My mother is a burial coordinator (searches for plots in a cemetery to bury someone, helps to plan funerals, etc). You know what she told me? She told me that they haven’t buried people six feet under the ground since the 90s. It’s four feet under now, at least where she works. Wait, why am I here again?
12:56 This is gambler's fallacy. The counter probably ticks up due to age related stuff, not because you are exposed to more stuff. If your chance of dying to a car crash is .01% today then your chance of doing to a car crash in one week is also .01%.
He is wrong in the sense that every subsequent drive has the same chance as the last one, but he is right in the sense that someone who drives a car a hundred times in his life is much less likely to crash than someone who drives a million times.
I don't think you understand the fallacy. It states that the past results don't affect the probabilities of singular independent events, not that the probability of that singular event happening once after a number of tries doesn't increase. It does. If the probability that you die from a car crash is averaged to be 0.1, then the chance that you will have died from a car crash after 10 drives is 1-(0.9)^10. This is what Connor was referring to.
@@mikael9325 What Connor said was wrong. What Connor said is that after 1 day, you chances to die from a car crash is higher. However, every day it "resets" because of the independebility of the events. The fact that every day that passed you increase by 1 micromort has absolutely nothing to do with the fact that you every day you have a higher chance of getting into a car crush which is exactly what Connor said.
Russia, specifically western Russia, is especially safe in terms of natural disasters. At most, there will be some slightly strong wind. No floods, no earthquakes, no hurricanes. So, yeah, humans are really good at making disasters where none existed...
"You can't gamify probability!" Brother, let me tell you about these places called Casinos.
Will casinos contain lootboxes?
17:34 "you can't gamefy probability"
Literally every gacha game and casino ever
My mother is a burial coordinator (searches for plots in a cemetery to bury someone, helps to plan funerals, etc). You know what she told me? She told me that they haven’t buried people six feet under the ground since the 90s. It’s four feet under now, at least where she works.
Wait, why am I here again?
Just come to australia, the only thing you have to worry about here is bushfires and a flood every ten years or so
"Oddmaxing"
Remind me each year if I died from commuting with my motorcyle.
Year 0, you still alive, right?
No
12:56 This is gambler's fallacy. The counter probably ticks up due to age related stuff, not because you are exposed to more stuff. If your chance of dying to a car crash is .01% today then your chance of doing to a car crash in one week is also .01%.
He is wrong in the sense that every subsequent drive has the same chance as the last one, but he is right in the sense that someone who drives a car a hundred times in his life is much less likely to crash than someone who drives a million times.
I don't think you understand the fallacy. It states that the past results don't affect the probabilities of singular independent events, not that the probability of that singular event happening once after a number of tries doesn't increase. It does. If the probability that you die from a car crash is averaged to be 0.1, then the chance that you will have died from a car crash after 10 drives is 1-(0.9)^10. This is what Connor was referring to.
@@mikael9325 What Connor said was wrong. What Connor said is that after 1 day, you chances to die from a car crash is higher. However, every day it "resets" because of the independebility of the events.
The fact that every day that passed you increase by 1 micromort has absolutely nothing to do with the fact that you every day you have a higher chance of getting into a car crush which is exactly what Connor said.
Russia, specifically western Russia, is especially safe in terms of natural disasters. At most, there will be some slightly strong wind. No floods, no earthquakes, no hurricanes. So, yeah, humans are really good at making disasters where none existed...
Idk i think some folks are built different to live in certain places with natural disasters.
Irl death pity system is crazy
Climbing Everest at 223 ticks sounds big but then you see 100 ticks for getting covid at 25 years of age, doesn’t add up
9:45 gacha player smh
Shit came out 30min ago how have you commented 2 days ago dawg?
@@A.K2.718 A time traveler never reveals their secrets.
@@A.K2.718he got that dawg in him
Wtf
@@A.K2.718 early access
As a New Orleans Bro Katrina sucked probably not moving tho... Maybe Japan 😂😂