LANDFALL INTENSITIES are based on the last point in a BT file before it made landfall 3/4 Seasonals are DONE! I hope you all enjoy this one! It may differ slightly compared to the other two, but I hope you like the new additions! Going to take a break from real life seasons now... You know what that means...
Amazing animation! Cant believe how record breaking this season is, seeing that it was the 3rd least active season in the West Pacific. I gotta say it was DEFINITELY worth the wait for this animation! Keep up the amazing work!
Koinu is a underrated typhoon, it broke the record of strongest gust ever recorded in Taiwan(and #3 strongest in the entire world) despite not being the strongest typhoons of the season. The official record is 95.2 m/s(=342.72 kph=214.2 mph=185.05 kt), but there’s an unofficial record(since the measuring equipments were damaged) of 100.7 m/s(=362.52 kph=226.58 mph=195.75 kt).
Man, Saola was really underestimated. Wonder if the JTWC actually did good in estimates this year. Anyways, can't wait to see yet another great animation, nxthan! It'll be great!
@@nxthanj Yea, I don't use personal analysis either. It honestly takes a lot of reasoning and evidence, but sometimes I do question the officials' estimates
All of the major typhoons mawar 2:10 doksuri 4:17 khanun 4:39 saola 6:05 koinu 7:23 bolaven 7:42 that's all bye (Edit) saola is a cat 5 in force thirteen analysis or maybe I'm just wrong
failed invests/td that could’ve formed to reach average/above average mark (all of these had HIGH CHANCES of forming, basically it got busted) 1) jan invest (there were so many invests during jan 2023 like i remember one having a high chance of forming, plus alot of them had model support) 2) ts amang (unofficially it’s a ts, but not according to jma and jtwc.) 3) may jma td (it had model support and was actually a high-chance invest. it could’ve been a mild slop, like crising 2021 2.0. i also remember early may where alot of people were complaining about the extreme heat so maybe this could’ve helped them atleast (as an lpa, ts at scs) 4) june jma td (i remember this one it was long lived, it lasted for 7 days, i remember when i thought it would regenerate when it exited china (basically it formed at gulf of tonkin and made landfall at hainan, classified as a jma td. it had an erratic track and instead of further dissipating at land, it got back to scs and made landfall in the southern tip of taiwan) 5) late september near-marshall islands invest (idk wgat number it was but it was high chance and had model support for BOTH ecmwf and icon, both agencies were forecasting it to be a major typhoon, although it would stay out to sea as from i remember it didn’t have any threat to land) 6) idk if this counts but 97w couldve been a nesat 2022 2.0 if it strengthened to a tropical storm at philippine sea. i think interaction with bolaven hindered it knowing bolaven was a very large storm. idk if it’s remnants became sanba 7) of course, the infamous 17w. it was expected to be at least a tropical storm. i also remember several people expecting it to be a super typhoon💀which is crazy) 8) 95/96/97W! the way it got designated thrice (jtwc moment) btw this one it was in perfect conditions and of course, had model support. it was expected to be a major typhoon.) 9) december 92w (had model support and stuff, could’ve been a sanvu 2.0) if all of these formed then we could’ve had 28 TS 16 TY (strengthened sanvu, jma ty talim, late september invest, 97w, 17w, 95/96/97w, 92w) 6 STY? (late september invest, 95/96/97w)
@nxthan I would love if you could show me the links of the information on the tropical cyclones of the 2023 Pacific typhoon season. I am just curious please respond back to this whenever yoh are able too.
there are alot of sources i used uhhhh, mainly from the wikipedia article but i have utilised references from such to ensure information is right (for damages and deaths) tracking data is from JTWC BT files, and ACE is calculated from those files. some data shown on wiki however is missing so i had to do some research (eg, 13W having 8 deaths) and converting filipino damages to usd
@@yeomerryn4343 if you saw in the video, the data used is based of JTWC’s preliminary analysis, which had it at a 135kt category 4. (although it was hard not to put cat 5 because it was so clearly one😭🙏)
@@EliRicke-xl9mw Correct! The JTWC finished their post-season analysis after the upload date of this animation, hence the different estimates and information used
Yah, you're still right from your side...But the upcoming La Nina and record shattering SSTs in Atlantic could lead to another season with 20 named storms or more... NATL - 21 storms WPAC - 20 storms EPAC - 16 storms....
Hey nxthan! I was wondering if you could give any hints on what your next animation will be...like maybe what list...or year...or ACE... or if you want a complete suprise that's fine
Not officially. I use official estimates but the true reality is Bolaven was very much underestimated. At least 165kt or higher from what i have heard. Blame the JTWC😅
@@nxthanj Doksuri flooded Beijing (where we lived during the summer), and we were coincidentally on a trip to Shanghai to visit my relatives. Khanun, as we all know, made a U-turn and spared Shanghai. My flight back to the U.S. was somehow 6 hours after Hilary
Fun fact :- This was the first season to not feature a major Phillippines landfall after three consecutive destructive landfalls in 2020,2021 and 2022...
For me I still think Bolaven is more powerful than Mawar and even also the strongest storm world wide in 2023 and Saola is a Cat 5 but the JTWC underestimated it. And also the fact that Force thirdteen 13 has Jova reaching 185mph in their analysis estimations and Haikui as a Cat 4 is just crazy to think of, but their estimates can be often accurate.
Yeah again, the analysis blame is to be put on the JTWC as their analysis is used here (its official). Although i do agree many storms were not estimated properly
2023 pacific typhoon seasons animation well was less active then 2023 alt hurricanes season However super typhoon mawar and bolaven was both powerful category 5 while super typhoon doksuri was costliest storm ever recorded in Chica history's That was inasne so yes 😅😅 And now 2023 india oceans cyclone season was be last 😊😊❤❤
Hi am back PAGASA is predicted 13-16 Cyclones will enter or develop in the PAR this year because of developing la niña. PAGASA Warned june- august possibly 62% la niña will develop.
LANDFALL INTENSITIES are based on the last point in a BT file before it made landfall
3/4 Seasonals are DONE! I hope you all enjoy this one! It may differ slightly compared to the other two, but I hope you like the new additions! Going to take a break from real life seasons now...
You know what that means...
Another month long hiatus-
More crazyy hypos !!!
2024 Hypo v2
Im from the future, it wws the 1k special
i remember you making these crazy predictions of cyclone seasons to this, wow such an improvement too
Amazing animation! Cant believe how record breaking this season is, seeing that it was the 3rd least active season in the West Pacific. I gotta say it was DEFINITELY worth the wait for this animation! Keep up the amazing work!
THANK YOU!!! yeah it was a crazy season in the early run.
17 storms and almost average ace
As usual, great animation. Love the exact damage totals! Keep it up!
haha thank you! glad i got that sorted
UPDATE!:
Egay And Goring Is Out And Replaced With Emir And (I Forgot sorry💀🗿)
Lol
Emil and Gavino
I like it, you are really the best at making hurricane/typhoon season animation of all
thank u so much
No prlbem
Btw, i know you're tired so take a rest fisrt so you could do more amazing animations that all of your subs loved it
Typhoon Saola and Typhoon Damrey formed on my birthday
Koinu is a underrated typhoon, it broke the record of strongest gust ever recorded in Taiwan(and #3 strongest in the entire world) despite not being the strongest typhoons of the season.
The official record is 95.2 m/s(=342.72 kph=214.2 mph=185.05 kt), but there’s an unofficial record(since the measuring equipments were damaged) of 100.7 m/s(=362.52 kph=226.58 mph=195.75 kt).
Actually bolaven was stronger (CDG+WMG) than Mawar (CMG+WMG) in terms of Dvorak
i know but the JTWC doesn't see that
@nxthanj I swear jtwc doesn't see anything
@@nxthanjJTWC never sees anything gotta be fr😭
@@nxthanjJTWC re-analysis has mawar 165 kt and bolaven 165 kt mawar is 190/891 and bolaven is 190/894 now
What do CDG, WMG and CMG mean
Clock is ticking …..
Get ready for the best animation you’ve ever seen
hell yeah
Man, Saola was really underestimated. Wonder if the JTWC actually did good in estimates this year. Anyways, can't wait to see yet another great animation, nxthan! It'll be great!
it really was, sucks to put it as a c4 in this but im not intelligently enough to make proper self analysis
@@nxthanj Yea, I don't use personal analysis either. It honestly takes a lot of reasoning and evidence, but sometimes I do question the officials' estimates
There are some rumors that they will up Saola to C5 when they finalise their best track data for 2023 WPac. Only rumors tho
@@dabluboi8410 id be upset if they didnt 😭
They upgraded Saola to C5.
I will NEVER forget you even you are retired, TYPHOON HAIKUI!
Same WITH DOKSURI I LIVE IN BAGUIO
Same with typhoon SAOLA
All of the major typhoons mawar 2:10 doksuri 4:17 khanun 4:39 saola 6:05 koinu 7:23 bolaven 7:42 that's all bye
(Edit) saola is a cat 5 in force thirteen analysis or maybe I'm just wrong
You forgot haikui and Lan
Sorry that I forgot haikui and lan I'm on my alt account btw
One of the best animations ever
haha thank u so much
The 2nd Least Active west pacific season, however Mawar, Saola and Bolaven all became category 5s
Quality over quantity
real
FIRST ANIMATION OF 2024 LESS GOOOO
YESYESYES
failed invests/td that could’ve formed to reach average/above average mark (all of these had HIGH CHANCES of forming, basically it got busted)
1) jan invest (there were so many invests during jan 2023 like i remember one having a high chance of forming, plus alot of them had model support)
2) ts amang (unofficially it’s a ts, but not according to jma and jtwc.)
3) may jma td (it had model support and was actually a high-chance invest. it could’ve been a mild slop, like crising 2021 2.0. i also remember early may where alot of people were complaining about the extreme heat so maybe this could’ve helped them atleast (as an lpa, ts at scs)
4) june jma td (i remember this one it was long lived, it lasted for 7 days, i remember when i thought it would regenerate when it exited china (basically it formed at gulf of tonkin and made landfall at hainan, classified as a jma td. it had an erratic track and instead of further dissipating at land, it got back to scs and made landfall in the southern tip of taiwan)
5) late september near-marshall islands invest (idk wgat number it was but it was high chance and had model support for BOTH ecmwf and icon, both agencies were forecasting it to be a major typhoon, although it would stay out to sea as from i remember it didn’t have any threat to land)
6) idk if this counts but 97w couldve been a nesat 2022 2.0 if it strengthened to a tropical storm at philippine sea. i think interaction with bolaven hindered it knowing bolaven was a very large storm. idk if it’s remnants became sanba
7) of course, the infamous 17w. it was expected to be at least a tropical storm. i also remember several people expecting it to be a super typhoon💀which is crazy)
8) 95/96/97W! the way it got designated thrice (jtwc moment) btw this one it was in perfect conditions and of course, had model support. it was expected to be a major typhoon.)
9) december 92w (had model support and stuff, could’ve been a sanvu 2.0)
if all of these formed then we could’ve had
28 TS
16 TY (strengthened sanvu, jma ty talim, late september invest, 97w, 17w, 95/96/97w, 92w)
6 STY? (late september invest, 95/96/97w)
90% of invests marked literally are nothing or have 0 model support, typical JTWC
You forgot the Late June LPA, Pagasa literally gave a high chance of formation.
I would make a whmb
Tropical Cyclones in my WHMB.
TS Sanvu (Amang) - Amang
TS Mawar - Sanvu
TD 03W (Betty) - Early May TD
STY Guchol (Chedeng) - Mawar
TY Talim (Dodong) - Guchol
TD Egay - Late June Pagasa Lpa
Ty Doksuri (Falcon) - Talim
Sty Khanun (Goring) - Doksuri
Ty Lan (Hanna) - Khanun
Ty Saola - Lan
Ty Dora - Dora
Ty Haikui - Damrey
Sty Damrey (Ineng) - Saola
Ty Kirogi (Jenny) - Haikui
Sts Yun-yeung - Kirogi
Ts Koinu (Kabayan) - Yunyeung
TD Liwayway - Mid September Taiwan Jma TD
15W - 13W
Ty Bolaven (Marilyn) - Koinu
Sty Sanba (Onyok) - Bolaven
Ts Jelawat (Nimfa) - Lpa near Bolaven
Ts Ewiniar - Sanba
Ty Maliksi (Perla) - 17W
Ts Gaemi (Quiel) - Jelawat
Total (JMA)
20 storms
13 typhoons
4 super typhoons
Total (PAGASA)
17 tropical cyclones
14 tropical storms
10 typhoons
4 super typhoons
Retired names: Guchol, Khanun, Saola, Damrey, Kirogi, Bolaven, Sanba, Maliksi, Goring, Ineng and Perla.
@nxthan I would love if you could show me the links of the information on the tropical cyclones of the 2023 Pacific typhoon season. I am just curious please respond back to this whenever yoh are able too.
there are alot of sources i used uhhhh, mainly from the wikipedia article but i have utilised references from such to ensure information is right (for damages and deaths)
tracking data is from JTWC BT files, and ACE is calculated from those files.
some data shown on wiki however is missing so i had to do some research (eg, 13W having 8 deaths) and converting filipino damages to usd
@nxthanj you still did a fantastic job with the animation 👏 even though I imagine there were difficulties collecting research info.
Is it just me or did he actually predict almost all of the typhoon paths correctly??
@@SFSEXPLORATIONAEROSPACE thats because this isnt a hypothetical! These are the actual tracks
@nxthanj bruh I'm stupid af💀
Some say saola is C5 (165 mph)
My friend it's super epic!!
Bsck in , 21 we experienced least activity and in 23 this went down further what is the cause of a least activen nature
Actually Typhoon saola is a cat 5 super typhoon (175 mph)
@@yeomerryn4343 if you saw in the video, the data used is based of JTWC’s preliminary analysis, which had it at a 135kt category 4. (although it was hard not to put cat 5 because it was so clearly one😭🙏)
@@nxthanj Saola is officially a C5 now.
@@EliRicke-xl9mw Correct! The JTWC finished their post-season analysis after the upload date of this animation, hence the different estimates and information used
5:09
I am Dora thee explorer, let's travel across the Pacific Ocean as a hurricane!
2024 Predictions
Natl: 18 storms ending with Sara
Wpac: 22 storms ending with Yinxing
Par: 15 tropical cyclones ending with Ofel.
interesting interesting
I agree with your prediction ❤
Yah, you're still right from your side...But the upcoming La Nina and record shattering SSTs in Atlantic could lead to another season with 20 named storms or more...
NATL - 21 storms
WPAC - 20 storms
EPAC - 16 storms....
I forgot NIO, 9 storms ends with ARNAB
Hey nxthan! I was wondering if you could give any hints on what your next animation will be...like maybe what list...or year...or ACE... or if you want a complete suprise that's fine
1000 subscribers
@@nxthanj k ty
This is great!
thank u nick
AMAZING
Also happy birtthday again
THANK YOU!!! my childhood is unfortunately over though
@@nxthanjoh happy late bday hope you get a good teenage life
@@nxthanjand I did not know jan 3rd was your bday
@Le_Hurricane K
@@Wolf-rk6jq I think he just finished his teenage years lol
Wasn't Bolaven a 195 mph storm???
Not officially. I use official estimates but the true reality is Bolaven was very much underestimated. At least 165kt or higher from what i have heard. Blame the JTWC😅
Hurricane Signal No. 10 is issued when during the Super Typhoon Saola
2023 pacific typhoon season is the least active season since 1998, and 2010 producing only a 17 named storms
indeed
Btw, do you know how to find the TPE files to make animations like this? These are so banger.
they should be under Astradia’s community tab, might have to scroll up quite a bit though
@@nxthanj tysm
Can i ask when is the 2024 hypothetical wpac typhoon season?
Dont worry, its ok if its February or March, i still can wait for February/March
soon, but I have alot on my plate😅
Can you pls do an animation of 2024 hypo Pacific typhoon season pls
it will come soon
Amazing Animation
Hes back with another amazing animation
thank u!!!!
saola stalled in the philippines during my birthday (8/26) it was rainy the whole day i remember going to the mall with my bestie
oh really? damn i hope yall were safe
@@nxthanj yeah saola was relatively small so even if it stalled or neared landfall we didn’t feel any significant winds or rains
I dodged 2 typhoons and a hurricane this summer: Doksuri Khanun and Hilary
damn good job
@@nxthanj Doksuri flooded Beijing (where we lived during the summer), and we were coincidentally on a trip to Shanghai to visit my relatives. Khanun, as we all know, made a U-turn and spared Shanghai. My flight back to the U.S. was somehow 6 hours after Hilary
2025 will be an above average season
Doksuri (egay) was the costliest west pacific storm surpassing Mireille (rosing) 1991
Fun fact :- This was the first season to not feature a major Phillippines landfall after three consecutive destructive landfalls in 2020,2021 and 2022...
Yeah, although northern luzon did face pretty bad impacts
@@nxthanjYup.. but I am talking about direct landfalls... Like Typhoon Goni of 2020 and Noru of 2022...
@@nxthanjUnfortunately, Taiwan was hit hard by Haikui and Koinu, especially by Koinu because that typhoon struck Taiwan as a Cat 4...
First time the Atlantic surpasses West Pacific in named storms during an El Niño
for real, wpac performed badly this year in terms of tropical storms
@@nxthanj But WPAC beat the Atlantic by Higher ACE
Nice video! I am new subscriber!
thank you!!
For me I still think Bolaven is more powerful than Mawar and even also the strongest storm world wide in 2023 and Saola is a Cat 5 but the JTWC underestimated it.
And also the fact that Force thirdteen 13 has Jova reaching 185mph in their analysis estimations and Haikui as a Cat 4 is just crazy to think of, but their estimates can be often accurate.
Yeah again, the analysis blame is to be put on the JTWC as their analysis is used here (its official). Although i do agree many storms were not estimated properly
Haikui as a C4 is wild
@@53cycloneLol Haikui is Category 3 typhoon at landfall
ITS HERE
YES IT IS!!
beautiful work! wikipedia really made it hard for you in some places am i right? ;D
OHHHHH YEAH😡😡😡
2023 pacific typhoon seasons animation well was less active then 2023 alt hurricanes season
However super typhoon mawar and bolaven was both powerful category 5 while super typhoon doksuri was costliest storm ever recorded in Chica history's
That was inasne so yes 😅😅
And now 2023 india oceans cyclone season was be last 😊😊❤❤
yes!!! I will do a hypothetical first though and then the NIO
When 2024 1K NATL Season?
this month!!!
@@nxthanj Horray!
Amazing Video! Btw really Random Question but what Text Font Force Thirteen Uses??? in hurricane names
i wouldn’t know; i dont animate for them
Oh Ok, But great Video! Ur animations are better than F13 btw are u planning on Animating NIO like 1000 ace?@@nxthanj
Yes please make that
remembers 29 ts 400 ace forecast by tsr 😭😔
😭😭😭😭
Good Animation bro🔥 PS sad Analysis to Saola😂
thank you!! gotta love gold standard JTWC techniques
@@nxthanj I know, they totally slacked on Jelawat (I was tracking it live)
music was fire, 10/10
YUHHHH
0:06 is this your voice
@Le_Hurricane yours?
indeed it is
@@nxthanj voice reveal nice
lol inactive on the Western but active on the eastern and atlantic.
bro fr
this couldve been 1997/2002 2.0 but -pdo +amo and mjo trolled
real😔
Dora is not a typhoon, it's a hurricane because it forms in east pacific
@@febricho9023 it is both. when it enters the wpac it is also known as a typhoon😎
YES CANT WAIT!!!
YES
I would make a whmb of this
Tropical Cyclones in my WHMB.
TS Sanvu (Amang) - Amang
TS Mawar - Sanvu
TD 03W (Betty) - Early May TD
STY Guchol (Chedeng) - Mawar
TY Talim (Dodong) - Guchol
TD Egay - Late June Pagasa Lpa
Ty Doksuri (Falcon) - Talim
Sty Khanun (Goring) - Doksuri
Ty Lan (Hanna) - Khanun
Ty Saola - Lan
Ty Dora - Dora
Ty Haikui - Damrey
Sty Damrey (Ineng) - Saola
Ty Kirogi (Jenny) - Haikui
Sts Yun-yeung - Kirogi
Ts Koinu (Kabayan) - Yunyeung
TD Liwayway - Mid September Taiwan Jma TD
15W - 13W
Ty Bolaven (Marilyn) - Koinu
Sty Sanba (Onyok) - Bolaven
Ts Jelawat (Nimfa) - Lpa near Bolaven
Ts Ewiniar - Sanba
Ty Maliksi (Perla) - 17W
Ts Gaemi (Quiel) - Jelawat
Total (JMA)
20 storms
13 typhoons
4 super typhoons
Total (PAGASA)
17 tropical cyclones
14 tropical storms
10 typhoons
4 super typhoons
Retired names: Guchol, Khanun, Saola, Damrey, Kirogi, Bolaven, Sanba, Maliksi, Goring, Ineng and Perla.
Sally is actually cat 5
Who’s Sally?
referring to saola, yes it likely was, but isnt here thanks to JTWC's incompetence
Oh
It’s time
it is
Dora the explorer 💀
The longest route
Hi am back PAGASA is predicted 13-16 Cyclones will enter or develop in the PAR this year because of developing la niña. PAGASA Warned june- august possibly 62% la niña will develop.
Nice 👍
thank youuu!!
Mawar Saola Bolaven
YOOOO
YEEAAA
We need 2023 North Indian Season please make that one also
It will come, I just want to vary what im doing for a little while
@@nxthanj Ok
When will it come
late season 2023 was really... underwhelming lol
it really was, especially for an el nino. the mjo just didnt wanna cooperate in 2023
2019's Super Typhoon Hagibis was also really bad.
it was yeah, very costly for japan
@@nxthanj you should check out Alferia's documentary on super typhoon Yolanda (Hayian).
bolaven
strongest storm imo
@@nxthanj my opinion too
best WPAC storm in 2023
@@MrGreenandPurple fr
Fun fact: Bolaven was actually expected to enter PAR before it formed according to models.
:)
😎😎😎