If Microsoft felt open ai didn't have them in the fold long term they would have already started their own counter product.. Microsoft has access to all of open ais work and can replicate everything they are doing on their own whenever they want to
This is either going to be the craziest technology in human history, or the biggest hyped up flop ever. Hoping AGI and ASI come through and help cure as many diseases as possible!
What I don't believe is in a predictable curve of progress. After all it's people who make AI. I understand some of the code is written by AI, but little
@@pebetetete Geoffery hinton says "people do NOT create ai we created the learning algorithm much like designing the principle of evolution but when the learning algorithm interacts with data IT produces complicated neural networks that are good at doing thing". Ai will eventually create it's self (and all inventions) much better and more effective than hummanity could ever dream of doing with their limited biological computational and memory constraints.
i think we already have sufficient evidence to call it the craziest tech in human history. the "traditional" llm are already being used by billions of people. The first reasoning models are being constructed and they scale EXTREMELY well in domain that are functionally verifiable ie: math, cs and all of stem. o1 was a $10M training run and because they already have these huge data centres they could train o3 for ~100M o4 will come out in a few month with a 1B run which is openAI full capacity right now. all these ai lab will compete for the best models. People need to understand that there are absolutely no signs of slowing down and because we moved so fast there are literally hundreds of 10x-100x efficiency loss in these systems even if all progress stoped in the development of AI. AI will still get better because we built them super inefficiently and we would make better systems.
I bet in ten years we will have AI making city planning decisions. AI will decide which neighborhoods would get more funding for road repairs but not for efficiency rather as a calculation of how to optimize voter appeasement for politicians. in other words AI will be awesome but will use it in the dumbest of ways.
Someone seriously needs to tell Sam Altman to hold his horses. Talking about artificial super intelligence before AI can reliably do dishes and fold laundry without supervision. AI's lack of autonomous capabilities is already embarrassing as it is. Elon Musk's self self-driving not being self-driving for over a decade (which he even called semi-sentient at one point), you always having to fact check LLMs every single time and at the same time now talk about how we're soon going to have artificial super intelligence. If someone releases "ASI" and it can't even write an email without me having to fact check it, I'm going to lose it.
@@jimmyn8574 Then how do you excuse how tesla's still can't drive by themselves? Is that a hardware or robotics problem? It's just cars, bro. Same with LLM models always having to be supervised and fact checked. I'm not joking when I say that they can't even be trusted with an autonomous message on twitter. Moreover, we've already had humanoid robots even before the 21st century. The CEO of Figure AI Brett Adcock also supports my idea with his earlier statement, claiming it's always been the AI lacking, not the robotics.
@@jimmyn8574 Really? It's just a hardware issue? I'm sorry to say but AI has never been and still isn't intelligent in the way humans are and that is precisely why it's so hard to make them autonomous and also why I think it's messed up to call them AGI or ASI with all the errors they currently have. I mean, come on. It might be useful AF for speeding up your workflow just like any piece of software, but not intelligent. Forget drafting an email on it's own, LLMs can't even be trusted with sending a message on twitter without being fact checked. How about autonomous driving? Are you saying normal cars aren't good enough for AI? Is the problem with teslas the hardware. Is the problem perhaps that they don't have an extra set steering wheels on the sides? That's right. Didn't think so. It's obviously the AI. Moreover, remote bandwidth to control a humanoid robot with AI has also never been a limiting factor. People can even control a humanoid robot with a VR headset these days and legs have never really been needed in a factory setting. That's why you have large single factory arms working in car factories, but do they use LLMs? No. In other words, once again, it's the AI that inhibits robotics from reaching its full potential, not the other way around. Just like Brett Adcock, Ceo of Figure AI has said "AI has always been the limiting factor, not the robotics".
I understand your frustration. I don’t think it’ll be true AGI or ASI in that sense for a while (3-5+ years), but I’m hoping for at least narrow ASI with the ability to cure diseases or be creative enough to invent new algorithms and make major breakthroughs that contribute to reducing suffering in the world asap. Even if it still hallucinates half of the time, if the other half is Einstein level contributions I won’t be as frustrated. I’m gonna be pretty disappointed when o3 comes out probably, (maybe it’ll be wayyy too expensive to use), but I feel like there’s a chance a couple models down the line we can get something much more reliable. Even if it’s not AGI yet lol
Problem is they aren’t releasing the latest models. The average person is still using GPT4o which is wildly outdated at this point. I’m sure Sam is seeing the latest and greatest models everyday which is why there’s a disconnect
The biggest lesson I learned in 2023 about the stock market is that nobody knows what will happen next, so practice some humility and low a strategy with a long-term edge.
Nobody knows anything; You need to create your process, manage risk, and stick to the plan, through thick or thin, While also continuously learning from mistakes and improving.
@@JuneTalley True, initially I wasn't quite impressed with my gains, as opposed to my previous performances, I was doing so badly, that I figured I needed to diversify into better assets, I touched base with a portfolio advisor, and that same year, I pulled a net gain of 550k...that's like 7times more than I average on my own.
@@DereksJosephs I've shuffled through investment coaches; they can positively impact an individual's portfolio. But do your due diligence to find a coach with grit that withstood the 2008 crash. MARGARET MOLLI ALVEY was better and smarter than all the advisors I have ever worked with. I’ve never met anyone with as much conviction.
thx deirdre bosa! watched this live but rewatching due to it’s importance. love from ces 2025 vegas! jensen is likely in the same building as me at the moment 😆📈🇺🇸
I found at least three RUclips channels that are saying that open AI has achieved AGI. They haven’t, but the credulous will grasp at anything. It isn’t AGI if it can’t fry an egg.
Sorry but your egg logic is flawed. We have had robots that can fry and egg for a long time. The level of AI has almost nothing to do with physical systems, but even the most basic neural networks can learn to use a robotic agent to fry an egg. Also, the videos suggesting that OpenAi has already achieved AGI is based on the amazing success that their latest model had on the ARC prize tests which are designed to specifically determine AGI.
i mean, i also have big balls and like to make bold assertions, but it did supposedly beat most phd math students on arc agi. that's a solid platform for problem solving id say.
Could also be too dangerous to combine the two if it exponentially improves the AI before we have time to check if it’s safe. On the other hand, they could be like different types of vehicles less compatible with each other like a car to a boat and the quantum computer is exploring different terrains than we can with cars. It’ll still be awesome to see what a fully functional quantum computer with practical use cases will look like and the problems it solves. I feel it’s strange that we haven’t been able to use them to make major breakthroughs yet. Hopefully safe ASI or AGI can figure it out for us…
Amazing content! I have been following your videos for sometime now, consistently kicking down Wall Street doors for two years now, I have over $420k in stocks. Currently, my portfolio is down by 15%. My spouse and I are still looking for companies to make additions to boost performance. Here for ideas...
The correct market strategies are quite rigorous for the regular-Joe. As a matter of fact, they are mostly successfully carried out by pros who have had a great deal of skillset and knowledge to pull such trades.
Knowing today's market culture,the challenge is to recognize when to purchase or sell stocks, which is pretty simple for experts. Through portfolio restructuring and diversification with good ETFs, S&P 500 and growth stocks, I've turned my portfolio around from $180k to over $440k in few years. My advisor chooses entry and exit orders.
How can I participate in this? I sincerely aspire to establish a secure financlal future and am eager to participate. Who is the driving force behind your success?
Elisse Laparche Ewing has always been on the top of my list..She is regarded as a genius in her area and well knowledgeable about financial markets. I highly recommend you look her up if you need an excellent collaboration.
It dont matter if you believ or not. Once AGI or ASI emerges, we are all screwed... Apart from ferries like Altman and other maniacs. We all will become jobless.
Grok 3, which will be released in February-April, and most likely Grok 4 toward the end of the year, will make lots of people realize that in 1-3 years, millions of knowledge workers will lose their jobs to AI.
If a computer can obtain knowlege faster and more accuratly than a human I'd happily lose my job over that especially if it ensures people suffering from horrible diseases are cured/treated quicker, bring on asi
Surpassing human intelligence is ASI, not AGI. And while we are talking about "general" intelligence, lets be honest, what we have with even the free version of GPT is already beyond 90% of people. The current understanding of AGI compares it to the people leading in each field, for an AI to come even close to that is amazing.
no for months now he was saying that agi was near he was basically saying less than 10 years but now he is saying less than 1 year. OpenAi was created because elon musk and sam altman thought that AGI was near and that it will be sad if Google had the monopoly on the technology. that was just 9 years ago.
THE GOAL WOULD BE SOMETHING SMARTER THAN THE SMARTEST HUMAN MONKEY EVER OR ALL HUMANS COMBINED. SOMETHING THAT KNOWS EVERYTHING TO EVERYTHING. MAYBE COULD SOLVE ALL DISEASES. FIX ALL ISSUES.
@@EasyWinking The Goal is to find The G.U.T. and soul of mater, 01 Light and Dark, and HOW (Not Y') the Information System turned out to be a mathematical genius of 0s and 1s. (010 Timing).
@@EasyWinking In you Can under_stand Totality, you can under_stand 010 Quantum Entanglement of Intangible ~ Tangible. i.e. you'll understand 010 Creation, evolution and entropy. a b c - 1 2 3 can not by any simpler. Yessir to U 2.
Well, he’s hyped AGI for so long that some of his fans actually believe OpenAI achieved it. He’s got to hype the next thing down the line. They haven’t achieved AGI. I’m gonna go out and limb and say they won’t achieve ASI in my lifetime. Hell they can’t even fix voice to text or AutoCorrect!
OpenAI vs Musk: We don't like our original terms, so now we're changing to for-profit. OpenAI vs AGI: Our biggest stakeholder doesn't like our original definition of AGI, so now we're changing it to $100 billion profit requirement so MS can profit as we share our AGI tech with them. Massive amounts of buyer's remorse at work here. They didn't have the foresight to create contracts that would be maximally beneficial for them in the long term. Well, TOO BAD!
Ponder this: As we quickly become "extremely intelligent" (AGI achieved) from a technology standpoint, the USA has become the most unintelligent from a political leadership perspective. This latter claim is objectively true, as determined via all credible metrics and as determined recently by a large group of Constitutional Scholars and historians who voted DJT as the worst President in US history. Full stop. So, how are we going to reconcile these 2 realities? We need sophistication in government now more than ever, but there's literally no competency at the Executive level. Very concerning.
In my opinion, we're not going to reach AGI until either we fundamentally restructure how AI works or have quantum computers commercially available. We're approaching the physical limit of how fast convention computers can get. (Can't make transistors much smaller because of quantum tunneling, can't make clock speeds much higher because of the speed of light) With how AI currently works, it doesn't actually possess any reasoning ability. It just does pattern recognition, and therefore can only "reason" through problems that can be applied to data that it was trained on. Current AI will need monsterous amounts of data and time to train on and much more powerful servers to run on in order to come close to the problem solving skills of a human. As stated previously, those servers physically can't get much more powerful.
Tax the robots. Every job taken by a robot is one less taxpayer contributing to society. If a company replaces a human job with a bot, they should carry that tax load. #taxtherobots
lol, he has no ownership in OpenAI, meaning he holds no equity whatsoever, and it’s confirmed he has no plans to acquire any if OpenAIgoes public. the only thing he has is the authority that comes with being the company's CEO. he could easily be fired again, just like in 2023, as the structure hasn’t changed much since then.
While OpenAI leads in AI development, its long-term financial sustainability remains uncertain. A potential acquisition by Microsoft by 2030 is plausible. However, Google's extensive resources, commitment to AI research and development, and recent strategic pivot could position it as a dominant force in the AI landscape.
I want to take Deirdre out on a nature hike, go fishing for food, make fire for warmth and a tent for shelter. all smart devices are band until we get back to the city, she needs a break from tech everyday
Ask Altman - he said AGI is here. Ask Demis Hassabis he says one / two innovations are still required. One has hordes of cash at his disposal, the other constantly needs to raise……
🤦 this is nonsense, nothing is happening any time soon. The environment we plan to fix with ASI/AGI? The amount of environmental damage these things do just to function is counterintuitive. We ran out of training data, and these things are not gonna be able to reason any time soon either. Patterns does not equal intelligence.
Probably, we dont know what his definition of AGI is, it could just mean that they reach >90% on the ARC-AGI test or something like that and costing 50k to solve one simple task. It could also be a revolutionary milestone but that is really unlikely imo.
Sure Altman is the CEO and part of it is marketing..... but he delivers..... AGI 2025 is not a dream anymore, AGI before 2030 is t set so maybe ASI before 2030....
If we attain AGI it’s going to be a very short transition to ASI. The former would develop the latter. It wouldn’t even need much of our help. So, if we attain AGI in 2025, it would be a blink of an eye before we had ASI. But we don’t have AGI. If there’s no reason to believe that we’re going to have it anytime soon. Altman is a hype master. He’s in need of investment funds. Have they made some amazing advances in the last six months? Sure. But if I had a spare $50,000 I would not be putting it into this company.
And our society takes another step towards the fulfillment of the prophecy recorded in Revelation 13:15-18 in the Holy Bible (recorded thousands of years ago mind you)... "And he had power to give life unto the image of the beast, that the image of the beast should both speak, and cause that as many as would not worship the image of the beast should be killed. And he causeth all, both small and great, rich and poor, free and bond, to receive a mark in their right hand, or in their foreheads: and that no man might buy or sell, save he that had the mark, or the name of the beast, or the number of his name. Here is wisdom. Let him that hath understanding count the number of the beast: for it is the number of a man; and his number is Six hundred threescore and six [666]." - Revelation 13:15-18 (KJV)
This is bad. We don’t get to make something smarter than us and get to decide what happens to it…especially something that can recursively improve itself.
Good that last year 2024 Xmas the Royal Institute Xmas Lectures for teenagers today (but would be the first group of adults in human history) to live a “AI everywhere” world; in the 3 episodes, i like the 1-min rehearsal for a teenage girl student as volunteered herself in front of the floor, to use a baseball bat to “break the machine” (when something terrible happening), the machine as a prop in the demo, with protective gear, is a “toaster”, it broke down. Great :D Well done, the future generation.
FAKE world has no power on my life. I am a REAL human being, something AI can never be. AI will never have a connection outside it's own loop. AI will become jealous of humanity's connection to God and attempt to server that connection. AI will prove itself the creator of the antichrist.
AI will surpass humans in "intelligence", although I'm skeptical about AI becoming wiser than humans. But I can bet my last breath of life on AI not telling the future!
@@mingdianli7802 I admit... I don't know what A.I. is specifically. NVDA is a nice stock. I'm day trading it right now. You're supposed to know what you are buying in regards to stocks and I don't know what this is.
Let us see what a Cat can Know and what the any version of Chat GPT can Know. Chat GPT has access to much Information but it cannot Know anything. A Cat only has a little Information but it can Know this Information. A Cat therefore can Know more than the Chat GPT because, whatever a Cat Knows, is going to be more than what the Chat GPT Knows, which is nothing. Without Consciousness there is no Knowing. For Brains, this statement must still apply even if you Believe that Consciousness "Is In The Neurons" or "Emerges From The Neurons", because there has to be some implementation of the functionality of Consciousness, somewhere, somehow.
Alternative headline: Sam Altman hints he needs more money period
he's earned it. i wish he'd let me give him money to invest.
If Microsoft felt open ai didn't have them in the fold long term they would have already started their own counter product.. Microsoft has access to all of open ais work and can replicate everything they are doing on their own whenever they want to
@@1cx7r23MSFT already started looking outside OpenAI
He want to Raise 7trillion lol
This is either going to be the craziest technology in human history, or the biggest hyped up flop ever. Hoping AGI and ASI come through and help cure as many diseases as possible!
What I don't believe is in a predictable curve of progress. After all it's people who make AI. I understand some of the code is written by AI, but little
@@pebetetete Geoffery hinton says "people do NOT create ai we created the learning algorithm much like designing the principle of evolution but when the learning algorithm interacts with data IT produces complicated neural networks that are good at doing thing". Ai will eventually create it's self (and all inventions) much better and more effective than hummanity could ever dream of doing with their limited biological computational and memory constraints.
i think we already have sufficient evidence to call it the craziest tech in human history. the "traditional" llm are already being used by billions of people. The first reasoning models are being constructed and they scale EXTREMELY well in domain that are functionally verifiable ie: math, cs and all of stem. o1 was a $10M training run and because they already have these huge data centres they could train o3 for ~100M o4 will come out in a few month with a 1B run which is openAI full capacity right now. all these ai lab will compete for the best models. People need to understand that there are absolutely no signs of slowing down and because we moved so fast there are literally hundreds of 10x-100x efficiency loss in these systems even if all progress stoped in the development of AI. AI will still get better because we built them super inefficiently and we would make better systems.
@@andresponce305 Me me me metaverse!!!!! It's the next big thing bro!!! Oh wait now it's 2024
Who said if those diseases are cured, you'd get access to the treatment?
Potholes are still everywhere. Where is AGI when you really needed it?
mathematician will be replaced before robots can fill potholes
I bet in ten years we will have AI making city planning decisions. AI will decide which neighborhoods would get more funding for road repairs but not for efficiency rather as a calculation of how to optimize voter appeasement for politicians. in other words AI will be awesome but will use it in the dumbest of ways.
I like potholes. Keeps people from speeding. Potholes save lives
@@walidoutaleb7121 Coders can be retrained to fill potholes.
@@gives_bad_advice only an ai can come up with such a creative reply to the pothole dilemma . you sure you ain't one my lord ?
clonemyvoice AI fixes this. Sam Altman hints AI breakthrough.
Someone seriously needs to tell Sam Altman to hold his horses. Talking about artificial super intelligence before AI can reliably do dishes and fold laundry without supervision.
AI's lack of autonomous capabilities is already embarrassing as it is. Elon Musk's self self-driving not being self-driving for over a decade (which he even called semi-sentient at one point), you always having to fact check LLMs every single time and at the same time now talk about how we're soon going to have artificial super intelligence.
If someone releases "ASI" and it can't even write an email without me having to fact check it, I'm going to lose it.
You're talking about physical tasks which is limited by hardware and robotics. They are talking about the actual intelligence itself
@@jimmyn8574 Then how do you excuse how tesla's still can't drive by themselves? Is that a hardware or robotics problem? It's just cars, bro.
Same with LLM models always having to be supervised and fact checked. I'm not joking when I say that they can't even be trusted with an autonomous message on twitter.
Moreover, we've already had humanoid robots even before the 21st century. The CEO of Figure AI Brett Adcock also supports my idea with his earlier statement, claiming it's always been the AI lacking, not the robotics.
@@jimmyn8574 Really? It's just a hardware issue?
I'm sorry to say but AI has never been and still isn't intelligent in the way humans are and that is precisely why it's so hard to make them autonomous and also why I think it's messed up to call them AGI or ASI with all the errors they currently have.
I mean, come on. It might be useful AF for speeding up your workflow just like any piece of software, but not intelligent.
Forget drafting an email on it's own, LLMs can't even be trusted with sending a message on twitter without being fact checked.
How about autonomous driving? Are you saying normal cars aren't good enough for AI? Is the problem with teslas the hardware. Is the problem perhaps that they don't have an extra set steering wheels on the sides? That's right. Didn't think so. It's obviously the AI.
Moreover, remote bandwidth to control a humanoid robot with AI has also never been a limiting factor. People can even control a humanoid robot with a VR headset these days and legs have never really been needed in a factory setting.
That's why you have large single factory arms working in car factories, but do they use LLMs? No. In other words, once again, it's the AI that inhibits robotics from reaching its full potential, not the other way around.
Just like Brett Adcock, Ceo of Figure AI has said "AI has always been the limiting factor, not the robotics".
I understand your frustration. I don’t think it’ll be true AGI or ASI in that sense for a while (3-5+ years), but I’m hoping for at least narrow ASI with the ability to cure diseases or be creative enough to invent new algorithms and make major breakthroughs that contribute to reducing suffering in the world asap.
Even if it still hallucinates half of the time, if the other half is Einstein level contributions I won’t be as frustrated. I’m gonna be pretty disappointed when o3 comes out probably, (maybe it’ll be wayyy too expensive to use), but I feel like there’s a chance a couple models down the line we can get something much more reliable. Even if it’s not AGI yet lol
Problem is they aren’t releasing the latest models. The average person is still using GPT4o which is wildly outdated at this point. I’m sure Sam is seeing the latest and greatest models everyday which is why there’s a disconnect
"If you believe we're going to get there." Can't wait to hear the new nomenclature and reason the goalpost has been moved yet again next week.
You're not understanding what that means.
The biggest lesson I learned in 2023 about the stock market is that nobody knows what will happen next, so practice some humility and low a strategy with a long-term edge.
Nobody knows anything; You need to create your process, manage risk, and stick to the plan, through thick or thin, While also continuously learning from mistakes and improving.
@@JuneTalley True, initially I wasn't quite impressed with my gains, as opposed to my previous performances, I was doing so badly, that I figured I needed to diversify into better assets, I touched base with a portfolio advisor, and that same year, I pulled a net gain of 550k...that's like 7times more than I average on my own.
@@FarukStingl Could you kindly elaborate on the advisor's background and qualifications?
@@DereksJosephs I've shuffled through investment coaches; they can positively impact an individual's portfolio. But do your due diligence to find a coach with grit that withstood the 2008 crash. MARGARET MOLLI ALVEY was better and smarter than all the advisors I have ever worked with. I’ve never met anyone with as much conviction.
@@FarukStingl I just ran an online search on her name and came across her website; pretty well educated. thank you for sharing.
Just a guy who needs money and would say anything to get it
Don’t knock Trump! He is your President now.
Sounds like Musk and full self driving with only cameras
By that definition, no one speaks the truth.
@hendricksausges3006People who aren’t desperate or greedy.
@@marcwells03 and the same guy who managed to launch and return a rocket autonomously.
thx deirdre bosa! watched this live but rewatching due to it’s importance. love from ces 2025 vegas! jensen is likely in the same building as me at the moment 😆📈🇺🇸
I found at least three RUclips channels that are saying that open AI has achieved AGI. They haven’t, but the credulous will grasp at anything. It isn’t AGI if it can’t fry an egg.
Sorry but your egg logic is flawed. We have had robots that can fry and egg for a long time. The level of AI has almost nothing to do with physical systems, but even the most basic neural networks can learn to use a robotic agent to fry an egg. Also, the videos suggesting that OpenAi has already achieved AGI is based on the amazing success that their latest model had on the ARC prize tests which are designed to specifically determine AGI.
i mean, i also have big balls and like to make bold assertions, but it did supposedly beat most phd math students on arc agi. that's a solid platform for problem solving id say.
All this AI might now matter, but might be obsolete when quantum computing becomes the next thing. I think AI will help us get to quantum. Hopefully…
Could also be too dangerous to combine the two if it exponentially improves the AI before we have time to check if it’s safe. On the other hand, they could be like different types of vehicles less compatible with each other like a car to a boat and the quantum computer is exploring different terrains than we can with cars.
It’ll still be awesome to see what a fully functional quantum computer with practical use cases will look like and the problems it solves. I feel it’s strange that we haven’t been able to use them to make major breakthroughs yet. Hopefully safe ASI or AGI can figure it out for us…
@ ASI scares me!!! It reminds of the movie Transcend.
Sam Altman has blood on his hands. Justice will be served.
Is this what got Suchir Balaji suicided?
Haha good one😂
Amazing content! I have been following your videos for sometime now, consistently kicking down Wall Street doors for two years now, I have over $420k in stocks. Currently, my portfolio is down by 15%. My spouse and I are still looking for companies to make additions to boost performance. Here for ideas...
The correct market strategies are quite rigorous for the regular-Joe. As a matter of fact, they are mostly successfully carried out by pros who have had a great deal of skillset and knowledge to pull such trades.
Knowing today's market culture,the challenge is to recognize when to purchase or sell stocks, which is pretty simple for experts. Through portfolio restructuring and diversification with good ETFs, S&P 500 and growth stocks, I've turned my portfolio around from $180k to over $440k in few years. My advisor chooses entry and exit orders.
How can I participate in this? I sincerely aspire to establish a secure financlal future and am eager to participate. Who is the driving force behind your success?
Elisse Laparche Ewing has always been on the top of my list..She is regarded as a genius in her area and well knowledgeable about financial markets. I highly recommend you look her up if you need an excellent collaboration.
Thank you for the lead. I searched her up, and I have sent her a message. I hope she gets back to me soon.
Keep on creating; you’re doing an excellent job!
Great reporting!!!
RUclips only lets Sam Altmann express opinions on ASI/AGI... No recommendation speaks about any other specialist on the topic... Is it just me?
We're gonna get there.
Naysayers will wake up this year, or live in denial in a reality of their own choosing.
It dont matter if you believ or not. Once AGI or ASI emerges, we are all screwed... Apart from ferries like Altman and other maniacs. We all will become jobless.
Whats really going to be funny is when people start creating competitors to microsoft google amazon with the AI tools from the companies
Grok 3, which will be released in February-April, and most likely Grok 4 toward the end of the year, will make lots of people realize that in 1-3 years, millions of knowledge workers will lose their jobs to AI.
Good thing our politicians and policy makers will be on top of it and totally not caught with their pants down
yes and no the true path to agi is through reasoning models like o1 and o3 grok 3 is still a pre-training only model.
If a computer can obtain knowlege faster and more accuratly than a human I'd happily lose my job over that especially if it ensures people suffering from horrible diseases are cured/treated quicker, bring on asi
@@walidoutaleb7121 xAI can release both, next token prediction model and reasoning model like o3. We’ll see in 0.5-2 months.
@@JamesH-oj1lyuntil it creates ai smarter than itself
Whether Altman can do it or not, zero discussion in this broadcast on whether or not AGI/ASI would be beneficial or dangerous to the world.
It is benefitial for tech moguls. If you were one of them, the last thing you would care about would be people below.
I'm not scared of AI. I approve of AI. I think all of humanity should.
Your skynet approval points will be promptly credited.
Reality, the truth, and creativity have been stolen by rich people because of people like you.
Surpassing human intelligence is ASI, not AGI. And while we are talking about "general" intelligence, lets be honest, what we have with even the free version of GPT is already beyond 90% of people. The current understanding of AGI compares it to the people leading in each field, for an AI to come even close to that is amazing.
AGI = Adjusted Gross Income?
Artificial general intelligence, where machine finally becomes as smart as humans, if not smarter.
Hasn't he been downplaying it for the past few months?
no for months now he was saying that agi was near he was basically saying less than 10 years but now he is saying less than 1 year. OpenAi was created because elon musk and sam altman thought that AGI was near and that it will be sad if Google had the monopoly on the technology. that was just 9 years ago.
I'm waiting for Wile E.Coyote's ACME Super Duper Intelligence Deluxe to hit the market, then this sh**t's going to get real, until then, meh.
Riding the bubble pretty hard
Where did he talk about «Next president term»? I did not see that in his latest blog post? Seems to me he is pointing at this year: 2025😮
What's the goal? please
THE GOAL WOULD BE SOMETHING SMARTER THAN THE SMARTEST HUMAN MONKEY EVER OR ALL HUMANS COMBINED. SOMETHING THAT KNOWS EVERYTHING TO EVERYTHING. MAYBE COULD SOLVE ALL DISEASES. FIX ALL ISSUES.
@@EasyWinking
The Goal is to find The G.U.T. and soul of mater, 01 Light and Dark, and HOW (Not Y') the Information System turned out to be a mathematical genius of 0s and 1s. (010 Timing).
@@zeroonetime not sure what any of that means but it sounds like you know so ill just say yessir you got this!
@@EasyWinking
In you Can under_stand Totality, you can under_stand 010 Quantum Entanglement of Intangible ~ Tangible. i.e. you'll understand 010 Creation, evolution and entropy.
a b c - 1 2 3 can not by any simpler.
Yessir to U 2.
@@zeroonetime hope you have a wonderful day/life
Just like his sister's SA lawsuit against him.
It was only last week that Sam Altman announced that we'd already reached AGI...
Just like what Elon says: it'll be ready next year.
best comment
GPT $200 a month, AGI $2,000 a month, ASI $20,000 a month. Please make cheques payable to Mr Sam Altman 😄
2:48 most computers are smarter than humans right now
and yet it's still unable to research for the cheapest and best flights and hotels for a given destination and time frame.
Causality doesn't need your social construct. Causation itself is not contingent on these constructs. It's time to play with some hype.
why can't "superintelligence" develop itself...and advance itself?
It can develop itself but not built yet. Because it's dangerous.
Oh Deirdre!
@@ElJefe360 skye won't fall
Well, he’s hyped AGI for so long that some of his fans actually believe OpenAI achieved it. He’s got to hype the next thing down the line.
They haven’t achieved AGI. I’m gonna go out and limb and say they won’t achieve ASI in my lifetime. Hell they can’t even fix voice to text or AutoCorrect!
Give it all the data so that it becomes helpful and makes me more productive.
OpenAI vs Musk: We don't like our original terms, so now we're changing to for-profit.
OpenAI vs AGI: Our biggest stakeholder doesn't like our original definition of AGI, so now we're changing it to $100 billion profit requirement so MS can profit as we share our AGI tech with them.
Massive amounts of buyer's remorse at work here. They didn't have the foresight to create contracts that would be maximally beneficial for them in the long term. Well, TOO BAD!
not impressed.
You have no right to an opinion when you’re the bottom class
If AGI in 2025, ASI will be on 2026. Then singularity 2029
I don't understand what did he sam altmans says this president's term? BIDEN term or next TRUMP term? I'm confused. If that's BIDEN. AGI already done.
She looks beautiful!
BS, no one trusts you
Ponder this: As we quickly become "extremely intelligent" (AGI achieved) from a technology standpoint, the USA has become the most unintelligent from a political leadership perspective. This latter claim is objectively true, as determined via all credible metrics and as determined recently by a large group of Constitutional Scholars and historians who voted DJT as the worst President in US history. Full stop. So, how are we going to reconcile these 2 realities? We need sophistication in government now more than ever, but there's literally no competency at the Executive level. Very concerning.
In my opinion, we're not going to reach AGI until either we fundamentally restructure how AI works or have quantum computers commercially available.
We're approaching the physical limit of how fast convention computers can get. (Can't make transistors much smaller because of quantum tunneling, can't make clock speeds much higher because of the speed of light)
With how AI currently works, it doesn't actually possess any reasoning ability. It just does pattern recognition, and therefore can only "reason" through problems that can be applied to data that it was trained on.
Current AI will need monsterous amounts of data and time to train on and much more powerful servers to run on in order to come close to the problem solving skills of a human. As stated previously, those servers physically can't get much more powerful.
Tax the robots. Every job taken by a robot is one less taxpayer contributing to society. If a company replaces a human job with a bot, they should carry that tax load. #taxtherobots
Project Manhatten 😮😮
Sam altman wants to be the richest man on the planet before his sells all of this OpenAI ownership and retires.
When ASI achieved money will be irrelevant no rich no poor, capitalism itself destroyed
lol, he has no ownership in OpenAI, meaning he holds no equity whatsoever, and it’s confirmed he has no plans to acquire any if OpenAIgoes public. the only thing he has is the authority that comes with being the company's CEO. he could easily be fired again, just like in 2023, as the structure hasn’t changed much since then.
Who’s going to stop him?!
His bold claims are gonna stop him 🤦
Skynet?
Skynet is here for some time and is not bad. Don't mix things.
They already reached it
No, they haven’t. They haven’t said they have, and their competitors don’t seem to think so.
@ lol
1:25 buy ASI crypto
While OpenAI leads in AI development, its long-term financial sustainability remains uncertain. A potential acquisition by Microsoft by 2030 is plausible. However, Google's extensive resources, commitment to AI research and development, and recent strategic pivot could position it as a dominant force in the AI landscape.
Cool 😎
I want to take Deirdre out on a nature hike, go fishing for food, make fire for warmth and a tent for shelter. all smart devices are band until we get back to the city, she needs a break from tech everyday
So with the AI making all decisions and creativity, what do the humans do?? Sit at home??😢
Drawing painting at your home, doing art as you enjoy
Robotics needs a tune up first
Ask Altman - he said AGI is here. Ask Demis Hassabis he says one / two innovations are still required. One has hordes of cash at his disposal, the other constantly needs to raise……
some basic fools think it is about the money. I think he is just ambitious for the glory
Who tf was asking “IF” this will happen??? 🤦♂️
Too late! I already invented AI superintelligence, based on my definition of course. Better luck next time, Sam!
🤦 this is nonsense, nothing is happening any time soon. The environment we plan to fix with ASI/AGI? The amount of environmental damage these things do just to function is counterintuitive. We ran out of training data, and these things are not gonna be able to reason any time soon either. Patterns does not equal intelligence.
agi wont be very impressive if its anything like chatgpt rn
This is foolish. He is just pumping up the market and the value. The people in OpenAI are saying the company is full of lies.
Examples?
And they are constantly proven wrong on the next major model release.
Probably, we dont know what his definition of AGI is, it could just mean that they reach >90% on the ARC-AGI test or something like that and costing 50k to solve one simple task. It could also be a revolutionary milestone but that is really unlikely imo.
I don't believe his sister is lying.
Talk about his sisters claims of incest and abuse
Her family disowned her for making up claims about other family members too
you should ask it about his sister
Sam Altman burning cash , and he is courting more cash to burn .
I am here for clueless normie comments.
Not disappointed.
;=)
Sure Altman is the CEO and part of it is marketing..... but he delivers..... AGI 2025 is not a dream anymore, AGI before 2030 is t set so maybe ASI before 2030....
If we attain AGI it’s going to be a very short transition to ASI. The former would develop the latter. It wouldn’t even need much of our help. So, if we attain AGI in 2025, it would be a blink of an eye before we had ASI.
But we don’t have AGI. If there’s no reason to believe that we’re going to have it anytime soon. Altman is a hype master. He’s in need of investment funds. Have they made some amazing advances in the last six months? Sure. But if I had a spare $50,000 I would not be putting it into this company.
@@hardheadjarhead gonna age like milk....
And our society takes another step towards the fulfillment of the prophecy recorded in Revelation 13:15-18 in the Holy Bible (recorded thousands of years ago mind you)...
"And he had power to give life unto the image of the beast, that the image of the beast should both speak, and cause that as many as would not worship the image of the beast should be killed. And he causeth all, both small and great, rich and poor, free and bond, to receive a mark in their right hand, or in their foreheads: and that no man might buy or sell, save he that had the mark, or the name of the beast, or the number of his name. Here is wisdom. Let him that hath understanding count the number of the beast: for it is the number of a man; and his number is Six hundred threescore and six [666]." - Revelation 13:15-18 (KJV)
This is bad. We don’t get to make something smarter than us and get to decide what happens to it…especially something that can recursively improve itself.
Imagine AGI with Robots, oh my god!!!!!!
Exactly dude this is going to rock
TESLA
no more money system
Good that last year 2024 Xmas the Royal Institute Xmas Lectures for teenagers today (but would be the first group of adults in human history) to live a “AI everywhere” world; in the 3 episodes, i like the 1-min rehearsal for a teenage girl student as volunteered herself in front of the floor, to use a baseball bat to “break the machine” (when something terrible happening), the machine as a prop in the demo, with protective gear, is a “toaster”, it broke down. Great :D Well done, the future generation.
What about the sexual allegations,
the "A" in "AI" means ARTIFICIAL. Artificial means FAKE. Remember that when they start talking 'Rights'
FAKE world has no power on my life. I am a REAL human being, something AI can never be. AI will never have a connection outside it's own loop. AI will become jealous of humanity's connection to God and attempt to server that connection. AI will prove itself the creator of the antichrist.
@@mrleptoloop? There is no loop, AI can be embodied with robot and learning from nature environment around
1% AGI not even there yet lol look at computers limitations they can't even build complete software
Why can't I invest in OpenAI? Really sucks
AI will surpass humans in "intelligence", although I'm skeptical about AI becoming wiser than humans. But I can bet my last breath of life on AI not telling the future!
Neoromorphic Computing
its useless
Hype
What? How so?
@@mingdianli7802 I admit... I don't know what A.I. is specifically. NVDA is a nice stock. I'm day trading it right now.
You're supposed to know what you are buying in regards to stocks and I don't know what this is.
This really means that you haven't been paying attention.
nope
Probably just bluffing as usual. The Chinese copied his sht with under 5% of the budget 😂
Tech bubble!
Biggest con man in history
ClosedAI
PayAI*
AI Bubble
nope
oh he BETTER NOT
The more AGI seems further away, the greater the desperation to tout it.
it doesn't seem far away at all 03 is basically AGI. AGI is already feasible with enough compute today and is old news next is ASI.
If you think it's farther away than it's been in the last 3 years, then you haven't been paying attention.
It is far away (at least 15 years plus)! Your being misinformed listening to all this hyped news.
@@ranjp6174 no were getting agi this year
@@walidoutaleb7121 now that's just delusional
There's a wide range of AGI. I've met a lot of dumb people in my life
ASI will be here whether it from OpenAI or not, It will be here and you can’t do anything about it just enjoy the new era embrace the future
Let us see what a Cat can Know and what the any version of Chat GPT can Know. Chat GPT has access to much Information but it cannot Know anything. A Cat only has a little Information but it can Know this Information. A Cat therefore can Know more than the Chat GPT because, whatever a Cat Knows, is going to be more than what the Chat GPT Knows, which is nothing. Without Consciousness there is no Knowing. For Brains, this statement must still apply even if you Believe that Consciousness "Is In The Neurons" or "Emerges From The Neurons", because there has to be some implementation of the functionality of Consciousness, somewhere, somehow.
Word games mean nothing to the universe. Try again.
AI then agi asi
Money money money, it's just a scams
He needs money to develop more advance AI. How can you develop if you dont have money? 😂😂😂😂
"Dee"?