This is going to be explosive.
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- Опубликовано: 7 июл 2024
- 🟢 TRADE IDEAS & DISCORD: / figuringoutmoney
🟢 FAVORITE BROKER: bit.ly/3mIUUfC
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Welcome to another episode of the Stock Market Brief Show! In today's video, we delve into some fascinating charts and discuss the tightening market conditions that suggest we might see some explosive moves soon. We cover a range of topics, from technical analysis to the implications of upcoming economic data, and explore the opportunities and risks in the current financial landscape.
Key Highlights:
1. CME Fed Watch Tool Insights: We examine the probabilities of a potential rate cut and discuss the upcoming testimonies from Jerome Powell and Janet Yellen, as well as key economic data releases including core inflation and PPI. These events could significantly impact market volatility.
2. Technical Analysis Deep Dive: Using the IWM weekly chart, we analyze the Federal Funds Rate, the 10-year minus 3-month yield, and the implications of rate cuts on small caps. We highlight how tight Bollinger Bands can signal upcoming volatility and explore historical patterns that could indicate future market movements.
3. Volatility Predictions: We discuss the VIX and its recent tight Bollinger Bands, drawing parallels to similar patterns seen in 2007. Large VIX orders hint at potential spikes in volatility, raising questions about upcoming market events.
4. Sector-Specific Opportunities:
- Mid-Cap Growth ETF (Vanguard):** We highlight the tight price action and potential breakout in mid-cap growth stocks, suggesting opportunities for upside moves.
- Utilities Sector (XLU):** Tight price action in utilities suggests imminent movement, with potential trade setups in top holdings like NE, Duke, and SO.
5. Market Breadth and Divergences: We explore the NYSE Bullish Percent Index and the McClellan Summation Index to identify potential trend changes. Positive divergences in these indicators could signal a broadening market breadth and potential upside in smaller and mid-cap stocks.
6. Correlation Analysis: We revisit the housing market's negative correlation with the S&P 500, discussing the implications of deep negative correlations and potential volatility spikes.
7. Strategic Levels to Watch: We provide key levels on the SPY and discuss expected moves based on implied volatility, offering guidance on managing risk and taking profits as the market approaches significant resistance points.
Join us as we navigate these complex market conditions with a focus on technical analysis and strategic insights. Whether you're a seasoned trader or new to the market, this episode provides valuable information to help you make informed decisions.
Don't miss out on this explosive analysis-hit the like button, subscribe for more market updates, and leave your thoughts in the comments below!
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🟢 Instagram: / figuringoutmoney
🟢 Twitter: / mikepsilva
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DISCLAIMER: I am not a professional investment advisor, nor do I claim to be. All my videos are for entertainment and educational purposes only. This is not trading advice. I am wrong all the time. Everything you watch on my channel is my opinion. Links included in this description might be affiliate links. If you purchase a product or service with the links that I provide I may receive a small commission. There is no additional charge to you! Thank you for supporting my channel :)
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#Stockmarket #StockMarketAnalysis #DayTrading
🟢 TRADE IDEAS & DISCORD: www.patreon.com/figuringoutmoney
🟢 FAVORITE BROKER: bit.ly/3mIUUfC
NDQ / DJI peaked at 0.47 in the 2000 Tech bubble, and hit the same level in December '21 before the 38% correction. The ratio is now 0.52, meaning that Tech concentration is more extreme today than even at the 2000 highs.
As long as $SVIX remains bid & the Fed & other central banks keep spoofing liquidty, then it's all good.
@@johnk1984 the world has changed since 2000. The concentration in tech today vs then is far more justifiable.
@@ShameenYakubuIs it tho
@@Byebyemeow yes. It is
yes but this time is different. Ponzi can keep ponzing
I watch this guy trade live, he calls out the upside move and the downside move. he's neither permabear, nor permabull. Just a balanced trader that knows how to spot long and short opportunities.
Yeah the vix calls are absurd for next week
These specific ones i was calling out were Sept. I have to re look again for this week
@@FiguringOutMoney look at next week open interest it is absolutely absurd
Will do, thanks for call out
@@FiguringOutMoney what did I tell you the vix calls that were expiring this week and expired today boom boom September vxx calls looking amazing
I heard several individuals at Salt Shack saying that the market is ripe, so I'm thinking about investing some money in stocks. Is it a good time to buy stock? I have almost $545K in equity from the sale of my property, but I'm unsure what to do with it. Should I buy shares now or wait for a better opportunity?
Of course, but you shouldn't enter the market blindly just because there are prospects there. I'll urge you to get professional assistance in order to comprehend the possible aspects that could contribute to your financial growth.
Many people underestimate the need of a financial advisor until they are burned by their own emotions. I recall that after a long divorce, I needed a good boost to keep my firm afloat, so I looked for licensed consultants and found someone with the highest qualifications. Despite inflation, she has helped me increase my reserve from $275k to $850k.
This is definitely considerable! think you could suggest any professional/advisors i can get on the phone with? i'm in dire need of proper portfolio allocation.
My CFA ’Leah Foster Alderman’, a renowned figure in her line of work. I recommend researching her credentials further. She has many years of experience and is a valuable resource for anyone looking to navigate the financial market.
I just googled her and I'm really impressed with her credentials; I reached out to her since I need all the assistance I can get. I just scheduled a caII.
What are the best strategies to protect my portfolio? I've heard that a downturn will devastate the financial market, so I'm concerned about my $200k stock portfolio.
There are strategies that could be put in place for solid gains regardless of economy situation, but such execution is usually carried out by an investment specialist
I've been in touch with a financial analyst ever since I started investing. Knowing today's culture The challenge is knowing when to purchase or sell when investing in trending stocks, which is pretty simple. On my portfolio, which has grown over $900k in a little over a year, my adviser chooses entry and exit orders
Mind if I ask you to recommend this particular coach you using their service? Seems you've figured it all out.
My CFA ’ANGELA LYNN SCHILLING’ , a renowned figure in her line of work. I recommend researching her credentials further. She has many years of experience and is a valuable resource for anyone looking to navigate the financial market.
Thank you for this Pointer. It was easy to find your handler, She seems very proficient and flexible. I booked a call session with her.
Honestly I’m surprised the uncertainty of the presidential election hasn’t caused more volatility yet.
Thank you for all your excellent info!
Thanks Mike
fantastic video! Thanks Mike
Whats up Dire! :) thank you
7:03 - Damn, that is some fun noises. Just triggered hysteric laugh from me. Thank you :)
Let's go man best out there for overall market awareness
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Great video with excellent data that I haven't run into elsewhere! Keep it coming!
Thanks
Welcome!
IWM today couldn't break previous highs then put in a lower high. Saw support at vwap on the 5 min swept liquidity before dropping hard GG today
A lot of talk about SPX gamma levels on X can we cover what this is and how it works?
ominous area under the curve 😶
Also, don't forget that symmetrical triangles often have an initial, false breakout, followed by the real move. Great video!
What's up with the reverb on your voice buddy?
Im not to sure what that is haha
Looks super bearish, but then again it always does. Lol
Now in the QQQ project Fibs from C ovid lows to oct of 2023 and see the magic happen.
NVDA 🔥🍾 This game is easy AF
Hmm someone is betting big money on something big happening in early September? Noted.
Well, from now till then according to the spread that was put on
Once bears figure out market makers need the market to go up to be profitable and amaze their clients well then go higher
Market makers typically run delta neutral. Direction of market doesn’t matter to them
MGK and VGT for life. They literally have a chart with the performance. Sort year to date.
If you replace iwm in the $btcusd:$gold sailor to schiff chart today it crossed above the zero line 🤔 ie: iwm:$gold
Interesting. I havnt backtested that
@@FiguringOutMoney run to your computer and check it out!!!
Interestingly I have like 10 I can cut and paste
$wtic: $gold
$natgas:$gold
$hsi:$gold
Iwm, spx,tan, ixy, hgx
Potential is my middle name.
NFCI CHICAGO FED
I'm expecting a drop after this week. I think JPowell will confuse most then they'll hit the markets with a higher inflation rate. Always love your show Mike. I'm only taking small positions and options closer to the money with longer duration. That way I can stay rational longer than the market can stay irrational. 😂😂
I am hopeful you will go over crypto again given the major pullback.
Hey mike, dont miss out on the FUN. Keep eyes on. Pretty hot right now, though.
look at the put to call ratio ticker: CPC
I watch it. I like applying a 10sma to it and monitoring certain levels that cross
Hey Mike, I appreciate your work, but I’m concerned that you have been preparing us for a potential drop for some time and people will miss this monster run.
I have been preparing everyone for more upside as well (In fact I go over lots of long setups even in this video). The only things we can control in markets are what we buy, when we buy it, how much we buy, and when we sell. I've been very specific about levels and what to look for when market conditions change (Gamma Flip, Declining 5DMA). This is a common issue with people who do not watch the entire video. Also, I have not mentioned a single short-sided trade in the Discord this year until today, 7/9. Cheers
🎉🎉🎉 🚀🚀🧨🚀
📈📈📈📈🍻🍻🍻
LOL Vix won't reach 45 until 2027
The US economy is a powerhouse with a diverse range of sectors. The stock market and the dollar have traditionally been safe havens due to their long-term growth and stability. However, potential downturns are part of the economic cycle, and laws are in place to manage defaults and asset seizures. Inflation can be a concern, but remember, certain assets like stocks and Crypto’s acts as a hedge. Long & short-term trading is generally safer, allowing investors to weather market volatility. I have managed to grow a nest egg of around 100k to a decent 432k in the space of a few months... I'm especially grateful to Renee Gilman, , whose deep expertise and traditional trading acumen have been invaluable in this challenging, ever-evolving financial landscape.
Renee Gilman program is widely available online..
Access to good information is what we investors needs to progress financially and generally in life. this is a good one and I appreciate.
On the grand scheme of things, once you understand the potential of trading, you can bet on it but I think people need the education to fully understand.
She appears to be well-educated and well-read. I ran a Google search on her name and came across her website; thank you for sharing.
Renee gave me the autonomy I need to learn at my own pace and ask questions when I need to she’s so accommodating.
Spy is going to 700 before any real crash, until then buy the dips 🤓💰
Why does it have to be a crash?
700 will never happen before a crash
Lol yeah ok. On the back of 5 bloated stocks? Yeah not a chance. This is the blow off top.
Easy on the David Hunter kool aid there sport.
These channels are jokes at this point. Calling for a crash since 380 and we at 555 😂 can't make this shit up
You did just make this up. I literally make fun of people like you in this video haha
12:24 Timestamped it for you lol
@FiguringOutMoney you are the fool thinking that anyone will watch your whole video lol lost all the credibility for being wrong literally every time
Mike would make a great chess player. He just knows when the trolls come in and dont actually watch lol
@gregdurant9682 he's the fool thinking anyone would watch his whole vid. Lost all the credibility
more B.S.
What part specifically. The part where I show what has happened and lay out risks and opportunities? Or another part
@@FiguringOutMoney Don't bother responding to trolls.
@@FiguringOutMoney The part where you talk about the Fed Pivot. 4 out of the last 5 Pivots resulted in major crashes. . Also what makes you think they will cut in July?
What part about the fed pivot. And when dod i say that i think they are going to cut in July. There is a 95% prob they wont as seen on the screen. I said they are in a difficult position and then shared what has happend factually in the past… so rewatch that part then consider apologizing (which would take a big man to do so) when you actually here me correctly without being clouded by your bias. Cheers