Illinois May Be The Worst Democratic Gerrymander In The Country | FiveThirtyEight

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  • Опубликовано: 5 май 2022
  • The worst Democratic gerrymander in the country is arguably in Illinois, as it set off a high-stakes game of musical chairs among the state’s five Republican House members.
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Комментарии • 540

  • @riaz8783
    @riaz8783 2 года назад +651

    I don't get why it's even possible to draw maps with these disjointed sections. It's completely arbitrary and doesn't do democracy or the population any favours

    • @zTeaTheCoffee
      @zTeaTheCoffee 2 года назад

      Republicans have being doing this exact thing for a long time. Both parties are shameful, undemocratic lumps of shit, and 90% of Congress don't deserve to be there and don't represent our interests. The U.S. Government is so fucked it's unbelievable.

    • @terdragontra8900
      @terdragontra8900 2 года назад +31

      Until the general population cares about gerrymandering (and voting reform in general) to a similar degree as other issues, progress will continue to be agonizingly slow

    • @DarkArcticTV
      @DarkArcticTV 2 года назад

      Liberal democracy is a sham

    • @e.moonbound2420
      @e.moonbound2420 2 года назад +10

      That seems like a general tendency in the US Government...

    • @travcurt
      @travcurt 2 года назад +6

      Population changes, therefore its necessary to redraw districts to make sure each district is represents an equal population. Thats in a perfect uncorrupt world, though. Both parties participate in ridiculous gerrymandering which is why its never truly punished. Only lazy shouting at the other for doing it.

  • @chase_like_the_bank
    @chase_like_the_bank 2 года назад +80

    The federal government really needs to make gerrymandering illegal in all states, and just use shortest splitlines to draw districts.

    • @SavageGreywolf
      @SavageGreywolf 2 года назад +21

      It'll never happen, because while blue gerrymanders like this exist, there are far, FAR more red ones and it would absolutely wreck Republican power.

    • @eii7316
      @eii7316 11 месяцев назад

      @SavageGreywolf You beat me too it.

    • @whodarboilebamnames3990
      @whodarboilebamnames3990 9 месяцев назад

      I strongly like rural favored gerry mandering, so I'd prefer that to continue.

    • @ericdemelia1226
      @ericdemelia1226 9 месяцев назад

      @@SavageGreywolfMaryland, Mass, Illinois say otherwise, but regardless it is bad no matter who it favors

    • @MichaelStaalOlsen
      @MichaelStaalOlsen 8 месяцев назад

      Even better: get rid of districts and just use proportional voting in each state. No borders needed, and you get a more democratic system

  • @amandasmith1920
    @amandasmith1920 2 года назад +30

    "By that measure Illinois is the worst gerrymander in the country *long pause drawn by democrats."
    I'm sure that framing was unintentional.

    • @charlesmiv3842
      @charlesmiv3842 2 года назад

      not really a "long pause"

    • @amandasmith1920
      @amandasmith1920 2 года назад

      @@charlesmiv3842 that pause was long enough to put Ron Jeremy to shame.

    • @charlesmiv3842
      @charlesmiv3842 2 года назад +4

      @@amandasmith1920 I mean, Texas and Florida have way worse gerrymandering lol

    • @darthdarthbinkss
      @darthdarthbinkss 2 года назад

      @@charlesmiv3842 bullshit

    • @abelincon8472
      @abelincon8472 2 года назад

      @@charlesmiv3842 he just said it's worst

  • @boodashaka2841
    @boodashaka2841 2 года назад +40

    I don't get it honestly. I'm a Kiwi myself and we have some odd electoral boundaries here but my god. Being able to change them so many times as well is just ludicrous

    • @shanematthews7713
      @shanematthews7713 2 года назад

      Republicans do this everywhere in red states and some blue states. Good for Illinois Dems for being willing to play the game. This is a serious flaw in our process here and ain't changing anytime soon.

  • @pascalfriedmann1479
    @pascalfriedmann1479 2 года назад +187

    Getting anything south of Joliet to be competitive for the Democrats is actually highly impressive.

    • @nitronoah1265
      @nitronoah1265 Год назад

      What they do is just pack together all the areas that are secularly red into one district than take a few bluer cities and put them in a district where together they can beat the smaller red communities, and since the cities pop is a lot, there doesn’t have to be much space inbetween cities so that there isn’t much red competition, while the big red districts take up a lot of area but are just a ton of heavily red areas with small populations. It’s pretty well represented in the little blue strip down the middle of Illinois. It’s just a combination of a handful of blue cities that are cut out from the red districts, that always are able to pull enough votes together to beat the red areas every year

  • @MrHamsterism
    @MrHamsterism 2 года назад +267

    You could just do what most democratic countries do and have a proportional democracy, this wouldn't be a problem, and there wouldn't be any incumbency advantage.

    • @terdragontra8900
      @terdragontra8900 2 года назад +30

      Yes, yes you could. Tell everyone you know about it. Voting reform needs to be a bigger issue in the public consciousness.

    • @raghudurina2354
      @raghudurina2354 2 года назад +12

      No gerrymandering is a problem but the electoral college is not gerrymandering it fights against tyranny of the majority and I support it

    • @terdragontra8900
      @terdragontra8900 2 года назад +40

      @@raghudurina2354 the electoral college gives the minority of people in rural areas more power than they would have in a purely representative system. why is is this the minority that must be given more power on an institutional level, and not say, muslims, or jews, or chinese immigrants, or the disabled, or left handed people?

    • @raghudurina2354
      @raghudurina2354 2 года назад +6

      @@terdragontra8900 the power is not given to anyone currently the voter base is split roughly in half along rural/urban lines but this wasn't always the case in the early days the two main parties in the USA were the federalist and the anti federalist who argued over how much power the federal government should have over states in the 1860 election Lincoln ran on a abolitionist platform he won the election with only 40 percent of the popular vote the Republicans won in 2016 because they had appealed to voters in swing states not because rural voters are privileged by the electoral college

    • @terdragontra8900
      @terdragontra8900 2 года назад +10

      @@raghudurina2354 The Republicans won in 2016 because they appealled to swing states, *and* states with smaller populations are given an advantage in the electoral college to the extent that it changed the victor compared to simple first past the post (which sucks as a voting method also, ranked choice or approval or STAR voting please). Those aren't mutually exclusive.

  • @firstpersonwinner7404
    @firstpersonwinner7404 2 года назад +95

    Us in Colorado voted in an independent commission for redistricting and they generally kept the same demographics in each district so likely the current legislators are safe, but put our new district in a very competitive area so no one is really sure what will happen with that

    • @mooseears9849
      @mooseears9849 2 года назад +18

      Competitive districts are a good thing, because it encourages people to VOTE. That's why I support the relative fairness in Colorado's districts. Same thing with Michigan and Nevada

    • @Distress.
      @Distress. 2 года назад

      But is it actually independent or is it like California or New York's Independent commissions.

    • @josephkrol8330
      @josephkrol8330 2 года назад +2

      @@Distress. Yes. Colorado is a blue state with a significant republican minority. The new district encompasses areas where significant amounts of Republicans and Democrats live. Both have a fighting chance of winning.

    • @tolkima
      @tolkima 2 года назад +2

      @@mooseears9849 nevada? there is little room for anything other than 4-0 R or 3-1 D. and its a gerrymander.

    • @mooseears9849
      @mooseears9849 2 года назад

      @@tolkima The only real Dem gerrymanders are in New York and Illinois

  • @wiimooden
    @wiimooden 2 года назад +70

    1:!4 Not exactly. You don't need gerrymandering to have wasted votes, it's an inherent feature of single winner election systems like our own. The UK and Canada frequently have high degrees of wasted votes despite having no gerrymandering whatsoever.

    • @LauraDixon2025
      @LauraDixon2025 2 года назад +5

      I would not say the uk has NO gerrymandering, a lot less but certainly its not a completely nonexistent

    • @ryanr5541
      @ryanr5541 2 года назад

      The UK absolutely has gerrymandering, Northern Ireland was literally designed for the purpose of keeping Unionists in power. Probably one of the blatant uses of gerrymandering ever.

    • @notsoawesomeone
      @notsoawesomeone 2 года назад +1

      This is why STV is so much better

    • @hs5312
      @hs5312 2 года назад

      Two things let’s make all political parties illegal and use the jungle primary system Louisiana uses.

  • @Vanalovan
    @Vanalovan 2 года назад +19

    This map might come back to bite democrats but over 10 years it’s probably still their best draw

  • @JK-gu3tl
    @JK-gu3tl 2 года назад +79

    At this point we need to allow cities like Chicago to be city states.

    • @sebastianrivera-tirado4309
      @sebastianrivera-tirado4309 2 года назад +26

      Not surprised. Most people I talk to from Chicago identify more with the city than the state.

    • @EscapeVelocity11186
      @EscapeVelocity11186 2 года назад +14

      Like a "federal city" or something like that? That's an interesting idea, though I'm not sure how many states will acquiesce to losing a good chunk of their tax base from their biggest cities leaving.

    • @satyakisil9711
      @satyakisil9711 2 года назад

      @@EscapeVelocity11186 or maybe Chicago can become a new state which has a single city in it.

    • @EscapeVelocity11186
      @EscapeVelocity11186 2 года назад +12

      @@satyakisil9711 That would basically be the same idea as a federal city. We already have federal districts - DC is one. The problem with this idea is that the Constitution wasn't designed to handle federal districts and can't properly account for them. DC has no voting representation in Congress and only gained three electoral votes due to the 23rd Amendment. A new federal district being created out of Chicago would leave the people of that city without congressional representation or electoral votes, severely compromising the state of democracy in the country on principle alone. There's no chance an amendment can be passed in the current political climate, so honestly, while the idea of major cities being federal districts is interesting, it's ultimately untenable as a result of the current political system.

    • @satyakisil9711
      @satyakisil9711 2 года назад

      @@EscapeVelocity11186 well, a federal city can also mean a city which is managed directly by the federal government and the city has no local government of its own. Also why would Chicago have no representation in Congress if the constitution mandates every state including Chicago to send members to the Senate?

  • @seanmyers5384
    @seanmyers5384 2 года назад +89

    If it's the "worst gerrymander in the country drawn my Democrats," then why does the very next graphic show that California is worse by 0.6 seats? And let's not ignore the fact that the 2 worst Republican-drawn maps are literally more than twice as bad

    • @danielwarren3138
      @danielwarren3138 2 года назад +49

      I think it means proportional to population; there are WAY more congressional districts in California than Illinois

    • @LucasFernandez-fk8se
      @LucasFernandez-fk8se 2 года назад

      Ehh I don’t mind gerrymandering. Republicans and democrats both do it. And it’s not like other shady political games won’t be played if they get rid of it. I mean look at the Democrats new “ministry of truth”

    • @corybooker5332
      @corybooker5332 2 года назад +23

      Theres a whole series on this my guy. He attacks Republicans when they do the same thing. Relax.

    • @chraman169
      @chraman169 2 года назад +3

      Californi has more seats in total, so the ratio is lower.
      Also, no they're not. You cannot draw democratic districts into those maps without gerrymandering. This is the reason why Massachusetts has 9/9 democratic districts but everybody is okay with it. You would have to gerrymander to draw a republican district there.

    • @iancypes5911
      @iancypes5911 2 года назад

      California is technically drawn up by an "independent" commission, though it's an open secret that Dems just deregister from the party to get appointed to the commission.

  • @DennyPenn1981
    @DennyPenn1981 2 года назад +21

    Gerrymandering could be controlled if county lines were required to be taken into account when drawing congressional districts.

    • @thedebate4836
      @thedebate4836 2 года назад +7

      but the problem with that is each district is supposed to represent ~740k people. there are some counties that have way way way more than that. take Los Angeles County just under 10 million, cook county (chicago area) just over 5 million people. now look at the large sections that are republican hold, like the 12th district. total population is like 800k and takes up roughly 32 counties. honestly what we should have is an AI system put districts together. all you have to put in is population numbers, voting numbers and total seats needed. the computer can draw the districts so each district has roughly the same number of people, and the total vote for the state looks like the national election. so if your state voted 60% R 40% D, then 60% of the seats would be republican. hell you could even make it a little more accurate, and put in votes by county.

    • @SCHMALLZZZ
      @SCHMALLZZZ 2 года назад +1

      There's at least half a dozen districts in my country.

    • @jamesdinius7769
      @jamesdinius7769 2 года назад

      @@thedebate4836 I think what they means is that the districts don't cross county lines, not that large counties can't be divided into multiple districts. Of course, what of the very rural counties that can't constitute a district alone? Those have to be lumped together.

    • @thedebate4836
      @thedebate4836 2 года назад +1

      @@jamesdinius7769 but the problem with that is again, roughly 740k pop per district. what if that county doesnt have a pop divisible by ~740k? the lines would have to run through counties. personally i think we could increase the number of seats in the house to be closer to ~500k pop per district (659 house members), but that wont ever happen because then republicans will never hold the house again. but at current numbers, each house member (by average) has 757k pop they represent which i think doesnt work well for the american people. just to give some more info. the 435 members we currently have was introduced in 1911. when the us population was 93 million, or ~214k pop per house member. and seeing every state has at least 500k population, everyone gets at least 1 seat. and every 10 years we increase or decrease seats by the census. also we can return back to the Webster method, which gave a rep above .5 so if you had 750k-1.24mil population then you would have 2 house members. but again, it would never happen because republicans would never win the house again and we all know that isnt going to work for them.

  • @gabrielrussell5531
    @gabrielrussell5531 2 года назад +86

    We need a federal law drawing districts by mathematical formulae. Independent commissions can't be trusted, and our current system is just a mess.

    • @adanactnomew7085
      @adanactnomew7085 2 года назад +10

      You can Gerrymander with compact districts

    • @ivanmaldonado2602
      @ivanmaldonado2602 2 года назад +3

      We could do that but the voting rights act that guarantees black districts kind of gets in the way of that.

    • @NateNate60
      @NateNate60 2 года назад +10

      @@ivanmaldonado2602 Not really. If an Act of Congress was passed that required districts be drawn systematically, it would implicitly repeal any section of a law that prescribes any other requirements on how the districts be drawn that is incompatible with the new redistricting scheme.

    • @csharp3884
      @csharp3884 2 года назад +1

      And what would that mathematical formula be? It would clearly be biased or one party or the other. It’s a zero sum game.

    • @holdenennis
      @holdenennis 2 года назад +8

      @@csharp3884 that’s why we need to stop playing the game of having single-member constituencies. You cannot gerrymander with proportional representation of three or more legislators per district.

  • @roaringfork
    @roaringfork 2 года назад +38

    So there's really no advantage to gerrymandering then, if your opponent does slightly better than expected, you lose more seats than if you had done so by creating fairer, deeper districts? Then the question becomes, what is the most change we will see in the next 10 years, and how do we protect ourselves from the worst possible outcome? That explains why they just gerrymander all republican representatives out of the state; Illinois is blue enough.

    • @___.51
      @___.51 2 года назад

      The advantage is a shot at winning a bunch of seats you shouldn't normally win. With this bullshit map, democrats have a chance of dominating illinois when under a healthy voting system they'd struggle to get halvsies.

    • @georgigeorgiev891
      @georgigeorgiev891 2 года назад +1

      I mean I wouldn't say that. Gerrymandering gives you the ability to make calculated risks in order to gain more seats than you should have the votes for. Sure you might be wrong sometimes, but if you do it well, you can take a 10% edge in the popular vote and expand it to a 20% edge in the number of seats

  • @johnyoung1761
    @johnyoung1761 2 года назад +39

    I can't reconstruct which years they were, but I remember a time Georgia Republicans thought they could minimize the number of Atlanta area Dem districts by pulling the edges of metro Atlanta into more Republican districts, which backfired and led to a large number of Dem representatives that never went away. And a time when Dems in control in Texas tried to divvy up the growing then-Republican suburbs into rural Democrat and urban Democrat seats. Instead, they created powerhouse rural-suburban districts that tipped to the Republicans more or less forever. Two examples is not a trend, but wouldn't it be great to see greed punished yet again?

  • @tobeytransport2802
    @tobeytransport2802 2 года назад +9

    Looking from the UK, I see that the problem is with your electoral system but you also seem to put up with the idea that seats are Gerrymandered. You guys shouldn’t put up with it. Switzerland uses proportional representation where each district is a whole canton (the Swiss version of states) and they elect multiple members per canton, this ensures that the cantons still remain a part of the process without allowing them to do things like this.

    • @maikotter9945
      @maikotter9945 2 года назад +1

      Switzerland chanced to proportional representation at the National Council Elections in the year 1919.
      Before that, there were some heavily manipulized constiuencies in Switzerland as well !

    • @fcbarcelona-clashroyale4778
      @fcbarcelona-clashroyale4778 2 года назад +2

      I'm from Switzerland and I can confirm that. I'm happy to see that people from other countries are interested by our system and our politics, because I feel the same towards countries such as the UK or the USA !

    • @tobeytransport2802
      @tobeytransport2802 2 года назад +1

      @@fcbarcelona-clashroyale4778 I find swiss politics and political system very interesting, Perhaps it isn't perfect but I find that the direct democracy and collegial system is something to look at, also the federalism!

  • @VicTheVicar
    @VicTheVicar 2 года назад +5

    LOL! That bite tho!

  • @VictorAntares
    @VictorAntares 2 года назад +50

    Dammit Nathaniel, you kept us waiting till the end for the prop comedy?! Why you holding out on us? All kidding aside, good explanation wrapped in a bun

    • @sambolino44
      @sambolino44 2 года назад

      At least he used a Chicago dog instead of one of those cheese-and-tomato pies that I and Antonin Scalia refuse to call pizza!

  • @rc8929
    @rc8929 2 года назад +40

    All gerrymandering should be outlawed, but until all states or the country outlawed it then no gerrymandering should be outlawed because we see very few democratic gerrymandering states vs. republican states. All or nothing.

    • @kevinwoolley7960
      @kevinwoolley7960 2 года назад +13

      CA, MD, NY, IL all pretty substantially gerrymandered (supposedly independent commission in CA nonetheless). It's pretty bipartisan.

    • @Ayone-u3h
      @Ayone-u3h 2 года назад +3

      @@kevinwoolley7960 New York’s map was struck down in court for partisan gerrymandering. Not only that but the court ruled they didn’t have the authority to draw the map because the Independent Redistricting Commission never reached an agreement on a map. Now a special master is in charge of picking a new map.

    • @Senkino5o
      @Senkino5o 2 года назад

      @@kevinwoolley7960 Not to mention New Mexico and New Jersey.

    • @lisleigfried4660
      @lisleigfried4660 2 года назад

      How would you even define gerrymandering in a non biased way? Should there be measures to reduce it based on parameters, yeah sure. But it isn't possible to outlaw it directly.

  • @_TehTJ_
    @_TehTJ_ 2 года назад +17

    I say get rid of districts and just have parties send representatives based on proportion of votes. Illinois has 18 districts, in 2020 roughly 60% of voters voted Democrat. 60% of 18 is (rounded up) 11 democrats and 7 republicans. This will reflect the state's actual alignment and give every voting block proportionate say.

    • @sumedhgarimella6024
      @sumedhgarimella6024 2 года назад +4

      I strongly agree. It's not like they're required by law to live in their district anyway

    • @benson5296
      @benson5296 2 года назад +4

      This is the most simplistic way of doing things yet would be 10x better than the steaming pile of garbage we call our current voting system

    • @_TehTJ_
      @_TehTJ_ 2 года назад +3

      @@benson5296 Hell it's the system they already have in the Netherlands

    • @tripledigit4835
      @tripledigit4835 2 года назад +3

      @@_TehTJ_ and in Germany and in Sweden.
      Many countries have proportional democracy which is better than district democracy

    • @hs5312
      @hs5312 2 года назад

      I disagree, I want a law making all political parties illegal

  • @mikec6347
    @mikec6347 Год назад +1

    I live in Illinois. It’s garbage. Save your money and Don’t move here.

  • @ph1ss1ks93
    @ph1ss1ks93 10 месяцев назад +1

    This personally annoyed me since Kinzinger was one of my favorite politician and a great representative for the Rockford area, but got squeezed out because of this.

  • @bigb3n011
    @bigb3n011 Год назад +2

    But according to the mainstream media it’s only republicans that gerrymander. Rheeee

    • @Megacooltommydee
      @Megacooltommydee Год назад +2

      To be fair, it's not wise to unilaterally disarm during an arms race. Just like with war, neither party should be gerrymandering, but if one won't stop doing so the other must fight back.

    • @bigb3n011
      @bigb3n011 Год назад +1

      @@Megacooltommydee you’re missing my point.

  • @Jacaerys1
    @Jacaerys1 Год назад +3

    Good, until Republicans give It up, then keep on going.

  • @joespice785
    @joespice785 2 года назад +43

    Its good to see you cover this map and be fair with your assessments.

    • @BigmanDogs
      @BigmanDogs 2 года назад

      Wouldnt it be fair to mention that vast majority of gerrymandering is in the favor of republicans?

  • @caposolomon8745
    @caposolomon8745 10 дней назад

    What is that district that they draw on the very left side?

  • @ditmasparkkid2598
    @ditmasparkkid2598 2 года назад +11

    With all this crime going on in the Chicago Metro region, and economic depressions, I feel it's likely light blue districts will unconsciously be competitive.
    Just watch it backfire during the midterms.

  • @georgemarshalldawson5251
    @georgemarshalldawson5251 2 года назад

    I think what’s sad is that in 8th grade for a math project I corrected the gerrymandering of North Carolina. Basically any 8th grader could fix gerrymandering in the country but politicians are to scared to draw even lines

  • @thomassheldon2132
    @thomassheldon2132 2 года назад

    Great series, well done

  • @MichaelCH2007
    @MichaelCH2007 2 года назад +4

    I'm amazed they haven't filed a lawsuit yet to undo this map.

    • @chiaraventura8384
      @chiaraventura8384 2 года назад +1

      They shouldn't. Florida should be struck down instead, I felt sick when NY was struck down

    • @MichaelCH2007
      @MichaelCH2007 2 года назад

      @@chiaraventura8384 looks like a judge just did. And they were right to strike down New York, along with Ohio, Maryland and North Carolina

    • @covfefe1787
      @covfefe1787 2 года назад +4

      @@chiaraventura8384 ITS OKAY WHEN WE DO IT!!!!!!!

    • @chiaraventura8384
      @chiaraventura8384 2 года назад +1

      @@covfefe1787 republicans gerrymander a lot so I think it's ok for democrats to gerrymander in only a few states and is not fair that NY was struck down while Florida not

    • @Jacaerys1
      @Jacaerys1 Год назад

      @@covfefe1787I mean Democrats gerrymanders get actually challenged and redrawn, New York for example, but does Florida, Texas, Kansas, Alabama Wisconsin etc get redrawn? No… so fight fire with fire.

  • @samuelteece6599
    @samuelteece6599 2 года назад +2

    There's a reason Australia has an independent electoral commission to draw the boundaries...

  • @TheStickCollector
    @TheStickCollector 2 года назад +2

    It's basically a city state with farmland attached and Chicago wants to keep it that way it seems like.

    • @zenkdare1600
      @zenkdare1600 2 года назад +1

      It’s also fair to note that that is effectively what it always will be. The greater Chicago area (ie the area of Chicago plus the suburbs that are part of the Chicago economy) make up roughly 75% of the states population if not more.

    • @jamesdinius7769
      @jamesdinius7769 2 года назад

      As it is with many states. Colorado, California, New York, Pennsylvania, the list goes on (some of those have multiple major cities, but together they rule and are often broadly on the same page).

  • @cooldude6269
    @cooldude6269 2 года назад

    My county is split right down the middle, there should at least be something outlawing splitting counties for maps like this right

  • @bartonfang
    @bartonfang 2 года назад +4

    Given the new information age and national-wide, if not global chain supply, the practice of land based representation is seriously outdated.

    • @joespice785
      @joespice785 2 года назад +4

      It isn't land based; Its population based. Each district must have near identical amount of individuals representing it reflective of the state's population as a whole.

    • @NateNate60
      @NateNate60 2 года назад +3

      @@joespice785 I believe they're talking about having electoral districts in general as opposed to something like party-list proportional representation

  • @rxlemon-lime2335
    @rxlemon-lime2335 2 месяца назад

    Every district in America needs to be competitive.

  • @Ben-xg3ht
    @Ben-xg3ht 2 года назад +1

    *Laughs in Maryland*

  • @jmadd779
    @jmadd779 2 года назад +16

    Hate when both parties do this. Disgusting abuse of power

    • @SerLava
      @SerLava 2 года назад +1

      It's literally objectively better than only one party doing it. and well,

  • @williamgregory1848
    @williamgregory1848 8 месяцев назад

    Independent redistricting commission for all states! State legislatures (of both parties) shouldn’t draw lines!

  • @wyattblaine7066
    @wyattblaine7066 2 года назад

    Glad I just found your channel. Subscribed! Please do Idaho, we used to be a swing state until the districts cut Boise in half.

    • @solomon1995able
      @solomon1995able Год назад

      Idaho has a very small population with only two districts.

    • @wyattblaine7066
      @wyattblaine7066 Год назад

      @@solomon1995able and your point is?

  • @dvferyance
    @dvferyance Год назад

    While Democrats just to the north in Wisconsin say that it is the most gerrymandered in the state when this exist right next door.

  • @xrystalskyes2838
    @xrystalskyes2838 2 года назад

    I wonder how it would look if it were strict square plots

  • @nicholaiginovaef4861
    @nicholaiginovaef4861 7 месяцев назад

    lincoln was born in kentucky, so he was technically a carpetbagger in illinois, not 'from' illinois

  • @gcart8534
    @gcart8534 Месяц назад

    I appreciate you not pretending like republicans in Florida are the only ones who use gerrymandering. Both parties do this and do it well.

  • @survivalsuiters5982
    @survivalsuiters5982 2 года назад

    Pritzker also said in 2018 he would veto any gerrymander.

  • @foamfingermaker
    @foamfingermaker Год назад

    That’s why a non partisan board should be hired to create a fair map in every state.

  • @Dagreatdudeman
    @Dagreatdudeman 2 года назад

    Can someone explain to me why gerrymandering *ISNT* the root of America's political problems?

  • @thatrandomguyontheinternet2477
    @thatrandomguyontheinternet2477 2 года назад +2

    One thing Gerrymandering explained videos ignore is that they only talk about one party

  • @Muppetias
    @Muppetias Год назад

    Abolish districts and do elections on state level, then the majority vote wins and gerrymandering instantly impossible.
    In Europe most democratic states most don't use districts unlike Great Britain.

  • @Pyrrhic.
    @Pyrrhic. 2 года назад +1

    I am against gerrymandering for both democrats and republicans. It’s fucked up to the voters

  • @001sander2
    @001sander2 3 месяца назад

    Can confirm. I grew up outside Chicago and it was bad even then

  • @markhousman8447
    @markhousman8447 2 года назад +3

    What percent of people live in a competitive district? Gerrymandering is such a great way to disenfranchise voters.

    • @johnyoung1761
      @johnyoung1761 2 года назад +1

      Nate points out that Dems have drawn six districts they think are rather narrowly Democratic. With voters souring on Dem performance, if the Rs run good candidates you could have a rather exceptional 6 of 17 districts competitive. 35.29%! That's my favorite kind of gerrymander, the kind that bites the drawers in the butt.

    • @Senkino5o
      @Senkino5o 2 года назад +2

      Abolishing gerrymandering would by no means create more 'competitive districts'. Drawing districts that actually accurately represent whole towns, counties and communities would often create very 1-sided districts. But so what? If the people of a given area have certain views then that is what should be reflected in their congressman.

    • @jamesdinius7769
      @jamesdinius7769 2 года назад +2

      Districts aren't meant to be competitive. In fact, ideally they wouldn't be unless the community is undergoing turmoil or a ideological shift. Districts are meant to be small enough that there is broad agreement in them about politics and policy. Then they field a representative that holds those broadly accepted views to Congress so their local voice is heard on the national level. That's the idea of federalism.

    • @johnyoung1761
      @johnyoung1761 2 года назад +1

      @@jamesdinius7769 A well-turned post. I like your argument.

    • @jektonoporkins5025
      @jektonoporkins5025 2 года назад +1

      The lack of competitive districts is a geography problem, not a gerrymandering problem. Democrats really only exist in large numbers in large urban areas while Republicans exist everywhere else, not really in large numbers. So in order to make a district "competitive" you would have to create districts that contain only part of a large city but also contain parts of the suburbs and sweeping regions of the countryside. I.e. gerrymander the shit out of it.

  • @cobius8698
    @cobius8698 2 года назад

    The state level districts are abysmal too.

  • @Mrs.Doubtfire007
    @Mrs.Doubtfire007 Год назад +3

    We're only playing by the RepubliCONS rules.

  • @alexandernelson2452
    @alexandernelson2452 2 года назад +8

    You can go down playing it safe or you can go down being aggressive. It's a no-brainer.

  • @combatarcher3101
    @combatarcher3101 2 года назад

    personally id rather a conpetive map thats jerrymandered than a non conpetive map any day, as thats the only real way change gets made in this dam contry is when theres a threat of being voted out

  • @late8641
    @late8641 2 года назад +5

    In Finland, we have 13 constituencies and each constituency gets representatives to the parliament relative to the population and the parties are determined by the D'Hondt method. Much more simple and fair.

  • @PraveenBalaji12
    @PraveenBalaji12 2 года назад

    Isn't that Peter Parker?

  • @tomwallen7271
    @tomwallen7271 2 года назад +8

    Democrats in Illinois really guzzled some glizzies to make a map this undemocratic.

    • @0IIIIII
      @0IIIIII 2 года назад

      It is Republicans who gerrymander more however. The Republican Party of Trump is a threat to Democracy, James Mattis said so.

  • @Frygonz
    @Frygonz 2 года назад

    Nathaniel looks like a less grizzled Edward Snowden.

  • @dsargent724
    @dsargent724 2 года назад

    END THE TWO PARTY SYSTEM

  • @jayray6926
    @jayray6926 2 года назад

    I’m surprised this video isn’t flagged for misinformation.

  • @Mman07311
    @Mman07311 2 года назад

    Not accurate that hot dog isn't in a poppyseed bun

  • @julianbrabsche728
    @julianbrabsche728 5 месяцев назад

    There shouldn`t even wasted votes.

  • @Snommelp
    @Snommelp 2 года назад

    What's the solution to the "wasted votes" problem? Because "fair" districts, e.g. ones drawn with the shortest splitline algorithm, could still wind up being safe enough that votes are considered wasted. I think you'd have to eliminate districts entirely, have the whole state voting for everyone and the top X number of candidates win. But even then, we'd probably start talking about wasted votes in safe states.
    Would we have to gerrymander specifically for as many competitive districts as possible?

  • @ScottCleve33
    @ScottCleve33 2 года назад

    What I'm getting from these videos is that a) both parties Gerrymander, b) Gerrymandering takes place in every state and c) nobody can really define what a redistricted map is actually Gerrymandered. It's all subjective and a matter of personal opinion.

  • @mjsteele42
    @mjsteele42 2 года назад +1

    But I thought only the Republicans engaged in gerrymandering.
    At least that’s what the media and the Squad would us believe.

    • @georgigeorgiev891
      @georgigeorgiev891 2 года назад

      I mean you did see how much more gerrymandered the republican states were right. It was literally in the video

    • @thegentleman8987
      @thegentleman8987 2 года назад

      @@georgigeorgiev891 true but I feel like if Democrats want to end gerrymandering they should at least lead by example or stop being so hypocritical

    • @georgigeorgiev891
      @georgigeorgiev891 2 года назад

      @@thegentleman8987 leading by example is great and all but worth absolutely squat. If the democrats want to change gerrymandering they will need the votes to do it.

  • @alexd481
    @alexd481 2 года назад +1

    Most of the distorted map designs could be avoided if you went based on county rather than politics. Some counties would get split up anyways, but the vast majority could be kept intact. I see no need for a perfect population balance, just reasonably close.

    • @alexd481
      @alexd481 2 года назад

      Illinois has 103 counties, and you could easily design a map that keeps all but two of these intact. The population size might not be perfectly equal, but it would be close enough.

  • @Spungle15
    @Spungle15 2 года назад +10

    Districts should be drawn using city limits and community boundaries in mind, not these jagged, arbitrary monstrosities.

    • @Rudy-ec1er
      @Rudy-ec1er 2 года назад +1

      Lol, Wait until you see Illinois municipal borders. Seriously, go look some up.

  • @daveparker6333
    @daveparker6333 2 года назад +7

    This is to gain some ground against the gerrymandered Republican maps in Texas and Florida. I'm not sure why this video was necessary unless FiveThirtyEight has been accused of bias.

    • @shawnchuang1101
      @shawnchuang1101 2 года назад +17

      This is a dumb take imo, Democratic gerrymandering in response to republican gerrymandering only serves to make the practice more common and accepted, leading to both sides refusing to give up their map and just in general causing more problems

    • @Tyler-ze4tg
      @Tyler-ze4tg 2 года назад +4

      @@shawnchuang1101 Yea but would you expect a political party to just concede to the other side and not gerrymander? It's hopeful thinking, but there's no easy way out of it without both sides coming to some sort of agreement.

    • @bobbylasley2612
      @bobbylasley2612 2 года назад

      Bad take

    • @darienmiller1032
      @darienmiller1032 2 года назад

      @@shawnchuang1101 THIS is a dumb take, why would you ever expect democrats to just lie down and lose dozen of house seats to republicans as they continue to gerrymander half the country? Republicans steal seats undemocratically, and now democrats have to take the high road and allow republicans to hold onto the house indefinitely? This is completely unreasonable, the ball is in the court of the GOP to stop this as 1) They started it back in 2010, and 2) Democrats passed voting reform last to ban partisan gerrymandering and every single House and Senate GOP member voted it down. Until republicans stop, democrats have every right to gerrymander as fiercely as they want.

    • @shawnchuang1101
      @shawnchuang1101 2 года назад

      @@darienmiller1032 “until republicans stop” and why would they? Republicans won’t stop because democrats won’t stop, and democrats won’t stop because republicans won’t stop. It’s just an endless loop. And even in the status quo republicans have shown to be better at gerrymandering so if neither side stops, it’s the republicans that win.

  • @Farhankhan_the1
    @Farhankhan_the1 2 года назад +2

    You may wanna look at Florida.

  • @kevinaguilar7541
    @kevinaguilar7541 2 года назад

    My eyes, they're burning!

  • @nicolaso.8666
    @nicolaso.8666 2 года назад +1

    Interesting. Thank you for the video! I’m against all gerrymandering, regardless by what party.

  • @Peter43John
    @Peter43John Год назад

    Number of House seats from Illinois in 1985: 24
    in 2020: 17 The state is dying.

  • @priestofronaldalt
    @priestofronaldalt 2 года назад

    America needs to completely rework its democracy and nothing can change my mind

  • @MortanAMrk
    @MortanAMrk 2 года назад +2

    This guy Gerry needs to stop trolling humans for his own benifit
    also nice hot dpg bite brother

  • @anthonystevens6999
    @anthonystevens6999 2 года назад

    Republican living in Chicago, I don’t know if I’ll ever see this state go red lol

  • @soapy4744
    @soapy4744 2 года назад

    They have to do that, if they don’t then the GOP Gerrymandering would crush them

  • @samlafferty2433
    @samlafferty2433 2 года назад +1

    Key word democratic

  • @pcarnold9
    @pcarnold9 2 года назад

    Shocker

  • @stiggsmasta
    @stiggsmasta Год назад

    "Far right" lol

  • @kevenpinder7025
    @kevenpinder7025 4 месяца назад

    Why are you concerned about this? The SCOTUS isnt. 😮

  • @sean_king
    @sean_king 2 года назад +2

    NY should've had a more epic one!

    • @georgew9094
      @georgew9094 2 года назад

      NY gerrymander woulda erase 4 Republican seats only behind Texas and Florida.

    • @joespice785
      @joespice785 2 года назад +5

      @@georgew9094 Texas actually didn't erase any seats. They just solidified Democratic and Republican seats. However, they did give themselves the 2 new seats.

    • @alphonsos7307
      @alphonsos7307 2 года назад

      @@joespice785 the reason why the republicans didn't do that is because the minority population is growing so rapidly in Texas so they didn't have a choice unlike Florida .4 of the top 10 most populated cities in the us is Dallas Austin Houston San Antonio is growing super rapidly.i believe by 2026 or 2028 the Texas map will break apart by then because of the rapid population growth

  • @TheSuperMarioBro
    @TheSuperMarioBro 2 года назад

    how.. i.. what..

  • @meh23p
    @meh23p 2 года назад

    So maybe the US should set up an independent commission to draw geographically sound, competitive districts nationwide. Eh?
    (Better yet, adopt some kind of proportional representation or at least ranked choice voting so people have more choices...)

    • @jektonoporkins5025
      @jektonoporkins5025 2 года назад

      In the US it's largely impossible to create districts that are both geographically sound and competitive. You've got to pick one or the other just because of geography.

    • @meh23p
      @meh23p 2 года назад

      @@jektonoporkins5025 so make the best compromise. Or do some kind of proportional voting that would sidestep the issue.

  • @theredbreads1237
    @theredbreads1237 9 месяцев назад

    Both parties do this it has to stop

  • @jeremypeters-fransen1901
    @jeremypeters-fransen1901 2 года назад

    I love this channel, but maybe we should put the Mrs. O'Leary's cow references(except to discredit the theory) to death in 2022. Also very disappointing that Democrats have joined in this brouhaha

  • @51angrybees40
    @51angrybees40 2 года назад

    Welcome to every state in the union, one way or the other

  • @isaacwojo3273
    @isaacwojo3273 2 года назад

    The 13th isn’t as liberal as some analysts think.

  • @lordoffortuneladies2755
    @lordoffortuneladies2755 2 года назад

    I´d feel sorry for you if not every single state did this no matter the party. How about you guys get your sh** together and introduce a proportional voting system like any other first world country..... That and the strange electoral colllege, can´t beleive that 18th century necessity survived till the modern days

  • @MR_BENWAN
    @MR_BENWAN 5 месяцев назад

    Thanks for sharing how Democrats are also doing Gerrymandering⋯⋯

  • @TexanMAGABOI
    @TexanMAGABOI 2 года назад

    Nice, 538 finally having a decent take

  • @robertmeyers3640
    @robertmeyers3640 2 месяца назад

    They learned from the MAGAs

  • @ericpalacios920
    @ericpalacios920 2 года назад

    1:49 Ohio, Cali, and IL are pretty bad but c'mon, Florida and Texas really need a non-partisan redistricting committee

    • @scoopy5739
      @scoopy5739 2 года назад

      The Illinois Gerrymander is bad, Florida’s and Texas’s should get people thrown in jail….

  • @crystl5775
    @crystl5775 2 года назад

    US democracy in a nutshell

  • @CRMdrifter
    @CRMdrifter 2 года назад

    People put too much emphasis on this crap. I understand it's bending the rules but it's minor changes. Much more important things to discuss.

  • @ackvon9081
    @ackvon9081 2 года назад

    A very simple solution in my opinion would be to have proportional representation. It would give liberals in conservative states more of a voice, and conservatives more of a voice in liberal states.

    • @theblue5224
      @theblue5224 2 года назад

      If you did that democrats would win every single election in the county the last 3 republican president were elected whit a minority of popular vote and a majority of now red state would be competitive for democrats if it wasn't for your broken sistem

    • @ackvon9081
      @ackvon9081 2 года назад

      @@theblue5224 So you're saying that the votes of democrats are worth less because the republican party gets less votes? That doesn't sound very democratic. Yeah yeah, I know we're not technically a democracy, but the country was founded on democratic principles. To deny the votes of a certain demographic because they vote a certain way is, in my opinion, wrong. It would make elections more competitive in a way because the politicians would have to care about every state, including California, which is largely ignored by the democratic party as it gets a majority democratic votes every election. The politicians have grown complaisant, which is not very good.

    • @theblue5224
      @theblue5224 2 года назад

      @@ackvon9081 i do agree but personally I don't think it's possible for Americans to switch vote sistem you are to anchored to the past and the original constitution

  • @alcostello6114
    @alcostello6114 2 года назад

    Go Cubs go

  • @ostrua80
    @ostrua80 2 года назад

    Definitely not a Chicago Style Dog.

  • @Skubasteph
    @Skubasteph 2 года назад

    they all gerrymander every state

  • @addisonsheffield3764
    @addisonsheffield3764 2 года назад +6

    I recently fled Blue state Illinois... for Red state Texas!
    Anything democrat turns to 💩.