ARKK CRASHES AGAIN - Buy the Dip? or is Cathie Wood Wrong? | A Look at ARKK's Top 10 Holdings
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- Опубликовано: 7 авг 2024
- iTs ThE fUtUrE bRo! or is it? My short answer is no, I think it's too early for a lot of these companies since most of them are unprofitable and dilute you as a shareholder! Let's look at ARKK's top 10 holdings!
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▬ Contents of this video ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬
0:00 - Intro: About ARKK
0:21 - Why ARKK is Falling
1:33 - Top 10 Holdings // How I Screen Stocks
2:28 - 1. $TSLA
3:50 - 2. $ROKU
4:17 - 3. $TDOC
5:17 - (WHY?) Buying a Company Before Profitability
6:16 - 4. $ZM
7:15 - 5. $COIN
7:42 - 6. $U
7:54 - Why do "DD" if there's no money being Made?
8:01 - 7. $SPOT
8:05 - 8. $TWLO
8:08 - 9. $EXAS
8:11 - 10. $PATH
8:27 - Why I don't like This Fund (No Fundamentals)
9:20 - Why Active Funds are Bad
10:50 - Why are you Hating?
11:58 - Why Don't you Short ARKK then?
Did you get burned by ARKK? You don't have to agree with what I said in the video, but I hope this helps you not buy into the next hype wave!
Great analysis. What should I do if I'm already in there lol..... my average is $85 and I'm holding for the long term(5-10yrs)... will it bounce back?
I can't say, it's always possible that it bounces back but I can't really put a value on the fund since a lot of the companies are unprofitable
Good presentation
thanks
Exactly right I mean no one's going to beat the S&p 500 back in the 90s so if you getting 17% interest below that and and on average it just that's you going to be damn lucky to get that and it's just not happening cuz these people are not going to be able to beat the efficient market the efficient market is I mean if you stay in there 5 years but you have to I think you have to get stocks or undervalid get execution you buy them and they have to be valued growth in the other side companies that are profitable showing profit for long term so what you're saying is that exactly right man and when you're in these active funds you really get hurt bad that's what's happening right here
Totally agree.
great demonstration on why Jack Bogle hates etfs.
exactly this! the fee structure can really screw people over
In a raising rate enviroment cathie woods strategy is going to going to get hit hard. However, in the long-term sure i think her picks are going to return wayyy high multiples then the S&P can.
True, I'm not sure about her picks in the long term (we don't know what she will trim and add to the fund)... but don't sleep on the world markets
People need to learn from history.... every single period of stock market history shows the same behaviors and with the same outcomes. This time is NEVER different.
100%, but people forget so quickly
Right just common sense man yeah you're right you want to buy something that's you know I bought Facebook after it was 70% down and even then I bought it after it dropped a little bit more than that and then you look at the company you know as it's just making a lot of money it has two huge cash reserve so if you do could take the 60% crash happens in April if it does happen you know I'm still going to be around in 5 years when my Facebook finally gets the metaverse going and eventually if it's doing 17% a year or 19% it says it's going to get with compound interest if you hold that stock for 5 years you can always buy a little bit of stock at the lower levels so after this out in my book Facebook is going to make you a lot of money in 5 years and the stock went up 10 bucks today it's really correcting fast but we don't know what the market's going to do the way the feds pumped out all that money it's a huge bubble I don't know when it's going to
ARKK's sharpe ratio is an unremarkable 1.1 over the last 5 years, basically no better than the S&P, and worse than the Nasdaq. It basically means Cathie Wood has no provable skill in either selection of timing, and her returns are simply the result of taking on more risk. Well that can cut both ways, because in a risky fund there is more chance that you will underperform the internal rate of growth simply due to unlucky timing.
If you had cost steadily averaged into QQQ over the last 5 years you would now have more money than had you done the same with ARKK due to all the money you sunk in over the last year when the fund was much higher.
agreed. Even without using this ratio, common sense says a lot about taking on so much risk with ARKK's asset allocation at its peak valuations, at least the S&P & the NASDAQ have positive earnings as an average of the portfolio's holdings (even though they seem overvalued too)
beta != risk. Sharpee ratio is inherently useless. Risk = chance of permanent capital loss. Beta= financial industry jargon that means nothing to me as an investor. In fact, the more volatile, the more chance of buying at cheaper prices...
@@xdman20005 correct, beta is just volatility and not equivalent to risk. Had to look up the sharpe ratio since I really never use it
I will see how people do if it goes through this crash see if people recover but you know most people panic they're not mentally tough and they just lose money and that's what happened in the 80 and the other crashes they're not smart money the minute that they they're all emotional and they panic and
IYW > ARKK without the downside
there is downside because tech stocks can be overvalued BUT at least these companies make money which is already a lot better than ARKK haha
Yeah last year you're up $145%. This year you're down 70%, but you haven't even gone you're only 20 for 1% down if we crash we're going down another 60% so you're talking about not just a regular crash with a big one you know it's going to be something like the '80s where everybody I talk to last about 300,000 or 400,000 bucks few guys stayed in but that was about it most people panicked so this this is going to be at what point do you start buying back I mean it'll be a sharp one down quick fall like it was in the eighties I lived through that one it was a real bad day in June you know how long it took for me to recover from that mentally emotionally do when you lose that kind of cash dude I was bummed out for 15 years probably and I'll never get over it to the point where you say I'll never go into the market ever again it took me 10 years to recover from that now I'm back in but you know what the experience is that I've been through it all I know what it's like so it's experience it all the men China can't pay you because you don't just read it in the book I know
You have no idea what you are talking about!
arkk's strategy just isn't great, buying at such terrible valuations
Right and the other guy I hit a professional he came up with the same assessment you're doing it's over valued and wouldn't touch it but there's always the possibility you know beyond logic that that like Amazon or Tesla can triple and be worth three trillion dollars and you'll get your money back it's always a possibility I mean you saw Amazon do some credible things but you know the way I look at it right now is it's just suicide to buy a stock that's overvalued it's too expensive and then you think that you're going to go and make a good return that's just not logical like you said you've got to get a good deal on you relatively undervalued and it's a value gross stock that has a really good earnings over the last 10 years where you can you're looking at you know Facebook is good because it's undervalued it's already gone down 70%, and you're looking at 19% return that they keep increasing that in return rate all the time as a stock goes lower the increase return rate because the p ratio continues to fall it means to return to shareholders is higher so you know no matter whether this stuff goes lower it's it's going to have an awesome return especially over 5 years but to go and buy some of these stocks but you know what Amazon which is kind of overvalued even though my buddy bought it too high at the top of the bowl when this thing goes bull if the market goes pull this guy's bringing in a hundred bucks a day cuz this stock goes up $100 you know typically if you got a quarter million he brings in about 10,000 a day on bull runs so it only takes about five times for that market to go up that kind of dough you know you're looking at 17 shares of Amazon or $100 going up in one day that's 1700 bucks in one day at this stock moves up and Tesla has that potential too of going up maybe 55 bucks a day but you know what almost bear markets and bull days are about half and half right there isn't even as many bull days as bear days in a year so if you're not in the market the whole time you're not going to get those bulls but the deal is that the bulls are next to the bears there's no way you can time the market and get in and out you basically if you every time you move in and out trying to time the market that bull to miss the bear you'll miss the bull the next day and that's they put the bulls next to the bears that people who get out of the market and don't stay for the long term ride like 5 years all they are is a bunch of day traders and gamblers and no matter how smart you are right now if you're horizon it's less than 5 years you're not going to do any better than anyone else in the market and I don't care what your IQ is and I don't care what book you've read according to this book which is the probably the best stock market book ever written is that the guys who have a 5-year window the longer the time frame the more app you're going to make money but you know the deal is if you go in and you're buying stocks over valued into expensive and then you ride down a stock market crash dude you might not recover in 5 years and you might be right even this 5-year window theory that might sink through the