up with a civil war inside Russia. Which is a scary idea all by itself.
If that 40 mi. convey ends up rotting in its place without Ukraine barely doing anything, that would be one of the most embarrassing strategic blunders in the history of war.
Imagine all the free loot
Generous donation to the greater glory of proud and independent Ukraine!!!
Ukraine just have to wait for a week or so, and then come in and say "So, do you want to surrender? We have food and warm shelters."
I am quite surprised no one has tried to blow it up yet. Be a devastating loss for the Russain army if it were to loose that much equipment.
I picture someone saying “Hey, want some coffee? I made a fresh pot!”
I have a good friend, who at one time worked for the Soviet army as an engineer, servicing their trucks, he told me, he spent his morning drinking vodka, his afternoon sleeping his hangover off and would sign off any work he hadn't done as complete. Maybe old tradition dies hard and times are still the same, it certainly looks this way.
Hey France if you've still got those submarines Australia doesn't need anymore, I get the feeling Finland would appreciate them.
We actually didn't build them yet. They should have been ready at the end of this decade
@@lyampetit144 it was such a dick move by my incompetent government
@@hummel_brummel Australia or the US? I've seen both governments being blamed for the deal.
@@hummel_brummel The submarines were vapourware. The French contractor hadn't provided any deliverables after five years in return for the 2 Billion they had already received.
Why would Finland be in need for nuclear subs? They don't have a large ocean/sea to patrol. Diesel-electric is more than sufficient for them.
To compare the truck situation. The tiny army of Belgium with only 8500 active personnel has 781 Trucks. Which is about one truck for every twelve soldiers. However Russia has an estimated 900.000 active personnel whilst they only have 4000 trucks, this means there is one truck for every 225 soldiers. It is an abysmal ratio, especially considering that Belgium is a country that spends barely any money on it's military and is a country in peacetime surrounded by allies whilst Russia is actively trying to invade a country. (I should mention however that these numbers are all pretty vague and untrustworthy but even if they are closer to each other it's still pretty bad)
3:00 Also I'm pretty sure you meant to say Ukrainian forces there
One of the only positive things about my country
no wonder putin and his pundits is so rich
Yes. He really meant the UKRAINIAN forces retook the airport
funny because ukraine has an estimated 900.000 reserve personnel. that is people of millitary trainning within the last 5 years
@R fatsoenlijk is misschien een woord dat overbodig is in je woordenschat. Verbaast me ook niet ;)
I'd really like it if all would put in citations for where you're getting your information from in the description of your news videos. Obviously you are needing to rely on a lot of individuals to obtain this information, I think it would only be appropriate to cite them.
It also makes it easier to verify who is originally saying what. There is an enormous propaganda war underlying the Ukrainian Russian conflict, and I feel it's important for anybody commenting on the issues to properly attribute where they're getting their information from for the sake of transparency.
They usually put up news articles
Reliable sources doesnt matter when you live in a moral panic
"my source is that I made it the fu*k up"- Senator Omelestrong
@@jumnei5159 Bro, are you high?
@@dio3027 high on memes, checked the internet lately?
It is still far from victory, way early for any celebration. Don’t give up Ukraine!
@@BocaoZ not for long;)
@@BocaoZ There is a lot of land for Russia to take though. If they can't get to Kyiv from the north, I can't imagine them getting there from the south.
The fact that Ukraine has managed as well as they have, is a victory in itself.
But yes, you're right that the war isn't won yet.
But even IF Russia wins the war, there is no way they will win the peace.
@@Tjalve70 But if Russia wins, they would surely win the second largest natural gas deposit in Europe.
@@Tjalve70 they never wanted to win Ukrainian people heart
Since they were starting to prefer west over their neighbors
Russia just wants their supplies specially in Crimea
This is a bittersweet outcome, for sure. Any satisfaction I could take out of this war backfiring so hard for Putin is dwarfed by the innocent lives risked by it.
Well said!
*ended not only risked
In the ideal world. Putin will resign. Regime will fall. Russia joins NATO & EU. Everyone lives happily after.
@@kraldada6557 In the ideal world, this wouldn't have happened, and everyone has no need to even put a single dime into armed forces.
@@kraldada6557 the only ideal world is when U.S and Russia both dissamble
Quote from a former German general: Amateurs talk tactics, professionals talk logistics.
It's also important to note that the war is costing approximately 2 trillion rubles a day. If the West decides to wean itself off of Russian oil, Russia's stay time in Ukraine becomes extremely short. The impact to Russia's economy is going to be catastrophic regardless and will play a major role in the disintegration of social obedience.
Damn 2 TRILLION RUBLES PER DAY?! What the flying fuck is Putin's endgame anyway?
That's about 20 billion US dollars at to days exchange rate
Is there any math done on this? 20billion US$ seem a little overblown tbh.
That seems to be about 5 times as much as the U.S. spent on average per day in Afgganistan over a 20 year period at the current exchange rate.Given that Russia's nominal GDP is similar to that of countries like Canada, South Korea, Australia, or Spain they're trying to live a champagne military existence on a beer military income if your figure is correct.
@@insomnius3447 "The direct losses from the war alone - including liquidated military equipment and casualties among personnel - have in the first 5 days cost Russia about $7 billion. Of this, the loss of human lives alone is forecast to account for $2.7 billion in lost GDP over the coming years.
Beyond this, the scale of the mobilisation - including its logistics, personnel, ammunition, fuel, rocket launches, and so on - will cost more money each day. As a result, according to the researchers, the daily cost of war for Russia is “likely to exceed $20 billion” as the invasion scales."
This was published around five days in as an independent study. We're close to that $20b per day figure and Russian losses are mounting.
If Ukraine gives in and doesn't join any blocks and stays "neutral" (imo that pretty much still means under Russian influence), who will rebuild Ukraine then? Russia is running broke so not them, and if they cannot join the EU then Ukraine will be doomed to destitution.
If Ukraine remains neutral there will be a second war, this time where they actually prepare and can take control of at least some of the regions and start their terror campaign there like they did in Chechnya. They lost the first one, regrouped and started a new war that was even more devastating
West will send a bunch of money and experts nonetheless
I don't think russia will have the power to again declare war
it's better than Putin install puppet like Lukashenko in Ukraine
That's probably his idea. Worst thing that could happen to the oligarchs in Russia is Ukraine becoming the next Poland i.e. quadrupling its GDP within a generation.
Agree, I'm not sure how much of a solution Ukraine being neutral would be. They are bound to come under the influence of the West or Russia over time and we could be back at square one. Also, the will of the Ukrainian people should decide their destiny - this is often left out of discussions on "what's best" for Ukraine, even by believers in liberal democratic principles
Another factor is I do not think he expected NATO could and would supply enough ATGM and MPAD to Ukraine to destroy his tanks and aircraft many times over just from spare supplies.
You said Russian forces recaptured Hostomel airbase, but it was Ukraine that did that, you did show the right symbol.
Ukrainian forces have captured more russian military vehicles and equipment (~ 400) than they have lost in total. (272) So one could say that the russian army is exporting military hardware to Ukraine to gear up all the volunteers. Even if only a quater of russian solders claimed killed by Ukraine forces are actually dead and fighting decreases during a stalemate we might see more russian casualties in this year than the US saw in 1968, when they suffered the highest number of casualties in Vietnam. (16.600)
@@BocaoZ oryx, ig
Source?
Just because vehicles are captured doesn't mean they're in fighting shape. I've read about some only having impaired mobility. I also wonder whether the Ukrainians can resupply and operate them reliably.
That is the units with photo footage. It could be a different picture if we knew the exact numbers. But yes, russian army does not look very good.
Source, trust me bro
Maintenance is the exact kind of thing a kleptocratic militaristic state would fail at. It's hard to steal a tank/truck because it can be counted in the motor pool. It's much harder to check the preparedness if those forces.
Having spent a couple years in aviation I can tell you that if all the parts were available it would take months to restore an unmaintained aircraft to flight.
That's honestly a very VERY good point. With how many flats their ground vehicles have it is clear they didn't keep up with their vehicles, and since most of their air forces are just as outdated I'm betting not only are they incapable of flying but the spare parts needed to get them back in the skies are likely either completely non-functional as well or don't even exist. I wonder how many of their craft are actually repairable at all, and how many they just can't repair due to not having the parts needed.
@@demomanchaos Frankly, i wonder what state their nuclear arsenal is in. Though i don't think that's a risk anybody should be willing to take.
@@Llortnerof Better, at least. The auditing is better for nuclear armed units, and the penalties for screwing with the records vastly harsher (no-one cares much if Private I. Ivanov only has 3 mags for his AK, not 4. Lose a nuke, and you'll be lucky if you only get sent to gulag)
@@Llortnerof 1600 are ready on systems, 2000 are scrab value and the rest is in storage.
Subscribed. I appreciate your work, thank you.
4:00 I don't know if anything sums up Putin more than the fact that he is about to lose a war because he decided to spend on missiles instead of logistics.
You can't rely on Russian polls either. The polling companies also must toe the line...
Kurzgesagt once had a video showing that war is slowly trending away and that there might be a chance that war is almost over. They were wrong about that but Kurzgesagt was right that these days, it is far easier to profit by having relations with other countries than invading them. The cost of war is just too expensive that building economic relationships is just a lot easier, more profitable and of course no deaths and extreme suffering.
Yes! I saw that video! Kurzgesagt is great.
Depends on the country, depends on the nature of relations, depends on what the ones who are ACTUALLY in power want
Fun fact, Spain is one of the least reliant EU countries on Russian energy, due to having a gas pipe that comes from Argelia, and the EU is opening dialogue with both countries to increase the Algerian gas supply and ease the effects of sanctioning Russian energy.
Simple consumption reductions could help reduce EU dependence. just encouraging car pooling and similar. They really should be pushing PR stuff encouraging such things as a temporary measure. Even a few percent savings would have a outsized influence if all of that reduction is from Russia sources.
@@Joesolo13 Oh, absolutely, that and renewables are the better solutions, but responsible energy consumption and infinite clean fuel don't make big bucks for the shareholders of our electrical companies, do they?
@@Joesolo13 There's also some wriggle room with the generating mix. Germany will not now be getting rid of its' last nuclear reactors any time soon, and they will likely be firing up the coal plants they have, and bumping them from standby to baseload status, as will any other European countries that still have some left. I'm also sure that pretty much any energy projects anywhere in Europe that can be hurried up, will be, over the objections of locals, and bypassing red tape as much as possible
Argelia 😭😭😭😭
@@italianstalian331 Algeria, sorry, my native Spanish betrayed me.
A big aspect of this war is morale. The statement "I need ammunition not a plane ride" from Zelensky summarises the Ukrainian will to make the enemy bleed for every inch of territory they take. Putin had counted on the Ukrainian army giving up as the face a far superior Russian force. However, that superiority was merely on paper as Russian logistical weaknesses and troop morale were exposed for the world to see. Putin found out the hard way that despite having the most advanced military technologies in the world like the T-14 Armata tank, Su-57 fighter and S-500 missile, it is impossible to intimidate enemies into submission through shows of force.
Thing is, Russia doesn’t have the financial means to utilize these high tech equipment and thus mostly relies on their older equipment (such as soviet era tanks, of which they have a lot!)
Well, let's just hope that other hostile world powers don't invade Russia after their military resources have been weakened.
@@sirdeadlock Nobody is dumb enough to invade Russia which is nuclear armed.
@@bemusedpanda8875 There's more than one way to invade and weaken a power. If Russia became impoverished, that'd be a pretty dick move setting off the nukes for that, right? But what if they became so poor that they couldn't afford the upkeep of them, so either had to disarm or turn them over to the international community.
Or what if a social media propaganda campaign destroyed faith in both the military and government? The finger on the button is still a person, maybe they don't feel like taking orders that day.
Then there's also the glaring truth that if a neighboring country did invade, setting off tactical nukes domestically may cause more damage than it prevents. It may be better for humanity to lose a war, than set off nukes.
@@sirdeadlock Asian here. Russian government started this, so the best way to secure that no missile will be launched is by changing the government. If there is a way for the West to elect a different regime or something, that would be great, all the new leaders need to do now is surrender the nukes and be accepted on the international organizations which is good for Russia! Hey what do you know maybe the Russian states in Asia can also be independent from the Russian Federation if they want to.
Easier said than done but this is probably the best case scenario
I love how all the armchair generals are saying what Putin had planned and how the war is going, without actually being there or actually knowing any real statistics besides the propaganda from each side. lmao
Right?! How everyone has turned from virologist into military analyst so quickly?
Long live Ukraine ✊✊.
Fight for your freedom ✊✊.
Slava Ukraini
You didn't mention the 20,000 volunteers from around the world who are heading for Ukraine to join the fight. These are mostly well trained ex-military with combat experience and are highly motivated.
@@marko.rankovic Actually, once Finland joins NATO, that's exactly what Russia will have.
@@marko.rankovic Every country will now join NATO.
@@richardhunter132 Hahahaha, so true! 😄 Putin was so concerned about Ukraine becoming the EU/NATO foot on his doorstep, but NOW he's (likely) getting Finland, Sweden, and who knows what other countries to do that exact thing ...and honestly, Finns are both scarier AND closer to Moscow! 😄
International mercenaries is what you mean. Motivated by the highest bidder
"Millions of dollars of vehicles, or maybe even trillions of rubles of vehicles have been destroyed" damn dude
Whoever planned the Ukrainian defense deserves an award.
Some Ukrainians are being very clever. They supposedly have a very flat, undefensible land but they are exploiting every possible trick and apparently it is working. I have huge respect for them.
You'll hardly find a single person responsible for such a huge undertaking. I think the biggest turning point is when Zelensky stayed instead of fleeing the country. Of course, it's largely symbolic on the surface, but the West only had an actual cause to rally behind after Ukraine signaled a willingness to defend itself.
I believe the Belarussian government is in exile...? If Zelensky had acted according to western predictions, Ukraine would be a second Belarus by now.
I bet all my money on Ukraine to win this war. Who's with me?
Yes, they must have had very astute people draw up their defence plans ahead of time. They predicted every move the Russians would make and reacted within hours to obstruct as many as possible. Like blowing up the rail lines and strategic bridges, having overwhelming forces poised to repel the air assault on the major airports. That doesn't happen by accident. After that, I'm sure things devolved to more local commanders responding to local situations as they happened. But the initial day one strategy absolutely tripped the Russians at the first herbal.
I am just speaking ideally, not realistically.
But if we take on the Russian, (Putin) you dont mess around. They need to be completely crushed! Disarmy. Demilitarized because non of us want to be nuke by Putin. He is a bad looser! And most importantly, liberate the Russian people who want to be. Again wishful thinking. But what's the other outcome?
You forgot to mention that a lot of Russian and Donbass Separatist commanders were killed during the week. They already have terrible military leadership so loosing senior officers will not only damage morale but will make the units less effective in combat.
Putin seems to think that throwing more mercenaries will help him win but if they aren't well led or coordinated then they wont be very effective. We heard about the brutal Chechen fighters at the start of the war but since their commander was killed I have seen no reports about them at all... now Putin is trying the same trick with Syrian veterans.
Soon he gonna hire even terrorist to fight for him . He so despress right now with how decimate his army are.
Historically it worked for Russia to just throw more soldiers at the enemy but it's a different kind of war nowadays
@@VanK782 not really, in ww2 one of the major factors why he was pushed back cus the purge got rid of all the good generals and one of the key factors that those new generals after the purge got experience
The US spends 20 years in Afghanistan / Iraq = normal. Russia is in Ukraine for 13 days and that's losing beyond all capacity? Doesn't seem real. Seems really normal to me so far how things have gone. Just trying to be pragmatic here.
None of those military technicalities have been mentioned on BBC news. Whilst the migrant crisis that the war is generating is, of course, of prime concern, there seems to be a lack of will on the part of the BBC to inform it's viewers of the main details of the military situation as it stands. It just says things like Mariupol is surrounded - now back to the border where our correspondent is talking to the refugees (no dis-respect intended).They haven't mentioned the fact that the Kiev marshes have been flooded for one thing - a very simple thing to mention. And when the convoy is mentioned, they just glibly state "Oh, it's stuck, by some means". Come on BBC, we need to hear ALL the salient developments. Not spend ALL your air time interviewing the displaced. They are upset, tired and frightened. We get that! But keeping us in the dark on what the actual military situation is is not informing your audience. Thank you TLDR news for filling me in!
Cos the Beeb isn't going to report stuff they can't verify whereas other such as TLDR or say channel 4 will mention stuff but will add they have not been able to verify information so take with a grain with salt etc
The BBC is obsessed with migration and how it can be increased, they are hoping after this crisis has ended they can leverage any leniency given to Ukrainians to argue for migration from third world countries that are a constant avalanche poor quality economic migrants.
Most media sources do this, I call it disaster porn. They go on endlessly with this poor old lady or that crying mother. These are important stories but they aren't the only stories. I want to know who is advancing here and retreating over there. I want to know the factors influencing the strategies
@@marko4496 Most media USED to do this because people can empathise with other people rather than military maneuvers etc. However they would cover the military aspects too, just look at the coverage of the Falklands or Gulf War I. However these days journalism takes a back seat to activism, the BBC and it's journalists want (and psychologically need) high immigration.
@@mikefish8226 What are you even talking about? Why would BBC journalists want high immigration that badly? Are they all stakeholders in strawberry farms or something? Even if you think that BBC journalists are, IDK, hardcore lefties, that group doesn't actually ideologically _want_ immigration in itself, lefties just tend to be sceptical of arguments against immigration as nationalistic/racist. Even if you assume the worse, there isn't really a motivation to play such a long-con.
The reason refugees are getting so much coverage is that 1.5 million Ukrainians rushing westwards is objectively a lot of people and will demand a policy response from European countries, separate to the sanctions.
FWIW, I used to work in space leased from a wing of a state national guard office. That small office had at least 75, maybe 100 military vehicles, and was not the only one in the state. I borrowed trucks from them periodically when I needed more capacity than our trucks could handle. Sgt Torres was always accommodating.
It also appears that the RF made the same mistake here that was made historically when invading Russia. So none of Putin's sycophants ever read War and Peace, or the failure of the German Army on its invasion of Russia in the 40s.
Those who fail to study history are doomed to repeat it
You are right about one thing only and that is the fuel.. Rashad
Honestly, supplying his troops with inadequate food and supplies seems like a very insidious ploy to encourage pillaging and do even more damage to Ukraine this way. It's cruel, not sure how effective, but it definitely sounds like something the Russian military would do.
EDIT: I'm not saying it was ALL planned, y'all. Obviously the biggest part of this seems to be lack of proper planning, outdated equipment and rations, aswell as overconfidence that this was going to be a much shorter and easier fight than it turned out to be. I'm simply saying that given Russia's history of fighting the technologically superior US in all their proxy wars, aswell as known use of many dirty and demoralizing tactics like this (not that they're much better or worse than the US in that regard), it could be one way to weaponize inadequate or missing equipment that would automatically drive a deeper wedge between the Russian army and their opposition. Look at what they did in Chechnya for example.
Such a good point.
It also means the population in occupied areas will become even more hostile.
That is silly and makes no sense. Firstly the negative effects on moral and actual capability from low supplies means that all actual military objectives will be much harder to achieve, just look at the state of the invasion. Secondly the effects of looting is hardly anything that can be considered major in a war time situation. Just look at it like this, either Russian soldiers are A. looting or B. fucking trying to kill you. Which sounds like a better scenario for Ukraine? Finally it is not like the Russians can just raid a store and take everything and then wait for the next shipment to the store and raid some more. Food and supplies does not just appear out of nowhere, not even in peace time. There is a huge logistics system not related to any wartime activity that constantly ships everything everywhere and if war breaks out this system will have to be adjusted to the circumstances. What i am saying is that even if every Russian soldier had orders to loot every store they came across this is nothing in the big picture since they can only loot what's in the store at that very moment and that is not a lot compared to what is being transported somewhere at any given moment. If you haven't you should really ponder the idea of how much input/output goes into making it so every time you walk into your local store it seems to have everything it always does even though hundreds of people buy stuff every day. Really opens the eyes to what a fragile system we all live under.
No. Just no. The only things that separate a soldier from a civilian are training and discipline. Poor supply destroys discipline, and it seems pretty apparent that the bulk of the Russian army conscripts (the current term of conscription in Russia is now 12 months, btw, hardly enough time to get a raw recruit to stand in formation properly and not kill people accidentally with whatever weapons they are issued) are not well trained. Poor logistics loses you wars, and that has been true for all of history, going back for as far as we have written records of war
Magi it is just corruption and secrecy. Some of the troops thought they would go home after th maneuver and started with a lack of food and hals full tanks.
Putin broke some goldern rule of war
1. “If you know the enemy and know yourself, you need not fear the result of a hundred battles. If you know yourself but not the enemy, for every victory gained you will also suffer a defeat. If you know neither the enemy nor yourself, you will succumb in every battle.” - Sun Tzu
Since Putin does not know the enemies, this is the reason why the war is not going well. He also doesn't know himself and his capabilities. Ukraine understood the philosophy, they know that Russia relies on trains so they use it to their advantage to bow up the train line. Also, Russia relies on trucks so Ukraine exploits the Russian Weakness.
I like how everybody is an expert in what Putin knows and what his plans were. So far, the Ukraine excursion is going on par with the war in Iraq. And the fact that he prepared nearly 200000 men tells me that he was quite ready for a long and bloody conflict.
@@artirm1979 We all know how Iraq went.. So I wouldn't say is exactly good that they are in the same timeframe, even more when Russia has a lot of economic sanctions on them.
You need a strong economy to maintain a war effort, and if the russian economy isn't able to cope with it, it might have a few problems the longer the conflict lasts.
"In the operations of war, where there are in the field a thousand swift chariots, as many heavy chariots, and a hundred thousand mail-clad soldiers, with provisions enough to carry them a thousand miles, the expenditure at home and at the front, including entertainment of guests, small items such as glue and paint,and sums spent on chariots and armour, will reach the total of a thousand ounces of silver per day. Such is the cost of raising an army of 100,000 men." - Sun Tzu
@@artirm1979 like yourself aswell then
Putin suffers the same problem as any dictatorship - he is full of "yes men" in power next to him. He can't know Russia's capacities and strengths when everyone is only praising him and telling him that he can achieve anything (any criticism could lead to prison/death after all), nobody dears to tell him bad news
Great layout. Good job.
He forgot the old saying. An army marches on it's stomach.
My respect to anyone who even dares to protest in Russia anymore.
They can't jail more than a thousand people at once . If this keep up not even tank gonna scare them anymore.
@@walterjames9804 They can. And trust me, a tank looks very scarry in real life. Look at what happened in Belorus. Millions protested to no avail.
Try protesting against Israel bombing of Palestine in western countries, you will end up in jail.
@@memeoverlord-pz5ns And now in todays episode of "things that never happened" xD
In Germany those protests get rather large.
Google for yourself how many of those ended up in jail.
@@AliothAncalagon Celtic have been fined £8,616 by UEFA after fans displayed an "illicit banner" during their recent Champions League qualifier against Hapoel Be'er Sheva.
Fans flew Palestine flags before and during the match against Israeli opposition at Parkhead on Aug. 17, resulting in a charge from European football's governing body.
UEFA viewed the flags as illicit banners under Article 16 of its disciplinary regulations and at a disciplinary hearing the complaint against the Scottish champions was upheld and the club were fined.
Looks like Russian trucks are even better at blocking roads than Canadian ones. 😂
This war stated very clearly that Russia is a danger to Ukraine, even if Ukraine is neutral. Only way of defending vs this massive bully is to join a military alliance with nukes, NATO in this case. Some people think the US controls NATO, and thats partially true, but NATO countries aren't forced to actually do anything but contribute some troops and defend your allies. Im spanish and they don't meddle with us or our politics, in fact NATO was sort of dying without purpose before Russia decided to play war games. Everyone should join the alliance so we can't declare war on each other like barbarians, including Russia itself once Putin decides to give democracy a chance lol. It's the only requisite, be democratic and uphold human rights
Joining the EU would mean pretty much the same thing. Neutral EU countries would need to provide financing, while non-neutral would provide troops.
The difference is, NATO has already announced that Ukraine cannot join in the next 5-10 years, while EU integration was already going for some time now. Maybe Ukraine can get candidate status at first and then go from there.
Either way
Ww3 is inevitable
nicely worded. I agree.
@@waldamy EU would be a good starting point since it also has a defense pact.
The fact that NATO would have become largely defunct if Russia had not done anything in 2014, or at least in Georgia (very different situation though), always causes me confusion as to what Putin’s long term plans really have been for all these years.
Russia never expected such great civilian resistance which adds millions to the Ukrainian fighting force, even if they don't have guns they have maltov cocktails which can disable fuel trucks and other vehicles
As a Finn I was afraid of an invasion on our land but looking at this situation, invasion would be suicide. Finland has close ties with the US as well as other Nordic countries. Finnish defense forces are a lot more competent compared to Russia. I finished my training in December 2021.
Edit: if Russian is struggling in Ukraine with plenty of roads and open fields, how do you think they would do in a thick forest with no roads??
Time for a special economic intervention.....
Not to mention, its Finland, the EU mutual defense clause, and well Putin looks a little busy
Finland would get squashed like a bug.
@@misterpinkandyellow74 Then you havent paid any attention to the wars that have been fought against the finish people. They are masters at guerilla warfare.
Those fucking people run around in white military uniform, they sit in ice until their faces are frozen and chewing snow so they wont give away any heatsignature.
The finish are a crazy people and you should avoid at all cost.
Btw greetings from Denmark.
@@misterpinkandyellow74 obvious troll are obvious.
Actually, you might be wrong about the body bags. The Russian army has sent special mobile crematoriums fitted on trucks, to follow their troops in Ukraine. This means, that a lot of Russian soldiers who die in combat, may just "disappear". For those mothers, sons, daughters, who ask about their loved ones, the answer will simply be "what person? The soldier you are seeking [insert name here] has never existed."
You need a LOT of fuel to burn a body. Since it consists of 70% water. And they don't seem to have a lot of fuel.
I have heard that those "mobile crematoriums" are really just garbage incinerators. And to be honest, that sounds a lot more likely.
It would however be ironic for a fascist dictator who accuses his enemy of being a nazi, uses mobile crematoriums.
It makes you wonder who taught them the use of mobile crematoriums....
Unpersoning soldiers who have died fighting for your nonsense war. That'd be a special kind of evil.
@@Tjalve70 According to holocaust affirmers no fuel is needed to cremate a body and tens of thousands of bodies daily.
That'd be a special kind of stupid. Telling somebody "your family member has never existed" is a lot more likely to make them oppose Putin than "your family member has died while heroically defending Ukraine's freedom and Russia's safety".
Have no fear, ukraine actually take photos of every soldier they kill assuming there's a body left and post it on a website so the Russians families can check it at their leisure.
General Perishing was right, "Soldiers win battles, Logistics win wars."
The Logistics issues should also be quantified by the fact Russia heavily relies upon railways for its internal logistics and that trucks are only supposed to ferry supplies a short distance from railway hubs to forward bases. The current situation shows their lack of planning and resilience when it comes to their supply chain.
Yes, this was in the video
he said that in the first 30 seconds
...... ... t he U.S. is sending troops and weapons of $350 million of U.S taxpayers dollars to Ukrainian N a z i SINCE 2014 to NOT stop this war,, BUT to start and to Continue this WAR in Europe, in order to KILL as many as possible from BOTH sides. The U.S. is doing the SAME OLD sh,, on Russian borders ... as in WW2:
“If we see that Germany is winning we ought to help Russia and if Russia is winning we ought to help Germany, and that way let them kill as many as possible, although I don't want to see Hit ler victorious under any circumstances' - U.S senator Harry Truman during WW2. THE HATE crimes exist against ANY Russians. The U.S. is on Russian BORDERS! !!!.......
@@idahocorrupt2082 You're probably a Russian bot, but I'll bit anyway.
Putin: We don't have any plans to invade Ukraine... {mike drop}
Tactics win battles, logistics wins wars.
There is a few problems with the stated numbers of deaths, both sides lie to further their cause. Ukrainian forces lie about the numbers because it shows their might and heroic stand against a much more powerful enemy (powerful in terms of sheer numbers). Putin claims around 500 deaths totally unrealistic simply based on the number of burned out tanks and progress he is making taking new territory. So lets have them meet in the middle which is much more likely than both claims that would be some 5000 deaths still a crazy number but it seems more realistic.
Now the sanctions and their effects, Europe is waiting for warmer weather to impose oil and gas sanctions, as long as large parts of Europe are freezing and ~35% of gas (used a lot for heating in europe) is imported from Russia they cannot afford to stop those imports the reserves are to small. The Netherlands could start pumping gas again but the earthquakes it has been causing in the area over those gas fields are getting more and more severe so even if they did it would be for a little while as the area above the gas bubbels would become pretty unlivable if the pumping of gas would not stop soon. The main issue here is thus that Europe has no alternative, they cannot just accept higher prices they need to have alternative source before they can impose sanctions. America on its own is not buying enough oil and gas from Russia to make a real dent in the finances on Russian side. This is of course because creating a pipeline from Russia to the US is pretty much impossible and shipping oil and gas by boat is rather costly. So America can and should impose sanctions on oil and gas but cannot expect the Europeans to join in as they first will have to have an alternative source of energy. (I bet the Germans are wishing they had not shutdown their nucellar powerplants so quickly, they could have reduced the need for Russia gas a lot.
As for the opinion in Russia the problem is that it is almost completely impossible to get anything other than Russian propaganda in Russia. There are next to no other sources of information unless you speak another language and that is not something a lot of people do. Those that do are often educated, with a decent job and a lot to loose should the government decide they are undesirable because of whatever reason. So they by enlarge will keep their mouth shut as a change in government policy is unlikely to come from it anyway.
The idea that those close to the fearless leader will step in and kick him out is a nice idea but the big problem is that those that could by enlarge see NATO as a serious threat and know that no mater how difficult it might be Ukraine (and Moldova) need to remain free from NATO influence. This is also why Russia in no uncertain terms has informed Sweden and Finland not to join NATO as this is not something that they can allow due to the threat that NATO poses in their eyes.
Would the Russian generals that have the ability to get close to Putin step in to stop him from doing what they believe he should be doing? I seriously doubt it. Even if they did because the don't like the way he is doing what he is doing they would just do the same in a different way. And dangerous as he might be Putin is smart enough to know that lopping a nuke over the border and removing Kyiv from this planet would spell the end of Russia as we know it. Anyone replacing him might be less convinced of that and make that call to force a breakthrough believing that the west would not do anything else than impose more sanctions... The question is if the west should want Putin to be replaced in a violent maner (he will not go willingly). It would throw the army in disarray, it woud cause more worries about the nucellar arsenal in Russia and it would make it for weeks if not months impossible to tell who gets to decide on what will happen with the mess they made across the border.
The west seems content to let the Ukrainians slug it out with the Russians, while they back Ukraine, should they win the west will swoop in with endless funds and start exploiting the oil and gas riches of Ukraine as soon as they can as a way to reduce the reliance on Russian products. Should Russia win they will continue the sanctions and hope to find some solution to their reliance on Russian oil and gas. (there is a reason why the EU has named Nucellar power a green energy source in the months leading up to the invasion). Russia in both cases will be financially devastated something which anyone that knows a little about the world history and how a certain European country ended up with a rather nasty person in charge can tell you will lead to no end of trouble.
In all cases Russia ends up being the biggest loser in the story, they cannot win even if they take Ukraine. Financially they will be in very serious trouble something which will likely lead to extremism certainly if the west does what they have been doing and continues to maintain that Russia is pure evil long after the war is over.
Not only that, but even if Russia wins, they're going to be completely dependent on China for the foreseeable future. All their aspirations for returning to Great Power status just made them the thralls of an actual superpower. It is, in effect, a complete reverse of the situation from 75 years prior, when the USSR was the senior and more powerful partner to the PRC.
Sadly, you seem to be right. This is a real mess and there is no good way out of it. My only hope is that the West will expedite decarbonizing its economy (it is actually cheaper than this war anyway), thus making the Russian oil lobby less relevant inside the country. Once we do not have the oil power monopoly inside Russia, we will likely develop our country into a decent place fairly quickly.
Thanks for explaining 🙂
30% opposing the war is actually seems pretty high when you consider the media environment in Russia.
And given that they risk 15 years in jail for calling this a war.
A few days ago, a Russian fishing vessel was in a Norwegian port. One of the guys on the fishing vessel went to one of the Norwegians working in the port, and gave him an envelope with €500, asking him to donate it to their friends in Ukraine.
€500 is quite a lot of money in Russia. That tells you they don't really support Putin. Even if they may be afraid to say so publicly.
The media environment just in Russia huh..
I was in the British army 60 to 90. Roughly it took a platoon to tackle a tank thats 30 blokes, now five men can take on a tank effectively.
Just one men with a Javelin.. you muppet.
@@dinsel9691 Christ what's your problem lol
@@dinsel9691 That one man has to be protected. Two Javelins per section sounds about right giving you a five person group that can act indipendantly with lots of menuverability for a few days.
"war requires food, fuel, ammo"
and spare parts. you may laugh at that, but spare parts are important too
The performance of the Russian army is reminiscnet of the Russo-Japanese war. At the start of the conflict the Russian high command was certain of a swift victory against an inferior enemy, but they are actually losing the war. Just like then, it also indicates the several issues inside the army itself. I think the only reason Russia is still considered a military great power is because of the nuclear warheads it possesses. Otherwise, the army itself is of medium to low quality
And the Russian army does not want to kill those people.
I think it’s more reminiscent of the Winter War against Finland. A poorly lead, poorly supplied army trying to subdue a smaller, nominally weaker neighbor who is actually far more competent and motivated than they anticipated. Just like the Finns, the Ukrainians are using their land to their advantage and bleeding the Russians for every inch they take. I assume, and hope, that this war at the very least ends like the Winter War, with Ukraine retaining its independence in a peace deal, but having to cede land (Donbas and Luhansk; probably Crimea too since I don’t see how they would be able to take it back).
And their missile technology
Lol,naive thinking, with the same logic USA have weak military as well as honey failed in Vietnam or Afghanistan
Red army still rely a lot on military service for what i understood, when you take 18-20 year old boys (and nowadays youngs do less and less sports, keep at home play video games) you will need train them very hard for at least six months just to get the physics, i suppose those guys are put in infantry and we will not speak about their motivation. About the logistics: even me with google now 2 weeks before the war Ukrainians are fully loaded with the best anti tank and that they got Turkish drones, so those columm of vehicules is obviously very stupid way to progressin not secured territory... I mean Russia should now very well of those Turkish drones as they have follow 2019 karrabagh war, was main cause for Armenian defeat. Russia also open too much frontlines same time, cause to secure those convoys they would need tons of very experienced scout infantry & urban combat specialist, so if they can't secure areas with good infantry no convoys should be send. Mass Paratroopers attack could have been good too cause they control the air but i don't think they have enough. All this is very weird and the strategy is so weak that is quite pathetic and i kind of feel bad for red army to be honest... Give general ranks to Russian RTS gamers and they will make better strategy & tactics.
It has been observed that flat tyres seen on disabled Russian vehicles may be due to a combination of the use of low quality Chinese military tyre and stress damage and deterioration to sidewalls when vehicles are parked unused for months at a time, particularly in harsh weather conditions.
It's a mistake any competent mechanic knows, you cannot leave vehicles parked stationary for too long without ruining the tires. All you need to do is move them occasionally(during the peak of the pandemic I was occasionally driving my car around the block for no other reason), but apparently russia can't even handle that.
@@Joesolo13 And those tires are propably also way too old.
@@Joesolo13 "any competent mechanic knows, you cannot leave vehicles parked stationary" I bet Russian officers know better.
Yes, I'm not a mechanic, competent or otherwise, but I know this too. But I wonder if Russian officers know this? I wonder if when some sergeant tells them about it they tell the sergeant not to worry because the invasion will be over so quickly that if the tires fail it won't be a problem, and besides there's not much fuel available for driving.
Anyway, your post made me think. Thanks.
As the old saying goes "A war without logistics is just a riot".
Thanks for this excellent subject on Ukraine war. IMO, if Putin continues, he runs a real risk of collapse of his army in battle and a power struggle at home. Not be street people but rather by powerful individuals near Putin. Putin is obviously in a bubble of yesmen shielding him from reality. This may be an opportunity for nearby powerful people but will they be better than Putin? Ukraine's brightest future prospect is to join the EU (Reconstruction and better protection).
True and even for defence as well because as good as NATO is, the countries in that are not really integrated whereas the EU, countries in that are very integrated with each other, that compels the countries in the union to come to the aid of any one of them out of self-interest whereas NATO, well it's not been tested yet.
It does not really matter who comes after Putin, they will not have the same power that he has. This is what happens in all autocratic fascist systems. There is a cult of personality (Hitler, Mao, Stalin, Putin) and the ruler eliminates all possible powerful successors.
The problem with replacing putin is the next guy will control the nukes. What if the next guy is more ruthless and more crazy
Putin isn't just surrounded by yes men, but by a number of people genuinely afraid of him, shielded from reality, yes to some extent, but such people are rarely ever removed by people close to them, but by larger internal national forces, often not till many decades after disaster too, if ever, & the civil disorder in russia isn't at the level to threaten the existence of the state. I do hope we see a military collapse though & some years of stalemated peace for Ukraini that sees them fast tracked into the EU, seems unlikely but a best case scenario.
There’s multiple audio repeats and small mistakes (saying russian when you mean ukrainian etc) in this video. I’ve noticed this in multiple videos so it’s probably a good idea to have someone check these before posting
Noticed that and checked to find this post. A TV presenter managed to find the Finnish=Polish border at another video.
Again rushing videos out, legit just watch it though before uploading, fix any issues and boom, way higher quality content.
Yeah it makes it somewhat harder to take the video seriously.
4:49 Oh how the turns tables
"Millions of pounds or trillions of rubles in damage" HAHAHAHA I laughed so hard there, Russia show the world what a joke they are, wannabe superpower 😂😂😂
This comment is an act of war
going into hundred of trillion of ruble now
they have enough nukes to destroy the planet several times over, sounds lethal enough to me.
@@rabsmiff Considering how this invasion went, I’d say Russia would be lucky if even a third of their nukes are actually operational.
@@jackparker8602 this invasion is still ongoing, it is not over until one side admits defeat. The USA seem frightened to risk a nuclear War with Russia, going by their roaring silence.
Putin's war room:
"You have failed me for the last time, general!"
"Mr President, why are you waving your hands around like that?"
"I'm choking you with my magical powers, I saw it on TV once!"
Lmfao
"american TV" to boot
how do you say "get me a Taco" in Russian?
It was such a secret that the Quartermaster wasn't told to pack extra lunches.
Just a simple comment.
RUB fell from ca 75 to 141 to USD1. That is 88% drop in RUB value not 50%. The base (denominator) is always the historic value not current value.
But you need twice the RUB now for 1 USD, isn't that 50% loss? How did you get 88%?
@@ryanpiotr1929 so if I need thrice the RUB for 1 USD, would it be 33.33% loss?
@@organicfarm5524 No, 67%.
r/confidentlyincorrect
@@ryanpiotr1929 what's that formula, could you write it?
You fail to mention the performance of the Ukrainian resistance.
Logistics is a problem. But it is not the only cause of Russian failure.
IMO, the main cause is the training and competence of the Ukrainian military.
They know how to use the Javelins, Vipers, and other high tech weapons.
40+ fighters have been blown out of the sky.
Hundreds of tanks, trucks, and other vehicles have been destroyed.
10,000+ soldiers killed.
To put this in perspective, Russia lost 15,000 soldiers in 10 years in their Afghan war.
Russia will lose more than that by April 1st.
One month of casualties will exceed the deaths in 10 years of a failed war.
Russia cannot sustain this rate of loss.
Let us pray this doesn't give him any nuclear ideas...
True, but it also worries me, how Putin will further respond to this. He obviously tried to minimize civilian casualties at first and even thought he would be welcomed as a liberator by the Ukrainians. But this "loss of face", increased pressure and the possibility of losing this will propably lead to even less rational decisions and horrible mistakes. He get driven more and more into a corner. And he is most dangerous, when sitting in a corner...
Citation needed. Don't just gobble up everything western media feeds you. If Ukraine is winning why does President Żeleński is asking for other countries to do more to help. He can win the war without any problems after all
Supplying the Ukranians will become more difficult as the Russians take more of the coast. While we're watching supply trucks get bogged down on the outskirts of Kiev, the Russians are starting to mass for an assault on Odessa. If/when they take the south, it will make Ukraines position much more difficult; as more supplies will have to come from the west and Ukraines bargaining position becomes weaker.
I'm an optimist, but things are going to get worse.
You also forget that many soviet soldiers in Afghanistan and WW2 were Ukrainians.
Basically Ukrainians and Russians fought in the same wars.
A certain someone tried to invade Russia almost a century ago, his forces faced logistical issues. Russia never learnt from their enemy.
That right , putler never learn. Too busy living in his delusional dream world.
Yesterday I realized that Russian army is full of vehicles, tanks, planes and helicopters. But the Ukraine army has a lot of explosive fire arms, like "Javelin" rocket launchers. And now you could see that a one Ukrainian soldier is like a tank on feet, he can hide in numerous spots and just destroy vehicles no problem, even planes! They counter all of the Russian army vehicles/planes like nothing.
The role of a "footsoldier" has changed in a century from just cannonfodder to a very deadly stealth weapon.
Especialy in a defensive role they can do a lot of damage to an invading force.
Welcome to Guerilla Warfare, the bane that has messed up any conventional army to ever attempt fight it. That's what is happening to Russia now, it's what happend to the US multiple times (Afghanistan and Vietnam to name a few) or even the Soviet Union before that, were tiny little countries like the Baltic states. The fact remains that so long as the actual population of the region is willing to fight the occupants there is nothing you can do except bleed resources for no gain.
that is why tanks need troops to cover them - that is a lesson everyone learned as far back as during the second world war
@@obelic71 Yeah and to see so much destruction with simple "cheap" weapons relative to tanks is just amazing. Russia will lose a LOT of military hardware and the cost of that is just phenomenal.
It's the Battlefield 2042 meta. Vehicles are useless when every soldier carries around a rocket launcher lol
I find it odd when you're showing the price of the ruble crashing, you show a graph that goes up (because the graph is rubles to a pound) - would make more sense to show a graph of pounds to a ruble
DOESN'T HAVE ENOUGH TRUCKS
Even Zelensky made the Russian forces look like a joke and it's ironic how this so-called 'superpower' can't even progress because of muddy roads.
didn't the same problem happen to the Nazis and the Soviets during Barbarossa in WW2? But both sides engaged in the largest land battle of all time, they were the Superpowers of their time.
the dude is a comedian but putin gave me a better laugh because this was is very humiliating for russia
This is even worse than the Soviet invasion to finland. boi that war's reason why it failed at first is due to incompetency of generals.
here..Russians aren't truly prepared to invade ukraine at all
Fun fact Russia doesn't have enough trucks to supply it's entire army
Lol, i read that as Russia not having enough fucks to supply it's entire army and I feel that's so true. Many russian soldiers don't give a fuck about the war and just want to get out of it unscathed.
but they do have enough nukes to destroy the planet many times over, which is perhaps a more pressing matter.
as a Romanian i confirm Ukraine will be in EU and we will help them for that.
3:07 - I assume you mean "Ukrainian forces retook the airbase"
Thank you for explaining it helps a lot to understand this ridiculous war in Ukraine.
Damn, a lot of Russian bots in the comments coping hard
Reasons I knew Putin was doomed: 1. Russia has the economy of a large state in the U.S., not enough for a war like this. 2. Corruption culture spread to military, an inadequate defense budget near dry. 3. Painted rust, heavy weapons are old, hardly working. 4. Unprofessional troops, training just for pilots cost $30,000 per hour, per flight. Training, on this budget? 5. Really tiny force. An army of 200,000 has only 70,000 actual combat troops, only 25,000 are pros, the rest, logistics/support units. Take and hold a country of 40 million, on 4-5 major lines of attack, disaster to any junior military planner. Finally, the Ukrainians, worked with a few over the years, hardest people on Krypton. Ukraine will win and indirectly liberate Russia from Putin.
Hitler funded much of his war expansion activities by exploiting the slave labor of Millions, if and when this war intensifies, Putin might adopt the same tactics; war economy problem licked.
here you are a dreamer)))
Well, it has now been officially confirmed that Russian General Vitaly Gerasimov, chief of staff of the 41st Army, has been Killed In Kharkiv, this is the 3rd general, including Chechen general Magomed Tushayev, and 2nd Russian general Putin has lost now. it was earlier confirmed by the Russians that the commanding general of the Russian 7th Airborne Division, Major General Andrey Sukhovetsky was killed around a week ago, just as Chechen general Magomed Tushayev, who was the commander of the Chechen National Guard's 141 motorized regiment.
Yesterday, Lieutenant Colonel Dmitry Safronov, Commander of the Russian Armed Forces' 61st Separate Marine Brigade and Lieutenant Colonel Denis Glebov, Deputy Commander of the Russian Armed Forces’ 11th Separate Airborne Assault Brigade were both killed in battle around the city of Chuhuiv, Kharkiv, Oblast as the city of Chuhuiv was liberated by the Ukrainian armed forces.
Putin is losing this war, General(ly) speakingremed
Audio problem right about the 1:50 mark during talking about Kherson😁
I was in ukraine once and there is one thing that is of rememberance more than anything. i cant believe their shitty roads actuelly saved them one day
"64km of Russian military equipment is just sitting there."
*Breaths heavily in A-10 Warthog*
NATO would lay waste to Russia's hordes of alcoholics, junkies, rapists, arsonists and thieves.
To be honest I reckon Snoopy in his Sopwith Camel could destroy that convoy
Be patient the supply nato promise will be here soon . And the local military already receive some of it , i watch a video on it just this morning.
An army AND an air force "travel on their stomach" indeed.
Smart fighting. They are ambushing the supply lines that would have been strained enough. They are fighting 1940s war in 2022. Armour is just a big target in todays battles. Airpower supremacy is a key and they at best air superiority. Small unit Infantry units can wreak havoc behind enemy lines. The Russians are stuck on the roads and dont have the men to move off the roads as the ukraine is huge.
The irony of Putin wanting to put together a new USSR when the Russia he oversees is falling apart. He can’t even manage a corner shop properly and he’s looking to create a supermarket empire.
what he actually wants is a return to Czarist Russia with him as the Czar...because that worked out great for the last five guys who where called that...
Even if Ukraine loses the war eventually, the defensive performance they delivered is admirable.
Honestly it's hard to tell whether it's Ukraine having a good defense or Russia having a horrible offense that created this situation.
Ultimately, the fate of the war and of Putin himself will be decided by the Russian generals. They have to be fearing that this monumental strategic military failure and international humiliation (regardless of the ultimate outcome) and destruction of the Russian economy (for decades to come) will inevitably be blamed on them and they will be facing prison for life...or worse. Knowing that, one has to wonder if those generals, with the support of their armed forces after this monumental failure, and perhaps in league with some or most oligarchs (who have lost their financial and social lives in the West) might see that removing Putin from office either vertically or horizontally is in Russia's and their own best interests. My take is that, two to three months from now, regardless of the conditions on the ground in Ukraine, Putin will be leaving the Kremlin forever, probably with a toe tag.
It either him or them, and they better make their move soon , or else that the end for them. Right now that old brutal dictator are getting more and more unstable by the day.
@@walterjames9804 I am certain that these generals can see the future without using tea leaves or tarot cards right about now. Every one of them is in danger of being eliminated but thry don't know how long it will take, probably long enough for the infliction more war crimes in the form of horriffic damage and loss of life on the Ukranians. But regardless of ultimate outcome, they are finished. There's no walking their failures back. And this AM, it is being reported that Biden has finally sanctioned international sale of Russian oil. That should put the finishing touches on their economy and cause riots in the streets. What must the oligarchs be thinking about now? Who is the cause of this disaster? Who is undependable as their leader going forward? Who cannot fix this mess? Who seems to be going madder by the day? Who is therefore expendable? All eyes will turn to Putin very shortly, assuming that hasn't already started. The only fear is that he senses it's all over for him and he doesn't try to go nuclear to take the planet down with him.
@@semigeniusreally8988 One thing to point out, Putin can't launch the nukes on his own, he needs to send the order to the military, if what you theorize would actually happen then he would be stranded since his military would be turning against him.
Also a large chunk of them are yes men, so would they really turn against their own boss? I wonder.
All hypothetically of course.
@@Klonoahedgehog My experience informs me that "yes men" continue to say yes only as long as their lives or their livelihoods or their families are not threatened. Nobody even moderately sane in authority with the ability to countermand a launch order from Putin is going to go along with that order,destroying all life on this planet. If the time ever comes where Putin gives the order to send nuclear missles to Europe and the US, I am thinking that is the last order he will ever send in this life. We all can remember when Nixon was coming unglued in the last days of Watergate and when Trump came even more unglued than normal when he learned he had lost the 2020 election. In both instances, forces of sanity in authority gave orders down the chain of command that no launch order emanating from the White House could be obeyed without proper confirmation. We can only assume that the same "fail safe" situation exists in Russia, as well.
4:50 Never invade Ukraine during the spring. Especially if you are a country who historically has an advantage during the winter.
I always think of the line from Princess Bride, about one of the classic blunders of the world, was never get involved in a land war in Asia. I find it funny since it is a reference of all the countries trying to invade Russia and it going horribly wrong, only to now have Russia doing the invading and it is going just as bad.
Advantage during winter? Greetings from Finland.
@@justskip4595 Well played! :)
@@justskip4595The land climate of Ukraine makes summer also insufferable.
Thanks for the video. You made a point about how so few people are subbing to the channel, while still watching the videos. I can only speak for me, but I see zero point in watching you on the left of the screen, and the presented news on the right; when I'd much prefer to simply watch the news and listen to your commentary. So while I appreciated the information, I wouldn't sub to this format. Just my two cents.
1) There are major editing mishaps here. From non-cut retakes to straight up mistakes, like around 3:10 you mentioned that Russia "retook" the airport, but then showed a Ukrainian flag. I get this news source doesn't have millions upon millions of funding but please, proof-watch your videos
2) The invasion stalled for a reason, the Russians already tried waltzing their way into Kyiv and failed spectacularly. The "60km convoy" has been busy _not_ running head-first into Kyiv like the last time, but instead slowly driving their way down south, using helicopter cover, to set up better positions on the NW of the capital. Both road conditions, lack of security, and slowness of air (chopper) cover is what is slowing the line, but they aren't sitting there pondering their thoughts.
Ukrainian defence and the Lt. Gen. in charge of the land forces have said and confirmed themselves that the invaders are setting up FOBs or Forward Operating Bases to the NW in captured territory, they are installing fuel depots, field hospitals, etc etc. with the things they've been hauling for 60km. That's why it's been quiet. They tried running at it, it failed, so now they're doing it the normal way.
While it is true that some sectors of the front-line are in awful condition (no rations/expired, no fuel, no anything really), the 60km conga line isn't filled with empty trucks. They are building something big here, and seeing as how they're keeping their armour within that north western sector and only using light scout vehicles in direct combat, it's safe to assume that when that FOB is finished and they finally assault Kyiv-, that their heavy armour follow with. They're saving it for this.
Kyiv is in danger, Enemy scout movement NW is shifting to SW, threatening the roads used to deliver reinforcements and supplies to the city.
The russians screwed up, but they aren't braindead (unfortunately). They are putting their last 2 IQ points towards this north-western base.
liveuamap is a good site, but even wikipedia would do the job, you can look at their map and see why the russians chose NW. An attack is incoming.
Slava Ukrayini
I was feeling somewhat positive until I read your well thought post. Thanks for the reality check.
I love the work you guys do on RUclips and Nebula, and I'm very much looking forward to more, but someone might need to reedit this video.
Though I'm sure it's just due to overworking yourselves inorder to cover the war. Videos have been coming out pretty often lately.
Yea couple mishaps in this video.
I'm curious as to why you think the Russians thought the war would only take a few days? I have seen a report that said a captured Russian officer had plans suggesting his battalion was expected to capture their first objectives in 15 days. I'm not saying that is correct but I'd like to know where you are getting your information from.
I'm with you on this one! No one is reporting this but him... I'm very curious!
let's hope ukraine wins and war doesn't break out, I'm scared of the nukes i cried for the past nights, let's pray they win and war doesn't break out.
putin is trying to be hitler but he’s turning out to be about as competent as Mussolini
Both Hitler and Mussolini were awful strategists, most of their generals and military advisors knew that.
They were good at internal affair tho, Hitler in particular
@@Zankyo137 Hitler managed to invade and conquer many countries, how could an 'awful startegist' manage that at all?
@@rabsmiff Hitler's generals did, Only once Hitler's direct order on the war worked, at the start. The more the war progressed the more his idea became bad. Well even at the start actually:
He wanted GB to be neutral in the conflict, but once GB commisioned dreadnought ships, he ordered bigger and more warship than the english ones, GB didnt take It well
nether of those guys where all that competent when it came to war
@@Zankyo137 also building bigger ships and tanks was not a smart move as those require more resources and a longer turn out
At the rate Russian armor is being lost, NATO is going to have to disarm Ukraine XD
"In kherson, there have have been massive protests" - best TDLR quote
I don’t get it
@@marcot3868 narrator just fumbled a bit, that's all
@@CPTE5069 still don't get it 😂
9:30 Actually Russia reportedly refuses to accept bodies of Russian soldiers back into Russia. That's also the way loses in Russian army were handled during war in Donbas. I've seen some documentaries about families being paid to keep quiet about a loss of life at war and graves of Russian soldiers appearing in remote regions of Siberia. Sadly none of the things I've watched or read are in English and I learnt about it years ago.
@Craisler yeah screw off with your dog pfp
Seems like Putin has a Napoleon complex. The guy's a shrimp!
Full support and pray for Ukraine! South Korea always stand with you. 🇰🇷💖🇺🇦🌹
US puppet supports NATO puppet
@@beetgil 😂
Don't listen to those other comments they are just mad they arent winning the war 😊
@@beetgil So every nation you don't like is just a puppet. Gotcha.
@@Pyriold Puppet means non russian to them
I'd say the most interesting part about Odessa will be whether he decides to shell the city. If that happens, he directly bombs a UNESCO World Heritage Site, as the old city of Odessa is a World Heritage Site. The last time someone did this, was ISIS blowing up parts of Palmyra. So not only will he have to pay for war crimes such as killing civillians and attacking both foreign press and Ukraines health facilities, but also pay for attacking a World Heritage Site, potentially destroying irreplaceable art, culture and history, which won't be cheap. Furthermore, bombing Odessa will make Russia be equaled to ISIS, which seriously won't do any good for the Russian economy, nor Russia itself and its ordinary citizens.
Oh give me a break. Shelling Odessa would be very bad, but would be nowhere near ISIS. Being a UNESCO heritage site is meaningless in this situation and shouldn't be taken seriously by anyone. What should be taken seriously is the loss of life that would result, which would be a much larger tragedy than loosing some art.
Oh wow, that's a great point! I never knew that!
@@johnbaker4246 Hmm, interesting question. 🤔 Archeological sites in the Near East (Levant, Mesopotamia, Gulf Coast...) span the last 10 000 years of history (stone age, bronze age, iron age, classical antiquity...). They are IMMENSELY precious and IRREPLACEABLE windows into the origins of Human civilization. 🤯 They have PLANETARY scientific importance to all of humanity (not just national, not just historical value). 🤔 I would argue that is PRECISELY the kind of thing that is EASILY more valuable than human life. ...
Now, European old towns and historical architecture, something 300-500 years old (as opposed to 3000-5000)... are NOT in the same category. 🧐Even if they're both UNESCO sites, there is just no comparison! 😄Of course, I AM NO EXPERT, and there are important subtleties here! This is just a YT comment.
@@lexprontera8325 Give me a break. 10,000 year old ruins and artifacts are cool and valuable from a historic perspective, but they are purely academic. They don't have planetary scientific importance of any value whatsoever.
@@johnbaker4246 Hey, I didn't invent this. People all over the world usually agree there are things larger than life, sometimes worth dying for. Freedom is one such ideal, but there are others. "History of civilization" plays into the concept of the Great Human Journey... (and also answers the "scientific value" part)
Also, it's not just hypothetical: people CAN and HAVE already given their lives to protect such treasures: ISIS beheaded the Palmyra archeologist Khaled al Asaad after he refused to lead them to hidden arifacts.
3:05 _"Russian forces quickly retook the [Hostomel] airbase on March 4th."_
Judging from the context, those were *Ukrainian* forces. 🤔 (small mistake)
Also remember that Ukraine has been pretty hard on Russia's generals and field officers.
Editing mistakes, 3:04 "Russian forces quickly retook the airbase" should be Ukrainian, etc. These videos should really be more carefully produced. If you don't have the time to make sure it's of decent quality, it takes away from the professionality and should probably just be postponed until at least basic quality can be guaranteed.
A big problem is the first troops to go into Ukraine were *conscripts* , not vet and conscripts. The troops also thought they'd be welcomed, but we're dismayed to find they were hated, and really didn't want to fight after that.
Excellent info, well presented. Thank you. I just subscribed and will share. Our friends down under are now my first choice for truthful info on Russia's Ukraine invasion. One slight correction at about 3:00 TLDR speaker says that after their knocking out train lines from Russia into Ukraine, Russia tried to take control of the Hotomel air base, but "Russian" forces quickly retook control. It immediately became apparent that he meant to say "Ukrainian" force quickly retook control. (Perhaps noting that may help someone.)
In any case, I love straight, as truthful as possible, well presented and illustrated information.
Thank you, TLDR.
I'm getting conflicting news about the situation. Some say the russian advance is stalling or even retreating, others say they're overwhelmingly powerful and it's only a matter of time until the russians win. I know that truth is the first thing to die in a war and much of what is publicly "known" is down to propaganda.
My sympathies clearly lie with Ukraine, but I can't help but wonder what the situation is really like right now ...
Media Will never disclose the full truht, thats for sure, but they know that "mostly a Truth" sell Better. Russia Is taking down any media they are not directly in control of: this show that whatever Is actually the Truth, its awfully far from what Russia Is telling its people.
You can't JUST look at what you are being told.
You also need to look at WHO is telling you this.
The truth is usually somewhere between those two. But I think you can trust independent media more than most other sources.
tldr - the answer is both,
long version - russia has overwhelming force in numbers & military hardware that if fully brought to bear would be overwhelming, and that has pushed up to & in some cases surrounds(particularly in the south east) ukaines major cities, but this force has not been fully brought to bear & is stalling on the roads with it's supplies being attacked on lines of assymetric warfare & in places being pushed back(particularly where the line of advance overextended in a push for Kyiv) , in the south the situation is worse for ukraine with a steady russian adavance, 1 city occupied & another surrounded, with 1 flank exposed to the threat of a potential attack out of transnistria on the moldovan border & the other being pressed by russian forces out of crimea , & russia largely controlling the sea with all the implied logistics benefits of that there, but even there russia now struggles with a hostile population it isn't prepared to cope with , & it's not easily taking territory it expected to win quickly but is being resisted , it also seems to be becoming apparent to all including the russians that even occupying every major city in ukraine wouldn't win russia the war, fighting would continue outside the cities & ukraine's people would regularly protest all russian presense, as a result of all this Russia has de-escalated it's demands, which it had ramped up to extremes at the outset of the war, down to ukraine agreeing to be isolated and vulnerable again, which were the Russian demands before the war & which Ukraine will not agree to.
@@Zankyo137 The US and Europe took down all the Russian media as well. Fruit for thought.
@@artirm1979 indipend media are still up in usa and Europe, both pro and con Russia. Still trust Putin less than usa (which i don't trust much anyway)