The war has gone on long enough for any intelligent third person to see now; Ukrainian info is 99% bullcrap, and Russian info is backed by videos 99% of the time. Willy just can't find them, although other channels have them. Yes, the himars were all destroyed.Many with lancets and iskander strikes.
Mariupol not strategically important, Bakhmut not strategically important, Avdeevka not strategically important etc etc and thousands casualties daily. Makes you wonder what will happen when the Russians reach strategically important places 😅
@@teddypicker8799um Artemivsk was before the big Spring counter offensive. Meaning: the fall of Artemivsk clearly prevented Ukraine to launch an effective counter offensive. Let alone Russia did move forward since Artemivsk.
Even Western MSM isn't still pushing the "Russia did it!" BS narrative. Please keep up-to-date..."Putin did it!!" is last week's BS. Does you tinfoil hat have the twirly bit on top for additional protection against Putin's mind-control waves?
Corporations that only care about %’s and quarterly gains . Everything In The west is privatized . Corporations have people in power. Treasury minister , you name it … they are there . The president is just a frontman , a puppet that reads a teleprompter … it’s been this way for many years …
Macron was going to fight against Russia, and then he showed this Olympic show, which clearly showed that official Paris is now on the side of the dark forces, and they even flaunt it
A comment yesterday from my Russian ex-wife when i asked if the war is affecting life... "To put it short, the entire nation is supporting the army and those guys who are fighting for the new territories now." Thats a direct quote from an actual Russian, living in Russia.
It is a paradox that more sanctions and pressure is put on Russia the more russian people will support this war, western tactic need to change if they want any change, but guess its to late now.
Russia is flattening every settlement to rubble. How would anyone move into the new territory? Build new towns from scratch? Why not build new towns from scratch in Russia itself, which wouldn't involve the added cost of the military operation? Russia is one of the least densely populated countries in the world to begin with -- they don't need the land.
Land rich in minerals, in ownership of company's out with Ukraine, ask the polish president he said it. Big Gs in America own half the land, that sold it off to the yanks@@jasonhoerner9954
Which makes perfect sence. Russia keeps gaining territory, the quality of the ukrainian soldiers becomes worse, their morale is sub par and the age of their soldiers are above 40 now.
Valid but to be fair both sides don’t seem to show things that don’t feed their propaganda.🤷♂️ And to be even more fair what country ever has? It’s detrimental to their agenda.🤷♂️
Not so much predictions but educated observations about logistics, manpower, History, economics and human behavior. Zelinskyy doomed the Ukraine with brinksmanship, corruption and willful ignorance. This was never about the Ukraine it was about population control and the the military industrial complex.
@@teddypicker8799yes Russia is corrupt but Ukraine is on a whole other level. Putin actual worked at rooting out corruption in the military by a substantial margin
@@teddypicker8799 so you think there is no corruption in Ukraine? You really need to open your eyes and start living in the real world. Ukrainian corruption is vast and is affecting their ability to fight this war.
Quick reminder that other countries said they would send troops to Ukraine. That was before the EU parliamentary elections. Once those were over, we never heard about it again. Therefore, the timing of information is just as crucial as the information itself. Always ask yourself: why now?
Same can be said in America !! Everything said before elections will be retracted after as being a small misunderstanding of context !! Wait and see !! Imo
Kiev has been yelling for western fighter aircraft ever since the war entered its expanded phase 2½ years ago - the reason being, of course, that Russia smashed out much of the Ukri Air Force during the first week of the war. There have been many promises and pledges of leasing or giving aircraft - but almost without exception, those premises have been bogged down in endless feet-dragging, procrastinations and sometimes plainly reversals (Poland has pulled back twice on promises to offer aircraft to Ukraine). The reason for this, although nobody wants to say it openly, is that fighter aircraft are offensive armament in a whole different way than short-range Javelin missiles or howitzers - and the accepted view over the last hundred years is that once you share/lease offensive armament to a country involved in a war, and it gets used by them, then you're definitely an active partner in the war yourself: you become a belligerent. The West wanted to keep up the pretence that "no, NO, we're not at war with Russia!" so aircraft became an extremely touchy question.
They need to increase pay like Russian army. I suspect when Ukraine has these 100 F-16s we will see more enthusiasm to sign up. Probably more western volunteers too.
Easy answer: Russia signs on 30k troops a month. The loss ratio is 1:5 with the Kiev regime loosing about 2000 militants a day now, or 60k troops a month. Gerasimov planned for 30 months in June 2022 and seems pretty much on time. A complex system never degrades linearly but through a collapse function. Internally complex systems can compensate major pressure for quite some time. But that comes at structural costs. Once a certain internal reconfiguration is achieved, the structure cannot support anymore pressure and suddenly collapses. That is the point we are waiting for. Currently the best estimates are September 24. Looking back in history Napoleon's army was the most advanced in 1812 and Hitler had again the most advanced army in 1941 and still Russia brought both to collapse. The price for this in 1812 was high but Russia came all the way to conquer Paris on March 31st 1814. The cost in 1941-1945 was immense however Russia/USSR utterly destroyed Nazi Germany and burnt down Berlin in April 1945. Russia is the largest country on the planet and has immense resources. It has won the economic war against the US empire, the political one and the military one grinding down the 3rd NATO army in the Ukraine. WIth 60k losses a month the Ukraine can only last another 90 days before they simply have run out of militants and that is September. Russia has 730'000 in the SMO of which only 50% or less are active. The Galicians have around 350'000 active of which only 50% are motivated and capable. So normalized ca 275'000 motivated and capable. However the Ukraine has only 25% or less of the material RF have in the SMO. Russia grows with 5% GDP and the Ukraine is broke, has no energy and on top of being the most corrupt country is the most dysfunctional and that was in 2021. Probabilty that the SMO's main action is over by October is 90%.
Russia has failed dismally. The economy is ruined ( 10% inflation, rouble worthless) western sanctions %100 effective. Russia is severely damaged. 3 million have fled Russia due to unbearable economic conditions. Meanwhile the worst losses in the history of warfare, 750,000 casualties in 2.5 years with no end in sight.
And other websites say the opposite. I can't tell who is lying anymore. One thing that is clear however, is the 2 month war that Putin started is running over 2 years now and the Russian economy will implode if Trump wins and we start pumping out massive oil again.
Here is a video shot by independent journalists, in this video they criticize that Chechen troops do not participate in real battles and refer to the statistics of all the dead, that there are no Chechens in these statistics, but most importantly, this is the general statistics of losses since the beginning of the military operation, look at the figures at 2:06 ruclips.net/video/jA0_-2PLUuk/видео.html . In total, about 30 thousand of them are 12 thousand prisoners and 9 thousand volunteers.
I think everyone agrees it won't last through the new year. No one in America seems to care at all, anymore. The NeoCons here seem to have moved on to dreams of conquering the south Pacific.
Unfortunately I don't believe any peace plan Russia finds acceptable will include the return of any territory occupied by ethnic Russians. I wouldn't be surprised if Kharkiv and Odessa are annexed before this SMO is over based on recent statements. Ukraine should have moved forward with the early 2022 Istanbul peace plan. Frozen conflict or unconditional surrender appears to be the most likely outcome.
I'm wondering why nato still exists because I thought nato was used to suppress the Soviet Union so when the Soviet Union collapsed shouldn't of nato been disbanded?
@@Ray_M101 Russia will “win” the war, but ultimately it will only lead to more division in Europe. Seems Russia and its people are just not accepted by Europe and western powers will never fully be able to accept a defeat.
A problem with Ukraine joining the EU could be that the EU is presently moving in the direction of developing a military aspect to the union - and that will no doubt be linked to NATO, thereby effectively bringing an EU Ukraine into NATO.
And how, exactly, did you figure that out? I'm honestly curious since I can find other websites, that sound just as reasonable as this one, that says Russia has lost 2x the troops that Ukr has. How do you know? I cant tell.
@@grindelwulf357Russia terribly outguns Ukraine in artillery, armour and aviation bombs. Russia is also on par with Ukraine in terms of drones, so Ukraine doesn't have a single advantage over Russia. You can't do much against such fire power According to mediazona Russia is losing 1500-2000 soldiers dead per month, which is around 70 soldiers per day. For comparison, during defence of Severodonetsk Budanov admitted that Ukraine is losing 200 soldiers dead per day. And it was before Russia started producing drones in mass and before they started using fabs. Sooo, how can Ukraine physically inflict more casualties on Russia? Especially since it's a slow grinding war without huge pushes deep inside enemy lines
@@grindelwulf357 Well we know it because Ukraine keeps saying they dont have enough troops, and Russia keeps obliterating their positions. So that means Ukraine has less and less soldiers. They dont even deny it.
It's nice to know Willy doesn't even bother reading comments. Most channels can at least be bothered to give a few "thumbs-up"'s and a comment or 2. If he did read comments, he'd know to stop saying f*cking "ADVANCEMENT(S)", and say the correct "ADVANCE(S)" instead.
@@Jim-wz8pd - Tell me you're America without telling me you're American!! There's a great new tool. It's called the World Wide Web. You can type into something called a search engine, like"What's the difference between advance and advancement?", and it will tell you. Give it a try sometime.
Am I missing something, but nearly every time I watch your fine reporting, I find that I can almost never correlate the title to the report? You may cover the title's info, but in such a brief way it does not "highlight" the correlating title. Am I alone in this? I enjoy your work and just wanted to ask your members if sometimes the titles lead one to feeling click baited.
Yeah the war might benefit China. But the truth is, if NATO hadnt provoked a war, Ukrainian neutrality would have benefitted China the most as well. Since China had partially owned a number of big industries in Ukraine before the war started. Also, it was importing a lot of resources from Ukraine. Also, I dont see how India wouldn't benefit the most since India is playing both sides and is the one country buying more oil from Russia than China is. Also, India is not only getting the best deals from Russia but also has made a lot of lucrative deals with western corporations to build industries in India.
America DESIGNED it so that India buys Russian oil at $60...then refines it. Europe are 100% aware of this , but buying up as much refined Russian oil as possible . BTW, America has captured entire European Market to sell American oil at TOP PRICES .America are milking it !
i like you Willy but there is too much waffle and your videos are unnecessarily longer than they need to be, perhaps if you chaptered it and people can hears the important details.
9:51 Putin said the ratio is 5:1 in Russia’s favor Willy. The Russians simply have superiority in everything, artillery, bombs, drones, aircraft, tanks, armored vehicle, ISR, etc. It’s simply mathematically impossible for Ukraine to be having a favorable ratio.
@@ImperativeGames As long as the rate of the volunteers and convicts exceeds the losses Russia can continue. I'm absolutely sure they did the math correctly on this one. The hierarchy is as follows: convicts (these are the guys who storm first), volunteers, LDPR (mainly artillery), regular Russian army (these are the guys who rotate every 20 days) and than a whole range of special units like Akhmat etc. this is in regards to the infantry.
@@ImperativeGames Do you wake u p everyday and put that lipstickand clown make up on.... You clowns must really be fooling yourselves.... I guess that is common in uneducated areas.. ;)
Dont you think it's stupid that they withdrew "to preserve forces", yet now sustained 70,000 casualties to take back 20% of the area they "withdrew" from?
Every night I turn up to hear honest & thoughtful analysis of the war. Don't always agree, but it would just be an echo chamber if we all did. Willy gives good takes on Ukrainian propaganda & tactical issues.
Well said. I recently came back to this channel after a long break and although I don't always agree with him have been amazed to see so many comments now attacking him for being pro Russian in his reporting instead of feeding them the lies they are used to elsewhere. I only want honest and objective reports and respect him for that.
EU was created to make trade and economics more efficient and easy between European countries. It had nothing to do with Migration LGBTQ or Nation states.. all this was inserted by people on US payroll.
The objective is denazification not capturing territory. It always has been that. Why is that so hard to understand . They looking to maintain a 8 to 1 kill ratio or more. Time and land captured is irrelevant
I like the long videos Willy, keep up the great work. 👍 Russia unfortunately is doing all the hard work. And India is flowing a truck load of cash for oil and food trade is huge. Thxs Willy
One thing is for sure, 🇺🇸/NATO would never accept a U.N run a democratic vote in the affected regions along the 2010 🇺🇦 election lines for the people to chose to stay in 🇺🇦 or join the 🇷🇺 federation like Donetsk & Luhansk whereas 🇷🇺 would, because you know democratic values.
@@tmafungo84 he isn’t a propagandist.. he leans on Ukrainians side, but tells more honest news of what’s going on more than most any other news source from the west. The problem is there’s a ton of propaganda from both sides. Russia call all news from the west propagnada, and and the west calls all news from Russia propaganda. The civilians from both sides are constantly being lied to. So really, none of us knows the real truth. I personally hate the politicians from both sides. I wish us regular people would stop arguing and hating each other just because our politicians and media tells us to. The rich and powerful from both sides are using the rest of us as pawns. It’s too bad so many are falling right in line like puppets.
Videos getting too long Willy, I'm already watching at 1.5x but recent week or so since you cane back from Israel, your videos are less to the point and frankly getting boring. Stick to the oint pls.
Just been listening to some songs named 'slowly'. Imo if they are winning listening to those, nobody is winning. Peace is the only win. Brothers shaking hands instead killing. Do not let them divide us. Love thy neighbour.
28:32 "it doesnt matter whos tank force would win in a fight between china/russia vs nato." so why did you keep saying for month that "its good that nato found out now that they need to build more shells to prepare for ww3". you contradict yourself while fearmongering. please clarify
@@silaslong-js8ps but Reuters and William spaniel and Joe Broe and military and history said that atacams attacks are hitting Russians in Crimea and the Kerch bridge?
If a plane is shot over the sea and nobody is standing swimming below with a iPhone recording up - has it still been shot down? We’re lucky get to get what footage we get but it isn’t always going to be available
Just because US hegemony is declining, I don't see China's power growing inconsequence, because although China has the second largest GDP, but it doesn't have the consumer's market. Meaning, the average Chinese doesn't have the purchasing power of manufactured goods from other countries, so other countries depend on China for sustaining their economy, which is the strength US has. The whole world sees US foreign policy with disdain, but we stay silent, because they buy our stuff, which puts food on our table. And China has no soft power, we don't listen to their music, we don't watch their movies, and as society and culture, they have little chance of advancing beyond what's already been achieved by western civilization (yes, China was once a great civilization but that was hundreds of years ago). And social progress comes from new ideas from people, and without freedom of expression is that possible? In the near future, as we advance in AI and robotics, being a big country will no longer matter in military powers or in economy, the future will no longer be about how big you are, it's going to be more about how smart you are. I'm just content watching US and China just beating each other up and grow weaker, while the rest of the world have the space to grow stronger.
What are you talking about? Leave Middle Earth and Tolkien fantasies. China economy is way bigger. The West is not superior. White people are not the "civilized ones".
On the other side..engineering units are up and working round the clock 24/7 to dig in into newly defensive lines for RU. So next year gonna be lit AF.
so, basically Ukraine is letting Russia hold the terrible open fields which will definately mean cassualties will be terrible for Russians, while Ukraine is taking advantage of natural defense lines with the help of bodies of water and such. Sounds like Ukraine is just bleeding the Russians more and more. A smart strategy, which also is less costly to their own troop's lives. A very smart move.
12:48 Artillery barrels.Infantry weapons. Artillery ammunition.And components Because the tanks produced by China and Russia are different. If China sends tanks, it will definitely be discovered.
When you look at it, Ukraine in reality only gives up 2 oblasts for peace, Kherson and Zaporizhia. Donestsk and Luhansk were already Russian, and Crimea was never on the table. Very cheap peace deal for Ukraine.
The Trump - Johnson proposed deal gives Zaporizhia and Kherson to Ukraine and the other 3 oblasts you mention to Russia. Your suggestion would not work as it does not represent a compromise.
@@jtruman48 Russia has said Kherson and Zaporizhia are Russia now. They shouldn't backtrack, since the Ukrainian army is collapsing and they might even get more before the US election if things go on like this. IMHO Russia should also have Kharkhov, Sumy and Chernighov. This makes up for the 3 oblasts that were Russian already. Then it's an even peace deal.
@@jtruman48 Well, whoever wrote the "Trump-Johnson deal" is an imbecile. Referendums were held, documents were signed, and those 4 regions have been enshrined in the Russian Constitution. No leader of Russia, present or future, has the power to negotiate their return.
@@jtruman48....sounds like Trump's getting bad foreign policy advice again. I read the proposal, had a good laugh, as will the Russians. It's delusional....a complete nonstarter.
@@fred4687 Lost everything. Their international standing. Their international economy. Forced to build relationships with North Korea, Iran, India, and China. Their banking system is a mess. The ruble is terrible. Thousands of men losing lives for a few villages that they gain, lose, and gain again. Can't take down one inferior country within a year. Have a dictator in charge. Putin is s terrible, dictator. He has crushed the Russian people and their people.
Winning too slowly is what happens when 'supporters' don't make a full, immediate and complete commitment. I feel sorry for Ukraine, they have been strung along losing personnel every day which is something that can't go on forever. But hey, we'll give you what we think you need, when we think you need it providing you don't indulge in complete warfare against Russia. Geez, with 'supporters' like that who needs enemies. Then, to complete this bizarre picture, if you lose we'll blame you.
It's insane to think that Ukraine/France/Nato will launch a counter offensive, UNLESS, the US thinks that's "cheaper" than a larger war, which is what we were told
G'day Legends, To watch the video I refer to from the guy on the ground months ago ruclips.net/video/ZZtUj1dyjbs/видео.htmlsi=gQu0ciIAtcBXYhrw
It’s heating up a lot between Israel and Hezbollah. Are you planning to go back to the Golan Heights Willy?
Does it bother you your audience is entirely Russian supporters?
Once that river is crossed ... There won't be any Ukraine troops to defend the rest of Ukraine...
Seems you left northern Israel too early
The war has gone on long enough for any intelligent third person to see now; Ukrainian info is 99% bullcrap, and Russian info is backed by videos 99% of the time. Willy just can't find them, although other channels have them. Yes, the himars were all destroyed.Many with lancets and iskander strikes.
Mariupol not strategically important, Bakhmut not strategically important, Avdeevka not strategically important etc etc and thousands casualties daily.
Makes you wonder what will happen when the Russians reach strategically important places 😅
How far has Russia advance since capturing "important logistics hub" Bahkmut? Less than 5 miles? LMAO. Cope and seethe vatniks
There are no strategically important places ;) None. Zero.
Since Bakhmut Russia has barely advanced. You guy were all saying its important logistics hub?
@@teddypicker8799Only move forward 1 cm on the map, maybe less if you see your handphone screen.
@@teddypicker8799um Artemivsk was before the big Spring counter offensive. Meaning: the fall of Artemivsk clearly prevented Ukraine to launch an effective counter offensive. Let alone Russia did move forward since Artemivsk.
The spectacular Paris Olympic displays show exactly what we are fighting for ….
This shows what Russia and other free countries are defending themselves against.
Even Western MSM isn't still pushing the "Russia did it!" BS narrative. Please keep up-to-date..."Putin did it!!" is last week's BS.
Does you tinfoil hat have the twirly bit on top for additional protection against Putin's mind-control waves?
Yes, and Ukrainians are fighting for 'freedom', but don't know what degeneracy EU and their NGOs are bringing...
Anyone fighting for values displayed in Paris are fighting for Satanic rule.
Corporations that only care about %’s and quarterly gains .
Everything In The west is privatized . Corporations have people in power. Treasury minister , you name it … they are there . The president is just a frontman , a puppet that reads a teleprompter … it’s been this way for many years …
Macron was going to fight against Russia, and then he showed this Olympic show, which clearly showed that official Paris is now on the side of the dark forces, and they even flaunt it
Mr & Mr Macron show their values to the world
But the Trans Papa Smurf doe!
Ukraine is the dark side too
@@yoyo1poevery much so.
What? Id paris Pro russian? What did i miss?
A comment yesterday from my Russian ex-wife when i asked if the war is affecting life... "To put it short, the entire nation is supporting the army and those guys who are fighting for the new territories now." Thats a direct quote from an actual Russian, living in Russia.
It is a paradox that more sanctions and pressure is put on Russia the more russian people will support this war, western tactic need to change if they want any change, but guess its to late now.
Russia is flattening every settlement to rubble. How would anyone move into the new territory? Build new towns from scratch? Why not build new towns from scratch in Russia itself, which wouldn't involve the added cost of the military operation? Russia is one of the least densely populated countries in the world to begin with -- they don't need the land.
Right...
They are pushing their borders to the sea to make those regions easier to defend from western attacks. ocean make great natural border walls.
Land rich in minerals, in ownership of company's out with Ukraine, ask the polish president he said it. Big Gs in America own half the land, that sold it off to the yanks@@jasonhoerner9954
We are well past the point where anything Ukraine claims is believable.
Ukraine's tactical withdrawels seem to be increasing in speed.
practice makes perfect, eventually Zelensky makes tactical withdrawel to Villa in Miami.
@@user-op3zf6if9i yes, that is true....its just a matter of time.
Which makes perfect sence.
Russia keeps gaining territory, the quality of the ukrainian soldiers becomes worse, their morale is sub par and the age of their soldiers are above 40 now.
@@Temuldjin yeah, in the months ahead....6 months or so, we will see Russia moving across Ukraine taking ground very quickly.
*Except in Crimea*
Ukrainian trying to not name every village in the country Vesele challenge: impossible
We need to start adding trailing digits to those duplicate village names, I'd suggest. Konstantinivka 1, Konstantinivka 2 and Konstantinivka 3.
@@Intel-i7-9700k problem is that places with numbers behind their names are closed cities, usually due to prouction or research of nuclear weapons
@@Intel-i7-9700kwell, this is why you have Novoselovka 1 (Pervaya)
Dumb country
Since Ukraine doesn’t show absolutely nothing - there was absolutely nothing destroyed.
Let's wait a couple of days, to be sure
*Except in Crimea*
Did you learn english in a sewer?
Valid but to be fair both sides don’t seem to show things that don’t feed their propaganda.🤷♂️ And to be even more fair what country ever has? It’s detrimental to their agenda.🤷♂️
Not so much predictions but educated observations about logistics, manpower, History, economics and human behavior. Zelinskyy doomed the Ukraine with brinksmanship, corruption and willful ignorance. This was never about the Ukraine it was about population control and the the military industrial complex.
Corruption? You know Putin lives in a palace with a hockey rink right?
@@teddypicker8799yes Russia is corrupt but Ukraine is on a whole other level. Putin actual worked at rooting out corruption in the military by a substantial margin
@@teddypicker8799 so you think there is no corruption in Ukraine? You really need to open your eyes and start living in the real world. Ukrainian corruption is vast and is affecting their ability to fight this war.
@@cplcabs Luckily for Ukraine they have nato peace economies supporting them. All they gotta do is wait for Russian war economy to collapse.
@@andrewscott8892 a fish rots from the head down
The whole of Ukraine isn’t strategically important
*except Crimea* where the Russians are fleeing from on a collapsing bridge
*Breaking news* Kyiv is no longer strategically important, following NATO decision-making earlier today
@@Intel-i7-9700k *but Crimea is*
@@veldrensavoth7119 Who is fleeing? Who is reporting that?
@@fred4687 it in his dreams
The taking of land is exponential what was taking Russia months is now taking week to days.
Agreed.
Quick reminder that other countries said they would send troops to Ukraine. That was before the EU parliamentary elections. Once those were over, we never heard about it again.
Therefore, the timing of information is just as crucial as the information itself. Always ask yourself: why now?
Same can be said in America !! Everything said before elections will be retracted after as being a small misunderstanding of context !! Wait and see !! Imo
Kiev has been yelling for western fighter aircraft ever since the war entered its expanded phase 2½ years ago - the reason being, of course, that Russia smashed out much of the Ukri Air Force during the first week of the war. There have been many promises and pledges of leasing or giving aircraft - but almost without exception, those premises have been bogged down in endless feet-dragging, procrastinations and sometimes plainly reversals (Poland has pulled back twice on promises to offer aircraft to Ukraine). The reason for this, although nobody wants to say it openly, is that fighter aircraft are offensive armament in a whole different way than short-range Javelin missiles or howitzers - and the accepted view over the last hundred years is that once you share/lease offensive armament to a country involved in a war, and it gets used by them, then you're definitely an active partner in the war yourself: you become a belligerent. The West wanted to keep up the pretence that "no, NO, we're not at war with Russia!" so aircraft became an extremely touchy question.
Helmuth von Moltke 1800-91
'No plan of operations reaches with any certainty beyond the first encounter with the enemy's main force.'
No plan survives a punch in the face - Mike tyson
Ukraine has $12 TRILLION worth of different resources, including Lithium . THIS IS THE PRIZE FOR OTHER COUNTRIES
EXACTLY, PER LINSEY GRAHAM !!
7 from that are in Russia these days!
Tactically withdrawing running and screaming. The smart ones are surrendering.
Remember when they were evacuated from Mariupol? The spin is too much.
@@mattgbam They said they are orderly withdrawing from Lysychansk when they were on video getting shot at dropping weapons while running.
Obviously we need experts like you over there running the show for them. Oh, but NATO tried that and failed.
Head of Ukrainian parliament said 2 days ago "there would not be any demobilization until the end of the war"
They need to increase pay like Russian army. I suspect when Ukraine has these 100 F-16s we will see more enthusiasm to sign up. Probably more western volunteers too.
@@teddypicker8799😂😂😂😂😂 the salaries are 100% paid by the West. So you'd rather ask Brandon to increase the salaries
@@toto-yf8tcHow much more salary do you want the commanders to get? They already have 200-300 unit salaries ;)
@@teddypicker8799 100 F16's when Ukraine only has 20 pilots to fly them
yikes
@@illomens2766 you good bro?
Easy answer: Russia signs on 30k troops a month. The loss ratio is 1:5 with the Kiev regime loosing about 2000 militants a day now, or 60k troops a month.
Gerasimov planned for 30 months in June 2022 and seems pretty much on time. A complex system never degrades linearly but through a collapse function. Internally complex systems can compensate major pressure for quite some time. But that comes at structural costs. Once a certain internal reconfiguration is achieved, the structure cannot support anymore pressure and suddenly collapses. That is the point we are waiting for. Currently the best estimates are September 24.
Looking back in history Napoleon's army was the most advanced in 1812 and Hitler had again the most advanced army in 1941 and still Russia brought both to collapse. The price for this in 1812 was high but Russia came all the way to conquer Paris on March 31st 1814.
The cost in 1941-1945 was immense however Russia/USSR utterly destroyed Nazi Germany and burnt down Berlin in April 1945.
Russia is the largest country on the planet and has immense resources.
It has won the economic war against the US empire, the political one and the military one grinding down the 3rd NATO army in the Ukraine.
WIth 60k losses a month the Ukraine can only last another 90 days before they simply have run out of militants and that is September.
Russia has 730'000 in the SMO of which only 50% or less are active. The Galicians have around 350'000 active of which only 50% are motivated and capable. So normalized ca 275'000 motivated and capable.
However the Ukraine has only 25% or less of the material RF have in the SMO.
Russia grows with 5% GDP and the Ukraine is broke, has no energy and on top of being the most corrupt country is the most dysfunctional and that was in 2021.
Probabilty that the SMO's main action is over by October is 90%.
Russia has failed dismally. The economy is ruined ( 10% inflation, rouble worthless) western sanctions %100 effective. Russia is severely damaged. 3 million have fled Russia due to unbearable economic conditions. Meanwhile the worst losses in the history of warfare, 750,000 casualties in 2.5 years with no end in sight.
And other websites say the opposite. I can't tell who is lying anymore. One thing that is clear however, is the 2 month war that Putin started is running over 2 years now and the Russian economy will implode if Trump wins and we start pumping out massive oil again.
Here is a video shot by independent journalists, in this video they criticize that Chechen troops do not participate in real battles and refer to the statistics of all the dead, that there are no Chechens in these statistics, but most importantly, this is the general statistics of losses since the beginning of the military operation, look at the figures at 2:06 ruclips.net/video/jA0_-2PLUuk/видео.html . In total, about 30 thousand of them are 12 thousand prisoners and 9 thousand volunteers.
I think everyone agrees it won't last through the new year. No one in America seems to care at all, anymore. The NeoCons here seem to have moved on to dreams of conquering the south Pacific.
the actual loss ratio is 1:20 in favor of Russia - since the beginning of 2024, the ratio has worsened threefold against Ukraine
Unfortunately I don't believe any peace plan Russia finds acceptable will include the return of any territory occupied by ethnic Russians. I wouldn't be surprised if Kharkiv and Odessa are annexed before this SMO is over based on recent statements.
Ukraine should have moved forward with the early 2022 Istanbul peace plan. Frozen conflict or unconditional surrender appears to be the most likely outcome.
Glaciers move faster than the Russian army. How many centuries would it take for them to reach Odessa?
@@teddypicker8799You know that Russia alone against coalition of US+NATO+Ukraine.... and still Russia kick this coalition...
@@teddypicker8799the war pays for itself: high energy price. Why would Russia care about the time?
@@ZalshahZalshah that's funny, I don't see F-35's or F-22 in the sky
@@toto-yf8tc you know gasprom is no longer profitable right?
I'm wondering why nato still exists because I thought nato was used to suppress the Soviet Union so when the Soviet Union collapsed shouldn't of nato been disbanded?
Once governments sinks their claws into anything they can use for power and influence they will never want to give it up
@@wadeevans4355 Yeah true
Where do you think this war is going?
@@Ray_M101 Russia will “win” the war, but ultimately it will only lead to more division in Europe. Seems Russia and its people are just not accepted by Europe and western powers will never fully be able to accept a defeat.
@@wadeevans4355 dang yeah speaking the truth mate 👍
Just wanna say thank you for the continued reporting on all these messy wars. Also happy that your voice healed and stays that way :D
Russian demobilisation, told by two weeks ago by Dima from Military Summary Channel.
The real ones won’t be complaining about the longer Willy format..
At least it's not Alexander Mercouris long. Yet.
Who would be complaining about a longer willy?
A problem with Ukraine joining the EU could be that the EU is presently moving in the direction of developing a military aspect to the union - and that will no doubt be linked to NATO, thereby effectively bringing an EU Ukraine into NATO.
that's the idea.
Ukraine is nott going to join the EU soon, even the EU are not that daft as to let a debt riddeen country in with so many issues join.
@@rufuscollis303 ruclips.net/video/LD6kvDHbIYY/видео.html
Ukraine is doomed
EU is meaningless trash
Ukraine will NEVER be in Nato ...... NEVER!!!!
Do you need a hug?
Holy crap these Ka'Mala ads are killing me. Hearing her voice is painful! Any way to knock that shit off?
YT premium will help.
Not until they replace her or she loses in November
browser ad blocker
should compare the front line between today and 6 months ago so it's easier to explain your point
Forget about istanbul deal, that was then, now situation is different.
Sorry Willy, but if you haven't figured out that UA losses are far higher yet, you never will
And how, exactly, did you figure that out? I'm honestly curious since I can find other websites, that sound just as reasonable as this one, that says Russia has lost 2x the troops that Ukr has. How do you know? I cant tell.
@@grindelwulf357lmfao cope harder
@@grindelwulf357if you cant reach reality by now, nothing will change your view. You will need to cope with the end of the empire.
@@grindelwulf357Russia terribly outguns Ukraine in artillery, armour and aviation bombs. Russia is also on par with Ukraine in terms of drones, so Ukraine doesn't have a single advantage over Russia. You can't do much against such fire power
According to mediazona Russia is losing 1500-2000 soldiers dead per month, which is around 70 soldiers per day. For comparison, during defence of Severodonetsk Budanov admitted that Ukraine is losing 200 soldiers dead per day. And it was before Russia started producing drones in mass and before they started using fabs.
Sooo, how can Ukraine physically inflict more casualties on Russia? Especially since it's a slow grinding war without huge pushes deep inside enemy lines
@@grindelwulf357 Well we know it because Ukraine keeps saying they dont have enough troops, and Russia keeps obliterating their positions. So that means Ukraine has less and less soldiers. They dont even deny it.
It's nice to know Willy doesn't even bother reading comments. Most channels can at least be bothered to give a few "thumbs-up"'s and a comment or 2. If he did read comments, he'd know to stop saying f*cking "ADVANCEMENT(S)", and say the correct "ADVANCE(S)" instead.
Can you explain why you think it is incorrect?
@@Jim-wz8pd - Tell me you're America without telling me you're American!! There's a great new tool. It's called the World Wide Web. You can type into something called a search engine, like"What's the difference between advance and advancement?", and it will tell you. Give it a try sometime.
While we are looking at these two fighting, somebody is pickpocketing us.
Joey and Hunter,
Yes, I agree.
Am I missing something, but nearly every time I watch your fine reporting, I find that I can almost never correlate the title to the report? You may cover the title's info, but in such a brief way it does not "highlight" the correlating title. Am I alone in this? I enjoy your work and just wanted to ask your members if sometimes the titles lead one to feeling click baited.
Just asking questions! “That’s evidence enough”. Brilliant journalism, just brilliant.
GREAT CONTENT, HISTORY LEGENDS .
Yeah the war might benefit China. But the truth is, if NATO hadnt provoked a war, Ukrainian neutrality would have benefitted China the most as well. Since China had partially owned a number of big industries in Ukraine before the war started. Also, it was importing a lot of resources from Ukraine. Also, I dont see how India wouldn't benefit the most since India is playing both sides and is the one country buying more oil from Russia than China is. Also, India is not only getting the best deals from Russia but also has made a lot of lucrative deals with western corporations to build industries in India.
Look who owns majority of the farmland in Ukraine.
America DESIGNED it so that India buys Russian oil at $60...then refines it. Europe are 100% aware of this , but buying up as much refined Russian oil as possible .
BTW, America has captured entire European Market to sell American oil at TOP PRICES .America are milking it !
What?
i like you Willy but there is too much waffle and your videos are unnecessarily longer than they need to be, perhaps if you chaptered it and people can hears the important details.
That's because he likes to take into account both prorussian and proukrainian information, analyzing it, which is valuable in my opinion.
You don’t believe the BS you’ve just spewed, do you?
*You also notice that he is ignoring Crimea*
@@user-ov3nt4ll4d *Like the massive retreat and destruction of the Kerch bridge that he is proactively ignoring*
@@veldrensavoth7119 Who retreated from Crimea ?
9:51 Putin said the ratio is 5:1 in Russia’s favor Willy. The Russians simply have superiority in everything, artillery, bombs, drones, aircraft, tanks, armored vehicle, ISR, etc. It’s simply mathematically impossible for Ukraine to be having a favorable ratio.
It would be the first time in history. It's simple math and it's crazy to believe otherwise.
Geez, someone quoting Putin seriously.
``as long as it takes``...and it takes too long
Tony Blinken recently said "As long as we feel like it"
It seems that the turns have tabled
Russia showed it cares more about preserving lives with Kherson and Kharkiv retreat about years ago. Even if its just to not get population worried.
those are swear words in these nafo circles.
Yes. Russia doesn't fight if casualty rates aren't in its favor.
@@ImperativeGames As long as the rate of the volunteers and convicts exceeds the losses Russia can continue. I'm absolutely sure they did the math correctly on this one.
The hierarchy is as follows: convicts (these are the guys who storm first), volunteers, LDPR (mainly artillery), regular Russian army (these are the guys who rotate every 20 days) and than a whole range of special units like Akhmat etc. this is in regards to the infantry.
@@ImperativeGames Do you wake u p everyday and put that lipstickand clown make up on.... You clowns must really be fooling yourselves.... I guess that is common in uneducated areas.. ;)
Dont you think it's stupid that they withdrew "to preserve forces", yet now sustained 70,000 casualties to take back 20% of the area they "withdrew" from?
Did any one saw the olimpics opening???? The worse crap I saw in decades ... completely rubbish, completely woke!!!!
Amazing
where does one find jackets made from used hospital blankets ?
Duuuude!
I wonder what religion the guy who put on the Olympic show is? 🤔👃🤫
Qui?
@@yoyo1poeWE WILL WATCH ON TV THE WRATH OF GOD AS FRANCE HAS CHOSEN TO MOCK HIM ON TV !!!
Longer is better my only trusted source for this information
Very good commentary
Every night I turn up to hear honest & thoughtful analysis of the war. Don't always agree, but it would just be an echo chamber if we all did. Willy gives good takes on Ukrainian propaganda & tactical issues.
Well said. I recently came back to this channel after a long break and although I don't always agree with him have been amazed to see so many comments now attacking him for being pro Russian in his reporting instead of feeding them the lies they are used to elsewhere.
I only want honest and objective reports and respect him for that.
Yeah honestly same here, i’m pro ukrainian and willy tend to keep me out of an echo chamber, which i think is valuable.
I'd take Russia's word over Ukraine's every day of the week. Only one side is losing and has to lie about it for foreign donors.
EU was created to make trade and economics more efficient and easy between European countries. It had nothing to do with Migration LGBTQ or Nation states.. all this was inserted by people on US payroll.
HILARIOUS!!!
What’s hilarious?
The objective is denazification not capturing territory. It always has been that. Why is that so hard to understand . They looking to maintain a 8 to 1 kill ratio or more. Time and land captured is irrelevant
Willy cannot comprehend the plan was never about land !!!
So genocide?
Are the Nazis hiding in children cancer hospitals that are getting bombed?
@@lukenel29. u mean west saying They will fight to the last U is!
I like the long videos Willy, keep up the great work. 👍 Russia unfortunately is doing all the hard work. And India is flowing a truck load of cash for oil and food trade is huge. Thxs Willy
Great video man. Had a long drive home feel like it flew by whilst listening.
Loking sharp buddy. Thnx for keping me informed.
Is Nato war using Ukraine meat...sad...
Russia never had the number of losses you are pushing.
Thanks mate. Good work
G’day Willy!
Biased Willy
One thing is for sure, 🇺🇸/NATO would never accept a U.N run a democratic vote in the affected regions along the 2010 🇺🇦 election lines for the people to chose to stay in 🇺🇦
or join the 🇷🇺 federation like Donetsk & Luhansk whereas 🇷🇺 would,
because you know democratic values.
Ukronazi Step back..Step back theory by Willy is hilarious....
Willy is starting to see the writing on the wall or at least is starting to speak on it more.
Does this guy report unbiased content?
He is a Ukrainian propagandist just like the Sun and Telegraph
@@tmafungo84 he isn’t a propagandist.. he leans on Ukrainians side, but tells more honest news of what’s going on more than most any other news source from the west. The problem is there’s a ton of propaganda from both sides. Russia call all news from the west propagnada, and and the west calls all news from Russia propaganda. The civilians from both sides are constantly being lied to. So really, none of us knows the real truth. I personally hate the politicians from both sides. I wish us regular people would stop arguing and hating each other just because our politicians and media tells us to. The rich and powerful from both sides are using the rest of us as pawns. It’s too bad so many are falling right in line like puppets.
I really don't see how Ukraine could still hope to join NATO.
maybe they are burdened by what has been?
Nice one! 😂👏
if the drones hit something why dont they show the DRONE footage of the actual event but they dont WHY? then there would no question
Videos getting too long Willy, I'm already watching at 1.5x but recent week or so since you cane back from Israel, your videos are less to the point and frankly getting boring. Stick to the oint pls.
The pro Ukraine crowd becomes less and less each passing day.
Nice try, Willy.
I saw the title when it was "to".
Just been listening to some songs named 'slowly'. Imo if they are winning listening to those, nobody is winning. Peace is the only win. Brothers shaking hands instead killing. Do not let them divide us. Love thy neighbour.
@@user-qt7wb4nu1l I didn't say he made a mistake.
😂
Slow & Steady wins the race!
28:32 "it doesnt matter whos tank force would win in a fight between china/russia vs nato." so why did you keep saying for month that "its good that nato found out now that they need to build more shells to prepare for ww3". you contradict yourself while fearmongering. please clarify
*its also why he’s ignoring Crimea*
@@silaslong-js8ps who is a bot I have 8 fingers two thumbs and ten toes
@@silaslong-js8ps but Reuters and William spaniel and Joe Broe and military and history said that atacams attacks are hitting Russians in Crimea and the Kerch bridge?
everyone is a bot. willy is just talking nonsense to farm comments to get more money.
@@gradeyundery4939 for who tho? Himself? That’s sehr sus
*France - send the Olympic Barges to Ukraine* ---------- I don't know about the Russians ---------- *but they scare the hell out of me* 😂
Was that you at the Paris opening ceremony on the catwalk in a dress?
Ukraine sycophants on suicide watch - Russia will continue this operation to ultimate victory! Urraaaa!!
Did you watch Russians Naval parade today?
What navy? Ukraine sunk most of it lmao
@@teddypicker8799 really? Lets see your evidence of that then.
@@cplcabs turbo doyle
@@cplcabstrolling and trolling 😂😂
The naval black see submarine fleet 😂😂🎉🎉
If a plane is shot over the sea and nobody is standing swimming below with a iPhone recording up - has it still been shot down? We’re lucky get to get what footage we get but it isn’t always going to be available
Just because US hegemony is declining, I don't see China's power growing inconsequence, because although China has the second largest GDP, but it doesn't have the consumer's market. Meaning, the average Chinese doesn't have the purchasing power of manufactured goods from other countries, so other countries depend on China for sustaining their economy, which is the strength US has. The whole world sees US foreign policy with disdain, but we stay silent, because they buy our stuff, which puts food on our table. And China has no soft power, we don't listen to their music, we don't watch their movies, and as society and culture, they have little chance of advancing beyond what's already been achieved by western civilization (yes, China was once a great civilization but that was hundreds of years ago). And social progress comes from new ideas from people, and without freedom of expression is that possible? In the near future, as we advance in AI and robotics, being a big country will no longer matter in military powers or in economy, the future will no longer be about how big you are, it's going to be more about how smart you are. I'm just content watching US and China just beating each other up and grow weaker, while the rest of the world have the space to grow stronger.
What are you talking about? Leave Middle Earth and Tolkien fantasies. China economy is way bigger. The West is not superior. White people are not the "civilized ones".
On the other side..engineering units are up and working round the clock 24/7 to dig in into newly defensive lines for RU. So next year gonna be lit AF.
why do you say then on every second word?
so, basically Ukraine is letting Russia hold the terrible open fields which will definately mean cassualties will be terrible for Russians, while Ukraine is taking advantage of natural defense lines with the help of bodies of water and such. Sounds like Ukraine is just bleeding the Russians more and more. A smart strategy, which also is less costly to their own troop's lives. A very smart move.
Ta Willy. Interesting.
I wish Lavrov would come along quick and fix this mess.
Russia has huge firepower overmatch. The kill-ratio favours Russia.
Ukraine Armi constantly improves their positions. 😅🤣🤣🤣
Yes most move backwards, the clever ones find a way to get out
12:48 Artillery barrels.Infantry weapons. Artillery ammunition.And components
Because the tanks produced by China and Russia are different. If China sends tanks, it will definitely be discovered.
Hello.
Most likely bad news from Ukraine again.
Stunning white man!!
You're wrong too often! Too many untruths are told here unfortunately.
When you look at it, Ukraine in reality only gives up 2 oblasts for peace, Kherson and Zaporizhia. Donestsk and Luhansk were already Russian, and Crimea was never on the table. Very cheap peace deal for Ukraine.
The Trump - Johnson proposed deal gives Zaporizhia and Kherson to Ukraine and the other 3 oblasts you mention to Russia. Your suggestion would not work as it does not represent a compromise.
@@jtruman48 Russia has said Kherson and Zaporizhia are Russia now. They shouldn't backtrack, since the Ukrainian army is collapsing and they might even get more before the US election if things go on like this. IMHO Russia should also have Kharkhov, Sumy and Chernighov. This makes up for the 3 oblasts that were Russian already. Then it's an even peace deal.
@@jtruman48 Well, whoever wrote the "Trump-Johnson deal" is an imbecile.
Referendums were held, documents were signed, and those 4 regions have been enshrined in the Russian Constitution. No leader of Russia, present or future, has the power to negotiate their return.
@@jtruman48 those oblasts have been enshrined in the Constitution. No leader, present or future, has the authority to negotiate their return.
@@jtruman48....sounds like Trump's getting bad foreign policy advice again. I read the proposal, had a good laugh, as will the Russians. It's delusional....a complete nonstarter.
The village is not called Zeleni, but Zeljane.
No to Naziukropnato 🤗💖🇷🇺👍
keep great reporting Up!! Bravo W❤❤
Want shorter videos, speak faster, I listen at 1,5x speed and it sounds normal. Good work nevertheless
I almost always listen to 1.25 speed. ( music is the obvious exception )
Try ADD medication.
It would be impossible for UKR to join the EU. This would go against the UKR constitution as well as against the EU rules
Russia has already lost.
Lost what ?
Lost, as in ylyl
@@fred4687 Lost everything. Their international standing. Their international economy. Forced to build relationships with North Korea, Iran, India, and China. Their banking system is a mess. The ruble is terrible. Thousands of men losing lives for a few villages that they gain, lose, and gain again. Can't take down one inferior country within a year. Have a dictator in charge. Putin is s terrible, dictator. He has crushed the Russian people and their people.
@@kityacat5419 This dude keeps deleting my comment. Clearly a russian shill.
Нет необходимости сокращать время видео. Достаточно поставить на 1.75
1st
GG
Omg I died when you called out the plastic stras bit.
15 seconds in
First to comment,
You guys should like my comments
i disliked haha
Why?
Nice!
Winning too slowly is what happens when 'supporters' don't make a full, immediate and complete commitment. I feel sorry for Ukraine, they have been strung along losing personnel every day which is something that can't go on forever. But hey, we'll give you what we think you need, when we think you need it providing you don't indulge in complete warfare against Russia. Geez, with 'supporters' like that who needs enemies. Then, to complete this bizarre picture, if you lose we'll blame you.
Great news as always
It's insane to think that Ukraine/France/Nato will launch a counter offensive, UNLESS, the US thinks that's "cheaper" than a larger war, which is what we were told
4:56 I think it’s just a rotation of troops so the refreshed troops have enough tools for winter
Its funny how my dude knows so much!
Long videos are all good bruz - not everyone has crippling adhd and needs their content in 15 second clips