Is the Kaspa power Law dead? (or Blow Off top?)

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  • Опубликовано: 23 янв 2025

Комментарии • 151

  • @DarkForest222
    @DarkForest222 2 месяца назад +24

    I think kaspa will come back to normal power law. What happened can be manipulators or Miners or combination of both but still power law not easy thing to break. We good. Thank you for a video Mikko👍 Great stuff as usual 🫡

  • @ishtyleretienne36
    @ishtyleretienne36 2 месяца назад +41

    Mom wake up! Plan K is back!!

    • @JoshuaFernandes
      @JoshuaFernandes 2 месяца назад

      Lol my mom is sleeping right next to me rn😂❤

  • @genxzero9478
    @genxzero9478 2 месяца назад +13

    Feeling much better now...thanks!

  • @johnny2156
    @johnny2156 2 месяца назад +7

    I’m going to make 10.000 YT channels, just so I can like this video. Glad you are back, you literally are the best! Hope your videos will be seen by many potential new investors!

  • @theprestonpoet
    @theprestonpoet 2 месяца назад +15

    He's back!❤

  • @loquaciousjd
    @loquaciousjd 2 месяца назад +3

    Great alpha. It’s no secret that you are a highly regarded voice in this space. Thank you.

  • @kainoslyfe
    @kainoslyfe 2 месяца назад +9

    Appreciate the content as always brother ✊

  • @ChillYourMind
    @ChillYourMind 2 месяца назад

    How do we get the btc power law indicator? ty

    • @KK-----
      @KK----- Месяц назад

      Plan k is the btc power law indicator

  • @emilpersson8340
    @emilpersson8340 2 месяца назад +10

    plan K is just way to good at this

  • @Sweede
    @Sweede Месяц назад

    how do i get the power law indicator?

  • @M3LTUP
    @M3LTUP 2 месяца назад +15

    BTC is making new ATH every day. I would be afraid to be buying BTC at the top. KAS price has not pumped in months. I personally think KAS is the one to buy right now.

  • @leojswdl
    @leojswdl 2 месяца назад +4

    Thank you very much 👍🏻

  • @ibongonzalez2826
    @ibongonzalez2826 8 дней назад

    Hi, could you please share Power Law settings on BTC and Kaspa so I can set them up on my Trading View? Thanks!

  • @Computercapi
    @Computercapi 2 месяца назад +7

    Great stuff, bro

  • @rennerbike5022
    @rennerbike5022 2 месяца назад +5

    Compared to meme coins its possible to hold Kaspa longer and sell closer to the top without the risk of disappearence. I will transfer early meme coin gains into Kaspa, because Kaspa will get parabolic in Q3/4 if we get a second peak and when, apart from binance and coinbase listing, 80% of the tech they are talking about (like smart contracts) is being implemented. In this late phase of the bull run maybe more investors think the same and prefer to make a safe 2-3x on part of their already 20 or 100X low cap gains. This could shoot Kaspa to the moon. To me this is one reason why Kaspa is not being listed yet and maybe artificially held back before breaking out.

  • @DerAlbi
    @DerAlbi 2 месяца назад +1

    Fit "Price / Some-Miner-Revenue-EMA" to a power-law and see if this solves the discontinuity you spoke about.

  • @joebloggs339
    @joebloggs339 2 месяца назад +1

    I would predict that the slope of the line on a log-log chart would remain more or less constant until the capabilities/characteristics of the project were modified, e.g. 1bps to 10 bps, completely new use for the project, at which time there would be an inflection point with a new slope, probably steeper, bc you are now dealing with a 'different animal.'

  • @TheTesla84
    @TheTesla84 2 месяца назад +1

    Excellent analysis! Especially the part on miner profitability post KRC 20. That begs the question- based on the same argument, will we see similar behavior by the miners after SCs, KII projects and DEXs get implemented?

  • @tkhayes83
    @tkhayes83 2 месяца назад

    Thanks for this, well said, lots of good points and ideas to explain whats been happening. I can see how you come to this conculsion. Im all for the new power bands. Seems the most logical way forward. Cheers

  • @davidmacadam6073
    @davidmacadam6073 2 месяца назад +2

    Dude, you are one smart guy!! Love your content!

  • @KarlLarsen
    @KarlLarsen 2 месяца назад +1

    Thank you for making this content for us today! As always! It’s amazing!

  • @Chris-rs8ds
    @Chris-rs8ds Месяц назад

    When the 10 bps is released, what will happen to the block reward? Will it be divided by 10?

  • @Umatic10
    @Umatic10 2 месяца назад

    Welcome back awesome point of view as always! i believe since kaspa is kaspa it will break and stay above the powerlaw bands just in the bullrun like it did downwards and then stabilize at some point inside in the bear market!

  • @5apere_4ude
    @5apere_4ude 2 месяца назад

    But that means that the more txs fees we have the lower the power law might shift, right?
    That also means that the 10 BPS hard fork could shift it back up since it reduces fees significantly. But after that, the more txs we have the more it would shift downwards again.

  • @ishtyleretienne36
    @ishtyleretienne36 2 месяца назад +2

    This is really interesting analysis but in the case of the third scenario (where the power law has shifted ~30% to the downside), wouldn't that mean that any future changes that affect miner profitability to the up or downside would change the powerlaw band?
    So for instance, when the 10bps comes the power should come up like you said but when smart contracts come in the summer then we should expect the power law to come back down?
    I just want to make sure I understand that theory fully.
    Great content as usual!

  • @Eisberg_
    @Eisberg_ 2 месяца назад +3

    how can we expect kaspa following tha power law, when the price is manipulated? there whre a massive volume spike with a minor price impact.

    • @user-kv2lc8zo7u
      @user-kv2lc8zo7u 2 месяца назад +1

      What? Who manipulates the price and how?

    • @Kaspa_dreams
      @Kaspa_dreams 2 месяца назад

      Mexc was shorting it​@@user-kv2lc8zo7u

    • @M3LTUP
      @M3LTUP 2 месяца назад

      I suspect miners have been steady mining and dumping KAS to pay their bills. This will go on until KAS mining costs rise.

    • @Eisberg_
      @Eisberg_ 2 месяца назад

      @@user-kv2lc8zo7u exchanges and whales , never heard of that?

    • @Eisberg_
      @Eisberg_ 2 месяца назад

      @@user-kv2lc8zo7u exchanges and market makers can create whatever price scenario they want, they create sell or buy pressure, to accumulate, sell higher or kick leverage trades out the game.

  • @thandomthembu2099
    @thandomthembu2099 2 месяца назад +5

    A guy called Ben Cowen on RUclips said models are useful until they don’t work anymore same story to the power law …this doesn’t mean kaspa is dead only time will tell us if this project will succeed

    • @SignalLost730
      @SignalLost730 2 месяца назад +1

      ben cowen is a terrible person to follow. followed him last bull run and he was suggesting non-stop that we could be in a 'lengthening cycle'. a ton of his followers held as everything crashed because of him. do not listen to that guy whatsoever.

    • @thandomthembu2099
      @thandomthembu2099 2 месяца назад +1

      @ I also experienced the same thing watching his content but…end of the day we are responsible for our own investing decisions

    • @EazyMF-E
      @EazyMF-E 2 месяца назад

      @@SignalLost730 He has been 100% in predictions for the last 2 years. Look at BTC.D, this is the true indicator of ALT season. Kaspa is still bleeding against BTC at the moment.

  • @neilstewart5060
    @neilstewart5060 2 месяца назад

    Would prefer that the power law be re-established in some form going forward. Not sure which one (original or adjusted) as we may also have a mini blow off top at some stage this cycle before returning to ranging within the band structures.

  • @RayAlmero
    @RayAlmero 2 месяца назад +111

    Thanks to You Mate, I have realistic expectations for this bullrun. Got into crypto early this year and I have truly learned a lot from you about cycles, crypto and markets as a whole. Now I know that all assets/markets are heavily tied to eachother and global economy has very high impact on Crypto. Thats why I am very cautious about when traditional markets top and how this affects Bitcoin and altcoins. If i havent discovered your channel I would have blindly holding instead of engaging the market........ I have managed to grow a nest egg of around 2.3Bitcoin to a decent 24Bitcoin. in the space of a few months... I'm especially grateful to Seren Wintersun’s, whose deep expertise and traditional trading acumen have been invaluable in this challenging, ever-evolving financial landscape.

    • @RayAlmero
      @RayAlmero 2 месяца назад

      SHE IS ON TELE GRAM.

    • @RayAlmero
      @RayAlmero 2 месяца назад

      @Serenwintersun

    • @79AdventureBaby
      @79AdventureBaby 2 месяца назад

      In a field as rapidly evolving as cryptocurrency, staying updated is crucial. Seren’s continual research and adaptation to the latest market changes have been instrumental in helping me make informed decisions.

    • @hollycarter3594
      @hollycarter3594 2 месяца назад

      Always backup your trading with a good strategy.

    • @2Luisalvarado
      @2Luisalvarado 2 месяца назад

      Nice, I was just hoding before I found Wintersun. In my opinion she is the very best out there.

  • @priincxsh9938
    @priincxsh9938 2 месяца назад +11

    Due to the manipulation of price by exchanges, I believe is why it has broken the power law, maybe the supply shock will put it above the power law 🚀🤓

    • @J0lker
      @J0lker 2 месяца назад +1

      agreed- i think because of fair launch big exchanges need to accumulate larger wallets to avoid buying on regular prices. And to do it they manipulate the price and buy from large mining companies away from exchanges.

    • @priincxsh9938
      @priincxsh9938 2 месяца назад

      @ kas members always have the upper hand when it comes to rational information, like for us if its not pumping, something technical is the issue, as in the case of its competitors in pos who have to worry about being dumped on, we on the other hand understand the value of this, insider information only confirms the true value of this project

    • @TontoBongRonto
      @TontoBongRonto 2 месяца назад

      @@priincxsh9938 Miners are dumping on you everyday

  • @bubblepaxi
    @bubblepaxi 2 месяца назад +3

    best KASPA content!!!

  • @dsr_lifelong
    @dsr_lifelong 2 месяца назад +2

    Great analysis! KRC-20 has increased the fees and mining profitability. That is why we had a significant selloff. The number of new mints will go down and the mining rewards will go down too. Once 10mbps is live, more miners will be able to find blocks. That will distribute rewards better. Mining profitability will go down. Hence, selloffs will be reduced. That will help kaspa skyrocket! This will happen until smart contracts are launched. Once the SCs are launched then fees will go up again and miners will be profitable again. That might trigger selloffs. We might see anther readjustment in power law after that. After that, due to reduced mining rewards, selloffs will come down. What do you think?

    • @TontoBongRonto
      @TontoBongRonto 2 месяца назад

      This is incorrect. The reward stays them same, spread over more blocks. Mining profitability stays the same at 10 BPS. Without adoption and transactions. Kaspa will die sadly, we will see what happen

  • @cryovu
    @cryovu 2 месяца назад +1

    I think the power law will hold. Number of transactions went up strongly, but not the number of wallets as you would expect, so not many new people went into our ecosystem. Meaning, not many kaspa buyers so the miners sold and could lower the price before the hashrate went up. It found a new bottom. In the future, with smart contracts and 10 bps, I'm pretty sure there will be a lot of new people entering the kaspa ecosystem. So with higher miner profitability (from transactions), there will be more demand. Miners selling but people buying. The sell pressure isn't that much from miners (about 6.739.200 Kaspa, around 1M selling pressure at current prices) and about 1M in transactions, so 200K from that. Easy to overcome with more buyers. Also remember hashrate will increase, pressuring the miners and the miner rewards reduce every month. I have the feeling this is more of a "one off" deviation. Pretty sure we will follow the normal power law again.

  • @muhammadrasool-w5i
    @muhammadrasool-w5i Месяц назад

    Why does it follow the power law in the first place

  • @marksvinicius73
    @marksvinicius73 2 месяца назад +1

    The Bitcoin power law has occasionally failed over time, leading to adjustments in calculations. With more historical data, estimations become increasingly accurate. Kaspa, however, is still in its early stages of historical data, remaining in the discovery phase

  • @ilswa
    @ilswa 2 месяца назад +1

    Stonks

  • @johnmacedo598
    @johnmacedo598 2 месяца назад

    How about the War is Israel and the fact that the project was created there? Does it affect it?
    Do we have in-chain metrics like in BTC so we see who sold?

  • @daimonfreitas7673
    @daimonfreitas7673 2 месяца назад +2

    Manipulation. Just to separate the betas from the chand before the big price discovery move. Remember my words.

  • @markgautier1460
    @markgautier1460 2 месяца назад +1

    I think it’s a little early to be thinking of a power law. Maybe wait until the smart contracts are finished and we get the 10 BPS ect….I maybe off base but it’s hard to encase an algorithm shell around something that is evolving. Not saying power law is bad. I think recent price action is actually good. It means if it can deviate beneath the power law during bad times then it should deviate above it during good times…..like in alt season. Still love the analysis though

  • @dmitrikivisikk7868
    @dmitrikivisikk7868 2 месяца назад

    A well timed remedy..

  • @Matt-ov6xw
    @Matt-ov6xw 2 месяца назад

    Will transaction fees be enough to incentivize enough miners to secure the network once kas reaches max supply in 2026?

  • @hugobarros647
    @hugobarros647 2 месяца назад

    So good points, amazing yellow lines 😅

  • @KarlLarsen
    @KarlLarsen 2 месяца назад +1

    Question: of course you’re my favorite RUclipsr. However, I have 100% of my money in Kaspa now. Do you have 100% of your money in Kaspa? Or do you own just a little bit of bitcoin such as 10% or less? I mean just in case.

  • @agussukendar249
    @agussukendar249 2 месяца назад

    Thank you plan k.
    I have a question.
    Most of my portfolio is in kaspa. I am very bullish on kaspa. But I have a wild worry that is a bit disturbing. Kaspa is an unfinished project. There will be a lot of development ahead. What would happen if (in my wild imagination) a black swan or fource major happened, say all the core developers of kaspa (the inventors and other vital core people) died in a plane crash. What would happen to kaspa at this stage? Would anyone else around the world be able to continue the project as dedicated as the core developers? Given that they are rare people who have the talent and dedication to this project. I am quite worried. But of course I hope that never happens. Thanks for the feedback.

  • @yums2526
    @yums2526 Месяц назад

    It’s being manipulated to keep price down. Why? To keep majority off the table. KAS the next big thing. Don’t dade this and HODL.

  • @officialdanplants
    @officialdanplants 2 месяца назад

    Power law has broken, I think we’ll see it peak out at $10-$15 a coin in the upcoming bull run.

  • @ishtyleretienne36
    @ishtyleretienne36 2 месяца назад

    Also, you should make shorts man. We need to get you to 10k at least brother.

  • @millionairemccoy218
    @millionairemccoy218 2 месяца назад +9

    Id rather see $2.50 already lol

    • @derekxavier220
      @derekxavier220 2 месяца назад

      2030

    • @J0lker
      @J0lker 2 месяца назад

      @@derekxavier220 I think sooner.

    • @yay844
      @yay844 27 дней назад

      3.5-4$minimum 2025
      Lol in 2030 2.5$ Kas will not pay for the miners electricity bill, the reduction of emission schedule is very important

    • @yay844
      @yay844 27 дней назад

      3.5-4$minimum 2025
      Lol in 2030 2.5$ Kas will not pay for the miners electricity bill, the reduction of emission schedule is very important

  • @vashstampede4878
    @vashstampede4878 2 месяца назад +1

    Plank K dropped a new vid? 👍

  • @handsup8791
    @handsup8791 2 месяца назад

    The cruel manipulation of MEXC cannot be a form elastic demand&supply

  • @Yuribrb
    @Yuribrb 2 месяца назад

    Finally a new video, thought you was dead

  • @acmlsrtvxacmlsrtvx3059
    @acmlsrtvxacmlsrtvx3059 2 месяца назад

    Patents " is required

  • @johnbai4715
    @johnbai4715 2 месяца назад

    Only power law that matters is "Money is Power" ... Which was proven with the recent price action/lack of listings on Kaspa

  • @SpaceCredits
    @SpaceCredits 2 месяца назад

    You need a summary / tldr section and time stamped

  • @russellsmith5546
    @russellsmith5546 2 месяца назад

    I dont think the model is broken in the long term. We had a multitude of pressures in the last few months. War in Isreal/Gaza and the main figures of kaspa being from that region made people nervous.
    I think the deviation off the power law lends more credence to the idea of downward manipulation by exchange wallets to acquire more before listings.
    Also leading into a controversial election that would become a tipping point for the crypto industry, people stuck with cash positions or less volatile assets. Then after election Bitcoin became a black hole sucking up billions of liquidity as everyone races to get in.
    I think these factors created a perfect storm for kaspa downward price action.
    In the mid term I believe Kaspa will rise back into the range and follow more closely long term.
    Just my two cents 😊

  • @ereunds
    @ereunds Месяц назад

    I'm really sorry man, some ignorant Kaspians really are out to get a piece of you, they seem to think Power Law is to blame for poor price performance, or worse, they want to Kas to go down to prove... something...

  • @TalenJourdan
    @TalenJourdan 2 месяца назад

    Yes power law is broken. Don’t create a new model just to fit a new power law. Otherwise there’s no point in a power law. Cmon dude

  • @KaspaBTC
    @KaspaBTC 2 месяца назад

    The emission schedules are nothing alike. Kaspa has rapid emissions, Bitcoin has slow emissions. This has to be taken inti account. 3B coins will be minted in 2025.

    • @Timur_575
      @Timur_575 2 месяца назад

      3b coins will not be mined in a year 😄😄🖐 .they will be mined only until 2038, they cannot be mined quickly 😉😄! just like bitcoin cannot be mined in a year the remaining million coins! only until 2140😉

    • @KaspaBTC
      @KaspaBTC 2 месяца назад

      Yes. 3B will be printed in 2025. I didnt say every year. I understand emissions. Reread my previous reply , I said "in 2025".

  • @mposssible7726
    @mposssible7726 2 месяца назад

    Price manipulation to grab at lows

    • @billyjean311275
      @billyjean311275 2 месяца назад

      That's a fake invented theory with no proof. People just don't buy kaspa. Law of offer and demand that's all. Among my friends nobody buy Kas they prefer memes or other coins in A I just accept it

  • @RichieRichIIII
    @RichieRichIIII 2 месяца назад +1

    The power law appears to follow a better path than Bitcoin for the future. ⬆️

  • @marksvinicius73
    @marksvinicius73 2 месяца назад

    Kaspa will liekly behave like an altcoin, requiring a remodeling of the power law as it was in the past with Bitcoin

  • @EnzoTkKO
    @EnzoTkKO 2 месяца назад

    Hate to say it but I no longer accept the KAS power law. Thank you for the video!

  • @Moonguy69r68
    @Moonguy69r68 2 месяца назад

    So, basically TA is pretty much useless, could be broken, could not be broken, could be a "reset", all possibilities we could have postulated without any TA. 🤷‍♂️

  • @Staterstacker
    @Staterstacker 2 месяца назад +1

    Kaspa still has the most bullish chart in crypto history

  • @KASPAKASPAKASPA
    @KASPAKASPAKASPA 2 месяца назад

    I will buy more Kaspa and Nacho with every salary

  • @rowdiehowie
    @rowdiehowie 2 месяца назад +11

    Nice content. To me, trading the forex and crypto market is way better than any online investment 💯

    • @rowdiehowie
      @rowdiehowie 2 месяца назад

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      @rowdiehowie 2 месяца назад

      He’s a licensed broker, very big in the states 🇺🇸. Though I met him in Texas , I did my research.

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      @TkGTheta 2 месяца назад

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    • @TkGTheta
      @TkGTheta 2 месяца назад

      I got started with a miserly $7000. The results have been mind blowing I must say
      TBH!!

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      @MarlenaHaubrich 2 месяца назад

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  • @liveandlocalacadiana
    @liveandlocalacadiana 2 месяца назад +4

    Jeramie is so afraid he won't be a cheerleader we need to say thank you to Kraken even more because they were waiting everywhere else for 100k bitcoin before listing

    • @M3LTUP
      @M3LTUP 2 месяца назад +1

      Agree. Everyone should try to buy a little KAS on Kraken to reward them for being the first Tier-1 to list. Uphold deserves recognition too.

    • @liveandlocalacadiana
      @liveandlocalacadiana 2 месяца назад

      @M3LTUP I have an will continue but I am also waiting for the KEC-20s to get on Kraken also.

  • @JoMunianga
    @JoMunianga Месяц назад +1

    I believe that KRC20 put a lot of selling on KAS as minting and transacting KAS as well as miners taking profits from the activity. I think the same pressure was excerpted on ADA when smart contracts were made available and any asset had to be swapped with ADA, the fees were through the roof when prior to the smart contracts it was barely anything.

  • @wes-tones-wealth-cycles
    @wes-tones-wealth-cycles 2 месяца назад

    Kas cycles and power law update:
    ruclips.net/video/3SVk18WpA0Q/видео.html

  • @t_crypto
    @t_crypto 2 месяца назад

    Giovanni never talks about kaspa in his paid discord. Only on twitter some marketing tweets

  • @Willopops
    @Willopops 2 месяца назад +1

    🫡

  • @rhemy1
    @rhemy1 2 месяца назад +1

    Krc20 affects the power law because it shifts incentives on the network. Many miners were highly profitable and dumped on the market. It dropped their average cost for profitability allowing them to dump the market even lower.

    • @bahjatzahlani8610
      @bahjatzahlani8610 2 месяца назад +2

      Yeah but it’s also the reason for the massive rise in hashrate, which raised the cost of mining Kaspa forever :) it will even out in the grand scheme of things.

  • @-joe-davidson
    @-joe-davidson 2 месяца назад

    KAS is dead.
    It had a good run.
    .
    .
    .
    .
    .
    .
    .
    .
    .
    .
    .
    Just kidding.

  • @hshm1888
    @hshm1888 2 месяца назад +2

    Can't explain shifty coin. Kas is a zi onest scam

  • @duongtuan-od7kx
    @duongtuan-od7kx 2 месяца назад

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  • @kuathidup8615
    @kuathidup8615 2 месяца назад

    Kaspa sell the news😂😂😂

  • @epicmedia2280
    @epicmedia2280 2 месяца назад

    Yes. Power law narrative is dead.
    It will enter the bands again since altcoin season is around the corner but the next deviation will be worst.
    Kaspa is NOT a power law.

  • @MegaFreez3
    @MegaFreez3 2 месяца назад

    Kaspa is dead sorry

    • @clarkgwozdecki6782
      @clarkgwozdecki6782 2 месяца назад

      Retail was eventually going tocome back and buy normie coins. They still have no clue about Kaspa but they will soon

    • @rennerbike5022
      @rennerbike5022 Месяц назад

      Kaspa has not been alive yet. It will wake up with 10bps and smart contracts.

  • @itssteve6018
    @itssteve6018 2 месяца назад

    Nobody wants to buy genocide coin

    • @Carnage-ki4xj
      @Carnage-ki4xj 2 месяца назад

      Stop crying Clown Kaspa has nothing to do with religion you 🤡

    • @rennerbike5022
      @rennerbike5022 Месяц назад +1

      Kaspa devs are not only from Israel, only one of them has stated his opinion, which has got nothing to do with the project itself. So to call it genocide is far fetched,